Matchup Analysis: Detroit Lions at New York Giants

Vegas Prediction

Vegas says: Lions 20, Giants 23

FBG Projections

TeamRushYardsTDCompAttPass YdTDINT

Detroit Lions Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Lions Offense35.0 (+14.8) (3)82 (-10) (16)285 (+64) (7)
Giants Defense19.0 (-1.2) (15)129 (+36) (26)263 (+42) (23)

New York Giants Offense: overview

Points (vs AVG) (rank)Rush Yards (vs AVG) (rank)Pass Yards (vs AVG) (rank)
Giants Offense3.0 (-17.2) (28)35 (-57) (30)198 (-22) (17)
Lions Defense23.0 (+2.8) (21)45 (-47) (6)264 (+43) (24)

Lions Rushing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Giants defense.

In what was a tough matchup against the Cardinals, the Lions running backs predictably struggled last week as they averaged only 2.3 yards per attempt for 51 combined rushing yards. Ameer Abdullah led the team in carries with 15, while Dwayne Washington spelled Abdullah on 14 snaps with six carries. Theo Riddick was of course involved primarily on passing downs. Left tackle Greg Robinson and the rest of the Lions left side really struggled in tough matchups against Corey Peters and Chandler Jones.

The Giants struggled against the run last week, but that was to be expected when facing the Cowboys elite offensive line and one of the best running backs in the league. Things do not get much better for the Lions offensive line this week, as they will be facing one of the top defensive lines in football with a pair of the best defensive ends in football. The Giants have great run stoppers at every level of their defense Dalvin Tomlinson, Damon Harrison and Jason Pierre Paul on the defensive line, B.J. Goodson at linebacker and Landon Collins at safety.

Lions Passing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Giants defense.

Matthew Stafford led the Lions offense with 292 passing yards and four touchdowns (with one interception) in their Week 1 victory over the Cardinals. Stafford looked sharp in the season debut, particularly in the fourth quarter as he completed nearly 90% of his passes for 122 yards and two touchdowns. Golden Tate was Staffordís favorite target, leading the team with 10 receptions for 107 yards. Tate failed to find the end zone though, with two touchdowns going to rookie Kenny Golladay in his NFL debut. Marvin Jones found the end zone once despite being covered up by Patrick Peterson for most of the day, while Theo Riddick hauled in six receptions with a receiving touchdown out of the Lions backfield.

The Lions will match up against a talented Giants secondary that did an excellent job in shutting down Cowboys receivers in Week 1. Janoris Jenkins held Dez Bryant to only two receptions on seven targets for 43 yards, with 35 of those yards coming from a single missed tackle. Safety Landon Collins also looked on top of his game as he shut down every receiver he covered, allowing only one catch. Matthew Stafford should expect to be under constant pressure against this talented Giants pass rush while Marvin Jones should draw the majority of coverage from Jenkins. Both Golladay and Tate will also draw difficult matchups here against this top notch Giants secondary.

Giants Rushing offense

Neutral matchup vs. the Lions defense.

The Giants rushing offense was, as expected, non-existent in Week 1 against the Cowboys. With only 12 rush attempts to 38 pass attempts, the Giants struggled to move the ball on the ground behind relatively poor offensive line play, especially on the edges. Paul Perkins led the team in carries with seven for only 16 yards, while Orleans Darkwa chipped in with three runs for 14 yards. Perkins played the majority of snaps in the first half until the Giants had to completely abandon the run, yielding to Shane Vereen since virtually every play became a passing down. Paul Perkins is the lead rushing back in this offense and is expected to contribute on first/second downs.

The Lions defense looked very sharp against the run last week against the Cardinals. The big story from that game was David Johnsonís injury, but in over two-quarters of play leading up to the injury, the Lions actually held Johnson to only 23 rushing yards on 11 carries while forcing two fumbles. This is a very small samples size though, as the Lions defensive line still has a lot to prove based on their mediocre performance last season. The Giants are favored at home, which could imply a more favorable game script for establishing some resemblance of a rushing game.

Giants Passing offense

Tough matchup vs. the Lions defense.

Eli Manning played very poorly without Odell Beckham Jr last week against the Cowboys. Manning finished with only 217 passing yards and one interception despite his 37 pass attempts. The Giants receivers often struggled to find space, forcing Manning to find Shane Vereen as a check-down option nine times. Manning also faced very consistent pressure as his offensive tackles struggled to defend against a strong Cowboys pass rush. Brandon Marshall was invisible until a garbage time 10-yard reception on the Giants final possession. Sterling Shepard had a much better game with eight targets for seven receptions and 44 yards.

The Lions defense played very well against the pass last week, holding Carson Palmer to only 5.6 yards per attempt while forcing three interceptions. The pass rush was very consistent, with Palmer under pressure on nearly every play. Second-year defensive end Anthony Zettel was a big part of this success, terrorizing Carson Palmer for most of this game despite only securing one sack to show for it. The Lions secondary also looked solid as they are led by elite cornerback Darius Slay. The secondary defended a league-leading 11 passes while picking off three, one of which was returned for a touchdown by backup safety Miles Killebrew. The return of Beckham this week will be much needed as the Giants will be up against a tough test.

Giants vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)18 (+2.0)18 (+2.0)18 (+2.2)17 (+1.3)
1Dak Prescott74243926810324019.819.817.117.1

Matthew Stafford (FanDuel: $7900, DraftKings: $--)

1vs ARI712941292412140313128.128.1
2PROJ-Dodds25382741.51290. (H=46)20.2
2PROJ-Tremblay24362471.51.1280.118.618.618.6 (H=40)18.6
2PROJ-Bloom27372491.912110.120.720.720.7 (H=48)20.7

Giants vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)12 (-3.4)13 (-4.1)12T (-3.6)18 (-1.6)
1Ezekiel Elliott602410405536014.019.016.522.0
1Alfred Morris841000000.

Ameer Abdullah (FanDuel: $6000, DraftKings: $--)

1vs ARI3615300431104.
2PROJ-Dodds12480.33180.191210.5 (H=19)12.0
2PROJ-Tremblay13450.33210.191210.5 (H=19)12.0
2PROJ-Bloom12390.23140. (H=13)10.1

Theo Riddick (FanDuel: $6000, DraftKings: $--)

1vs ARI211-10762718.614.611.614.6
2PROJ-Dodds2704340. (H=10)9.3
2PROJ-Tremblay1405350. (H=11)10.1
2PROJ-Bloom1305290.35107.5 (H=10)10.0

Dwayne Washington (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $--)

1vs ARI14622000002.
2PROJ-Dodds6180.1160343.5 (H=3)4.0
2PROJ-Tremblay5160.10002.22.22.2 (H=1)2.2
2PROJ-Bloom7250.30004.34.34.3 (H=5)4.3

Giants vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)18 (-1.4)16 (-0.7)16T (-0.9)16 (-1.2)
1Terrance Williams38766800006.812.89.812.8
1Dez Bryant67924300004.

Golden Tate (FanDuel: $7400, DraftKings: $--)

1vs ARI631210107027011.421.416.424.4
2PROJ-Dodds5620.31408.413.410.9 (H=16)13.4
2PROJ-Tremblay5620.321109.114.111.6 (H=18)14.1
2PROJ-Bloom7610.40008.515.512.0 (H=19)15.5

Marvin Jones (FanDuel: $5800, DraftKings: $--)

1vs ARI68223710009.711.710.711.7
2PROJ-Dodds4460.30006.410.48.4 (H=13)10.4
2PROJ-Tremblay3420.20005.48.46.9 (H=9)8.4
2PROJ-Bloom4530.40007.711.79.7 (H=17)11.7

Kenny Golladay (FanDuel: $5700, DraftKings: $--)

1vs ARI447469200018.922.920.922.9
2PROJ-Dodds3430.30006.19.17.6 (H=11)9.1
2PROJ-Tremblay3420.3000697.5 (H=11)9.0
2PROJ-Bloom4520.50008.212.210.2 (H=19)12.2

T.J. Jones (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $--)

1vs ARI19423200003.
2PROJ-Dodds1170.10002.33.32.8 (H=2)3.3
2PROJ-Tremblay2270.10003.35.34.3 (H=5)5.3
2PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0

Giants vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)26T (+5.4)26T (+8.1)26T (+6.7)26T (+8.0)
1Jason Witten749759111.918.915.418.9

Eric Ebron (FanDuel: $5300, DraftKings: $--)

1vs ARI5132900.
2PROJ-Dodds3380.2586.5 (H=9)8.0
2PROJ-Tremblay2180.2354.0 (H=4)5.0
2PROJ-Bloom4400. (H=11)9.2

Giants vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)27T (+6.0)27T (+6.0)28 (+7.0) (+0.0)
1Dan Bailey4411131315.00.0

Matt Prater (FanDuel: $4800, DraftKings: $--)

1vs ARI1122557.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds1.721.92778.2 (H=15)8.2
2PROJ-Tremblay1. (H=13)7.3

Giants vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)16T (-2.4)16T (-2.4)22T (+3.4)22T (+3.4)
1Dallas Cowboys3233310005512.012.0

Detroit Lions (FanDuel: $4200, DraftKings: $--)

1vs ARI23.0030913101151516.016.0
2PROJ-Dodds23.703552.110.600. (H=15)7.4
2PROJ-Tremblay22.503462.51.20.700. (H=23)9.4

Lions vs QB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)11T (-3.2)11T (-3.2)12 (-2.9)11 (-3.8)
1Carson Palmer7527482691312014.714.712.012.0

Eli Manning (FanDuel: $7200, DraftKings: $--)

1@ DAL562938220011-
2PROJ-Dodds26372661.6112018.918.918.9 (H=45)18.9
2PROJ-Tremblay25382531.71.221018.418.418.4 (H=43)18.4
2PROJ-Bloom22382161.50.900015.915.915.9 (H=33)15.9

Lions vs RB

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)22 (+2.3)24 (+5.6)22 (+2.1)22T (+4.1)
1David Johnson4611230966809.
1Kerwynn Williams9510111207.

Paul Perkins (FanDuel: $6100, DraftKings: $--)

1@ DAL17716032902.
2PROJ-Dodds12530.321208.310.39.3 (H=15)10.3
2PROJ-Tremblay10410.22150. (H=13)9.4
2PROJ-Bloom12420.32100798.0 (H=12)9.0

Shane Vereen (FanDuel: $4800, DraftKings: $--)

1@ DAL310001095105.114.19.614.1
2PROJ-Dodds3130.14300. (H=15)10.1
2PROJ-Tremblay0006440.25.611.68.6 (H=17)11.6
2PROJ-Bloom270.14250. (H=10)8.4

Orleans Darkwa (FanDuel: $5000, DraftKings: $--)

1@ DAL8314011-
2PROJ-Dodds8300.31605.46.45.9 (H=8)6.4
2PROJ-Tremblay10400.41807.28.27.7 (H=13)8.2
2PROJ-Bloom3110.10001.71.71.7 (H=1)1.7

Lions vs WR

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)22 (+3.2)23 (+6.9)23 (+5.2)22 (+6.4)
1J.J. Nelson306543100010.315.312.815.3
1Larry Fitzgerald741367400007.413.410.413.4

Odell Beckham Jr (FanDuel: $8600, DraftKings: $--)

2PROJ-Dodds5630.40008.713.711.2 (H=15)13.7
2PROJ-Tremblay5680.50009.814.812.3 (H=17)14.8
2PROJ-Bloom4570.50008.712.710.7 (H=14)12.7

Brandon Marshall (FanDuel: $7000, DraftKings: $--)

1@ DAL4841100000121.52.0
2PROJ-Dodds5520.30007129.5 (H=14)12.0
2PROJ-Tremblay2270.20003.95.94.9 (H=4)5.9
2PROJ-Bloom3320.3000586.5 (H=7)8.0

Sterling Shepard (FanDuel: $6000, DraftKings: $--)

1@ DAL56874401605128.512.0
2PROJ-Dodds4400.21505.79.77.7 (H=11)9.7
2PROJ-Tremblay3340.321106.39.37.8 (H=11)9.3
2PROJ-Bloom5390.30005.710.78.2 (H=12)10.7

Roger Lewis (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $--)

1@ DAL43645400005.
2PROJ-Dodds1120.10001.82.82.3 (H=1)2.8
2PROJ-Tremblay1140.1000232.5 (H=2)3.0
2PROJ-Bloom000000000.0 (H=0)0.0

Lions vs TE

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)3 (-5.0)7 (-6.3)7 (-5.7)7 (-6.4)
1Jermaine Gresham55431501.

Evan Engram (FanDuel: $5000, DraftKings: $--)

1@ DAL48544404.
2PROJ-Dodds3320.3586.5 (H=10)8.0
2PROJ-Tremblay3320.3586.5 (H=10)8.0
2PROJ-Bloom4430. (H=14)10.1

Rhett Ellison (FanDuel: $4500, DraftKings: $--)

1@ DAL1911900.
2PROJ-Dodds1900.91.91.4 (H=0)1.9
2PROJ-Tremblay1110. (H=1)2.7

Lions vs PK

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)10T (-2.0)10T (-2.0)10T (-3.0) (+0.0)
1Phil Dawson1222555.00.0

Aldrick Rosas (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $--)

1@ DAL1100333.00.0
2PROJ-Dodds1. (H=15)8.0
2PROJ-Tremblay1. (H=17)8.5

Lions vs TD

Season FPPG allowed rank (vs AVG)23 (+1.6)23 (+1.6)18T (-0.6)18T (-0.6)
1Arizona Cardinals3536711001998.08.0

New York Giants (FanDuel: $4600, DraftKings: $--)

1@ DAL19.0039210000112.02.0
2PROJ-Dodds19.803522.310.700. (H=20)9.3
2PROJ-Tremblay19.503312.31.10.800.510.310.310.3 (H=24)10.3