Quarterback By Committee
By Chase Stuart
August 13th, 2012

Footballguys.com has been publishing its Quarterback-By-Committee (QBBC) article for almost a decade now. For those fantasy players who like to wait on drafting their quarterback while stocking their team at the other positions, this is the article for you.

In most drafts, Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady and Drew Brees will go off the board very quickly, with Matt Stafford and Cam Newton not far behind. Michael Vick, Eli Manning, Peyton Manning and Tony Romo seem to form the next tier, with Matt Ryan, Ben Roethlisberger and Robert Griffin III rounding out the top 12.

So what should you do? At a minimum, you want to wait until at least 8 teams have selected their fantasy quarterbacks. That probably means holding off until round 6 or 7 before taking your first QB, although the exact draft results will depend on your league's structure.

By going the QBBC route, you can save your early draft picks and still get solid fantasy production by grabbing two quarterbacks who face bad defenses nearly every week of the year. That's what the QBBC system is all about.

The first key, of course, is to rank the defenses. I always start by adjusting last season's data on defenses for strength of schedule. I started with the adjusted FP rankings for each defense listed in the Rearview QB article. Then, with the help of Footballguys.com staffer Aaron Rudnicki, I made some adjustments to the defenses based on what's happened since the end of last season. The table below lists my rating for defenses for fantasy quarterbacks, listed from the toughest (the Jets) to the easiest (New England).

Rank
Team
SOS
Rank
Team
SOS
1
New York Jets
-3.9
17
Philadelphia Eagles
0.0
2
Baltimore Ravens
-3.2
18
Arizona Cardinals
0.8
3
Houston Texans
-3.1
19
Miami Dolphins
0.9
4
Pittsburgh Steelers
-3.1
20
Indianapolis Colts
1.0
5
St. Louis Rams
-2.6
21
Cincinnati Bengals
1.2
6
Kansas City Chiefs
-2.5
22
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1.3
7
Chicago Bears
-2.3
23
New York Giants
1.4
8
Seattle Seahawks
-2.3
24
New Orleans Saints
1.6
9
San Francisco 49ers
-2.1
25
Carolina Panthers
1.7
10
Cleveland Browns
-2.0
26
Detroit Lions
2.0
11
Jacksonville Jaguars
-1.9
27
Green Bay Packers
2.2
12
Atlanta Falcons
-0.8
28
Denver Broncos
2.2
13
Washington Redskins
-0.8
29
San Diego Chargers
2.3
14
Buffalo Bills
-0.5
30
Minnesota Vikings
3.8
15
Tennessee Titans
-0.5
31
New England Patriots
4.7
16
Dallas Cowboys
-0.2
32
Oakland Raiders
4.7

They key to the QBBC philosophy is to identify which defenses should rank in the bottom quarter of the league when it comes to stopping quarterbacks. Oakland, New England and Minnesota were juicy matchups for fantasy quarterbacks last year, and project as similarly enticing in 2012. Quarterbacks facing the Patriots and Raiders should be expected nearly 5 more fantasy points than they would against an average defense. Teams like Detroit, Green Bay, San Diego, Carolina, New Orleans, and Denver struggled last year against opposing fantasy quarterbacks, but there's another reason to like facing them this year: all of them have star quarterbacks. That could lead to a lot of shootouts in 2012.

Once we rank the defenses, it's easy to then figure out which QB pairings work based on schedule. When the QB is home, his opponents gets a +0.3 adjustment; when the QB is on the road, the adjustment is 0.3 in the other direction.

Finding the right QBBC pairing requires you to channel your inner Goldilocks. The top 5 quarterbacks are clearly too good to be QBBC candidates, and you can probably say that's true about the top 8 or 9 signal callers. And, absent breakout years, the bottom 12 quarterbacks are too bad to be QBBC candidates. Fortunately, there's a pretty easy strategy to follow this year.

Grab Matt Ryan and wait and see

Matt Ryan generally gets drafted after the top seven quarterbacks, but I've seen him selected in the 8 to 12 range at the position. But there are many reasons to love Ryan this year, including the fact that he has the easiest fantasy schedule of any quarterbacks. As the Falcons transition to a passing offense, and Julio Jones develops into one of the better receivers in the league, Ryan is poised to post big numbers. Ryan finished 8th last season and set career highs in passing yards and passing touchdowns.

The beauty of QBBC, of course, is that you don't need Ryan to break into Tom Brady or Drew Brees territory, although it would be nice if he did. You'll only play him when he has a favorable matchup, and can start another solid quarterback in the other weeks. Ryan's schedule pairs up well with the schedules of Josh Freeman, Jay Cutler, Ben Roethlisberger, Joe Flacco, Robert Griffin III and Andrew Luck. Which quarterback you choose to pair with Ryan is up to you, and to some extent, your leaguemates. If Roethlisberger falls, he's probably the best bet. Most of the time, I think Freeman will be the best trade-off between value and upside, since he'll generally go a couple of rounds after Cutler and Griffin. Maybe you really like Andrew Luck; in that case, you can wait even longer to grab your second quarterback. Listed below is the combined schedule should you choose to go the Ryan/Freeman route:

  • Week 1: Tampa Bay vs. Carolina Panthers
  • Week 2: Atlanta vs. Denver Broncos
  • Week 3: Atlanta @ San Diego Chargers
  • Week 4: Atlanta vs. Carolina Panthers
  • Week 5: Atlanta @ Washington Redskins
  • Week 6: Atlanta vs. Oakland Raiders
  • Week 7: Tampa Bay vs. New Orleans Saints
  • Week 8: Tampa Bay @ Minnesota Vikings
  • Week 9: Tampa Bay @ Oakland Raiders
  • Week 10: Tampa Bay vs. San Diego Chargers
  • Week 11: Tampa Bay @ Carolina Panthers
  • Week 12: Atlanta @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Week 13: Atlanta vs. New Orleans Saints
  • Week 14: Atlanta @ Carolina Panthers
  • Week 15: Atlanta vs. New York Giants
  • Week 16: Atlanta @ Detroit Lions
  • In this schedule, you start Ryan for 10 of the 16 weeks. You end up with four games against the Carolina Panthers -- and Cam Newton -- which should feature some shootouts. You also get two games each against the Saints, Raiders, and Chargers, teams that all struggled to stop quarterbacks last season and are also likely to lead to high-scoring games. Games against Denver, Detroit and Minnesota are juicy, while you also will get Ryan against the Bucs (or if you so choose, Freeman against the Falcons). If your league plays a week 17 championship, you will get the second matchup between the Buccaneers and Falcons.

    Non-Matt Ryan Pairs

    What if you can't get Matt Ryan? Obviously, you can't guarantee that you'll be able to take him in each of your drafts. The table below shows how many FP/G easier than average the combined schedules are. So Denver and Jacksonville have a schedule that should yield 39 fantasy points more than if they had a perfectly neutral schedule. Of course, no one would actually take Peyton Manning and Blaine Gabbert and implement a quarterback-by-committee; the chart simply shows the value achieved by starting the quarterback with the easier matchup each week.

    Quarterback Duo
    FtsyAdv
    Quarterback Duo
    FtsyAdv
    Quarterback Duo
    FtsyAdv
    Den QB
    Jac QB
    38.7
    NO QB
    Ten QB
    21.6
    Dal QB
    StL QB
    14.7
    Bal QB
    Den QB
    36.9
    GB QB
    NYJ QB
    21.4
    Ind QB
    SD QB
    14.7
    Car QB
    Den QB
    36.7
    Atl QB
    Det QB
    21.4
    Min QB
    Phi QB
    14.6
    KC QB
    Ten QB
    36.2
    NYJ QB
    Sea QB
    21.4
    Min QB
    Pit QB
    14.6
    Atl QB
    Jac QB
    36.0
    Det QB
    NYJ QB
    21.4
    Bal QB
    Car QB
    14.6
    Den QB
    NYJ QB
    34.8
    Cin QB
    TB QB
    21.3
    Ari QB
    Ind QB
    14.4
    Chi QB
    Den QB
    34.6
    Hou QB
    Mia QB
    21.3
    Cle QB
    Pit QB
    14.4
    Den QB
    TB QB
    34.6
    GB QB
    KC QB
    21.3
    Min QB
    StL QB
    14.3
    Atl QB
    StL QB
    34.4
    Jac QB
    NE QB
    21.3
    Ari QB
    Pit QB
    14.2
    Den QB
    SF QB
    34.1
    NYJ QB
    Oak QB
    21.2
    Pit QB
    Was QB
    14.1
    Atl QB
    TB QB
    34.0
    Jac QB
    Phi QB
    21.2
    Phi QB
    Was QB
    14.0
    Den QB
    StL QB
    34.0
    Chi QB
    Ten QB
    21.1
    Ind QB
    Oak QB
    14.0
    Atl QB
    Chi QB
    32.3
    Bal QB
    Sea QB
    21.0
    Mia QB
    Was QB
    13.9
    Jac QB
    KC QB
    31.9
    Cin QB
    StL QB
    20.9
    Ind QB
    NO QB
    13.9
    KC QB
    NO QB
    31.7
    Hou QB
    SD QB
    20.9
    Det QB
    Mia QB
    13.9
    Jac QB
    SF QB
    31.3
    Car QB
    Phi QB
    20.9
    Cle QB
    Mia QB
    13.8
    KC QB
    TB QB
    31.2
    KC QB
    NE QB
    20.8
    Atl QB
    Den QB
    13.7
    Atl QB
    Ten QB
    31.2
    Car QB
    SF QB
    20.7
    Det QB
    NYG QB
    13.7
    Bal QB
    NO QB
    31.2
    Cle QB
    Det QB
    20.7
    Dal QB
    Ind QB
    13.6
    Atl QB
    NYJ QB
    31.1
    NO QB
    Phi QB
    20.6
    Oak QB
    Pit QB
    13.6
    Den QB
    Hou QB
    31.0
    Bal QB
    Mia QB
    20.5
    Mia QB
    Oak QB
    13.6
    Car QB
    KC QB
    30.7
    Car QB
    Cin QB
    20.5
    GB QB
    NYG QB
    13.6
    Hou QB
    TB QB
    30.4
    Cle QB
    Oak QB
    20.4
    Mia QB
    NYG QB
    13.6
    Atl QB
    NO QB
    30.2
    Jac QB
    Pit QB
    20.4
    Ari QB
    NYG QB
    13.5
    Ari QB
    Den QB
    29.7
    Ari QB
    Jac QB
    20.4
    Ari QB
    Oak QB
    13.4
    KC QB
    Pit QB
    29.6
    Buf QB
    Den QB
    20.3
    Dal QB
    Jac QB
    13.4
    Bal QB
    TB QB
    29.5
    SD QB
    Sea QB
    20.2
    Min QB
    NYJ QB
    13.3
    NO QB
    NYJ QB
    29.5
    Chi QB
    Phi QB
    20.2
    Cle QB
    SD QB
    13.3
    Ind QB
    Jac QB
    29.4
    Car QB
    Mia QB
    20.2
    Buf QB
    Was QB
    13.2
    Hou QB
    NO QB
    29.4
    Chi QB
    Cin QB
    20.2
    Min QB
    Was QB
    13.2
    Den QB
    Pit QB
    29.3
    Oak QB
    StL QB
    20.1
    Oak QB
    Was QB
    13.2
    Chi QB
    KC QB
    29.3
    Det QB
    NO QB
    20.0
    NYG QB
    NYJ QB
    13.1
    Den QB
    Sea QB
    29.3
    NYG QB
    TB QB
    19.9
    Cin QB
    Dal QB
    13.1
    TB QB
    Ten QB
    29.3
    Hou QB
    Sea QB
    19.9
    Car QB
    NYG QB
    13.1
    NYJ QB
    TB QB
    29.2
    SD QB
    StL QB
    19.8
    Sea QB
    SF QB
    13.1
    SF QB
    TB QB
    29.2
    Buf QB
    Pit QB
    19.8
    Pit QB
    Sea QB
    13.1
    Atl QB
    Cle QB
    29.1
    Oak QB
    SF QB
    19.8
    Cle QB
    NYJ QB
    13.1
    Atl QB
    Pit QB
    29.1
    Atl QB
    NE QB
    19.8
    Buf QB
    Dal QB
    13.0
    Den QB
    Ten QB
    29.0
    Ari QB
    Hou QB
    19.7
    Ind QB
    NYG QB
    13.0
    Jac QB
    Sea QB
    28.9
    Jac QB
    NYG QB
    19.6
    Cin QB
    Det QB
    12.9
    Ind QB
    KC QB
    28.6
    Cin QB
    Cle QB
    19.6
    NE QB
    Pit QB
    12.9
    Sea QB
    TB QB
    28.6
    Car QB
    Ind QB
    19.6
    Oak QB
    Phi QB
    12.9
    KC QB
    Sea QB
    28.3
    Car QB
    SD QB
    19.6
    Bal QB
    NE QB
    12.8
    Cle QB
    Den QB
    28.2
    Oak QB
    Ten QB
    19.5
    Det QB
    SD QB
    12.8
    StL QB
    TB QB
    27.5
    Cin QB
    Ten QB
    19.5
    Cle QB
    Dal QB
    12.6
    Chi QB
    SD QB
    27.5
    Den QB
    Ind QB
    19.5
    Hou QB
    Oak QB
    12.5
    Atl QB
    Sea QB
    27.4
    Ari QB
    NO QB
    19.5
    Atl QB
    KC QB
    12.4
    KC QB
    SF QB
    27.4
    Pit QB
    SD QB
    19.4
    Chi QB
    Dal QB
    12.4
    Bal QB
    Ind QB
    27.4
    StL QB
    Ten QB
    19.4
    NYG QB
    Oak QB
    12.3
    Den QB
    Was QB
    27.4
    GB QB
    Sea QB
    19.3
    Dal QB
    GB QB
    12.2
    Jac QB
    TB QB
    27.3
    Chi QB
    Hou QB
    19.3
    Car QB
    Dal QB
    12.1
    Pit QB
    TB QB
    27.3
    Ari QB
    Sea QB
    19.3
    Bal QB
    NYG QB
    12.1
    Jac QB
    SD QB
    27.1
    Car QB
    Det QB
    19.2
    Ari QB
    Phi QB
    12.1
    Cle QB
    Jac QB
    27.1
    Sea QB
    StL QB
    19.2
    Cin QB
    SD QB
    12.0
    Atl QB
    Bal QB
    27.0
    Oak QB
    SD QB
    19.2
    Den QB
    NE QB
    12.0
    Det QB
    Jac QB
    26.8
    Det QB
    Pit QB
    19.2
    Buf QB
    NYG QB
    11.9
    Det QB
    Sea QB
    26.8
    Mia QB
    Pit QB
    19.1
    Dal QB
    Hou QB
    11.8
    Car QB
    Sea QB
    26.7
    Ari QB
    StL QB
    19.1
    Chi QB
    NYG QB
    11.8
    Atl QB
    Car QB
    26.6
    Ari QB
    Bal QB
    19.1
    Buf QB
    Phi QB
    11.8
    Bal QB
    KC QB
    26.6
    Mia QB
    Ten QB
    19.1
    Dal QB
    Was QB
    11.7
    Den QB
    NYG QB
    26.6
    Cin QB
    SF QB
    19.1
    Buf QB
    GB QB
    11.7
    Jac QB
    Mia QB
    26.5
    Buf QB
    Cle QB
    19.1
    NYG QB
    Pit QB
    11.7
    Atl QB
    SF QB
    26.5
    Chi QB
    GB QB
    19.0
    Pit QB
    SF QB
    11.6
    NO QB
    Sea QB
    26.4
    Oak QB
    Sea QB
    19.0
    GB QB
    Min QB
    11.4
    Det QB
    StL QB
    26.3
    Car QB
    Hou QB
    18.9
    Jac QB
    NO QB
    11.1
    Cle QB
    TB QB
    26.3
    Jac QB
    NYJ QB
    18.8
    GB QB
    Phi QB
    11.0
    Buf QB
    TB QB
    26.3
    Buf QB
    StL QB
    18.8
    Car QB
    NE QB
    10.8
    KC QB
    NYG QB
    26.2
    Ind QB
    Sea QB
    18.8
    Dal QB
    Phi QB
    10.7
    Ari QB
    Atl QB
    26.2
    Car QB
    Min QB
    18.7
    Pit QB
    Ten QB
    10.7
    GB QB
    Jac QB
    26.2
    Bal QB
    NYJ QB
    18.7
    NE QB
    Phi QB
    10.7
    Hou QB
    Ind QB
    26.1
    Car QB
    Pit QB
    18.6
    Cin QB
    Phi QB
    10.6
    NO QB
    SF QB
    26.1
    NO QB
    Oak QB
    18.6
    Det QB
    GB QB
    10.6
    Dal QB
    Den QB
    25.9
    Bal QB
    StL QB
    18.4
    NYG QB
    Phi QB
    10.5
    Buf QB
    Sea QB
    25.8
    Bal QB
    Oak QB
    18.4
    Min QB
    SD QB
    10.5
    GB QB
    TB QB
    25.8
    Cle QB
    Sea QB
    18.4
    Ari QB
    Mia QB
    10.4
    Atl QB
    Ind QB
    25.7
    Det QB
    Was QB
    18.4
    Buf QB
    Mia QB
    10.3
    TB QB
    Was QB
    25.7
    Dal QB
    SD QB
    18.3
    Ind QB
    Min QB
    10.3
    Cin QB
    KC QB
    25.6
    Bal QB
    Ten QB
    18.3
    Buf QB
    Oak QB
    10.2
    Bal QB
    Jac QB
    25.5
    Chi QB
    SF QB
    18.2
    Ari QB
    Min QB
    10.2
    Mia QB
    TB QB
    25.5
    GB QB
    SD QB
    18.2
    Hou QB
    Phi QB
    10.1
    NO QB
    TB QB
    25.5
    Ind QB
    Phi QB
    18.1
    NYG QB
    SF QB
    10.1
    Chi QB
    Det QB
    25.4
    Jac QB
    Min QB
    18.1
    KC QB
    SD QB
    9.9
    KC QB
    StL QB
    25.3
    NO QB
    NYG QB
    18.0
    KC QB
    Mia QB
    9.7
    Atl QB
    Was QB
    25.3
    Mia QB
    NO QB
    17.9
    Det QB
    Min QB
    9.5
    Chi QB
    Was QB
    25.3
    Bal QB
    Min QB
    17.8
    Cle QB
    Min QB
    9.3
    NO QB
    Was QB
    25.2
    Cle QB
    SF QB
    17.8
    Det QB
    Phi QB
    9.3
    KC QB
    Min QB
    25.2
    Hou QB
    SF QB
    17.8
    NE QB
    Ten QB
    9.1
    Hou QB
    Jac QB
    25.1
    Car QB
    Ten QB
    17.8
    NE QB
    Was QB
    9.0
    Chi QB
    TB QB
    25.1
    Ind QB
    SF QB
    17.8
    NE QB
    NO QB
    8.8
    Atl QB
    Dal QB
    25.1
    Buf QB
    Ind QB
    17.8
    Dal QB
    Ten QB
    8.8
    Hou QB
    Ten QB
    25.1
    Chi QB
    NYJ QB
    17.8
    Cin QB
    GB QB
    8.7
    Den QB
    NO QB
    25.1
    SD QB
    Ten QB
    17.7
    Dal QB
    NYJ QB
    8.6
    Hou QB
    KC QB
    25.0
    Ind QB
    Was QB
    17.7
    Cin QB
    Ind QB
    8.5
    Atl QB
    Hou QB
    24.9
    Chi QB
    Min QB
    17.6
    Atl QB
    SD QB
    8.3
    Bal QB
    GB QB
    24.8
    GB QB
    Hou QB
    17.6
    Ari QB
    NE QB
    8.0
    Atl QB
    Oak QB
    24.7
    Bal QB
    Det QB
    17.6
    Cin QB
    Min QB
    7.9
    Det QB
    KC QB
    24.7
    Hou QB
    NYJ QB
    17.6
    Dal QB
    Min QB
    7.9
    Ten QB
    Was QB
    24.7
    Min QB
    TB QB
    17.5
    Buf QB
    Min QB
    7.7
    Jac QB
    StL QB
    24.7
    Chi QB
    Pit QB
    17.4
    Chi QB
    Jac QB
    7.5
    Cle QB
    KC QB
    24.6
    Ari QB
    SD QB
    17.4
    GB QB
    Ind QB
    7.3
    Det QB
    Ten QB
    24.4
    Min QB
    SF QB
    17.4
    Ind QB
    Mia QB
    7.3
    Buf QB
    KC QB
    24.3
    NYG QB
    Was QB
    17.4
    Cin QB
    NYG QB
    7.3
    Hou QB
    Min QB
    24.3
    Det QB
    Hou QB
    17.3
    Mia QB
    Min QB
    7.3
    Car QB
    NYJ QB
    24.0
    Phi QB
    Sea QB
    17.2
    Dal QB
    Pit QB
    7.2
    Phi QB
    Ten QB
    24.0
    Ari QB
    Car QB
    17.2
    Dal QB
    NE QB
    7.1
    SD QB
    TB QB
    24.0
    Den QB
    KC QB
    17.2
    Cle QB
    NE QB
    6.7
    Phi QB
    TB QB
    24.0
    Det QB
    Ind QB
    17.2
    NE QB
    Oak QB
    6.6
    Dal QB
    KC QB
    24.0
    Ari QB
    NYJ QB
    17.1
    Dal QB
    NYG QB
    6.5
    Den QB
    Oak QB
    23.9
    Car QB
    Oak QB
    17.1
    Oak QB
    TB QB
    6.3
    Det QB
    SF QB
    23.9
    Dal QB
    NO QB
    17.1
    Det QB
    TB QB
    6.2
    Ind QB
    NYJ QB
    23.9
    Sea QB
    Was QB
    17.1
    Den QB
    SD QB
    6.0
    Atl QB
    Cin QB
    23.9
    NE QB
    TB QB
    17.1
    Cin QB
    Mia QB
    6.0
    Car QB
    TB QB
    23.8
    Ari QB
    Cin QB
    17.0
    GB QB
    Oak QB
    5.9
    Bal QB
    Cle QB
    23.7
    Bal QB
    SD QB
    17.0
    GB QB
    Mia QB
    5.9
    Car QB
    StL QB
    23.7
    Phi QB
    SF QB
    16.9
    Atl QB
    Mia QB
    5.8
    Jac QB
    Oak QB
    23.7
    Cle QB
    Ind QB
    16.9
    Car QB
    NO QB
    5.7
    KC QB
    NYJ QB
    23.6
    Ari QB
    SF QB
    16.9
    Buf QB
    Det QB
    5.4
    Atl QB
    Min QB
    23.6
    Den QB
    GB QB
    16.9
    Det QB
    NE QB
    5.3
    Mia QB
    SF QB
    23.5
    Ari QB
    Chi QB
    16.8
    Den QB
    Phi QB
    5.3
    Atl QB
    Buf QB
    23.5
    Den QB
    Min QB
    16.8
    Car QB
    Jac QB
    4.7
    Cin QB
    Jac QB
    23.4
    Cle QB
    NYG QB
    16.7
    Chi QB
    NO QB
    3.4
    Mia QB
    StL QB
    23.3
    Buf QB
    SD QB
    16.7
    Den QB
    Mia QB
    3.3
    Jac QB
    Ten QB
    23.3
    Cle QB
    Ten QB
    16.7
    Buf QB
    NE QB
    3.1
    Cle QB
    Hou QB
    23.3
    Den QB
    Det QB
    16.7
    Car QB
    Chi QB
    3.0
    Ind QB
    StL QB
    23.3
    NYG QB
    StL QB
    16.5
    GB QB
    NE QB
    3.0
    Chi QB
    Sea QB
    23.3
    GB QB
    NO QB
    16.5
    Cin QB
    NE QB
    3.0
    Mia QB
    NYJ QB
    23.3
    Cin QB
    Oak QB
    16.4
    NE QB
    NYG QB
    3.0
    Hou QB
    StL QB
    23.2
    Dal QB
    Sea QB
    16.4
    NYJ QB
    SF QB
    2.9
    Ind QB
    TB QB
    23.1
    Dal QB
    SF QB
    16.3
    Min QB
    Sea QB
    2.0
    NO QB
    StL QB
    23.1
    Hou QB
    NE QB
    16.2
    Buf QB
    Hou QB
    1.9
    NO QB
    SD QB
    23.0
    SD QB
    SF QB
    16.2
    KC QB
    Phi QB
    1.9
    Mia QB
    Sea QB
    23.0
    Buf QB
    Car QB
    16.1
    Cin QB
    Hou QB
    1.6
    Car QB
    Cle QB
    23.0
    NYJ QB
    Was QB
    16.1
    Dal QB
    TB QB
    1.5
    Buf QB
    Jac QB
    23.0
    Hou QB
    Was QB
    16.1
    Ind QB
    Pit QB
    1.0
    GB QB
    SF QB
    22.9
    Cin QB
    Was QB
    16.1
    Ind QB
    NE QB
    1.0
    Buf QB
    Ten QB
    22.9
    Chi QB
    NE QB
    16.0
    Cle QB
    GB QB
    0.9
    Chi QB
    Mia QB
    22.8
    Ind QB
    Ten QB
    16.0
    Sea QB
    Ten QB
    0.8
    StL QB
    Was QB
    22.7
    Pit QB
    StL QB
    16.0
    Atl QB
    Phi QB
    0.4
    GB QB
    StL QB
    22.7
    GB QB
    Pit QB
    16.0
    Ari QB
    GB QB
    0.3
    Cin QB
    NO QB
    22.7
    NYJ QB
    Phi QB
    15.9
    Ari QB
    Cle QB
    0.2
    Buf QB
    SF QB
    22.7
    Cin QB
    NYJ QB
    15.8
    Phi QB
    SD QB
    0.0
    Ari QB
    KC QB
    22.6
    SD QB
    Was QB
    15.8
    NE QB
    SD QB
    -0.4
    Buf QB
    Chi QB
    22.6
    Ari QB
    Det QB
    15.7
    Cle QB
    Was QB
    -1.0
    GB QB
    Ten QB
    22.5
    Buf QB
    NYJ QB
    15.7
    Bal QB
    Cin QB
    -1.0
    Bal QB
    Was QB
    22.5
    Ari QB
    Dal QB
    15.7
    NYJ QB
    StL QB
    -1.4
    KC QB
    Was QB
    22.5
    Phi QB
    Pit QB
    15.7
    Min QB
    NE QB
    -1.4
    NYJ QB
    Ten QB
    22.4
    SF QB
    Ten QB
    15.6
    Bal QB
    Hou QB
    -1.8
    SF QB
    Was QB
    22.4
    Cin QB
    Sea QB
    15.5
    SF QB
    StL QB
    -2.3
    Cle QB
    NO QB
    22.3
    Cin QB
    Pit QB
    15.5
    NYG QB
    Sea QB
    -2.4
    Ari QB
    Ten QB
    22.3
    Dal QB
    Mia QB
    15.5
    Mia QB
    Phi QB
    -2.5
    Phi QB
    StL QB
    22.2
    Chi QB
    Oak QB
    15.4
    Dal QB
    Det QB
    -2.9
    Atl QB
    GB QB
    22.2
    Bal QB
    Phi QB
    15.3
    NE QB
    NYJ QB
    -3.0
    Chi QB
    Cle QB
    22.1
    NYJ QB
    Pit QB
    15.1
    Mia QB
    SD QB
    -3.0
    Ari QB
    TB QB
    22.1
    Chi QB
    StL QB
    15.1
    Det QB
    Oak QB
    -3.2
    KC QB
    Oak QB
    22.1
    Hou QB
    Pit QB
    15.1
    Bal QB
    Buf QB
    -3.3
    NYJ QB
    SD QB
    22.1
    Min QB
    Oak QB
    15.0
    Ari QB
    Was QB
    -3.4
    Car QB
    GB QB
    22.1
    NE QB
    Sea QB
    15.0
    NE QB
    StL QB
    -3.6
    Atl QB
    NYG QB
    22.0
    NYG QB
    SD QB
    15.0
    NE QB
    SF QB
    -4.0
    NO QB
    Pit QB
    21.9
    Hou QB
    NYG QB
    14.9
    Buf QB
    Cin QB
    -4.1
    Car QB
    Was QB
    21.8
    Bal QB
    Pit QB
    14.9
    GB QB
    Was QB
    -4.2
    Cin QB
    Den QB
    21.8
    Cle QB
    StL QB
    14.8
    Min QB
    Ten QB
    -4.3
    Cle QB
    Phi QB
    21.8
    Bal QB
    Dal QB
    14.7
    Mia QB
    NE QB
    -4.3
    Jac QB
    Was QB
    21.7
    Ari QB
    Buf QB
    14.7
    Dal QB
    Oak QB
    -4.8
    Buf QB
    NO QB
    21.7
    Bal QB
    SF QB
    14.7
    NYG QB
    Ten QB
    -6.1
    Chi QB
    Ind QB
    21.7
    Min QB
    NO QB
    14.7
    Min QB
    NYG QB
    -12.5
    Bal QB
    Chi QB
    21.6

    Overall Schedule Strength

    Even if you don't believe in committees, or have no preset draft plan, it pays to know how tough of a schedule each team has. Matt Ryan has the easiest schedule in the league, and the whole NFC South has favorable matchups. Peyton Manning in Denver is set up for success if he can regain his old form. On the other hand, Tom Brady has the hardest schedule in the league by far. In addition to four games against the Jets, Ravens and Texans, he has four games against the NFC West, which has quietly become one of the best defensive divisions. Brady then faces the Bills twice and the Titans and Jaguars. Outside of games against the Colts and Broncos, none of Brady's matchups look particularly "easy." Of course, he's Tom Brady, but this may be a reason to temper your enthusiasm on him.

    Rnk
    Team
    SOS
    Rnk
    Team
    SOS
    Rnk
    Team
    SOS
    Rnk
    Team
    SOS
    1
    Atlanta
    17.5
    9
    Seattle
    2.9
    17
    NY Jets
    -0.5
    25
    Dallas
    -5.6
    2
    Tampa Bay
    14.4
    10
    St. Louis
    2.8
    18
    Philadelphia
    -0.7
    26
    Arizona
    -5.7
    3
    Kansas City
    13.9
    11
    Houston
    2.5
    19
    Detroit
    -2.2
    27
    Indianapolis
    -5.8
    4
    Denver
    9.6
    12
    Cleveland`
    0.9
    20
    Oakland
    -2.3
    28
    Cincinnati
    -7.5
    5
    New Orleans
    9.4
    13
    San Francisco
    0.5
    21
    Pittsburgh
    -3.4
    29
    Buffalo
    -8.1
    6
    Jacksonville
    8.4
    14
    Washington
    0.1
    22
    San Diego
    -3.9
    30
    Miami
    -8.5
    7
    Carolina
    5.2
    15
    Baltimore
    0.0
    23
    Green Bay
    -4.3
    31
    Minnesota
    -9.0
    8
    Chicago
    5.0
    16
    Tennessee
    -0.3
    24
    NY Giants
    -5.4
    32
    New England
    -19.8

    Questions, suggestions and comments are always welcome to stuart@footballguys.com.

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