Ultimate Strength of Schedule - Defensive Backs
By Clayton Gray
May 2nd, 2011

Quick Links to Other Positions:   QB · RB · WR · TE · PK · Def · DB · DL · LB

Note: Due to the lack of free agency, this first edition of 2011 strength of schedule is very much a work in progress. As veteran players move to new teams, the numbers below will change, so check back often for updates.

The advantages offered by the Ultimate Strength of Schedule (USOS) when compared to traditional SOS displays are numerous and include (but are not limited to) the following:

  • Fantasy Points Driven
    Fantasy football is all about scoring fantasy points, so USOS is based on fantasy points.

  • Removed Bias Of Schedule
    Consider the following scenario: Defense A faced the Top 16 offenses while Defense B faced the Worst 16 offenses. If both defenses allowed opposing QBs to average 300 fantasy points last season, are they equally strong? Of course not - Defense A is far superior as they faced much better offenses. This bias of schedule has been removed from USOS.

  • Positional Breakdown
    If you are looking for a RB, it's much more relevant to see SOS data for RBs (rather than simply rushing data).

  • Comparison Of 2011 Schedule To 2010 Schedule
    On the surface, a team with an easy schedule at RB should see better RB stats this year. Good schedule = bigger numbers than the year before, right? It seems logical. However, sometimes it's not enough to say that a team has an easy schedule. What if they had an equally easy schedule the season before? Equal schedule = similar numbers as the year before. USOS looks at the differences in schedule from this year compared to last season. An easier set of opponents this year points to increased production. A more difficult set of opponents this season points to decreased production.

  • Explanation of USOS Tables

    Below, you will see tables for each positions USOS. Here is a brief explanation of the make-up of these tables.

    The "TM" Column

    This is simply the NFL team.

    The Values

    Each value in the table is the expected number of fantasy points on average or on a per game basis (depending on the column).

    The "2011" Column

    This is the average expected fantasy points allowed by each team's opponents for this season.

    The "Chng" Column

    This is the amount of change between the 2011 schedule and the 2010 schedule. A positive value points to an easier SOS than last year while a negative value points to a more difficult SOS compared to last season.

    The "EZ" Column

    This is the number of easy opponents each team will face this season. An easy opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as many easy games as possible.

    The "TF" Column

    This is the number of tough opponents each team will face this season. A tough opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as few tough games as possible.

    The "1st3" Column

    This is the SOS for the first three weeks of the NFL season. This value is useful to determine how players should be expected to open the season. Players with low values could easily stumble out of the gate.

    The "1st5" Column

    This is similar to "1st3" except that it covers the first five weeks of the NFL season (note that some teams only play four games in this time frame).

    The "Byes" Column

    This is the SOS covering the bye weeks. This value is useful to find a complementary player during the byes as you'll need to shuffle players in and out of your starting lineup. A player with an easy schedule during this time would be nice to have.

    The "14to16" Column

    This is similar to "1st3" except that it specifically covers Week 14 through Week 16.

    The "15to17" Column

    This is similar to "14to16" except that it specifically covers Week 15 through Week 17.

    The "W1" through "W17" Columns

    These values are the expected strength of each team's opponent for that particular week (W5 is Week 5, etc). This is very useful when searching for backups for your stud players. The key is to locate players with easy opponents when your star is on a bye.

    The Coloring of the Values

    The green values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best values in that column. Green was chosen because you can go ahead and take players on that team. The yellow values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst values in that column. Yellow was chosen because you should use caution before selecting players from that team. (Note: a green / red combo was considered but some people are color blind between those two colors.)

  • Green is a hot team with a good schedule

  • Yellow is a cold team with a bad schedule

  • Ultimate Strength of Schedule - Defensive Backs

    TM
    2011
    Chng
    EZ
    TF
    1st3
    1st5
    Byes
    14to16
    15to17
    Ari
    31.6
    0.9%
    3
    4
    31.7
    32.3
    30.6
    31.2
    32.5
    Atl
    31.8
    3.1%
    5
    3
    30.1
    30.6
    31.6
    32.6
    31.5
    Bal
    32.0
    1.2%
    5
    4
    30.8
    31.2
    33.4
    31.6
    32.2
    Buf
    31.4
    1.4%
    4
    5
    29.7
    31.2
    31.8
    31.3
    30.9
    Car
    31.8
    3.1%
    6
    3
    31.8
    32.3
    32.3
    31.6
    32.8
    Chi
    31.4
    -2.3%
    2
    3
    32.5
    32.4
    30.8
    31.8
    31.3
    Cin
    31.3
    1.0%
    4
    7
    30.0
    30.6
    31.1
    33.4
    31.9
    Cle
    31.8
    1.0%
    5
    5
    33.5
    32.3
    30.9
    31.9
    31.9
    Dal
    31.6
    -2.8%
    3
    3
    30.5
    31.0
    31.1
    31.4
    31.4
    Den
    31.0
    -0.4%
    1
    7
    31.3
    31.2
    31.0
    31.1
    30.8
    Det
    31.2
    -0.2%
    2
    4
    30.0
    30.9
    31.1
    30.5
    30.4
    GB
    31.7
    -0.5%
    3
    3
    32.8
    32.5
    30.9
    30.1
    31.1
    Hou
    31.3
    -1.8%
    4
    6
    33.2
    32.1
    29.5
    34.1
    31.7
    Ind
    31.4
    -3.7%
    4
    7
    31.8
    30.8
    32.4
    31.0
    31.3
    Jac
    32.1
    -1.4%
    6
    5
    31.0
    32.9
    32.3
    29.7
    31.5
    KC
    31.3
    -1.7%
    3
    3
    32.0
    32.3
    30.9
    30.6
    30.8
    Mia
    31.6
    1.3%
    5
    4
    31.2
    31.2
    32.4
    31.0
    31.4
    Min
    31.5
    -0.7%
    3
    3
    30.8
    31.3
    31.4
    32.9
    32.5
    NE
    31.8
    -1.3%
    4
    1
    31.3
    31.0
    32.5
    31.3
    31.7
    NO
    31.5
    1.7%
    3
    3
    32.0
    31.7
    31.1
    30.5
    31.6
    NYG
    31.7
    -2.0%
    5
    3
    31.2
    32.0
    31.0
    32.3
    32.3
    NYJ
    31.2
    -1.7%
    3
    6
    31.1
    30.6
    31.2
    31.9
    31.9
    Oak
    31.3
    -1.5%
    2
    4
    32.3
    32.2
    31.5
    31.0
    31.2
    Phi
    32.1
    -0.5%
    5
    2
    32.8
    31.8
    32.6
    32.0
    32.3
    Pit
    31.5
    1.1%
    5
    8
    32.1
    31.9
    30.6
    29.8
    29.8
    SD
    30.9
    -2.4%
    2
    6
    30.4
    30.8
    31.3
    31.5
    30.4
    SF
    32.2
    3.4%
    6
    3
    34.0
    32.3
    31.1
    32.6
    31.9
    Sea
    31.8
    3.2%
    5
    4
    31.4
    32.1
    33.2
    30.4
    31.1
    StL
    32.0
    4.3%
    6
    4
    31.8
    31.7
    33.2
    33.3
    32.1
    TB
    32.1
    2.4%
    5
    2
    31.7
    31.5
    32.1
    32.1
    32.4
    Ten
    32.4
    -1.6%
    7
    3
    31.0
    30.8
    33.6
    33.4
    33.1
    Was
    32.0
    -0.8%
    5
    2
    34.2
    33.6
    31.4
    32.0
    32.3
    Avg
    31.6
    0%
    4
    4
    31.6
    31.7
    31.6
    31.6
    31.6

    Week-By-Week Look

    TM
    W1
    W2
    W3
    W4
    W5
    W6
    W7
    W8
    W9
    Ari
    32.0
    31.1
    32.1
    34.9
    31.2
    -
    31.8
    29.9
    31.9
    Atl
    31.0
    30.7
    28.7
    32.1
    30.7
    32.0
    32.3
    -
    34.2
    Bal
    31.8
    28.8
    31.9
    32.1
    -
    34.4
    30.6
    34.0
    31.8
    Buf
    30.1
    29.1
    29.9
    36.1
    30.7
    34.9
    -
    31.1
    32.1
    Car
    34.0
    30.7
    30.6
    31.0
    35.3
    31.6
    31.1
    31.2
    -
    Chi
    31.6
    35.3
    30.7
    32.0
    32.3
    31.2
    28.7
    -
    30.7
    Cin
    29.2
    32.5
    28.3
    32.3
    30.6
    34.2
    -
    32.1
    28.8
    Cle
    36.1
    34.2
    30.2
    28.8
    -
    29.1
    32.1
    28.3
    34.4
    Dal
    32.1
    28.3
    31.1
    32.3
    -
    29.9
    31.9
    30.7
    32.1
    Den
    29.1
    36.1
    28.8
    30.7
    31.3
    -
    30.2
    32.3
    29.1
    Det
    28.7
    30.1
    31.2
    33.7
    31.0
    28.3
    31.6
    32.5
    -
    GB
    35.3
    32.0
    31.0
    32.5
    31.6
    31.9
    31.2
    -
    31.3
    Hou
    34.2
    30.2
    35.3
    31.8
    29.1
    29.9
    28.8
    30.6
    29.2
    Ind
    34.4
    29.2
    31.8
    28.7
    30.1
    36.1
    35.3
    28.8
    31.6
    Jac
    28.8
    32.1
    32.0
    35.3
    36.1
    31.8
    29.9
    34.4
    -
    KC
    32.3
    32.3
    31.3
    31.2
    34.2
    -
    29.1
    31.3
    30.2
    Mia
    29.9
    34.4
    29.2
    31.3
    -
    32.1
    32.5
    34.9
    30.1
    Min
    31.3
    28.7
    32.3
    30.1
    34.0
    31.0
    30.7
    32.0
    -
    NE
    30.2
    31.3
    32.3
    29.1
    32.1
    33.7
    -
    31.8
    34.9
    NO
    30.7
    31.0
    34.4
    30.6
    32.0
    28.7
    34.2
    31.9
    28.7
    NYG
    31.1
    31.9
    30.7
    34.0
    32.1
    32.3
    -
    30.2
    29.9
    NYJ
    33.7
    30.6
    29.1
    29.9
    29.9
    30.2
    31.3
    -
    32.3
    Oak
    32.5
    32.3
    32.1
    29.9
    34.4
    29.2
    30.1
    -
    32.5
    Phi
    31.9
    31.6
    34.9
    28.3
    32.3
    31.1
    -
    33.7
    31.0
    Pit
    29.9
    32.1
    34.2
    34.4
    28.8
    30.6
    34.0
    29.9
    29.9
    SD
    31.2
    29.9
    30.1
    30.2
    32.5
    -
    32.1
    30.1
    30.7
    SF
    32.1
    33.7
    36.1
    30.7
    28.7
    32.3
    -
    29.2
    31.1
    Sea
    28.3
    31.8
    34.0
    31.6
    34.9
    -
    29.2
    36.1
    33.7
    StL
    30.7
    34.9
    29.9
    31.1
    -
    30.7
    33.7
    35.3
    34.0
    TB
    32.3
    31.2
    31.6
    34.2
    28.3
    35.3
    31.0
    -
    35.3
    Ten
    30.6
    29.9
    32.5
    29.2
    31.8
    -
    34.4
    34.2
    36.1
    Was
    34.9
    34.0
    33.7
    31.9
    -
    30.7
    32.0
    32.3
    28.3
    Avg
    31.6
    31.6
    31.6
    31.6
    31.8
    31.7
    31.5
    31.9
    31.6

    TM
    W10
    W11
    W12
    W13
    W14
    W15
    W16
    W17
    Ari
    30.7
    28.3
    31.9
    33.7
    28.3
    29.2
    36.1
    32.1
    Atl
    35.3
    28.8
    31.2
    34.4
    32.0
    30.6
    35.3
    28.7
    Bal
    32.1
    36.1
    28.3
    29.2
    34.2
    31.3
    29.2
    36.1
    Buf
    33.7
    30.2
    32.1
    28.8
    31.3
    30.2
    32.5
    29.9
    Car
    28.8
    32.3
    34.2
    28.7
    31.6
    34.4
    28.7
    35.3
    Chi
    32.3
    31.3
    29.1
    30.1
    32.5
    32.1
    30.7
    31.2
    Cin
    31.8
    29.9
    29.2
    31.8
    34.4
    31.9
    34.0
    29.9
    Cle
    31.9
    30.6
    36.1
    29.9
    31.8
    34.0
    29.9
    31.8
    Dal
    32.3
    31.1
    30.2
    34.0
    34.9
    28.7
    30.7
    34.9
    Den
    30.1
    32.1
    31.3
    31.2
    31.0
    29.9
    32.3
    30.1
    Det
    31.0
    32.0
    30.7
    35.3
    31.2
    29.1
    31.3
    30.7
    GB
    31.2
    28.7
    32.3
    34.9
    29.1
    30.1
    31.0
    32.3
    Hou
    28.7
    -
    30.6
    31.6
    36.1
    32.0
    34.2
    28.8
    Ind
    30.6
    -
    32.0
    29.9
    29.9
    28.8
    34.4
    30.6
    Jac
    34.2
    29.2
    34.4
    31.3
    28.7
    31.6
    28.8
    34.2
    KC
    32.5
    29.9
    31.8
    31.0
    32.1
    30.7
    29.1
    32.5
    Mia
    31.1
    32.3
    33.7
    29.1
    30.7
    32.3
    29.9
    32.1
    Min
    30.7
    29.1
    31.6
    32.5
    32.3
    35.3
    31.1
    31.0
    NE
    32.1
    30.1
    30.7
    34.2
    31.1
    32.5
    30.2
    32.3
    NO
    31.6
    -
    34.9
    32.3
    28.8
    31.2
    31.6
    32.0
    NYG
    28.3
    30.7
    35.3
    30.7
    33.7
    31.1
    32.1
    33.7
    NYJ
    29.9
    32.5
    32.3
    31.1
    30.1
    30.7
    34.9
    30.2
    Oak
    31.3
    31.2
    31.0
    30.2
    30.7
    32.3
    30.1
    31.3
    Phi
    34.0
    34.9
    29.9
    32.1
    30.2
    32.1
    33.7
    31.1
    Pit
    36.1
    -
    30.1
    36.1
    29.2
    28.3
    31.9
    29.2
    SD
    29.1
    31.0
    32.5
    30.6
    32.3
    29.9
    32.3
    29.1
    SF
    34.9
    34.0
    29.9
    31.9
    34.0
    31.8
    32.1
    31.9
    Sea
    29.9
    31.9
    31.1
    30.7
    31.9
    31.0
    28.3
    34.0
    StL
    29.2
    32.1
    34.0
    28.3
    32.1
    36.1
    31.8
    28.3
    TB
    34.4
    30.7
    28.8
    32.0
    30.6
    33.7
    32.0
    31.6
    Ten
    32.0
    31.6
    28.7
    32.3
    35.3
    34.2
    30.6
    34.4
    Was
    30.2
    33.7
    32.1
    32.1
    29.9
    34.9
    31.2
    30.7
    Avg
    31.6
    31.3
    31.6
    31.6
    31.6
    31.6
    31.6
    31.6
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