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Reading the Defense: Week 11

A weekly look at IDP trends with a mix of metrics, film study and matchup strategy

DL TIERS

I'm going to continue rotating through the tier series once more and then focus on playoff matchups in Week 14 before cycling through the tiers one final time. Time limitations will prevent me from providing the same amount of context as I do in the offseason, but this should provide a snapshot of where I feel these players are currently. During the season, I approach my lineups and roster with three categories in mind -- matchup independent every week starter / matchup play / too much upside to cut. Everyone else is on the watch list.

I'm going to roll through these team-by-team.

TEAM EVERY-WEEK STARTER MATCHUP PLAY EVERY-WEEK UPSIDE TO HOLD
ARIZONA Calais Campbell    
ATLANTA     Vic Beasley (Dynasty)
BALTIMORE   Brandon Williams (Deep DT required)  
BUFFALO   Jerry Hughes, Marcell Dareus Mario Williams 
CAROLINA   Kawann Short, Jared Allen Charles Johnson 
CHICAGO      
CINCINNATI Carlos Dunlap  Geno Atkins  
CLEVELAND   Desmond Bryant  
DALLAS Greg Hardy  Tyrone Crawford Randy Gregory (Dynasty), Demarcus Lawrence (Deep Dynasty)
DENVER   Malik Jackson  
DETROIT Ezekiel Ansah    
GREEN BAY      
HOUSTON J.J. Watt    
INDIANAPOLIS     Henry Anderson (Dynasty)
JACKSONVILLE     Dante Fowler (Dynasty)
KANSAS CITY Allen Bailey    
MIAMI Olivier Vernon Ndamukong Suh, Derrick Shelby Cameron Wake (Deep Dynasty)
MINNESOTA Everson Griffen Linval Joseph, Brian Robison Danielle Hunter (Dynasty)
NEW ENGLAND Chandler Jones Rob Ninkovich  
NEW ORLEANS Cameron Jordan    
NEW YORK GIANTS   Jason Pierre-Paul Owa Odighizuwa (Dynasty)
NEW YORK JETS Muhammad Wilkerson, Sheldon Richardson   Leonard Williams (Dynasty)
OAKLAND Mario Edwards    
PHILADELPHIA Fletcher Cox    
PITTSBURGH Cameron Heyward Stephon Tuitt  
ST. LOUIS Aaron Donald, Robert Quinn William Hayes  
SAN DIEGO   Corey Liuget  
SAN FRANCISCO      
SEATTLE Cliff Avril, Michael Bennett    
TAMPA BAY   Gerald McCoy, Jacquies Smith  
TENNESSEE   Jurrell Casey  
WASHINGTON   Chris Baker   

EVERY-DOWN LINEBACKER PROJECTION


 

TEAMEVERY-DOWN LB75-100% SNAPSINJ | SUSPNOTES
ARIZONA Kevin Minter : Deone Bucannon   Daryl Washington (susp) Okafor working back into condition
ATLANTA Paul Worrilow : Justin Durant      
BALTIMORE C.J. Mosley : Daryl Smith Elvis Dumervil Terrell Suggs (IR)  
BUFFALO Preston Brown : Nigel Bradham      
CAROLINA Luke Kuechly : Thomas Davis      
CHICAGO     Pernell McPhee McClellin returned, played most downs until late, Anderson/Jones worked in 
CINCINNATI       Now five man rotation w/ no every-down player, Burfict could ascend
CLEVELAND Karlos Dansby      
DALLAS Sean Lee Rolando McClain   Lee cleared to return, future note ~ Hitchens played every down last week
DENVER Brandon Marshall Von Miller : Danny Trevathan DeMarcus Ware Trevathan and Marshall both in 85-90% range now
DETROIT   Tahir Whitehead DeAndre Levy (IR) Whitehead played nearly every down last week 
GREEN BAY Clay Matthews Julius Peppers : Nate Palmer Sam Barrington (IR)  
HOUSTON Brian Cushing Whitney Mercilus   McKinney beginning to settle into role, could see more snaps soon
INDIANAPOLIS D'Qwell Jackson : Jerrell Freeman      
JACKSONVILLE Paul Posluszny : Telvin Smith      
KANSAS CITY Derrick Johnson : Justin Houston Tamba Hali    
MIAMI Jelani Jenkins Koa Misi   Watch Jenkins injury, unclear who will replace him if needed
MINNESOTA Chad Greenway : Anthony Barr   Eric Kendricks  
NEW ENGLAND Jamie Collins : Dont'a Hightower      
NEW ORLEANS Stephone Anthony   Hau'oli Kikaha : Dannell Ellerbe  
NEW YORK GIANTS   Devon Kennard : Jonathan Casillas Jon Beason (IR) Casillas played every down vs New England, watch for trend
NEW YORK JETS David Harris : Demario Davis      
OAKLAND Malcolm Smith Khalil Mack Aldon Smith (susp)  
PHILADELPHIA   Connor Barwin : Brandon Graham Jordan Hicks (IR) Ryans (72%), Kendricks (60%), Alonso (45%) rotated
PITTSBURGH Lawrence Timmons     Steelers bringing Shazier out in some packages now
ST. LOUIS James Laurinaitis : Mark Barron   Alec Ogletree (IR-R)  
SAN DIEGO Melvin Ingram Donald Butler : Kavell Conner Manti Te'o : Denzel Perryman  
SAN FRANCISCO NaVorro Bowman Aaron Lynch : Ahmad Brooks    
SEATTLE Bobby Wagner : K.J. Wright   Bruce Irvin  
TAMPA BAY Lavonte David : Kwon Alexander      
TENNESSEE Avery Williamson Derrick Morgan : Brian Orakpo    
WASHINGTON Will Compton Ryan Kerrigan Keenan Robinson Used dime with Robinson out, Compton will likely play over Riley long term

I'll update this table every week between now and Week 17.

WAIVER WIRE PRIORITIES

I'm checking the waiver wire in a mix of my most and least competitive leagues, including expanded lineups. If there's someone on your list who hasn't made mine, shoot me a note and I'll add them here.

If still available, you should prioritize Mario Edwards over Cliff Avril and Olivier Vernon. You'll also need to consider adding Shea McClellin back (though I wouldn't dump Jonathan Anderson just yet). Otherwise, it looks like a streaming week. Look to Larry Thomas' matchup sheet and Dave Larkin's matchup feature for high variance, high upside options.

Subscribe to The Audible on iTunes or download our weekly IDP podcast here every Thursday for injury updates, player analysis and matchup discussion. Follow and ask questions on Twitter @JeneBramel.