Matchup Analysis: New York Jets at Oakland Raiders

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Jets 15, Raiders 29

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT

New York Jets Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Jets Offense12.0 (-8.2) (24)38 (-54) (28)176 (-44) (22)
Raiders Defense16.0 (-4.2) (10)95 (+2) (21)255 (+34) (22)

Oakland Raiders Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Raiders Offense26.0 (+5.8) (8)109 (+16) (11)250 (+29) (13)
Jets Defense21.0 (+0.8) (19)190 (+97) (32)218 (-2) (18)

Jets Rushing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Raiders defense.

The Jets had a hard time moving the ball in the passing game and the rushing game in week one as the Jets had just 38 yards rushing in week one and neither Bilal Powell or Matt Forte had a lot of running room. The biggest issue with the Jets is that their offensive line ranks as the 30th offensive line in football according to our Matt Bitonti, so it is no surprise that the Jets struggled in week one and unless their offensive line improves should continue to struggle throughout most of the season.

The Raiders did a tremendous job in week one shutting down one of the best rushing attacks in football as DeMarco Murray had just 44 yards in this game and while Marcus Mariota was able to run for 26 yards on three carries, that should not be an issue this week as Josh McCown is not a mobile quarterback. The Raiders last season struggled against the run as they allowed the 10th most rushing yards per game, part of their issue was their consistent defensive line play which appears to be improved by the addition of Eddie VanderDoes who had a very good opening game alongside nose tackle Justin Ellis.

Jets Passing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Raiders defense.

In week one, the Jets relied on the passing game for a significant portion of this game, but the problem is that Josh McCown and the offense were reluctant to go down the field averaging just 4.8 yards per attempt. This was primarily targeting Jermaine Kearse who was targeted 9 of the teams 39 attempts while fellow receiver Robby Anderson had 8 targets but was only able to catch 4 passes for 22 yards. This is a team that cannot be relied upon on a week to week basis in the passing game as the lack of talent at both the quarterback position and the wide receiver position is evident. The Jets will be without Austin Seferian-Jenkins for another week as the tight end is serving a two game suspension.

The Raiders had low expectations in the secondary heading into week one based on 2016 as the Raiders were the 9th worst pass defense in terms of yards per game and the 8th worst in terms of DVOA last season. Sean Smith continues to grade out as an elite corner for the Raiders and T.J. Carrie out of the slot had a very good week one. This is a secondary that based on talent alone should easily be able to cover the Jets weak wide receiver group.

Raiders Rushing offense

Great matchup vs. the Jets defense.

Marshawn Lynch looked terrific in his return to the NFL and in his first game in Oakland. Facing a very difficult matchup against Tennessee, Lynch continued with his physical running style to run for 76 yards on 18 carries. This is a great spot for Lynch to be in as he has the second best run-blocking offensive line according to Matt Bitonti and is in a passing offense where he is not the focal point of the defense.

The Jets struggled in week one against the run as the Bills were able to run all over the Jets in this game. The loss of Sheldon Richardson may be having an impact as the Jets allowed 190 yards rushing in this game which was the most in week one. This was against another very good run-blocking offensive line in the Buffalo Bills as the defensive line for the Jets and could see similar problems this week going up against Oakland. One of the big problems for the Jets was the play of the linebackers Darron Lee and Demario Davis as the Jets released David Harris in the offseason and appear to missing him. Lee is an undersized linebacker which could cause issues for the Jets in this game as he gives up almost 20 pounds to Marshawn Lynch.

Raiders Passing offense

Great matchup vs. the Jets defense.

The Raiders passing offense picked up where it left off last season as Derek Carr looked very sharp in the season opener. Both Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper saw a significant amount of volume in this game as between the two of them they had 20 of the 32 pass attempts in this game. The one negative is that Cooper really struggled with drops as the team threw to him three straight plays in the end zone and all three were catchable passes from Carr that Cooper was unable to bring in. Cooper who has had touchdown issues in the past and it remains to be seen if he will continue to get those opportunities if he is unable to successfully complete the touchdowns.

The Jets defense is one that if you just look at passing yards per game it does not tell the full story. The Jets were 17th in the league in terms of passing yards allowed and 31st in the league against the pass in terms of DVOA. Yards per game is a better fantasy indication of how the team performs, but DVOA is a better indication of how a team truly performs in terms of how strong their defense is. Marcus Maye is a rookie safety who still has some development to do to become an average starter as a safety in the NFL. At the cornerback position, Michael Crabtree is in the better of the two matchups as he lines up on the left side and should see a lot of second-year corner Juston Burris in this game. Amari Cooper will see a lot of Morris Claiborne who is still a below average cornerback but is coming off of his best year in the NFL.

Raiders vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23 (+3.6)23 (+3.6)23 (+3.9)20 (+3.0)
1Marcus Mariota64254125600326121.421.418.818.8

Josh McCown (FanDuel: $6400, DraftKings: $4500)

1@ BUF5826391870220113.413.411.511.5
2PROJ-Dodds21342121.11.2390.115.315.315.3 (H=35)15.3 (H=50)
2PROJ-Tremblay22362500.91.2380.116.316.316.3 (H=39)16.3 (H=55)
2PROJ-Bloom223616911.43110.112.812.812.8 (H=25)12.8 (H=36)

Raiders vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)4 (-9.0)3 (-12.7)3 (-10.7)3 (-13.2)
1DeMarco Murray4712440221606.
1Derrick Henry18625000002.

Bilal Powell (FanDuel: $6400, DraftKings: $5000)

1@ BUF307220651703.
2PROJ-Dodds10440.24260.18.812.810.8 (H=19)12.8 (H=33)
2PROJ-Tremblay11570.24320.110.714.712.7 (H=25)14.7 (H=42)
2PROJ-Bloom8290.24220.16.910.98.9 (H=13)10.9 (H=25)

Matt Forte (FanDuel: $5600, DraftKings: $4200)

1@ BUF356160532003.
2PROJ-Dodds11400.23200.17.810.89.3 (H=16)10.8 (H=29)
2PROJ-Tremblay10420.23260.18.611.610.1 (H=19)11.6 (H=33)
2PROJ-Bloom8260.231805.68.67.1 (H=10)8.6 (H=19)

Raiders vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16 (-2.3)20 (+2.4)18 (+0.2)18 (+1.9)
1Rishard Matthews52957100007.112.19.612.1
1Corey Davis421066900006.912.99.912.9

Robby Anderson (FanDuel: $5100, DraftKings: $3400)

1@ BUF57842200002.
2PROJ-Dodds4480.20006108.0 (H=14)10.0 (H=31)
2PROJ-Tremblay4520.20006.410.48.4 (H=15)10.4 (H=33)
2PROJ-Bloom4330.20004.58.56.5 (H=10)8.5 (H=23)

Jermaine Kearse (FanDuel: $5400, DraftKings: $3900)

1@ BUF55975900005.912.99.412.9
2PROJ-Dodds4470.20005.99.97.9 (H=13)9.9 (H=27)
2PROJ-Tremblay4520.20006.410.48.4 (H=14)10.4 (H=29)
2PROJ-Bloom5430.30006.111.18.6 (H=15)11.1 (H=33)

ArDarius Stewart (FanDuel: $4800, DraftKings: $3200)

1@ BUF3852100000132.03.0
2PROJ-Dodds3320.20004.47.45.9 (H=9)7.4 (H=20)
2PROJ-Tremblay3420.20005.48.46.9 (H=11)8.4 (H=24)
2PROJ-Bloom2160.20002.84.83.8 (H=4)4.8 (H=9)

Charone Peake (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $3000)

1@ BUF10000000000.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
2PROJ-Tremblay000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
2PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Raiders vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)21 (+1.1)22 (+3.8)22 (+2.4)22 (+3.7)
1Delanie Walker53977607.614.611.114.6

Eric Tomlinson (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $2500)

1@ BUF13222502.
2PROJ-Dodds000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
2PROJ-Tremblay000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Raiders vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)21T (+3.0)21T (+3.0)22T (+4.0) (+0.0)
1Ryan Succop3411101012.00.0

Chandler Catanzaro (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $--)

1@ BUF2200669.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds1. (H=10)6.3
2PROJ-Tremblay1. (H=8)5.4

Raiders vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)6T (-5.4)6T (-5.4)4T (-6.6)4T (-6.6)
1Tennessee Titans2635920000222.02.0

New York Jets (FanDuel: $4000, DraftKings: $2000)

1@ BUF21.0040821000444.04.0
2PROJ-Dodds28.203821.90.70.500. (H=9)5.5 (H=19)
2PROJ-Tremblay28.503772.41.10.500. (H=14)6.9 (H=28)

Jets vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)25 (+4.2)25 (+4.2)25 (+4.9)23 (+4.0)
1Tyrod Taylor77162822421838022.022.019.819.8

Derek Carr (FanDuel: $8300, DraftKings: $7200)

1@ TEN6622322622022021.321.318.718.7
2PROJ-Dodds243627420.6270.122.422.422.4 (H=52)22.4 (H=60)
2PROJ-Tremblay23372642.11.1250212121.0 (H=47)21.0 (H=54)
2PROJ-Bloom202823620.6250.120.320.320.3 (H=44)20.3 (H=51)

Jets vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)26 (+10.3)26T (+11.6)26 (+11.1)27T (+14.1)
1LeSean McCoy542211006549015.920.918.423.9
1Mike Tolbert23124211112011.412.411.912.4

Marshawn Lynch (FanDuel: $7200, DraftKings: $6000)

1@ TEN3218760211609.210.29.710.2
2PROJ-Dodds19780.82130.114.516.515.5 (H=32)16.5 (H=42)
2PROJ-Tremblay18680.62160.112.614.613.6 (H=25)14.6 (H=34)
2PROJ-Bloom20911190.116.617.617.1 (H=37)17.6 (H=47)

DeAndre Washington (FanDuel: $4900, DraftKings: $4000)

1@ TEN16340221802.
2PROJ-Dodds4200.12130. (H=7)6.5 (H=12)
2PROJ-Tremblay3130.12160. (H=6)6.1 (H=11)
2PROJ-Bloom6290.12150. (H=10)7.6 (H=16)

Jalen Richard (FanDuel: $5300, DraftKings: $4000)

1@ TEN14522011602.
2PROJ-Dodds5220.111103.94.94.4 (H=4)4.9 (H=7)
2PROJ-Tremblay5220.11703.54.54.0 (H=4)4.5 (H=6)
2PROJ-Bloom6260.11703.94.94.4 (H=4)4.9 (H=7)

Jets vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)11 (-4.4)5 (-11.7)8 (-7.9)5 (-12.2)
1Andre Holmes3911110006.
1Jordan Matthews67326100006.

Amari Cooper (FanDuel: $7900, DraftKings: $8100)

1@ TEN6113562100012.217.214.717.2
2PROJ-Dodds6750.40009.915.912.9 (H=21)15.9 (H=29)
2PROJ-Tremblay5680.600010.415.412.9 (H=21)15.4 (H=28)
2PROJ-Bloom5770.800012.517.515.0 (H=27)17.5 (H=35)

Michael Crabtree (FanDuel: $7300, DraftKings: $7100)

1@ TEN48768300008.314.311.314.3
2PROJ-Dodds5670.50009.714.712.2 (H=20)14.7 (H=29)
2PROJ-Tremblay5700.5000101512.5 (H=21)15.0 (H=30)
2PROJ-Bloom5630.60009.914.912.4 (H=21)14.9 (H=30)

Seth Roberts (FanDuel: $5300, DraftKings: $3400)

1@ TEN55111910007.
2PROJ-Dodds2260.30004.46.45.4 (H=7)6.4 (H=14)
2PROJ-Tremblay2230.20003.55.54.5 (H=5)5.5 (H=11)
2PROJ-Bloom1120.10001.82.82.3 (H=1)2.8 (H=3)

Cordarrelle Patterson (FanDuel: $5000, DraftKings: $3000)

1@ TEN2211201500.
2PROJ-Dodds1150.10002.13.12.6 (H=2)3.1 (H=4)
2PROJ-Tremblay2210.21503.85.84.8 (H=6)5.8 (H=14)
2PROJ-Bloom1801501.32.31.8 (H=1)2.3 (H=2)

Jets vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)28 (+7.0)25 (+7.7)28 (+7.3)25 (+7.6)
1Charles Clay659453111.315.313.315.3

Jared Cook (FanDuel: $5100, DraftKings: $3300)

1@ TEN47555605.610.68.110.6
2PROJ-Dodds3340. (H=12)8.8 (H=26)
2PROJ-Tremblay4440.46.810.88.8 (H=16)10.8 (H=37)
2PROJ-Bloom4450.36.310.38.3 (H=15)10.3 (H=34)

Clive Walford (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $2500)

1@ TEN50000000.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds1100. (H=1)2.6 (H=4)
2PROJ-Tremblay000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)
2PROJ-Bloom000000.0 (H=0)0.0 (H=0)

Jets vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3T (-4.0)3T (-4.0)3T (-5.0) (+0.0)
1Steve Hauschka0133333.00.0

Giorgio Tavecchio (FanDuel: $4700, DraftKings: $--)

1@ TEN4422141419.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds1. (H=21)9.5
2PROJ-Tremblay2. (H=27)11.0

Jets vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16T (-2.4)16T (-2.4)20T (+0.4)20T (+0.4)
1Buffalo Bills1221412000559.09.0

Oakland Raiders (FanDuel: $5300, DraftKings: $3500)

1@ TEN16.0035010000112.02.0
2PROJ-Dodds15.903352.41.20.900.411.311.311.3 (H=25)11.3 (H=38)
2PROJ-Tremblay15.003572. (H=31)12.9 (H=47)