The Weekly Gut Check - 2009 Rookie Re-dux

Posted 9/8 by Matt Waldman, Exclusive for Footballguys.com

The Weekly Gut Check examines the players, strategies and guidelines fantasy football owners use to make personnel decisions.

Second Thoughts on '09 Rookie Impact

The Turk is making his final rounds through NFL team locker rooms and my friend Will Blackmon suggested I do an update on rookies to help redraft owners get a sense of who might make an impact in this class and dynasty league owners who have decisions to make for their taxi squads. Most of this will be a quick review of players with insights based on the preseason. More in-depth information about these players is available in the 2009 Rookie Scouting Portfolio and my rookie impact articles from this spring.

Fantasy Relevant in 2009

For more detailed analysis about their skills see my impact articles on rookie QBs, RBs, WRs, and TEs.

Mid-Rounds

RB Knowshon Moreno, Broncos: I have gone up and down on Moreno in August due to his knee injury. However, I think he'll be ready to contribute right away and based on what I've see of the Broncos runners, I think Moreno is the best back they have - by far. Even on three attempts, he looked like a different caliber player than Buckhalter, Hillis, and Jordan.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: I think Moreno will carry this team the way Cadillac Williams did his rookie year. The Broncos are a disaster this year and I think by October, we'll see that the most effective plays will involve Moreno running behind Ryan Clady or catching passes in the flat.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Unchanged and probably will increase by December.

WR Percy Harvin, Vikings: We haven't seen much of Harvin in the preseason, but based on his performance against the Texans, I think Brett Favre won't shy away from him. Sure, Harvin dropped an easy touchdown, but he also made a nice catch and run away from two players sandwiching him in the middle of the field. I think Brad Childress has intimated that there's a lot in the playbook for Harvin that we haven't seen yet.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: Harvin still looks like a player that I think we can expect 50 catches and 40 rushing attempts this year. That makes him a worthwhile mid-round pick.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: See above on Moreno. I think he's a future stud.

RB Donald Brown, Colts: Joseph Addai has been decent, but Brown has displayed that extra gear in preseason games that we expected from him when drafted by Indy in April. He is too good not to see at least 7-10 touches per game right now and I think that number grows as the season progresses.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: Unchanged. The Colts RB I would rather draft in the mid-rounds although I'm getting him as a high-priced backup/RBBC contributor.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: See above.

RB Chris Wells, Cardinals: The lower leg issues concern me and the fact he's trying to play through them is a mixed blessing. The speed, power, and reasonably good vision are there. The guarantee he see significant opportunities is not.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: With Warner's hip still limiting him, I can see how the Cards could be one of those 2008 Dr. Jekyll - 2009 Run and Hyde offenses. This makes Wells the boom-bust pick many have labeled him. If everything comes together with Arizona needing a more balanced offense and Wells healthy enough to go, his immediate value could leapfrog the first three players on this list.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: A little more boom-bust, but he is still in the class of the first three players above.

Late Rounds

WR Hakeem Nicks, Giants: My top impact receiver this spring took a dip this summer due to injuries and a slow start in training camp. However, he has dominated second- and third-string competition for the past two weeks of preseason games and as likely guaranteed himself spot-time in the starting rotation.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: I think Steve Smith is the only lock to remain a starter on the Giants depth chart. If Nicks proves he's a fast learner, he could be a big-time stretch player along the lines of a Chris Chambers or Marques Colston in their rookie seasons. I believe he is worth a draft pick in the late rounds.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: I think Nicks is a future stud. If he opened the season as a starter, he would leapfrog Percy Harvin in value. Since he's a receiver, RB Chris Wells gets slightly better value because of his position.

RB James Davis, Browns: This spring, my upside for Davis was as a two-down back if he plays well enough to warrant opportunities in the starting lineup. The rookie from Clemson has shown enough pass protection skills and between the tackles talent to be a two-down back as his 2009 starting point.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: Davis is a certifiable, late-round pick as a handcuff to Jamal Lewis, or more likely to opportunistic drafters, similar to how people are drafting Donald Brown over Joseph Addai - just later on. I'm still not very optimistic about the Browns offense, so the opportunities might be there but I'd rather have an Edgerrin James or Chris Brown.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: It's looking pretty good for Davis right now. He appeared to erase any talk of Jerome Harrison with just one training camp. If he performs well this year, he's likely to begin 2010 as the starter.

RB LeSean McCoy, Eagles: He excited the beat writers early in training camp because he picked up the system quickly, and fantasy writers followed suit. Since he's proven he can pass protect and remember the plays and adjustments adequately, he's a clear-cut handcuff to Brian Westbrook this year.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: I believe he's a slightly over valued mid-round pick, but if Westbrook goes down, McCoy is arguably the best weapon the Donovan McNabb and the Eagles have after DeSean Jackson. I just happen to believe Westbrook has 1-2 excellent years left in him. Leaning more toward one, but that's enough.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: McCoy has more value than Davis in dynasty leagues because of his situation and breakaway skill.

TE Jared Cook, Titans: I've talked about Cook at length in recent columns. He has looked good enough to earn more looks with the first-team guys.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: He'll split time with Scaife and Crumpler, but he has some boom-bust potential to be used more like a receiver in the slot or split outside in this offense. He's worth a late-round pick because if this happens, he'll easily be a top-10 TE.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Crumpler is near the end of his career and has stated he's content to be more of a blocker than a receiver. Scaife is decent, but has nowhere near the upside of Cook. I'm not sure I would want Cook more than Matt Stafford, but I would take him over Jeremy Maclin and possibly Mark Sanchez.

RB Mike Goodson, Carolina: Speed, agility, hands, and toughness. What's not to like? He's been a popular training camp darling because Jonathan Stewart has been nursing injuries all summer and he has clearly proven he can be a factor against first-team players.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: With Stewart claiming he's ready to go, I'm slightly bumping down Goodson, but he's still worth a pick. I'm not convince Stewart is as ready as he says nor do we know if he's in playing shape, which makes him more susceptible to injury. Goodson has a decent shot to be the complement to DeAngelo Williams
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: The rookie has a lot better prospects than I originally thought. Not because of his talent, but where he landed. He's a borderline practice squad player depending how rich you are with active roster guys.

RB Shonn Greene Jets: What you see is what you get with Greene. He has been powerful, and adequate in the screen game as a receiver. His pass blocking still needs improvement and don't expect him to supplant Leon Washington or Thomas Jones as a receiver on swing or flat passes.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: Thomas Jones is still a much better player than Greene at this stage. However, Greene is good enough to draft late because he'll be an adequate injury substitute should the situation arise.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Greene could be as good, if not better than Jones ever was. He just needs to continue working at his game. Unless you stacked at RB, he belongs on your active roster.

WR Jeremy Maclin, Eagles: Maclin hasn't shown anything that I consider eye-popping, but he has won an opportunity to contribute early based on attrition. Kevin Curtis' knee is acting up, Cornelius Ingram won't be seeing slot-time as a move-TE since he re-tore his ACL, Reggie Brown is well, Reggie Brown, and Hank Baskett and Jason Avant are career backups.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: He's a late-round pick because Donovan McNabb claims Maclin can start now and there's really no one else. The big-play ability is there and I do like the toughness he has flashed early on. McNabb's skill is the greatest reason he's even draft worthy. He's a reserve player with upside.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: The upside is definitely there and with some good games this year, he might make good trade bait.

QB Mark Sanchez, Jets: He's the undisputed starter in Gotham City, outplaying Kellen Clemens as the preseason progressed. With a strong running game, quality offensive line, and up and coming defense, Sanchez has a chance to have some quality fantasy efforts during the year. I was impressed with his ability to shake off mistakes without getting too flustered and he demonstrated some ability to play cat and mouse with defensive backs. I have always liked his quickness in the pocket, but I don't believe he moves as efficiently as his peer Matthew Stafford. My greatest concern about Sanchez this year is his ability to deal with pressure up the middle. I believe this is where he will be most vulnerable to make big mistakes. I also believe this is the type of pressure that flusters him most and if he's not careful, he's going to get a chest-full of defender that could force him to the training room.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: He's still a borderline fantasy back up in most leagues, but he has a chance to be more consistent as the season progresses and the Jets hit on all cylinders.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Sanchez is a must-have player who should at least grace your practice squad and has decent trade value due to his future potential, but his value is still too low to maximize the potential return from him in a year or two. He also needs more than Jerricho Cotchery and Dustin Keller to be a great fantasy QB.

QB Matt Stafford, Lions: Although the competition between Stafford and Daunte Culpepper is still too close to call, it appears the beat writers are calling for the rookie to take the helm from the opener. Stafford has wowed the scribes with his patented arm strength and aggressive tendencies as a downfield passer. Although it could be argued Stafford has made more mistakes than Mark Sanchez during the preseason, he also hasn't played with his starting receiving corps, and his coach Jim Schwartz has commented that some of these errors were the responsibility of the rookie's teammates. I also believe Culpepper hasn't looked this good since he was still a Minnesota Viking and if Sanchez where in Detroit we probably would see a similarly equal outcome of this training camp duel.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: I think Stafford is more likely to get pulled from a game than Sanchez because Daunte Culpepper gives Detroit a better chance to win than Kellen Clemens does for New York. It's also still possible that Culpepper could win the job. If Stafford does win the starting job or take over, he could be a decent waiver wire pick in leagues that don't penalize for interceptions. Stafford has the tendency to make the bone-headed throw or overthrow his teammates with just enough zip that there is a greater likelihood for tipped passes that turn into interceptions. However, what I love about Stafford's game is that he trusts his receivers and he has the ultimate big-play threat in Calvin Johnson to trust in this regard. I think he's liable to have 2-3 strong games. However, predicting when they will come is too dicey at this point.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: This is where I believe Stafford leapfrogs Sanchez as long as Calvin Johnson and Kevin Smith are healthy Lions. Stafford is more mobile than Sanchez and is more proven under pressure. Still, his greatest value is still ahead of him.

Redraft Waiver Wire Specials/Dynasty Practice Squad Projects

Glenn Coffee, 49ers: A big-program RB with smarts and good between the tackles instincts. He has been a preseason star.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: The handcuff to Gore and worth a late pick based on this fact.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: I think Coffee is a little overrated, but I'm sure a lot of people thought 15 years ago that a not-so-fast, tough-between-the-tackles runner with good instincts from Georgia was nothing worth considering, either. Coffee might be a little like Terrell Davis. I'm not convinced, but he's in a situation to consider him.

Bernard Scott, Bengals: Scott has quietly earned the No. 2 spot on the depth chart as a rookie. Marvin Lewis talks about Scott cautiously, saying that he has a lot to learn. However, Scott has terrific burst, good hands, and excellent instincts.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: He's a late pick at best, especially if you have Cedric Benson in a deep league. If not, he's a sneaky good pick off the waiver wire in most leagues. Just remember that Cincinnati opted to keep four runners, which should tell you they aren't completely sold on Scott handling all aspects of the job as a rookie.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Another no-brainer addition to your practice squad.

Deon Butler, Seahawks: Butler has impressed enough with his quickness, hands, and skill over the middle to have Twitter Scribes wondering if Deion Branch was on his way out. Although they were wrong, Butler has the look of a future contributor that could arrive sooner than later.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: With Burleson and Branch's balky knees, Butler is a first off the board, free agent with the savvy and talent to leapfrog if he starts. He'll see time this year even with both WRs healthy, but he'll be waiver wire fool's gold until one of the guys ahead of him gets hurt.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: His prospects got a strong boost with his play this offseason. I think he has the looks of a future starter. He's a borderline depth chart reserve/practice squad player depending on the size of your dynasty league.

Kenny Britt, Titans: Britt has gotten deep and made some nice plays over the middle against reserves in the second half of the August games. It's nothing to get too excited about, because the Titans were working out other receivers as recently as last Thursday. I also believe Jared Cook will see more opportunities as the move TE than Britt might see as the No. 2 WR.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: He's a waiver wire guy with upside this year if he can demonstrate improved skill at catching the ball away from his body as the season progresses or grows hands out of his chest if he doesn't.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: If you like your WRs athletic and can tolerate deficiencies as route runners and body catchers because you believe they can be corrected, then put Britt just above Deon Butler. He's definitely a player to roster.

Darrius Heyward-Bey, Raiders: Simply put, the guy can't hold onto the football. His drops have decreased in frequency throughout the summer but not enough to be confident in his play even as a starter. I'd rather take my chances with Javon Walker and Johnnie Lee Higgins if I were on the Raiders coaching staff. Then again if I were, I better be well versed in boxing or mixed martial arts before I assert my point of view.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: Because he is slated to start, he'll get three to five targets per game and at least 1-2 on deep routes that he'll probably drop 50 to 60 percent of the time. I believe if any other team drafted him, he'd be given a year to learn before he saw the field with any consistency.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Until Al Davis is no longer the owner of the Raiders I'm not as optimistic about any player they develop. He is has potential to be one of the best receivers in this class but he'll need to show the maturity and work ethic to seek out assistance on his own and I'll need to see it to believe it.

Austin Collie, Colts: I love watching this guy play because his work ethic shows up on the field. His roués are good for a rookie and his hands are topnotch. Peyton Manning has raved about him in camp.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: I wouldn't draft him, but all it will take is for Wayne, Gonzalez, or Clark to get hurt for Collie to be a decent fantasy reserve with bye week potential.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: I liked Gonzalez as a prospect, but I might like Collie better. I would definitely keep him on your practice squad.

Sammie Stroughter, Buccaneers: Tampa believes Stroughter was a steal for them and I agree. He's been a good blocker, an adequate return specialist, and a promising slot receiver with toughness over the middle. It is nothing new if you were accustomed to watching him at Oregon State.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: Maurice Stovall has a one-way ticket to Bustville and is maybe one stop away from it rolling into town. Michael Clayton is that broken record: it worked great on the first rotation and the music was great. However, it has never played right since. Dexter Jackson? C'mon…Stroughter to me isn't much different than Deon Butler. He's tougher over the middle, but not as dynamic in open space. He could be a surprise No. 2 WR in Tampa by the end of the season.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: A no-brainer for your practice squad.

Rashad Jennings, Jaguars: Another quiet preseason performance after earning raves from mini camp. Jennings is probably another year away from making significant strides, but he has the dimensions and raw talent to earn significant time for most NFL teams in a year or two.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: A late pick in deeper leagues. I believe if Maurice Jones-Drew gets hurt, Jennings will split time rather than assume the lions' share of the workload.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Still a promising player on your practice squad.

QB Josh Freeman, Buccaneers: After watching Freeman in the third and fourth quarter of Tampa's preseason games, I believe he's the least prepared to assume the starting role with his team among the three first-round QBs. Freeman has all the physical tools you want from a starter, but he's not even looking as polished as he should against the second- and third-string units that play with similar speed and savvy one would expect from better college teams. Stafford and Sanchez showed against first- and second-team units that they could look off safety or thread the needle downfield with good anticipation. Freeman is still staring down receivers and taking hits he shouldn't. However, he is the No. 2 QB in Tampa behind the NFL's Mr. Bill, Byron Leftwich, and Freeman could wind up playing sooner than later.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: Freeman his a big-time desperation pickup when you consider the Buccaneers fired their offensive coordinator at the end of the preseason and the fact he hasn't faced a first-team NFL defense since he was drafted. It will be a titanic surprise for Freeman to have any fantasy value as more than a desperation pick for a bye week.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: I fear that Freeman is getting the Travaris Jackson treatment by his head coach, and that worries me about his dynasty prospects. If he's rushed into the starting lineup he could have the confidence (and snot) beat out of him too early into his career - especially considering his past tendency to stand in tough in the pocket during his college career. I believe Freeman is clearly a step below Stafford and Sanchez in dynasty leagues, but still worth a spot on dynasty roster - especially if it has a practice squad.

QB Nate Davis, 49ers: Davis has been poised and productive against NFL scrubs, even leading his team on a 91-yard scoring drive against Dallas. He was good enough for San Francisco to waive Damon Huard and make him the No. 3 QB on the depth chart. Davis still has a lot to learn when it comes to the playbook and performing against a higher level of competition. However, I think he showed more promise than Josh Freeman in terms of his in-game performances this summer.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: No value unless Shaun Hill gets hurt, then he's a guy to watch on the waiver wire because Alex Smith is no guarantee to fill in admirably. Even if Davis gets in the game, I would expect the 49ers to be looking for a veteran to take the job as soon as possible.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: I'm as high on Davis as I was in February. He's still my third-rated QB in this class and I believe there is a good chance Alex Smith is somewhere else by this time next year, putting Davis in the catbird seat as the 49ers future. Unless the team drafts a QB in the first two rounds next year or acquires a young starter about to enter his prime, I think Davis will get a true shot to develop.

WR Brandon Tate, Patriots: He's on IR, but when healthy he's not far behind Hakeem Nicks in skills.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: No value.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: He's a practice squad or IR player who is better than every receiver not named Harvin, Nicks, and (a mature version of) Michael Crabtree.

TE Brandon Pettigrew, Lions: I think Pettigrew is a player who will always be serviceable, but never a fantasy star. He's big, agile, and has good hands. He just lacks game-breaking athleticism.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: He's a first-off-the-waiver wire player in redraft leagues who should be serviceable for a bye week if needed.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Unless you're incredibly weak at TE, he's a practice squad guy.

TE James Casey, Texans: He will see more time as a FB and second TE this year, but unless Owen Daniels gets hurt, he's not a factor this year.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: Casey is a waiver wire guy to remember in re-drafts, but not much more. If he's forced into action he could surprise.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Promising practice squad player.

WR Michael Crabtree, 49ers: I believe Crabtree is committing career suicide. He's a wonderful prospect, but it takes a lot of discipline to stay in shape and based on ESPN profiles I've seen Crabtree doesn't have a clue how to take care of his body or train. He'll need to learn if he plans on sitting out the season. Otherwise, look at Mike Williams and his career.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: I doubt he'll make any contribution even if he signs tomorrow. He's too far behind and not likely in football shape.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: A practice squad player you're probably praying will make good on your top-five selection of him…next year.

TE Shawn Nelson, Bills and Travis Beckum, Giants: They haven't done much in the preseason, but they should grow into decent starters in a year or two. Excellent upside due to athleticism.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: Virtually none unless injuries hit.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Promising future starters. Definitely add to your practice squad.

RB Cedric Peerman, Browns: I had Peerman rated as my No. 3 RB in my 2009 Rookie Scouting Portfolio. There are always 2-3 players I have rated higher than the norm. Sometimes, I'm right, but Peerman isn't looking like one of those players early on. He didn't look bad against second- and third-team players, but he didn't earn a lot of opportunities either. He was nondescript and when you don't catch the eye of coaches on a depth chart with three backs that have already shown starter potential, your chances are slim to stick to the roster. In Cleveland, Peerman has a chance to contribute in 2010 - maybe earlier if Lewis gets hurt.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: Peerman is a name to remember in case the Browns need him, but not likely to contribute in 2009.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Jerome Harrison doesn't pass block as well as Peerman, and the rookie has more breakaway speed with greater size. It's entirely possible the Browns depth chart in 2010 could be James Davis and Cedric Peerman. If you're in a knowledgeable league, he's still worth a depth chart spot with deep rosters. If not, then you can probably get him next year off the waiver wire.

Terry Robiskie and Mohamed Massaquoi, Browns: Both players have proven to be good students in head coach Eric Mangini's classroom and have flashed skills as intermediate threats in the preseason.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: Massaquoi has the edge because of his athleticism, but neither are great options because Mike Furrey is such a reliable force on this depth chart that I think he could command more looks even from the slot.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: If Edwards falters this year, the Browns will get rid of him and this duo gets a shot to start in 2010. If he Edwards rebounds, I think Massaquoi is the more obvious choice because of his first-round athleticism and flashes of skill. However, Robiskie might be the safer pick because of his work ethic and consistency.

Mike Thomas and Jarrett Dillard, Jaguars: Neither player did much in the preseason, but they both have the skill to contribute now and develop into better players quickly - especially if Troy Williamson has a relapse in consistency, Mike Sims-Walker hurts himself putting on his uniform, or Torry Holt retires in 2010.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: The Jaguars appear stronger at WR now that it looked in the spring. Thomas and Dillard are not players to draft in these formats.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: If Sims-Walker and Williamson fulfill their potential these two will fight it out for time in the slot. Right now, they are borderline practice squad players depending on the size of the league.

Patrick Turner, Dolphins: According to the Miami beat writers he looked like he was on his way to supplanting a starter heading into August. By mid-August it was Brian Hartline. Now we're hearing that Chad Pennington prefers his veterans. Were we a victim of beat writers overzealous for a story, or just players quickly ascending and fading? Who knows, but Turner is at this point depth chart fodder with promise.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: Not a player to draft, but injuries could make him a free agent flier.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Bump him up slightly. He might be worth a practice squad spot depending on your team and league.

WR Ramses Barden, Giants: Sorry Giants fans, but the ones I have contact me think every prospect they have is either the next All-Pro or a complete disaster. Barden hasn't looked like either extreme. Which isn't a bad thing - unless you're a Giants fan.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: He has very little chance to do anything this year. Maybe he catches 15-20 passes and has a couple of nice plays.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: He needs a lot of work before he can join Hakeem Nicks as a future starter in waiting, but he could get there. You might benefit more from trading him or holding onto him for a year and then trading him.

QB Brian Hoyer, Patriots: I mentioned this spring that I was tempted to put Hoyer in the same tier as Davis when he landed in New England. I think he has what it takes to develop into a starter and it's clear the Patriots feel good enough about this free agent to let him grow with the organization.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: I think Hoyer has more upside than Cassell, but he won't look as sharp if Brady misses time this year.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Now that Kevin O'Connell has been waived and Hoyer is currently the No. 2 QB behind Tom Brady he's a must-pick as a practice squad player

QB Stephen McGee, Cowboys: He was a mini camp darling. In a few years, he has enough poise, smarts, and physical skills to be more.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: Unchanged (virtually none).
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: He's a worthwhile practice squad addition because Jon Kitna is now a journeyman/back up with no future to a franchise. Tony Romo is the man in Dallas, but as we saw with Matt Schaub behind Michael Vick in Atlanta, things can change quickly.

TE Cornelius Ingram, Eagles: He looked great prior to re-tearing his ACL.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: None.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Torn ACLs in consecutive years? Not promising for a move-TE who relies upon quickness and agility rather than power. Unless you have the luxury, I wouldn't take a chance on him.

Free Agents to Remember

TEs Chase Coffman, Bengals and Davon Drew, Dolphins: Both are savvy receivers worth watching, because they could develop into decent fantasy starters.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: They drop because neither is in an offense that either use them or need them.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: I like their chances to be reasonably good prospects in a year or two, but Coffman is lost among a strong, three-WR depth chart where he's not athletic enough to make a dent as a TE. Drew has the athleticism, but is still raw at his position. He'll try to make a mark in Miami in 2010.

WR Derrick Williams, Detroit: He made some decent plays this summer, but he reacted as if he made excellent plays. According to the coaching staff he wasn't consistent enough to make the plays he needed to impress them as any thing more than a No. 4 WR on their depth chart.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: Virtually none.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Borderline practice squad player. Especially if he flashes skills in the return game.

RB LaRod Stephens-Howling, Cardinals: A scrappy and agile, runner-return specialist that is great in the open field, Stephens-Howling earned a job despite the odds against him.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: If you get points for return yards, consider him. Otherwise, he's a free agent.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Return points? Roster or practice squad. Otherwise, free agent.

QB Curtis Painter, Indianapolis: Painter looked pretty good this summer, especially finding the open receiver while moving in the pocket.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: See above.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: I wouldn't add him to my practice squad, but it doesn't mean he might not be worthwhile for a Peyton Manning owner. Think Kyle Orton with greater mobility and downfield skill.

QB Mike Teel, Seattle: Here's another guy I talked about this spring because of his poise in the pocket. He landed in a good situation in Seattle because Matt Hasselbeck's skills have peaked and Seneca Wallace is a player most NFL GMs will question because of his lack of height.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: See above.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Third-stringer you can probably add to your practice squad next year. If you have a better prospect don't waste your spot on Teel this year.

RB Arian Foster, Texans: He impressed the Texans enough to keep him in mind as a future contributor, especially with Chris Browns' injury history. Foster needs to prove he has the desire to work for it over the long haul before I find him a truly worthwhile prospect.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: Free agent.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: In a deep league, maybe you add him to your practice squad. I would not.

RB Devin Moore, Seahawks: Moore has the speed and toughness to remember him in the way people remembered Justin Forsett when he bounced between Seattle and Indy as a rookie last year.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: Free agent.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: He'll be available in most leagues next year.

WR Johnnie Knox, Bears: I was impressed with his speed and concentration on deep passes, but he's still a ways away from playing.

Adjusted Redraft Outlook: Free agent.
Adjusted Dynasty Outlook: Free agent.