Matchup Analysis: San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: 49ers 14, Seahawks 28

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT

San Francisco 49ers Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
49ers Offense3.0 (-17.2) (29)51 (-41) (26)166 (-54) (24)
Seahawks Defense17.0 (-3.2) (13)84 (-8) (18)286 (+65) (27)

Seattle Seahawks Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Seahawks Offense9.0 (-11.2) (26)90 (-2) (14)135 (-85) (27)
49ers Defense23.0 (+2.8) (22)116 (+23) (23)171 (-49) (10)

49ers Rushing offense

Bad matchup vs. the Seahawks defense.

Carlos Hyde looked very solid against the Panthers last week despite his lack of rushing opportunity due to the game script. Hyde carried nine times for 45 yards while hauling in all six targets for 32 receiving yards. This 5.0 yards per carry is very encouraging, in addition to what was rare usage in the passing game considering Hyde has averaged less than two receptions per game in his career. The 49ers offensive line was not highly ranked coming into the year, but they afforded Hyde with some solid holes to hit in Week 1—particularly when running to the right behind tackle Trent Brown. Repeating that in Week 2 against the Seahawks front seven is an entirely different story though.

The Seahawks rush defense was solid last week against the Packers. Despite allowing a rushing touchdown, they held Ty Montgomery to only 2.8 yards per carry without allowing Montgomery to rush for more than eight yards on any of this 19 attempts. Seattle’s linebackers and secondary were large contributors in their ability to stop the run, with both Bobby Wagner and Earl Thomas making play after play in this game with a combined 20 tackles. With the Seahawks as heavy favorites at home, this will be a tough test for Carlos Hyde and company.

49ers Passing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Seahawks defense.

Brian Hoyer could not get much going in Week 1, finishing with less than 200 passing yards and no touchdowns with one interception. While Hoyer was efficient in completing nearly 70% of his passes, most of these were short, high percentage throws of less than 10 yards. Pierre Garcon was Hoyer’s top target with six receptions for 81 yards, showing strong chemistry as the clear top option in this offense. The 49ers offensive line also struggled in pass protection, allowing Hoyer to be sacked four times.

The matchup will definitely be challenging this week as Brian Hoyer will be on the road against one of the league’s best defenses in Seattle.

The Seahawks did allow over 300 passing yards to Aaron Rodgers last week, but they forced three turnovers, including one interception, while sacking Rodgers four times. Both starting safeties for Seattle had very solid outings to lead the Seahawks secondary, with Earl Thomas making a very positive return from injury to lead the team in tackles with 11. Facing Seattle’s defense at home is a tough outing for any team, but will be a particularly difficult matchup this week for Brian Hoyer and the 49er’s overall lack of depth at receiver.

Seahawks Rushing offense

Good matchup vs. the 49ers defense.

The Seahawks running backs simply could not get anything going on the ground against the Packers in Week 1, rushing for a combined 53 yards on 15 carries, with Russel Wilson actually leading the team in rushing. With Thomas Rawls inactive, the Seahawks basically chose to avoid the run all together as they only afforded Eddie Lacy only five carries (for only 3 yards) while Chris Carson led the team with six carries for 39 yards. CJ Prosise was also involved, but largely ineffective. Much of this failure can be attributed to the Seahawks offensive line, who Matt Bitonti of Footballguys rightfully had ranked near the bottom of his list coming into Week 1.

The 49ers defense held Carolina rushers to only 3.1 yards per carry for 116 total rushing yards and zero rushing touchdowns in their losing effort last week. The yards per carry here is deceiving, however, as Carolina was simply maintaining their lead for most of this game with a ground and pound script. The 49ers defense saw a big blow come early in this game as rookie first round draft pick Reuben Foster was forced to exit in the first quarter due to a high ankle sprain. While his availability for Week 2 is likely to be doubtful, make sure to check the injury report as Foster would play a big part in the 49ers ability to stop the run. The 49ers defense is one that should continue to be targeted against as they were by far the worst defense in the NFL against the run last season allowing 165 yards per game and one performance should not change your opinion on who this team is. We will need to see a few more weeks of great performances to increase the sample size instead of changing the opinion based on one performance. The Seahawks may also get Thomas Rawls back for this matchup, which will significantly boost their rushing upside. However, behind this offensive line, it will still be an uphill battle.

Seahawks Passing offense

Good matchup vs. the 49ers defense.

Russell Wilson and the Seahawks receivers really struggled against the Packers in Week 1, due primarily to the bad offensive line play that kept Wilson under constant pressure for this entire game. Wilson only managed to pass for 158 yards with zero touchdowns. Paul Richardson was the most heavily targeted Seahawks wide receiver, while Doug Baldwin led the team by hauling in all four of his targets for 63 receiving yards. Jimmy Graham received a number of targets, however, he could only convert on three of them for a grand total of only eight yards.

The 49ers have a less talented edge rushing combo than Green Bay did last week, so the Seahawks should have an easier matchup on the line here. The likely absence of Reuben Foster (ankle) will be a big one for the 49ers though, as Foster was showing a real knack for his position with three tackles and a pass break up before leaving late in the first quarter. This secondary allowed the only two touchdowns in the game last week, including a 40-yard bomb in the first quarter. The 49ers secondary overall looked out of sync, as they appear to still be learning how to operate under a new coaching staff and defensive scheme. Look for these growing pains to continue as the Seahawks welcome them to Seattle this week.

Seahawks vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)20 (+2.8)20 (+2.8)19 (+2.6)24 (+4.7)
1Aaron Rodgers82284231111721020.720.717.520.5

Brian Hoyer (FanDuel: $6300, DraftKings: $4500)

1vs CAR572435193011-508.
2PROJ-Dodds19332051.2123014.414.414.4 (H=32)14.4 (H=45)
2PROJ-Tremblay19312050.9125013.313.313.3 (H=28)13.3 (H=39)
2PROJ-Bloom213817111.6110111111.0 (H=20)11.0 (H=28)

Seahawks vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)20 (-1.3)15 (-3.0)17 (-2.0)14 (-3.5)
1Ty Montgomery74195414439015.319.317.319.3
1Jamaal Williams629000000.

Carlos Hyde (FanDuel: $6400, DraftKings: $4900)

1vs CAR459450663207.713.710.713.7
2PROJ-Dodds16580.33220.110.413.411.9 (H=22)13.4 (H=36)
2PROJ-Tremblay16590.34300.111.315.313.3 (H=27)15.3 (H=46)
2PROJ-Bloom14600.34250.211.515.513.5 (H=28)15.5 (H=47)

Matt Breida (FanDuel: $4800, DraftKings: $3800)

1vs CAR12411000001.
2PROJ-Dodds6210.20003.33.33.3 (H=3)3.3 (H=4)
2PROJ-Tremblay7260.20003.83.83.8 (H=4)3.8 (H=5)

Kyle Juszczyk (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

1vs CAR19100421701.
2PROJ-Dodds1402170. (H=4)4.7 (H=9)
2PROJ-Tremblay2703240. (H=7)6.7 (H=17)
2PROJ-Bloom1302160. (H=3)4.5 (H=9)

Seahawks vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)26 (+8.4)28 (+16.1)28 (+12.4)28 (+15.6)
1Jordy Nelson768779100013.920.917.420.9
1Randall Cobb631398500008.517.513.017.5

Pierre Garcon (FanDuel: $6500, DraftKings: $4900)

1vs CAR501068100008.
2PROJ-Dodds4550.30007.311.39.3 (H=14)11.3 (H=27)
2PROJ-Tremblay5700.30008.813.811.3 (H=20)13.8 (H=38)
2PROJ-Bloom6610.30007.913.910.9 (H=19)13.9 (H=38)

Marquise Goodwin (FanDuel: $5500, DraftKings: $3500)

1vs CAR50632100002.
2PROJ-Dodds3400.30005.88.87.3 (H=11)8.8 (H=24)
2PROJ-Tremblay3390.20005.18.16.6 (H=9)8.1 (H=21)
2PROJ-Bloom3210.10002.75.74.2 (H=4)5.7 (H=11)

Trent Taylor (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

1vs CAR2411800000.
2PROJ-Dodds2220.10002.84.83.8 (H=4)4.8 (H=10)
2PROJ-Tremblay000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
2PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Aldrick Robinson (FanDuel: $4700, DraftKings: $3000)

1vs CAR1021700000.
2PROJ-Dodds1140.1000232.5 (H=2)3.0 (H=4)
2PROJ-Tremblay1150.10002.13.12.6 (H=2)3.1 (H=4)
2PROJ-Bloom2170.10002.34.33.3 (H=3)4.3 (H=8)

Seahawks vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)17 (-0.4)17 (+0.3)16 (-0.1)17 (+0.2)
1Martellus Bennett67634304.

George Kittle (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $2500)

1vs CAR54652702.
2PROJ-Dodds3250. (H=7)6.7 (H=21)
2PROJ-Tremblay3260. (H=7)6.8 (H=22)
2PROJ-Bloom4310. (H=10)8.3 (H=31)

Seahawks vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)10T (-2.0)10T (-2.0)12T (-2.0) (+0.0)
1Mason Crosby1122556.00.0

Robbie Gould (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $--)

1vs CAR1100334.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds1. (H=10)6.3
2PROJ-Tremblay11. (H=7)5.0

Seahawks vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16T (-2.4)16T (-2.4)20T (+0.4)20T (+0.4)
1Green Bay Packers922530100559.09.0

San Francisco 49ers (FanDuel: $4000, DraftKings: $2300)

1vs CAR23.0028701100444.04.0
2PROJ-Dodds27.903982.20.80.400. (H=8)5.2 (H=15)
2PROJ-Tremblay27.5036020.90.500. (H=11)6.1 (H=19)

49ers vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)13 (-2.0)13 (-2.0)14 (-0.8)14 (-1.7)
1Cam Newton6714251712163015.915.914.114.1

Russell Wilson (FanDuel: $8100, DraftKings: $6800)

1@ GB49142715800240011.911.98.39.3
2PROJ-Dodds24332591.80.74220.222.822.822.8 (H=55)22.8 (H=66)
2PROJ-Tremblay18302141.70.93230.119.519.519.5 (H=42)19.5 (H=50)
2PROJ-Bloom182623920.54230.323.623.623.6 (H=58)23.6 (H=70)

49ers vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23 (+5.3)25 (+6.6)23 (+4.1)25 (+5.1)
1Jonathan Stewart29186502217114.
1Christian McCaffrey4713470753808.513.59.012.5

Thomas Rawls (FanDuel: $5800, DraftKings: $4600)

2PROJ-Dodds15650.516010.111.110.6 (H=20)11.1 (H=28)
2PROJ-Tremblay11470.40007.17.17.1 (H=10)7.1 (H=12)
2PROJ-Bloom11450.50007.57.57.5 (H=11)7.5 (H=14)

Chris Carson (FanDuel: $5200, DraftKings: $4100)

1@ GB266390111004.
2PROJ-Dodds6270.21704.65.65.1 (H=6)5.6 (H=9)
2PROJ-Tremblay8380.30005.65.65.6 (H=7)5.6 (H=9)
2PROJ-Bloom10510.51808.99.99.4 (H=18)9.9 (H=25)

C.J. Prosise (FanDuel: $5200, DraftKings: $3900)

1@ GB16411000001.
2PROJ-Dodds3180.12120. (H=6)6.2 (H=12)
2PROJ-Tremblay5250.20003.73.73.7 (H=3)3.7 (H=4)
2PROJ-Bloom4150.12150. (H=6)6.2 (H=12)

Eddie Lacy (FanDuel: $5500, DraftKings: $4200)

1@ GB753000000.
2PROJ-Dodds000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
2PROJ-Tremblay000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
2PROJ-Bloom3110.10001.71.71.7 (H=0)1.7 (H=1)

49ers vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)14T (-2.9)8 (-9.2)12 (-5.9)8 (-9.7)
1Russell Shepard202253100011.313.312.313.3
1Kelvin Benjamin43512500002.

Doug Baldwin (FanDuel: $7600, DraftKings: $6700)

1@ GB43446301-306108.010.0
2PROJ-Dodds6710.500010.116.113.1 (H=22)16.1 (H=36)
2PROJ-Tremblay4560.421309.313.311.3 (H=17)13.3 (H=26)
2PROJ-Bloom5670.700010.915.913.4 (H=23)15.9 (H=35)

Tyler Lockett (FanDuel: $5700, DraftKings: $4000)

1@ GB2631800000.
2PROJ-Dodds3430.30006.19.17.6 (H=11)9.1 (H=22)
2PROJ-Tremblay2260.20003.85.84.8 (H=5)5.8 (H=10)
2PROJ-Bloom2350.3170. (H=11)8.6 (H=20)

Paul Richardson (FanDuel: $5200, DraftKings: $4200)

1@ GB41745900005.
2PROJ-Dodds3390.20005.18.16.6 (H=10)8.1 (H=17)
2PROJ-Tremblay3410.30005.98.97.4 (H=12)8.9 (H=20)
2PROJ-Bloom4580.40008.212.210.2 (H=21)12.2 (H=36)

Tanner McEvoy (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

1@ GB92000000000.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds11100001.12.11.6 (H=1)2.1 (H=2)
2PROJ-Tremblay1130.10001.92.92.4 (H=2)2.9 (H=4)

49ers vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)5T (-4.7)5 (-7.0)5 (-5.9)5 (-7.1)
1Greg Olsen67421801.

Jimmy Graham (FanDuel: $6300, DraftKings: $4900)

1@ GB4073800.
2PROJ-Dodds5500.581310.5 (H=18)13.0 (H=34)
2PROJ-Tremblay5420. (H=16)12.2 (H=31)
2PROJ-Bloom4560.58.612.610.6 (H=18)12.6 (H=32)

Luke Willson (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $2500)

1@ GB171000000.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds1100. (H=1)2.6 (H=4)
2PROJ-Tremblay190. (H=1)2.5 (H=3)
2PROJ-Bloom000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Nick Vannett (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $2500)

1@ GB811100121.52.0
2PROJ-Dodds000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
2PROJ-Tremblay1100. (H=1)2.6 (H=4)
2PROJ-Bloom000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

49ers vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23T (+4.0)23T (+4.0)21 (+3.0) (+0.0)
1Graham Gano3322111111.00.0

Blair Walsh (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $--)

1@ GB33009910.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds1. (H=21)9.6
2PROJ-Tremblay2. (H=25)10.5

49ers vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)21T (+0.6)21T (+0.6)24 (+6.4)24 (+6.4)
1Carolina Panthers3217411008815.015.0

Seattle Seahawks (FanDuel: $5400, DraftKings: $4000)

1@ GB17.0037041000667.07.0
2PROJ-Dodds15.002952.610.900.5121212.0 (H=27)12.0 (H=36)
2PROJ-Tremblay14.00302211.20.10.813.913.913.9 (H=35)13.9 (H=47)