Overvalued TEsRead the introduction to this series if you haven't yet.
|Jacob Tamme - DEN ADP: 115 overall, TE 11||5 votes|
Dave Larkin - Jacob Tamme has been receiving some positive press lately in the wake of the Peyton Manning move. It is sensible enough to project that Tamme will be the primary target at the tight end position for Manning. After all, he has an existing relationship with Tamme, who produced 67 receptions in 2010 in Indianapolis. The fact remains, however, that Tamme is merely an average player. While he will be the target of check down style passes, I don't see him stretching the field. His hands are, at times, uncoordinated with his body, resulting in dropped passes. The Manning factor may be enough to make him a tight end worth stashing away, but in the end I believe the production will be too inconsistent and difficult to predict.
Marc Levin - I can see the argument in favor of Jacob Tamme at this spot. I just don't buy it. "Peyton Manning has always used his tight end," proponents will argue. Yes, and he had a top-notch talent named Dallas Clark at tight end and a top-notch pass blocking offensive line in front of him when he did it. Denver currently has neither. Do I believe Manning will drastically improve the 58 targets and 27 catches Denver tight ends had in 2011? Yes. But, counting on Manning creating a top-12 tight end on this particular team is a stretch. There are other tight ends drafted later with just as much, or more, upside -- namely Jared Cook, Jermaine Gresham, and Owen Daniels a round or two later.
Aaron Rudnicki - The Broncos signed Tamme to provide a security blanket for Peyton Manning in his new surroundings. While he will most likely make a very solid TE2, I think there are several players being drafted after him that have more upside at a lower cost.
Mark Wimer - Jacob Tamme has history with Peyton Manning, and he may prove to be the top tight end for the Broncos this year. However, there is a learning curve for all involved up there in Denver, and I'm not sure that Tamme is going to win the top job over Julius Thomas and Joel Dreesen. Until I get a clearer picture of how the depth chart at tight end is shaking out up in Denver, I'm not rolling the dice on Tamme at his current top-12 average draft position among tight ends.
|Jermichael Finley - GB ADP: 68 overall, TE 7||3 votes|
Jeff Tefertiller - Jermichael Finley has consistently underperformed during his brief NFL career. Finley has battled maturity issues and struggled with dropped passes. With the Packers having so many talented receivers, it will be difficult for the athletic tight end to live up to his TE6 draft status in the sixth round. Why not wait a few rounds and select Tony Gonzalez or Fred Davis? It would be different if Finley has enjoyed a solid season or two like those drafted rounds after Finley. Aaron Rodgers spreads the ball around enough that Finley will not see enough pass targets to warrant his ADP.
Mark Wimer - Finley dropped a lot of passes late in the year for Green Bay, and he seemed to lose Aaron Rodgers confidence/trust as a result of his poor hands during the run into the playoffs. The team gave him what amounts to a one-year, prove-it type of contract in the offseason - hardly a big vote of confidence. I'm passing on Finley in my fantasy drafts this year.
|Martellus Bennett - NYG ADP: 197 overall, TE 19||2 votes|
Jason Wood - Is it possible to rate a 19th ranked tight end overvalue? Yes, when that player is Martellus Bennett. He's been the definition of unrealized potential thus far in his career, and if reports from OTAs are any indication, he showed up to New York overweight and out of shape. How someone can show up to a new team, where they have a legitimate chance to earn a starting role, and lack the drive to be in shape is beyond me. But it's enough to assure i won't draft Bennett as my fantasy backup. You shouldn't either.
|Fred Davis - WAS ADP: 86 overall, TE 8||2 votes|
Maurile Tremblay - I expect the Redskins to throw more to their wide receivers this year, which will mean correspondingly fewer targets for Fred Davis. Unless and until the Redskins release Chris Cooley, I also worry about Cooley eating into Davis' targets.
|Vernon Davis - SF ADP: 64 overall, TE 5||2 votes|
Marc Levin - The issue with drafting Davis at his current ADP is not whether he might be able to match his 2011 numbers. Instead, it is that there has been a "rising of the waters" at the position. He can be counted on for around 70 catches, a little less than 1,000 yards, and 7, maybe 8, touchdowns. However, that is not going to be enough to distinguish him from the tight ends drafted a few rounds later. And, unfortunately for those hoping to land Davis as their starting tight end , he is likely to be selected at the top of that tight end tier. If you can get similar production from a tight end selected two rounds later, Davis becomes an overvalued player.
|Antonio Gates - SD ADP: 56 overall, TE 3||2 votes|
Mark Wimer - Antonio Gates is reportedly back to 100% healthy despite his chronic foot problems, but I'm not willing to expend a top pick to get a guy who has only managed to play (mostly part-time) in 23 of the last 32 games for San Diego. He's too risky for my taste at 32 years old.
|Tony Gonzalez - ATL ADP: 98 overall, TE 10||2 votes|
Jeff Pasquino - Tony Gonzalez is getting older and older faster and faster. Was he productive last year? Yes, but it was on well over 100 targets and Gonzalez has next to nothing after the catch any longer. It has been four years since Gonzalez was able to top 11 yard per receptions and the Falcons are more interested in getting the ball in the hands of Julio Jones and Roddy White. Gonzalez is going to slow down more and more, which means that he could be next to nonexistent in December this year, which will not help any fantasy teams come playoff time. Look for a better tight end value, either earlier in the draft or later for a guy with more upside.
|Jared Cook - TEN ADP: 123 overall, TE 13||1 vote|
|Rob Gronkowski - NE ADP: 14 overall, TE 1||1 vote|
|Brandon Pettigrew - DET ADP: 87 overall, TE 9||1 vote|
|Jason Witten - DAL ADP: 67 overall, TE 6||1 vote|