Vegas Value Chart: Week 14

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentOddsTotalTeam TotalRunningPassingDefense
Kansas City San Diego -10.5 45 27.75 +++ ++ +++
Carolina Atlanta -8 46.5 27.25 +++ ++ +
Tampa Bay New Orleans -4 50.5 27.25 ++ +++  
Arizona Minnesota -7.5 46.5 27 +++ ++ +
Seattle Baltimore -10 42.5 26.25 ++ ++ +++
Cincinnati Pittsburgh -3 49.5 26.25 + ++  
Denver Oakland -7.5 43.5 25.5 ++ + ++
NY Jets Tennessee -7 43 25 + + ++
Green Bay Dallas -6.5 42.5 24.5 + + ++
New England Houston -3.5 45 24.25      
Philadelphia Buffalo -1 47 24      
NY Giants Miami -1 46.5 23.75      
Chicago Washington -3.5 43.5 23.5      
Pittsburgh Cincinnati 3 49.5 23.25      
New Orleans Tampa Bay 4 50.5 23.25      
Buffalo Philadelphia 1 47 23      
Indianapolis Jacksonville 0 45.5 22.75      
Jacksonville Indianapolis 0 45.5 22.75      
Miami NY Giants 1 46.5 22.75      
Detroit St. Louis -3 41 22     +
Cleveland San Francisco -2 41 21.5     +
Houston New England 3.5 45 20.75      
Washington Chicago 3.5 43.5 20      
Minnesota Arizona 7.5 46.5 19.5   +  
San Francisco Cleveland 2 41 19.5      
Atlanta Carolina 8 46.5 19.25   +  
St. Louis Detroit 3 41 19      
Tennessee NY Jets 7 43 18   +  
Oakland Denver 7.5 43.5 18   +  
Dallas Green Bay 6.5 42.5 18   +  
San Diego Kansas City 10.5 45 17.25   +  
Baltimore Seattle 10 42.5 16.25   +  

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR