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Player Points - Knowshon Moreno
By Chase Stuart
July 15th, 2010

How often does the top rookie running back in fantasy points per game end up having the best fantasy career of all the backs in his class? (Check out the Percy Harvin player point to see the career progression among rookie wide receivers.) Last year, Moreno led all rookie RBs with 184 fantasy points and an 11.5 FP/G average. That was the fewest FP/G by any top rookie since 1992, so maybe looking at historical results won't tell us too much.

Still, I checked every season since the 1987 strike and noted the top 10 rookies in FP/G (minimum 8 games) and all players from that draft class who ever had positive VBD in their career. Obviously the recent seasons are based on minimal data, although it seems like Chris Johnson, Adrian Peterson, MJD and Frank Gore are good bets to continue to lead their class in career VBD. From '88 to '08, the top rookie ended up becoming the top RB 11 out of 21 times -- Barry Sanders, Emmitt Smith, Jerome Bettis, Marshall Faulk, Curtis Martin, Eddie George, LaDainian Tomlinson and Clinton Portis, in addition to the four younger players listed above.

2009 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Knowshon Moreno
184
11.5
Knowshon Moreno
18
Chris Wells
142
8.9
LeSean McCoy
139
8.7
Donald Brown
69
6.2
Shonn Greene
66
4.7
Bernard Scott
41
3.2
Glen Coffee
42
3.0
Rashad Jennings
44
3.0
Aaron Brown
32
2.1
LaRod Stephens-Howling
21
1.3
2008 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Matt Forte
275
17.2
Chris Johnson
272
Steve Slaton
251
15.7
Matt Forte
138
Chris Johnson
230
15.4
Ray Rice
126
Kevin Smith
194
12.1
Steve Slaton
87
Jonathan Stewart
152
9.5
Jamaal Charles
44
Darren McFadden
117
9.0
Jonathan Stewart
37
Tim Hightower
141
8.8
Rashard Mendenhall
32
Peyton Hillis
95
7.9
Kevin Smith
30
BenJarvus Green-Ellis
63
7.0
Tim Hightower
17
Ray Rice
89
6.9
2007 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Adrian Peterson
248
17.7
Adrian Peterson
334
Marshawn Lynch
186
14.3
Ryan Grant
83
Selvin Young
120
8.0
Marshawn Lynch
78
Pierre Thomas
61
5.1
Fred Jackson
31
Kolby Smith
79
4.9
Pierre Thomas
26
Brandon Jackson
54
4.9
Le'Ron McClain
14
Brian Leonard
64
4.0
Ahmad Bradshaw
27
2.3
Garrett Wolfe
25
1.9
Antonio Pittman
17
1.5
2006 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Maurice Jones-Drew
251
15.7
Maurice Jones-Drew
335
Reggie Bush
221
13.8
Joseph Addai
193
Joseph Addai
209
13.0
DeAngelo Williams
158
Laurence Maroney
147
10.5
Reggie Bush
63
Mike Bell
142
9.4
LenDale White
26
DeAngelo Williams
110
8.5
Jerome Harrison
2
Leon Washington
129
8.0
Wali Lundy
109
7.8
Jerious Norwood
92
6.5
LenDale White
37
2.9
2005 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Samkon Gado
113
14.1
Frank Gore
326
Cadillac Williams
172
12.3
Marion Barber
133
Ronnie Brown
160
10.7
Brandon Jacobs
52
Marion Barber
104
8.0
Ronnie Brown
37
Frank Gore
99
7.1
Cedric Benson
15
J.J. Arrington
75
5.0
Cadillac Williams
12
Cedric Houston
53
4.4
Alvin Pearman
61
3.8
Vernand Morency
44
3.4
Brandon Jacobs
52
3.2
2004 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Julius Jones
143
17.9
Steven Jackson
393
Kevin Jones
181
12.1
Willie Parker
146
Steven Jackson
120
8.6
Michael Turner
115
Maurice Hicks
72
8.0
Earnest Graham
52
Mewelde Moore
75
7.5
Kevin Jones
38
Tatum Bell
68
4.9
Derrick Ward
9
Willie Parker
22
2.7
Julius Jones
9
Troy Fleming
42
2.6
Greg Jones
37
2.3
ReShard Lee
20
1.4
2003 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Dom (Davis) Williams
210
15.0
Larry Johnson
372
Onterrio Smith
108
7.2
Dom (Davis) Williams
216
Quentin Griffin
45
4.5
Willis McGahee
136
Arlen Harris
67
4.2
Chris Brown
13
Brock Forsey
36
4.0
LaBrandon Toefield
58
3.6
Justin Griffith
52
3.2
Chris Brown
32
2.9
Justin Fargas
22
2.2
Jeremi Johnson
32
2.0
2002 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Clinton Portis
306
19.1
Clinton Portis
602
James Mungro
96
10.7
Brian Westbrook
515
William Green
144
9.0
Chester Taylor
46
T.J. Duckett
85
7.8
Ladell Betts
42
Kenny Watson
107
6.7
Kenny Watson
27
Lamar Gordon
84
6.4
T.J. Duckett
10
Ladell Betts
58
5.3
DeShaun Foster
1
Jonathan Wells
80
5.0
John Simon
51
4.2
Najeh Davenport
30
3.8
2001 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
LaDainian Tomlinson
250
15.6
LaDainian Tomlinson
1406
Dominic Rhodes
204
13.6
Deuce McAllister
319
Anthony Thomas
189
13.5
Rudi Johnson
222
Travis Henry
126
9.7
Travis Henry
183
Michael Bennett
123
9.5
LaMont Jordan
100
Kevan Barlow
117
7.8
Dominic Rhodes
59
Jason Brookins
93
7.7
Anthony Thomas
45
James Jackson
77
7.0
Kevan Barlow
43
Correll Buckhalter
90
6.0
Michael Bennett
36
Travis Minor
87
5.4
Nick Goings
19
2000 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Mike Anderson
267
16.7
Shaun Alexander
761
Jamal Lewis
216
13.5
Jamal Lewis
362
Sammy Morris
115
9.6
Thomas Jones
280
Travis Prentice
137
8.6
Mike Anderson
136
Ron Dayne
110
6.9
Reuben Droughns
77
J.R. Redmond
81
6.8
Thomas Jones
86
6.2
Frank Moreau
42
3.8
Brad Hoover
54
3.4
Chad Morton
50
3.1
1999 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Edgerrin James
347
21.7
Edgerrin James
796
Olandis Gary
184
15.4
Ricky Williams
479
Ricky Williams
132
11.0
Olandis Gary
42
J.J. Johnson
97
7.5
Stacey Mack
31
Cecil Collins
60
7.5
Sedrick Irvin
73
5.2
Kevin Faulk
51
4.6
Michael Basnight
56
4.3
Rob Konrad
50
3.3
De'Mond Parker
34
3.1
1998 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Fred Taylor
288
19.2
Ahman Green
618
Robert Edwards
234
14.6
Fred Taylor
449
Skip Hicks
96
10.6
Michael Pittman
118
Curtis Enis
55
6.1
Robert Edwards
95
John Avery
80
5.0
Curtis Enis
36
Brandon Bennett
56
4.0
Jonathan Linton
1
Robert Holcombe
41
3.2
Chris Fuamatu-Ma'afala
34
2.8
Jon Ritchie
39
2.6
Jonathan Linton
27
1.9
1997 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Corey Dillon
212
13.3
Tiki Barber
754
Warrick Dunn
206
12.8
Priest Holmes
739
Antowain Smith
164
10.2
Corey Dillon
451
Tiki Barber
122
10.2
Warrick Dunn
298
Fred Lane
130
10.0
Duce Staley
228
Jay Graham
53
4.1
Antowain Smith
121
Darnell Autry
48
3.7
George Jones
53
3.3
Leon Johnson
48
3.0
Byron Hanspard
48
3.0
1996 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Eddie George
215
13.4
Eddie George
561
Karim Abdul-Jabbar
203
12.7
Stephen Davis
316
Mike Alstott
162
10.1
Karim Abdul-Jabbar
154
Lawrence Phillips
100
6.7
Mike Alstott
129
Jerris McPhail
41
4.6
Moe Williams
70
Stanley Pritchett
67
4.2
Richard Huntley
1
Ricky Whittle
34
3.4
Leeland McElroy
49
3.1
Winslow Oliver
40
2.5
Stephen Davis
26
2.2
1995 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Curtis Martin
280
17.5
Curtis Martin
921
Terrell Davis
221
15.8
Terrell Davis
620
Rodney Thomas
177
11.0
James Stewart
149
Rashaan Salaam
177
11.0
Napoleon Kaufman
89
Darick Holmes
127
8.0
Tyrone Wheatley
56
James Stewart
100
7.1
Rodney Thomas
23
Napoleon Kaufman
66
4.1
Rashaan Salaam
23
Jerry Ellison
60
3.7
Tyrone Wheatley
48
3.7
Ray Zellars
35
2.9
1994 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Marshall Faulk
278
17.4
Marshall Faulk
1338
Bam Morris
157
10.5
Charlie Garner
360
Errict Rhett
166
10.4
Jamal Anderson
335
Mario Bates
104
9.5
Dorsey Levens
259
Charlie Garner
69
6.9
Lamar Smith
103
Raymont Harris
96
6.0
Errict Rhett
79
William Floyd
91
5.7
Raymont Harris
50
Greg Hill
81
5.0
Bam Morris
5
Irving Spikes
47
3.9
Mario Bates
4
Mack Strong
25
3.2
1993 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Jerome Bettis
222
13.9
Jerome Bettis
375
Terry Kirby
200
12.5
Garrison Hearst
255
Ronald Moore
159
9.9
Robert Smith
213
Reggie Brooks
153
9.6
Terry Kirby
151
Derek D. Brown
116
8.9
Adrian Murrell
147
Natrone Means
123
7.7
Natrone Means
103
Robert Smith
75
7.5
Ronald Moore
24
Greg Robinson
87
7.2
Reggie Brooks
18
Roosevelt Potts
103
6.4
Glyn Milburn
90
5.6
1992 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Rodney Culver
120
7.5
Edgar Bennett
204
Vaughn Dunbar
85
5.3
Bernie Parmalee
67
Amp Lee
80
5.0
Amp Lee
1
Anthony McDowell
59
5.0
Tommy Vardell
56
4.0
Tony Smith
47
3.4
Edgar Bennett
37
2.3
Kevin Turner
25
1.5
Sam Gash
7
0.4
Bernie Parmalee
4
0.4
1993 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Leonard Russell
137
8.6
Ricky Watters
900
Ricky Ervins
118
7.9
Harvey Williams
133
Fred McAfee
63
7.0
Leonard Russell
59
Nick Bell
58
6.4
Gary Brown
55
Harvey Williams
85
6.1
Erric Pegram
48
James Joseph
73
4.6
Leroy Thompson
4
Greg Lewis
64
4.0
Robert E. Wilson
52
3.3
Jon Vaughn
46
2.9
Erric Pegram
41
2.6
1990 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Emmitt Smith
195
12.2
Emmitt Smith
1377
Johnny Johnson
157
11.2
Terry Allen
436
Rodney Hampton
113
7.5
Chris Warren
316
Steve Broussard
97
7.5
Rodney Hampton
277
Blair Thomas
104
7.0
Barry Foster
185
Reggie Cobb
109
6.8
Larry Centers
149
Dexter Carter
86
5.4
Johnny Johnson
120
Harold Green
62
5.2
Derek Loville
107
Anthony Thompson
65
5.0
Leroy Hoard
83
Richard Bell
28
3.4
Reggie Cobb
70
1989 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Barry Sanders
271
18.1
Barry Sanders
1251
Eric Metcalf
197
12.3
Eric Metcalf
226
Bobby Humphrey
196
12.2
Cleveland Gary
171
Sammie Smith
114
8.7
Bobby Humphrey
131
Marion Butts
128
8.5
Derrick Fenner
68
Tim Worley
126
8.4
Marion Butts
62
Keith L. Jones
116
8.3
Sammie Smith
26
Dave Meggett
106
6.6
Lewis Tillman
15
Todd McNair
72
5.2
Brad Baxter
14
Eric Ball
65
4.3
Vince Workman
13
1993 Rookie Class
Sorted By Rookie FP/G
FPs
FP/G
Sorted By Career VBD
CarVBD
Ickey Woods
227
14.2
Thurman Thomas
916
John Stephens
158
9.9
Lorenzo White
204
Thurman Thomas
130
8.7
Robert Delpino
81
Lars Tate
100
6.6
Craig Heyward
80
Keith Woodside
104
6.5
Ickey Woods
72
Craig Heyward
59
5.3
Brad Muster
41
Robert Delpino
73
4.9
Mark Higgs
28
William Howard
66
4.4
John Stephens
27
Tony Jordan
38
4.3
Craig McEwen
20
Warren Williams
59
3.9
Gaston Green
5

Questions, suggestions and comments are always welcome to stuart@footballguys.com.

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