Let me start off by saying this article is likely going to ruffle some feathers. Like all things in life, there are winners and losers. And some of you homers are rooting for teams and players that simply suck.
Value-Based Drafting shows you that every player has value. But we all know that really isn't the case. You can't load up with players from Jacksonville, Miami and Cleveland (even if they were value picks) and expect to win your league. Suck In...equals guess what...Suck Out.
In an effort to eliminate the suck from the Top 300 PPR draft list, I have chosen to implement the following rules:
Rule 1: All players on the worst eight offenses have been eliminated. Worst offenses are calculated looking at my team projections using standard PPR scoring. These teams did not make the cut in 2012: Jacksonville Jaguars, Miami Dolphins, Cleveland Browns, St. Louis Rams, Minnesota Vikings, Kansas City Chiefs, New York Jets, Cincinnati Bengals. The players on these teams are shaded gray on the below list.
Rule 2: Conversely, the top eight offenses (New Orleans Saints, New England Patriots, Green Bay Packers, Detroit Lions, Dallas Cowboys, New York Giants, Atlanta Falcons, and Philadelphia Eagles) keep their players on the abbreviated cheatsheet. These players are shaded green on the below list.
Rule 3: Of the remaining 16 teams from rules 1 and 2 above, the eight with the worst playoff matchups (weeks 14-16) have been given a "Yellow Card" warning. These teams have been tagged for their difficult playoff schedules: San Diego Chargers (@Pit, Car, @NYJ), Washington Redskins (Bal, @Cle, @Phi), Tennessee Titans (@Ind, NYJ, @GB), Indianapolis Colts (@Ind, NYJ, @GB), Chicago Bears (@Min, GB, @Ari), San Francisco 49ers (Mia, @NE, @Sea), Seattle Seahawks (Ari, @Buf, SF), and the Arizona Cardinals (@Sea, Det, Chi). These players are shaded yellow on the below list.
Rule 4: Of the remaining 16 teams from rules 1 and 2 above, the eight with the worst starting matchups (weeks 1-5) have been given a "Yellow Card" warning. These teams have been tagged for their difficult starting schedules: San Francisco 49ers (@GB, Det, @Min, @NYJ, Buf), Pittsburgh Steelers (@Den, NYJ, @Oak, BYE, Phi), Tennessee Titans (NE, @SD, Det, @Hou, @Min), Oakland Raiders (SD, @Mia, Pit, @Den, BYE), Buffalo Bills (@NYJ, KC, @Cle, NE, @SF), Indianapolis Colts (@Chi, Min, Jac, BYE, GB), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Car, @NYG, @Dal, Was, BYE), and the Denver Broncos (Pit, @Atl, Hou, Oak, @NE). These players are shaded yellow on the below list.
Rule 5: Any team flagged for two "Yellow Cards" is "Red Carded". These players are shaded red on the below list. Players from the San Francisco 49ers, Tennessee Titans, and Indianapolis Colts meet this criteria.
Rule 6: Old players suck. They get hurt a lot and offer minimal upside. Go ahead and cross off Terrell Owens (39 years old), Matt Hasselbeck (37), Peyton Manning (36), Tony Gonzalez (36), Tom Brady (35), Randy Moss (35), Reggie Wayne (34), Dallas Clark (33), Steve Smith, Car (33), Santana Moss (33), Fred Jackson (31), Willis McGahee (31), and Ronnie Brown (31) from the remaining players. Some are still pretending to have game, but many will likely disappoint. These players are shaded a lighter gray to match their hair color.
Rule 7: Unless you are in a league that does not allow transactions, you should not be drafting multiple kickers and defenses. Go ahead and cross off kickers and defense outside of the top 12. These defenses and kickers are shaded gray. The top 12 kickers are ranked as players based on rules 1-8 above. The top 12 defenses are marked as green.
Rule 8: The first 20 players are exempt from the other rules. By definition they can't suck and be in the top 20. These players are shaded green if they are not on the 8 worst offenses list and don't have bad starting and ending schedules. If they are on one of the other lists they are shaded yellow.
Rule 9: These rules will be done in the order they are listed. That will reverse some previous color combinations.
Rule 10: Any player not impacted by these other rules will be shaded light green.
Understanding the colors:
Green - These players either play in the eight best offenses or represent the best 20 players in fantasy football. Draft these players with no fear.
White - These players play in average offenses and have good to great starting and finishing schedules. Draft these players with little fear.
Yellow - These players play in average offenses and have either a hard starting or hard ending schedule. Try to minimize the number of these players you draft.
Red - These players play in average offenses and have difficult starts (weeks 1-5) and finishes (weeks 14-16). These players are sure to disappoint when you need them the most and are best to avoid.
Light Gray - These guys are OLD. Only draft one of these players when it represents exceptional value. Most of these players should be avoided.
Dark Gray - These players either play on the 8 worst offenses in the league or are kickers or defenses you will not be drafting. Unless you can get substantial value against ADP, you should look to minimize these players.
Here's to not sucking on draft day...
| Overall | 12 Team | 10 Team | 14 Team | Pos | Player | Team | ADP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.01 | RB1 | Arian Foster | Hou/8 | 1 |
| 2 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | RB2 | Ray Rice | Bal/8 | 2 |
| 3 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 1.03 | RB3 | LeSean McCoy | Phi/7 | 3 |
| 4 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.04 | WR1 | Calvin Johnson | Det/5 | 4 |
| 5 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | QB1 | Aaron Rodgers | GB/10 | 5 |
| 6 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.06 | RB4 | Darren McFadden | Oak/5 | 7 |
| 7 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.07 | RB5 | Matt Forte | Chi/6 | 10 |
| 8 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 | RB6 | Chris Johnson | Ten/11 | 6 |
| 9 | 1.09 | 1.09 | 1.09 | TE1 | Jimmy Graham | NO/6 | 9 |
| 10 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.10 | RB7 | Jamaal Charles | KC/7 | 16 |
| 11 | 1.11 | 2.01 | 1.11 | RB8 | DeMarco Murray | Dal/5 | 15 |
| 12 | 1.12 | 2.02 | 1.12 | WR2 | Julio Jones | Atl/7 | 17 |
| 13 | 2.01 | 2.03 | 1.13 | QB2 | Drew Brees | NO/6 | 11 |
| 14 | 2.02 | 2.04 | 1.14 | RB9 | Steven Jackson | Stl/9 | 25 |
| 15 | 2.03 | 2.05 | 2.01 | RB10 | Darren Sproles | NO/6 | 22 |
| 16 | 2.04 | 2.06 | 2.02 | TE2 | Rob Gronkowski | NE/9 | 14 |
| 17 | 2.05 | 2.07 | 2.03 | RB11 | Trent Richardson | Cle/10 | 28 |
| 18 | 2.06 | 2.08 | 2.04 | QB3 | Tom Brady | NE/9 | 8 |
| 19 | 2.07 | 2.09 | 2.05 | RB12 | Ryan Mathews | SD/7 | 26 |
| 20 | 2.08 | 2.10 | 2.06 | WR3 | Larry Fitzgerald | Ari/10 | 13 |
| 21 | 2.09 | 3.01 | 2.07 | WR4 | Andre Johnson | Hou/8 | 19 |
| 22 | 2.10 | 3.02 | 2.08 | WR5 | A.J. Green | Cin/8 | 23 |
| 23 | 2.11 | 3.03 | 2.09 | RB13 | Fred Jackson | Buf/8 | 33 |
| 24 | 2.12 | 3.04 | 2.10 | QB4 | Cam Newton | Car/6 | 21 |
| 25 | 3.01 | 3.05 | 2.11 | RB14 | Doug Martin | TB/5 | 37 |
| 26 | 3.02 | 3.06 | 2.12 | WR6 | Roddy White | Atl/7 | 27 |
| 27 | 3.03 | 3.07 | 2.13 | RB15 | Marshawn Lynch | Sea/11 | 30 |
| 28 | 3.04 | 3.08 | 2.14 | WR7 | Brandon Marshall | Chi/6 | 29 |
| 29 | 3.05 | 3.09 | 3.01 | RB16 | Ahmad Bradshaw | NYG/11 | 36 |
| 30 | 3.06 | 3.10 | 3.02 | WR8 | Victor Cruz | NYG/11 | 32 |
| 31 | 3.07 | 4.01 | 3.03 | RB17 | Maurice Jones-Drew | Jac/6 | 12 |
| 32 | 3.08 | 4.02 | 3.04 | QB5 | Matthew Stafford | Det/5 | 24 |
| 33 | 3.09 | 4.03 | 3.05 | WR9 | Percy Harvin | Min/11 | 38 |
| 34 | 3.10 | 4.04 | 3.06 | WR10 | Wes Welker | NE/9 | 18 |
| 35 | 3.11 | 4.05 | 3.07 | RB18 | Reggie Bush | Mia/7 | 48 |
| 36 | 3.12 | 4.06 | 3.08 | WR11 | Steve Smith | Car/6 | 40 |
| 37 | 4.01 | 4.07 | 3.09 | WR12 | Dez Bryant | Dal/5 | 39 |
| 38 | 4.02 | 4.08 | 3.10 | WR13 | Hakeem Nicks | NYG/11 | 34 |
| 39 | 4.03 | 4.09 | 3.11 | WR14 | Jordy Nelson | GB/10 | 35 |
| 40 | 4.04 | 4.10 | 3.12 | RB19 | Frank Gore | SF/9 | 45 |
| 41 | 4.05 | 5.01 | 3.13 | RB20 | Adrian Peterson | Min/11 | 20 |
| 42 | 4.06 | 5.02 | 3.14 | TE3 | Aaron Hernandez | NE/9 | 46 |
| 43 | 4.07 | 5.03 | 4.01 | WR15 | Marques Colston | NO/6 | 41 |
| 44 | 4.08 | 5.04 | 4.02 | WR16 | Demaryius Thomas | Den/7 | 49 |
| 45 | 4.09 | 5.05 | 4.03 | WR17 | Steve Johnson | Buf/8 | 57 |
| 46 | 4.10 | 5.06 | 4.04 | WR18 | Miles Austin | Dal/5 | 50 |
| 47 | 4.11 | 5.07 | 4.05 | QB6 | Michael Vick | Phi/7 | 44 |
| 48 | 4.12 | 5.08 | 4.06 | WR19 | Dwayne Bowe | KC/7 | 54 |
| 49 | 5.01 | 5.09 | 4.07 | WR20 | Greg Jennings | GB/10 | 31 |
| 50 | 5.02 | 5.10 | 4.08 | WR21 | Vincent Jackson | TB/5 | 55 |
| 51 | 5.03 | 6.01 | 4.09 | RB21 | Shonn Greene | NYJ/9 | 56 |
| 52 | 5.04 | 6.02 | 4.10 | WR22 | Antonio Brown | Pit/4 | 58 |
| 53 | 5.05 | 6.03 | 4.11 | WR23 | Jeremy Maclin | Phi/7 | 51 |
| 54 | 5.06 | 6.04 | 4.12 | WR24 | Mike Wallace | Pit/4 | 47 |
| 55 | 5.07 | 6.05 | 4.13 | TE4 | Antonio Gates | SD/7 | 43 |
| 56 | 5.08 | 6.06 | 4.14 | TE5 | Vernon Davis | SF/9 | 61 |
| 57 | 5.09 | 6.07 | 5.01 | RB22 | Donald Brown | Ind/8 | 76 |
| 58 | 5.10 | 6.08 | 5.02 | RB23 | Jonathan Stewart | Car/6 | 69 |
| 59 | 5.11 | 6.09 | 5.03 | RB24 | Willis McGahee | Den/7 | 60 |
| 60 | 5.12 | 6.10 | 5.04 | WR25 | DeSean Jackson | Phi/7 | 68 |
| 61 | 6.01 | 7.01 | 5.05 | RB25 | C.J. Spiller | Buf/8 | 73 |
| 62 | 6.02 | 7.02 | 5.06 | RB26 | BenJarvus Green-Ellis | Cin/8 | 62 |
| 63 | 6.03 | 7.03 | 5.07 | QB7 | Matt Ryan | Atl/7 | 53 |
| 64 | 6.04 | 7.04 | 5.08 | RB27 | Michael Turner | Atl/7 | 42 |
| 65 | 6.05 | 7.05 | 5.09 | WR26 | Brandon Lloyd | NE/9 | 52 |
| 66 | 6.06 | 7.06 | 5.10 | WR27 | Torrey Smith | Bal/8 | 78 |
| 67 | 6.07 | 7.07 | 5.11 | QB8 | Robert Griffin III | Was/10 | 82 |
| 68 | 6.08 | 7.08 | 5.12 | QB9 | Eli Manning | NYG/11 | 59 |
| 69 | 6.09 | 7.09 | 5.13 | RB28 | Peyton Hillis | KC/7 | 72 |
| 70 | 6.10 | 7.10 | 5.14 | TE6 | Brandon Pettigrew | Det/5 | 75 |
| 71 | 6.11 | 8.01 | 6.01 | TE7 | Jermichael Finley | GB/10 | 66 |
| 72 | 6.12 | 8.02 | 6.02 | RB29 | Mark Ingram | NO/6 | 86 |
| 73 | 7.01 | 8.03 | 6.03 | RB30 | Isaac Redman | Pit/4 | 70 |
| 74 | 7.02 | 8.04 | 6.04 | RB31 | Kevin Smith | Det/5 | 80 |
| 75 | 7.03 | 8.05 | 6.05 | WR28 | Eric Decker | Den/7 | 63 |
| 76 | 7.04 | 8.06 | 6.06 | QB10 | Tony Romo | Dal/5 | 64 |
| 77 | 7.05 | 8.07 | 6.07 | WR29 | Pierre Garcon | Was/10 | 74 |
| 78 | 7.06 | 8.08 | 6.08 | QB11 | Philip Rivers | SD/7 | 65 |
| 79 | 7.07 | 8.09 | 6.09 | TE8 | Jason Witten | Dal/5 | 71 |
| 80 | 7.08 | 8.10 | 6.10 | WR30 | Denarius Moore | Oak/5 | 93 |
| 81 | 7.09 | 9.01 | 6.11 | WR31 | Darrius Heyward-Bey | Oak/5 | 97 |
| 82 | 7.10 | 9.02 | 6.12 | QB12 | Ben Roethlisberger | Pit/4 | 90 |
| 83 | 7.11 | 9.03 | 6.13 | QB13 | Peyton Manning | Den/7 | 67 |
| 84 | 7.12 | 9.04 | 6.14 | RB32 | DeAngelo Williams | Car/6 | 92 |
| 85 | 8.01 | 9.05 | 7.01 | TE9 | Tony Gonzalez | Atl/7 | 88 |
| 86 | 8.02 | 9.06 | 7.02 | WR32 | Malcom Floyd | SD/7 | 96 |
| 87 | 8.03 | 9.07 | 7.03 | WR33 | Reggie Wayne | Ind/8 | 79 |
| 88 | 8.04 | 9.08 | 7.04 | RB33 | Michael Bush | Chi/6 | 99 |
| 89 | 8.05 | 9.09 | 7.05 | WR34 | Kenny Britt | Ten/11 | 83 |
| 90 | 8.06 | 9.10 | 7.06 | RB34 | Stevan Ridley | NE/9 | 84 |
| 91 | 8.07 | 10.01 | 7.07 | RB35 | Ryan Williams | Ari/10 | 100 |
| 92 | 8.08 | 10.02 | 7.08 | WR35 | Santonio Holmes | NYJ/9 | 106 |
| 93 | 8.09 | 10.03 | 7.09 | WR36 | Titus Young | Det/5 | 101 |
| 94 | 8.10 | 10.04 | 7.10 | TE10 | Jermaine Gresham | Cin/8 | 105 |
| 95 | 8.11 | 10.05 | 7.11 | RB36 | Jacquizz Rodgers | Atl/7 | 109 |
| 96 | 8.12 | 10.06 | 7.12 | WR37 | Greg Little | Cle/10 | 102 |
| 97 | 9.01 | 10.07 | 7.13 | WR38 | Michael Crabtree | SF/9 | 111 |
| 98 | 9.02 | 10.08 | 7.14 | RB37 | Rashad Jennings | Jac/6 | 124 |
| 99 | 9.03 | 10.09 | 8.01 | WR39 | Robert Meachem | SD/7 | 87 |
| 100 | 9.04 | 10.10 | 8.02 | WR40 | Nate Washington | Ten/11 | 110 |
| 101 | 9.05 | 11.01 | 8.03 | QB14 | Josh Freeman | TB/5 | 118 |
| 102 | 9.06 | 11.02 | 8.04 | WR41 | Anquan Boldin | Bal/8 | 104 |
| 103 | 9.07 | 11.03 | 8.05 | RB38 | James Starks | GB/10 | 113 |
| 104 | 9.08 | 11.04 | 8.06 | RB39 | Evan Royster | Was/10 | 130 |
| 105 | 9.09 | 11.05 | 8.07 | Def1 | San Francisco 49ers | SF/9 | 98 |
| 106 | 9.10 | 11.06 | 8.08 | WR42 | Lance Moore | NO/6 | 112 |
| 107 | 9.11 | 11.07 | 8.09 | RB40 | Toby Gerhart | Min/11 | 114 |
| 108 | 9.12 | 11.08 | 8.10 | RB41 | Pierre Thomas | NO/6 | 125 |
| 109 | 10.01 | 11.09 | 8.11 | RB42 | Cedric Benson | GB/10 | 107 |
| 110 | 10.02 | 11.10 | 8.12 | WR43 | Justin Blackmon | Jac/6 | 108 |
| 111 | 10.03 | 12.01 | 8.13 | RB43 | Ronnie Hillman | Den/7 | 128 |
| 112 | 10.04 | 12.02 | 8.14 | RB44 | Beanie Wells | Ari/10 | 77 |
| 113 | 10.05 | 12.03 | 9.01 | WR44 | Mike Williams | TB/5 | 126 |
| 114 | 10.06 | 12.04 | 9.02 | TE11 | Fred Davis | Was/10 | 85 |
| 115 | 10.07 | 12.05 | 9.03 | QB15 | Matt Schaub | Hou/8 | 94 |
| 116 | 10.08 | 12.06 | 9.04 | TE12 | Brent Celek | Phi/7 | 131 |
| 117 | 10.09 | 12.07 | 9.05 | QB16 | Jay Cutler | Chi/6 | 91 |
| 118 | 10.10 | 12.08 | 9.06 | RB45 | Ben Tate | Hou/8 | 89 |
| 119 | 10.11 | 12.09 | 9.07 | WR45 | Randy Moss | SF/9 | 117 |
| 120 | 10.12 | 12.10 | 9.08 | QB17 | Carson Palmer | Oak/5 | 120 |
| 121 | 11.01 | 13.01 | 9.09 | TE13 | Jacob Tamme | Den/7 | 103 |
| 122 | 11.02 | 13.02 | 9.10 | Def2 | Philadelphia Eagles | Phi/7 | 133 |
| 123 | 11.03 | 13.03 | 9.11 | Def3 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Pit/4 | 122 |
| 124 | 11.04 | 13.04 | 9.12 | WR46 | Randall Cobb | GB/10 | 132 |
| 125 | 11.05 | 13.05 | 9.13 | WR47 | Sidney Rice | Sea/11 | 129 |
| 126 | 11.06 | 13.06 | 9.14 | RB46 | Felix Jones | Dal/5 | 145 |
| 127 | 11.07 | 13.07 | 10.01 | QB18 | Andrew Luck | Ind/8 | 119 |
| 128 | 11.08 | 13.08 | 10.02 | WR48 | Brandon LaFell | Car/6 | 152 |
| 129 | 11.09 | 13.09 | 10.03 | RB47 | Mikel LeShoure | Det/5 | 115 |
| 130 | 11.10 | 13.10 | 10.04 | Def4 | Baltimore Ravens | Bal/8 | 138 |
| 131 | 11.11 | 14.01 | 10.05 | TE14 | Jared Cook | Ten/11 | 121 |
| 132 | 11.12 | 14.02 | 10.06 | TE15 | Dustin Keller | NYJ/9 | 149 |
| 133 | 12.01 | 14.03 | 10.07 | QB19 | Alex Smith | SF/9 | 165 |
| 134 | 12.02 | 14.04 | 10.08 | RB48 | Roy Helu | Was/10 | 81 |
| 135 | 12.03 | 14.05 | 10.09 | Def5 | Green Bay Packers | GB/10 | 142 |
| 136 | 12.04 | 14.06 | 10.10 | QB20 | Joe Flacco | Bal/8 | 144 |
| 137 | 12.05 | 14.07 | 10.11 | TE16 | Greg Olsen | Car/6 | 150 |
| 138 | 12.06 | 14.08 | 10.12 | WR49 | Austin Collie | Ind/8 | 123 |
| 139 | 12.07 | 14.09 | 10.13 | RB49 | Shane Vereen | NE/9 | 148 |
| 140 | 12.08 | 14.10 | 10.14 | QB21 | Andy Dalton | Cin/8 | 134 |
| 141 | 12.09 | 15.01 | 11.01 | WR50 | Doug Baldwin | Sea/11 | 168 |
| 142 | 12.10 | 15.02 | 11.02 | WR51 | Danny Amendola | Stl/9 | 151 |
| 143 | 12.11 | 15.03 | 11.03 | WR52 | Santana Moss | Was/10 | 159 |
| 144 | 12.12 | 15.04 | 11.04 | Def6 | Houston Texans | Hou/8 | 140 |
| 145 | 13.01 | 15.05 | 11.05 | WR53 | Kendall Wright | Ten/11 | 143 |
| 146 | 13.02 | 15.06 | 11.06 | WR54 | Jerome Simpson | Min/11 | 183 |
| 147 | 13.03 | 15.07 | 11.07 | WR55 | Laurent Robinson | Jac/6 | 161 |
| 148 | 13.04 | 15.08 | 11.08 | PK1 | Stephen Gostkowski | NE/9 | 154 |
| 149 | 13.05 | 15.09 | 11.09 | QB22 | Jake Locker | Ten/11 | 175 |
| 150 | 13.06 | 15.10 | 11.10 | RB50 | David Wilson | NYG/11 | 95 |
| 151 | 13.07 | 16.01 | 11.11 | WR56 | Davone Bess | Mia/7 | 176 |
| 152 | 13.08 | 16.02 | 11.12 | RB51 | Kendall Hunter | SF/9 | 172 |
| 153 | 13.09 | 16.03 | 11.13 | Def7 | New York Jets | NYJ/9 | 171 |
| 154 | 13.10 | 16.04 | 11.14 | RB52 | Tim Hightower | Was/10 | 163 |
| 155 | 13.11 | 16.05 | 12.01 | PK2 | Mason Crosby | GB/10 | 160 |
| 156 | 13.12 | 16.06 | 12.02 | QB23 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | Buf/8 | 141 |
| 157 | 14.01 | 16.07 | 12.03 | WR57 | Alshon Jeffery | Chi/6 | 173 |
| 158 | 14.02 | 16.08 | 12.04 | Def8 | Buffalo Bills | Buf/8 | 169 |
| 159 | 14.03 | 16.09 | 12.05 | RB53 | Rashard Mendenhall | Pit/4 | 137 |
| 160 | 14.04 | 16.10 | 12.06 | TE17 | Owen Daniels | Hou/8 | 136 |
| 161 | 14.05 | 17.01 | 12.07 | Def9 | Chicago Bears | Chi/6 | 158 |
| 162 | 14.06 | 17.02 | 12.08 | WR58 | Emmanuel Sanders | Pit/4 | 188 |
| 163 | 14.07 | 17.03 | 12.09 | RB54 | LeGarrette Blount | TB/5 | 116 |
| 164 | 14.08 | 17.04 | 12.10 | TE18 | Kyle Rudolph | Min/11 | 146 |
| 165 | 14.09 | 17.05 | 12.11 | Def10 | New York Giants | NYG/11 | 164 |
| 166 | 14.10 | 17.06 | 12.12 | RB55 | Bernard Scott | Cin/8 | 180 |
| 167 | 14.11 | 17.07 | 12.13 | PK3 | David Akers | SF/9 | 147 |
| 168 | 14.12 | 17.08 | 12.14 | WR59 | Mario Manningham | SF/9 | 182 |
| 169 | 15.01 | 17.09 | 13.01 | QB24 | Sam Bradford | Stl/9 | 174 |
| 170 | 15.02 | 17.10 | 13.02 | WR60 | David Nelson | Buf/8 | 222 |
| 171 | 15.03 | 18.01 | 13.03 | WR61 | Jonathan Baldwin | KC/7 | 162 |
| 172 | 15.04 | 18.02 | 13.04 | Def11 | Detroit Lions | Det/5 | 167 |
| 173 | 15.05 | 18.03 | 13.05 | WR62 | Steve Smith | Stl/9 | 204 |
| 174 | 15.06 | 18.04 | 13.06 | Def12 | New England Patriots | NE/9 | 181 |
| 175 | 15.07 | 18.05 | 13.07 | RB56 | Montario Hardesty | Cle/10 | 184 |
| 176 | 15.08 | 18.06 | 13.08 | WR63 | Stephen Hill | NYJ/9 | 208 |
| 177 | 15.09 | 18.07 | 13.09 | QB25 | Matt Cassel | KC/7 | 198 |
| 178 | 15.10 | 18.08 | 13.10 | WR64 | Terrell Owens | Sea/11 | 179 |
| 179 | 15.11 | 18.09 | 13.11 | PK4 | Garrett Hartley | NO/6 | 193 |
| 180 | 15.12 | 18.10 | 13.12 | WR65 | Nate Burleson | Det/5 | 177 |
| 181 | 16.01 | 19.01 | 13.13 | QB26 | Christian Ponder | Min/11 | 197 |
| 182 | 16.02 | 19.02 | 13.14 | TE19 | Heath Miller | Pit/4 | 196 |
| 183 | 16.03 | 19.03 | 14.01 | TE20 | Coby Fleener | Ind/8 | 139 |
| 184 | 16.04 | 19.04 | 14.02 | RB57 | Bilal Powell | NYJ/9 | 234 |
| 185 | 16.05 | 19.05 | 14.03 | Def13 | Denver Broncos | Den/7 | 199 |
| 186 | 16.06 | 19.06 | 14.04 | Def14 | Dallas Cowboys | Dal/5 | 191 |
| 187 | 16.07 | 19.07 | 14.05 | QB27 | Matt Flynn | Sea/11 | 190 |
| 188 | 16.08 | 19.08 | 14.06 | TE21 | Ed Dickson | Bal/8 | 202 |
| 189 | 16.09 | 19.09 | 14.07 | WR66 | Michael Floyd | Ari/10 | 157 |
| 190 | 16.10 | 19.10 | 14.08 | RB58 | Isaiah Pead | Stl/9 | 156 |
| 191 | 16.11 | 20.01 | 14.09 | PK5 | Randy Bullock | Hou/8 | 215 |
| 192 | 16.12 | 20.02 | 14.10 | RB59 | Lamar Miller | Mia/7 | 221 |
| 193 | 17.01 | 20.03 | 14.11 | WR67 | Brian Hartline | Mia/7 | 255 |
| 194 | 17.02 | 20.04 | 14.12 | Def15 | Seattle Seahawks | Sea/11 | 214 |
| 195 | 17.03 | 20.05 | 14.13 | WR68 | Leonard Hankerson | Was/10 | 200 |
| 196 | 17.04 | 20.06 | 14.14 | PK6 | Nate Kaeding | SD/7 | 213 |
| 197 | 17.05 | 20.07 | 15.01 | TE22 | Scott Chandler | Buf/8 | 216 |
| 198 | 17.06 | 20.08 | 15.02 | WR69 | Donnie Avery | Ind/8 | 255 |
| 199 | 17.07 | 20.09 | 15.03 | Def16 | Cincinnati Bengals | Cin/8 | 205 |
| 200 | 17.08 | 20.10 | 15.04 | RB60 | Javon Ringer | Ten/11 | 212 |
| 201 | 17.09 | 21.01 | 15.05 | PK7 | Jason Hanson | Det/5 | 201 |
| 202 | 17.10 | 21.02 | 15.06 | WR70 | Earl Bennett | Chi/6 | 230 |
| 203 | 17.11 | 21.03 | 15.07 | WR71 | Reuben Randle | NYG/11 | 203 |
| 204 | 17.12 | 21.04 | 15.08 | PK8 | Dan Bailey | Dal/5 | 185 |
| 205 | 18.01 | 21.05 | 15.09 | RB61 | Danny Ware | NYG/11 | 255 |
| 206 | 18.02 | 21.06 | 15.10 | RB62 | Mike Tolbert | Car/6 | 170 |
| 207 | 18.03 | 21.07 | 15.11 | TE23 | Lance Kendricks | Stl/9 | 228 |
| 208 | 18.04 | 21.08 | 15.12 | WR72 | Harry Douglas | Atl/7 | 255 |
| 209 | 18.05 | 21.09 | 15.13 | QB28 | Brandon Weeden | Cle/10 | 223 |
| 210 | 18.06 | 21.10 | 15.14 | RB63 | Mike Goodson | Oak/5 | 186 |
| 211 | 18.07 | 22.01 | 16.01 | RB64 | Marcel Reece | Oak/5 | 255 |
| 212 | 18.08 | 22.02 | 16.02 | WR73 | Jason Avant | Phi/7 | 251 |
| 213 | 18.09 | 22.03 | 16.03 | WR74 | Brian Quick | Stl/9 | 178 |
| 214 | 18.10 | 22.04 | 16.04 | TE24 | Marcedes Lewis | Jac/6 | 225 |
| 215 | 18.11 | 22.05 | 16.05 | PK9 | Alex Henery | Phi/7 | 194 |
| 216 | 18.12 | 22.06 | 16.06 | QB29 | Mark Sanchez | NYJ/9 | 229 |
| 217 | 19.01 | 22.07 | 16.07 | TE25 | Tony Moeaki | KC/7 | 226 |
| 218 | 19.02 | 22.08 | 16.08 | RB65 | Le'Ron McClain | SD/7 | 253 |
| 219 | 19.03 | 22.09 | 16.09 | WR75 | Andre Roberts | Ari/10 | 218 |
| 220 | 19.04 | 22.10 | 16.10 | RB66 | Ronnie Brown | SD/7 | 166 |
| 221 | 19.05 | 23.01 | 16.11 | WR76 | Kevin Walter | Hou/8 | 255 |
| 222 | 19.06 | 23.02 | 16.12 | WR77 | Josh Gordon | Cle/10 | 255 |
| 223 | 19.07 | 23.03 | 16.13 | Def17 | San Diego Chargers | SD/7 | 244 |
| 224 | 19.08 | 23.04 | 16.14 | WR78 | Golden Tate | Sea/11 | 255 |
| 225 | 19.09 | 23.05 | 17.01 | QB30 | John Skelton | Ari/10 | 255 |
| 226 | 19.10 | 23.06 | 17.02 | PK10 | Matt Bryant | Atl/7 | 224 |
| 227 | 19.11 | 23.07 | 17.03 | RB67 | Jonathan Dwyer | Pit/4 | 192 |
| 228 | 19.12 | 23.08 | 17.04 | QB31 | Ryan Tannehill | Mia/7 | 240 |
| 229 | 20.01 | 23.09 | 17.05 | WR79 | Steve Breaston | KC/7 | 237 |
| 230 | 20.02 | 23.10 | 17.06 | Def18 | Atlanta Falcons | Atl/7 | 247 |
| 231 | 20.03 | 24.01 | 17.07 | WR80 | Ryan Broyles | Det/5 | 155 |
| 232 | 20.04 | 24.02 | 17.08 | PK11 | Sebastian Janikowski | Oak/5 | 153 |
| 233 | 20.05 | 24.03 | 17.09 | TE26 | Dallas Clark | TB/5 | 231 |
| 234 | 20.06 | 24.04 | 17.10 | QB32 | Tim Tebow | NYJ/9 | 211 |
| 235 | 20.07 | 24.05 | 17.11 | RB68 | Leon Washington | Sea/11 | 255 |
| 236 | 20.08 | 24.06 | 17.12 | RB69 | Robert Turbin | Sea/11 | 189 |
| 237 | 20.09 | 24.07 | 17.13 | RB70 | Danny Woodhead | NE/9 | 233 |
| 238 | 20.10 | 24.08 | 17.14 | TE27 | Anthony Fasano | Mia/7 | 255 |
| 239 | 20.11 | 24.09 | 18.01 | RB71 | Delone Carter | Ind/8 | 255 |
| 240 | 20.12 | 24.10 | 18.02 | Def19 | Tennessee Titans | Ten/11 | 255 |
| 241 | 21.01 | 25.01 | 18.03 | QB33 | Blaine Gabbert | Jac/6 | 255 |
| 242 | 21.02 | 25.02 | 18.04 | WR81 | Mohamed Sanu | Cin/8 | 241 |
| 243 | 21.03 | 25.03 | 18.05 | PK12 | Mike Nugent | Cin/8 | 255 |
| 244 | 21.04 | 25.04 | 18.06 | TE28 | Kellen Winslow | Sea/11 | 209 |
| 245 | 21.05 | 25.05 | 18.07 | Def20 | Minnesota Vikings | Min/11 | 255 |
| 246 | 21.06 | 25.06 | 18.08 | PK13 | Neil Rackers | Was/10 | 255 |
| 247 | 21.07 | 25.07 | 18.09 | RB72 | Taiwan Jones | Oak/5 | 207 |
| 248 | 21.08 | 25.08 | 18.10 | QB34 | Russell Wilson | Sea/11 | 255 |
| 249 | 21.09 | 25.09 | 18.11 | Def21 | New Orleans Saints | NO/6 | 255 |
| 250 | 21.10 | 25.10 | 18.12 | PK14 | Justin Medlock | Car/6 | 255 |
| 251 | 21.11 | 26.01 | 18.13 | Def22 | Arizona Cardinals | Ari/10 | 252 |
| 252 | 21.12 | 26.02 | 18.14 | QB35 | Kevin Kolb | Ari/10 | 255 |
| 253 | 22.01 | 26.03 | 19.01 | WR82 | Donald Jones | Buf/8 | 255 |
| 254 | 22.02 | 26.04 | 19.02 | PK15 | Dan Carpenter | Mia/7 | 255 |
| 255 | 22.03 | 26.05 | 19.03 | Def23 | Carolina Panthers | Car/6 | 255 |
| 256 | 22.04 | 26.06 | 19.04 | PK16 | Shaun Suisham | Pit/4 | 255 |
| 257 | 22.05 | 26.07 | 19.05 | RB73 | Daniel Thomas | Mia/7 | 135 |
| 258 | 22.06 | 26.08 | 19.06 | WR83 | Jeremy Kerley | NYJ/9 | 255 |
| 259 | 22.07 | 26.09 | 19.07 | QB36 | Chad Henne | Jac/6 | 255 |
| 260 | 22.08 | 26.10 | 19.08 | Def24 | Kansas City Chiefs | KC/7 | 250 |
| 261 | 22.09 | 27.01 | 19.09 | PK17 | Rob Bironas | Ten/11 | 127 |
| 262 | 22.10 | 27.02 | 19.10 | RB74 | Alex Green | GB/10 | 206 |
| 263 | 22.11 | 27.03 | 19.11 | TE29 | Kellen Davis | Chi/6 | 255 |
| 264 | 22.12 | 27.04 | 19.12 | WR84 | Devery Henderson | NO/6 | 239 |
| 265 | 23.01 | 27.05 | 19.13 | RB75 | Jason Snelling | Atl/7 | 227 |
| 266 | 23.02 | 27.06 | 19.14 | TE30 | Dennis Pitta | Bal/8 | 255 |
| 267 | 23.03 | 27.07 | 20.01 | WR85 | Early Doucet | Ari/10 | 255 |
| 268 | 23.04 | 27.08 | 20.02 | PK18 | Matt Prater | Den/7 | 195 |
| 269 | 23.05 | 27.09 | 20.03 | QB37 | Mike Kafka | Phi/7 | 255 |
| 270 | 23.06 | 27.10 | 20.04 | WR86 | Preston Parker | TB/5 | 255 |
| 271 | 23.07 | 28.01 | 20.05 | RB76 | Brian Leonard | Cin/8 | 255 |
| 272 | 23.08 | 28.02 | 20.06 | TE31 | Tony Scheffler | Det/5 | 255 |
| 273 | 23.09 | 28.03 | 20.07 | Def25 | Miami Dolphins | Mia/7 | 255 |
| 274 | 23.10 | 28.04 | 20.08 | WR87 | Mohamed Massaquoi | Cle/10 | 255 |
| 275 | 23.11 | 28.05 | 20.09 | PK19 | Robbie Gould | Chi/6 | 245 |
| 276 | 23.12 | 28.06 | 20.10 | TE32 | Joel Dreessen | Den/7 | 255 |
| 277 | 24.01 | 28.07 | 20.11 | WR88 | James Jones | GB/10 | 210 |
| 278 | 24.02 | 28.08 | 20.12 | Def26 | Oakland Raiders | Oak/5 | 255 |
| 279 | 24.03 | 28.09 | 20.13 | PK20 | Justin Tucker | Bal/8 | 255 |
| 280 | 24.04 | 28.10 | 20.14 | WR89 | Devin Hester | Chi/6 | 255 |
| 281 | 24.05 | 29.01 | 21.01 | QB38 | Joe Webb | Min/11 | 255 |
| 282 | 24.06 | 29.02 | 21.02 | RB77 | Bernard Pierce | Bal/8 | 255 |
| 283 | 24.07 | 29.03 | 21.03 | TE33 | Dwayne Allen | Ind/8 | 255 |
| 284 | 24.08 | 29.04 | 21.04 | WR90 | Legedu Naanee | Mia/7 | 255 |
| 285 | 24.09 | 29.05 | 21.05 | PK21 | Josh Brown | NYJ/9 | 255 |
| 286 | 24.10 | 29.06 | 21.06 | RB78 | Dexter McCluster | KC/7 | 248 |
| 287 | 24.11 | 29.07 | 21.07 | Def27 | Washington Redskins | Was/10 | 255 |
| 288 | 24.12 | 29.08 | 21.08 | TE34 | Martellus Bennett | NYG/11 | 220 |
| 289 | 25.01 | 29.09 | 21.09 | WR91 | Juron Criner | Oak/5 | 249 |
| 290 | 25.02 | 29.10 | 21.10 | PK22 | Steve Hauschka | Sea/11 | 255 |
| 291 | 25.03 | 30.01 | 21.11 | RB79 | LaRod Stephens-Howling | Ari/10 | 255 |
| 292 | 25.04 | 30.02 | 21.12 | Def28 | St. Louis Rams | Stl/9 | 255 |
| 293 | 25.05 | 30.03 | 21.13 | QB39 | Matt Hasselbeck | Ten/11 | 255 |
| 294 | 25.06 | 30.04 | 21.14 | WR92 | Lestar Jean | Hou/8 | 242 |
| 295 | 25.07 | 30.05 | 22.01 | PK23 | Rian Lindell | Buf/8 | 255 |
| 296 | 25.08 | 30.06 | 22.02 | TE35 | Zach Miller | Sea/11 | 255 |
| 297 | 25.09 | 30.07 | 22.03 | Def29 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | TB/5 | 255 |
| 298 | 25.10 | 30.08 | 22.04 | TE36 | Robert Housler | Ari/10 | 255 |
| 299 | 25.11 | 30.09 | 22.05 | QB40 | Vincent Young | Buf/8 | 255 |
| 300 | 25.12 | 30.10 | 22.06 | PK24 | Lawrence Tynes | NYG/11 | 255 |
Of course the very best rosters never follow an extremely rigid draft plan as outlined above. But many of the grayed out and red players will indeed underperform. Minimizing these types of players can go a long way in fielding a competitive roster.
Here is my sample draft from the sixth hole for a team that starts 1 QB, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, 1 TE, 1 PK, 1 Def and 1 flex (RB/WR/TE). Note: All picks taken at or before their ADP
Rd 1 - Pick 6 - RB Darren McFadden, Oak/5 (green)Rd 2 - Pick 19 - RB Darren Sproles, NO/6 (green)
Rd 3 - Pick 30 - WR Roddy White, Atl/7 (green)
Rd 4 - Pick 43 - TE Aaron Hernandez, NE/9 (green)
Rd 5 - Pick 54 - WR Steve Johnson, Buf/8 (yellow)
Rd 6 - Pick 67 - RB Donald Brown, Ind/8 (red) * Exception - great value
Rd 7 - Pick 78 - WR Torrey Smith, Bal/8 (white)
Rd 8 - Pick 91 - QB Ben Roethlisberger, Pit/4 (yellow)
Rd 9 - Pick 102 - WR Titus Young, Det/5 (green)
Rd 10 - Pick 115 - QB Josh Freeman, TB/5 (yellow)
Rd 11 - Pick 126 - TE Brent Celek, Phi/7 (green)
Rd 12 - Pick 139 - RB Felix Jones, Dal/5 (green)
Rd 13 - Pick 150 - WR Brandon LaFell, Car/6 (white)
Rd 14 - Pick 163 - WR Doug Baldwin, Sea/11 (yellow)
Rd 15 - Pick 174 - Def New England Patriots Defense (green)
Rd 16 - Pick 187 - PK Garrett Hartley, NO/6 (green)
Rd 17 - Pick 198 - WR Stephen Hill, NYJ/9 (gray) * Exception - great value
Rd 18 - Pick 211 - RB Danny Ware, NYG/11 (green)
Final Tally: 10 green, 2 white, 4 yellow, 1 red, 1 gray
For a roster that looks like this:
QBs: Ben Roethlisberger, Josh Freeman
RBs: Darren McFadden, Darren Sproles, Donald Brown, Felix Jones, Danny Ware
WRs: Roddy White, Steve Johnson, Torrey Smith, Titus Young, Brandon LaFell, Doug Baldwin, Stephen Hill
TEs: Aaron Hernandez, Brent Celek
PK: Garrett Hartley
Def: New England

