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Quarterback By Committee (Start 2 QBs)

  Posted 8/17 by Chase Stuart - Exclusive to Footballguys.com

In this article, I explained the benefits of using a Quarterback-By-Committee system this year in standard fantasy drafts. However, a growing number of leagues now start 2 QBs or allow you to use a QB at one of your flex positions. Can QBBC accommodate this?

There are two ways to handle this issue. The simplest way is to treat them as two entirely separate positions. You could draft Drew Brees as your QB1, and then still take Matt Schaub and David Garrard to fill the committee role for your QB2 position. This is reasonable and would work in most leagues. The problem, of course, is not everyone will be able to draft Brees. In a start-two-QB league, Brees is probably going to be a very high first round pick, and may not be practicable for you at your spot. And while drafting Aaron Rodgers and Schaub/Garrard is just as sound in theory, your predraft plan doesn't always come to fruition. Further, you'll end up spending a bunch of early picks on QBs this way - which is a fine strategy, but not one every fantasy owner is comfortable implementing.

Most leagues that start two QBs every week are 10-team leagues, and in 12 team leagues the situation is even worse. The demand for quarterbacks skyrockets, and it will be difficult to guarantee rostering any three players. So while I certainly don't think this approach is a bad one, let's focus on the other option. Remember that I wrote in the Start-1 QB article that getting QB 12 production has little value in a standard league. But in a Start-2 QB league, QB12 has a ton of value. Therefore, we need to focus on getting guys with great schedules and some upside, and not worry as much about the specific abilities of the QB (after all, you can draft less talented QBs later, and can make up that difference by being stronger at other positions).

My suggestion is to find the best trio (or quartet) of quarterbacks when looking at the two best matchups each week. So a committee where QB-A plays Detroit, QB-B plays Pittsburgh and QB-C plays Baltimore goes from being the best for that week to being just average. And that's the important difference we want to highlight.

I'd advocate grabbing four QBs if possible. That won't always be an option, especially in 12 team leagues, but we'll look at that in the second half of this article.

For a start-two-QB league, the trio with the easiest combined schedule is Matt Hasselbeck, Marc Bulger and Shaun Hill. Now remember, I'm not saying that that group will outscore a trio of Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, and Tom Brady. I'm only saying that that trio's collective schedule is the easiest. That schedule gives you an additional 81.5 FPs (from the two positions) over an average schedule.

Top QBBC Trios in a Start-2-QB League

Here are the top 51 committees based strictly on the easiest two schedules for each trio of QBs in the league, along how many FPs you should gain by using that committee in the first column (compared to if that committee had an average schedule). As always, week 17 numbers are not included. To understand the methodology behind these numbers, please refer to the Start-1 QB article.

FP Adv
Quarterback Trio
81.5
StL QB
Sea QB
SF QB
79.6
Ind QB
StL QB
Sea QB
77.8
Ind QB
Jac QB
StL QB
77.2
Ari QB
StL QB
SF QB
76.9
Jac QB
StL QB
SF QB
76.5
Ten QB
StL QB
SF QB
75.6
Ind QB
Ari QB
Sea QB
75.1
Ind QB
Hou QB
Sea QB
74.1
Hou QB
Ten QB
SF QB
73.9
Ind QB
Ari QB
StL QB
73.7
Hou QB
StL QB
SF QB
73.1
Ind QB
Ari QB
Ten QB
73.0
Ind QB
Ari QB
Jac QB
72.8
Ari QB
Ten QB
SF QB
72.2
Chi QB
Sea QB
SF QB
71.5
Ari QB
Sea QB
SF QB
70.8
Ind QB
Ten QB
StL QB
70.6
Chi QB
StL QB
SF QB
69.8
Hou QB
Sea QB
SF QB
69.7
Ind QB
Min QB
Sea QB
69.6
Oak QB
Sea QB
SF QB
69.4
Ind QB
Hou QB
StL QB
69.1
GB QB
Sea QB
SF QB
69.1
Chi QB
Ind QB
StL QB
68.9
Ind QB
Hou QB
Jac QB
68.9
Ind QB
Ari QB
Min QB
68.8
Ind QB
StL QB
Was QB
68.7
Ind QB
Sea QB
Was QB
68.7
Chi QB
Ind QB
Sea QB
68.4
Ari QB
StL QB
Sea QB
68.4
Ind QB
Hou QB
Ten QB
68.3
Ind QB
GB QB
Sea QB
68.3
Hou QB
StL QB
Sea QB
68.2
Ind QB
Oak QB
Sea QB
67.7
Chi QB
Ind QB
Ari QB
67.6
Buf QB
Ind QB
Sea QB
67.6
Chi QB
Ari QB
SF QB
67.3
StL QB
SF QB
Was QB
66.8
Ind QB
Sea QB
SF QB
66.5
Ari QB
Ten QB
StL QB
66.0
Ind QB
NYG QB
StL QB
65.9
Chi QB
Ten QB
SF QB
65.7
Ind QB
Ari QB
Hou QB
65.6
Ind QB
StL QB
SF QB
65.4
Ari QB
Jac QB
SF QB
65.2
Ari QB
Hou QB
SF QB
65.1
Ind QB
NYG QB
Sea QB
65.0
Sea QB
SF QB
Was QB
65.0
Chi QB
StL QB
Sea QB
64.8
Cin QB
Ind QB
Sea QB
64.8
Ind QB
GB QB
StL QB

Some of these committees aren't very helpful. I don't care what the schedule is, if you have Peyton Manning, Kurt Warner and Matt Hasselbeck, that's not much of a committee. But a lot of these committees are good. Here's a good checklist to keep in mind how often a particular QB/team falls into the Top 51:

Team
#
IND
28
SEA
22
SFO
21
STL
21
ARI
15
HOU
10
TEN
8
CHI
8
JAX
5
WAS
4
GNB
3
MIN
2
OAK
2
CIN
1
BUF
1

Obviously, you want at least two of Hasselbeck, Hill and Bulger. Manning and Warner have very easy schedules, and are worth drafting just to start them every week. Seeing Chicago on there is interesting; Cutler has the toughest schedule in the league according to a straightforward analysis. He plays Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Philly, and Minnesota and Green Bay twice. Even worse, he gets Detroit only once this year, as the Bears play the Lions in week 17, a nonfactor in most fantasy leagues. But because of his game against Arizona, his one game at home against the Lions, and two more against the Rams and Seahawks, he should be a good start in at least four fantasy games.

Your plan should always be to be flexible - if a stud QB falls, pounce on him regardless of schedule. And don't forget to keep an eye on guys like Warner and Manning who are stars with easy schedules. Grabbing a few NFC West QBs later in the draft will be a nice supplement to your fantasy roster if you grab some star RBs and WRs in the early rounds.

Top QBBC Quartets in a Start-2-QB League

If you're in a 10-team league, or if you're really adventurous in a twelve team league, you can try to get four starting QBs. That's not going to be easy, but by going this route, you can really make up for QB quality by getting QB quantity. Below are the top-50 QB schedules:

FP Adv
Quarterback Quartet
110.8
Ind QB
Jac QB
StL QB
SF QB
110.5
Ind QB
StL QB
Sea QB
SF QB
109
Ind QB
Min QB
StL QB
Sea QB
108.1
Ind QB
Min QB
StL QB
SF QB
107.4
Ind QB
Ari QB
Sea QB
SF QB
104.5
Min QB
StL QB
Sea QB
SF QB
104.3
Chi QB
StL QB
Sea QB
SF QB
104
Ten QB
StL QB
Sea QB
SF QB
103.8
Ind QB
Ari QB
Jac QB
SF QB
103.7
Hou QB
StL QB
Sea QB
SF QB
103.3
Ind QB
Min QB
Sea QB
SF QB
103
Ind QB
Ari QB
StL QB
SF QB
103
Ind QB
Hou QB
StL QB
Sea QB
102.9
Chi QB
Ind QB
StL QB
SF QB
102.8
Ari QB
StL QB
Sea QB
SF QB
102.6
Ind QB
Jac QB
Sea QB
SF QB
102.5
Ind QB
Ten QB
Sea QB
SF QB
102.4
Ind QB
StL QB
SF QB
Was QB
102.2
Ind QB
Jac QB
StL QB
Sea QB
102.1
Ind QB
Jac QB
Min QB
StL QB
102.1
Oak QB
StL QB
Sea QB
SF QB
102
Chi QB
Ind QB
Min QB
StL QB
102
Hou QB
Jac QB
StL QB
SF QB
101.7
Hou QB
Ten QB
StL QB
SF QB
101.6
Chi QB
Ind QB
Ari QB
SF QB
101.4
Chi QB
Ari QB
StL QB
SF QB
101.3
Ari QB
Ten QB
Sea QB
SF QB
101.1
Ind QB
Ari QB
Min QB
SF QB
101
Ind QB
GB QB
Sea QB
SF QB
101
Chi QB
Ten QB
StL QB
SF QB
100.9
Jac QB
StL QB
Sea QB
SF QB
100.7
Ind QB
Ari QB
StL QB
Sea QB
100.6
Chi QB
Ind QB
StL QB
Sea QB
100.6
Chi QB
Min QB
StL QB
SF QB
100.5
Ind QB
Ari QB
Min QB
Sea QB
100.2
Ind QB
Ari QB
Ten QB
Sea QB
100.1
StL QB
Sea QB
SF QB
Was QB
99.9
Ind QB
Ten QB
StL QB
SF QB
99.9
Hou QB
Min QB
StL QB
SF QB
99.8
Ari QB
Hou QB
StL QB
SF QB
99.5
Ind QB
Hou QB
Jac QB
StL QB
99.5
Chi QB
Jac QB
StL QB
SF QB
99.5
Hou QB
Ten QB
Sea QB
SF QB
99.4
Ind QB
Ari QB
Ten QB
SF QB
99.4
Ind QB
Sea QB
SF QB
Was QB
99.4
Jac QB
Ten QB
StL QB
SF QB
99.3
Hou QB
Ten QB
StL QB
Sea QB
99.3
Ind QB
Ari QB
Min QB
StL QB
99.2
Chi QB
Ind QB
Ari QB
Sea QB
99.1
Ind QB
Hou QB
Sea QB
SF QB

And here's a good QB checklist for how many times a team/QB appears in the Top 50:

Team
#
SFO
37
STL
34
IND
30
SEA
27
ARI
15
MIN
11
TEN
11
CHI
10
HOU
10
JAX
10
WAS
3
OAK
1
GNB
1

Obviously, the same five teams keep popping up. The key to getting a good committee based on strength of schedule is to get two or three out of Hasselbeck, Bulger and Hill, and if you're lucky, Warner or Manning. If you were to go this route, you'd do well to note their current average draft positions in leagues like yours.

What if, by chance, you miss out on all three NFC West QBs? And you don't want to grab a stud like Brady, Brees, Manning, Warner, Rodgers, Rivers or McNabb? Here are the top 25 committees excluding all ten of those QBs:

FP Adv
Quarterback Trio
54.4
Hou QB
Min QB
Ten QB
53.6
Chi QB
Hou QB
Ten QB
52.7
Hou QB
Ten QB
Was QB
50.4
Hou QB
Jac QB
Oak QB
50.1
Hou QB
Ten QB
Oak QB
47.8
Hou QB
Mia QB
Ten QB
47.5
Chi QB
Min QB
Ten QB
47.2
Hou QB
Ten QB
Pit QB
47.1
Hou QB
NYJ QB
Ten QB
46.8
Car QB
Hou QB
Ten QB
46.3
Cle QB
Hou QB
Ten QB
46.1
Car QB
Hou QB
Jac QB
46.0
Hou QB
Jac QB
Ten QB
45.7
Hou QB
KC QB
Ten QB
45.6
Mia QB
Min QB
Ten QB
45.0
Hou QB
Ten QB
TB QB
44.2
Jac QB
Mia QB
Oak QB
43.9
Buf QB
Chi QB
Ten QB
43.8
Min QB
NYG QB
Ten QB
43.8
Buf QB
Hou QB
Ten QB
43.7
Mia QB
Ten QB
Was QB
43.5
Cin QB
Min QB
Ten QB
43.4
Hou QB
Jac QB
Was QB
43.2
Hou QB
Jac QB
TB QB
43.0
Chi QB
Hou QB
Jac QB

I'd recommended keeping this article open (or printing it out) and using it during your draft as the QBs go off the board. It should only take a few seconds for you to figure out which chart to use (based on what QBs have been selected) and then to scroll down and find the best combo.

Best of luck in all your fantasy leagues this year. Be sure to shoot all your questions to stuart@footballguys.com.