Draft Slots Study - 14 Teams / Pick 1.11
By Chris Smith
August 13th, 2012

One of the more interesting discussion points every time a new fantasy football season rolls around is in regards to the draft slots. While it is possible with wise decisions, bold moves and fearless picks to win a league no matter where you draft from, it is obvious to veteran fantasy owners that there is some advantage to drafting in certain positions as opposed to others. Every draft slot will have positives, negatives and its own unique draft strategy and it is imperative that fantasy owners take the time to really breakdown the advantages and disadvantages to their draft position. That is where I and this long-running Footballguys exclusive come in.

This series of articles will take an in-depth look at multiple types of leagues such as 10-team, 12-team and 14-team leagues as well as unique starting lineup and scoring rules. We will run a mock draft for every new scenario and breakdown the positives and negatives of each draft position.

This study is performed using the mock draft function within our own Draft Dominator software. The program gives you the ability to draft for one team and have the other teams taken over by computer control using different ADP lists. For the purpose of this study, I will use David Dodds' projections found within the Dominator. The mock draft ability of the Dominator is a nice way to prepare for your fantasy draft. Running the same draft several times will help you to anticipate all possible scenarios when your own draft arrives. Check it out today.

This particular series is based on...

  • 14 teams
  • 18 rounds
  • There are a few interesting twists in this study

  • Flex player added
  • 6 points per passing touchdown
  • 1 point per reception for running backs / receivers but 1.5 points per reception for tight ends
  • Starting Lineup Requirements(18 total players on roster)

  • 1 Quarterback
  • 2 Running Backs
  • 3 Wide Receivers
  • 1 Tight End
  • 1 Place Kicker
  • 1 Team Defense
  • 1 Flex Player (RB, WR, TE)
  • League Scoring Rules

  • Passing: 1 point every 20 passing yards / 6 points per touchdown pass / -1 point per interception
  • Rushing: 1 point every 10 rushing yards / 6 points per touchdown
  • Receiving: 1 point every 10 receiving yards / 6 points per touchdown / 1 point per reception (RBs and WRs) / 1.5 points per reception (TEs)
  • Kicking: 3 points per field goal / 1 point per extra point
  • Defense: 5 points for shutout / 3 points for allowing < 7 points / 1 point for allowing less than 11 points / 2 points for interceptions / fumble recoveries and safeties / 1 point per sack
  • A few players are dropping further than anticipated in the Draft Dominator likely due to a number of factors. I have tweaked those players' projections higher in order to have them drafted where they should be in the draft. I am always striving to make this series better so if you have any feedback or questions, let me know. If you would like to see a particular study this season, please send me an e-mail at smith@footballguys.com, and I will do my best to cover your scoring rules, starting lineup requirements, etc. before the end of training camp.

    Onto the article.

    Drafting 11th overall (14-team re-draft)

    This will be a challenging draft slot this year but it is still possible to build a very strong team. The top several running backs, QB Aaron Rodgers, WR Calvin Johnson and TE Jimmy Graham are all very likely to be off the board here meaning this draft slot will be behind the other owners who drafted ahead in round one. However the earlier pick coming back in round two is going to help alleviate that concern and there are multiple paths to take this draft down. QB Drew Brees, TE Rob Gronkowski and QB Tom Brady are all possibilities but again with the FLEX pick going running back here is likely going to make the most sense unless one of the mentioned players earlier falls. In a running back heavy draft, this owner will be able to begin with Graham, Calvin Johnson or Rodgers and have a nice advantage out of the gate. However if they are all gone, RB/RB may be the best bet here.

    Possible strategies to incorporate into your draft

    League that goes RB heavy in first two rounds

    Possible squad through five rounds

  • TE Jimmy Graham
  • QB Drew Brees
  • WR Wes Welker
  • WR Hakeem Nicks
  • WR Eric Decker
  • This would be an extreme case of high risk and high reward drafting. With a top-two quarterback and the best tight end on board as well as a strong receiving trio, in many ways this starting lineup will be the toast of the league. However the obvious caveat here is the lack of running backs available. Quickly playing through the next several rounds, a possible running back stable could be Ryan Williams, Mikel Leshoure and Daniel Thomas. All three players have big upside but also chance of minimal impact. It would be those types of players to target though hoping to find a few diamonds in the rough. If you get six such players and even three hit, this squad would look outstanding.

    League that has more flexibility in first two rounds

    If your league has more flexibility in the top include the best quarterbacks and receivers off the board, then a more conventional approach is in order...

    Possible squad through five rounds

  • RB Chris Johnson
  • RB DeMarco Murray
  • RB Frank Gore
  • WR Mike Wallace
  • WR DeSean Jackson
  • This is a more typical fantasy approach and works out quite nicely. The first three picks are all running backs and allows me to plug in Frank Gore as my FLEX option, which is strong. Picking up two good receiving options in round five really does solidify the foundation of this squad. Rounds six through eight could bring in a receiver like Torrey Smith, a tight end such as Fred Davis and a quarterback like Matt Schaub and this roster will be in outstanding shape.

    Likely selections in first seven rounds

  • Round 1: RB unless QB Aaron Rodgers / WR Calvin Johnson or TE Jimmy Graham available
  • Round 2: RB/WR unless QB Drew Brees / Tom Brady (even then I may lean towards running back if I like one at that spot)
  • Round 3: RB/WR unless QB above or Cam Newton / Matthew Stafford, TE Rob Gronkowski available
  • Round 4: RB/WR unless exceptional value at QB (above mentioned only) or TE Antonio Gates / Aaron Hernandez
  • Round 5: RB/WR unless great value at QB (above plus Michael Vick) or TE Jason Witten / Vernon Davis
  • Round 6: QB if none taken unless multiple left on board, then RB/WR/TE if ones mentioned above there)
  • Round 7: QB/TE if none taken, otherwise RB/WR
  • Positives of the draft slot

  • Two of the top-eighteen players
  • Easy to project who is available between odd and even rounds
  • Good spot to start a draft RB/RB and get a great starting duo
  • Negatives of the draft slot

  • Good chance the top several running backs, top quarterback, receiver and tight end all off the board
  • Very long time between even and odd round picks will make it challenging to project
  • Can feel like you are chasing owners ahead of you in round one and getting the earlier pick in round two
  • Final Draft Table

    Pick
    Pos
    Player Selected
    Team
    Selected By
    1.01
    RB1
    Arian Foster
    Hou/8
    Team 1
    1.02
    RB2
    Ray Rice
    Bal/8
    Team 2
    1.03
    RB3
    LeSean McCoy
    Phi/7
    Team 3
    1.04
    RB4
    Matt Forte
    Chi/6
    Team 4
    1.05
    QB1
    Aaron Rodgers
    GB/10
    Team 5
    1.06
    RB5
    Trent Richardson
    Cle/10
    Team 6
    1.07
    WR1
    Calvin Johnson
    Det/5
    Team 7
    1.08
    RB6
    Chris Johnson
    Ten/11
    Team 8
    1.09
    QB2
    Tom Brady
    NE/9
    Team 9
    1.10
    RB7
    Darren McFadden
    Oak/5
    Team 10
    1.11
    RB8
    Maurice Jones-Drew
    Jac/6
    Draft Study Team
    1.12
    QB3
    Drew Brees
    NO/6
    Team 12
    1.13
    RB9
    Jamaal Charles
    KC/7
    Team 13
    1.14
    RB10
    Ahmad Bradshaw
    NYG/11
    Team 14
    2.01
    TE1
    Jimmy Graham
    NO/6
    Team 14
    2.02
    TE2
    Rob Gronkowski
    NE/9
    Team 13
    2.03
    RB11
    Ryan Matthews
    SD/7
    Team 12
    2.04
    RB12
    DeMarco Murray
    Dal/5
    Draft Study Team
    2.05
    RB13
    Doug Martin
    TB/5
    Team 10
    2.06
    RB14
    Steven Jackson
    StL/9
    Team 9
    2.07
    RB15
    Fred Jackson
    Buf/8
    Team 8
    2.08
    WR2
    Larry Fitzgerald
    Ari/10
    Team 7
    2.09
    RB16
    Darren Sproles
    NO/6
    Team 6
    2.10
    RB17
    Adrian Peterson
    Min/11
    Team 5
    2.11
    WR3
    Andre Johnson
    Hou/8
    Team 4
    2.12
    WR4
    Julio Jones
    Atl/7
    Team 3
    2.13
    WR5
    Greg Jennings
    GB/10
    Team 2
    2.14
    RB18
    Reggie Bush
    Mia/7
    Team 1
    3.01
    WR6
    Roddy White
    Atl/7
    Team 1
    3.02
    WR7
    Jordy Nelson
    GB/10
    Team 2
    3.03
    RB19
    Donald Brown
    Ind/4
    Team 3
    3.04
    QB4
    Cam Newton
    Car/6
    Team 4
    3.05
    RB20
    Marshawn Lynch
    Sea/11
    Team 5
    3.06
    QB5
    Matthew Stafford
    Det/5
    Team 6
    3.07
    WR8
    Dez Bryant
    Dal/5
    Team 7
    3.08
    RB21
    Isaac Redman
    Pit/4
    Team 8
    3.09
    WR9
    A.J. Green
    Cin/8
    Team 9
    3.10
    WR10
    Victor Cruz
    NYG/11
    Team 10
    3.11
    WR12
    Wes Welker
    NE/9
    Draft Study Team
    3.12
    RB22
    Michael Turner
    Atl/7
    Team 12
    3.13
    WR11
    Demaryius Thomas
    Den/7
    Team 13
    3.14
    WR13
    Mike Wallace
    Pit/4
    Team 14
    4.01
    TE3
    Aaron Hernandez
    NE/9
    Team 14
    4.02
    TE4
    Jason Witten
    Dal/5
    Team 13
    4.03
    TE5
    Antonio Gates
    SD/7
    Team 12
    4.04
    WR17
    Hakeem Nicks
    NYG/11
    Draft Study Team
    4.05
    WR14
    Percy Harvin
    Min/11
    Team 10
    4.06
    RB23
    Frank Gore
    SF/9
    Team 9
    4.07
    WR15
    Brandon Marshall
    Chi/6
    Team 8
    4.08
    WR16
    Miles Austin
    Dal/5
    Team 7
    4.09
    RB24
    James Starks
    GB/10
    Team 6
    4.10
    RB25
    Shonn Greene
    NYJ/9
    Team 5
    4.11
    WR18
    Marques Colston
    NO/6
    Team 4
    4.12
    WR19
    Steve Johnson
    Buf/8
    Team 3
    4.13
    WR20
    Steve Smith
    Car/6
    Team 2
    4.14
    WR21
    Vincent Jackson
    TB/5
    Team 1
    5.01
    QB6
    Michael Vick
    Phi/7
    Team 1
    5.02
    RB26
    Roy Helu
    Was/10
    Team 2
    5.03
    RB27
    Jonathan Stewart
    Car/6
    Team 3
    5.04
    RB28
    BenJarvus Green-Ellis
    Cin/8
    Team 4
    5.05
    WR22
    DeSean Jackson
    Phi/7
    Team 5
    5.06
    TE6
    Vernon Davis
    SF/9
    Team 6
    5.07
    QB7
    Philip Rivers
    SD/7
    Team 7
    5.08
    QB8
    Eli Manning
    NYG/11
    Team 8
    5.09
    RB29
    C.J. Spiller
    Buf/8
    Team 9
    5.10
    WR23
    Denarius Moore
    Oak/5
    Team 10
    5.11
    RB30
    Willis McGahee
    Den/7
    Draft Study Team
    5.12
    RB31
    Mark Ingram
    NO/6
    Team 12
    5.13
    WR24
    Eric Decker
    Den/7
    Team 13
    5.14
    QB9
    Tony Romo
    Dal/5
    Team 14
    6.01
    WR25
    Jeremy Maclin
    Phi/7
    Team 14
    6.02
    QB10
    Matt Ryan
    Atl/7
    Team 13
    6.03
    WR26
    Antonio Brown
    Pit/4
    Team 12
    6.04
    WR27
    Torrey Smith
    Bal/8
    Draft Study Team
    6.05
    QB11
    Ben Roethlisberger
    Pit/4
    Team 10
    6.06
    WR28
    Dwayne Bowe
    KC/7
    Team 9
    6.07
    WR29
    Reggie Wayne
    Ind/4
    Team 8
    6.08
    RB32
    DeAngelo Williams
    Car/6
    Team 7
    6.09
    WR30
    Brandon Lloyd
    NE/9
    Team 6
    6.10
    WR31
    Darrius Heyward-Bey
    Oak/5
    Team 5
    6.11
    RB33
    Ryan Williams
    Ari/10
    Team 4
    6.12
    QB12
    Robert Griffin III
    Was/10
    Team 3
    6.13
    QB13
    Peyton Manning
    Den/7
    Team 2
    6.14
    RB34
    Stevan Ridley
    NE/9
    Team 1
    7.01
    TE7
    Brandon Pettigrew
    Det/5
    Team 1
    7.02
    WR32
    Santonio Holmes
    NYJ/9
    Team 2
    7.03
    WR33
    Kenny Britt
    Ten/11
    Team 3
    7.04
    WR34
    Sidney Rice
    Sea/11
    Team 4
    7.05
    WR35
    Robert Meachem
    SD/7
    Team 5
    7.06
    TE8
    Jermichael Finley
    GB/10
    Team 6
    7.07
    RB35
    Peyton Hillis
    KC/7
    Team 7
    7.08
    TE9
    Tony Gonzalez
    Atl/7
    Team 8
    7.09
    RB36
    Pierre Thomas
    NO/6
    Team 9
    7.10
    RB37
    Kevin Smith
    Det/5
    Team 10
    7.11
    TE10
    Fred Davis
    Was/10
    Draft Study Team
    7.12
    WR36
    Pierre Garcon
    Was/10
    Team 12
    7.13
    RB38
    Felix Jones
    Dal/5
    Team 13
    7.14
    RB39
    Michael Bush
    Chi/6
    Team 14
    8.01
    QB14
    Josh Freeman
    TB/5
    Team 14
    8.02
    RB40
    Chris Wells
    Ari/10
    Team 13
    8.03
    WR37
    Malcom Floyd
    SD/7
    Team 12
    8.04
    RB43
    Mikel Leshoure
    Det/5
    Draft Study Team
    8.05
    WR38
    Greg Little
    Cle/10
    Team 10
    8.06
    WR39
    Randy Moss
    SF/9
    Team 9
    8.07
    WR40
    Nate Washington
    Ten/11
    Team 8
    8.08
    RB41
    Toby Gerhart
    Min/11
    Team 7
    8.09
    WR41
    Anquan Boldin
    Bal/8
    Team 6
    8.10
    WR42
    Michael Crabtree
    SF/9
    Team 5
    8.11
    RB42
    Ronnie Hillman
    Den/7
    Team 4
    8.12
    QB15
    Carson Palmer
    Oak/5
    Team 3
    8.13
    RB44
    Ben Tate
    Hou/8
    Team 2
    8.14
    DEF1
    San Francisco
    SF/9
    Team 1
    9.01
    TE11
    Brent Celek
    Phi/7
    Team 1
    9.02
    TE12
    Dustin Keller
    NYJ/9
    Team 2
    9.03
    TE13
    Jermaine Gresham
    Cin/8
    Team 3
    9.04
    TE14
    Owen Daniels
    Hou/8
    Team 4
    9.05
    RB45
    Daniel Thomas
    Mia/7
    Team 5
    9.06
    RB46
    Jacquizz Rodgers
    Atl/7
    Team 6
    9.07
    RB47
    Rashad Jennings
    Jac/6
    Team 7
    9.08
    WR43
    Lance Moore
    NO/6
    Team 8
    9.09
    WR44
    Mike Williams
    TB/5
    Team 9
    9.10
    DEF2
    Philadelphia
    Phi/7
    Team 10
    9.11
    QB17
    Matt Schaub
    Hou/8
    Draft Study Team
    9.12
    DEF3
    Baltimore
    Bal/8
    Team 12
    9.13
    RB48
    Tim Hightower
    Was/10
    Team 13
    9.14
    RB49
    Marcel Reece
    Oak/5
    Team 14
    10.01
    WR45
    Titus Young
    Det/5
    Team 14
    10.02
    QB16
    Andy Dalton
    Cin/8
    Team 13
    10.03
    WR46
    Austin Collie
    Ind/4
    Team 12
    10.04
    WR47
    Terrell Owens
    Sea/11
    Draft Study Team
    10.05
    QB18
    Ryan Fitzpatrick
    Buf/8
    Team 10
    10.06
    QB19
    Alex Smith
    SF/9
    Team 9
    10.07
    QB20
    Joe Flacco
    Bal/8
    Team 8
    10.08
    QB21
    Jay Cutler
    Chi/6
    Team 7
    10.09
    QB22
    Andrew Luck
    Ind/4
    Team 6
    10.10
    WR48
    Brandon LaFell
    Car/6
    Team 5
    10.11
    WR49
    Santana Moss
    Was/10
    Team 4
    10.12
    WR50
    Justin Blackmon
    Jac/6
    Team 3
    10.13
    RB50
    Joe McKnight
    NYJ/9
    Team 2
    10.14
    WR51
    Nate Burleson
    Det/5
    Team 1
    11.01
    WR52
    Doug Baldwin
    Sea/11
    Team 1
    11.02
    DEF4
    Chicago
    Chi/6
    Team 2
    11.03
    DEF5
    New York Jets
    NYJ/9
    Team 3
    11.04
    DEF6
    Pittsburgh
    Pit/4
    Team 4
    11.05
    DEF7
    New England
    NE/9
    Team 5
    11.06
    DEF8
    Green Bay
    GB/10
    Team 6
    11.07
    TE15
    Jacob Tamme
    Den/7
    Team 7
    11.08
    TE16
    Jared Cook
    Ten/11
    Team 8
    11.09
    DEF9
    Detroit
    Det/5
    Team 9
    11.10
    PK1
    Stephen Gostkowski
    NE/9
    Team 10
    11.11
    QB23
    Jake Locker
    Ten/11
    Draft Study Team
    11.12
    TE17
    Coby Fleener
    Ind/4
    Team 12
    11.13
    PK2
    David Akers
    SF/9
    Team 13
    11.14
    RB51
    Danny Woodhead
    NE/9
    Team 14
    12.01
    WR53
    David Nelson
    Buf/8
    Team 14
    12.02
    WR54
    Randall Cobb
    GB/10
    Team 13
    12.03
    WR55
    Jerome Simpson
    Min/11
    Team 12
    12.04
    RB58
    Mike Goodson
    Oak/5
    Draft Study Team
    12.05
    RB52
    Kendall Hunter
    SF/9
    Team 10
    12.06
    WR56
    Michael Floyd
    Ari/10
    Team 9
    12.07
    WR57
    Davone Bess
    Mia/7
    Team 8
    12.08
    DEF10
    New York Giants
    NYG/11
    Team 7
    12.09
    WR58
    Laurent Robinson
    Jac/6
    Team 6
    12.10
    QB24
    Christian Ponder
    Min/11
    Team 5
    12.11
    QB25
    Sam Bradford
    StL/9
    Team 4
    12.12
    WR59
    Emmanuel Sanders
    Pit/4
    Team 3
    12.13
    QB26
    Matt Cassel
    KC/7
    Team 2
    12.14
    WR60
    Brian Hartline
    Mia/7
    Team 1
    13.01
    WR61
    Brian Quick
    StL/9
    Team 1
    13.02
    TE18
    Greg Olsen
    Car/6
    Team 2
    13.03
    RB53
    David Wilson
    NYG/11
    Team 3
    13.04
    WR62
    Danny Amendola
    StL/9
    Team 4
    13.05
    PK3
    Garrett Hartley
    NO/6
    Team 5
    13.06
    WR63
    Kendall Wright
    Ten/11
    Team 6
    13.07
    RB54
    Shane Vereen
    NE/9
    Team 7
    13.08
    PK4
    Mason Crosby
    GB/10
    Team 8
    13.09
    PK5
    Sebastian Janikowski
    Oak/5
    Team 9
    13.10
    RB55
    Alex Green
    GB/10
    Team 10
    13.11
    WR64
    Alshon Jeffery
    Chi/6
    Draft Study Team
    13.12
    RB56
    Isaiah Pead
    StL/9
    Team 12
    13.13
    RB57
    Jahvid Best
    Det/5
    Team 13
    13.14
    DEF11
    Buffalo
    Buf/8
    Team 14
    14.01
    RB59
    Mike Tolbert
    Car/6
    Team 14
    14.02
    DEF12
    Dallas
    Dal/5
    Team 13
    14.03
    RB60
    LeGarrette Blount
    TB/5
    Team 12
    14.04
    WR66
    Stephen Hill
    NYJ/9
    Draft Study Team
    14.05
    TE19
    Heath Miller
    Pit/4
    Team 10
    14.06
    TE20
    Ed Dickson
    Bal/8
    Team 9
    14.07
    DEF13
    Seattle
    Sea/11
    Team 8
    14.08
    TE21
    Kyle Rudolph
    Min/11
    Team 7
    14.09
    WR65
    Vincent Brown
    SD/7
    Team 6
    14.10
    WR67
    Donnie Avery
    Ind/4
    Team 5
    14.11
    PK6
    Alex Henery
    Phi/7
    Team 4
    14.12
    RB61
    Danny Ware
    NYG/11
    Team 3
    14.13
    RB62
    Bernard Scott
    Cin/8
    Team 2
    14.14
    RB63
    Javon Ringer
    Ten/11
    Team 1
    15.01
    QB27
    Brandon Weeden
    Cle/10
    Team 1
    15.02
    QB28
    Matt Flynn
    Sea/11
    Team 2
    15.03
    TE22
    Lance Kendricks
    StL/9
    Team 3
    15.04
    RB64
    Delone Carter
    Ind/4
    Team 4
    15.05
    RB65
    LeRon McClain
    SD/7
    Team 5
    15.06
    RB66
    Leon Washington
    Sea/11
    Team 6
    15.07
    RB67
    Bernard Pierce
    Bal/8
    Team 7
    15.08
    RB68
    Robert Turbin
    Sea/11
    Team 8
    15.09
    TE23
    Marcedes Lewis
    Jac/6
    Team 9
    15.10
    TE24
    Tony Moeaki
    KC/7
    Team 10
    15.11
    DEF14
    Atlanta
    Atl/7
    Draft Study Team
    15.12
    RB69
    Dion Lewis
    Phi/7
    Team 12
    15.13
    RB70
    Brandon Jacobs
    SF/9
    Team 13
    15.14
    RB71
    Brian Leonard
    Cin/8
    Team 14
    16.01
    PK7
    Dan Carpenter
    Mia/7
    Team 14
    16.02
    WR68
    Steve Smith
    StL/9
    Team 13
    16.03
    QB29
    Mark Sanchez
    NYJ/9
    Team 12
    16.04
    TE28
    Dallas Clark
    TB/5
    Draft Study Team
    16.05
    PK8
    Randy Bullock
    Hou/8
    Team 10
    16.06
    PK9
    Nate Kaeding
    SD/7
    Team 9
    16.07
    WR69
    Jacoby Ford
    Oak/5
    Team 8
    16.08
    WR70
    Devery Henderson
    NO/6
    Team 7
    16.09
    WR71
    Jason Avant
    Phi/7
    Team 6
    16.10
    TE25
    Scott Chandler
    Buf/8
    Team 5
    16.11
    TE26
    Zach Miller
    Sea/11
    Team 4
    16.12
    PK10
    Dan Bailey
    Dal/5
    Team 3
    16.13
    WR72
    Earl Bennett
    Chi/6
    Team 2
    16.14
    RB72
    Rashard Mendenhall
    Pit/4
    Team 1
    17.01
    QB30
    Kevin Kolb
    Ari/10
    Team 1
    17.02
    PK11
    Matt Bryant
    Atl/7
    Team 2
    17.03
    QB31
    Blaine Gabbert
    Jac/6
    Team 3
    17.04
    QB32
    Tim Tebow
    NYJ/9
    Team 4
    17.05
    TE27
    Anthony Fasano
    Mia/7
    Team 5
    17.06
    WR73
    Steve Breaston
    KC/7
    Team 6
    17.07
    PK12
    Billy Cundiff
    Bal/8
    Team 7
    17.08
    RB73
    Jason Snelling
    Atl/7
    Team 8
    17.09
    TE29
    Dennis Pitta
    Bal/8
    Team 9
    17.10
    WR74
    Rueben Randle
    NYG/11
    Team 10
    17.11
    RB83
    Bilal Powell
    NYJ/9
    Draft Study Team
    17.12
    WR75
    Leonard Hankerson
    Was/10
    Team 12
    17.13
    WR76
    Kevin Walter
    Hou/8
    Team 13
    17.14
    WR77
    Harry Douglas
    Atl/7
    Team 14
    18.01
    WR78
    Donald Jones
    Buf/8
    Team 14
    18.02
    WR79
    Roberto Wallace
    Mia/7
    Team 13
    18.03
    PK13
    Jason Hanson
    Det/5
    Team 12
    18.04
    PK
    Matt Prater
    Den/7
    Draft Study Team
    18.05
    TE30
    Kellen Winslow
    Sea/11
    Team 10
    18.06
    WR81
    Mohamed Sanu
    Cin/8
    Team 9
    18.07
    RB74
    Jonathan Dwyer
    Pit/4
    Team 8
    18.08
    PK14
    Mike Nugent
    Cin/8
    Team 7
    18.09
    PK15
    Shaun Suisham
    Pit/4
    Team 6
    18.10
    PK16
    Neil Rackers
    Was/10
    Team 5
    18.11
    WR82
    Jonathan Baldwin
    KC/7
    Team 4
    18.12
    PK17
    Rob Bironas
    Ten/11
    Team 3
    18.13
    RB75
    Dexter McCluster
    KC/7
    Team 2
    18.14
    PK18
    Josh Brown
    NYJ/9
    Team 1

    Breaking down the mock draft from the 11th draft position

    Round 1: RB Darren McFadden

    There are so many different ways to take this draft here. You can really roll the dice and start the draft with the Saints combo, TE Jimmy Graham and QB Drew Brees if he fell to 2.04 which is a possibility. However I already broke down that possible start above so I will roll with a more conventional approach here. Starting a draft running back / running back is never an awful strategy as long as two good players are there to select. The first player Darren McFadden has top-three potential in fantasy points per game. He may miss a game or two along the way but his fantasy production should be outstanding.

    Rounds 2: RB DeMarco Murray

    As mentioned earlier, I am thinking about a RB/RB start to this draft and it all falls together with DeMarco Murray on the board. He and McFadden are talented, young, explosive players and will give me an excellent one-two punch at the running back position. The only other player I consider here still on the board is WR Larry Fitzgerald but there are tons of receivers I like that can be targeted later so Murray is the easy choice.

    Rounds 3: WR Wes Welker

    I am tempted to go Frank Gore here and have a great FLEX option right out of the gate. However I also showcased that drafting idea above so I will switch gears here and go with a monster player in a PPR format in Wes Welker. He is a lock for 100 receptions and is a great WR1 in PPR leagues. I am happy to add him to the team and my foundation is looking very good through three rounds.

    Round 4: WR Hakeem Nicks

    I actually believe I am going to go tight end position here and Antonio Gates but he is scooped up the pick before mine. Again I can consider my FLEX needs and add Frank Gore but I see Hakeem Nicks who has tremendous upside and I decide RB/RB/WR/WR is a great way to start this draft. If Gates is available with this pick, I would pick him up instead as he is going to have a huge season.

    Rounds 5: RB Willis McGahee

    I am happy that I passed on Gore earlier as I have a player I like just as much 21 picks later. McGahee is not flashy and his upside is limited but he is a good player to plug into a FLEX spot. I think about adding a receiver like Eric Decker or even a quarterback here like Matt Ryan but I just see too much potential to lose fantasy points with a FLEX position in play. I will find a serviceable quarterback later on.

    Rounds 6: WR Torrey Smith

    This is a real decision spot in the draft. I have three different paths I can go down. If I take a quarterback here like Ben Roethlisberger, the receiver talent is likely to dry up considerably by my next pick. I see this group of several receivers as the last of the sure things and a great WR3 in fantasy leagues. All of them are likely to be gone next pick. I can also consider a tight end here but I feel pretty safe in waiting another round or two and still getting a good tight end with upside. If I go receiver here, I am in danger of having the quarterback position possible run quite dry (Roethlisberger, Manning and Griffin III. There are risks in all directions but the upside of Torrey Smith as a WR3 is simply too positive to ignore and I grab him here.

    Round 7: TE Fred Davis

    My worry about the quarterback position drying up came to pass so it is time to implement plan B. I will ignore the position again for another round or two and will tread water this year with quarterback. I do see a few that I like more good possibilities here so no worries as something good will fall into our laps in the next couple of rounds. I see a few decent receiving options here but I need a starting tight end and with Fred Davis available, now is the time to pounce. I scoop him up with little thought.

    Rounds 8: RB Mikel Leshoure

    I now see several quarterbacks I am comfortable starting each week and am pretty sure one will drop another round so instead I take a running back with upside here in Mikel Leshoure. He has the talent and ability to be a fantasy weapon and as a RB4, he is a great pickup.

    Rounds 9: QB Matt Schaub

    Phew! Waiting on quarterback for as long as I did paid off. As anticipated the other owners had to address running back, receiver and tight end instead of securing a backup quarterback and the best of the remaining ones in round seven in my opinion fell into my lap. Schaub is a veteran quarterback who is capable of finishing inside the top-eight. Quarterback won't be a strength for my team but it also will not be a huge weakness.

    At the halfway point of the draft, our team looks like this...

    Quarterbacks

  • Matt Schaub
  • Running Backs

  • Darren McFadden
  • DeMarco Murray
  • Willis McGahee
  • Mikel Leshoure
  • Wide Receivers

  • Wes Welker
  • Hakeem Nicks
  • Torrey Smith
  • Tight Ends

  • Fred Davis
  • Place Kickers

  • none
  • Defenses

  • none
  • I feel very good about this squad through the first nine picks. The weakest part of the team is at quarterback as one would expect waiting so long to grab a starter. However Matt Schaub is not way behind the other quarterbacks in the NFL and is capable of putting up great fantasy numbers. I only have three receivers on the roster right now but all three are top-15 capable and are a great starting option each week. I am four strong at running back with three capable weekly starters and an upside player in Mikel Leshoure. To round out the first half of the draft I have a tight end capable of a top-five finish.

    Rounds 10-13: WR Terrell Owens / QB Jake Locker / RB Mike Goodson / WR Alshon Jeffery

    I start the second half of the draft with a swing for the fences player. Terrell Owens by all accounts is well behaved and being a model teammate. The question is at his advanced age can he still get open and make a difference on the field. I believe he can and is worth a shot here. If he exceeds expectations and approaches his past productivity, he is a backup receiver for my team. If he struggles, he becomes a free agent casualty. I love the fantasy potential of Jake Locker. If for some reason you get fantasy points for completion percentage, he may be the worst fantasy starter this year as his accuracy is pedestrian at best. However Locker is an athlete, can pile up points with his legs and makes big plays happen down the field. He will surprise in fantasy circles this year and I am glad to scoop him up. Mike Goodson is selected here to protect against injury with Darren McFadden. He is capable if called upon. Finally I add a rookie with big upside in Alshon Jeffery. He can produce right out of the gate.

    Rounds 14-18: WR Stephen Hill / DEF Falcons / TE Dallas Clark / RB Bilal Powell / PK Matt Prater

    Why have one rookie receiver when you can have a pair? I rarely will select a pair of rookie receivers but both Stephen Hill and Alshon Jeffery may contribute immediately this season. His upside is worth the pick here. I grab a defense and a kicker in these rounds as well as a dependable backup tight end. The swing for the fences player here is Bilal Powell, running back of the Jets. The team is not happy with the current running backs and there is a real shot for Powell to emerge with the lion's share of the work in 2012. As a late-round flyer, the upside is huge.

    Final Roster (Draft Slot #11)

    Quarterbacks

  • Matt Schaub
  • Jake Locker
  • Running Backs

  • Darren McFadden
  • DeMarco Murray
  • Willis McGahee
  • Mikel Leshoure
  • Mike Goodson
  • Bilal Powell
  • Wide Receivers

  • Wes Welker
  • Hakeem Nicks
  • Torrey Smith
  • Terrell Owens
  • Alshon Jeffery
  • Stephen Hill
  • Tight Ends

  • Fred Davis
  • Dallas Clark
  • Place Kickers

  • Matt Prater
  • Defenses

  • Atlanta Falcons
  • Final thoughts on this roster

    There is some high risk high rewards players on this squad (Jake Locker, Terrell Owens, Alshon Jeffery, Stephen Hill, Mikel Leshoure and Bilal Powell but the foundation under those risky picks is rock solid. If a few of these players hit it big, the squad is in wonderful shape but even if none of them hit, the team still has a strong weekly starting lineup. The starters at running back and receiver are very good. I can start Darren McFadden, DeMarco Murray, Willis McGahee, Wes Welker, Hakeem Nicks, Torrey Smith and Fred Davis week in and week out and be in great shape. Quarterback is not an obvious strength but I am happy with the pair I have. All in all, there is a squad with huge upside and possibilities. Gotta like that heading into the season.

    Last thoughts on the 11th draft slot in a 14-team league

    This is not the easiest place to draft from simply do to the face you are playing catch-up on both sides of your first round pick. Going RB/RB to begin the draft will be the most likely strategy here unless talent drops but if you have Jimmy Graham or Aaron Rodgers available in the 11-hole, then definitely go that route. A Graham / Brees beginning to the draft is risky insofar as you will have to draft very well at the running back and receiver positions but it locks two powerhouse players into your starting lineup and really strengthens the foundation of the team. I have showcased multiple possible paths to success here so allow the first ten picks to unfold and then pick your direction.

    Good luck and happy drafting. Thanks for reading.

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