The diversity of leagues is one aspect that makes fantasy football so much fun. Some people like the larger leagues, while some like the smaller ones. The values of players vary widely with the differences in scoring and starting lineup. It is not a wise move to use standard draft strategies in the non-standard leagues. This is especially true with league which require two quarterbacks in the starting lineup. An entirely different strategy is essential in order to make the most of the draft. This article will look at ten team leagues, starting two quarterbacks, and utilizing PPR scoring. We will examine strategies especially designed for these leagues in order to best attack the draft and get the most from the roster. At the bottom of the article, we will look at a few mock drafts utilizing different draft positions. These will help you form a new strategy for your league.
Down to basics, what are the differences I should know about the 2QB leagues?
The biggest question is how to value quarterbacks in comparison to other positions. In leagues which start two passers, even the most average quarterbacks are worth as much as good running backs and receivers. It is difficult to balance gaining studs at other positions while still addressing quarterback. As a general rule, it is best to only draft elite players at running back or wide receiver over starting quarterbacks. So, this means you should only take the top four or five running backs (Arian Foster, Chris Johnson, Adrian Peterson, Ray Rice, and Jamaal Charles) or the top three wideouts (Andre Johnson, Hakeem Nicks, and Calvin Johnson) over the quarterback position in the first three rounds. The VBD values will suggest that the passers carry this type of value.
How do I know which quarterbacks to select? The main increase in value is with the players from QB10 to QB25. The top quarterbacks retain good value in all leagues, but it is the ones ranked lower that need the extra analysis. The players in this range (QB10-QB25) are ranked lower because there is a question about talent, certainty of situation, potential lack of upside, or just lack of proven production. Fantasy owners usually struggle with differentiating between the less than stellar options. Less than two projected points per game separates QB10 (Josh Freeman) from QB20 (Matt Cassel). With so many alternatives, the priority should be on seeking value. While it sounds simplistic, select the players who are the most talented. Next, do not spend a pick before the seventh or eighth round on a player whose job is not secure. Since every team in your league starts two players at the position, finding options with upside and proven production is the key in gaining value.
How does the quarterback scarcity impact the early rounds? There will be quarterback runs. In leagues which start two at the position, owners will see the runs coming and will be desperate not to be left behind. This is all driven by positional scarcity. For this reason, it is best to take a stud quarterback, or two, early just to stay ahead of the curve. The mad rush for passers will push quality players at other positions down the draft.
When we look at the VBD (Value Based Drafting) application, we quickly realize how valued the quarterbacks are when compared to the other positions. The VBD accounts for positional scarcity and available options at other positions using the Footballguys.com projections. It is amazing that in the first 36 players listed in terms of value, eight are quarterbacks, eleven are wide receivers, and seventeen running backs. The league variables used were ten teams, eighteen roster spots, PPR scoring, and starting requirements of 2 quarterbacks, 2 running backs, 3 wide receivers, 1 tight end, 1 flex, 1 kicker, and 1 team defense.
Below are the Top 50 players according to the VBD values:
Rk |
Pos |
PosRk |
Player |
Team/Bye |
Points |
VBD |
ADP |
1 |
RB |
1 |
Arian Foster |
Hou/11 |
280.4 |
145 |
1.02 |
2 |
RB |
2 |
Ray Rice |
Bal/5 |
275.2 |
140 |
1.05 |
3 |
RB |
3 |
LeSean McCoy |
Phi/7 |
262.2 |
127 |
1.06 |
4 |
RB |
4 |
Adrian Peterson |
Min/9 |
258.1 |
122 |
1.01 |
5 |
RB |
5 |
Jamaal Charles |
KC/6 |
256.2 |
120 |
1.04 |
6 |
RB |
6 |
Chris Johnson |
Ten/6 |
255.5 |
120 |
1.03 |
7 |
WR |
1 |
Andre Johnson |
Hou/11 |
280.8 |
116 |
1.07 |
8 |
QB |
1 |
Aaron Rodgers |
GB/8 |
376.8 |
115 |
1.08 |
9 |
RB |
7 |
Darren McFadden |
Oak/8 |
249.9 |
114 |
2.04 |
10 |
QB |
2 |
Michael Vick |
Phi/7 |
365.9 |
105 |
2.02 |
11 |
RB |
8 |
Matt Forte |
Chi/8 |
240.1 |
104 |
2.08 |
12 |
RB |
9 |
Steven Jackson |
StL/5 |
239.5 |
104 |
2.07 |
13 |
WR |
2 |
Calvin Johnson |
Det/9 |
264.8 |
100 |
2.01 |
14 |
WR |
3 |
Hakeem Nicks |
NYG/7 |
260.9 |
96 |
2.10 |
15 |
RB |
10 |
Peyton Hillis |
Cle/5 |
230.8 |
95 |
3.03 |
16 |
RB |
11 |
Maurice Jones-Drew |
Jac/9 |
229.3 |
94 |
1.09 |
17 |
WR |
4 |
Roddy White |
Atl/8 |
257.6 |
92 |
2.03 |
18 |
RB |
12 |
Ahmad Bradshaw |
NYG/7 |
226.5 |
91 |
4.02 |
19 |
RB |
13 |
Jahvid Best |
Det/9 |
224.8 |
89 |
4.10 |
20 |
RB |
14 |
Frank Gore |
SF/7 |
223.4 |
88 |
2.06 |
21 |
RB |
15 |
Rashard Mendenhall |
Pit/11 |
217.2 |
81 |
1.10 |
22 |
WR |
5 |
Larry Fitzgerald |
Ari/6 |
244.1 |
79 |
2.09 |
23 |
QB |
3 |
Tom Brady |
NE/7 |
338.0 |
77 |
3.04 |
24 |
QB |
4 |
Philip Rivers |
SD/6 |
336.0 |
75 |
3.09 |
25 |
QB |
5 |
Tony Romo |
Dal/5 |
335.5 |
74 |
5.04 |
26 |
WR |
6 |
Vincent Jackson |
SD/6 |
237.8 |
73 |
3.06 |
27 |
QB |
6 |
Drew Brees |
NO/11 |
333.9 |
72 |
3.02 |
28 |
WR |
7 |
Mike Wallace |
Pit/11 |
235.6 |
70 |
3.05 |
29 |
RB |
16 |
Felix Jones |
Dal/5 |
200.2 |
65 |
6.09 |
30 |
WR |
8 |
Greg Jennings |
GB/8 |
229.4 |
64 |
3.01 |
31 |
QB |
7 |
Peyton Manning |
Ind/11 |
325.0 |
64 |
3.08 |
32 |
WR |
9 |
Dwayne Bowe |
KC/6 |
223.4 |
58 |
4.03 |
33 |
WR |
10 |
Reggie Wayne |
Ind/11 |
221.3 |
56 |
3.07 |
34 |
WR |
11 |
DeSean Jackson |
Phi/7 |
220.1 |
55 |
4.01 |
35 |
QB |
8 |
Ben Roethlisberger |
Pit/11 |
316.3 |
55 |
7.04 |
36 |
RB |
17 |
Ryan Mathews |
SD/6 |
188.3 |
53 |
4.07 |
37 |
WR |
12 |
Brandon Marshall |
Mia/5 |
217.1 |
52 |
5.02 |
38 |
RB |
18 |
Mark Ingram |
NO/11 |
185.4 |
50 |
5.10 |
39 |
RB |
19 |
Fred Jackson |
Buf/7 |
185.3 |
50 |
7.07 |
40 |
RB |
20 |
Shonn Greene |
NYJ/8 |
185.0 |
49 |
4.08 |
41 |
RB |
21 |
Knowshon Moreno |
Den/6 |
182.2 |
47 |
5.05 |
42 |
WR |
13 |
Brandon Lloyd |
Den/6 |
211.5 |
46 |
6.02 |
43 |
WR |
14 |
Mike Williams |
TB/8 |
210.3 |
45 |
4.06 |
44 |
WR |
15 |
Wes Welker |
NE/7 |
210.2 |
45 |
5.07 |
45 |
WR |
16 |
Steve Johnson |
Buf/7 |
208.3 |
43 |
6.07 |
46 |
RB |
22 |
Michael Turner |
Atl/8 |
177.8 |
42 |
2.05 |
47 |
WR |
17 |
Dez Bryant |
Dal/5 |
205.0 |
40 |
5.01 |
48 |
WR |
18 |
Santonio Holmes |
NYJ/8 |
203.5 |
38 |
6.03 |
49 |
WR |
19 |
Miles Austin |
Dal/5 |
203.3 |
38 |
3.10 |
50 |
WR |
20 |
Percy Harvin |
Min/9 |
202.1 |
37 |
7.01 |
It is interesting how the positions are evenly distributed. Yes, there is only one tight end, but 17 wide receivers, 17 running backs, and 15 quarterbacks ... all with values in the first five rounds. How does it change for the players 51-90? This represents more than the first half of the draft.
Rk |
Pos |
PosRk |
Player |
Team/Bye |
Points |
VBD |
ADP |
51 |
QB |
9 |
Matt Schaub |
Hou/11 |
298.3 |
37 |
6.05 |
52 |
RB |
23 |
Cedric Benson |
Cin/7 |
171.0 |
35 |
6.06 |
53 |
RB |
24 |
Marshawn Lynch |
Sea/6 |
170.7 |
35 |
7.09 |
54 |
WR |
21 |
Mario Manningham |
NYG/7 |
199.0 |
34 |
8.04 |
55 |
RB |
25 |
LeGarrette Blount |
TB/8 |
167.0 |
31 |
4.04 |
56 |
QB |
10 |
Josh Freeman |
TB/8 |
291.6 |
30 |
8.01 |
57 |
RB |
26 |
DeAngelo Williams |
Car/9 |
165.3 |
30 |
4.09 |
58 |
QB |
11 |
Matthew Stafford |
Det/9 |
288.4 |
27 |
10.04 |
59 |
WR |
22 |
Mike Thomas |
Jac/9 |
189.7 |
25 |
10.06 |
60 |
WR |
23 |
Austin Collie |
Ind/11 |
189.7 |
25 |
7.08 |
61 |
WR |
24 |
Marques Colston |
NO/11 |
189.2 |
24 |
5.06 |
62 |
QB |
12 |
Joe Flacco |
Bal/5 |
284.4 |
23 |
10.01 |
63 |
QB |
13 |
Jay Cutler |
Chi/8 |
283.6 |
22 |
11.01 |
64 |
WR |
25 |
Anquan Boldin |
Bal/5 |
186.1 |
21 |
7.02 |
65 |
QB |
14 |
Matt Ryan |
Atl/8 |
281.8 |
20 |
6.08 |
66 |
QB |
15 |
Eli Manning |
NYG/7 |
281.2 |
20 |
8.07 |
67 |
RB |
27 |
Daniel Thomas |
Mia/5 |
155.0 |
19 |
7.03 |
68 |
RB |
28 |
Ryan Grant |
GB/8 |
153.5 |
18 |
6.10 |
69 |
QB |
16 |
Sam Bradford |
StL/5 |
278.5 |
17 |
10.07 |
70 |
TE |
1 |
Jason Witten |
Dal/5 |
195.6 |
17 |
5.08 |
71 |
QB |
17 |
Kevin Kolb |
Ari/6 |
276.6 |
15 |
12.10 |
72 |
WR |
26 |
Kenny Britt |
Ten/6 |
179.0 |
14 |
7.10 |
73 |
TE |
2 |
Antonio Gates |
SD/6 |
192.2 |
14 |
4.05 |
74 |
RB |
29 |
Joseph Addai |
Ind/11 |
148.1 |
12 |
8.02 |
75 |
QB |
18 |
Mark Sanchez |
NYJ/8 |
270.4 |
9 |
14.01 |
76 |
TE |
3 |
Dallas Clark |
Ind/11 |
187.2 |
9 |
5.03 |
77 |
RB |
30 |
Tim Hightower |
Was/5 |
143.9 |
8 |
15.08 |
78 |
RB |
31 |
Reggie Bush |
Mia/5 |
143.3 |
8 |
11.04 |
79 |
DEF |
1 |
Pittsburgh Steelers |
Pit/11 |
158.0 |
6 |
9.02 |
80 |
RB |
32 |
Chris Wells |
Ari/6 |
139.3 |
4 |
9.06 |
81 |
PK |
1 |
Nate Kaeding |
SD/6 |
124.8 |
3 |
15.03 |
82 |
WR |
27 |
Santana Moss |
Was/5 |
167.5 |
2 |
9.05 |
83 |
RB |
33 |
LaDainian Tomlinson |
NYJ/8 |
137.4 |
2 |
12.02 |
84 |
QB |
19 |
Jason Campbell |
Oak/8 |
262.4 |
1 |
19.07 |
85 |
WR |
28 |
A.J. Green |
Cin/7 |
166.0 |
1 |
8.10 |
86 |
TE |
4 |
Jermichael Finley |
GB/8 |
179.1 |
0 |
6.01 |
87 |
WR |
29 |
Julio Jones |
Atl/8 |
165.1 |
0 |
9.04 |
88 |
RB |
34 |
Brandon Jacobs |
NYG/7 |
135.7 |
0 |
9.10 |
89 |
TE |
5 |
Vernon Davis |
SF/7 |
178.6 |
0 |
6.04 |
90 |
QB |
20 |
Matt Cassel |
KC/6 |
261.4 |
0 |
12.05 |
Interestingly, the positional proportions remained about the same. With 20 quarterbacks off the board, it means that every team is assumed to have drafted two already at the position. This mad rush of passers has pushed very good backs and receivers into extreme value situations.
After running a few mocks, it became obvious that getting at least one, and possibly two, top players at the quarterback position is essential. There is no way to win your league if you are starting Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco at the quarterback position. A team having two of the top seven elite fantasy options has a monstrous advantage. A shortage is quickly created. The position is not deep for fantasy owners. The wide receiver position is the opposite. The are several very good options available at wide receiver (like Santana Moss, Kenny Britt, etc.) halfway into the draft.
In the first five rounds, it would be best to have two quarterbacks, two running backs, and one wide receiver after five rounds. The VBD values drop off considerably after Roethlisberger (QB8) and there is no way the fantasy teams with the lesser pair of passers can compete with a Rodgers/Brady combination, for example.
In two quarterback leagues, the tight end position becomes less valuable relative to the quarterback and running back positions. Savvy owners should wait until the six round or later to address the position. There are more than ten quality tight ends so you can afford to wait.
In summary, load up on ball carriers and passers early in the draft and only address wide receiver and tight after the talent falls off at the two primary positions.
Please feel free to email me at tefertiller@footballguys.com with any questions or comments. Also, I am on Twitter, so feel free to ask me questions there.

