In the last column, I wrote that daring to win big means one has to risk big. By the time I finished the article, I realized that the strategy and counter punches I outlined would help a fantasy owner build a competitive team, but there weren't enough risks taken to achieve legendary status.
I'm not just talking about winning a fantasy league. I'm talking about dominating it by earning what is considered The Triple Crown of most leagues: championship, best record, and most points scored. That's a great season, but it's still a step away from being a legend in your league.
That next step is doing something so ballsy that your competition tells the story with reverence for years to come. I came close twice. Most recently, was my first season at this site in 2009 when I went 13-0 in Footballguys' Staff IDP league, scoring the most points this league has ever seen during a regular season. However, I lost in the playoffs to eventual champ Aaron Rudnicki and it cost me a shot at going undefeated in my first competition with my peers. That might have qualified as legendary.
The other came in 2000 in my first league. I was the first team to ever win the Triple Crown after drafting rookie Edgerrin James in the first round of a 12-team draft. It was talked about for 10 years. At the time, taking James that early was a risky move. In hindsight it was a great season, but not a legendary one.
So it's time to up the ante, dare to be great, and [insert any other useless cliché about striving for excellence that I often hear corporatized human beings say that makes me want to show them my Joe Frazier] take a risk of epic proportions. If you pull it off, your competition will make it an annual story of draft lore. If you don't, it might take 10 years for your opponents to transition from ridicule to reverence for your guts for trying it. I'm calling it "The Evel Knievel."
I think this strategy can be pulled off in a PPR or non-PPR draft that starts 2-3 running backs, 3-4 receivers, and 1-2 tight ends. However, you're going to have to be willing to work at building your team after the draft. If you approach fantasy football with the mindset that you do all your work up front to build a team and then play it out after the draft then this strategy is not for you.
I think this mentality is a big reason why so many fantasy owners don't consistently make the playoffs in competitive leagues. The draft is your "initial draft" of a team. Your job throughout the season is to continue refining it until you have a polished product. Owners that have this mentality compete deep into the postseason. I can't think of one team I've had in the past seven years in competitive leagues where I drafted the team, kicked back, and watched it dominate. Even with great drafts, I made moves that benefited my season.
The Evel Knievel will force you to be an active owner beyond setting your lineup. If you see the opportunity that exists within the philosophy of this strategy, it could be a great match for your talents. Otherwise its appeal will be limited to a drunken parlor trick.
Crazy Stunt or Savvy Strategy?
It might seem like a crazy stunt for many fantasy owners because the approach goes to extremes that most fantasy owners don't want to consider. The reason is human nature. People want the easiest path to success. The odds of the Evel Knievel being the easiest path are small.
The possible outcomes of the Evel Knievel reminds me of what college coaching legend Woody Hayes' said about his rushing offense, "Three things can happen when you pass and two of them are bad." Of course, you could say the same thing about air travel a century ago. Still, it's important to know the possible outcomes of a plan:
- You hit on your late picks, acquire insane depth with your early picks, and compete for every possible prize your fantasy league offers.
- You miss on your late picks, but acquire insane depth to trade for serviceable starters that helps you contend for a championship.
- You crash into the proverbial Snake River, shatter your ego and pride, and require months – perhaps years – of to rehab your psyche. The recovery process will make Greg Childs' dual patellar tendon tears look like a calf bruise.
Two of these outcomes will require a lot of in-season work to create a champion. The Evel Knievel is for those with the mentality of ice road truckers, fishermen of Alaskan king crab, oilrig workers, radio tower climbers, or Jene Bramel. Forget Jack Youngblood. He merely played with a broken leg? Bramel once talked shop on the Thursday Night Audible while passing a kidney stone.
Legendary.
If you don't like bad weather, you're scared of the open water, don't like getting your hands dirty, afraid of heights, or afraid enduring a little pain, don't go any further. If you have the frontier spirit, enjoy risk, can sell ice to an Eskimo, or the Dos Equis' Most Interesting Man in the World is less appealing than Ben Stein when you walk into the room, the Evel Knievel is for you. Of course, if you know you have these qualities, you're not likely reading this piece. However, many of you have it in you and you're just not willing to take it out for a spin.
Here's your chance.
A High-Risk Complement for the Wheeler-Dealer
If you're skilled at pulling off trades, this strategy has excellent potential because you'll be stockpiling depth at key positions that you should be able to turn into players you want. Dominating your draft doesn't mean you'll dominate your league. It just gives you the tools to do so. If your best skill is wheeling and dealing, then draft a team where you can build to your strength.
Think about it. Why try to get good players at every position? Quality kickers and defenses can be had on most waiver wires and they are two positions that don't need to be selected until the end of the draft. In my experience running back and quarterback are the two positions in the greatest demand. Because of the nature of the position and structure of fantasy leagues, stockpiling tried-and-true running back talent is the most difficult approach.
Wide receiver tends to be the easiest currency for exchange in fantasy trades. Quarterback and tight end are next on that list but it will likely take a receiver paired with either of these players to grease the wheels of a deal in exchange for a top runner. The Evel Knievel is designed to make that job easier.
The purpose is to stockpile 2-3 of these non-running backs positions in the early and middle rounds and waiting until the late rounds on running backs. If you hit on some late-round runners, you'll have the makings of a dominant team. If you don't, you should have the depth to trade for backs that will make your starting lineup a contender.
Trade Advice
If I were to "go Evel" on my opponents, I would most likely approach trades from the perspective of placing my name brand studs at receiver or quarterback on the trading block. I wouldn't limit the terms to a name brand stud at running back. In fact, I'd be open to listening to deals for multiple players in exchange for my one player. If you go this route, you have to be sure that you're not accepting a bunch of glittery fantasy trash in exchange for your treasured piece of the puzzle.
Opt for players that are earning significant time to play and will do so for the foreseeable future, barring injury. This means it's okay to make a deal for Jonathan Dwyer and a mediocre performing Reggie Wayne early in the season in exchange for one of your name-brand studs if Dwyer is named the starter and no other Steelers back is in his way to fantasy glory six weeks from now (as long as Dwyer performs to expectation). If Dwyer works and Wayne falters, you still have depth at wide receiver to call this deal a success. If Dwyer falters and Wayne rebounds, then you have more depth at receiver to make another deal.
On the other hand, if Ahmad Bradshaw breaks his wrist and is out for the year and David Wilson has a strained hamstring that has him on the bench for two weeks, taking Da'Rel Scott as part of package deal with Reggie Wayne is most likely glittery fantasy trash. Scott glitters because he has a noticeable skill or talent like blazing speed. You'll hear a respected analyst like Cecil Lammey talking about his talents and you could be prone to focusing on the talent and possibilities than the likely shelf life of that player. If Wilson is due to return to the field, Scott will be in the fantasy waste bin after his fantasy appeal rots in short order.
These are the risks you have to consider when you want to be ahead of the curve.
Here are three drafts using the Evel Knievel approach and what kind of talent is available to stockpile. These teams are based on ADP values from Fantasy Football Calculator during the first week of August.
The overall trend here is that you're drafting players with flash at wide receiver because of big-play ability in passing offenses and then backing them up with substantive middle and late-round pass catchers that can either take the starting role or serve as attractive throw-ins with deals. The same is true of the late-round backs. All are talent, all are a step away from significant time, and at least half of them will see enough time to earn fantasy points most weeks. These picks afford you flexibility to compete while entertaining offers for your stockpiled positions.
Evel Knievel Draft A From the 12th Spot
Rnd |
Pick |
Pos |
Player |
Commentary |
1.12 |
12 |
TE |
Jimmy Graham |
Finding a worthwhile starter at tight end late in the
draft is relatively easy, so stockpiling two stud tight ends can be
beneficial even in non-PPR leagues. |
2.01 |
13 |
WR |
A.J. Green |
Green has a ton of trade appeal. He'll be an easy player
to begin negotiations for a running back. If Cruz, Lloyd, and any of the
big-play options stockpiled later work out, you won't miss him as much as you
might think. |
3.12 |
36 |
WR |
Victor Cruz |
Big-play receivers attract the eye of fantasy owners in
search of a deal. In a sense, you're shark fish and you need to chum the
waters. |
4.01 |
37 |
WR |
Brandon Lloyd |
Another flashy player capable of helping your team
dominate due to his upside or dangle as trade bait. |
5.12 |
60 |
TE |
Aaron Hernandez |
Graham will probably have more trade appeal, but
Hernandez might have more upside. Multiple options to wheel and deal allows
you to be happy with whichever tight end you keep. |
6.01 |
61 |
WR |
Reggie Wayne |
A classic example of a player that most owners will treat
on draft day as a player that has lost his skills, but really only lost a
quarterback. Now that he has one, he'll be a big reason you can deal one of
the three receivers listed above. |
7.12 |
84 |
WR |
Randy Moss |
Moss is a risky version of Wayne. I can see how Titus
Young might have more appeal as a player that could outplay his draft status
and serve as depth if or when you deal away one of your top receivers for a
quality back. |
8.01 |
86 |
QB |
Robert Griffin |
I think this position of the draft makes it
easier to stockpile tight end and receiver, although you could opt for
quarterback over tight end and take Aaron Rodgers in the first round and opt
for Peyton Manning or Tony Romo in the fifth. If that's the case, taking
Griffin or Luck somewhere between rounds 8-12 will give you great depth at the position and leverage to make a deal. |
9.12 |
108 |
WR |
Greg Little |
Ability and upside make him my favorite receiver at this
area of the draft. |
10.01 |
109 |
WR |
Randle Cobb |
Cobb is just an injury away from becoming a starter on an
elite offense. He'll probably see enough time with the starters to make him a
borderline WR3 in many leagues. |
11.12 |
132 |
QB |
Andrew Luck |
In this situation, Luck is necessary depth with Griffin,
but if I stockpiled QBs instead of tight ends, he'd be my fourth quarterback.
Imagine what you could get for Aaron Rodgers and Tony Romo while keeping a
better-than-expected rookie like Luck? |
12.01 |
133 |
RB |
Isaiah Pead |
Jeff Fisher + running back = fantasy value. If Steven
Jackson gets hurt, Pead is an RB2. |
13.12 |
156 |
WR |
Mario Manningham |
Or Austin Collie. |
14.01 |
157 |
RB |
Shane Vereen |
Still competing for the top spot in New England. He'll
see more opportunities this year. Good play will dictate the day here. |
15.12 |
180 |
RB |
Bilal Powell |
If his value continues to rise, I anticipate drafting
Powell somewhere between rounds 8-12. |
16.01 |
181 |
TE |
Dallas Clark |
Clark, Kellen Davis, Dwayne Allen, or best yet, James
Casey all work here. I like Clark the most and think he has the situation to
see starter upside. |
17.12 |
204 |
WR |
Steve Smith |
Potential steal as the common sense starter outside for
Sam Bradford if healthy enough. |
18.01 |
205 |
K |
Best player available. |
|
19.12 |
228 |
DEF |
See above. |
|
20.01 |
229 |
RB |
James Casey |
If considered an RB in PPR league, he'll could surprise
as an all-around weapon and be a surprise, stopgap option. If he's considered
a TE, all the better. |
Evel Knievel Draft B From the 6th Spot
Rnd |
Pick |
Pos |
Player |
Commentary |
1.06 |
6 |
QB |
Tom Brady |
Here's another good place to stockpile quarterbacks.
Although it seems like every other year Sigmund Bloom is saying that Brady
could have a record season, I agree with him. The potential has been
there. |
2.07 |
19 |
QB |
Cam Newton |
Regression to the mean? Rookie luck? Sophomore slump?
Knock yourself out. I'm taking him. Trade one or both and you'll get a
top-dollar player. |
3.06 |
30 |
WR |
A.J. Green |
Flashy receivers always interest people. |
4.07 |
43 |
WR |
Brandon Lloyd |
See above. |
5.06 |
54 |
TE |
Aaron Hernandez |
See above. |
6.07 |
67 |
WR |
Reggie Wayne |
I have little doubt Wayne will at least be a WR3 this
year. |
7.06 |
78 |
WR |
Randy Moss |
Moss or Titus Young for the reasons I stated in the last
strategy table. |
8.07 |
91 |
QB |
Robert Griffin |
You will get good returns on two of these quarterbacks if
they are healthy. Trade Newton for a stud RB and still have a surplus at the
position. |
9.06 |
102 |
WR |
Randall Cobb |
Cobb also gives you an up-and-coming talent to throw-in
if you need a little extra to grease the wheels of a deal. |
10.07 |
115 |
RB |
Jacquizz Rodgers |
Rodgers will see enough time that he'll be serviceable
while trying to add a better starter. If Turner gets hurt, you're good to
go. |
11.06 |
126 |
RB |
Rashad Jennings |
Not as good as the scenario above but apply Maurice
Jones-Drew and the Jaguars to the scenario and its worth an investment. |
12.07 |
139 |
RB |
Isaiah Pead |
See above. |
13.06 |
150 |
WR |
Doug Baldwin |
Danny Amendola is also a sensible pick, but I think
Baldwin is more dynamic. Also an up-and-coming throw-in with a deal or a guy
that could start if needed. |
14.07 |
163 |
RB |
Bilal Powell |
You know I believe in him as the best talent in the Jets
backfield. |
15.06 |
174 |
RB |
Alex Green |
Upside play and like these other RBs, good throw-ins when
making deals for more established backs. |
15.07 |
187 |
TE |
Dallas Clark |
If Clark hits, great. If not, easy a player to drop. |
17.06 |
198 |
WR |
Steve Smith (STL) |
Another common sense pick with little investment and easy
to drop. |
18.07 |
211 |
K |
Best player available. |
|
19.06 |
222 |
DEF |
See above. |
|
20.07 |
235 |
RB |
Bryce Brown |
Swing for the fences. Insert Alex Green or another back
of your choice. |
Evel Knievel Draft C From the 2nd Spot
Rnd |
Pick |
Pos |
Player |
Commentary |
1.02 |
2 |
QB |
Aaron Rodgers |
Rodgers becomes that ultimate player to dangle as trade
bait if you pick a consistent starter with upside at the position later
on. |
2.11 |
23 |
WR |
Greg Jennings |
If gone, Andre Johnson or Brandon Marshall works here,
too. Again, big-play, high-reception weapons bring all the deals to the inbox. |
3.02 |
26 |
WR |
A.J. Green |
See a pattern? |
4.11 |
47 |
WR |
Brandon Lloyd |
You better see a pattern. |
5.02 |
50 |
TE |
Antonio Gates |
I think Gates is a value here. That's saying a lot this
early. |
6.11 |
71 |
WR |
Reggie Wayne |
Getting a WR3 as your WR4. Perfect stockpiling
target. |
7.02 |
74 |
QB |
Matt Ryan |
The new Falcons offense gives him higher upside if they
execute it. I have my doubts, but not enough to look Ryan as a safe reach a
round or two early so I can stockpile talent at the position. |
8.11 |
95 |
QB |
Ben Roethlisberger |
I can see the logic of opting for a receiver here if
Robert Griffin doesn't fall this far. But Todd Haley does good things with
his passing game and I think the Steelers have the material to make
Roethlisberger worthwhile in this strategy. |
9.02 |
98 |
WR |
Randall Cobb |
Future starter or up-and-coming trade bait. |
10.11 |
119 |
RB |
Jacquizz Rodgers |
He can start for you in a pinch while you're looking for
a deal. |
11.02 |
122 |
RB |
Daniel Thomas |
See above. |
12.11 |
143 |
RB |
Pierre Thomas |
See above. |
13.02 |
146 |
WR |
Doug Baldwin |
Value. |
14.11 |
167 |
RB |
Bilal Powell |
Reminded me a little of Terrell Davis when I watched him
at Louisville. |
15.02 |
170 |
RB |
Alex Green |
Reminded me of Jamal Anderson when I watched him at
Hawaii. |
16.11 |
191 |
TE |
Dallas Clark |
Clark, Kellen Davis, Dwayne Allen, or best yet, James
Casey all work here. |
17.02 |
194 |
RB |
Jonathan Dwyer |
Potential steal as the common sense starter outside for
Sam Bradford if healthy enough. James Casey and his RB/TE flexibility also good here. |
18.11 |
225 |
K |
Best player available. |
|
19.02 |
228 |
DEF |
See above. |
|
20.11 |
249 |
RB |
Bryce Brown |
Would have been the No.2-No.3 rookie RB in this draft if
he played three years and performed like he did as a freshman. |
As always, feel free to provide comments or suggestions to waldman@footballguys.com.

