Vegas Value Chart: Week 15

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentOddsTotalTeam TotalRunningPassingDefense
New England Tennessee -14.5 47 30.75 +++ +++ +++
Seattle Cleveland -14.5 43 28.75 +++ +++ +++
Arizona Philadelphia -3 50.5 26.75 ++ ++  
New Orleans Detroit -3 50.5 26.75 ++ ++  
Carolina NY Giants -5 48 26.5 ++ ++  
Jacksonville Atlanta -3.5 49 26.25 + +  
Pittsburgh Denver -6 44.5 25.25 + +  
Green Bay Oakland -3.5 46.5 25 + +  
Kansas City Baltimore -7.5 42 24.75 + + ++
Minnesota Chicago -5.5 43 24.25 + + +
Detroit New Orleans 3 50.5 23.75      
Indianapolis Houston -2.5 45 23.75      
Philadelphia Arizona 3 50.5 23.75      
San Diego Miami -2 45 23.5      
NY Jets Dallas -3.5 42 22.75      
Atlanta Jacksonville 3.5 49 22.75      
Buffalo Washington -1 44 22.5      
Cincinnati San Francisco -4.5 40.5 22.5     +
Miami San Diego 2 45 21.5      
Washington Buffalo 1 44 21.5      
NY Giants Carolina 5 48 21.5      
Oakland Green Bay 3.5 46.5 21.5      
Houston Indianapolis 2.5 45 21.25      
St. Louis Tampa Bay -1.5 41 21.25      
Tampa Bay St. Louis 1.5 41 19.75      
Denver Pittsburgh 6 44.5 19.25   +  
Dallas NY Jets 3.5 42 19.25      
Chicago Minnesota 5.5 43 18.75      
San Francisco Cincinnati 4.5 40.5 18      
Baltimore Kansas City 7.5 42 17.25   +  
Tennessee New England 14.5 47 16.25   +  
Cleveland Seattle 14.5 43 14.25   +  

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR