Confidence Pool - Week 16
by FBG Staff
December 20th, 2012

This season, we are proud to bring you the return of the Footballguys.com Staff Confidence Pool Challenge. Nineteen staff members will pick the winner of each NFL game, and rank each choice from most confident (16 points) to least (1 point). As a tie-breaker, the person who is closest to the total points scored on the last Monday Night game will be the winner. Winners will be announced from week to week and the best overall record will be crowned Confidence pool Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices. Also please note that no point spread is taken into account with these picks it is a straight up pick of which NFL team will win this week.

Last Week's Results

Like everyone else in the pool, Greg Russell lost points when Arizona upset Detroit. But his other losses were with very few confidence pool points, and Tennessee's win on Monday night gave him the victory this week. He also was the contestant with the most correct picks with 12. Had the Jets won on Monday night, Heath Cummings would have been this week's winner.

Staffer
CIN
IND
NYG
TB
MIN
GB
DEN
JAX
WAS
SEA
CAR
DET
KC
PIT
SF
NYJ
TOT
PHI
HOU
ATL
NO
STL
CHI
BAL
MIA
CLE
BUF
SD
ARI
OAK
DAL
NE
TEN
PTS
Russell
CIN
HOU
NYG
TB
MIN
GB
DEN
MIA
WAS
SEA
CAR
DET
OAK
PIT
SF
TEN
112
16
12
4
3
13
10
9
8
14
11
7
15
5
2
1
6
Cummings
CIN
HOU
ATL
NO
STL
GB
BAL
MIA
CLE
SEA
CAR
DET
KC
DAL
SF
NYJ
110
12
16
11
10
4
14
9
13
3
15
8
7
1
6
5
2
Tremblay
CIN
HOU
ATL
TB
STL
CHI
DEN
MIA
WAS
SEA
CAR
DET
OAK
PIT
SF
TEN
99
9
15
5
10
1
3
13
16
8
2
6
12
7
11
14
4
Gray
CIN
HOU
NYG
NO
STL
GB
DEN
MIA
WAS
SEA
SD
DET
OAK
PIT
NE
NYJ
99
10
13
8
12
1
15
6
16
9
7
5
14
11
3
4
2
Levin
CIN
HOU
ATL
NO
MIN
GB
BAL
MIA
CLE
BUF
SD
DET
OAK
DAL
NE
NYJ
98
15
16
7
9
8
14
4
12
5
2
3
10
11
6
13
1
Wimer
CIN
HOU
ATL
TB
STL
GB
DEN
MIA
WAS
SEA
CAR
DET
OAK
PIT
SF
NYJ
96
7
13
15
12
5
11
4
3
2
10
16
9
1
8
14
6
Grant
CIN
HOU
ATL
NO
MIN
GB
DEN
MIA
CLE
BUF
SD
DET
OAK
PIT
NE
TEN
93
11
12
5
10
9
16
8
13
2
1
7
14
6
4
15
3
Rudnicki
CIN
HOU
ATL
NO
STL
GB
DEN
MIA
CLE
BUF
SD
DET
OAK
DAL
NE
TEN
91
10
15
8
7
5
11
12
16
6
4
3
13
9
1
14
2
Bitonti
PHI
HOU
NYG
NO
MIN
GB
DEN
MIA
CLE
SEA
SD
DET
OAK
DAL
NE
NYJ
90
1
15
8
12
4
13
11
16
6
2
9
5
10
7
14
3
Yudkin
CIN
HOU
ATL
NO
STL
GB
BAL
MIA
WAS
SEA
SD
DET
OAK
DAL
NE
NYJ
89
11
15
6
9
4
14
7
13
1
5
10
16
12
3
8
2
Hicks
PHI
HOU
NYG
NO
STL
GB
DEN
MIA
CLE
SEA
CAR
DET
OAK
DAL
SF
NYJ
88
3
14
13
12
11
1
16
2
5
15
4
10
7
8
9
6
Smith
CIN
HOU
ATL
NO
STL
GB
DEN
MIA
WAS
SEA
SD
DET
OAK
PIT
NE
NYJ
87
14
12
16
8
11
13
7
6
4
5
10
3
2
9
15
1
Haseley
CIN
HOU
ATL
NO
STL
GB
DEN
JAX
CLE
SEA
CAR
DET
OAK
DAL
NE
NYJ
87
11
13
5
9
4
15
7
1
2
8
6
14
10
3
16
12
Garda
CIN
HOU
NYG
TB
MIN
GB
BAL
MIA
WAS
SEA
SD
DET
KC
DAL
NE
TEN
86
11
16
15
7
14
13
6
12
9
8
5
4
3
2
10
1
Larkin
CIN
HOU
NYG
NO
STL
GB
DEN
MIA
CLE
SEA
CAR
DET
OAK
PIT
NE
NYJ
85
13
16
5
14
6
10
8
9
4
12
2
15
1
7
11
3
Wood
CIN
HOU
ATL
TB
STL
GB
DEN
JAX
CLE
SEA
CAR
DET
OAK
PIT
NE
NYJ
83
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
Holloway
CIN
HOU
ATL
TB
STL
GB
BAL
MIA
CLE
SEA
SD
DET
KC
DAL
NE
NYJ
79
10
16
7
1
4
11
3
15
6
12
9
13
2
8
14
5
Pasquino
CIN
HOU
NYG
TB
MIN
GB
DEN
MIA
WAS
SEA
SD
DET
OAK
PIT
NE
NYJ
78
14
15
12
4
3
10
9
7
8
11
6
5
1
16
13
2
Hester
PHI
HOU
ATL
NO
STL
CHI
BAL
MIA
CLE
SEA
SD
DET
OAK
PIT
NE
TEN
72
1
16
11
10
9
4
5
14
2
12
8
15
6
7
13
3
Away
CIN
IND
NYG
TB
MIN
GB
DEN
JAX
WAS
SEA
CAR
DET
KC
PIT
SF
NYJ
n/a
Tot Pts
176
0
65
50
51
189
113
10
51
137
55
196
6
61
43
45
Home
PHI
HOU
ATL
NO
STL
CHI
BAL
MIA
CLE
BUF
SD
ARI
OAK
DAL
NE
TEN
n/a
Tot Pts
5
263
94
114
66
7
34
185
49
7
65
0
101
44
147
19

Hester took some chances this week, hoping to gain ground on Levin in the overall race. It backfired and he tumbled down this week's charts and the overall leaderboard. Pasquino and Holloway also took it on the chin this week.

Overall Results

While weekly winners definitely get rewarded, it is the overall points winner that will take home the crown. Here's how the guys stack up against each other after the first week:

Staffer
W01
W02
W03
W04
W05
W06
W07
W08
W09
W10
W11
W12
W13
W14
W15
Total
Levin
105
85
57
102
90
40
79
78
88
79
99
102
94
92
98
1288
Gray
106
82
59
95
84
49
71
65
95
69
100
109
87
95
99
1265
Grant
98
87
58
102
88
44
87
77
85
67
101
88
95
85
93
1255
Hester
77
108
59
96
91
52
80
75
84
62
97
94
97
96
72
1240
Smith
94
113
44
90
90
62
85
75
69
65
87
98
92
88
87
1239
Rudnicki
78
83
55
107
81
32
81
73
94
81
98
101
93
91
91
1239
Hicks
98
95
55
102
79
51
76
56
78
74
99
105
71
101
88
1228
Russell
104
71
52
100
84
46
71
81
87
78
102
75
86
70
112
1219
Holloway
91
95
48
79
83
40
83
77
88
69
98
101
93
89
79
1213
Yudkin
94
80
50
119
81
35
88
63
93
67
101
85
82
82
89
1209
Haseley
95
88
39
85
85
50
88
73
90
80
96
95
82
75
87
1208
Bitonti
91
79
44
87
84
63
84
67
75
70
98
100
81
92
90
1205
Larkin
76
77
52
96
89
47
87
70
76
70
88
94
101
86
85
1194
Garda
87
50
62
103
80
46
78
69
88
83
97
89
77
90
86
1185
Pasquino
81
86
62
99
78
41
86
75
71
63
98
97
79
88
78
1182
Tremblay
88
108
49
89
72
41
59
63
78
73
77
86
94
99
99
1175
Wimer
79
60
44
70
89
57
61
78
91
69
88
104
101
69
96
1156
Cummings
90
63
47
96
82
67
87
67
70
60
94
87
63
69
110
1152
Wood
84
73
34
94
80
41
81
71
74
61
88
106
58
78
83
1106

Levin extended his lead by another point and hold a commanding lead of 23 points. Gray gained a point on him this week, and Hester has fallen out of the running. It's going to take a major blunder on his part or a perfect week from Gray to catch him at this point.

This Week's Picks

Here are the picks for this week.

Staffer
ATL
MIN
NE
STL
CIN
SD
TEN
WAS
IND
OAK
BUF
NO
CLE
CHI
NYG
SF
MNF
DET
HOU 
JAX
TB
PIT
NYJ
GB
PHI
KC
CAR
MIA
DAL
DEN
ARI
BAL
SEA
PTS
Grant
ATL
HOU 
NE
TB
CIN
SD
GB
WAS
IND
CAR
MIA
DAL
DEN
CHI
BAL
SF
38
11
13
15
10
2
1
16
8
12
6
9
7
14
4
5
3
Rudnicki
ATL
HOU 
NE
TB
PIT
SD
GB
WAS
IND
CAR
BUF
DAL
DEN
CHI
NYG
SF
38
12
14
16
8
9
6
15
5
4
11
2
7
13
3
10
1
Garda
ATL
HOU 
NE
STL
PIT
NYJ
GB
WAS
IND
CAR
MIA
DAL
DEN
CHI
NYG
SF
21
15
14
13
12
11
10
16
9
8
7
5
4
3
2
1
6
Hicks
DET
MIN
NE
STL
CIN
SD
GB
WAS
IND
CAR
MIA
DAL
DEN
CHI
NYG
SF
36
1
10
15
8
4
5
14
9
7
13
3
6
16
2
12
11
Smith
ATL
HOU 
NE
TB
PIT
SD
GB
WAS
IND
CAR
MIA
DAL
DEN
CHI
BAL
SEA
14
13
12
11
10
9
15
8
7
16
6
5
4
3
2
1
Gray
ATL
HOU 
NE
TB
CIN
NYJ
GB
WAS
IND
CAR
MIA
DAL
DEN
CHI
BAL
SEA
47
12
10
14
7
2
1
15
6
13
9
8
5
16
11
3
4
Yudkin
ATL
HOU 
NE
TB
CIN
SD
GB
WAS
IND
CAR
MIA
DAL
DEN
CHI
NYG
SF
38
14
12
15
5
4
6
16
11
10
7
8
3
13
9
2
1
Larkin
ATL
HOU 
NE
TB
PIT
SD
GB
WAS
IND
CAR
MIA
DAL
DEN
CHI
NYG
SF
38
11
12
16
1
7
3
15
10
9
13
6
8
14
5
2
4
Russell
ATL
HOU 
NE
TB
CIN
SD
GB
WAS
IND
CAR
BUF
NO
DEN
CHI
NYG
SF
38
10
9
16
8
1
3
13
11
15
7
5
2
14
12
4
6
Cummings
ATL
HOU 
NE
TB
CIN
NYJ
GB
WAS
IND
CAR
MIA
DAL
DEN
CHI
BAL
SF
34
11
14
16
10
6
5
15
4
12
8
7
3
13
9
2
1
Wood
ATL
HOU 
NE
STL
PIT
NYJ
GB
PHI
IND
CAR
BUF
DAL
DEN
ARI
BAL
SEA
41
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
Haseley
ATL
HOU 
NE
TB
CIN
SD
GB
PHI
IND
CAR
MIA
NO
DEN
CHI
NYG
SEA
32
12
15
13
11
6
7
14
10
5
8
9
4
16
3
2
1
Pasquino
ATL
HOU 
NE
TB
CIN
NYJ
GB
WAS
IND
CAR
MIA
NO
DEN
CHI
NYG
SEA
39
12
11
16
9
5
1
14
6
7
10
2
8
15
13
4
3
Levin
ATL
HOU 
NE
TB
PIT
SD
GB
WAS
IND
CAR
MIA
DAL
DEN
CHI
BAL
SF
41
12
8
16
9
4
1
14
2
13
10
5
6
15
11
3
7
Wimer
ATL
HOU 
NE
TB
PIT
SD
GB
WAS
IND
CAR
BUF
NO
DEN
CHI
BAL
SF
30
12
13
15
11
10
4
14
6
5
9
8
3
16
7
2
1
Bitonti
ATL
HOU 
NE
TB
PIT
NYJ
GB
WAS
IND
CAR
MIA
NO
DEN
CHI
BAL
SEA
30
8
10
15
7
6
3
14
13
12
11
5
4
16
9
2
1
Tremblay
DET
HOU 
NE
TB
PIT
NYJ
GB
WAS
IND
CAR
MIA
DAL
DEN
CHI
BAL
SF
37
4
12
14
5
7
2
10
11
1
15
6
3
16
13
9
4
Hester
DET
HOU 
NE
TB
PIT
NYJ
GB
PHI
IND
CAR
MIA
DAL
DEN
CHI
BAL
SEA
44
4
13
14
5
12
9
16
3
7
11
6
8
15
10
2
1
Holloway
ATL
HOU 
NE
TB
PIT
NYJ
GB
WAS
IND
CAR
MIA
DAL
DEN
CHI
NYG
SF
39
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
Away
ATL
MIN
NE
STL
CIN
SD
TEN
WAS
IND
OAK
BUF
NO
CLE
CHI
NYG
SF
n/a
Tot Pts
198
10
279
33
30
45
0
128
163
0
21
21
0
129
39
46
Home
DET
HOU 
JAX
TB
PIT
NYJ
GB
PHI
KC
CAR
MIA
DAL
DEN
ARI
BAL
SEA
n/a
Tot Pts
9
223
0
130
100
53
266
22
0
185
91
75
237
3
32
12

Heavy Favorites

The Patriots, Packers, Colts, Panthers and Broncos were consensus picks this week with every player picking them to win. Houston and Atlanta are also heavy favorites, and Arizona only had one player that picked them to beat the Bears even though they have lost five of their last six.

Dual Support

The Jets and the Chargers split the field pretty evenly but neither drew a lot of support. The Monday night matchup between San Francisco and Seattle, and the Sunday night matchup between the Giants and Ravens were the closest contests this week.

Odds and Ends

With two weeks to go, Levin's 23 point lead is going to tough to beat. There isn't a Thursday night game this week, but we are still putting out the confidence pool a bit early so as always, adjust your picks based on any big news that comes out the rest of the week.

Good luck this weekend!

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