Draft Slots Study - 14 Teams / Pick 1.14
By Chris Smith
August 13th, 2012

One of the more interesting discussion points every time a new fantasy football season rolls around is in regards to the draft slots. While it is possible with wise decisions, bold moves and fearless picks to win a league no matter where you draft from, it is obvious to veteran fantasy owners that there is some advantage to drafting in certain positions as opposed to others. Every draft slot will have positives, negatives and its own unique draft strategy and it is imperative that fantasy owners take the time to really breakdown the advantages and disadvantages to their draft position. That is where I and this long-running Footballguys exclusive come in.

This series of articles will take an in-depth look at multiple types of leagues such as 10-team, 12-team and 14-team leagues as well as unique starting lineup and scoring rules. We will run a mock draft for every new scenario and breakdown the positives and negatives of each draft position.

This study is performed using the mock draft function within our own Draft Dominator software. The program gives you the ability to draft for one team and have the other teams taken over by computer control using different ADP lists. For the purpose of this study, I will use David Dodds' projections found within the Dominator. The mock draft ability of the Dominator is a nice way to prepare for your fantasy draft. Running the same draft several times will help you to anticipate all possible scenarios when your own draft arrives. Check it out today.

This particular series is based on...

  • 14 teams
  • 18 rounds
  • There are a few interesting twists in this study

  • Flex player added
  • 6 points per passing touchdown
  • 1 point per reception for running backs / receivers but 1.5 points per reception for tight ends
  • Starting Lineup Requirements(18 total players on roster)

  • 1 Quarterback
  • 2 Running Backs
  • 3 Wide Receivers
  • 1 Tight End
  • 1 Place Kicker
  • 1 Team Defense
  • 1 Flex Player (RB, WR, TE)
  • League Scoring Rules

  • Passing: 1 point every 20 passing yards / 6 points per touchdown pass / -1 point per interception
  • Rushing: 1 point every 10 rushing yards / 6 points per touchdown
  • Receiving: 1 point every 10 receiving yards / 6 points per touchdown / 1 point per reception (RBs and WRs) / 1.5 points per reception (TEs)
  • Kicking: 3 points per field goal / 1 point per extra point
  • Defense: 5 points for shutout / 3 points for allowing < 7 points / 1 point for allowing less than 11 points / 2 points for interceptions / fumble recoveries and safeties / 1 point per sack
  • A few players are dropping further than anticipated in the Draft Dominator likely due to a number of factors. I have tweaked those players' projections higher in order to have them drafted where they should be in the draft. I am always striving to make this series better so if you have any feedback or questions, let me know. If you would like to see a particular study this season, please send me an e-mail at smith@footballguys.com, and I will do my best to cover your scoring rules, starting lineup requirements, etc. before the end of training camp.

    Onto the article.

    Drafting 14th overall (14-team re-draft)

    In some ways, it is a lot of fun to draft last in a fourteen-team league. The back-to-back picks every two rounds give the ability to impact the flow and direction of a fantasy draft. However it is a horrible long wait between picks, there must be no favorite players to target as they will often be gone before your pick arrives and guessing wrong about which players will drop to your slot could be disastrous. It is critical here to simply take the best two available players to begin the draft. There is no other way to do this as you must secure the best possible talent you can.

    Possible strategies to incorporate into your draft

    League that goes RB heavy in first two rounds

    Possible squad through six rounds

  • QB Drew Brees
  • TE Rob Gronkowski
  • WR Wes Welker
  • WR Miles Austin
  • RB Steven Ridley
  • WR Jeremy Maclin
  • Obviously the roster is outstanding at quarterback and tight end with top-tier players on board. The receiving trio is also very talented with excellent upside. The obvious weakness (and it is a huge one) is at running back. The next two picks would see me land two running backs like Mikel Leshoure, Daniel Thomas and Jacquizz Rodgers and that would be the theme during the rest of the draft (targeting young backs with upside). If diamonds in the rough are discovered at running back, this team would be powerful and a favorite to win it all but could also have a massive hole at running back if it falls apart.

    League that has more flexibility in first two rounds

    If your league has more flexibility in the top include the best quarterbacks and receivers off the board, then a more conventional approach is in order...

    Possible squad through six rounds

  • RB Maurice Jones-Drew
  • RB DeMarco Murray
  • WR Wes Welker
  • WR Hakeem Nicks
  • QB Tony Romo
  • WR Eric Decker
  • In this example, the top three quarterbacks and top two tight ends all leapt off the board in round one as well as Calvin Johnson. This resulted in running back talent dropping to my two picks and having a Jones-Drew / Murray combination to begin the draft works out well. The foundation is certainly in place here as I have a good starting quarterback, a good starting backfield and my starting receiving core in place. I would need a starting tight end and a decent flex option to make this a successful first half of the draft but the crucial pieces are already in place for a successful season.

    Likely selections in first eight rounds

  • Round 1-2: QB (if big three available), TE (if big two available), WR Calvin Johnson or Larry Fitzgerald or RB
  • Round 3-4: TE Antonio Gates or Aaron Hernandez, QB Cam Newton, Matthew Stafford, RB, WR
  • Round 5-6: RB/WR unless great value at QB or Jason Witten / Vernon Davis at TE
  • Round 7-8: QB if needed/ TE if needed) / RB / WR
  • Positives of the draft slot

  • Back-to-back picks can dictate direction of the draft
  • Talent should fall to each set up picks as long as you draft for talent and not position
  • First pick in round two helps to even out the playing field
  • Negatives of the draft slot

  • Every owner in round one ahead of this pick lands the player they want most putting this owner behind the eight ball
  • Long wait between picks makes it tough to project what will happen and projecting poorly can be crippling
  • The owners at top of draft have a definite advantage over owners at bottom of draft
  • Final Draft Table

    Pick
    Pos
    Player Selected
    Team
    Selected By
    1.01
    RB1
    Arian Foster
    Hou/8
    Team 1
    1.02
    RB2
    Ray Rice
    Bal/8
    Team 2
    1.03
    RB3
    LeSean McCoy
    Phi/7
    Team 3
    1.04
    TE1
    Jimmy Graham
    NO/6
    Team 4
    1.05
    QB1
    Aaron Rodgers
    GB/10
    Team 5
    1.06
    WR1
    Calvin Johnson
    Det/5
    Team 6
    1.07
    RB4
    Matt Forte
    Chi/6
    Team 7
    1.08
    QB2
    Tom Brady
    NE/9
    Team 8
    1.09
    QB3
    Drew Brees
    NO/6
    Team 9
    1.10
    RB5
    Trent Richardson
    Cle/10
    Team 10
    1.11
    TE2
    Rob Gronkowski
    NE/9
    Team 11
    1.12
    RB6
    Chris Johnson
    Ten/11
    Team 12
    1.13
    RB7
    Darren McFadden
    Oak/5
    Team 13
    1.14
    RB8
    Maurice Jones-Drew
    Jac/6
    Draft Study Team
    2.01
    RB11
    DeMarco Murray
    Dal/5
    Draft Study Team
    2.02
    RB9
    Jamaal Charles
    KC/7
    Team 13
    2.03
    RB10
    Ahmad Bradshaw
    NYG/11
    Team 12
    2.04
    RB12
    Ryan Mathews
    SD/7
    Team 11
    2.05
    RB13
    Doug Martin
    TB/5
    Team 10
    2.06
    RB14
    Steven Jackson
    StL/9
    Team 9
    2.07
    RB15
    Fred Jackson
    Buf/8
    Team 8
    2.08
    WR2
    Larry Fitzgerald
    Ari/10
    Team 7
    2.09
    RB16
    Darren Sproles
    NO/6
    Team 6
    2.10
    WR3
    Andre Johnson
    Hou/8
    Team 5
    2.11
    RB17
    Adrian Peterson
    Min/11
    Team 4
    2.12
    WR4
    Julio Jones
    Atl/7
    Team 3
    2.13
    WR5
    Jordy Nelson
    GB/10
    Team 2
    2.14
    WR6
    Greg Jennings
    GB/10
    Team 1
    3.01
    RB18
    Reggie Bush
    Mia/7
    Team 1
    3.02
    RB19
    Donald Brown
    Ind/4
    Team 2
    3.03
    QB4
    Cam Newton
    Car/6
    Team 3
    3.04
    QB5
    Matthew Stafford
    Det/5
    Team 4
    3.05
    RB20
    Marshawn Lynch
    Sea/11
    Team 5
    3.06
    WR7
    Roddy White
    Atl/7
    Team 6
    3.07
    RB21
    Isaac Redman
    Pit/4
    Team 7
    3.08
    WR8
    Dez Bryant
    Dal/5
    Team 8
    3.09
    TE3
    Antonio Gates
    SD/7
    Team 9
    3.10
    WR9
    A.J. Green
    Cin/8
    Team 10
    3.11
    WR10
    Victor Cruz
    NYG/11
    Team 11
    3.12
    RB22
    Michael Turner
    Atl/7
    Team 12
    3.13
    RB23
    Frank Gore
    SF/9
    Team 13
    3.14
    WR12
    Wes Welker
    NE/9
    Draft Study Team
    4.01
    WR17
    Hakeem Nicks
    NYG/11
    Draft Study Team
    4.02
    TE4
    Jason Witten
    Dal/5
    Team 13
    4.03
    TE5
    Aaron Hernandez
    NE/9
    Team 12
    4.04
    WR11
    Demaryius Thomas
    Den/7
    Team 11
    4.05
    WR13
    Mike Wallace
    Pit/4
    Team 10
    4.06
    WR14
    Percy Harvin
    Min/11
    Team 9
    4.07
    RB24
    James Starks
    GB/10
    Team 8
    4.08
    WR15
    Brandon Marshall
    Chi/6
    Team 7
    4.09
    RB25
    Shonn Greene
    NYJ/9
    Team 6
    4.10
    WR16
    Miles Austin
    Dal/5
    Team 5
    4.11
    WR18
    Marques Colston
    NO/6
    Team 4
    4.12
    WR19
    Steve Johnson
    Buf/8
    Team 3
    4.13
    WR20
    Steve Smith
    Car/6
    Team 2
    4.14
    WR21
    Vincent Jackson
    TB/5
    Team 1
    5.01
    RB26
    Roy Helu
    Was/10
    Team 1
    5.02
    RB27
    Jonathan Stewart
    Car/6
    Team 2
    5.03
    RB28
    BenJarvus Green-Ellis
    Cin/8
    Team 3
    5.04
    RB29
    C.J. Spiller
    Buf/8
    Team 4
    5.05
    RB30
    Willis McGahee
    Den/7
    Team 5
    5.06
    RB31
    Mark Ingram
    NO/6
    Team 6
    5.07
    TE6
    Vernon Davis
    SF/9
    Team 7
    5.08
    TE7
    Brandon Pettigrew
    Det/5
    Team 8
    5.09
    RB32
    DeAngelo Williams
    Car/6
    Team 9
    5.10
    RB33
    Ryan Williams
    Ari/10
    Team 10
    5.11
    WR22
    DeSean Jackson
    Phi/7
    Team 11
    5.12
    QB6
    Michael Vick
    Phi/7
    Team 12
    5.13
    QB7
    Philip Rivers
    SD/7
    Team 13
    5.14
    WR24
    Eric Decker
    Den/7
    Draft Study Team
    6.01
    QB10
    Matt Ryan
    Atl/7
    Draft Study Team
    6.02
    WR23
    Denarius Moore
    Oak/5
    Team 13
    6.03
    WR25
    Jeremy Maclin
    Phi/7
    Team 12
    6.04
    QB8
    Eli Manning
    NYG/11
    Team 11
    6.05
    QB9
    Tony Romo
    Dal/5
    Team 10
    6.06
    WR26
    Antonio Brown
    Pit/4
    Team 9
    6.07
    WR27
    Torrey Smith
    Bal/8
    Team 8
    6.08
    WR28
    Dwayne Bowe
    KC/7
    Team 7
    6.09
    WR29
    Reggie Wayne
    Ind/4
    Team 6
    6.10
    WR30
    Brandon Lloyd
    NE/9
    Team 5
    6.11
    WR31
    Darrius Heyward-Bey
    Oak/5
    Team 4
    6.12
    QB11
    Ben Roethlisberger
    Pit/4
    Team 3
    6.13
    QB12
    Robert Griffin III
    Was/10
    Team 2
    6.14
    QB13
    Peyton Manning
    Den/7
    Team 1
    7.01
    WR32
    Santonio Holmes
    NYJ/9
    Team 1
    7.02
    WR33
    Kenny Britt
    Ten/11
    Team 2
    7.03
    RB34
    Stevan Ridley
    NE/9
    Team 3
    7.04
    RB35
    Peyton Hillis
    KC/7
    Team 4
    7.05
    RB36
    Pierre Thomas
    NO/6
    Team 5
    7.06
    TE8
    Tony Gonzalez
    Atl/7
    Team 6
    7.07
    RB37
    Kevin Smith
    Det/5
    Team 7
    7.08
    RB38
    Felix Jones
    Dal/5
    Team 8
    7.09
    RB39
    Michael Bush
    Chi/6
    Team 9
    7.10
    TE9
    Jermichael Finley
    GB/10
    Team 10
    7.11
    WR34
    Sidney Rice
    Sea/11
    Team 11
    7.12
    WR35
    Robert Meachem
    SD/7
    Team 12
    7.13
    TE10
    Fred Davis
    Was/10
    Team 13
    7.14
    TE12
    Jermaine Gresham
    Cin/8
    Draft Study Team
    8.01
    WR36
    Pierre Garcon
    Was/10
    Draft Study Team
    8.02
    DEF1
    San Francisco
    SF/9
    Team 13
    8.03
    WR37
    Malcom Floyd
    SD/7
    Team 12
    8.04
    RB40
    Chris Wells
    Ari/10
    Team 11
    8.05
    QB14
    Josh Freeman
    TB/5
    Team 10
    8.06
    RB41
    Toby Gerhart
    Min/11
    Team 9
    8.07
    RB42
    Ronnie Hillman
    Den/7
    Team 8
    8.08
    QB15
    Carson Palmer
    Oak/5
    Team 7
    8.09
    QB16
    Andy Dalton
    Cin/8
    Team 6
    8.10
    DEF2
    Philadelphia
    Phi/7
    Team 5
    8.11
    RB43
    Mikel Leshoure
    Det/5
    Team 4
    8.12
    WR38
    Greg Little
    Cle/10
    Team 3
    8.13
    WR39
    Randy Moss
    SF/9
    Team 2
    8.14
    WR40
    Nate Washington
    Ten/11
    Team 1
    9.01
    TE11
    Brent Celek
    Phi/7
    Team 1
    9.02
    DEF3
    Baltimore
    Bal/8
    Team 2
    9.03
    DEF4
    Chicago
    Chi/6
    Team 3
    9.04
    DEF5
    New York Jets
    NYJ/9
    Team 4
    9.05
    TE13
    Dustin Keller
    NYJ/9
    Team 5
    9.06
    TE14
    Owen Daniels
    Hou/8
    Team 6
    9.07
    WR41
    Anquan Boldin
    Bal/8
    Team 7
    9.08
    DEF6
    Pittsburgh
    Pit/4
    Team 8
    9.09
    PK1
    Stephen Gostkowski
    NE/9
    Team 9
    9.10
    DEF7
    New England
    NE/9
    Team 10
    9.11
    DEF8
    Green Bay
    GB/10
    Team 11
    9.12
    DEF9
    Detroit
    Det/5
    Team 12
    9.13
    PK2
    David Akers
    SF/9
    Team 13
    9.14
    RB46
    Jacquizz Rodgers
    Atl/7
    Draft Study Team
    10.01
    RB45
    Daniel Thomas
    Mia/7
    Draft Study Team
    10.02
    WR42
    Michael Crabtree
    SF/9
    Team 13
    10.03
    WR43
    Lance Moore
    NO/6
    Team 12
    10.04
    RB44
    Ben Tate
    Hou/8
    Team 11
    10.05
    RB47
    Rashad Jennings
    Jac/6
    Team 10
    10.06
    RB48
    Tim Hightower
    Was/10
    Team 9
    10.07
    WR44
    Mike Williams
    TB/5
    Team 8
    10.08
    QB17
    Matt Schaub
    Hou/8
    Team 7
    10.09
    WR45
    Titus Young
    Det/5
    Team 6
    10.10
    WR46
    Austin Collie
    Ind/4
    Team 5
    10.11
    WR47
    Terrell Owens
    Sea/11
    Team 4
    10.12
    WR48
    Brandon LaFell
    Car/6
    Team 3
    10.13
    QB18
    Ryan Fitzpatrick
    Buf/8
    Team 2
    10.14
    DEF10
    New York Giants
    NYG/11
    Team 1
    11.01
    QB19
    Alex Smith
    SF/9
    Team 1
    11.02
    TE15
    Jacob Tamme
    Den/7
    Team 2
    11.03
    RB49
    Marcel Reece
    Oak/5
    Team 3
    11.04
    QB20
    Joe Flacco
    Bal/8
    Team 4
    11.05
    QB21
    Jay Cutler
    Chi/6
    Team 5
    11.06
    QB22
    Andrew Luck
    Ind/4
    Team 6
    11.07
    PK3
    Garrett Hartley
    NO/6
    Team 7
    11.08
    WR49
    Santana Moss
    Was/10
    Team 8
    11.09
    QB23
    Jake Locker
    Ten/11
    Team 9
    11.10
    PK4
    Mason Crosby
    GB/10
    Team 10
    11.11
    QB24
    Christian Ponder
    Min/11
    Team 11
    11.12
    RB50
    Joe McKnight
    NYJ/9
    Team 12
    11.13
    RB51
    Danny Woodhead
    NE/9
    Team 13
    11.14
    RB53
    David Wilson
    NYG/11
    Draft Study Team
    12.01
    WR50
    Justin Blackmon
    Jac/6
    Draft Study Team
    12.02
    WR51
    Nate Burleson
    Det/5
    Team 13
    12.03
    TE16
    Jared Cook
    Ten/11
    Team 12
    12.04
    RB52
    Kendall Hunter
    SF/9
    Team 11
    12.05
    WR52
    Doug Baldwin
    Sea/11
    Team 10
    12.06
    TE17
    Coby Fleener
    Ind/4
    Team 9
    12.07
    QB25
    Sam Bradford
    StL/9
    Team 8
    12.08
    DEF11
    Buffalo
    Buf/8
    Team 7
    12.09
    RB54
    Shane Vereen
    NE/9
    Team 6
    12.10
    RB55
    Alex Green
    GB/10
    Team 5
    12.11
    RB56
    Ronnie Brown
    SD/7
    Team 4
    12.12
    PK5
    Sebastian Janikowski
    Oak/5
    Team 3
    12.13
    RB57
    Isaiah Pead
    StL/9
    Team 2
    12.14
    RB58
    Jahvid Best
    Det/5
    Team 1
    13.01
    TE18
    Greg Olsen
    Car/6
    Team 1
    13.02
    WR53
    David Nelson
    Buf/8
    Team 2
    13.03
    WR54
    Randall Cobb
    GB/10
    Team 3
    13.04
    WR55
    Jerome Simpson
    Min/11
    Team 4
    13.05
    RB59
    Mike Goodson
    Oak/5
    Team 5
    13.06
    RB60
    Mike Tolbert
    Car/6
    Team 6
    13.07
    WR56
    Michael Floyd
    Ari/10
    Team 7
    13.08
    WR57
    Davone Bess
    Mia/7
    Team 8
    13.09
    WR58
    Laurent Robinson
    Jac/6
    Team 9
    13.10
    WR59
    Emmanuel Sanders
    Pit/4
    Team 10
    13.11
    RB61
    LeGarrette Blount
    TB/5
    Team 11
    13.12
    WR60
    Brian Hartline
    Mia/7
    Team 12
    13.13
    WR61
    Brian Quick
    StL/9
    Team 13
    13.14
    WR63
    Kendall Wright
    Ten/11
    Draft Study Team
    14.01
    QB29
    Mark Sanchez
    NYJ/9
    Draft Study Team
    14.02
    WR62
    Danny Amendola
    StL/9
    Team 13
    14.03
    PK6
    Alex Henery
    Phi/7
    Team 12
    14.04
    TE19
    Heath Miller
    Pit/4
    Team 11
    14.05
    TE20
    Ed Dickson
    Bal/8
    Team 10
    14.06
    DEF12
    Dallas
    Dal/5
    Team 9
    14.07
    TE21
    Kyle Rudolph
    Min/11
    Team 8
    14.08
    DEF13
    Seattle
    Sea/11
    Team 7
    14.09
    DEF14
    Atlanta
    Atl/7
    Team 6
    14.10
    RB62
    Danny Ware
    NYG/11
    Team 5
    14.11
    RB63
    Bernard Scott
    Cin/8
    Team 4
    14.12
    PK7
    Dan Carpenter
    Mia/7
    Team 3
    14.13
    PK8
    Randy Bullock
    Hou/8
    Team 2
    14.14
    PK9
    Nate Kaeding
    SD/7
    Team 1
    15.01
    PK10
    Dan Bailey
    Dal/5
    Team 1
    15.02
    PK11
    Matt Bryant
    Atl/7
    Team 2
    15.03
    DEF15
    New Orleans
    NO/6
    Team 3
    15.04
    PK12
    Billy Cundiff
    Bal/8
    Team 4
    15.05
    PK13
    Jason Hanson
    Det/5
    Team 5
    15.06
    RB64
    Javon Ringer
    Ten/11
    Team 6
    15.07
    RB65
    Delone Carter
    Ind/4
    Team 7
    15.08
    RB66
    LeRon McClain
    SD/7
    Team 8
    15.09
    RB67
    Leon Washington
    Sea/11
    Team 9
    15.10
    RB68
    Bernard Pierce
    Bal/8
    Team 10
    15.11
    RB69
    Robert Turbin
    Sea/11
    Team 11
    15.12
    QB26
    Matt Cassel
    KC/7
    Team 12
    15.13
    QB27
    Brandon Weeden
    Cle/10
    Team 13
    15.14
    TE23
    Marcedes Lewis
    Jac/6
    Draft Study Team
    16.01
    DEF18
    Denver
    Den/7
    Draft Study Team
    16.02
    TE22
    Lance Kendricks
    StL/9
    Team 13
    16.03
    PK14
    Mike Nugent
    Cin/8
    Team 12
    16.04
    PK15
    Shaun Suisham
    Pit/4
    Team 11
    16.05
    WR64
    Alshon Jeffery
    Chi/6
    Team 10
    16.06
    WR65
    Vincent Brown
    SD/7
    Team 9
    16.07
    RB70
    Dion Lewis
    Phi/7
    Team 8
    16.08
    RB71
    Brandon Jacobs
    SF/9
    Team 7
    16.09
    DEF16
    Arizona
    Ari/10
    Team 6
    16.10
    PK16
    Neil Rackers
    Was/10
    Team 5
    16.11
    PK17
    Rob Bironas
    Ten/11
    Team 4
    16.12
    RB72
    Brian Leonard
    Cin/8
    Team 3
    16.13
    RB73
    Rashard Mendenhall
    Pit/4
    Team 2
    16.14
    WR66
    Stephen Hill
    NYJ/9
    Team 1
    17.01
    TE24
    Tony Moeaki
    KC/7
    Team 1
    17.02
    TE25
    Scott Chandler
    Buf/8
    Team 2
    17.03
    TE26
    Zach Miller
    Sea/11
    Team 3
    17.04
    TE27
    Dallas Clark
    TB/5
    Team 4
    17.05
    TE28
    Anthony Fasano
    Mia/7
    Team 5
    17.06
    PK18
    Josh Brown
    NYJ/9
    Team 6
    17.07
    TE29
    Dennis Pitta
    Bal/8
    Team 7
    17.08
    PK19
    Matt Prater
    Den/7
    Team 8
    17.09
    WR67
    Donnie Avery
    Ind/4
    Team 9
    17.10
    WR68
    Steve Smith
    StL/9
    Team 10
    17.11
    WR69
    Jacoby Ford
    Oak/5
    Team 11
    17.12
    TE30
    Kellen Winslow
    Sea/11
    Team 12
    17.13
    WR70
    Devery Henderson
    NO/6
    Team 13
    17.14
    RB81
    Lamar Miller
    Mia/7
    Draft Study Team
    18.01
    PK20
    Robbie Gould
    Chi/6
    Draft Study Team
    18.02
    PK21
    Justin Medlock
    Car/6
    Team 13
    18.03
    WR71
    Jason Avant
    Phi/7
    Team 12
    18.04
    WR72
    Earl Bennett
    Chi/6
    Team 11
    18.05
    WR73
    Steve Breaston
    KC/7
    Team 10
    18.06
    WR74
    Rueben Randle
    NYG/11
    Team 9
    18.07
    WR75
    Leonard Hankerson
    Was/10
    Team 8
    18.08
    TE31
    Ben Watson
    Cle/10
    Team 7
    18.09
    WR76
    Kevin Walter
    Hou/8
    Team 6
    18.10
    WR77
    Harry Douglas
    Atl/7
    Team 5
    18.11
    WR78
    Donald Jones
    Buf/8
    Team 4
    18.12
    TE32
    Joel Dreessen
    Den/7
    Team 3
    18.13
    RB74
    Jason Snelling
    Atl/7
    Team 2
    18.14
    DEF17
    Minnesota
    Min/11
    Team 1

    Breaking down the mock draft from the 14th draft position

    Round 1-2 turn: RB Maurice Jones-Drew / RB DeMarco Murray

    All you can do here is wait for your turn and see which two players fall to you. If one of the big three quarterbacks or big two tight ends tumble this far they would be an excellent pickup. However all are off the board when my two picks arrive which means running back talent fell to this spot. I am very happy to begin a draft RB/RB when value is there so I gladly scoop up Jones-Drew and Murray, both of whom are capable of top-five seasons and sit back to wait for my next two picks.

    Rounds 3-4: WR Wes Welker / WR Hakeem Nicks

    In a FLEX style fantasy league, often running backs will be scooped up pretty early, allowing receiving talent to drop. Owners will always see the attraction of a RB/RB/RB beginning to a draft when you can start three running backs. However as I will often state in these studies, worry about getting the best available talent in the first four rounds and build a strong foundation to the squad. In this case, sure I can add a James Starks kind of running back but the value picks here are at receiver. I gladly add both Welker and Nicks who have top-ten potential and move on.

    Rounds 5-6: WR Eric Decker / QB Matt Ryan

    My first thought here is to add a third running back but nobody leaps out to me as a value pick here so I forget about it. I consider a tight end but see several tight ends available and one should drop to my next pick. If not I have a couple of sleeper tight ends I like. I consider waiting on quarterback as well but there are three I love here and I doubt any of the three will make it back to my next pair of picks. I take the quarterback I like best here and lock in my starter whom I believe is capable of a top-four season with the skilled position weapons he has around him. Eric Decker is an easy decision to lock in my starting receivers. Welker, Nicks and Decker are a formidable trio.

    Round 7-8: TE Jermaine Gresham / WR Pierre Garcon

    I expect to add a running back but once again, nobody is leaping off the page at me. I continue to target strictly value instead of position and grab my starting tight end and my fourth receiver in Pierre Garcon who appears to have great chemistry with rookie Robert Griffin III. Garcon will be my FLEX option in many weeks.

    Rounds 9-10: RB Jacquizz Rodgers / RB Daniel Thomas

    Here is the reason I waited on the running back position. There are young, talented running backs that I like in the mid-rounds of fantasy leagues this year with big upsides. If you look at Rodgers size, you wouldn't think possible fantasy weapon but he reminds me in stature of Barry Sanders. Rodgers has thick legs and a powerful build and if Michael Turner ages suddenly or has injury woes, Rodgers will surprise. If not, Rodgers will still have plenty of work catching passes and is still a decent backup for my squad. Daniel Thomas may be a boom or bust draft pick for me here. He has potential to carry the load on offense, allowing Reggie Bush to be the fantastic pass-catching back he is best at but Thomas has a lot to prove this year and must hold off rookie Lamar Miller who has a chip on his shoulder after falling in the draft. I will attempt to add Miller later on if possible.

    At the just past the halfway point of the draft, our team looks like this...

    Quarterbacks

  • Matt Ryan
  • Running Backs

  • Maurice Jones-Drew
  • DeMarco Murray
  • Jacquizz Rodgers
  • Daniel Thomas
  • Wide Receivers

  • Wes Welker
  • Hakeem Nicks
  • Eric Decker
  • Pierre Garcon
  • Tight Ends

  • Jermaine Gresham
  • Place Kickers

  • none
  • Defenses

  • none
  • It is very difficult drafting from the final slot in a fourteen-team league every fantasy season although that doesn't mean you cannot build a strong squad. The most challenging aspect is projecting 28 picks out for positional needs as well as seeing players you love fall off the draft board. Do not fall in love with particular players in this slot as it will likely become a frustrating draft. Simply stay calm and look for value each time. I have a good pair of starting running backs, two young running backs with upside, a great fantasy option at quarterback, a very good tight end and four good receivers. In other words, I am looking very good through ten picks.

    Rounds 11-14: RB David Wilson / WR Justin Blackmon / WR Kendall Wright / QB Mark Sanchez

    I am looking for upside here and it came in the form of a trio of rookie players with big upside. I have my core in place and can take some chances in these rounds, trying to hit it big and close the gap on the owners who were at the top of the draft board. David Wilson is an explosive, quick running back that likely has more talent than the incumbent Ahmad Bradshaw. He is not going to take over for him or anything this year unless injury hits but Wilson will get a decent work load and if he is exceptional, he will earn more touches as the year wears on. Bradshaw has been a RBBC player since entering the league. Next I scoop up a pair of rookie receivers that could sizzle or fizzle but without question are worth a shot. Blackmon has the ability to step in as the best receiver in Jacksonville while Kendall Wright has the speed to really stretch a defense and could get several long touchdowns. Both could be interesting bye week options. Finally I add a backup quarterback but only plan on using him in a bye week situation as long as Ryan is healthy.

    Rounds 15-18: TE Marcedes Lewis / DEF Broncos / RB Lamar Miller / PK Robbie Gould

    I add a capable backup tight end here, my starting defense and kicker and did manage to grab Lamar Miller late in the draft in case Daniel Thomas struggles.

    Final Roster (Draft Slot #14)

    Quarterbacks

  • Matt Ryan
  • Mark Sanchez
  • Running Backs

  • Maurice Jones-Drew
  • DeMarco Murray
  • Jacquizz Rodgers
  • Daniel Thomas
  • David Wilson
  • Lamar Miller
  • Wide Receivers

  • Wes Welker
  • Hakeem Nicks
  • Eric Decker
  • Pierre Garcon
  • Justin Blackmon
  • Kendall Wright
  • Tight Ends

  • Jermaine Gresham
  • Marcedes Lewis
  • Place Kickers

  • Robbie Gould
  • Defenses

  • Denver Broncos
  • Final thoughts on this roster

    I took some chances in the middle rounds trying to find some potential diamonds and if some of those picks pay off, I love the look of this team. My starting lineup of Matt Ryan, Maurice Jones Drew, DeMarco Murray, Wes Welker, Hakeem Nicks, Eric Decker, Pierre Garcon and Jermaine Gresham is very strong as it is and this team will have a real chance to win a title if they stay healthy or the young players exceed expectations for this year.

    Last thoughts on the 14th draft slot in a 14-team league

    As mentioned early, drafting last in a 14-team league is not an easy challenge. It is tough to get the final pick in round one as each of the thirteen owners will get their top player on the draft board. The first pick in round two does make up for this somewhat but with only three picks in the top forty-two players, it really can be a challenge to put together a good team. As always, draft for value and not positional needs in the first several rounds and build up a strong, talented foundation. After that, look for players with significant upside and hope to hit a homerun with a couple of them. Once your starting unit is established, go for players with upside to greatly exceed their draft positions (like players I selected), not vanilla players who can put up pedestrian stats but no upside (players like Kevin Walter, Laurent Robinson, Ronnie Brown, etc.). Do that and you will be on your way to league success and that championship money.

    Good luck and happy drafting. Thanks for reading.

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