Vegas Value Chart: Week 12

An early Vegas-based snapshot of the teams and positions to target in this week's DFS game slate.

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week.  Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week.  Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves.  Let's take a look.

TeamOpponentOddsTotalTeam TotalRunningPassingDefense
Green Bay Chicago -9 47 28 +++ +++ +
Arizona San Francisco -10.5 45 27.75 +++ +++ ++
Houston New Orleans -3.5 47.5 25.5 + ++  
Cincinnati St. Louis -9 42 25.5 ++ ++ +++
Indianapolis Tampa Bay -3.5 47 25.25 + ++  
Jacksonville San Diego -4 46.5 25.25 + ++  
Seattle Pittsburgh -4.5 45 24.75 + +  
NY Giants Washington -2 47 24.5 + +  
New England Denver -3 45 24      
Atlanta Minnesota -2 46 24      
Carolina Dallas -1.5 46 23.75      
NY Jets Miami -3.5 42.5 23     +
Philadelphia Detroit 0 45.5 22.75      
Detroit Philadelphia 0 45.5 22.75      
Oakland Tennessee -1.5 44 22.75      
Washington NY Giants 2 47 22.5      
Kansas City Buffalo -3.5 41.5 22.5     +
Dallas Carolina 1.5 46 22.25      
Cleveland Baltimore -3 41.5 22.25     +
New Orleans Houston 3.5 47.5 22      
Minnesota Atlanta 2 46 22      
Tampa Bay Indianapolis 3.5 47 21.75      
San Diego Jacksonville 4 46.5 21.25      
Tennessee Oakland 1.5 44 21.25      
Denver New England 3 45 21      
Pittsburgh Seattle 4.5 45 20.25      
Miami NY Jets 3.5 42.5 19.5      
Baltimore Cleveland 3 41.5 19.25      
Chicago Green Bay 9 47 19   +  
Buffalo Kansas City 3.5 41.5 19      
San Francisco Arizona 10.5 45 17.25   +  
St. Louis Cincinnati 9 42 16.5   +  

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR