Strength of Schedule - Running Backs
By Clayton Gray
August 2nd, 2012

The advantages offered by the Ultimate Strength of Schedule (USOS) when compared to traditional SOS displays are numerous and include (but are not limited to) the following:

  • Fantasy Points Driven
    Fantasy football is all about scoring fantasy points, so USOS is based on fantasy points.
     
  • Removed Bias Of Schedule
    Consider the following scenario: Defense A faced the Top 16 offenses while Defense B faced the Worst 16 offenses. If both defenses allowed opposing QBs to average 300 fantasy points last season, are they equally strong? Of course not; Defense A is far superior as they faced much better offenses. This bias of schedule has been removed from USOS.
     
  • Positional Breakdown
    If you are looking for a RB, it's much more relevant to see SOS data for RBs (rather than simply rushing data).
     
  • Comparison Of 2012 Schedule To 2011 Schedule
    On the surface, a team with an easy schedule at RB should see better RB stats this year. Good schedule = bigger numbers than the year before, right? It seems logical. However, sometimes it's not enough to say that a team has an easy schedule. What if they had an equally easy schedule the season before? Equal schedule = similar numbers as the year before. USOS looks at the differences in schedule from this year compared to last season. An easier set of opponents this year points to increased production. A more difficult set of opponents this season points to decreased production.
  • Explanation of USOS Tables

    Below, you will see tables for each positions USOS. Here is a brief explanation of the make-up of these tables.

    The "Team" Column

    This is simply the NFL team.

    The Values

    Each value in the table is the expected number of fantasy points on average or on a per game basis (depending on the column).

    The "2012" Column

    This is the average expected fantasy points allowed by each team's opponents for this season.

    The "Chng" Column

    This is the amount of change between the 2012 schedule and the 2011 schedule. A positive value points to an easier SOS than last year while a negative value points to a more difficult SOS compared to last season.

    The "EZ" Column

    This is the number of easy opponents each team will face this season. An easy opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as many easy games as possible.

    The "TF" Column

    This is the number of tough opponents each team will face this season. A tough opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as few tough games as possible.

    The "1st3" Column

    This is the SOS for the first three weeks of the NFL season. This value is useful to determine how players should be expected to open the season. Players with low values could easily stumble out of the gate.

    The "1st5" Column

    This is similar to "1st3" except that it covers the first five weeks of the NFL season (note that some teams only play four games in this time frame).

    The "Byes" Column

    This is the SOS covering the bye weeks. This value is useful to find a complementary player during the byes as you'll need to shuffle players in and out of your starting lineup. A player with an easy schedule during this time would be nice to have.

    The "14to16" Column

    This is similar to "1st3" except that it specifically covers Week 14 through Week 16.

    The "15to17" Column

    This is similar to "14to16" except that it specifically covers Week 15 through Week 17.

    The "W1" through "W17" Columns

    These values are the expected strength of each team's opponent for that particular week (W5 is Week 5, etc). This is very useful when searching for backups for your stud players. The key is to locate players with easy opponents when your star is on a bye.

    The Coloring of the Values

    The green values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best values in that column. Green was chosen because you can go ahead and take players on that team. The yellow values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst values in that column. Yellow was chosen because you should use caution before selecting players from that team. (Note: a green / red combo was considered but some people are color blind between those two colors.)

  • Green is a hot team with a good schedule
  • Yellow is a cold team with a bad schedule
  • Ultimate Strength of Schedule - Running Backs

    Team
    2012
    Chng
    EZ
    TF
    1st3
    1st5
    Byes
    14to16
    15to17
    Arizona
    22.6
    3.0%
    4
    5
    24.4
    23.7
    22.4
    22.5
    20.6
    Atlanta
    25.1
    2.4%
    6
    1
    22.8
    24.0
    24.5
    25.4
    25.8
    Baltimore
    23.2
    9.0%
    3
    2
    24.5
    24.5
    22.9
    23.5
    24.1
    Buffalo
    22.5
    -3.4%
    4
    7
    23.2
    22.4
    21.8
    23.0
    21.3
    Carolina
    23.9
    -2.6%
    3
    5
    26.7
    24.7
    23.2
    21.9
    23.8
    Chicago
    23.1
    -5.0%
    4
    3
    25.2
    23.6
    22.3
    22.8
    22.7
    Cincinnati
    22.7
    2.7%
    3
    5
    22.8
    21.8
    22.8
    22.7
    22.6
    Cleveland
    23.4
    2.4%
    3
    3
    25.8
    24.6
    22.8
    23.2
    22.4
    Dallas
    24.1
    5.6%
    5
    2
    26.2
    25.0
    23.8
    23.6
    23.0
    Denver
    23.6
    -2.8%
    3
    4
    19.6
    21.6
    24.3
    23.9
    23.3
    Detroit
    22.6
    -6.6%
    4
    5
    23.2
    23.1
    22.9
    21.7
    21.2
    Green Bay
    22.8
    -8.1%
    4
    3
    21.1
    23.2
    23.2
    23.2
    23.3
    Houston
    23.4
    2.6%
    5
    5
    21.4
    22.1
    22.9
    24.8
    25.8
    Indianapolis
    22.5
    -5.7%
    4
    6
    21.7
    22.0
    22.7
    22.5
    19.8
    Jacksonville
    23.3
    -2.2%
    5
    4
    22.7
    22.7
    23.0
    21.4
    23.2
    Kansas City
    24.5
    2.1%
    5
    4
    24.3
    22.9
    23.4
    26.0
    25.4
    Miami
    23.5
    -0.7%
    5
    5
    21.2
    22.0
    24.8
    22.4
    24.4
    Minnesota
    23.0
    -5.9%
    4
    3
    22.1
    22.9
    24.2
    21.5
    22.1
    New England
    22.7
    -4.3%
    5
    8
    23.1
    24.2
    25.3
    19.0
    19.6
    New Orleans
    24.1
    6.8%
    5
    3
    25.1
    23.8
    24.0
    25.4
    27.0
    NY Giants
    23.4
    0.8%
    5
    3
    27.0
    26.4
    22.6
    21.9
    21.9
    NY Jets
    23.0
    -5.1%
    5
    6
    23.0
    21.0
    22.3
    22.6
    25.0
    Oakland
    23.3
    -1.8%
    3
    6
    20.7
    21.4
    23.5
    25.6
    24.7
    Philadelphia
    23.6
    3.0%
    3
    2
    23.0
    23.0
    22.4
    25.5
    23.6
    Pittsburgh
    23.4
    8.1%
    4
    4
    23.1
    23.7
    23.8
    22.1
    23.6
    San Diego
    24.2
    1.7%
    4
    3
    23.5
    23.9
    25.1
    23.7
    25.0
    San Francisco
    23.5
    7.9%
    3
    2
    22.7
    23.3
    23.8
    22.5
    23.5
    Seattle
    22.8
    4.4%
    4
    4
    22.3
    24.3
    23.3
    23.0
    23.9
    St. Louis
    22.7
    -0.7%
    2
    4
    21.9
    22.5
    21.7
    27.1
    25.7
    Tampa Bay
    24.0
    -3.5%
    4
    3
    25.1
    24.3
    24.2
    25.4
    23.4
    Tennessee
    22.3
    -5.3%
    3
    8
    22.5
    21.6
    22.6
    23.5
    21.4
    Washington
    24.2
    6.0%
    6
    2
    25.0
    24.9
    24.8
    23.9
    24.1
    Average
    23.3
    0%
    4
    4
    23.3
    23.3
    23.3
    23.3
    23.3

    Week-By-Week Look

    Team
    W1
    W2
    W3
    W4
    W5
    W6
    W7
    W8
    W9
    Arizona
    23.8
    24.1
    25.4
    19.6
    25.5
    28.1
    22.9
    18.2
    22.8
    Atlanta
    23.7
    23.7
    21.0
    29.3
    22.2
    25.2
    -
    25.4
    21.3
    Baltimore
    24.1
    25.4
    24.1
    25.5
    23.7
    21.3
    17.9
    -
    25.5
    Buffalo
    20.4
    23.7
    25.5
    24.1
    18.2
    22.7
    25.8
    -
    17.9
    Carolina
    30.3
    25.3
    24.6
    19.5
    23.8
    -
    21.3
    21.2
    22.2
    Chicago
    27.3
    22.8
    25.5
    21.3
    21.0
    -
    22.4
    29.3
    25.8
    Cincinnati
    20.8
    25.5
    22.2
    21.0
    19.6
    25.5
    21.4
    -
    23.7
    Cleveland
    25.4
    24.1
    28.1
    20.8
    24.6
    24.1
    27.3
    21.0
    20.8
    Dallas
    24.6
    23.8
    30.3
    21.2
    -
    20.8
    29.3
    24.6
    19.5
    Denver
    21.4
    19.5
    17.9
    25.2
    24.1
    21.0
    -
    25.3
    24.1
    Detroit
    25.5
    18.2
    25.8
    22.9
    -
    25.4
    21.2
    23.8
    21.0
    Green Bay
    18.2
    21.2
    23.8
    25.3
    27.3
    17.9
    25.5
    21.0
    22.7
    Houston
    19.6
    21.0
    23.7
    25.8
    20.4
    22.8
    20.8
    -
    28.1
    Indianapolis
    21.2
    22.9
    21.0
    -
    22.8
    20.4
    25.5
    25.8
    19.6
    Jacksonville
    22.9
    17.9
    27.3
    24.1
    21.2
    -
    25.2
    22.8
    22.4
    Kansas City
    19.5
    28.1
    25.3
    21.0
    20.8
    30.3
    -
    25.2
    21.0
    Miami
    17.9
    25.2
    20.4
    22.7
    24.1
    25.5
    -
    20.4
    27.3
    Minnesota
    21.0
    27.3
    18.2
    22.4
    25.8
    22.2
    22.7
    30.3
    23.8
    New England
    25.8
    22.7
    20.8
    28.1
    23.7
    23.8
    20.4
    25.5
    -
    New Orleans
    22.2
    29.3
    23.7
    22.8
    21.0
    -
    30.3
    23.7
    25.4
    NY Giants
    21.3
    30.3
    29.3
    25.4
    25.5
    18.2
    22.2
    21.3
    21.4
    NY Jets
    28.1
    21.4
    19.6
    18.2
    17.9
    27.3
    24.1
    19.6
    -
    Oakland
    21.0
    19.6
    21.4
    23.7
    -
    19.5
    21.0
    23.7
    30.3
    Philadelphia
    25.5
    20.8
    22.7
    24.6
    21.4
    22.4
    -
    19.5
    25.3
    Pittsburgh
    23.7
    20.4
    25.2
    -
    25.4
    25.8
    24.1
    22.2
    24.6
    San Diego
    25.2
    25.8
    19.5
    23.7
    25.3
    23.7
    -
    25.5
    23.7
    San Francisco
    22.8
    22.4
    22.9
    20.4
    28.1
    24.6
    23.8
    22.7
    -
    Seattle
    22.7
    21.3
    22.8
    25.5
    29.3
    24.1
    18.2
    22.4
    22.9
    St. Louis
    22.4
    22.2
    21.2
    23.8
    22.7
    19.6
    22.8
    24.1
    -
    Tampa Bay
    29.3
    24.6
    21.3
    22.2
    -
    23.7
    25.3
    22.9
    25.2
    Tennessee
    24.1
    21.0
    22.4
    17.9
    22.9
    21.4
    28.1
    27.3
    21.2
    Washington
    25.3
    25.5
    24.1
    30.3
    19.5
    22.9
    24.6
    21.4
    29.3
    Average
    23.3
    23.3
    23.3
    23.3
    23.1
    23.2
    23.6
    23.4
    23.5

     

    Team
    W10
    W11
    W12
    W13
    W14
    W15
    W16
    W17
    Arizona
    -
    19.5
    25.5
    20.4
    23.8
    22.4
    21.2
    18.2
    Atlanta
    25.3
    22.7
    30.3
    25.3
    29.3
    24.6
    22.4
    30.3
    Baltimore
    25.2
    21.4
    21.0
    21.4
    22.2
    23.7
    24.6
    24.1
    Buffalo
    24.1
    19.6
    27.3
    21.0
    25.5
    23.8
    19.6
    20.4
    Carolina
    23.7
    30.3
    25.4
    23.7
    19.5
    21.0
    25.2
    25.3
    Chicago
    17.9
    18.2
    22.9
    23.8
    22.9
    22.8
    22.7
    22.4
    Cincinnati
    24.6
    23.7
    25.2
    21.0
    21.3
    25.4
    21.4
    20.8
    Cleveland
    -
    21.3
    21.4
    25.2
    23.7
    22.2
    23.7
    21.4
    Dallas
    25.4
    25.5
    22.2
    25.4
    24.1
    21.4
    25.3
    22.2
    Denver
    29.3
    21.0
    23.7
    30.3
    25.2
    20.8
    25.5
    23.7
    Detroit
    22.9
    22.8
    17.9
    27.3
    22.8
    22.7
    19.5
    21.2
    Green Bay
    -
    22.4
    24.6
    22.9
    22.4
    21.2
    25.8
    22.9
    Houston
    21.2
    21.0
    22.4
    25.8
    24.1
    27.3
    22.9
    27.3
    Indianapolis
    21.0
    24.1
    28.1
    22.4
    25.8
    17.9
    23.7
    17.9
    Jacksonville
    27.3
    17.9
    25.8
    28.1
    20.4
    19.6
    24.1
    25.8
    Kansas City
    21.4
    24.1
    23.7
    29.3
    25.5
    25.2
    27.3
    23.7
    Miami
    25.8
    28.1
    23.8
    24.1
    18.2
    21.0
    28.1
    24.1
    Minnesota
    22.4
    -
    21.2
    22.8
    21.2
    25.5
    17.9
    22.8
    New England
    28.1
    27.3
    20.4
    19.6
    17.9
    18.2
    21.0
    19.6
    New Orleans
    19.5
    25.2
    18.2
    19.5
    24.6
    30.3
    21.3
    29.3
    NY Giants
    24.1
    -
    22.8
    22.2
    25.3
    19.5
    20.8
    25.4
    NY Jets
    23.8
    25.5
    24.1
    22.7
    21.0
    25.8
    21.0
    28.1
    Oakland
    20.8
    25.3
    24.1
    25.5
    23.7
    23.7
    29.3
    21.0
    Philadelphia
    21.3
    22.2
    29.3
    21.3
    30.3
    24.1
    22.2
    24.6
    Pittsburgh
    23.7
    20.8
    25.5
    20.8
    21.0
    21.3
    24.1
    25.5
    San Diego
    30.3
    23.7
    20.8
    24.1
    21.4
    29.3
    20.4
    25.2
    San Francisco
    25.5
    21.2
    25.3
    25.5
    19.6
    24.1
    23.8
    22.7
    Seattle
    20.4
    -
    19.6
    21.2
    22.7
    28.1
    18.2
    25.5
    St. Louis
    18.2
    20.4
    22.7
    18.2
    28.1
    22.9
    30.3
    23.8
    Tampa Bay
    21.0
    29.3
    19.5
    23.7
    25.4
    25.3
    25.5
    19.5
    Tennessee
    19.6
    -
    21.0
    17.9
    27.3
    20.4
    22.8
    21.0
    Washington
    -
    25.4
    21.3
    24.6
    20.8
    25.5
    25.4
    21.3
    Average
    23.4
    23.2
    23.3
    23.3
    23.3
    23.3
    23.3
    23.3
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