There is something about the eight or ten team leagues that make them a lot of fun. The size makes them much different than the standard 12-teamers. Just like with the larger leagues, it is a losing proposition to use standard draft strategies. An entirely different strategy is required to make the most of the draft. This article will specifically look at 10-team leagues using non-PPR scoring. We will examine strategies especially designed for the smaller leagues in order to best attack the draft and get the most from the roster. This will help you form a new strategy for your small-sized league.
Down to basics, what are the differences I should know about the small leagues?
Since there is no scarcity issues, everything is about the studs. The whole draft is focused on how to draft enough elite players to win. It is only through the studs that an owner can gain an edge over his leaguemates. The top two or three players at each position outscore the rest by tremendous amounts.
Knowing how to best attack the quarterback position is one of the biggest keys to small leagues? Is it necessary to select a passer early in the draft like in the bigger leagues?
The running back position is one where the drop-off in expected production comes earlier in 2011 than in years gone by. How can I take advantage of this phenomena?
With only fifty wide receivers rostered, on average, how do we gain an edge?
Is there is a valid reason to take a kicker or team defense early?
How do I best address these questions above?
Since we need studs in order to gain advantages, how best do I go about drafting these players? The top players at every position give their owners a huge edge. The best way to get these studs is to be proactive in your draft. When the value stagnates at one position, look for studs at another. In the first table below, we can see how a top wideout has a similar value to a large group of backs. So, why not gain an edge at receiver and select a similar rusher next round? It pays to be proactive and look for talent plateaus and drop-offs. Look for studs. A top kicker or defense might be a great pick earlier than you would think, especially if they give you a two or three points per game edge each week.
In smaller (eight or ten teams) leagues which start only one passer, there is no reason to address the position before the fifth round unless you get a stud on the cheap. There will be great fantasy quarterbacks available. In smaller leagues, owners want to wait on quarterback (because there are so many good options) which makes the good passers drop further. So, wait on quarterback and try to find studs at other positions.
We will look a little later at how weighted the values are slanted toward the backs. The ball carriers have a huge VBD value edge over the other positions so it is best to lock up as many top rushers as possible. The expected fantasy production for the players at the position has definite tiers. But, even the lesser fantasy starters are worth more than most all quarterbacks and every tight end.
Unless going after a bona fide stud (Andre Johnson, Calvin Johnson, or Hakeem Nicks), it is best to wait on the wide receiver position until ten or fifteen are off the board. There is very little difference in expected production so you might as well stock up on the position (running back) where you gain an advantage.
There are at least ten good kickers and team defenses so every team can have a good option. You should employ one of two strategies for the kicker position. Either take a stud earlier than you would think, or wait until ten are gone. The stud gives you an extra few points a game so it is a viable strategy. For the team defense position, it is best to play matchups with a smaller league. There will be plenty of good options available on the waiver wire each week from which to choose. Many times, it is better to have a mediocre defense with a great matchup than a good defense with a mediocre matchup.
When we look at the VBD (Value Based Drafting) application, we quickly realize how valued the running backs are when compared to the other positions. The VBD accounts for positional scarcity and available options at other positions using the Footballguys.com projections. It is amazing that only five quarterbacks and six wide receivers were valued in the first two rounds. The league variables used were ten teams, sixteen roster spots, non-PPR scoring, and starting requirements of 1 quarterback, 2 running backs, 3 wide receivers, 1 tight end, 1 flex, 1 kicker, and 1 team defense. The depth at the quarterback and wide receiver positions means that a fantasy owner can afford to wait on those positions while stocking up on rushers.
Rank |
Pos |
PosRank |
Player |
Team/Bye |
Points |
VBD |
ADP |
1 |
RB |
1 |
Arian Foster |
Hou/11 |
233.4 |
85 |
1.02 |
2 |
QB |
1 |
Aaron Rodgers |
GB/8 |
354.8 |
80 |
1.08 |
3 |
RB |
2 |
Adrian Peterson |
Min/9 |
226.3 |
78 |
1.01 |
4 |
RB |
3 |
Ray Rice |
Bal/5 |
218.4 |
70 |
1.05 |
5 |
RB |
4 |
Chris Johnson |
Ten/6 |
216.7 |
69 |
1.03 |
6 |
RB |
5 |
Jamaal Charles |
KC/6 |
216.4 |
68 |
1.04 |
7 |
WR |
1 |
Andre Johnson |
Hou/11 |
190.5 |
66 |
1.07 |
8 |
QB |
2 |
Michael Vick |
Phi/7 |
340.1 |
65 |
1.10 |
9 |
WR |
2 |
Calvin Johnson |
Det/9 |
185.6 |
61 |
2.02 |
10 |
RB |
6 |
LeSean McCoy |
Phi/7 |
205.6 |
58 |
1.06 |
11 |
RB |
7 |
Darren McFadden |
Oak/8 |
203.6 |
56 |
2.04 |
12 |
WR |
3 |
Hakeem Nicks |
NYG/7 |
179.1 |
54 |
2.08 |
13 |
RB |
8 |
Rashard Mendenhall |
Pit/11 |
194.9 |
47 |
2.01 |
14 |
QB |
3 |
Tom Brady |
NE/7 |
321.7 |
47 |
3.03 |
15 |
WR |
4 |
Roddy White |
Atl/8 |
171.5 |
47 |
2.03 |
16 |
RB |
9 |
Steven Jackson |
StL/5 |
193.2 |
45 |
2.07 |
17 |
WR |
5 |
Mike Wallace |
Pit/11 |
168.8 |
44 |
3.06 |
18 |
RB |
10 |
Matt Forte |
Chi/8 |
191.4 |
43 |
3.01 |
19 |
WR |
6 |
Vincent Jackson |
SD/6 |
168.1 |
43 |
3.05 |
20 |
QB |
4 |
Tony Romo |
Dal/5 |
315.2 |
40 |
4.10 |
21 |
RB |
11 |
Maurice Jones-Drew |
Jac/9 |
186.7 |
39 |
1.09 |
22 |
QB |
5 |
Philip Rivers |
SD/6 |
313.6 |
39 |
3.08 |
23 |
RB |
12 |
Frank Gore |
SF/7 |
185.5 |
38 |
2.05 |
24 |
RB |
13 |
Peyton Hillis |
Cle/5 |
184.0 |
36 |
3.04 |
25 |
WR |
7 |
Larry Fitzgerald |
Ari/6 |
160.4 |
36 |
2.09 |
26 |
RB |
14 |
Ahmad Bradshaw |
NYG/7 |
183.4 |
35 |
4.03 |
27 |
WR |
8 |
DeSean Jackson |
Phi/7 |
160.1 |
35 |
4.01 |
28 |
WR |
9 |
Greg Jennings |
GB/8 |
159.1 |
34 |
2.10 |
29 |
QB |
6 |
Drew Brees |
NO/11 |
308.1 |
33 |
3.02 |
30 |
RB |
15 |
LeGarrette Blount |
TB/8 |
177.7 |
30 |
4.02 |
31 |
QB |
7 |
Peyton Manning |
Ind/11 |
302.6 |
28 |
3.09 |
32 |
WR |
10 |
Dwayne Bowe |
KC/6 |
152.1 |
27 |
4.04 |
33 |
WR |
11 |
Miles Austin |
Dal/5 |
151.1 |
26 |
3.10 |
34 |
RB |
16 |
Jahvid Best |
Det/9 |
174.3 |
26 |
4.09 |
35 |
RB |
17 |
Shonn Greene |
NYJ/8 |
170.8 |
23 |
5.01 |
36 |
RB |
18 |
Mark Ingram |
NO/11 |
170.2 |
22 |
5.09 |
37 |
WR |
12 |
Mike Williams |
TB/8 |
146.5 |
22 |
4.06 |
38 |
RB |
19 |
Michael Turner |
Atl/8 |
167.5 |
20 |
2.06 |
39 |
WR |
13 |
Dez Bryant |
Dal/5 |
143.2 |
18 |
4.08 |
40 |
WR |
14 |
Brandon Lloyd |
Den/6 |
143.1 |
18 |
6.02 |
41 |
TE |
1 |
Antonio Gates |
SD/6 |
130.8 |
18 |
4.05 |
42 |
WR |
15 |
Reggie Wayne |
Ind/11 |
141.1 |
16 |
3.07 |
43 |
WR |
16 |
Santonio Holmes |
NYJ/8 |
139.5 |
15 |
6.01 |
44 |
WR |
17 |
Brandon Marshall |
Mia/5 |
138.0 |
13 |
5.05 |
45 |
QB |
8 |
Ben Roethlisberger |
Pit/11 |
287.3 |
12 |
7.06 |
46 |
RB |
20 |
Ryan Mathews |
SD/6 |
159.7 |
12 |
4.07 |
47 |
RB |
21 |
Felix Jones |
Dal/5 |
159.4 |
11 |
6.03 |
48 |
WR |
18 |
Mario Manningham |
NYG/7 |
135.7 |
11 |
8.03 |
49 |
WR |
19 |
Percy Harvin |
Min/9 |
134.6 |
10 |
7.02 |
50 |
DEF |
1 |
Pittsburgh |
Pit/11 |
158.0 |
6 |
9.03 |
The table above represents the Top 50 players in terms of VBD. There are a few things that jump out. As we discussed, the value of studs is immense. Notice the VBD values for the three top players in comparison to the rest of the players, even very good players. Who would have thought that these players would hold values equaling two others, who are still worth first round picks? Also, the wide receivers are just starting to gain ground on the running backs, and we will see this trend continue.
Rank |
Pos |
PosRank |
Player |
Team/Bye |
Points |
VBD |
ADP |
51 |
WR |
20 |
Steve Johnson |
Buf/7 |
130.4 |
6 |
6.07 |
52 |
RB |
22 |
Knowshon Moreno |
Den/6 |
153.5 |
6 |
5.04 |
53 |
TE |
2 |
Jermichael Finley |
GB/8 |
118.1 |
6 |
5.10 |
54 |
WR |
21 |
Kenny Britt |
Ten/6 |
130.0 |
5 |
7.10 |
55 |
TE |
3 |
Jason Witten |
Dal/5 |
117.5 |
5 |
5.08 |
56 |
TE |
4 |
Vernon Davis |
SF/7 |
117.1 |
5 |
6.06 |
57 |
RB |
23 |
Fred Jackson |
Buf/7 |
152.5 |
4 |
7.07 |
58 |
WR |
22 |
Wes Welker |
NE/7 |
128.4 |
4 |
5.06 |
59 |
PK |
1 |
Nate Kaeding |
SD/6 |
132.1 |
3 |
14.10 |
60 |
WR |
23 |
Austin Collie |
Ind/11 |
126.2 |
1 |
7.09 |
61 |
WR |
24 |
Anquan Boldin |
Bal/5 |
125.2 |
0 |
7.01 |
62 |
TE |
5 |
Dallas Clark |
Ind/11 |
112.6 |
0 |
5.03 |
63 |
WR |
25 |
Marques Colston |
NO/11 |
124.8 |
0 |
5.07 |
64 |
PK |
2 |
Mason Crosby |
GB/8 |
127.6 |
0 |
17.05 |
65 |
RB |
24 |
DeAngelo Williams |
Car/9 |
147.6 |
0 |
5.02 |
66 |
WR |
26 |
Santana Moss |
Was/5 |
124.3 |
0 |
8.10 |
67 |
DEF |
2 |
New York Jets |
NYJ/8 |
149.8 |
-1 |
11.01 |
68 |
DEF |
3 |
New York Giants |
NYG/7 |
149.7 |
-1 |
15.03 |
69 |
QB |
9 |
Matt Schaub |
Hou/11 |
274.0 |
-1 |
6.04 |
70 |
WR |
27 |
Mike Thomas |
Jac/9 |
123.6 |
-1 |
10.02 |
71 |
RB |
25 |
Marshawn Lynch |
Sea/6 |
146.8 |
-1 |
7.08 |
72 |
DEF |
4 |
Green Bay |
GB/8 |
149.0 |
-1 |
9.09 |
73 |
PK |
3 |
Alex Henery |
Phi/7 |
124.5 |
-3 |
20.06 |
74 |
PK |
4 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
NE/7 |
124.5 |
-3 |
17.09 |
75 |
WR |
28 |
Jacoby Ford |
Oak/8 |
121.2 |
-4 |
12.02 |
76 |
DEF |
5 |
Philadelphia |
Phi/7 |
145.1 |
-4 |
11.06 |
77 |
QB |
10 |
Matthew Stafford |
Det/9 |
270.1 |
-5 |
9.08 |
78 |
TE |
6 |
Rob Gronkowski |
NE/7 |
107.2 |
-5 |
10.07 |
79 |
RB |
26 |
Cedric Benson |
Cin/7 |
141.7 |
-6 |
6.05 |
80 |
DEF |
6 |
New England |
NE/7 |
142.2 |
-7 |
13.01 |
81 |
PK |
5 |
Dan Bailey |
Dal/5 |
118.1 |
-8 |
--- |
82 |
PK |
6 |
Shaun Suisham |
Pit/11 |
117.8 |
-8 |
27.06 |
83 |
DEF |
7 |
Detroit |
Det/9 |
140.3 |
-8 |
17.10 |
84 |
PK |
7 |
Garrett Hartley |
NO/11 |
116.8 |
-9 |
18.03 |
85 |
PK |
8 |
Sebastian Janikowski |
Oak/8 |
116.5 |
-9 |
17.08 |
86 |
WR |
29 |
Julio Jones |
Atl/8 |
115.7 |
-9 |
9.01 |
87 |
RB |
27 |
Daniel Thomas |
Mia/5 |
137.9 |
-10 |
7.04 |
88 |
DEF |
8 |
New Orleans |
NO/11 |
137.3 |
-11 |
17.03 |
89 |
PK |
9 |
Neil Rackers |
Hou/11 |
114.3 |
-11 |
17.07 |
90 |
QB |
11 |
Matt Ryan |
Atl/8 |
263.8 |
-11 |
6.08 |
91 |
RB |
28 |
Ryan Grant |
GB/8 |
136.4 |
-12 |
6.09 |
92 |
PK |
10 |
Adam Vinatieri |
Ind/11 |
112.6 |
-12 |
20.05 |
93 |
PK |
11 |
Billy Cundiff |
Bal/5 |
112.1 |
-12 |
24.04 |
94 |
PK |
12 |
Matt Bryant |
Atl/8 |
110.9 |
-13 |
19.03 |
95 |
QB |
12 |
Josh Freeman |
TB/8 |
261.5 |
-13 |
8.02 |
96 |
PK |
13 |
Jason Hanson |
Det/9 |
110.9 |
-13 |
--- |
97 |
WR |
30 |
A.J. Green |
Cin/7 |
111.3 |
-13 |
9.04 |
98 |
TE |
7 |
Marcedes Lewis |
Jac/9 |
98.8 |
-14 |
9.10 |
99 |
DEF |
9 |
Chicago |
Chi/8 |
132.6 |
-14 |
13.04 |
100 |
PK |
14 |
Lawrence Tynes |
NYG/7 |
109.6 |
-15 |
26.04 |
When looking at the VBD spots from player 51 through 80, the wide receivers start catching up, the value at quarterback and tight end is still apparent. As discussed above, having studs is the only way to gain an advantage. This is why the kickers are actually a decent play when the value running back and wideout plateaus.
Every league is different but this article should help you form a winning strategy in smaller leagues.
Questions, suggestions and comments are always welcome to tefertiller@footballguys.com. Also, I am on Twitter so feel free to ask me questions there.

