Projection Tweaks
Updated 8/18 by David Dodds, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
I made a lot of changes to my projections since August 5th. I have listed all of the tweaks that changed fantasy points +/- 5 points below:
| Pos | Player | tm | Old FP | New FP | Difference | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Brett Favre | Min | 0.0 | 212.7 | 212.7 | Signed with the Vikings and should be the starter. |
| QB | Byron Leftwich | TB | 88.3 | 152.8 | 64.5 | Outplaying Luke McCown presently. |
| QB | Michael Vick | Phi | 0.0 | 45.5 | 45.5 | Signed by the Eagles and will have a minor role. |
| TE | Chris Baker | NE | 23.8 | 57.7 | 33.8 | Playing with the 1st team offense. |
| RB | Samkon Gado | StL | 0.0 | 27.2 | 27.2 | Currently holding down RB2 with the Rams. |
| QB | Daunte Culpepper | Det | 43.6 | 66.7 | 23.1 | Having a solid camp. He could start the year at QB. |
| WR | Robert Meachem | NO | 57.9 | 79.6 | 21.7 | Impressing in training camp. Looks to have locked up WR3 option. |
| WR | Lloyd Brandon | Den | 23.4 | 44.5 | 21.1 | Brandon Marshall is threatening a holdout if no new contract. |
| WR | Sam Hurd | Dal | 21.0 | 42.0 | 21.0 | Has leaped ahead of Miles Austin for WR3 |
| RB | Brian Leonard | Cin | 22.6 | 43.4 | 20.8 | Looks to have a bigger role in this offense. |
| RB | Correll Buckhalter | Den | 32.7 | 52.3 | 19.6 | Outplaying LaMont Jordan |
| RB | DeShawn Wynn | GB | 26.3 | 45.5 | 19.2 | Looks to be RB2 behind Grant. |
| WR | David Clowney | NYJ | 23.6 | 42.2 | 18.6 | Looks to have a bigger role in this offense. |
| RB | Ryan Grant | GB | 169.2 | 183.9 | 14.7 | Brandon Jackson not posing any threat. |
| WR | Roy Williams | Dal | 118.4 | 132.8 | 14.5 | Understated his role before. |
| WR | Sidney Rice | Min | 76.5 | 89.8 | 13.3 | Will benefit with Favre behind center. |
| TE | Ben Utecht | Cin | 22.2 | 35.5 | 13.3 | Bigger role now that Kelly is out IF he can shake the concussion soon. |
| TE | Jeremy Shockey | NO | 61.7 | 74.6 | 12.9 | Finally healthy. Could have productive season in this offense. |
| QB | Chad Henne | Mia | 0.0 | 12.4 | 12.4 | He is likely to see some snaps this year. |
| QB | Kyle Boller | StL | 37.8 | 50.2 | 12.4 | Marc Bulger has a broken finger in his throwing hand. |
| WR | Kenny Britt | Ten | 26.4 | 38.4 | 12.0 | Rookie looks like he will contribute right away. |
| QB | Mark Sanchez | NYJ | 180.0 | 189.9 | 9.9 | Separating himself in the QB competition. |
| TE | Dan Coats | Cin | 0.0 | 9.7 | 9.7 | Will now have a role with Reggie Kelly lost for the year. |
| RB | Peyton Hillis | Den | 47.3 | 56.9 | 9.6 | Impressing in camp. Moreno is dinged up so he could get his chance early. |
| TE | Jared Cook | Ten | 28.7 | 37.8 | 9.1 | Rookie is clearly in team\'s immediate plans. |
| RB | Willie Parker | Pit | 139.2 | 147.2 | 8.0 | His demise is overstated. Medenhall looks average or worse. |
| RB | Mike Goodson | Car | 16.3 | 24.2 | 8.0 | Should see some action with Stewart banged up. |
| RB | T.J. Duckett | Sea | 61.1 | 68.8 | 7.8 | Added a few yards and a TD to his totals. |
| QB | Vince Young | Ten | 33.3 | 40.5 | 7.3 | Likely to see the field in 2009 at some point. |
| WR | Bobby Wade | Min | 21.3 | 27.4 | 6.1 | Berrian's hamstring issue could boost Wade in 2009. |
| WR | Brian Finneran | Atl | 31.4 | 37.4 | 6.0 | Holding onto WR3 role. |
| RB | Willis McGahee | Bal | 46.5 | 52.3 | 5.8 | Holding onto some role in 2009 with a solid camp. |
| RB | Shonn Greene | NYJ | 49.8 | 55.5 | 5.7 | Looks good in camp. Logjammed at RB. |
| WR | Ashley Lelie | KC | 0.0 | 5.6 | 5.6 | Signed by the Chiefs |
| WR | Bernard Berrian | Min | 128.6 | 123.5 | -5.1 | Tweaked hamstring. |
| QB | Kyle Orton | Den | 256.4 | 251.1 | -5.3 | Looked awful in preseason game 1. |
| WR | Jeff Webb | KC | 5.5 | 0.0 | -5.5 | Cut by the Chiefs. |
| RB | Lorenzo Booker | Phi | 15.8 | 9.9 | -5.9 | McCoy going to steal his carries. |
| RB | Bernard Scott | Cin | 42.8 | 36.8 | -6.0 | Rookie is impressive but he is still behind Leonard on the depth chart. |
| QB | Kellen Clemens | NYJ | 40.8 | 34.3 | -6.5 | Losing ground to Mark Sanchez. |
| QB | Peyton Manning | Ind | 314.0 | 307.3 | -6.7 | Offensive lineman look woeful for pass blocking. |
| WR | Steve Smith | Car | 185.4 | 178.5 | -6.9 | Injured but is expected to be back by the opener. |
| QB | Chad Pennington | Mia | 230.5 | 223.3 | -7.2 | Factored Henne in for some likely pass attempts. |
| WR | Dwayne Bowe | KC | 158.5 | 151.2 | -7.3 | Overweight and working with the 2nd team right now. |
| RB | DeAngelo Williams | Car | 214.0 | 206.7 | -7.3 | Mike Goodson has a larger projected role. |
| RB | Antonio Pittman | StL | 20.3 | 13.0 | -7.3 | Gado, Darby all in a logjam here. |
| TE | Billy Miller | NO | 36.0 | 27.8 | -8.2 | Shockey should keep him on the sidelines. |
| WR | Antonio Bryant | TB | 133.7 | 125.1 | -8.6 | Underwent minor knee surgery |
| TE | Brandon Pettigrew | Det | 50.7 | 41.4 | -9.3 | Rookie TE likely to struggle early on. |
| TE | Alex Smith | NE | 20.7 | 10.5 | -10.2 | Logjam at the position. |
| WR | Marcus Smith | Bal | 10.3 | 0.0 | -10.3 | Out for the year |
| WR | Roy Hall | Ind | 10.3 | 0.0 | -10.3 | Cut from the team |
| QB | Donovan McNabb | Phi | 288.8 | 278.5 | -10.3 | Vick signing removes McNabb at times near the goal line |
| TE | Tony Gonzalez | Atl | 121.9 | 111.5 | -10.4 | Overstated his role in this offense. |
| RB | Knowshon Moreno | Den | 169.4 | 158.9 | -10.5 | Injured and will now have a bigger climb up the depth charts with missed reps. |
| TE | Martellus Bennett | Dal | 55.1 | 43.6 | -11.5 | Overstated the use of the two TE sets. |
| QB | Marc Bulger | StL | 187.9 | 175.7 | -12.2 | Injury to throwing hand will make him miss at least the next 2 weeks. |
| QB | Kevin Kolb | Phi | 18.1 | 5.8 | -12.4 | Vick signing makes him essentially worthless. |
| WR | Brandon Stokley | Den | 38.7 | 25.7 | -13.0 | downgraded the entire Denver passing game. They are out of sync. |
| TE | Ben Watson | NE | 34.4 | 21.3 | -13.1 | Chris Baker is running with the first team offense. |
| RB | Kenny Watson | Cin | 31.7 | 17.3 | -14.4 | Sliding down the depth chart. |
| WR | Brandon Marshall | Den | 145.8 | 131.0 | -14.8 | Threatening holdout unless he gets trade or new deal. Team says no to both. |
| RB | Andre Brown | NYG | 18.5 | 0.0 | -18.5 | Out for the year |
| WR | Devery Henderson | NO | 81.5 | 62.7 | -18.7 | Being outplayed by Robert Meachem. |
| RB | Ken Darby | StL | 42.7 | 22.3 | -20.4 | Has lost his spot to Samkon Gado. |
| QB | Tarvaris Jackson | Min | 23.4 | 2.7 | -20.7 | Essentially no role now. |
| WR | Miles Austin | Dal | 68.5 | 45.3 | -23.3 | Sam Hurd outplaying him for WR3 spot |
| RB | Lamont Jordan | Den | 51.1 | 23.3 | -27.8 | Sliding down the depth chart |
| QB | Matthew Stafford | Det | 192.6 | 162.4 | -30.2 | Culpepper is providing solid competition in camp |
| RB | Brandon Jackson | GB | 70.9 | 38.0 | -32.9 | Deshawn Wynn outplaying him for RB2 spot |
| TE | Chase Coffman | Cin | 44.5 | 10.9 | -33.6 | Rookie is undersized and unlikely to have a big role in 2009 |
| QB | Luke McCown | TB | 133.9 | 68.0 | -66.0 | Appears to be losing ground to Byron Leftwich |
| QB | Sage Rosenfels | Min | 219.5 | 17.8 | -201.8 | Relegated to 2nd string behind Favre now. |