Trend-Spotting - Week 11

Updated 11/18 by Chris Smith, Exclusive for Footballguys.com

All data used in this article begins week one of the 2003 season unless otherwise specified. All team information found within has been pulled from my own NFL team database. If you are interested in using this database for your own sports gaming / fantasy football / football pool research, or if you notice any inaccuracies or have any feedback (which is always encouraged) please contact me at smith@footballguys.com.

Thursday - Miami Dolphins at Carolina Panthers

Dolphins won 27 to 24 back in 2005.

Dolphins Trends

Are 7-5 on the road since last season but just 1-3 so far in 2009
- Given just 17+ points in the past six road games
- Scored 17 or fewer points in five of past eight road games
- Rushed for at least 96 yards in nine of twelve road games
- Passed for 200+ yards in just five of twelve road games
- Given up less than 100 rushing yards in seven of twelve road games
- Given up 250+ passing yards in eight of twelve road games
Are 7-6 in non-conference road games since 2003

Panthers Trends

Are 10-2 at home since last season (just 2-2 this season)
- Rushed for 86+ yards in all twelve games
- Rushed for 140+ yards in six of the twelve games
- Just five 200-yard passing games over this span
- Seven 100-yard rushing games allowed
- Just four 200-yard passing games allowed
Are 6-7 in non-conference home games since 2003

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys

The Redskins are 5-3 against the Cowboys over the past four seasons
Both teams won once last season
Redskins won 26 to 24 in Dallas last season.
- Redskins rushed for 161 yards and passed for 220 yards
- Cowboys passed for 300 yards and rushed for just 44 yards in loss
The Redskins have played in Dallas six times since 2003 and have just two wins
- Redskins rushed for 84+ yards in five of the games
- Redskins have three 200+ yard passing games
- Cowboys have two 100-yard rushing games and four games with 89+ rushing yards
- Cowboys have passed for 192+ yards in all six games

Redskins Trends

Are 2-2 in divisional road games since last season
- Rushed for at least 84 yards in all four games
- Failed to pass for more than 220 yards in a game
- Gave up two 100-yard rushing games
- Gave up at least 196 passing yards in all four games including the 300-yarder to the Cowboys last season
Are just 7-12 in divisional road games since 2003
0-4 on the road this season
- Have not scored more than 17 points
- Have just one 100-yard rushing game
- Have just one 200-yard passing game (325 yards against the Lions)
- Three 100-yard rushing yards allowed and the 4th was 86 yards
- Have not given up more than 248 passing yards in the four road games

Cowboys Trends

Are 2-2 in divisional home games since last season
- Scored 20+ points in all four games
- Gave up 26+ points in three of the games
- Only two 100-yard rushing games (including the 251-yard monster against the Giants this season)
- Two 300-yard passing games
- Gave up just one 100-yard rushing game but all four had at least 72 rushing yards
- Gave up 220+ passing yards in three of the games
Are 11-8 in divisional home games since 2003
3-1 at home this season
- 31+ points in three of the four games
- Gave up 21 or fewer in three of the four games
- 113+ rushing yards in all four games
- At least 237 passing yards in three of the games
- Gave up just one 100-yard rushing game
- Gave up at least 198 passing yards in all four games

Cleveland Browns at Detroit Lions

The Lions won 13 to 10 back in 2005

Browns Trends

Are 4-9 on the road since last season (1-4 this season)
- Scored 14 or fewer points in ten of the thirteen games
- Six 100-yard rushing games
- One 200-yard passing games
- Multiple turnovers in eight of the thirteen games
- Given up at least 134+ rushing yards in eleven of the thirteen games
- Given up just five 200-yard passing games (each of those five were for at least 263 yards)
Have scored just 31 combined points in five road games this season
Given up 119 points in the four road losses this season (won 6-3 against Bills in fifth game)

Lions Trends

Just 1-3 at home this season
- Have not scored more than 20 points
- Have not given up more than 28 points
- Rushed for at least 110 yards in all four games
- Have not passed for more than 227 yards
- Have just five turnovers in the four games but have forced just one turnover in each game
- Have given up just two 100-yard rushing games and two 200-yard passing games

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers

Packers won both games since 2003 (30 to 19 and 20 to 10)

49ers Trends

Are 3-5 in conference road games since last season
- Have scored at least 17 points in all eight games
- Given up 26+ points in six games (16 points in each of other two games)
- Have just one 100-yard rushing game (vs. Cardinals last season)
- Have passed for 188+ yards in all eight games
- Given up four 100-yard rushing games but three games less than 75 rushing yards
- Given up at least 182 passing yards in seven of the games including three 300-yard games
Are 1-3 on the road this season
- Scored 20+ points in three of the four games (high of 24 points)
- Gave up a low of 16 points and a high of 27 points
- Have not given up a 100-yard rushing game
- Have given up 246+ passing yards in three of the games (182 in the 4th)

Packers Trends

Are 6-4 in conference home games since last season
- Rushed for 76+ yards in all ten games
- Six games with 250+ passing yards
- Given up 78+ rushing yards in all but one game
- Just five games with 200+ passing yards
Are 3-2 at home this season
- Rushed for at least 76 yards in all five games but high is just 107 yards
- Passed for 200-yards in three of the five games with a low of 150 yards vs. the Bears
- Given up two 100-yard rushing games and at least 61 yards in all five
- Given up three 200-yard passing games
- Forced 14 turnovers in the five games while turning the ball over just three times.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs

The Steelers won 45 to 7 back in 2006

Steelers Trends

Are 6-2 in conference road games since last season
- Six 100-yard rushing games (73+ yards in all eight)
- Six 200-yard passing games
- Four 100+ yard rushing games allowed (high is just 122 yards)
- Just two 200-yard passing games (high is just 215 yards)
Are 2-2 on the road this season (won last two games)
- Scored 20+ in three of the four games
- Gave up 23 or fewer in all four games
- Gave up two 100-yard rushing games
- Gave up at least 173 passing yards in all four games but high was just 232

Chiefs Trends

Are just 1-7 in conference home games since last season
- Scored 10 or fewer points in four of eight games but 21+ points in other four games
- Gave up 34+ points in four of eight games
- 100+ rushing yards in six of eight games
- 200+ passing yards in four of eight games
- Five games with 135+ rushing yards allowed (all eight games with 68+ rushing yards)
- Five games with 235+ passing yards (other three games had less than 125 passing yards allowed).
Are 0-4 at home this season
- Scored 20 or fewer points in all four home games
- Gave up 26+ points in three of the four games
- Have three 100+ yard rushing games
- Have 232+ passing yards in two of the games and less than 100 passing yards in other two games
- Gave up 135+ rushing yards in three of the four games
- Gave up 268+ passing yards in three of the four games

Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants

Giants won the last two meetings (31 to 10 in 2007 and 27 to 14 in 2006)

Falcons Trends

Are just 3-6 in conference road games since last season
- Scored 19+ points in six of the past seven conference road games
- Gave up 24+ points in seven of the nine games
- Rushed for at least 98 yards in all but one game
- Two 300-yard passing games in last five conference road games
- Gave up 100+ rushing yards in all nine games
- Gave up at least 179 passing yards in last eight conference road games
Are 1-4 in road games this year
- Scored 19+ in four straight road games
- Gave up 26+ in four of five road games
- Rushed for 124+ yards in four straight road games
- Passed for 174+ yards in all five games
- Gave up 100+ yards in all five road games
- Gave up at least 177 passing yards in all five road games

Giants Trends

Are 6-2 in conference home games since last season
- Rushed for at least 88 yards in all eight games
- Four 200-yard passing games
- Gave up just two 100-yard rushing games
- Gave up just two 200-yard passing games
- Scored 29+ points in four of the eight games (at least 14 in all eight games)
- Gave up 17 or fewer in five games but 20+ in three of last four
Are 2-2 in home games this season (lost last two games)
- Scored 17+ points in all four games (just one over 23 points - 44 vs. Raiders)
- Gave up 24 or fewer points in each of the four games
- Rushed for 100+ yards in all four games
- Passed for 188+ yards in all four games (highest was 263 yards)
- Gave up 85 or fewer rushing yards in all four games
- Gave up fewer than 217 passing yards in all four games

New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The two teams split last season with Saints winning 24 to 20 and the Buccaneers winning 23 to 20
The Saints have played in Tampa Bay six times since 2003, winning three times

Saints Trends

Are 4-0 on the road this season
- Scored 27+ in all four games
- Gave up 22+ in three of the four games (just 7 pts in win vs. Bills)
- Rushed for 133+ yards in all four games including two 200-yard efforts
- Passed for 275+ yards in two of the four games but less than 220 yards in other two games
- Gave up 85+ rushing yards in all four games
- Gave up less than 200 passing yards in two games but 297+ yards in other two games
Went 9-9 in divisional road games last season
- Did not score more than 20 pts in a game
- Gave up 23+ in all three games
- Had 332+ yards of total offense in each game
- Had 8 turnovers
- Gave up at least 113 rushing yards in all three games

Buccaneers Trends

Are 1-3 at home this season (beat Packers in last home gm)
- Scored 21+ in three of the games (shutout in 4th against the Giants)
- Gave up 24+ in all four games
- Have two 100-yard rushing games
- Have just one 200-yard passing games
- Gave up 100-yards rushing in all four games and at least 170 yards in last three
- No trend whatsoever in pass defense. Gave up 55, 171, 234 and 344 passing yards in the four games
Are 3-1 in divisional home games since last season (loss came this season to the Panthers)
- Scored 21+ in each game
- Gave up 20+ in two games, 9 or fewer in other two games
- Rushed for 124+ yards in each game
- Did not pass for 175 yards in one of these four games
- Gave up fewer than 45 rushing yards in two games, 105 rushing yards in game vs. Falcons last year and 267 yards against the Panthers this season
- Forced 11 turnovers
Are 8-11 in divisional home games since 2003

Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars

The Bills won 20 to 16 last season and are 3-2 against the Jaguars since 2003. In the game last season, Bills held the Jaguars to just 243 total yards in the victory.

Bills Trends

Are 4-6 in conference road games since last season
- Scored 21+ points in just four of the games
- Scored 16 or fewer points in four of the games
- Gave up 20+ points in eight of the games and 31+ in four of the games
- Have just four 100-yard rushing yards but 87+ yards in seven of the ten
- Have just four 200-yard passing games and just one with more than 220 passing yards
- Gave up 144+ rushing yards in seven of last eight conference road games including two 250+ yard games
Are a miserable 13-27 in conference road games since the 2003 season
Are 2-3 on the road this season
- Have not scored more than 24 points but have four games with at least 16 pts scored
- Gave up 25+ in three of the five games
- Have just one 100-yard rushing game
- Have just one 200-yard passing game
- Gave up at least 116 rushing yards in four straight road games

Jaguars Trends

Are just 3-5 in conference home games since last season
- Scored 14+ points in all eight games and 21+ points in five of the games
- Gave up 17+ points in all eight games
- Rushed for 98+ yards in seven of the eight games
- Passed for 236+ yards in five of eight games
- Gave up just two 100-yard rushing games
- Gave up at least 200-passing yards in all eight games
Just 20-18 in conference home games since 2003 season
Have won last three games at home
- Scored 23+ in each game
- Gave up 17,20 and 21 points
- Rushed for 137+ yards in each game
- Passed for at least 256 yards including two 300-yard efforts
- Gave up no 100-yard rushing games
- Gave up three 200-yard passing games

Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens

Colts won all four games in series since 2003 by at least 10 points in each game. Colts passed for at least 249 yards in each game and forced 16 turnovers

Colts Trends

Are 7-1 in conference road games since last season
- Scored 21+ points in seven of the eight games (no games over 31 points)
- Gave up 20+ in six of eight games (9 or less in other two)
- Passed for 223+ yards in all but one of the eight games
- Have no 100-yard rushing games
- Gave up 88+ rushing yards in all but one game
- Gave up 239+ passing yards in five of the eight games
Are 29-9 in conference road games since the 2003 season
4-0 on the road this season
- Scored 27+ in all four games
- Gave up 10 or fewer in three of the four games
- Passed for 295+ yards in three of the four games
- Have two 100+ yard rushing games
- Gave up 90+ rushing yards in three of the four games

Ravens Trends

Are 7-3 in conference home games since last season
- Scored 27+ points in six of the ten games
- Gave up 17 or fewer in all but one game (24 pts to Chiefs)
- Rushed for 82+ yards in all ten games and at least 140 yards in five games
- Three 300-yard passing games in last five conference home games
- Just two 100-yard rushing games allowed
- Just two 200-yard passing games allowed
Are 28-12 in conference home games since 2003 season
Are 3-1 at home this season
- 30+ points scored in three of the games
- 7 or fewer points allowed in two of the games and 24 was the worst result
- Rushed for 125+ yards in three of the four games
- Passed for 300+ yards in two games and 175 or fewer in other two
- Gave up more than 72 rushing yards just once (142 yards to Cincy)
- Gave up 160+ passing yards just once (261 yards in loss to Cincy)

Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings

Seahawks Trends

Are a miserable 2-8 in conference road games since last season
- Scored more than 23 points in just one game (in San Francisco)
- Gave up 27+ points in six of the ten games
- Rushed for 100 yards in just four games
- Passed for 200+ yards in seven consecutive conference road games
- Gave up at least 97 rushing yards in all ten games
- Gave up at least 344 total yards in all but one game
Are 0-4 in road games this season
- Scored fewer than 21 points in all four games
- Gave up 31+ in three of the four games
- Rushed for less than 80 yards in three of the four games
- Passed for at least 217 yards in all four games
- Gave up 113+ rushing yards in three of the four games
- Gave up 249+ yards passing in three of the four games

Vikings Trends

Are 8-1 in conference home games since last season
- Scored at least 17 points in all but one game
- Rushed for 110+ yards in all but two games
- Passed for 200 yards in five of the last six conference home games
- Gave up just three 100-yard rushing games
- Gave up just three 200-yard passing games over this span. Unfortunately, those three came over the past four conference home games after six games with less than 200 passing yards allowed.
Are 4-0 in home games this season
- 27+ points scored in each game
- 23+ points allowed in three of the four games
- Rushed for 150+ yards in two games but less than 100 in other two
- Passed for 259+ yards in each of the four games
- Gave up less than 100 rushing yards in each game
- Gave up at least 188 passing yards in all four games

Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams

Cardinals have won the past four games in the series, scoring at least 34 points in all four games and giving up 20 or fewer points in three games
The Cardinals have won four straight games in St. Louis

Cardinals Trends

Are 4-0 in divisional road games since last season
- Scored 23+ points in each game
- Gave up 20 or fewer points in each game
- Had two 100-yard rushing games
- Had three games with 282+ passing yards
- Forced 14 turnovers
- Gave up just one 100-yard rushing game
- Gave up fewer than 185 passing yards in all four games
Are 4-0 in road games this season
- Scored 24+ in all four games
- Did not give up more than 21 points in a game
- Passed for 216+ yards in each game
- Rushed for 100+ yards in two games
- Gave up fewer than 108 rushing yards in each game
- Gave up 220+ passing yards in three games

Rams Trends

Have lost seven straight divisional home games
- Gave up at least 17 points in each game
- Scored over 20 points in just two games
- Gave up 83+ yards rushing in each game
- Gave up 200+ yards passing in just five of ten games
Are 0-4 at home this season
- Scored 17 or fewer in three of four games
- Gave up 28+ points in all four games
- Rushed for 122+ yards in all games
- Passed for 278+ yards in two of the four games
- Gave up 152+ rushing yards in three of the four games
- Turned the ball over ten times

New York Jets at New England Patriots

Jets defeated the Patriots 16 to 9 earlier this season thanks to 117 rushing yards. The Jets held the Patriots to just 299 total yards of offense
The Jets are 2-1 in the past three visits to New England

Jets Trends

Jets won all three divisional road games last season but lost to Dolphins in Miami earlier this year
- Scored 20+ in all four games
- Gave up exactly 31 points in two games, 17 or fewer in other two games
- Passed for 171+ yards in all four games
- Rushed for 96+ yards in all four games
- Gave up less than 50 rushing yards in two games but 125+ rushing yards in other two games
- Gave up 228+ passing yards in each game
Are 2-2 in road games this season (beat Texans, Raiders and lost to Dolphins and Saints)
- Scored 24+ in three of the games
- Gave up 24+ in two games, 7 or fewer in other two
- Rushed for at least 132 yards in all four games (including a 316-yard effort against the Raiders)
- Gave up 119+ yards in three games
- Gave up less than 190 passing yards in three of the four games

Patriots Trends

Are 2-0 in divisional home games this season
- Defeated the Bills 25 to 24 thanks to 368 passing yards. Held Bills to 186 passing yards and 90 rushing yards
- Defeated the Dolphins 27 to 17 thanks to 323 passing yards. Dolphins managed 201 passing yards and 133 rushing yards
Are 5-0 in home games this season
- Scored 25+ in all five games
- Gave up 17 or fewer in three of the games
- Rushed for 73+ yards in all five games including three 100-yard efforts
- Passed for 323+ yards in three of the five games
- Gave up 116+ rushing yards in last three home games
- Gave up 186+ passing yards in four of the five games

Cincinnati Bengals at Oakland Raiders

The Bengals won 27 to 10 back in 2006

Bengals Trends

Are 4-0 in road games this season
- Scored 17+ in all four games
- Gave up 20 or fewer in three of four games
- Rushed for 142+ yards in three of the four games
- Gave up at least 80 rushing yards in all four games

Raiders Trends

Are 1-3 in home games this season
- Scored fewer than 14 points in all four games
- Rushed for 95+ yards in all four games
- Turned the ball over 11 times
- Passed for fewer than 145 yards in three of the games
- Gave up 112+ rushing yards in three of the games, including one 200-yard and one 300-yard effort
- Gave up fewer than 220 passing yards in all four games

San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos

Denver won 34 to 23 earlier this season thanks to 101 rushing yards and 227 passing yards. The Chargers rushed for 73 yards and passed for 238 yards.
The Chargers are 2-1 in Denver over last three seasons but just 2-4 since 2003.

Chargers Trends

Are 3-1 in road games this season
- Scored 21+ in all four games
- Gave up 20+ in three of the games
- Rushed for 78+ yards in just one of the games
- Passed for at least 192 yards in all four games
- Gave up at least 116 rushing yards in all four games
- Gave up 188+ passing yards in three of the four games
Are 4-1 in divisional road games since the 2008 season
- Scored 22+ points in all five games
- Gave up 21 or fewer points in four of the games
- Had just two 100-yard rushing games (all five over 67-yards)
- Had four games with 240+ passing yards
- Gave up four 100+ yard rushing games
- Gave up three 218+ yard passing games

Denver Trends

Were 2-1 in divisional home games last season
- Rushed for 115+ yards in each game
- Passed for 200+ yards in all three games
- Gave up 80+ yards rushing in all three games
Are 3-1 in home games this season
- Scored fewer than 21 points in three of the games
- Gave up 17 or fewer points in three of the games
- Had three 100-yard rushing games
- Had 215+ passing yards in all four games
- Gave up just one 100-yard rushing game
- Gave up three 200-yard passing games (just one game had more than 209 passing yards)

Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears

Bears defeated the Eagles 24 to 20 last season

Eagles Trends

Are 2-2 in road games this season
- Scored 23+ points in three of the four games
- Gave up 17 or fewer points in three of the four games
- Had two 100-yard rushing games but two games had less than 68 rushing yards
- Had a 433-yard passing game against the Chargers last week but had fewer than 141 passing yards in two of the other three road games
- Gave up two 100-yard rushing games and three 200-yard passing games

Bears Trends

Are 3-1 in home games this season
- Scored 30+ points in two of the four games and at least 17 points in all four
- Gave up 14 or fewer pts in two games, 24+ in the other two games
- Rushed for 150+ yards in two games, 70 or fewer in other two
- Have passed for 199+ yards in three of the four games
- Gave up at least 90 rushing yards in all four games
- Gave up 200+ yards passing in three of the four games
- Forced 10 turnovers

MNF - Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

The Texans won 13 to 12 in Houston last season thanks to 375 total yards. They held the Titans to exactly 100 rushing yards
The Titans are 4-2 in Houston since 2003
The Texans won 34 to 31 in Tennessee earlier this season
- Titans passed for 209 yards and rushed for 240 yards (RB Chris Johnson rushed for 197 yards, caught 9 passes for 87 yards and scored 3 times)
- Texans passed for 357 yards

Titans Trends

Are 1-3 in divisional road games since last season
- Scored 17 or fewer pts in three of the games (24 against the Jaguars)
- Gave up 14 or fewer pts in two games, 23+ in other two
- Rushed for 83+ yards in all four games but nothing more than 114 yards
- Had 181+ passing yards in three of the games
- Gave up 107+ rushing yards in all four games
- Gave up 268+ passing yards in all four games
Are 1-4 in road games this season
- Scored 17 or fewer in first four road games this season (34 in last one vs. 49ers)
- Gave up 24+ points in four of the games
- Rushed for at least 86 yards in all five games including three games with 127+ yards
- Two games with 234+ passing yards and three games with fewer than 164 passing yards
- Gave up 250+ passing yards in four of the five games

Texans Trends

Are 2-2 in divisional home games since last season
- Scored 24+ in three games
- Gave up 17 or fewer in two games and exactly 31 points in other two games
- Rushed for 107+ yards in each game
- Passed for 200+ yards in each game
- Gave up 100+ rushing yards in three games
- Gave up 214+ passing yards in three games
- Forced 7 turnovers and gave the ball up 7 times
2-2 in home games this season (won last two)
- Scored 24+ points in three games
- Rushed for 90+ yards in three games
- Passed for 209+ yards in three games
- Gave up 60 or fewer yards in three games
- Gave up less than 239 passing yards in all four games and less than 146 yards in two games
- Gave up less than 300 total yards in three of the four games