The diversity of leagues is one aspect that makes fantasy football so much fun. Some people like the larger leagues, while some like the smaller ones. The values of players vary widely with the differences in scoring and starting lineup. It is not a wise move to use standard draft strategies in the non-standard leagues. This is especially true with league which require two quarterbacks in the starting lineup. An entirely different strategy is essential in order to make the most of the draft. This article will look at ten team leagues, starting two quarterbacks, and utilizing PPR scoring. We will examine strategies especially designed for these leagues in order to best attack the draft and get the most from the roster. These will help you form a new strategy for your league.
Down to basics, what are the differences I should know about the 2QB leagues?
The biggest question is how to value quarterbacks in comparison to other positions. In leagues which start two passers, even the most average quarterbacks are worth as much as good running backs and receivers. It is difficult to balance gaining studs at other positions while still addressing quarterback. As a general rule, it is best to only draft elite players at running back or wide receiver over starting quarterbacks. So, this means you should only take the top four or five running backs (Arian Foster, Chris Johnson, LeSean McCoy, or Ray Rice) or the top three wideouts (Andre Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, Julio Jones, and Calvin Johnson) over the quarterback position in the first three rounds. The VBD values will suggest that the passers carry this type of value.
How do I know which quarterbacks to select? The main increase in value is with the players from QB10 to QB25. The top quarterbacks retain good value in all leagues, but it is the ones ranked lower that need the extra analysis. The players in this range (QB10-QB25) are ranked lower because there is a question about talent, certainty of situation, potential lack of upside, or just lack of proven production. Fantasy owners usually struggle with differentiating between the less than stellar options. Less than two projected points per game separates QB12 (Ben Roethlisberger) from QB20 (Joe Flacco). With so many alternatives, the priority should be on seeking value. While it sounds simplistic, select the players who are the most talented. Next, do not spend a pick before the seventh or eighth round on a player whose job is not secure. Since every team in your league starts two players at the position, finding options with upside and proven production is the key to gaining value.
How does the quarterback scarcity impact the early rounds? There will be quarterback runs. In leagues which start two at the position, owners will see the runs coming and will be desperate not to be left behind. This is all driven by positional scarcity. For this reason, it is best to take a stud quarterback, or two, early just to stay ahead of the curve. The mad rush for passers will push quality players at other positions down the draft.
When we look at the VBD (Value Based Drafting) application, we quickly realize how valued the quarterbacks are when compared to the other positions. The VBD accounts for positional scarcity and available options at other positions using the Footballguys.com projections. It is amazing that in the first 36 players listed in terms of value, ten are quarterbacks, just one is a wide receiver, twenty-three running backs, and two tight ends. The league variables used were ten teams, eighteen roster spots, PPR scoring, and starting requirements of 2 Quarterbacks, 2 Running Backs, 3 Wide Receivers, 1 Tight End, 1 Flex, 1 Kicker, and 1 Team Defense.
Below are the Top 50 players according to the VBD values:
Rk |
Pos |
PosRk |
Player |
Team/Bye |
Points |
VBD |
ADP |
1 |
RB |
1 |
Arian Foster |
Hou/8 |
266.7 |
166 |
1.01 |
2 |
RB |
2 |
Ray Rice |
Bal/8 |
255.6 |
155 |
1.02 |
3 |
QB |
1 |
Aaron Rodgers |
GB/10 |
390.5 |
139 |
1.03 |
4 |
RB |
3 |
LeSean McCoy |
Phi/7 |
232.4 |
131 |
1.04 |
5 |
QB |
2 |
Tom Brady |
NE/9 |
357.0 |
105 |
1.07 |
6 |
QB |
3 |
Drew Brees |
NO/6 |
354.6 |
103 |
1.10 |
7 |
RB |
4 |
Chris Johnson |
Ten/11 |
201.1 |
100 |
1.06 |
8 |
RB |
5 |
Matt Forte |
Chi/6 |
198.1 |
97 |
2.01 |
9 |
RB |
6 |
Darren McFadden |
Oak/5 |
197.0 |
96 |
1.09 |
10 |
QB |
4 |
Cam Newton |
Car/6 |
342.7 |
91 |
2.08 |
11 |
RB |
7 |
DeMarco Murray |
Dal/5 |
191.5 |
91 |
2.05 |
12 |
RB |
8 |
Jamaal Charles |
KC/7 |
186.3 |
85 |
2.09 |
13 |
RB |
9 |
Trent Richardson |
Cle/10 |
185.4 |
84 |
2.04 |
14 |
RB |
10 |
Maurice Jones-Drew |
Jac/6 |
183.6 |
83 |
1.08 |
15 |
RB |
11 |
Ahmad Bradshaw |
NYG/11 |
183.3 |
82 |
4.04 |
16 |
QB |
5 |
Matthew Stafford |
Det/5 |
332.7 |
81 |
2.07 |
17 |
RB |
12 |
Doug Martin |
TB/5 |
177.1 |
76 |
5.03 |
18 |
WR |
1 |
Calvin Johnson |
Det/5 |
209.8 |
76 |
1.05 |
19 |
RB |
13 |
Steven Jackson |
StL/9 |
175.9 |
75 |
3.04 |
20 |
RB |
14 |
Fred Jackson |
Buf/8 |
172.1 |
71 |
4.01 |
21 |
RB |
15 |
Marshawn Lynch |
Sea/11 |
170.1 |
69 |
3.07 |
22 |
RB |
16 |
Ryan Mathews |
SD/7 |
168.5 |
68 |
3.03 |
23 |
RB |
17 |
Michael Turner |
Atl/7 |
163.6 |
63 |
4.05 |
24 |
RB |
18 |
Frank Gore |
SF/9 |
160.8 |
60 |
4.08 |
25 |
QB |
6 |
Michael Vick |
Phi/7 |
311.7 |
60 |
4.09 |
26 |
RB |
19 |
Adrian Peterson |
Min/11 |
160.5 |
60 |
3.01 |
27 |
RB |
20 |
Reggie Bush |
Mia/7 |
154.6 |
54 |
6.01 |
28 |
RB |
21 |
Willis McGahee |
Den/7 |
154.6 |
54 |
7.08 |
29 |
QB |
7 |
Eli Manning |
NYG/11 |
304.2 |
52 |
5.09 |
30 |
TE |
1 |
Jimmy Graham |
NO/6 |
167.8 |
51 |
2.03 |
31 |
TE |
2 |
Rob Gronkowski |
NE/9 |
167.1 |
50 |
2.06 |
32 |
QB |
8 |
Philip Rivers |
SD/7 |
302.0 |
50 |
6.06 |
33 |
RB |
22 |
Shonn Greene |
NYJ/9 |
149.6 |
49 |
6.07 |
34 |
RB |
23 |
Darren Sproles |
NO/6 |
149.1 |
48 |
4.06 |
35 |
QB |
9 |
Matt Ryan |
Atl/7 |
298.8 |
47 |
7.10 |
36 |
QB |
10 |
Tony Romo |
Dal/5 |
298.7 |
47 |
5.08 |
37 |
RB |
24 |
Donald Brown |
Ind/4 |
146.7 |
46 |
9.05 |
38 |
RB |
25 |
BenJarvus Green-Ellis |
Cin/8 |
144.8 |
44 |
6.10 |
39 |
RB |
26 |
Isaac Redman |
Pit/4 |
143.1 |
42 |
7.05 |
40 |
QB |
11 |
Robert Griffin III |
Was/10 |
293.0 |
41 |
8.07 |
41 |
WR |
2 |
Julio Jones |
Atl/7 |
171.8 |
38 |
3.09 |
42 |
WR |
3 |
Larry Fitzgerald |
Ari/10 |
171.5 |
37 |
2.02 |
43 |
RB |
27 |
Mark Ingram |
NO/6 |
131.9 |
31 |
9.09 |
44 |
QB |
12 |
Ben Roethlisberger |
Pit/4 |
282.7 |
31 |
9.01 |
45 |
QB |
13 |
Peyton Manning |
Den/7 |
282.2 |
30 |
6.09 |
46 |
WR |
4 |
Andre Johnson |
Hou/8 |
163.6 |
29 |
2.10 |
47 |
WR |
5 |
Greg Jennings |
GB/10 |
161.3 |
27 |
3.02 |
48 |
WR |
6 |
Roddy White |
Atl/7 |
161.2 |
27 |
3.05 |
49 |
WR |
7 |
A.J. Green |
Cin/8 |
160.8 |
27 |
3.08 |
50 |
RB |
28 |
Stevan Ridley |
NE/9 |
126.7 |
26 |
8.05 |
It is interesting how the positions are weighted so heavily toward running backs and quarterbacks. Yes, there are only two tight ends, but 7 wide receivers, 28 running backs, and 13 quarterbacks ... all with values in the first five rounds. As far as draft strategy, the values indicate a push to get as many of the top quarterbacks as possible and add running backs early in the draft before they become scarce. How does it change for the players 51-90? This represents the first half of the draft.
Rk |
Pos |
PosRk |
Player |
Team/Bye |
Points |
VBD |
ADP |
51 |
RB |
29 |
DeAngelo Williams |
Car/6 |
125.4 |
25 |
9.08 |
52 |
RB |
30 |
Jonathan Stewart |
Car/6 |
122.9 |
22 |
8.03 |
53 |
WR |
8 |
Dez Bryant |
Dal/5 |
154.4 |
20 |
5.02 |
54 |
WR |
9 |
Percy Harvin |
Min/11 |
154.2 |
20 |
5.06 |
55 |
QB |
14 |
Josh Freeman |
TB/5 |
271.7 |
20 |
12.04 |
56 |
RB |
31 |
Roy Helu |
Was/10 |
119.1 |
18 |
7.09 |
57 |
WR |
10 |
Mike Wallace |
Pit/4 |
151.9 |
18 |
4.10 |
58 |
RB |
32 |
C.J. Spiller |
Buf/8 |
117.6 |
17 |
8.06 |
59 |
WR |
11 |
Victor Cruz |
NYG/11 |
150.8 |
17 |
3.10 |
60 |
WR |
12 |
Hakeem Nicks |
NYG/11 |
150.7 |
17 |
4.03 |
61 |
WR |
13 |
Steve Smith |
Car/6 |
150.3 |
16 |
5.01 |
62 |
RB |
33 |
Chris Wells |
Ari/10 |
116.3 |
15 |
8.01 |
63 |
WR |
14 |
Demaryius Thomas |
Den/7 |
149.2 |
15 |
5.07 |
64 |
QB |
15 |
Carson Palmer |
Oak/5 |
266.2 |
14 |
13.01 |
65 |
WR |
15 |
Brandon Marshall |
Chi/6 |
146.6 |
12 |
4.02 |
66 |
WR |
16 |
Jordy Nelson |
GB/10 |
146.5 |
12 |
4.07 |
67 |
RB |
34 |
Peyton Hillis |
KC/7 |
112.5 |
12 |
8.08 |
68 |
TE |
3 |
Antonio Gates |
SD/7 |
128.2 |
11 |
5.10 |
69 |
WR |
17 |
Vincent Jackson |
TB/5 |
144.6 |
10 |
6.04 |
70 |
TE |
4 |
Aaron Hernandez |
NE/9 |
127.1 |
10 |
6.03 |
71 |
WR |
18 |
DeSean Jackson |
Phi/7 |
144.2 |
10 |
7.04 |
72 |
RB |
35 |
Michael Bush |
Chi/6 |
109.5 |
9 |
10.08 |
73 |
WR |
19 |
Denarius Moore |
Oak/5 |
141.8 |
8 |
9.10 |
74 |
WR |
20 |
Miles Austin |
Dal/5 |
141.7 |
8 |
5.05 |
75 |
WR |
21 |
Marques Colston |
NO/6 |
141.0 |
7 |
5.04 |
76 |
RB |
36 |
Ryan Williams |
Ari/10 |
107.7 |
7 |
12.01 |
77 |
QB |
16 |
Matt Schaub |
Hou/8 |
257.5 |
6 |
10.05 |
78 |
WR |
22 |
Steve Johnson |
Buf/8 |
139.3 |
5 |
7.02 |
79 |
PK |
1 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
NE/9 |
136.4 |
5 |
14.08 |
80 |
WR |
23 |
Antonio Brown |
Pit/4 |
138.6 |
4 |
7.07 |
81 |
QB |
17 |
Andy Dalton |
Cin/8 |
255.7 |
4 |
13.07 |
82 |
QB |
18 |
Jay Cutler |
Chi/6 |
254.9 |
3 |
10.04 |
83 |
DEF |
1 |
San Francisco |
SF/9 |
149.4 |
2 |
10.01 |
84 |
QB |
19 |
Alex Smith |
SF/9 |
252.7 |
1 |
16.03 |
85 |
RB |
37 |
Cedric Benson |
GB/10 |
101.1 |
0 |
22.09 |
86 |
RB |
38 |
Pierre Thomas |
NO/6 |
101.0 |
0 |
14.02 |
87 |
WR |
24 |
Dwayne Bowe |
KC/7 |
134.2 |
0 |
6.05 |
88 |
WR |
25 |
Wes Welker |
NE/9 |
134.1 |
0 |
3.06 |
89 |
RB |
39 |
Kevin Smith |
Det/5 |
100.9 |
0 |
12.05 |
90 |
QB |
20 |
Joe Flacco |
Bal/8 |
251.9 |
0 |
14.06 |
The wide receivers caught up to the running backs in a hurry. With 20 quarterbacks off the board, it means that every team is assumed to have drafted two already at the position. This mad rush of passers has pushed very good backs and receivers into extreme value situations.
After running a few mocks, it became obvious that getting at least one, and possibly two, top players at the quarterback position is essential. There is no way to win your league if you are starting Alex Smith and Joe Flacco at the quarterback position. A team having two of the top seven elite fantasy options has a monstrous advantage. A shortage is quickly created. The wide receiver position is the opposite. The are several very good options available at wide receiver (like Dwayne Bowe, Wes Welker, etc.) halfway into the draft.
In the first five rounds, it would be best to have two quarterbacks, two running backs, and either another back or one wide receiver after five rounds. The VBD values drop off considerably after Romo (QB10) and there is no way the fantasy teams with the lesser pair of passers can compete with a Rodgers/Brady combination, for example.
In two quarterback leagues, the tight end position becomes less valuable relative to the quarterback and running back positions. Savvy owners should wait until the six round or later to address the position. There are more than ten quality tight ends so you can afford to wait.
In summary, load up on ball carriers and passers early in the draft and only address wide receiver and tight after the talent falls off at the two primary positions.
Please feel free to email me at tefertiller@footballguys.com with any questions or comments. Also, I am on Twitter, so feel free to ask me questions there.

