Strength of Schedule - Defensive Backs
By Clayton Gray
August 2nd, 2012

The advantages offered by the Ultimate Strength of Schedule (USOS) when compared to traditional SOS displays are numerous and include (but are not limited to) the following:

  • Fantasy Points Driven
    Fantasy football is all about scoring fantasy points, so USOS is based on fantasy points.
     
  • Removed Bias Of Schedule
    Consider the following scenario: Defense A faced the Top 16 offenses while Defense B faced the Worst 16 offenses. If both defenses allowed opposing QBs to average 300 fantasy points last season, are they equally strong? Of course not; Defense A is far superior as they faced much better offenses. This bias of schedule has been removed from USOS.
     
  • Positional Breakdown
    If you are looking for a RB, it's much more relevant to see SOS data for RBs (rather than simply rushing data).
     
  • Comparison Of 2012 Schedule To 2011 Schedule
    On the surface, a team with an easy schedule at RB should see better RB stats this year. Good schedule = bigger numbers than the year before, right? It seems logical. However, sometimes it's not enough to say that a team has an easy schedule. What if they had an equally easy schedule the season before? Equal schedule = similar numbers as the year before. USOS looks at the differences in schedule from this year compared to last season. An easier set of opponents this year points to increased production. A more difficult set of opponents this season points to decreased production.
  • Explanation of USOS Tables

    Below, you will see tables for each positions USOS. Here is a brief explanation of the make-up of these tables.

    The "Team" Column

    This is simply the NFL team.

    The Values

    Each value in the table is the expected number of fantasy points on average or on a per game basis (depending on the column).

    The "2012" Column

    This is the average expected fantasy points allowed by each team's opponents for this season.

    The "Chng" Column

    This is the amount of change between the 2012 schedule and the 2011 schedule. A positive value points to an easier SOS than last year while a negative value points to a more difficult SOS compared to last season.

    The "EZ" Column

    This is the number of easy opponents each team will face this season. An easy opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as many easy games as possible.

    The "TF" Column

    This is the number of tough opponents each team will face this season. A tough opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as few tough games as possible.

    The "1st3" Column

    This is the SOS for the first three weeks of the NFL season. This value is useful to determine how players should be expected to open the season. Players with low values could easily stumble out of the gate.

    The "1st5" Column

    This is similar to "1st3" except that it covers the first five weeks of the NFL season (note that some teams only play four games in this time frame).

    The "Byes" Column

    This is the SOS covering the bye weeks. This value is useful to find a complementary player during the byes as you'll need to shuffle players in and out of your starting lineup. A player with an easy schedule during this time would be nice to have.

    The "14to16" Column

    This is similar to "1st3" except that it specifically covers Week 14 through Week 16.

    The "15to17" Column

    This is similar to "14to16" except that it specifically covers Week 15 through Week 17.

    The "W1" through "W17" Columns

    These values are the expected strength of each team's opponent for that particular week (W5 is Week 5, etc). This is very useful when searching for backups for your stud players. The key is to locate players with easy opponents when your star is on a bye.

    The Coloring of the Values

    The green values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best values in that column. Green was chosen because you can go ahead and take players on that team. The yellow values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst values in that column. Yellow was chosen because you should use caution before selecting players from that team. (Note: a green / red combo was considered but some people are color blind between those two colors.)

  • Green is a hot team with a good schedule
  • Yellow is a cold team with a bad schedule
  • Ultimate Strength of Schedule - Defensive Backs

    Team
    2012
    Chng
    EZ
    TF
    1st3
    1st5
    Byes
    14to16
    15to17
    Arizona
    43.8
    0.1%
    4
    7
    46.9
    45.5
    44.3
    43.7
    42.5
    Atlanta
    46.5
    1.9%
    5
    1
    44.5
    44.5
    47.2
    44.8
    46.0
    Baltimore
    46.8
    6.9%
    8
    1
    49.1
    48.0
    46.3
    43.8
    45.1
    Buffalo
    44.0
    -0.8%
    2
    6
    44.1
    44.0
    45.9
    43.4
    43.4
    Carolina
    46.3
    0.1%
    5
    1
    48.5
    46.8
    43.8
    46.8
    49.6
    Chicago
    43.1
    -5.4%
    0
    6
    40.1
    40.9
    43.4
    44.0
    44.3
    Cincinnati
    45.4
    1.2%
    5
    2
    44.9
    44.3
    44.6
    47.2
    46.5
    Cleveland
    46.4
    3.4%
    8
    4
    50.9
    48.3
    44.9
    43.9
    44.4
    Dallas
    46.4
    1.5%
    5
    2
    45.2
    44.4
    44.8
    50.4
    49.1
    Denver
    46.9
    1.0%
    8
    0
    46.1
    46.8
    48.3
    45.3
    45.0
    Detroit
    43.1
    -6.0%
    1
    8
    41.9
    42.6
    43.4
    44.1
    44.6
    Green Bay
    44.1
    -2.6%
    1
    6
    41.8
    43.7
    44.4
    44.6
    44.3
    Houston
    43.4
    -1.6%
    2
    8
    41.9
    42.3
    43.4
    44.3
    41.7
    Indianapolis
    44.7
    2.3%
    2
    5
    42.1
    41.6
    43.9
    46.0
    45.7
    Jacksonville
    45.1
    2.4%
    4
    4
    43.4
    44.5
    44.5
    45.0
    47.1
    Kansas City
    46.0
    -0.6%
    8
    3
    50.5
    48.4
    47.2
    44.6
    42.3
    Miami
    45.1
    0.0%
    6
    6
    44.2
    45.9
    45.2
    44.3
    47.0
    Minnesota
    43.1
    -7.5%
    1
    8
    39.9
    42.3
    45.7
    42.4
    41.9
    New England
    44.0
    -3.2%
    2
    7
    45.1
    45.6
    44.2
    41.6
    42.2
    New Orleans
    44.7
    -0.9%
    2
    3
    45.1
    44.7
    45.1
    45.6
    44.5
    NY Giants
    45.9
    0.1%
    5
    2
    44.5
    45.7
    46.3
    46.9
    45.6
    NY Jets
    45.9
    1.0%
    7
    4
    49.5
    46.7
    43.4
    44.6
    49.2
    Oakland
    45.5
    0.0%
    5
    4
    47.7
    45.5
    44.6
    42.7
    45.7
    Philadelphia
    46.2
    0.6%
    3
    0
    45.1
    45.9
    46.9
    47.5
    47.5
    Pittsburgh
    45.6
    3.5%
    5
    2
    42.1
    43.9
    46.6
    47.6
    46.9
    San Diego
    45.3
    -1.9%
    5
    3
    46.2
    47.6
    45.2
    43.5
    43.3
    San Francisco
    45.0
    -0.1%
    3
    4
    43.6
    44.8
    44.5
    46.2
    46.1
    Seattle
    43.8
    -0.5%
    2
    7
    43.9
    42.9
    43.0
    46.7
    44.4
    St. Louis
    44.6
    -0.9%
    2
    5
    44.6
    44.8
    43.6
    48.1
    44.8
    Tampa Bay
    45.8
    2.6%
    5
    2
    44.5
    44.9
    46.9
    47.4
    46.0
    Tennessee
    44.2
    0.7%
    4
    7
    47.3
    46.4
    45.8
    40.1
    39.9
    Washington
    46.1
    3.8%
    5
    2
    47.7
    46.9
    46.0
    45.9
    46.6
    Average
    45.1
    0%
    4
    4
    45.1
    45.0
    45.1
    45.1
    45.1

    Week-By-Week Look

    Team
    W1
    W2
    W3
    W4
    W5
    W6
    W7
    W8
    W9
    Arizona
    43.4
    48.1
    49.2
    47.0
    39.8
    53.5
    44.7
    39.9
    40.3
    Atlanta
    46.3
    39.1
    48.1
    42.8
    46.1
    47.5
    -
    49.2
    44.6
    Baltimore
    50.2
    49.2
    48.1
    46.0
    46.3
    44.6
    45.4
    -
    46.0
    Buffalo
    39.8
    46.3
    46.0
    48.1
    39.9
    46.8
    46.1
    -
    45.4
    Carolina
    46.2
    53.1
    46.1
    45.0
    43.4
    -
    44.6
    42.0
    46.1
    Chicago
    40.2
    40.3
    39.8
    44.6
    39.6
    -
    45.7
    42.8
    46.1
    Cincinnati
    42.5
    46.0
    46.1
    39.6
    47.0
    46.0
    47.9
    -
    39.1
    Cleveland
    49.2
    50.2
    53.5
    42.5
    46.1
    50.2
    40.2
    48.1
    42.5
    Dallas
    46.1
    43.4
    46.2
    42.0
    -
    42.5
    42.8
    46.1
    45.0
    Denver
    47.9
    45.0
    45.4
    47.5
    48.1
    48.1
    -
    53.1
    50.2
    Detroit
    39.8
    39.9
    46.1
    44.7
    -
    49.2
    42.0
    43.4
    39.6
    Green Bay
    39.9
    42.0
    43.4
    53.1
    40.2
    45.4
    39.8
    39.6
    46.8
    Houston
    47.0
    39.6
    39.1
    46.1
    39.8
    40.3
    42.5
    -
    53.5
    Indianapolis
    42.0
    44.7
    39.6
    -
    40.3
    39.8
    46.0
    46.1
    47.0
    Jacksonville
    44.7
    45.4
    40.2
    50.2
    42.0
    -
    47.5
    40.3
    45.7
    Kansas City
    45.0
    53.5
    53.1
    48.1
    42.5
    46.2
    -
    47.5
    48.1
    Miami
    45.4
    47.5
    39.8
    46.8
    50.2
    39.8
    -
    39.8
    40.2
    Minnesota
    39.6
    40.2
    39.9
    45.7
    46.1
    46.1
    46.8
    46.2
    43.4
    New England
    46.1
    46.8
    42.5
    53.5
    39.1
    43.4
    39.8
    39.8
    -
    New Orleans
    46.1
    42.8
    46.3
    40.3
    48.1
    -
    46.2
    39.1
    49.2
    NY Giants
    44.6
    46.2
    42.8
    49.2
    46.0
    39.9
    46.1
    44.6
    47.9
    NY Jets
    53.5
    47.9
    47.0
    39.9
    45.4
    40.2
    48.1
    47.0
    -
    Oakland
    48.1
    47.0
    47.9
    39.1
    -
    45.0
    39.6
    46.3
    46.2
    Philadelphia
    46.0
    42.5
    46.8
    46.1
    47.9
    45.7
    -
    45.0
    53.1
    Pittsburgh
    39.1
    39.8
    47.5
    -
    49.2
    46.1
    50.2
    46.1
    46.1
    San Diego
    47.5
    46.1
    45.0
    46.3
    53.1
    39.1
    -
    46.0
    46.3
    San Francisco
    40.3
    45.7
    44.7
    39.8
    53.5
    46.1
    43.4
    46.8
    -
    Seattle
    46.8
    44.6
    40.3
    39.8
    42.8
    48.1
    39.9
    45.7
    44.7
    St. Louis
    45.7
    46.1
    42.0
    43.4
    46.8
    47.0
    40.3
    48.1
    -
    Tampa Bay
    42.8
    46.1
    44.6
    46.1
    -
    46.3
    53.1
    44.7
    47.5
    Tennessee
    48.1
    48.1
    45.7
    45.4
    44.7
    47.9
    53.5
    40.2
    42.0
    Washington
    53.1
    39.8
    50.2
    46.2
    45.0
    44.7
    46.1
    47.9
    42.8
    Average
    45.1
    45.1
    45.1
    45.2
    45.0
    45.2
    44.9
    44.7
    45.5

     

    Team
    W10
    W11
    W12
    W13
    W14
    W15
    W16
    W17
    Arizona
    -
    45.0
    39.8
    39.8
    43.4
    45.7
    42.0
    39.9
    Atlanta
    53.1
    46.8
    46.2
    53.1
    42.8
    46.1
    45.7
    46.2
    Baltimore
    47.5
    47.9
    48.1
    47.9
    46.1
    39.1
    46.1
    50.2
    Buffalo
    48.1
    47.0
    40.2
    39.6
    39.8
    43.4
    47.0
    39.8
    Carolina
    39.1
    46.2
    49.2
    46.3
    45.0
    48.1
    47.5
    53.1
    Chicago
    45.4
    39.9
    44.7
    43.4
    44.7
    40.3
    46.8
    45.7
    Cincinnati
    46.1
    46.3
    47.5
    48.1
    44.6
    49.2
    47.9
    42.5
    Cleveland
    -
    44.6
    47.9
    47.5
    46.3
    46.1
    39.1
    47.9
    Dallas
    49.2
    46.0
    46.1
    49.2
    50.2
    47.9
    53.1
    46.1
    Denver
    42.8
    48.1
    46.3
    46.2
    47.5
    42.5
    46.0
    46.3
    Detroit
    44.7
    40.3
    45.4
    40.2
    40.3
    46.8
    45.0
    42.0
    Green Bay
    -
    45.7
    46.1
    44.7
    45.7
    42.0
    46.1
    44.7
    Houston
    42.0
    39.6
    45.7
    46.1
    48.1
    40.2
    44.7
    40.2
    Indianapolis
    39.6
    48.1
    53.5
    45.7
    46.1
    45.4
    46.3
    45.4
    Jacksonville
    40.2
    45.4
    46.1
    53.5
    39.8
    47.0
    48.1
    46.1
    Kansas City
    47.9
    50.2
    39.1
    42.8
    46.0
    47.5
    40.2
    39.1
    Miami
    46.1
    53.5
    43.4
    48.1
    39.9
    39.6
    53.5
    48.1
    Minnesota
    45.7
    -
    42.0
    40.3
    42.0
    39.8
    45.4
    40.3
    New England
    53.5
    40.2
    39.8
    47.0
    45.4
    39.9
    39.6
    47.0
    New Orleans
    45.0
    47.5
    39.9
    45.0
    46.1
    46.2
    44.6
    42.8
    NY Giants
    50.2
    -
    40.3
    46.1
    53.1
    45.0
    42.5
    49.2
    NY Jets
    43.4
    39.8
    48.1
    46.8
    39.6
    46.1
    48.1
    53.5
    Oakland
    42.5
    53.1
    50.2
    46.0
    39.1
    46.3
    42.8
    48.1
    Philadelphia
    44.6
    46.1
    42.8
    44.6
    46.2
    50.2
    46.1
    46.1
    Pittsburgh
    46.3
    42.5
    46.0
    42.5
    48.1
    44.6
    50.2
    46.0
    San Diego
    46.2
    39.1
    42.5
    50.2
    47.9
    42.8
    39.8
    47.5
    San Francisco
    39.8
    42.0
    53.1
    39.8
    47.0
    48.1
    43.4
    46.8
    Seattle
    39.8
    -
    47.0
    42.0
    46.8
    53.5
    39.9
    39.8
    St. Louis
    39.9
    39.8
    46.8
    39.9
    53.5
    44.7
    46.2
    43.4
    Tampa Bay
    48.1
    42.8
    45.0
    39.1
    49.2
    53.1
    39.8
    45.0
    Tennessee
    47.0
    -
    39.6
    45.4
    40.2
    39.8
    40.3
    39.6
    Washington
    -
    49.2
    44.6
    46.1
    42.5
    46.0
    49.2
    44.6
    Average
    45.1
    45.1
    45.1
    45.1
    45.1
    45.1
    45.1
    45.1
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