Projection Tweaks
Updated 8/10 by David Dodds, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
I made a lot of changes to my projections since August 5th. I have listed all of the tweaks that changed fantasy points +/- 5 points below:
| Pos | Player | tm | Old FP | New FP | Difference | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Mark Sanchez | NYJ | 132.9 | 180.0 | 47.1 | Emerging as the favorite to start the season. |
| RB | Bernard Scott | Cin | 10.6 | 42.8 | 32.2 | Having great camp. Will back up Cedric Benson. |
| TE | Travis Beckum | NYG | 0.0 | 32.0 | 32.0 | Rookie looks to have some role this season. |
| TE | Jared Cook | Ten | 0.0 | 28.7 | 28.7 | Logjam at TE , but should still see action this year. |
| WR | Justin Harper | Bal | 0.0 | 23.6 | 23.6 | Having an excellent camp. |
| RB | Peyton Hillis | Den | 26.2 | 47.3 | 21.1 | So many options in Denver , but he is impressing. |
| WR | Isaac Bruce | SF | 50.3 | 68.9 | 18.6 | Crabtree holdout is Bruce\'s gain. |
| WR | Marty Booker | Atl | 0.0 | 18.3 | 18.3 | Veteran gets added to replace Harry Johnson. |
| WR | Patrick Turner | Mia | 18.7 | 36.0 | 17.4 | Rookie is having an outstanding camp. |
| WR | Mike Wallace | Pit | 9.3 | 26.6 | 17.3 | Challenging Limas Sweed for playing time. |
| RB | Pierre Thomas | NO | 179.0 | 195.7 | 16.7 | Reggie Bush gets knee drained. Consider us very worried. |
| WR | Josh Cribbs | Cle | 37.0 | 53.7 | 16.7 | Veteran is holding off Robiskie for now. |
| TE | Martellus Bennett | Dal | 39.3 | 55.1 | 15.8 | Team promises lots of two TE sets. We believe them. |
| WR | Nate Burleson | Sea | 73.1 | 88.5 | 15.4 | Deion Branch hurt again. Burleson looks great after ACL surgery. |
| WR | Percy Harvin | Min | 64.9 | 79.4 | 14.5 | Team promises tons of involvement to utilize his skills. |
| RB | Danny Ware | NYG | 14.5 | 28.8 | 14.3 | Outplaying Andre Brown for now. |
| RB | DeShawn Wynn | GB | 12.5 | 26.3 | 13.8 | Great camp should increase his carries. |
| WR | Deon , butler | Sea | 29.4 | 42.4 | 13.0 | Deion Branch missing time due to injury. |
| WR | Robert Meachem | NO | 45.4 | 57.9 | 12.6 | Injuries seem behind him. Looking sharp in camp. |
| WR | Jason Carter | Car | 0.0 | 12.5 | 12.5 | Should see some playing time this year. |
| RB | Willie Parker | Pit | 126.7 | 139.2 | 12.4 | Holding Medenhall off for now. Could even have some goal line looks. |
| RB | Julius Jones | Sea | 107.3 | 118.0 | 10.7 | Early schedule helps him hold off competition. |
| WR | Ronald Curry | StL | 23.7 | 34.4 | 10.7 | Avery injury gives him some looks. |
| RB | Mike Goodson | Car | 5.9 | 16.3 | 10.4 | Goodson is impressing while Williams and Stewart nurse injuries. |
| QB | Seneca Wallace | Sea | 13.4 | 23.7 | 10.3 | Thinking he might see some more time this year. |
| RB | Earnest Graham | TB | 128.5 | 138.7 | 10.3 | Looking sharp while Ward nurses injuries. |
| QB | Alex Smith | SF | 144.6 | 154.2 | 9.7 | Gut feel tells me he wins the starting job to open the season. |
| WR | Eddie Royal | Den | 134.8 | 144.4 | 9.6 | Moving him around the offense should create mismatches. |
| RB | Ladainian Tomlinson | SD | 210.1 | 218.0 | 7.9 | Likely overstated his demise a tad. |
| WR | Justin Gage | Ten | 99.1 | 106.5 | 7.4 | Emerging as the clear #1 WR in Tennessee. |
| WR | Brian Robiskie | Cle | 68.3 | 75.7 | 7.4 | Redistri, buted receptions among the WRs. |
| QB | Matt Ryan | Atl | 258.2 | 265.5 | 7.3 | Lost Harry Douglas , but gained Booker and Ferguson. |
| WR | Robert Ferguson | Atl | 0.0 | 7.1 | 7.1 | Now on a team. |
| TE | Kevin Boss | NYG | 51.3 | 58.3 | 7.0 | Added a reception TD. |
| RB | Le\'Ron McClain | Bal | 89.5 | 95.5 | 6.0 | Added a TD based on a strong camp. Should be goal line option. |
| WR | Craig Davis | SD | 27.1 | 33.1 | 6.0 | 2nd year player is having a solid camp. |
| TE | Shawn Nelson | Buf | 20.0 | 25.8 | 5.8 | Rookie should emerge as TE1 earlier in the year. |
| WR | Davone Bess | Mia | 57.4 | 63.0 | 5.6 | Redistri, buted passing yards to WRs and way from TEs. |
| WR | Chaz Schilens | Oak | 83.0 | 88.3 | 5.3 | Has emerged as clear WR1 with great camp. |
| RB | Jamaal Charles | KC | 76.5 | 81.8 | 5.3 | Turning heads. Team looking at expanding his role in 2009. |
| RB | Justin Fargas | Oak | 56.0 | 61.3 | 5.3 | Hanging around still with a role. |
| WR | Laurent Robinson | StL | 60.8 | 65.9 | 5.0 | Increased looks while Avery mends. |
| WR | Mario Manningham | NYG | 33.6 | 38.6 | 5.0 | Understated role before. May hold off Nicks early in the year. |
| RB | Jerome Harrison | Cle | 69.7 | 64.7 | -5.0 | Losing carries to James Davis |
| TE | Bo Scaife | Ten | 69.5 | 64.4 | -5.1 | Bigger role for Jared Cook. |
| WR | Javon Walker | Oak | 51.4 | 46.3 | -5.1 | Disclosed he had major knee surgery. |
| WR | Hakeem Nicks | NYG | 74.8 | 69.7 | -5.1 | Will likely start the year slowly and be worked in |
| WR | David Patten | Cle | 27.1 | 21.8 | -5.3 | Josh Cribbs and Brian Robiskie are ahead of him. |
| WR | Mark Clayton | Bal | 86.1 | 80.6 | -5.5 | Hamstring issues could impact the start of the year. |
| RB | Brandon Jackson | GB | 76.5 | 70.9 | -5.6 | DeShawn Wynn impressing in camp. |
| RB | Ray Rice | Bal | 154.2 | 148.2 | -6.0 | Lowered his TDs by 1 due to McClain impressing. |
| RB | Brandon Jacobs | NYG | 208.3 | 202.3 | -6.0 | Eliminated his receiving TD. |
| RB | Ahmad Bradshaw | NYG | 99.0 | 93.0 | -6.0 | Eliminated his receiving TD. |
| WR | Ben Obomanu | Sea | 20.2 | 14.2 | -6.0 | Nate Burleson and Deon , butler impressing now. |
| RB | Darren Sproles | SD | 120.0 | 113.5 | -6.5 | Overtstated before. Moved some carries back to LT. |
| WR | Kenneth Moore | Car | 13.8 | 7.2 | -6.6 | Jason Carter outplaying him. |
| WR | Jason Hill | SF | 48.9 | 42.0 | -6.9 | Overstated before. Took away a TD. |
| WR | Deion Branch | Sea | 63.5 | 56.1 | -7.4 | Hurt again. What a shocker. |
| RB | Antonio Pittman | StL | 27.7 | 20.3 | -7.4 | Ken Darby looks to be the main backup. |
| RB | Ryan Grant | GB | 176.6 | 169.2 | -7.4 | DeShawn Wynn impressing in camp. |
| WR | Pierre Garcon | Ind | 47.4 | 39.8 | -7.6 | Looks to be in a timeshare at WR3 for Indy. |
| TE | Antonio Gates | SD | 128.0 | 120.1 | -7.9 | Took away a TD and gave to the WRs. |
| RB | Edgerrin James | FA | 36.1 | 28.2 | -8.0 | Still without a team. |
| RB | Correll Buckhalter | Den | 40.9 | 32.7 | -8.2 | One of many options at RB in Denver. Limited role likely. |
| RB | Cedric Peerman | Bal | 16.6 | 8.0 | -8.6 | Logjammed at RB. He is the odd man out for now. |
| WR | Mohamed Massaquoi | Cle | 18.7 | 8.9 | -9.8 | Josh Cribbs and Brian Robiskie are keeping him from any playing time. |
| WR | Adrian Arrington | NO | 18.0 | 8.2 | -9.8 | Meachem and Henderson keeping him off the field for now. |
| QB | Shaun Hill | SF | 129.5 | 119.3 | -10.1 | Looks to be behind Alex Smith slightly. |
| WR | Miles Austin | Dal | 79.9 | 68.5 | -11.3 | Redistri, buted passing yards to TE Bennett. |
| RB | Rashard Mendenhall | Pit | 101.7 | 90.4 | -11.3 | Willie Parker holding him at bay a bit longer. |
| RB | Derrick Ward | TB | 160.6 | 149.1 | -11.6 | Ernest Graham looking like the back to have in Tampa Bay. |
| TE | Anthony Fasano | Mia | 70.0 | 57.9 | -12.1 | Expecting more from the WRs |
| WR | Limas Sweed | Pit | 55.0 | 41.9 | -13.1 | Emergence of Mike Wallace limits his upside. |
| WR | Marcus Smith | Bal | 23.6 | 10.3 | -13.3 | Being outplayed by Justin Harper in camp. |
| RB | Andre Brown | NYG | 32.1 | 18.5 | -13.6 | Losing ground to Danny Ware. |
| WR | Brandon Jones | SF | 28.2 | 14.4 | -13.8 | Fractured right shoulder keepshim out for 8 weeks |
| TE | Michael Matthews | NYG | 19.7 | 5.3 | -14.4 | Rookie Travis Beckum outplaying him. |
| WR | Donnie Avery | StL | 125.4 | 110.0 | -15.5 | Foot injury will cost him 4 to 6 weeks. |
| RB | Brian Leonard | Cin | 42.2 | 22.6 | -19.6 | Emergence of Brandon Scott lowers Leonard\'s value |
| WR | Brandon Lloyd | Den | 44.5 | 23.4 | -21.1 | Not doing much to distance himself in camp. |
| RB | Reggie Bush | NO | 165.0 | 143.9 | -21.2 | Knee drained this week. He says he is fine , but we remain skeptical. |
| WR | Lavelle Hawkins | Ten | 40.6 | 18.0 | -22.6 | Appears to have little to no role right now. |
| QB | Kellen Clemens | NYJ | 88.1 | 40.8 | -47.3 | Losing ground to rookie Mark Sanchez. |