Every season, there are players that perform above expectations. Some of them far exceed their draft position, and those are the players the propel good fantasy teams into championship seasons. We asked the Footballguys.com staff to pick their 2010 Breakout Players, and here are their wide receivers:
Jene Bramel
Michael Crabtree, SF - I think Johnny Knox, Jeremy Maclin and Pierre Garcon are also strong picks here, but I'm going with Crabtree. Without being present for the installation of the offense due to a holdout and a foot injury, Crabtree managed 63 targets and 458 yards over his last eight games with Alex Smith at quarterback. With Vernon Davis and Frank Gore also attracting attention and what should be an improved offensive line, Crabtree could see 140 targets. With his talent, 130-140 targets put WR1 numbers easily within reach.
David Dodds
Malcom Floyd - You know why the Chargers aren't panicking about not having Vincent Jackson? It's because Floyd is ready to take his game to another level this season. You know some WR on the Chargers will, as Rivers always seems to get his no matter how bad the receivers are. Floyd is a big target and has already shown he can be a monster in the redzone. Add opportunity, a strong work ethic and a super accurate QB and everything is in place for Floyd to take his game up several notches.
Colin Dowling
Johnny Knox, Chi - I'm not entirely sold on any of the Bears receivers. It has been a while since the Mike Martz offense was well-run by any team. But in the event that Jay Cutler truly is picking up the offense as well as has been reported, then one of the Bears receivers is going to have a tremendous season. Knox has good hands, good speed, and runs good routes. While Devin Hester may be more of a big play threat, I think Knox will finish the season with better total numbers and will threaten a top-12 finish.
Clayton Gray
Michael Crabtree, SF - A year from now, Michael Crabtree will be a consensus Top 10 fantasy wide receiver. The guy is ultra talented and will shine in 2010 after a real offseason of conditioning and improvement. Don't forget that his 2009 campaign of 48 catches for 625 came after missing six weeks with a holdout, which came after missing all of the preseason training camp and games (again, due to the holdout), which preceded a missed offseason due to a foot injury. All things considered, for Crabtree to even see meaningful action last year is amazing.
Jeff Haseley
Santana Moss, WAS - I'm going out on the limb here, but I strongly believe a WR from Washington will emerge as a legit WR1 for your fantasy roster this year. Donovan McNabb and HC Mike Shanahan have too good of a track record to come up lame in this facet of the offense. Would I be surprised if third year pro Devin Thomas is the one who emerges out of the group? No, but right now I am not seeing what I wanted to see from Thomas that would put him in that position. Could it happen? Yes, but the better money is on veteran WR Santana Moss. Moss hasn't had a Top 5 season (or Top 10 season, for that matter) since 2005. In the same breath though, he hasn't had a QB the caliber of McNabb in that time either. Moss has 258 targets in the last two years. He leads the team, by far and now has a chance to play the dominant role with a Pro Bowl level QB. If you look at the team, the other WRs are few and far between. There's Devin Thomas and then a bunch of re-treads, has-beens and never-weres. The odds that Santana Moss, a veteran and experienced WR, leads the team in targets and receptions are very high. The Redskins are all learning a new offense under Shanahan. Who will pick it up the fastest? The ones with the most experience - and that's Moss and Joey Galloway. Galloway's experience is keeping him in the lineup, but just barely. Eventually, he'll fade out of the picture, which will leave Moss as the one McNabb will turn to. Don't be surprised to see him start in the Top 20 and slowly rise as the season progresses.
Jeff Pasquino
Johnny Knox, Chi - When you combine a pass-happy offensive coordinator and a quarterback who never saw a pass that he did not think he could make, the ceiling is high for all the members of that offense, particularly the receivers. Enter Mike Martz to Chicago this season. Jay Cutler is the quarterback in question (no, not Brett Favre, although he fits that mold) and the only questions that remain are who will be the favorite targets. All the rest has already been answered - the Bears will throw a ton this season. Cutler and Martz have both said that interceptions will be higher than most teams this year because they will throw often and not shy away from throwing into coverage. Adding Chester Taylor to the mix only foreshadows more throws for Cutler. Devin Hester leads an interesting group of wideouts back in Chicago this season, but by all accounts it is not either Devin (Hester or Aromashodu) that is catching Cutler's eye - it is Johnny Knox. Do not be surprised if he is the most targeted Bear by season's end and his stat lines are also atop all of Chicago's lists.
Chris Smith
Hakeem Nicks, NYG - I currently have him ranked 11th at the receiver position and he is certainly capable of leaping into the top-five at the position. Big, strong and talented, he began to emerge last season and may kick the door down in 2010.
Jeff Tefertiller
Pierre Garcon, Ind - Pierre Garcon emerged last season to become a viable threat opposite Reggie Wayne. He is now cemented in the role. The Colt passing game needed another wideout to step up and Garcon did. it took him time to develop after playing college ball at tiny Mt. Union. He is definitely a player on the rise. Peyton Manning will find the open receiver. He is so efficient. Garcon enjoys getting the single coverage, with the defenses occupied with Wayne and Dallas Clark. Improvement should be expected.
Matt Waldman
Jacoby Jones, Hou - One of those players with great physical talent, but he has been mentally and emotionally out of his depth to perform to his potential. According to the Texans staff, Jones has finally figured out how to approach the game like a professional and he's virtually even with incumbent No. 2 WR Kevin Walter for the starting job opposite Andre Johnson. Jones has acrobatic talent as a receiver and electric skills as a runner. Even if he doesn't unseat Kevin Walter for the starting job, I have few doubts that he'll be more productive than several No. 2 WRs on other teams around the league. If he wins the job outright, he could be a 1000-yard, 7-score receiver with teams preoccupied with the best receiver in the league on the other side of him.
Mark Wimer
Calvin Johnson, Det - Johnson's productivity declined during 2009 - Matthew Stafford's first season at the helm - but the team made a LOT of quality off-season acquisitions (WR Nate Burleson, TE Tony Scheffler, drafted rookie RB Jahvid Best) for the offense. Johnson should benefit from the presence of many more legitimate NFL threats on the field with him this year. I expect him to shake off coverage with more ease this season as he gets less attention from opposing defensive coordinators, and also see more quality passes from Stafford. He could challenge for the top fantasy WR in the land when this season is over.
Jason Wood
Johnny Knox, Chi - This position is ripe with breakout players at all levels this year. I could talk about Hakeem Nicks in the early rounds as a possible Top 15 guy. I could throw out Mike Thomas or Brian Robiskie as late round fliers who could end up in your starting lineups. But instead I'll nominate Johnny Knox. The Bears 2nd rounder has run with the 1st team all preseason and looked great doing so. He's got a complete game; including route discipline that's so vital in OC Mike Martz' system. He and Devin Hester should be values this year, but Knox has the upside to be special.

