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Undervalued WRs

Read the introduction to this series if you haven't yet.

Brandon Lloyd - DEN ADP: 52 overall, WR 19 9 votes

Sigmund Bloom - Everyone keeps trying to convince themselves that Lloyd's top five performance last year (#1 in non-PPR) was a fluke, but there is no grounding for that skepticism. Lloyd is flashing just as much in camp as he did last year during the season, Kyle Orton is back, and Lloyd put up great numbers with Tim Tebow at the end of year anyway if you're worried about that factor. Steve Smith put up outstanding numbers as a #1 receiver on John Fox teams in Carolina, and Lloyd can too. A gift of a WR2/WR3 in the fifth round.

Jene Bramel - The Broncos are moving from a spread offense to a more traditional pro set this year, but that doesn't mean they'll stop throwing the football. Even should Tim Tebow begin taking a significant number of the offensive snaps, the offense needs to be reasonably balanced. Lloyd will again be the best outside wide receiving option and the best third down and red zone target. He's very likely to see at least 120 targets and I think 75-1100-8 remains within easy reach. That's a borderline fantasy WR1 rather than a mid-WR2. I'd rather have Lloyd than Marques Colston, Jeremy Maclin, DeSean Jackson and possibly Brandon Marshall.

Mike Brown - People keep trying to come up with reasons as to why Lloyd's season last year was a fluke and why it'll be impossible for him to repeat that performance. Well, the key thing is that he doesn't have to repeat that performance in order to have value. The number one receiver a year ago is already priced as a steep discount due have no idea. Even if he drops ten spots at his position, there's value in this pick.

David Dodds - He finished as the #1 WR in 2011, but is getting no love this season? What has really changed in Denver? They did not address the RB needs. Orton is still the starter. The Broncos still have a bad defense and will be playing catch up in a lot of the games. I don't get this hate at all. Same player, same situation...usually will produce similar results.

Will Grant - Lloyd was the surprise fantasy player of the season last year, going from #127 overall fantasy WR in 2009 to #1 fantasy WR in 2010. His performance was largely due to Kyle Orton who is back as the starting QB this season for the Broncos. While he probably won't reach 1450 yards and 11 TDS again this season, he's an excellent value pick in the 4th round.

Dave Larkin - Brandon Lloyd is a technician at wide receiver, a player who consistently performs for whoever is at quarterback. His career renaissance last year was quite remarkable. Kyle Orton returns, bringing continuity to the Broncos offense. I see no reason why Lloyd can't repeat his 2010 performance. It may not show up every week in terms of his numbers, but Lloyd is the number one option in this passing attack and will be relied upon heavily by Orton.

Matt Waldman - The John Fox offense runs the ball first. The John Fox offense is conservative. The John Fox offense lacks innovation. The British are coming! The British are coming! The sky is falling! The sky is falling! I recall one Steve Smith having excellent numbers when there was a semblance of a passing game in Carolina and Smith was healthy. Last I saw, the Broncos have a semblance of a passing game. Ranked 53rd overall on this list, I can afford to wait to pull the trigger until I see the whites of his eyes.

Mark Wimer - Tim Tebow is flailing in training camp, and may lose the #2 job to Brady Quinn. That's good news, as Lloyd and Kyle Orton are very simpatico, and Orton is tightening his grip as the #1 QB in Denver with each passing day. Lloyd has reportedly been very sharp in his own right during training camp - he has a great shot to repeat his top-five finish from 2010 as the Broncos will be in airing-it-out/chase mode a lot during 2011. Lloyd is a steal at his current position (#53).

Jason Wood - Brandon Lloyd was the #1 fantasy WR last year, yet he's barely cracking the Top 20 in drafts. That's because people look at Lloyd's career and conclude that 2010 was a fluke. But if you WATCHED the games, actually studied the film, you'll see that Lloyd really benefitted from health, a renewed focus, and Josh McDaniel's system. While Josh McDaniel's is gone, Mike McCoy remains as OC and Lloyd is far and away the best receiving option on that roster. He was elite with Kyle Orton, and then he nearly matched those all-world totals when Tim Tebow took over. Simply put, Lloyd will be a top 12 fantasy WR again this year if he stays healthy, and yet you can draft him two or three rounds later than where his year-end stats will warrant.

Santonio Holmes - NYJ ADP: 53 overall, WR 20 6 votes

Jene Bramel - Holmes had 66 targets, 37 catches, 501 yards and six scores in final eight games last year. That pace is a very reasonable expectation for 2011, with a positive tweak toward his career ypc average of 16.0. If he stays on a double digit touchdown pace, he's a top ten wide receiver. You won't have to draft him anywhere near his ceiling expectation to land a very strong WR2+ at a very attractive price.

Mike Brown - Holmes came on strong down the stretch a year ago to become the Jets go-to receiver. He proved adept at scoring touchdowns and developed an excellent rapport with young QB Mark Sanchez. This year, I expect the Jets to open the passing game even more than they did a year ago as they trust the QB with the keys more and more. Holmes is clearly the best playmaking receiver on the team, and should be the biggest beneficiary of the new attack.

Ryan Hester - Santonio Holmes came into his own last year and established himself as a clutch, go-to wide receiver. After being suspended for four games and having three modest outings that could perhaps be attributed to getting back to game speed and learning timing with a new team, Holmes had an eight-game stretch where he averaged 85 yards and scored 5 TDs. This season, Holmes begins the year as the clear #1 target of a young and developing QB heading into his third year. It's still a run-first team, but Holmes will be the clear leader in targets. Combine that with his elite speed, above-average hands, and much-improved route-running, and Holmes would seem to be a nice mid-round grab this year.

Steve Holloway - In his final season at Pittsburgh, Holmes caught 79 passes for 1,248 yards, averaging almost 5 catches and 78 yards per game. In his first season with the Jets, the averages slipped to 4.3 and 62, but it was his first year there, Sanchez was still learning, and Holmes was suspended for the first four games. Fast forward to 2011 and both Edwards and Cotchery are gone. They have added Burress and Mason, but Holmes should be the focal point of the passing game and garner more targets, even if the Jets do not throw more often. As Sanchez gains confidence, look for Holmes yards per catch to rise closer to 16 ypc.

Matt Waldman - He's pretty much arrived as an elite receiver in ability and refined technique. The general fan base just doesn't know it yet. Now that Holmes is on a team as the primary receiver with two quality veterans joining him, I think you're going to see WR1 production from him. He's always been a threat after the catch. He's always had strong body control to adjust to the football. And he has repeatedly been a clutch player in the close moments of games. Now that he's bonded with receivers coach Henry Ellard, a complete receiver in his day, Holmes showed signs in 2010 of taking his game to the next level as a route runner. Since every league I'm this week has had owners taking Collie, Lloyd, and Holmes earlier than their value, I'm not sure the numbers match the immediate trend. If they hold up for your league, buy!

Jason Wood - Braylon Edwards is gone. Jerricho Cotchery is gone. And Holmes got PAID to be Mark Sanchez' top receiver for years to come. Holmes was suspended to start last season, so his full year numbers don't tell the story. Pro rating his 10 starts over a full season gets you 77 receptions for 1,100 yards and 8 TDs -- and that was with two other credible WRs on the roster. Holmes need only stay healthy to grab 80+ receptions, 1,200+ yards and 7-10 TDs. Don't miss out on the opportunity to grab him a round earlier than his ADP suggests.

Mario Manningham - NYG ADP: 74 overall, WR 28 6 votes

Anthony Borbely - Last season, Manningham racked up 60 catches for 944 yards and 9 TDs. That's not too shabby for a WR that was only a part-time starter. With the departure of Steve Smith, Manningham is the unquestioned starter and should easily surpass the 92 targets he saw last year. Even though Manningham had to share targets with Smith and even though he had fewer than 100 targets, he still managed to finish 17th in WR scoring last year. For some reason, Manningham is being badly overlooked this year, as his ADP of 76 shows. That means you can get WR2 numbers in the sixth round. Sounds like a great value pick to me.

Jene Bramel - This ADP looks like a tug of war between those not sure on Manningham and waiting on news on Steve Smith (who's now with Philadelphia) and those who see Manningham as the 75-1100-10 player he was during the second half of 2010. Manningham's ADP is sure to climb with Smith off the depth chart, but it's not likely to jump into the top 20 where it arguably belongs.

David Dodds - The departure of Steve Smith should elevate Manningham significantly this year. With just 92 targets last year, he managed to finish as the 17th best WR. Those targets are going to be way higher in 2011 and so should the production. He and Hakeem Nicks have virtually no competition for their roles. They both should be on the field for the majority of plays for the Giants in 2011.

Colin Dowling - Manningham finished as WR17 in 2010. This season he won't be sharing catches with Steve Smith, who departed for the Eagles. He won't be sharing catches with Kevin Boss, who departed for the Oakland Raiders. Yet somehow Manningham is being drafted behind 26 other receivers this year. His value couldn't be more apparent.

Greg Russell - Before the departure of Steve Smith, Mario Manningham was being undervalued. It will remain to be seen if fantasy football realizes this and adjusts with the news of Steve Smith's signing with Philly. Manningham hasn't just fallen into a good situation, he has improved his route running since coming to the NFL, and the results showed with 9 touchdowns and nearly 1000 yards in 2010. With the loss of Smith and TE Kevin Boss, Manningham's targets are likely to increase further.

Jason Wood - Mario Manningham was a part-time starter last year. In spite of only starting 8 games, he was the 17th ranked fantasy WR. In spite of that, fantasy owners are expecting a drop off in 2011. But why? He's young, knows the offense, clearly has a rapport with Eli Manning and -- most importantly -- TE Kevin Boss and WR Steve Smith have signed elsewhere. Eli Manning will need Manningham and Hakeem Nicks to dominate, each and every Sunday. If Manningham's ADP doesn't start climbing, he's one of the best steals on the market.

Lance Moore - NO ADP: 124 overall, WR 46 5 votes

Sigmund Bloom - Marques Colston's knee is hurting. Robert Meachem is still inconsistent. Jimmy Graham might not be ready for prime time. All of this points to Moore as the most reliable option for Drew Brees this year. Moore has already shown that he can be top 15-20 fantasy wide receiver in the past, and the Saints commitment to him in the offseason via a long-term deal shows that they think he can be one again this year. He's a no brainer pick after the 10th round, and ADP indicates that you can still find him there in some drafts.

Jeff Haseley - The Saints slot specialist Lance Moore figures to be the team's number two WR behind Marques Colston. He is capable of being a major contributor and I believe he could have an Austin Collie-like year for the Saints. The news that Colston's knee isn't 100% could result in more targets for Moore. The most recent back injury to Robert Meachem also adds value to Moore. He's a steal as the 38th WR off the board. Look for his ADP to increase as the season gets closer.

Aaron Rudnicki - Now that Reggie Bush has moved on, Lance Moore's role in the Saints offense should be safe. He fills a role similar to the one played by Wes Welker with the Patriots in that they are both reliable slot receivers who the QBs rely on heavily to help them move the chains. Like Welker, Moore has added value in PPR leagues due to his high catch rate and solid reception numbers most weeks. However, he has posted seasons of 10 and 8 touchdowns in 2 of the past three years and can produce like a starting WR in any scoring system. If you can land him this late in the draft, consider yourself lucky as I expect his ADP to rise as the season gets closer.

Greg Russell - Lance Moore tested free agency before re-signing with the Saints this offseason. Moore is a player who is a viable fantasy starter if he produces similar to the past, yet is being drafted as the 46th WR. Moore also has tremendous upside beyond that as Marques Colston has been battling knee issues for most of his career and Robert Meachem is currently banged up. should Colston's knees act up, Moore should find himself as Drew Brees favorite target and see a significant jump in targets.

Mark Wimer - Marques' Colston's surgically repaired knee is ailing, and tight end Jimmy Graham is relatively inexperienced with just one NFL campaign under his belt (as the understudy to Jeremy Shockey). Moore has a good rapport with Drew Brees (and he came close to double digit TDs last year with 66/763/8 receiving on 95 targets). If Colston continues to struggle to get on the field, Moore could easily get over 100 targets and into the 70-80 reception range during 2011 (similar to his 2008 campaign). It looks like there will be plenty of opportunity for Moore to be highly productive during 2011.

Austin Collie - IND ADP: 68 overall, WR 25 4 votes

Sigmund Bloom - All he did was outpace the field at wide receiver in every format before his first concussion. Yes, he suffered two more concussions, but when he got back on the field before the subsequent knocks, he produced like a WR1 for fantasy teams. Concussion effects are cumulative, but concussion risk is not (hat tip to's Will Carroll) - so while Collie will be sidelined for longer if he suffers a concussion, his risk of suffering one is the same as every other receiver in the league. Take advantage of people being too scared of Collie, the proven upside is worth the downside of more concussion problems this year.

Ryan Hester - Of any player being debated this fantasy preseason, Austin Collie perhaps has the most distance between his floor and his ceiling. The doubters cite concussion issues lingering from the many hits Collie took last year. The pro-Collie contingent says he was the #1 fantasy WR before his initial knock on the noggin last year. So who is right? Consider a fact from concussion research. While players with multiple concussions take longer to recover with each additional one, after healing, the chances of getting a concussion are the same for every player regardless of the number of concussions the player has. In an explosive, pass-first offense, he gained the trust of one of the best quarterbacks in history and passed Pierre Garcon on the depth chart. With Reggie Wayne aging and Garcon dropping, Collie could have a big year if he can make it through.

Aaron Rudnicki - Based on the way Collie played last year, he deserves to be going much higher than this. He was clearly the primary target for Peyton Manning and managed to haul in 8 touchdown passes in less than 9 full games played. Obviously, the two concussions he suffered are a concern and the main reason he is slipping in the draft, but he looks like a huge value at this point to me. When healthy, you have to think he'll be very productive again so you get a shot at a WR1 type player in the 6th round of the draft. That makes him especially useful for owners that go with a RB-heavy approach or those who take a QB like Rodgers or Vick early who need to play catchup at the WR spot later on.

Matt Waldman - Concussion-fueled hysteria. Yes, hysteria. Head injuries should be taken more seriously in the NFL. Collie's three concussions definitely register significantly on the NFL PR Richter scale. However, there are tons of players past and present that have had long and successful careers who had multiple concussions in a season. It's encouraging that Collie will be using a better-designed helmet, but I haven't been worried one bit that Collie wouldn't be back and starting in this great offense. He's a tremendous value at 69th on this list. Especially when he's going to produce at the very least like a high-end WR2. You might as well be chumming the water for me...

Percy Harvin - MIN ADP: 61 overall, WR 22 4 votes

Mike Brown - To put it bluntly, there aren't many others who are going to catch the ball. Harvin already had a semi-breakout a year ago and has been migraine-free for months. The talent has been there, but the ability to stay on the field was not. Assuming the headaches are a thing of the past, he'll be the team's go-to guy in the passing game with the departure of Sidney Rice to Seattle. Harvin is the rare receiver who can create big plays even on short and intermediate routes. Which is a good thing, because with this "stable" of receivers, the Vikings will likely lean on him early and often.

Will Grant - With Sidney Rice gone, Harvin becomes the #1 receiving option for the Vikings. Bringing in Donovan McNabb can only help. Harvin is light years ahead of the group of role-players that are behind him on the depth chart, and the Vikings will get him the ball as often as possible. Expect a big year from him.

Jeff Pasquino - With Sidney Rice gone to Seattle, Percy Harvin immediately becomes the top target for Minnesota. New quarterback Donovan McNabb will get the ball in Harvin's hands as both a receiver and a rusher every week, trying to take advantage of his speed and versatility. The migraine headaches appear to be under control as well -- and if you get a boost in kick returns in your league he has that value as well. Harvin has Top 15 WR potential and can be had as a late WR2 or early WR3 in many draft formats.

Jason Wood - Donovan McNabb needs a go-to guy. Sidney Rice left for Seattle, Bernard Berrian is a joke, and Michael Jenkins isn't much better. New OC Bill Musgrave understands how important Percy Harvin will be to the Vikings success. While Harvin has a been a 'headache' for fantasy owners in the past, he has been migraine free since January. Combine that with his open field abilities and a good pair of hands, and you've got a guy that can rack up the yards-after-the-catch from McNabb each and every week. I find it hard to imagine Harvin will fall out of the top 12 this year if he can stay migraine free, he's too much of mismatch for most defensive backs.

Chad Ochocinco - NE ADP: 75 overall, WR 29 3 votes

Steve Holloway - Chad Ochocinco was given a gift by the Bengals over the summer. He finally got traded and even more of a gift was his landing spot in New England. His competitive nature will be charged in his new environment and he will provide outstanding value on fantasy rosters this year. Ochocinco had five consecutive top ten WR finishes from 2003 through 2007. He missed games in 2008 and 2010 and his performance suffered. He will be a young 33 years old in New England and provide Brady with two excellent route runners at the WR position and they will both thrive.

Greg Russell - Many people seem to be predicting a split in targets between Chad Ochocinco and Deion Branch that will hurt the fantasy outlook of both players. I don't see that being that case to the degree necessary to explain Ochocinco's draft position. With touchdown totals that are frequently double those of Branch even during the latter's New England days, Ochocinco is going to step onto the field being the best red zone threat that the Patriots have had since Randy Moss. In 2010 Ochocinco is at least a good WR3 with upside.

Chris Smith - This is a scary player for me to put in as a value pick but he has talent still and with Tom Brady throwing the ball, Ochocinco may indeed find lightning in a bottle. There is a real opportunity here to put up top-15 numbers in this offense and he should be able to beat up Deion Branch.

Dez Bryant - DAL ADP: 41 overall, WR 14 2 votes

Ryan Hester - One of the receivers that makes up arguably the best starting tandem in the NFL is Dez Bryant. In his first season last year, he started slowly due to an ankle injury in camp. Once he got healthy, though, he became the dynamic player Dallas saw when they traded up to get him in the first round of the draft. Bryant has similarities to another young NFC East wideout -- Hakeem Nicks of the Giants. In Nicks' rookie year, he played in 14 games, catching 47 passes for 790 yards and six touchdowns. He then exploded last season to become a go-to guy for his real team and for his fantasy teams. Last year, Bryant caught 45 passes for 561 yards and six touchdowns in 12 games while only starting two. His lower yardage totals can be attributed to a weak-armed quarterback in Jon Kitna throwing to him. With a year under his belt and Tony Romo's vertical passing ability back in the mix, Bryant could eclipse the second-year numbers from Nicks last season (79 rec / 1,052 yds / 11 TDs).

Jeff Pasquino - Dallas is going to struggle to score on the ground this year, and Tony Romo looks to be 100% to start this season. Bryant scored six touchdowns last year as the third wide receiver and did not start until the second half of the year once he pushed himself past Roy Williams. Bryant may be the top target in Dallas and the highest scoring receiver of all for the Cowboys this year, offering up fantasy WR1 numbers at a WR2 price.

Jacoby Ford - OAK ADP: 111 overall, WR 38 2 votes

Sigmund Bloom - Head coach Hue Jackson could not contain his enthusiasm about one of the NFL's most explosive second-half players in 2010 this offseason. Vowing to make Ford a "household name", Jackson insisted that Ford would be more involved this year. If Ford gets consistent touches, he will be an everyweek fantasy play and destroy his 10th round ADP. He is sidelined right now with a broken hand, which could give you the window to sneak him onto your roster late as your WR4/WR5.

Will Grant - Ford is currently dealing with a broken hand, and it's unclear when he'll be ready to get back on the field. This has fantasy owners avoiding him and ADP is dropping like a stone. He's #1 on the depth chart of a team that is going to pass for 3500 yards this season. He's not going to carry your fantasy team from week to week, but as a #3 guy, he will definitely give you consistent performance with solid upside.

Robert Meachem - NO ADP: 132 overall, WR 47 2 votes

Mike Brown - Meachem scored a bunch of touchdowns two seasons ago, leading some to believe he had "arrived" and was ready for a breakout. The savvy owner saw that he didn't quite have the peripherals to suggest he was ready for the big-time. At this point, however, it's put up or shut up time. And he'll never be in a better position than now, with number one receiver Marques Colston trying to work his way back from major knee surgery. It's true the Saints spread it around, but Meachem should easily be a big enough factor to warrant a pick at 135th overall.

Jeff Pasquino - Something is just not right with Marques Colston, and Robert Meachem stands to benefit the most. Meachem was WR45 last year on just 66 targets, catching 44-638-5 for the Saints. Drew Brees crosses the 4,000 yard line with regularity, so even if Colston is fine you would have to expect more than 66 targets for Meachem this season. Meachem is available near WR50 in many drafts and offers WR3 value with WR2 upside -- that's hard to beat.

Sidney Rice - SEA ADP: 66 overall, WR 24 2 votes

Steve Holloway - The anticipation for Rice's dynasty owners was squashed when he was traded to Seattle and paired once again with Tarvaris Jackson. It is likely that Rice's ADP drops further for 2011 as many question the QB talent currently on their roster. Compounding Rice's move to a new team is the fact that he played in only six games a year ago. That totals three reasons to doubt his chances of success and probably spells an even lower ADP as the season approaches. The silver lining behind the clouds is the 2009 season when he caught 83 passes for over 1,300 yards and 8 TDs. When you can grab a WR with Rice's skills and potential at the point where Rice will be drafted, take the chance.

Dave Larkin - Sidney Rice, when fully healthy, is a handful for any defensive back. You can double him all day and he will still sky over you and secure a ball he has no business even competing for. A tremendous talent, Rice begins his first season in Seattle with a less-than-ideal quarterback situation. A positive is that his offensive coordinator from Minnesota, Darrell Bevell, will be calling the plays in Seattle. I am putting my faith in Rice this season because his talent is simply too great to ignore just because the situation may not be ideal on paper.

Mike Thomas - JAX ADP: 96 overall, WR 36 2 votes

David Dodds - The departure of Mike Sims-Walker catapults Mike Thomas whether he has the true skills of a WR1 or not. This is a situation that is all about opportunity. Mike Thomas will get significant targets because there is no one else left to catch the ball. Expect 2011 to be his finest season yet.

Will Grant - While sharing the field with Mike Sims-Walker last season, Thomas finished as the #30 overall fantasy WR. Although Thomas had the highlight TD catch of the year against Houston in week 10, Sims-Walker reached the end zone seven times compared with only four for Thomas. Sims-Walker is gone and Jason Hill is his replacement. Thomas should improve on last season's performance, making him great value as a late 8th round pick.

Roy Williams - CHI ADP: 141 overall, WR 52 2 votes

Jeff Haseley - The Bears don't have a true WR and I would not be surprised to see Williams occupy that role. He has the pedigree to come in and be a major contributor from the get go. A new change of scenery and the chance to be the main WR threat may be what Williams needs to reach his potential. He's more than worth the risk as the 61st WR off the board.

Jeff Tefertiller - Williams was written off by many fantasy owners after his disappointing campaigns in Dallas. Williams goes to Chicago to re-unite with former Detroit Lion coach Mike Martz. He will not live up to the numbers posted in the Motor City, but is easily the best pass catcher in the Windy City. Williams has a shot at being an every-week fantasy starter, and is available in the last round or two in drafts.

Danny Amendola - STL ADP: 136 overall, WR 49 1 vote

Mark Wimer - Amendola is playing the "Wes Welker" role in Josh McDaniel's offense down in St. Louis. Did you know that Welker is the only NFL player in history to have at least 110 receptions in three consecutive seasons? That's the type of upside Amendola has this season if he can stay healthy. If Amendola plays 16 games, he'll greatly outproduce his current #144 position in the top 150.

Miles Austin - DAL ADP: 30 overall, WR 10 1 vote

Anthony Borbely - Austin finished with 1041 receiving yards last season and finished a respectable 12th in WR scoring. However, his numbers fell off sharply when Jon Kitna was starting. In fact, Austin's numbers in the first five games with Romo last year were almost as good as his numbers in the ten games started by Kitna. In the 18 career games that Austin and Romo have both started, Austin has averaged six receptions for 98 yards. Prorated over 16 games, they work out to 96 catches for 1568 yards. Those are easily top five numbers. Austin represents great value at his ADP of 31. I will gladly take a WR with numbers like that in round three.

Steve Breaston - KC ADP: 147 overall, WR 54 1 vote

Mark Wimer - Breaston lands in a starting role with the Chiefs across from a bona-fide #1 WR in Dwayne Bowe. Matt Cassel is not a slouch at his position - he threw for over 3,100 yards and had 27 TDs vs. just seven interceptions last season, with a much weaker crew of receivers. Breaston should have steadily solid numbers in this situation and greatly exceed the current perception of his value.

Kenny Britt - TEN ADP: 70 overall, WR 26 1 vote

Aaron Rudnicki - Britt is certainly not without risk, but he's another player who could be huge if he stays healthy and manages to stay out of trouble. Britt is a big, physical receiver who posted 9 touchdowns in his last 10 games played last year so he already has proven capable of producing like one of the league's best WRs. Add in the fact that he's headed for his third season when most WRs take a big jump in their development, and you start to get a sense of just how big a year he is capable of having. The swap of Kerry Collins for Matt Hasselbeck at QB should not be a concern, and I assume the Chris Johnson holdout will be resolved soon enough. I like the risk/reward profile of Britt at this point in the draft a lot.

Plaxico Burress - NYJ ADP: 122 overall, WR 45 1 vote

Jeff Haseley - Maybe I'm being a bit opportunistic, but I believe there is good value in Burress this year. His average draft position is 122 (WR52), so there is little risk, but the chance for a big reward. He will definitely see plenty of red zone targets, but if he plays like he has in the past, he could possibly unseat Santonio Holmes as the team's WR1. Not too bad for the 52nd WR off the board.

Braylon Edwards - SF ADP: 106 overall, WR 37 1 vote

Aaron Rudnicki - With Michael Crabtree potentially starting the season on the PUP list, there is a great opportunity for Edwards to take over as the team's #1 WR this year. Frank Gore and Vernon Davis should help keep him from seeing a steady stream of double teams and his drop problems won't be as much of an issue in non-PPR scoring systems. Edwards is a big play threat who has been disappointing at times, but he's in a pretty good situation and should not have too much trouble putting up WR3 numbers or better this year.

A.J. Green - CIN ADP: 80 overall, WR 31 1 vote

Jene Bramel - Green's yardage may not be elite, given the route tree he'll run in the West Coast offense and the limitations of Andy Dalton's arm. But he's already showing the route-running savvy, separation skills in tight places and strong hands to make him a threat for 140 targets and 80 catches as a rookie. If he's above-average after the catch and around the red zone, he can challenge for mid-WR2 status this year.

Steve Johnson - BUF ADP: 57 overall, WR 21 1 vote

Chris Smith - I believe with even decent quarterbacking play this year, the explosive Steve Johnson may emerge as a top-five fantasy weapon for the Bills. He has a great mix of speed, quickness and route running prowess and only his focus with catching the ball has been an issue so far. I love his potential for this season.

Julio Jones - ATL ADP: 84 overall, WR 32 1 vote

Jeff Haseley - Jones was drafted to be the team's WR2 behind Roddy White, however he has the skills and ability to be a WR1 on several other teams. The Falcons could be on the verge of having an electric offense through the air, much in part to Jones' arrival. He is expected to be a big part of the offense and could easily outperform his ADP of 84th overall and WR33.

Brandon Marshall - MIA ADP: 42 overall, WR 15 1 vote

Colin Dowling - The biggest issue facing Brandon Marshall is the fact that he has Chad Henne throwing him the ball. When Henne falls apart, the ever-productive Matt Moore will be throwing Marshall the ball. Admittedly, this doesn't inspire a lot of confidence. That said, Marshall caught 86 balls in 2010 in only 14 games. In 16 games he might have snuck past the 100 reception barrier for the fourth year in a row. Marshall is the most talented player on the Miami offense. If his touchdown numbers can rebound from 3 in 2010 to 6 or 7 he should jump right back in to the top-10 among receivers.

Santana Moss - WAS ADP: 85 overall, WR 33 1 vote

Jeff Pasquino - Everyone is afraid of drafting a veteran (read -- old) wide receiver on an iffy team with quarterback issues. Well, Moss is the top target once again in Washington, TE Chris Cooley is nursing a bum knee and the ground game is always a question for the Redskins. Even if they get a balanced attack, Moss will lead the team in targets and push for 1,000 yards and 7-8 scores -- even if some of that comes in garbage time. Take Moss late and run.

Jordy Nelson - GB ADP: 118 overall, WR 43 1 vote

Chris Smith - I believe that Jordy Nelson is ready to take over the mantle as the Packers #2 receiver. In this offense with the talented Aaron Rodgers throwing the ball all over the field, that could mean some very strong numbers for Nelson in 2011. He has great size and ability and entering his 4th season, he's ready.

Steve Smith - CAR ADP: 78 overall, WR 30 1 vote

Steve Holloway - Another free agent WR that seem destined to be traded to a great situation over the summer instead remained in Carolina. Throw away last season when Carolina's situation was as dire as ever. In the five prior years, Smith ranked first, eighth, 16th, fifth, and 19th. All of these rankings are well above his current rank of WR 30, which could fall lower with his early injury. The lower ranking for 2011 is a reflection of the expectations for Cam Newton, much more than the abilities of Steve Smith. The Panthers added two TE targets for Newton and DeAngelo Williams returned as did Smith. The weapons for Newton do not resemble the team from a year ago. Cam Newton will benefit from the presence of the assembled players and Steve Smith will benefit from Newton's improved play over what the 2010 Panther QBs provided.

Mike Sims-Walker - STL ADP: 117 overall, WR 42 1 vote

Ryan Hester - For a player whose skills looked to be declining and about whom there were rumors of being a malcontent in the locker room, Mike Sims-Walker sure found a great spot to land. He goes from a miserable quarterback situation to one with an established up-and-comer. He also goes from a relatively conservative and vanilla run-based offense to one coordinated by the pass-happy Josh McDaniels. While the wide receiver depth chart in St. Louis may appear to be cloudy, it's not littered with any superstar players. Donnie Avery has potential, but he's coming off a serious injury. Brandon Gibson, Denario Alexander, and Greg Salas are all young players (Salas a rookie), and Danny Amendola will be a slot man. If Sims-Walker can learn the system and is given the chance to emerge, he should rise to the top of this depth chart, hit his stride a few weeks into the season, and become Sam Bradford's go-to target.

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