2012 Rookie QBs: Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks
By Matt Waldman
Posted July 15th, 2012

Strengths: Wilson has a sound, over the top, and compact delivery, and he has enough natural arm strength to throw some of the intermediate routes of the passing tree in a tight pocket that prevents him from stepping into the pass and torqueing his hips. His release point is more like a 6'2" or 6'3" quarterback, not a 5'10" guy. His deep arm has a consistent range of fifty yards with good velocity and accuracy both from the pocket and on the move. He's capable of throwing the ball with good anticipation, and he's willing to stand in the pocket and take the hit to make the play. Mobile and athletic, he can elude pressure, reset his feet, and deliver the ball to the open man. Wilson has succeeded in two different pro-style offenses and has starter potential in the NFL.

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Weaknesses: Although he has had a lot of successful plays at two programs where he kept his eyes down field while maneuvering the pocket, there are situations in the college game where he dropped his eyes from his receivers while under pressure; that won't work if he does it in the NFL. His play fakes need to become more thorough. Although not necessarily a tall quarterback, he is a reasonably big quarterback and effective as a runner. However, he's not a superstar ball carrier, and he'll have to be wise about picking his spots when pressured.

2012 Outlook: Wilson is unlikely to play this year unless he blows the team away in training camp. He's going to impress, but Pete Carroll is wise enough to sit him unless injury strikes the Seahawks' depth chart. He's nothing more than a potential waiver wire option in 2012.

Dynasty Outlook: There is criticism that an NFL team won't build an offense where Wilson can roll right on every down and find a wide passing lane, which is what some think Wilson will need to succeed. This is a bit of a lazy assumption. Watch Drew Brees against the Vikings in the NFL Championship game during the Saints' Super Bowl Championship run - the offense employed a rollout, half-roll, or play-fake on 70 percent of its offensive snaps in that contest. Wilson may not become an elite NFL quarterback, but he has a strong chance to develop into a top-15 signal caller that fantasy owners will covet as a committee quarterback capable of some QB1 seasons over the course of his career. He's a dynasty value.

NFL Comparison: The Drew Brees comparison is quite fair. He's short, but mobile, strong-armed, smart, throws receivers open under pressure, and has terrific leadership qualities. Wilson will need an offense that allows him to develop and then maximize his potential to reach Brees' level of play, but the building blocks of their games are similar.

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