Drafting to Trade #2
By Heath Cummings
August 13th, 2012

If you're looking for an explanation of drafting to trade, please read part one here. Part one of this series focused on the first twelve rounds of a draft and drafting players whose value will increase over the first 5-8 games of the season due to opportunity or schedule. In part two I want to give you ten players you can draft in rounds thirteen or later that may begin the season as afterthoughts and turn into tradable assets during the season.

  1. Jacquizz Rodgers (ADP 147, RB52) - The Falcons are going to throw the ball more this season and Rodgers is going to get every opportunity to be Darren Sproles lite. You may have to hold onto him a bit longer than some on this list but he has a great opportunity in weeks 4-8 and by then Michael Turner may be showing the signs of his age. The fact that Rodgers is falling to the 13th round makes him a good value even if you aren't drafting to trade.

  2. Kendall Wright (ADP 152, WR50) - Wright may jump up boards depending on the availability of Kenny Britt, but right now you can land him in the middle of the 13th and he has exactly what we're looking for in draft to trade. His schedule starts off very favorable, and the opportunity is definitely there for a breakout.

  3. Doug Baldwin (ADP 159, WR53) - Especially in PPR leagues, Baldwin has a chance to shine this season. He had 51 receptions for 788 yards as a rookie and starts off with three straight below average pass defenses in weeks 1-3. If you miss out on Wright in the 13th, Baldwin is an excellent consolation prize.

  4. Rashad Jennings (ADP 161, RB53) I think there's very little chance that Maurice Jones-Drew actually misses games with his holdout, but if he does, expect Jennings to grab the opportunity and run with it. Another consideration is how Jones-Drew will perform if he shows up a week before the season starts. It certainly raises the possibility of a hamstring or other minor injury early on.

  5. Jonathan Baldwin (ADP 176, WR60) - Everyone expects Dwayne Bowe back for week one, but there is not telling what kind of shape he'll show up in. Baldwin has used Bowe's absence to develop rapport with Matt Cassel and make some eye-popping grabs early in camp. His schedule is simply average early on, but if he somehow falls into the #1 receiver role in Kansas City he'll have plenty of value.

  6. Kyle Rudolph (ADP 181, TE19) - I'm not generally in favor of the backup tight end, but in Rudolph's case it could really pay off. He has all the tools to turn into a force in the middle of the field for Minnesota and someone could be ready to make Jimmy Graham/Rob Gronkowski comparisons if he gets off to a hot start against a favorable schedule.

  7. Stephen Hill (ADP 193 WR64) - I don't like the situation in New York any more than anyone else, but Santonio Holmes is sending off all kinds of bad vibes and Hill could find himself falling into a starting role early in the season. The Jets schedule isn't a cakewalk, but there are a few early opportunities for a breakout game that could cause Hill's value to soar.

  8. Bilal Powell (ADP 247, RB74) - It's looking more and more like Powell may be the RB2 behind Shonn Greene, and I feel like this is Greene's last chance to succeed. If Powell starts to cut into his workload his value will definitely go up.

  9. Juron Criner (ADP252, WR80) - With inconsistency and inability to stay healthy we've seen from the Raiders receiving corps it seems likely Criner gets a shot to start at some point this season. I don't think he's ready to star in this league, but his perceived value should increase.

  10. John Skelton (rarely drafted in most leagues) - Skelton is someone you would take with your last non-kicker pick, at least until they announce that he has won the starting job. He looked better than Kolb for most of last season and looked better in the first preseason game, I don't see how he doesn't eventually become the starter. What's better is that he plays several weak pass defenses early on.

As always, feel free to provide comments or suggestions to cummings@footballguys.com.

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