Projections Tweaks
By David Dodds
Updated August 16th, 2010

I made a lot of changes to my projections since August 11th. I have listed all of the tweaks that changed fantasy points +/- 6 points below:

pos Player Team FP_New FP_Old Diff Comment
QB Charlie Whitehurst Sea 46.2 31.3 14.9 Matt Hasselbeck looking awful while rookie shines
QB Michael Vick Phi 48.9 38.2 10.7 Too skilled to leave off the field
QB Eli Manning NYG 266.9 272.9 -6.1 Overstated passing attempts and TDs
QB Matt Leinart Ari 212.5 219.5 -7.0 Looking over-matched right now
QB Joe Flacco Bal 260.1 267.3 -7.2 Deeper look at team philosophy
QB Tom Brady NE 302.5 310.6 -8.1 Team should run a bit more than originally thought
QB Brett Favre Min 251.8 261.0 -9.2 Still not practicing with team
QB Carson Palmer Cin 253.4 264.9 -11.5 Arm strength still an issue
QB Kevin Kolb Phi 269.9 283.8 -13.9 Lessened numbers due to risk factors
QB Matt Hasselbeck Sea 207.1 225.5 -18.4 Outplayed by Charlie Whitehurst
RB Sammy Morris NE 83.2 44.5 38.7 Having a good camp
RB Arian Foster Hou 142.3 104.4 37.9 Vaulted into starting role with injury to Tate
RB Bernard Scott Cin 81.8 54.6 27.3 Bigger role in offense
RB C.J. Spiller Buf 156.1 132.8 23.4 Fred Jackson and Marshawn Lynch injuries
RB PJ Hill NO 22.6 0.0 22.6 Lynell Hamilton injury creates opportunity here
RB Deangelo Williams Car 198.7 181.4 17.3 Talented runner holding off injured Stewart for now
RB Ahmad Bradshaw NYG 158.2 142.9 15.3 Talent rising to the top of the depth chart
RB Frank Gore SF 230.2 215.0 15.2 Glen Coffee retirement adds a few more carries here.
RB Steve Slaton Hou 121.2 106.2 14.9 Ben Tate injury gives him increased looks
RB Matt Forte Chi 134.3 121.3 13.0 Holding off Chester Taylor for now
RB Thomas Jones KC 109.1 98.0 11.1 Will have a bigger role than originally thought
RB Darren McFadden Oak 112.4 102.3 10.1 Looks to be more involved in the passing game.
RB Larry Johnson Was 86.9 77.2 9.7 Impressive camp earns him RB2 slot
RB Ryan Mathews SD 195.0 185.6 9.3 Has been everything the team hoped for. Big role in 2010
RB Correll Buckhalter Den 131.2 122.4 8.8 Knowshon Moreno injury is Buckhalter's gain
RB Ronnie Brown Mia 160.3 152.2 8.1 Completely healthy
RB Pierre Thomas NO 176.3 168.8 7.5 Lynell Hamilton injury should increase Thomas workload.
RB Brandon Jacobs NYG 139.5 145.8 -6.3 Ahmad Bradshaw emerging as RB1
RB Willis McGahee Bal 93.3 100.0 -6.7 Ray Rice looking great
RB Mike Hart Ind 9.6 16.3 -6.7 Minimal role
RB Toby Gerhart Min 69.5 77.0 -7.5 Smaller role in the AP show
RB Ricky Williams Mia 136.0 145.6 -9.6 Ronnie Brown healthy again
RB Darren Sproles SD 114.4 128.5 -14.1 Bigger role for Ryan Mathews
RB Brian Leonard Cin 23.5 39.9 -16.4 Injured left foot
RB Jonathan Stewart Car 162.7 179.7 -17.0 Almost healthy. Closer look at 2009 warrants Williams higher
RB Brian Westbrook FA 25.5 42.7 -17.2 Still unsigned
RB Fred Jackson Buf 111.4 140.4 -29.0 Out 4 to 6 weeks
RB Glen Coffee SF 0.0 29.3 -29.3 Sudden retirement
RB Fred Taylor NE 17.3 68.4 -51.1 Aging vet is in danger of losing roster spot
RB Lynell Hamilton NO 0.0 66.5 -66.5 Waived because of inury
RB Ben Tate Hou 0.0 69.1 -69.1 Scheduled to go on IR
TE Jermaine Gresham Cin 53.0 39.8 13.2 Locked down TE1 job with solid camp
TE Evan Moore Cle 21.3 9.2 12.1 Impressive camp will get him a small role
TE Ed Dickson Bal 10.8 0.0 10.8 Minimal role
TE Brent Celek Phi 124.6 114.5 10.1 Convinved he will have a huge role with inexperienced QB
TE Jeff King Car 12.0 18.9 -6.9 Minimal role
TE Owen Daniels Hou 86.7 94.8 -8.1 Setback with knee
TE Fendi Onobun StL 12.4 20.4 -8.1 Minimal role
TE Desmond Clark Chi 15.3 26.0 -10.7 Minimal role
TE Dennis Pitta Bal 4.8 16.5 -11.7 Minimal role
WR Mike Williams Sea 58.8 0.0 58.8 Impressive in camp. Big Mike could surprise in 2010
WR Joey Galloway Was 45.5 10.4 35.1 Running with first team
WR Dez Bryant Dal 116.8 96.2 20.6 Out of walking boot and wanting to play soon.
WR Pierre Garcon Ind 102.3 82.4 19.9 Holding off Gonzalez for WR2 job
WR Harry Douglas Atl 107.2 88.1 19.1 Clear path to WR2 job due to Jenkins injury
WR Johnny Knox Chi 119.4 100.4 19.0 Emerging as WR1 in the Martz offense
WR Jordan Shipley Cin 39.1 21.9 17.2 Solid camp should get him looks
WR Santana Moss Was 138.2 122.7 15.5 No true WR2 emerging. He should have a big role.
WR Robert Meachem NO 108.6 93.3 15.4 Expected to be off PUP soon
WR Laurent Robinson Stl 90.0 76.5 13.5 Emerging with Avery. Schedule will help
WR Chaz Schilens Oak 81.2 68.8 12.4 Likely WR1 in bad passing offense
WR Ted Ginn SF 35.5 23.2 12.3 Emerging as WR3
WR Hakeem Nicks NYG 151.8 141.2 10.6 Emerging as WR1. Could be elite.
WR Calvin Johnson Det 166.8 157.1 9.7 Too talented to hold back. Offense looks way better
WR Jacoby Jones Hou 97.6 88.8 8.8 Ahead of Kevin Walter currently for WR2
WR Kevin Ogletree Dal 16.4 7.7 8.7 Minimal role
WR Legedu Naanee SD 79.5 70.8 8.7 Benefits from Vincent Jackson holdout
WR Andre Caldwell Cin 23.1 15.6 7.5 Matt Jones looking like odd man out
WR Percy Harvin Min 139.5 132.4 7.2 Rice still down
WR Brian Hartline Mia 78.2 71.5 6.7 Making a case for increased playing time
WR Brandon LaFell Car 69.1 62.5 6.6 Looking like he could emerge as WR2
WR Donnie Avery StL 95.9 89.8 6.1 Running with the first team
WR Larry Fitzgerald Ari 178.0 184.2 -6.2 Sprained MCL
WR Kelly Washington Phi 13.1 19.3 -6.2 Minimal role
WR Demaryius Thomas Den 65.9 72.6 -6.7 Raw rookie at least a year away
WR Steve Smith NYG 123.6 130.4 -6.8 Hicks emergence will push TDs lower
WR DeSean Jackson Phi 149.2 156.5 -7.3 Overstated before. Lowered targets and completions
WR Vincent Jackson SD 87.4 95.3 -7.8 Running low on options
WR Damian Williams Ten 21.7 30.2 -8.5 Minimal role
WR Johnny Lee Higgins Oak 15.8 24.4 -8.5 Minimal role
WR Brian Robiskie Cle 62.8 71.3 -8.5 WR2 but on an awful offense
WR Antonio Bryant Cin 47.6 56.3 -8.6 Still out with bum knee
WR Chad Ochocinco Cin 155.0 163.8 -8.8 Overstated before. Lowered targets and completions
WR Mardy Gilyard StL 12.0 21.5 -9.5 Minimal role
WR Louis Murphy Oak 54.0 64.0 -10.0 WR3 in a bad offense
WR Juaquin Iglesias Chi 7.3 18.0 -10.7 Minimal role
WR Kevin Walter Hou 66.9 77.7 -10.8 Losing WR2 job to Jacoby Jones
WR Roy Williams Dal 65.6 77.0 -11.4 Dez Bryant early return lowers his worth
WR Ben Obomanu Sea 0.0 11.8 -11.8 Unlikely to make final roster
WR Anthony Gonzalez Ind 68.7 81.2 -12.5 Behind garcon for WR2 jib in elite offense.
WR Austin Collie Ind 56.4 70.8 -14.4 Garcon looking to secure WR2 spot
WR Jason Hill SF 24.0 39.6 -15.6 Ted Ginn beating him for WR3 job
WR Michael Jenkins Atl 35.8 51.8 -16.0 Injury opens door for Harry Douglas
WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh Sea 101.2 119.1 -17.9 Big Mike and others getting looks
WR Plaxico Burress FA 30.5 48.8 -18.3 Will be out of jail soon but on downside of career
WR Golden Tate Sea 59.8 78.8 -19.0 Emergence of Big Mike Williams limits his upside
WR Devin Thomas Was 82.2 105.1 -22.9 Veteran Joey Galloway holding him off currently
WR Matt Jones Cin 0.0 24.3 -24.3 Looks like odd man out
WR Torry Holt NE 0.0 25.2 -25.2 Placed on Injury Reserve
WR Malcolm Kelly Was 7.7 50.7 -43.0 Sliding fast on the depth charts


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