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Strength of Schedule: DLs

An examination of the strength of schedule for defensive linemen

The advantages offered by the Ultimate Strength of Schedule (USOS) when compared to traditional SOS displays are numerous and include (but are not limited to) the following:

  • Fantasy Points Driven
    Fantasy football is all about scoring fantasy points, so USOS is based on fantasy points.
  • Removed Bias Of Schedule
    Consider the following scenario: Defense A faced the Top 16 offenses while Defense B faced the Worst 16 offenses. If both defenses allowed opposing quarterbacks to average 300 fantasy points last season, are they equally strong? Of course not; Defense A is far superior as they faced much better offenses. This bias of schedule has been removed from USOS.
  • Positional Breakdown
    If you are looking for a running back, it's much more relevant to see SOS data for running backs (rather than simply rushing data).
  • Comparison Of 2013 Schedule To 2012 Schedule
    On the surface, a team with an easy schedule at running back should see better running back stats this year. Good schedule = bigger numbers than the year before, right? It seems logical. However, sometimes it's not enough to say that a team has an easy schedule. What if they had an equally easy schedule the season before? Equal schedule = similar numbers as the year before. USOS looks at the differences in schedule from this year compared to last season. An easier set of opponents this year points to increased production. A more difficult set of opponents this season points to decreased production.

Explanation of USOS Tables

Below, you will see tables for each positions USOS. Here is a brief explanation of the make-up of these tables.

The "Team" Column

This is simply the NFL team.

The Values

Each value in the table is the expected number of fantasy points on average or on a per game basis (depending on the column).

The "2013" Column

This is the average expected fantasy points allowed by each team's opponents for this season.

The "Chng" Column

This is the amount of change between the 2013 schedule and the 2012 schedule. A positive value points to an easier SOS than last year while a negative value points to a more difficult SOS compared to last season.

The "EZ" Column

This is the number of easy opponents each team will face this season. An easy opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as many easy games as possible.

The "TF" Column

This is the number of tough opponents each team will face this season. A tough opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as few tough games as possible.

The "1st3" Column

This is the SOS for the first three weeks of the NFL season. This value is useful to determine how players should be expected to open the season. Players with low values could easily stumble out of the gate.

The "1st5" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it covers the first five weeks of the NFL season (note that some teams only play four games in this time frame).

The "Byes" Column

This is the SOS covering the bye weeks. This value is useful to find a complementary player during the byes as you'll need to shuffle players in and out of your starting lineup. A player with an easy schedule during this time would be nice to have.

The "14to16" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it specifically covers Week 14 through Week 16.

The "15to17" Column

This is similar to "14to16" except that it specifically covers Week 15 through Week 17.

The "W1" through "W17" Columns

These values are the expected strength of each team's opponent for that particular week (W5 is Week 5, etc). This is very useful when searching for backups for your stud players. The key is to locate players with easy opponents when your star is on a bye.

The Coloring of the Values

The green values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best values in that column. Green was chosen because you can go ahead and take players on that team. The yellow values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst values in that column. Yellow was chosen because you should use caution before selecting players from that team. (Note: a green / red combo was considered but some people are color blind between those two colors.)

  • Green is a hot team with a good schedule
  • Yellow is a cold team with a bad schedule

Ultimate Strength of Schedule - Defensive Linemen

Team
2013
Chng
EZ
TF
1st3
1st5
Byes
14to16
15to17
Arizona
18.0
-17.5%
2
6
17.4
17.8
18.5
17.5
16.8
Atlanta
18.8
7.4%
4
6
18.0
17.7
18.2
20.7
19.5
Baltimore
19.5
3.8%
6
2
18.6
19.0
20.4
16.4
18.1
Buffalo
18.5
-1.8%
3
5
18.5
18.4
19.5
18.0
17.8
Carolina
17.4
-13.0%
1
10
17.8
19.5
17.9
16.3
16.8
Chicago
19.0
-1.8%
4
4
19.5
18.4
18.8
18.1
20.6
Cincinnati
19.6
-1.4%
4
2
22.1
19.8
18.3
19.3
19.0
Cleveland
19.7
8.4%
5
2
18.4
19.0
20.8
18.0
20.4
Dallas
19.0
5.5%
3
4
18.7
19.5
18.3
21.6
21.7
Denver
19.2
5.5%
6
4
17.3
17.7
19.5
20.0
20.9
Detroit
19.5
4.5%
4
4
20.3
21.0
19.7
18.1
16.8
Green Bay
18.3
-15.3%
2
5
19.4
19.2
17.6
18.5
19.6
Houston
18.6
-6.7%
3
4
19.3
18.7
19.5
18.3
17.2
Indianapolis
19.2
-1.5%
6
3
18.2
18.2
19.6
21.2
20.2
Jacksonville
19.2
5.0%
5
3
19.3
19.4
19.7
18.2
17.8
Kansas City
18.8
-9.4%
3
2
18.2
16.9
18.3
19.3
20.5
Miami
18.6
-4.3%
4
5
17.9
17.5
18.7
18.8
17.8
Minnesota
19.9
15.6%
5
2
18.5
19.5
20.6
19.8
19.6
New England
18.9
11.2%
4
3
18.0
18.2
19.0
19.0
19.5
New Orleans
18.5
10.7%
3
5
18.9
19.3
17.9
20.3
18.6
NY Giants
19.6
12.3%
4
1
18.4
19.3
19.4
20.5
19.4
NY Jets
18.0
-5.6%
3
6
16.6
16.1
17.7
18.6
19.7
Oakland
19.6
8.8%
7
2
18.3
20.0
20.0
21.7
21.0
Philadelphia
19.1
-1.7%
4
4
22.2
19.9
18.0
17.9
17.4
Pittsburgh
18.7
-8.6%
3
3
18.3
17.6
17.7
21.9
21.0
San Diego
18.7
-13.3%
4
2
18.5
17.9
19.0
16.6
18.7
San Francisco
19.5
9.8%
6
4
21.2
20.7
19.2
17.0
18.9
Seattle
18.3
-3.4%
4
8
18.5
19.4
18.3
19.0
19.7
St. Louis
18.7
-1.3%
4
5
19.3
18.5
18.7
18.4
16.5
Tampa Bay
18.4
5.7%
3
6
16.4
18.4
19.4
18.2
16.8
Tennessee
19.9
15.9%
6
1
22.5
21.7
18.8
19.8
21.2
Washington
18.5
-6.4%
3
5
20.9
20.0
18.4
18.3
16.3
Average
18.9
0%
4
4
18.9
18.9
18.9
18.9
18.9

Week-By-Week Look

Team
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
W6
W7
W8
W9
Arizona
18.9
18.4
14.8
15.9
21.0
16.8
18.9
16.2
-
Atlanta
14.8
18.9
20.4
15.1
19.3
-
15.9
24.5
21.0
Baltimore
17.1
17.6
21.2
18.9
20.4
24.6
22.3
-
17.6
Buffalo
15.1
21.0
19.3
19.1
17.6
20.7
20.4
14.8
21.7
Carolina
18.9
18.9
15.6
-
24.5
15.6
18.9
15.9
16.2
Chicago
20.7
15.6
22.3
18.4
14.8
15.6
20.7
-
24.6
Cincinnati
19.6
22.3
24.6
17.6
15.1
18.9
18.4
19.3
20.4
Cleveland
20.4
19.1
15.6
20.7
18.9
18.4
24.6
21.7
19.1
Dallas
15.6
21.7
18.9
24.2
17.1
20.7
19.7
18.4
15.6
Denver
19.1
15.6
17.2
19.7
17.1
17.8
20.0
20.7
-
Detroit
15.6
24.5
20.7
19.6
24.6
17.6
20.7
17.1
-
Green Bay
16.8
20.7
20.7
-
18.4
19.1
17.6
15.6
19.6
Houston
24.2
14.5
19.1
18.9
16.8
18.9
21.7
-
20.0
Indianapolis
17.2
20.4
16.8
17.8
18.9
24.2
17.1
-
21.2
Jacksonville
21.7
17.2
18.9
20.0
18.9
17.1
24.2
16.8
-
Kansas City
17.8
17.1
19.7
15.6
14.5
17.2
21.2
17.6
18.9
Miami
17.6
20.0
16.2
14.8
19.1
-
18.9
15.1
20.7
Minnesota
18.4
19.6
17.6
22.3
-
21.0
15.6
24.6
17.1
New England
18.9
19.3
15.9
16.2
20.7
14.8
19.3
20.4
22.3
New Orleans
16.2
15.9
24.5
20.4
19.6
15.1
-
18.9
19.3
NY Giants
17.1
17.1
21.0
21.7
19.7
19.6
15.6
19.7
-
NY Jets
15.9
15.1
18.9
14.5
16.2
22.3
15.1
20.7
14.8
Oakland
20.0
17.8
17.1
20.7
24.2
21.7
-
22.3
19.7
Philadelphia
20.7
24.2
21.7
17.1
15.6
15.9
17.1
15.6
17.2
Pittsburgh
14.5
20.7
19.6
15.6
-
19.3
19.1
17.2
15.1
San Diego
21.2
19.7
14.5
17.1
17.2
20.0
17.8
-
20.7
San Francisco
24.6
18.9
20.0
18.9
21.2
24.5
14.5
17.8
-
Seattle
21.0
16.8
17.8
21.2
20.0
14.5
24.5
18.9
15.9
St. Louis
24.5
16.2
17.1
16.8
17.8
21.2
21.0
18.9
14.5
Tampa Bay
19.3
14.8
15.1
24.5
-
19.7
16.2
21.0
18.9
Tennessee
22.3
21.2
24.2
19.3
21.7
18.9
16.8
-
18.9
Washington
19.7
24.6
18.4
17.2
-
17.1
19.6
17.1
24.2
Average
18.9
18.9
18.9
18.7
19.0
19.0
19.1
18.7
19.0

 

Team
W10
W11
W12
W13
W14
W15
W16
W17
Arizona
21.2
17.8
20.0
19.7
18.9
14.5
18.9
16.8
Atlanta
18.9
15.9
14.8
18.9
24.6
20.7
16.8
21.0
Baltimore
20.7
19.6
19.3
22.3
15.6
18.4
15.1
20.7
Buffalo
22.3
19.3
-
16.2
15.9
17.8
20.4
15.1
Carolina
16.8
15.1
20.4
15.9
14.8
19.3
14.8
16.2
Chicago
18.4
19.1
18.9
15.6
17.1
17.6
19.7
24.6
Cincinnati
19.1
17.6
-
24.2
20.0
22.3
15.6
19.1
Cleveland
-
20.7
22.3
17.8
15.1
19.6
19.3
22.3
Dallas
14.8
-
15.6
17.2
19.6
24.6
20.7
19.7
Denver
24.2
21.7
15.1
21.7
14.5
24.2
21.2
17.2
Detroit
19.6
22.3
15.9
24.6
19.7
19.1
15.6
15.6
Green Bay
19.7
15.6
15.6
18.4
16.2
17.1
22.3
19.6
Houston
24.5
17.2
17.8
15.1
17.8
20.0
17.1
14.5
Indianapolis
18.9
14.5
24.5
14.5
20.7
21.2
21.7
17.8
Jacksonville
14.5
24.5
21.2
17.6
21.2
18.9
14.5
20.0
Kansas City
-
17.1
24.2
17.1
20.7
17.2
20.0
24.2
Miami
15.9
24.2
21.0
19.3
22.3
15.1
18.9
19.3
Minnesota
20.7
18.9
24.6
19.6
19.1
19.7
20.7
18.4
New England
-
21.0
17.1
21.2
17.6
20.4
19.1
18.9
New Orleans
17.1
16.8
16.2
18.9
21.0
18.9
21.0
15.9
NY Giants
17.2
24.6
17.1
20.7
24.2
18.9
18.4
20.7
NY Jets
-
18.9
19.1
20.4
17.2
21.0
17.6
20.4
Oakland
15.6
21.2
14.5
17.1
19.3
21.7
24.2
17.1
Philadelphia
24.6
20.7
-
24.5
18.4
15.6
19.6
17.1
Pittsburgh
18.9
18.4
17.6
19.1
20.4
20.7
24.6
17.6
San Diego
17.1
20.4
21.7
20.7
15.6
17.1
17.2
21.7
San Francisco
21.0
14.8
20.7
18.9
18.9
15.9
16.2
24.5
Seattle
16.2
15.6
-
14.8
16.8
15.6
24.5
18.9
St. Louis
20.0
-
19.6
16.8
24.5
14.8
15.9
18.9
Tampa Bay
20.4
16.2
18.4
21.0
18.9
16.8
18.9
14.8
Tennessee
17.8
20.0
17.2
20.0
17.1
24.5
17.8
21.2
Washington
15.6
19.7
16.8
15.6
21.7
16.2
17.1
15.6
Average
19.0
19.0
18.8
18.9
18.9
18.9
18.9
18.9

More from Clayton Gray:

Week 9 Injury Report - October 31
Strength of Schedule: Week 9 - October 29
Fantasy Points Matchups: Week 9 - October 29
Fantasy Points Scored and Allowed: Week 9 - October 29
Rest of the Season SOS: Week 9 - October 29
Week 8 Injury Report - October 25
Rest of the Season SOS: Week 8 - October 22
Fantasy Points Scored and Allowed: Week 8 - October 21
Fantasy Points Matchups: Week 8 - October 21
Strength of Schedule: Week 8 - October 21