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Ultimate Team By Committee - UTBC

  Posted 8/19 by Jeff Pasquino - Exclusive to Footballguys.com

WHEN THE BRITISH naturalist George Shaw received a weird specimen from Australia in 1799 - one with a mole's fur, a duck's bill and spurs on its rear legs - he did what any skeptical scientist would do: He looked for the stitching and glue that would reveal it to be a hoax. "It was impossible not to entertain some distant doubts as to the genuine nature of the animal," Shaw wrote of the seemingly built-by-committee creature, which he eventually named "platypus".

Over the past few years, there have been two very popular articles written by our very own Chase Stuart that look at an interesting approach to building a fantasy team with late value picks. Based upon the theory of using both Strength of Schedule ("SOS") and taking two players as a combination to build one very good player, he has discussed both Team Defense by Committee ("TDBC") and Quarterback by Committee ("QBBC") as a general fantasy league strategy. In general I think that this is a wise move because very early on in fantasy drafts there are a ton of RB and WR prospects to go after to build a great team. While there are a few studs at QB and also a few choice defenses, I do not see a huge need in leagues to pursue either too hard in the beginning stages of a fantasy draft.

So with this in mind, I started to think about what else can be done with the committee approach. Tight end? Perhaps. Wide receiver? A possibility, but it might be better to look at third WR options than any other option. What about running back? Hmmm, that might work. What if I could put together all of this and make a total team using committees? Would that even be possible?

Yes, Virginia, there is a Team Platypus.

With all of these concepts discussed here:

  • QBBC - Quarterback By Committee (Chase Stuart)
  • RB2BC - Running Back #2 By Committee (Jeff Pasquino)
  • WR3BC - Wide Receiver #3 By Committee (Jeff Pasquino)
  • TEBC - Tight End By Committee (Jeff Pasquino)
  • DTBC - Defensive Team By Committee (Chase Stuart)

I've taken a good shot at putting together an Ultimate Team By Committee (UTBC). For the Mike Hermans of the world, I hope you don't mind that I will pass on the kicker by committee. Leave that one for some else to think about.

If It Walks Like a Duck.....

So using the suggestions in the articles and some tweaks based on current ADP, here are the suggestions to build your very own version of Team Platypus:

Round
Pick Range
ADP
Selection
1
.
.
RB1
2
.
.
WR1
3
.
.
WR2
4
.
.
WR/RB
5
49 to 60
63
RB2BC #1 - Ray Rice
6
61 to 72
74
QBBC #1 - Matt Schaub
7
73 to 84
83
WR3BC #1 - Donald Driver
8
85 to 96
96
RB2BC #2 - Leon Washington
9
97 to 108
104
QBBC #2 - David Garrard
10
109 to 120
118
WR3BC #2 - Josh Morgan
11
121 to 132
148
WR5 - Muhsin Muhammad
12
133 to 144
151
TEBC #1 - Heath Miller
13
145 to 156
159
TEBC #2 - Bo Scaife
14
157 to 168
.
Best Player Available
15
169 to 180
172
DTBC #1 - Green Bay
16
181 to 192
.
Best Player Available
17
193 to 204
220
DTBC #2 - Arizona
18
205 to 216
.
Kicker

Table 1: The Ultimate Team By Committee (UTBC) Blueprint

Some of you may notice that there's a bit of inconsistency in Rounds 6 through 10. That's a good observation, and I can explain. Based on QBBC I had to tweak the WR3BC to allow for Matt Schaub and David Garrard to fit into Rounds 6 and 9, respectively. That means I cannot recommend going WR/WR in Rounds 7 and 8 for WR3BC. It also means that the RB2BC recipe of Ray Rice and Cedric Benson is also not going to work here. That's okay - we aren't in the draft yet and we can plan. That's what we do - we adapt. Darwin would be proud.

Let's address what we need here in Rounds 5-10. We want to get RB2BC, WR3BC and QBBC established. Looking back at those two articles I wrote plus Chase's article for QBs and we can modify our earlier RB2BC and WR3BC recommendations.

Table 2 below shows the ADP of the players from 61-120 to give us an idea of where players are going as of August 17th:

Consensus
Player
Team
Pos
61
Vincent Jackson
SD
WR 24
62
Dallas Clark
IND 
TE 4
63
Ray Rice
BAL
RB 27
64
Santana Moss
WAS
WR 25
65
Hines Ward
PIT
WR 26
66
Willie Parker
PIT
RB 28
67
Jonathan Stewart
CAR
RB 29
68
Lee Evans
BUF
WR 27
69
Jay Cutler
CHI
QB 9
70
Chris Wells
ARI
RB 30
71
Greg Olsen
CHI
TE 5
72
Jerricho Cotchery
NYJ
WR 28
73
Lance Moore
NO
WR 29
74
Matt Schaub
HOU
QB 10
75
Cedric Benson
CIN
RB 31
76
Chris Cooley
WAS
TE 6
77
Laveranues Coles
CIN
WR 30
78
Carson Palmer
CIN
QB 11
79
Matt Ryan
ATL
QB 12
80
Kellen Winslow
TB
TE 7
81
Donald Brown
IND 
RB 32
82
Felix Jones
DAL
RB 33
83
Donald Driver
GB
WR 31
84
Bernard Berrian
MIN
WR 32
85
Kevin Walter
HOU
WR 33
86
Owen Daniels
HOU
TE 8
87
Devin Hester
CHI
WR 34
88
Torry Holt
JAX
WR 35
89
Donnie Avery
STL
WR 36
90
LenDale White
TEN
RB 34
91
Julius Jones
SEA
RB 35
92
Jamal Lewis
CLE
RB 36
93
Derrick Mason
BAL
WR 37
94
Pittsburgh Steelers
PIT
TD 1
95
Ben Roethlisberger
PIT
QB 13
96
Leon Washington
NYJ
RB 37
97
Darren Sproles
SD
RB 38
98
Steve Breaston
ARI
WR 38
99
John Carlson
SEA
TE 9
100
Matt Cassel
KC
QB 14
101
Fred Jackson
BUF
RB 39
102
Tim Hightower
ARI
RB 40
103
Ted Ginn
MIA
WR 39
104
David Garrard
JAX
QB 15
105
Baltimore Ravens
BAL
TD 2
106
Zach Miller
OAK
TE 10
107
Earnest Graham
TB
RB 41
108
Rashard Mendenhall
PIT
RB 42
109
Eli Manning
NYG
QB 16
110
Matt Hasselbeck
SEA
QB 17
111
LeSean McCoy
PHI
RB 43
112
Willis McGahee
BAL
RB 44
113
Domenik Hixon
NYG
WR 40
114
New York Giants
NYG
TD 3
115
Minnesota Vikings
MIN
TD 4
116
Dustin Keller
NYJ
TE 11
117
Chester Taylor
MIN
RB 45
118
Josh Morgan
SF
WR 41
119
Jeremy Shockey
NO
TE 12
120
Kyle Orton
DEN
QB 18

Table 2: ADP of Players in PPR Leagues, 61-120

The good news is that we can get four of the recommended players we wanted (Ray Rice, Donald Driver and both Garrard and Schaub). While we cannot get Benson or Ginn, replacing each with Leon Washington and Josh Morgan we are barely giving up any points at all. The Rice / Benson combo was projected to produce 197 points, while the duo of Rice and Washington give 193.6 - that's only 3.4 points of a difference, or less than a 3-yard carry a week. Hopefully you can see why I am fine with making that swap. The story is similar with Driver / Ginn vs. Driver / Morgan. The projections are only 5.4 points different, less than 0.4 points a week. This is not a very big price to pay at all considering that we are getting almost everything else we wanted here for Team Platypus. Note that players in Table 2 that were part of the original RB2BC and WR3BC are highlighted in green, while suggested replacement picks are in yellow.

After Round 10, the draft works out according almost exactly as the predicted plan. Muhsin Muhammad (ADP 148) falls in our laps at Round 11, while TEBC hits us squarely in Rounds 12 and 13 with Heath Miller (ADP 151) and Bo Scaife (ADP 159) well within reach. Down the stretch we can relax with taking a few sleeper candidates or a RB handcuff if you like as we wait to grab Green Bay (Round 15 or 16, ADP 172) and Arizona (ADP 214) towards the end of the draft. Green Bay is a borderline Round 16 pick, so take note of who has taken a defense already and decide if you want to risk them falling past you in Round 15. If you have a long list of equal sleepers at that point, take Green Bay and rest easy rather than be disappointed.

As mentioned before, kickers are kickers - take one late. If your fantasy team has fewer than 18 rounds, TE or defense by committee may be a waste of roster space - consider getting a TE in Round 10 like Dustin Keller and then make Muhsin Muhammad your WR4 to combine with Driver as your WR3BC. On the flip side, if your team has a lot of roster room, don't wait beyond Round 18 to get Arizona and feel free to grab late sleepers.

Best of luck this year.

As always, feedback is welcome at pasquino@footballguys.com.