Vegas Value Chart: Week 13

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentOddsTotalTeam TotalRunningPassingDefense
New England Philadelphia -9 49 29 +++ +++  
Carolina New Orleans -7 49.5 28.25 +++ +++  
Pittsburgh Indianapolis -7 48 27.5 ++ ++  
Cincinnati Cleveland -9 43.5 26.25 +++ ++ +++
Chicago San Francisco -7 43.5 25.25 ++ + ++
Green Bay Detroit -3 47 25 + +  
Arizona St. Louis -6 43 24.5 + + ++
Tampa Bay Atlanta -1.5 46.5 24      
Miami Baltimore -4 43.5 23.75     +
NY Jets NY Giants -2 45 23.5      
Denver San Diego -4 43 23.5     +
Kansas City Oakland -3 44 23.5      
Washington Dallas -4.5 42 23.25     ++
Tennessee Jacksonville -2.5 43.5 23      
Atlanta Tampa Bay 1.5 46.5 22.5      
Buffalo Houston -3.5 41.5 22.5     +
Detroit Green Bay 3 47 22      
NY Giants NY Jets 2 45 21.5      
New Orleans Carolina 7 49.5 21.25   +  
Seattle Minnesota 0 41.5 20.75      
Minnesota Seattle 0 41.5 20.75      
Jacksonville Tennessee 2.5 43.5 20.5      
Indianapolis Pittsburgh 7 48 20.5   +  
Oakland Kansas City 3 44 20.5      
Philadelphia New England 9 49 20   +  
Baltimore Miami 4 43.5 19.75      
San Diego Denver 4 43 19.5      
Houston Buffalo 3.5 41.5 19      
Dallas Washington 4.5 42 18.75      
St. Louis Arizona 6 43 18.5      
San Francisco Chicago 7 43.5 18.25   +  
Cleveland Cincinnati 9 43.5 17.25   +  

 

SUMMARY

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