12 Teams with a Flex
By Chris Smith
August 18th, 2011

Special Study - PPR League (12 team) with a FLEX (QB,RB,WR or TE)

Every new NFL season there is much discussion on the positives and the negatives for each of the draft slots in a fantasy football league. While it is possible to win a league no matter where you draft from, it is obvious to veteran fantasy owners that there is some advantage to drafting in certain positions as opposed to others.

This is an abbreviated study based on an interested request I received from a subscriber. Going to try and add several of these into the mix, time permitting. In this study, I will be drafting 3rd overall and the interesting twist is 6 points per touchdown pass and a flex player that can be used at (QB,RB,WR or TE). This is a very interesting twist that changes the league significantly.

This particular series is based on...

  • 12-team redraft league / 16-round fantasy draft
  • Must start 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX (QB/RB/WR/TE), 1 DEF, 1 K
  • Scoring is as follows:
  • 1 pt every 20 passing yards
  • 1 pt every 10 rushing yards
  • 4 points per passing touchdown
  • 6 points per rushing / receiving touchdown
  • 1 point per reception
  • 3 points per field goal / 1 pt per extra point
  • 2 points per interception, fumble recovery and safety
  • 1 pt per sack
  • 6 points per defensive touchdown
  • This study is performed using the mock draft function within our own Draft Dominator software. The program gives you the ability to draft for one team and have the other teams taken over by computer control using different ADP lists. For the purpose of this study, I will use David Dodds' projections found within the Dominator. The mock draft ability of the Dominator is a nice way to prepare for your fantasy draft. Running the same draft several times will help you to anticipate all possible scenarios when your own draft arrives. Check it out today.

    If you would like to see a particular study this season, please send me an e-mail at smith@footballguys.com, and I will do my best to cover your scoring rules, starting lineup requirements, etc. before the end of training camp.

    Onto the article.

    Positives of the draft slot

  • Third overall pick great spot to be (choose between stud QB and stud RB)
  • Get the jump on draft slots 1 and 2 in the second round
  • Negatives of the draft slot

  • Long wait between odd and even round picks
  • The unique FLEX rule means you may run a little thin at running back strength if you decide to go the QB/QB start option each week.
  • Final Draft Table

    Pick
    Pos
    Player Selected
    Team
    Selected By
    1.01
    QB1
    Aaron Rodgers
    GB/8
    Expert 1
    1.02
    QB2
    Michael Vick
    Phi/7
    Consensus1
    1.03
    QB3
    Tom Brady
    NE/7
    Study Team
    1.04
    RB1
    Arian Foster
    Hou/11
    MFL1
    1.05
    RB2
    Ray Rice
    Bal/5
    FF Extreme 1
    1.06
    QB4
    Philip Rivers
    SD/6
    CBS Sportsline 1
    1.07
    QB5
    Tony Romo
    Dal/5
    Mag Avg 1
    1.08
    RB3
    LeSean McCoy
    Phi/7
    Consensus 2
    1.09
    QB6
    Drew Brees
    NO/11
    Expert 3
    1.10
    RB4
    Jamaal Charles
    KC/6
    FF Extreme 2
    1.11
    QB7
    Peyton Manning
    Ind/11
    MFL2
    1.12
    RB5
    Chris Johnson
    Ten/6
    Expert 4
    2.01
    RB6
    Adrian Peterson
    Min/9
    Expert 4
    2.02
    RB7
    Darren McFadden
    Oak/8
    MFL2
    2.03
    RB8
    Steven Jackson
    StL/5
    FF Extreme 2
    2.04
    RB9
    Matt Forte
    Chi/8
    Expert 3
    2.05
    QB8
    Ben Roethlisberger
    Pit/11
    Consensus 2
    2.06
    RB10
    Maurice Jones-Drew
    Jac/9
    Mag Avg 1
    2.07
    RB11
    Peyton Hillis
    Cle/5
    CBS Sportsline 1
    2.08
    RB12
    Ahmad Bradshaw
    NYG/7
    FF Extreme 1
    2.09
    RB13
    Frank Gore
    SF/7
    MFL1
    2.10
    WR1
    Andre Johnson
    Hou/11
    Study Team
    2.11
    QB9
    Matt Schaub
    Hou/11
    Consensus1
    2.12
    RB14
    Jahvid Best
    Det/9
    Expert 1
    3.01
    QB10
    Josh Freeman
    TB/8
    Expert 1
    3.02
    QB11
    Matthew Stafford
    Det/9
    Consensus1
    3.03
    QB13
    Matt Ryan
    Atl/8
    Study Team
    3.04
    QB12
    Joe Flacco
    Bal/5
    MFL1
    3.05
    QB14
    Eli Manning
    NYG/7
    FF Extreme 1
    3.06
    QB15
    Jay Cutler
    Chi/8
    CBS Sportsline 1
    3.07
    QB16
    Sam Bradford
    StL/5
    Mag Avg 1
    3.08
    QB17
    Kevin Kolb
    Ari/6
    Consensus 2
    3.09
    RB15
    Rashard Mendenhall
    Pit/11
    Expert 3
    3.10
    QB18
    Mark Sanchez
    NYJ/8
    FF Extreme 2
    3.11
    WR2
    Calvin Johnson
    Det/9
    MFL2
    3.12
    WR3
    Hakeem Nicks
    NYG/7
    Expert 4
    4.01
    RB16
    Felix Jones
    Dal/5
    Expert 4
    4.02
    WR4
    Roddy White
    Atl/8
    MFL2
    4.03
    WR5
    Larry Fitzgerald
    Ari/6
    FF Extreme 2
    4.04
    QB19
    Matt Cassel
    KC/6
    Expert 3
    4.05
    QB20
    Jason Campbell
    Oak/8
    Consensus 2
    4.06
    RB17
    Ryan Mathews
    SD/6
    Mag Avg 1
    4.07
    RB18
    Mark Ingram
    NO/11
    CBS Sportsline 1
    4.08
    WR6
    Vincent Jackson
    SD/6
    FF Extreme 1
    4.09
    RB19
    Fred Jackson
    Buf/7
    MFL1
    4.10
    RB21
    Shonn Greene
    NYJ/8
    Study Team
    4.11
    RB20
    Knowshon Moreno
    Den/6
    Consensus1
    4.12
    WR7
    Mike Wallace
    Pit/11
    Expert 1
    5.01
    WR8
    Greg Jennings
    GB/8
    Expert 1
    5.02
    RB22
    Michael Turner
    Atl/8
    Consensus1
    5.03
    RB26
    DeAngelo Williams
    Car/9
    Study Team
    5.04
    WR9
    Dwayne Bowe
    KC/6
    MFL1
    5.05
    RB23
    Marshawn Lynch
    Sea/6
    FF Extreme 1
    5.06
    WR10
    Reggie Wayne
    Ind/11
    CBS Sportsline 1
    5.07
    RB24
    Cedric Benson
    Cin/7
    Mag Avg 1
    5.08
    WR11
    DeSean Jackson
    Phi/7
    Consensus 2
    5.09
    RB25
    LeGarrette Blount
    TB/8
    Expert 3
    5.10
    WR12
    Brandon Marshall
    Mia/5
    FF Extreme 2
    5.11
    WR13
    Brandon Lloyd
    Den/6
    MFL2
    5.12
    WR14
    Mike Williams
    TB/8
    Expert 4
    6.01
    WR15
    Steve Johnson
    Buf/7
    Expert 4
    6.02
    WR16
    Wes Welker
    NE/7
    MFL2
    6.03
    WR17
    Dez Bryant
    Dal/5
    FF Extreme 2
    6.04
    WR18
    Miles Austin
    Dal/5
    Expert 3
    6.05
    WR19
    Santonio Holmes
    NYJ/8
    Consensus 2
    6.06
    WR20
    Percy Harvin
    Min/9
    Mag Avg 1
    6.07
    WR21
    Mario Manningham
    NYG/7
    CBS Sportsline 1
    6.08
    WR22
    Austin Collie
    Ind/11
    FF Extreme 1
    6.09
    WR23
    Mike Thomas
    Jac/9
    MFL1
    6.10
    WR24
    Marques Colston
    NO/11
    Study Team
    6.11
    WR25
    Anquan Boldin
    Bal/5
    Consensus1
    6.12
    WR26
    Kenny Britt
    Ten/6
    Expert 1
    7.01
    RB27
    Ryan Grant
    GB/8
    Expert 1
    7.02
    RB28
    Daniel Thomas
    Mia/5
    Consensus1
    7.03
    RB36
    Jonathan Stewart
    Car/9
    Study Team
    7.04
    TE1
    Jason Witten
    Dal/5
    MFL1
    7.05
    TE2
    Antonio Gates
    SD/6
    FF Extreme 1
    7.06
    RB29
    Joseph Addai
    Ind/11
    CBS Sportsline 1
    7.07
    TE3
    Dallas Clark
    Ind/11
    Mag Avg 1
    7.08
    TE4
    Jermichael Finley
    GB/8
    Consensus 2
    7.09
    TE5
    Vernon Davis
    SF/7
    Expert 3
    7.10
    RB30
    Tim Hightower
    Was/5
    FF Extreme 2
    7.11
    RB31
    Chris Wells
    Ari/6
    MFL2
    7.12
    WR27
    Santana Moss
    Was/5
    Expert 4
    8.01
    RB32
    Reggie Bush
    Mia/5
    Expert 4
    8.02
    RB33
    LaDainian Tomlinson
    NYJ/8
    MFL2
    8.03
    RB34
    Brandon Jacobs
    NYG/7
    FF Extreme 2
    8.04
    RB35
    C.J. Spiller
    Buf/7
    Expert 3
    8.05
    RB37
    Mike Tolbert
    SD/6
    Consensus 2
    8.06
    WR28
    A.J. Green
    Cin/7
    Mag Avg 1
    8.07
    WR29
    Julio Jones
    Atl/8
    CBS Sportsline 1
    8.08
    RB38
    Ryan Williams
    Ari/6
    FF Extreme 1
    8.09
    RB39
    Rashad Jennings
    Jac/9
    MFL1
    8.10
    WR32
    Chad Ochocinco
    NE/7
    Study Team
    8.11
    RB40
    Darren Sproles
    NO/11
    Consensus1
    8.12
    RB41
    BenJarvus Green-Ellis
    NE/7
    Expert 1
    9.01
    WR30
    Sidney Rice
    Sea/6
    Expert 1
    9.02
    WR31
    Steve Smith
    Car/9
    Consensus1
    9.03
    TE8
    Jimmy Graham
    NO/11
    Study Team
    9.04
    WR33
    Jacoby Ford
    Oak/8
    MFL1
    9.05
    WR34
    Roy Williams
    Chi/8
    FF Extreme 1
    9.06
    WR35
    Pierre Garcon
    Ind/11
    CBS Sportsline 1
    9.07
    RB42
    Shane Vereen
    NE/7
    Mag Avg 1
    9.08
    RB43
    James Starks
    GB/8
    Consensus 2
    9.09
    WR36
    Lance Moore
    NO/11
    Expert 3
    9.10
    TE6
    Kellen Winslow
    TB/8
    FF Extreme 2
    9.11
    TE7
    Rob Gronkowski
    NE/7
    MFL2
    9.12
    TE9
    Brandon Pettigrew
    Det/9
    Expert 4
    10.01
    TE10
    Tony Gonzalez
    Atl/8
    Expert 4
    10.02
    TE11
    Owen Daniels
    Hou/11
    MFL2
    10.03
    TE12
    Marcedes Lewis
    Jac/9
    FF Extreme 2
    10.04
    WR37
    Davone Bess
    Mia/5
    Expert 3
    10.05
    WR38
    Braylon Edwards
    SF/7
    Consensus 2
    10.06
    WR39
    Arrelious Benn
    TB/8
    Mag Avg 1
    10.07
    RB44
    Danny Woodhead
    NE/7
    CBS Sportsline 1
    10.08
    WR40
    Greg Little
    Cle/5
    FF Extreme 1
    10.09
    WR41
    Mike Williams
    Sea/6
    MFL1
    10.10
    RB47
    Delone Carter
    Ind/11
    Study Team
    10.11
    DEF1
    Green Bay
    GB/8
    Consensus1
    10.12
    DEF2
    Pittsburgh
    Pit/11
    Expert 1
    11.01
    RB45
    Demarco Murray
    Dal/5
    Expert 1
    11.02
    WR42
    Andre Roberts
    Ari/6
    Consensus1
    11.03
    WR44
    Lee Evans
    Bal/5
    Study Team
    11.04
    WR43
    Johnny Knox
    Chi/8
    MFL1
    11.05
    WR45
    Hines Ward
    Pit/11
    FF Extreme 1
    11.06
    TE13
    Dustin Keller
    NYJ/8
    CBS Sportsline 1
    11.07
    WR46
    Mike Sims-Walker
    StL/5
    Mag Avg 1
    11.08
    WR47
    James Jones
    GB/8
    Consensus 2
    11.09
    WR48
    Jerome Simpson
    Cin/7
    Expert 3
    11.10
    WR49
    Robert Meachem
    NO/11
    FF Extreme 2
    11.11
    RB46
    Jason Snelling
    Atl/8
    MFL2
    11.12
    WR50
    Earl Bennett
    Chi/8
    Expert 4
    12.01
    DEF3
    New England
    NE/7
    Expert 4
    12.02
    QB21
    Tarvaris Jackson
    Sea/6
    MFL2
    12.03
    QB22
    Cam Newton
    Car/9
    FF Extreme 2
    12.04
    QB23
    Donovan McNabb
    Min/9
    Expert 3
    12.05
    DEF4
    Philadelphia
    Phi/7
    Consensus 2
    12.06
    TE14
    Jared Cook
    Ten/6
    Mag Avg 1
    12.07
    TE15
    Heath Miller
    Pit/11
    CBS Sportsline 1
    12.08
    TE16
    Jermaine Gresham
    Cin/7
    FF Extreme 1
    12.09
    TE17
    Zach Miller
    Sea/6
    MFL1
    12.10
    RB49
    Willis McGahee
    Den/6
    Study Team
    12.11
    WR51
    Deion Branch
    NE/7
    Consensus1
    12.12
    RB48
    Justin Forsett
    Sea/6
    Expert 1
    13.01
    QB24
    Ryan Fitzpatrick
    Buf/7
    Expert 1
    13.02
    RB50
    Michael Bush
    Oak/8
    Consensus1
    13.03
    WR55
    Jordy Nelson
    GB/8
    Study Team
    13.04
    QB25
    Alex Smith
    SF/7
    MFL1
    13.05
    QB26
    Matt Hasselbeck
    Ten/6
    FF Extreme 1
    13.06
    TE18
    Chris Cooley
    Was/5
    CBS Sportsline 1
    13.07
    WR52
    Denarius Moore
    Oak/8
    Mag Avg 1
    13.08
    WR53
    Derrick Mason
    NYJ/8
    Consensus 2
    13.09
    WR54
    Malcom Floyd
    SD/6
    Expert 3
    13.10
    WR56
    Danny Amendola
    StL/5
    FF Extreme 2
    13.11
    RB51
    Thomas Jones
    KC/6
    MFL2
    13.12
    QB27
    Kyle Orton
    Den/6
    Expert 4
    14.01
    PK1
    Nate Kaeding
    SD/6
    Expert 4
    14.02
    DEF5
    New Orleans
    NO/11
    MFL2
    14.03
    DEF6
    New York Giants
    NYG/7
    FF Extreme 2
    14.04
    DEF7
    Detroit
    Det/9
    Expert 3
    14.05
    RB52
    Ronnie Brown
    Phi/7
    Consensus 2
    14.06
    DEF8
    New York Jets
    NYJ/8
    Mag Avg 1
    14.07
    DEF9
    Chicago
    Chi/8
    CBS Sportsline 1
    14.08
    DEF10
    Baltimore
    Bal/5
    FF Extreme 1
    14.09
    DEF11
    Dallas
    Dal/5
    MFL1
    14.10
    RB54
    Bernard Scott
    Cin/7
    Study Team
    14.11
    RB53
    Ryan Torain
    Was/5
    Consensus1
    14.12
    TE19
    Brent Celek
    Phi/7
    Expert 1
    15.01
    RB55
    Pierre Thomas
    NO/11
    Expert 1
    15.02
    TE20
    Tony Moeaki
    KC/6
    Consensus1
    15.03
    PK2
    Mason Crosby
    GB/8
    Study Team
    15.04
    QB28
    Colt McCoy
    Cle/5
    MFL1
    15.05
    QB29
    Rex Grossman
    Was/5
    FF Extreme 1
    15.06
    QB30
    Andy Dalton
    Cin/7
    CBS Sportsline 1
    15.07
    QB31
    David Garrard
    Jac/9
    Mag Avg 1
    15.08
    RB56
    Jerome Harrison
    Det/9
    Consensus 2
    15.09
    TE21
    Aaron Hernandez
    NE/7
    Expert 3
    15.10
    QB32
    Chad Henne
    Mia/5
    FF Extreme 2
    15.11
    QB33
    Blaine Gabbert
    Jac/9
    MFL2
    15.12
    QB34
    Tim Tebow
    Den/6
    Expert 4
    16.01
    QB35
    John Beck
    Was/5
    Expert 4
    16.02
    PK3
    Stephen Gostkowski
    NE/7
    MFL2
    16.03
    PK4
    Alex Henery
    Phi/7
    FF Extreme 2
    16.04
    PK5
    Shaun Suisham
    Pit/11
    Expert 3
    16.05
    PK6
    Dan Bailey
    Dal/5
    Consensus 2
    16.06
    PK7
    Garrett Hartley
    NO/11
    Mag Avg 1
    16.07
    PK8
    Sebastian Janikowski
    Oak/8
    CBS Sportsline 1
    16.08
    PK9
    Neil Rackers
    Hou/11
    FF Extreme 1
    16.09
    PK10
    Jason Hanson
    Det/9
    MFL1
    16.10
    DEF12
    Atlanta
    Atl/8
    Study Team
    16.11
    PK11
    Adam Vinatieri
    Ind/11
    Consensus1
    16.12
    PK12
    Billy Cundiff
    Bal/5
    Expert 1

    The Draft

    Round 1: QB Tom Brady

    What? A quarterback with the 3rd overall pick? You bet this is the right move in a league you can start two quarterbacks. Brady's value intensifies big time with this starting lineup option.

    Rounds 2/3: WR Andre Johnson / QB Matt Ryan

    This is not the direction I anticipated heading into this draft but no way can I leave the best fantasy receiver on the board with the 22nd overall pick. He gives me the top receiving option to go along with an elite starting quarterback and I feel like I am looking good heading into round three. Heading into the draft, I anticipated going quarterback with two of the first three picks. However I never expected to take a receiver in these slots. I look at the running backs available and the teams drafting around me and make a decision. I believe the majority of these teams will take at least one more quarterback in the next two picks so I should have decent RB prospects to choose from in the next round. I take a deep breath and select Matt Ryan with the pick. I believe he has top-six potential in 2011.

    Rounds 4/5: RB Shonn Greene / RB DeAngelo Williams

    I am very happy to pickup not one, but two fantasy capable starting running backs here. I cannot lie I am worried when not selecting a running back in the first few rounds but it definitely paid off and now this roster is looking killer. Sure this duo isn't an elite fantasy combo probably BUT it is solid and teamed with my first three picks, this squad is very strong.

    Rounds 6/7: WR Marques Colston / RB Jonathan Stewart

    With my selection of Colston here my starting lineup is coming together. Coming out with Brady, Ryan, Greene, Williams, Johnson and Colston is going to be the envy of the owners in this league. With my seventh round pick, I consider going Tim Hightower to give me a bye week option at running back. However I like the idea of handcuffing DeAngelo Williams to Jonathan Stewart here, guaranteeing touches most weeks. I still need to find a decent running back to use weeks eight and nine during bye weeks but feel confident I'll find something.

    Rounds 8/9: WR Chad Ochocinco / TE Jimmy Graham

    I fully expect to take another running back here but nothing leaps out as must draft. The closest thing to it is rookie RB Shane Vereen but I see better value getting an excellent tight end to start each week in Graham. Ochocinco is a swing for the fences player. If his head is screwed on straight, he'll help my team in bye weeks and maybe even supplant Colston as the WR2 for the squad. If he doesn't work out he could be a disaster but in round eight, that is a risk worth taking. I had been hopeful that LaDainian Tomlinson would be available to handcuff to Greene but it isn't meant to be.

    At just past the halfway point of the draft, our team looks like this...

    Quarterbacks

  • Tom Brady
  • Matt Ryan
  • Running Backs

  • Shonn Greene
  • DeAngelo Williams
  • Jonathan Stewart
  • Wide Receivers

  • Andre Johnson
  • Marques Colston
  • Chad Ochocinco
  • Tight Ends

  • Jimmy Graham
  • Place Kickers

  • none
  • Defenses

  • none
  • There are some questions that need answering in the rounds ahead but in terms of starting power in a fantasy league... WOW. Two excellent starting quarterbacks will put up tons of points most weeks, A trio of receivers capable of big fantasy output, a tight end on the verge of elite territory and decent running back starters in Greene and the Carolina duo. The only real concern here is the huge depth issue at running back that can bite this team during bye weeks. However I see some interesting backs to take a chance on and hopefully I will be able to draft a couple of them. Onto the 2nd half of the draft.

    Rounds 10-13: RB Delone Carter / WR Lee Evans / RB Willis McGahee / WR Jordy Nelson

    I am very happy here as the plan is coming together nicely. One of the backs I had my eye on earlier is Delone Carter and he has the ability to become the Colts starting running back by the mid point of the season when I need to fill bye weeks. I am happy to get him here. WR Lee Evans is a great fourth option at the position and he is capable of filling starting roles when needed. His only caveat really has been shaky consistency over the years but he is in a better offense now and may surprise. I take McGahee in the 12th round and he could emerge as a surprise starter in Denver. At worst, he'll get some touches and perhaps get a touchdown or two when I need it. Certainly he is worth taking in round 12. I am a bigger Jordy Nelson fan than most but really see him emerging as the WR2 in Green Bay this year which could result in close to 1000 receiving yards. Round thirteen of a draft is for targeting players with upside so swing for the fences with somebody you really like to exceed expectations.

    Rounds 14-16: RB Bernard Scott / K Mason Crosby / DEF Atlanta

    Managed to find one more running back I like the upside of in Scott, a great kicker in Crosby and a dependable team defense in the Falcons. Normally I would select two defenses in a fantasy squad but with only 16 available spots, I am better here to roll with one for now and perhaps pick up a second once the season begins. The Falcons do not have a bye week until week eight so I have some time to kill before needing a 2nd one.

    Final Roster

    Quarterbacks

  • Tom Brady
  • Matt Ryan
  • Running Backs

  • Shonn Greene
  • DeAngelo Williams
  • Jonathan Stewart
  • Delone Carter
  • Willis McGahee
  • Bernard Scott
  • Wide Receivers

  • Andre Johnson
  • Marques Colston
  • Chad Ochocinco
  • Lee Evans
  • Jordy Nelson
  • Tight Ends

  • Jimmy Graham
  • Place Kickers

  • Mason Crosby
  • Defenses

  • Atlanta Falcons
  • Final thoughts on this roster

    I love this squad. The pair of quarterbacks will start in every week but their bye week so my flex position is nailed other than week seven and eight. I have a great duo as my starting receiver in Johnson and Colston and if Ochocinco has his head in the game, he may emerge as a threat to start as well. Evans and Nelson provide great depth. My weakness without question is at running back. However where it matters the most, at RB1 and RB2, my starters are capable of putting up good production. If one of the depth guys I pegged with potential, performs well, I will be in good shape here. All in all, this team has the look of a very strong contender in 2011.

    Last thoughts on this draft

    This is an interesting league for sure as there are many paths you can take in building this team. I believe the best chance of success is to secure to top quarterbacks in the first three rounds and build your team around that. I think typically, the 3rd player selected will be a running back but if you have Andre Johnson staring you in the face in a PPR league there, you have to take him and not look back. With the foundation if place, the rest of the team will fall into place and you'll be very happy with how your draft works out. Try to target a great tight end but only if it is a value pick. Do not even think about a kicker or defense until the final two rounds of the draft in this league. Simply not worth it to go any earlier. Good luck and happy drafting.

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