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Week 13 Passing Matchups

by Mark Wimer and Joe Bryant, Exclusive to Footballguys.com

Great Matchups: [CIN] [DEN] [HOU] [IND] [MIN] [NE] [PHI] [SD] [SF]
Good Matchups: [CAR] [CHI] [DAL] [OAK] [SEA] [STL]
Neutral Matchups: [JAX] [MIA] [NYG] [PIT] [TEN]
Tough Matchups: [ARI] [ATL] [BAL] [BUF] [GB] [KC] [NO] [TB] [WAS]
Bad Matchups: [CLE] [DET] [NYJ]

PLEASE NOTE: This does NOT replace the Cheatsheet ranking. The Cheatsheet rankings are the final say on where we see a player for that week. The Matchup Breakdowns are simply one more tool in the box when it comes to helping choose your lineup.

Also note, just because a player has a "bad" matchup, it does NOT mean he's not a starter in your league. If Peyton Manning is playing the toughest pass defense in the league, that just means he's got a tough matchup that week. He's also your starter unless you're loaded at QB. In the same way, if the worst QB on your roster has a "great" matchup that week, it doesn't necessarily mean he's your starter. It means we think he'll fare better than normal that week.

Bottom line is that the cheatsheets are the final say.

Cincinnati Bengals Passing Offense vs Detroit Lions Passing Defense (Great Matchup)

The Bengals piled up 210 yards rushing vs. the Browns, which made the passing game secondary last week (Carson Palmer attempted 24 passes vs. 45 rushing attempts during the game) - in the end, Palmer had 13/24 for 110 yards, one TD and zero interceptions when the book closed on the 17-6 win over Cleveland. Actually, Palmer has been pretty pedestrian over the past four weeks, with just two TDs thrown (65/109 for 719 yards, two TDs and one interception thrown, with 14/30/2 rushing to help out his points-starved owners). He lands at 26th in points per game among all fantasy QBs during that time frame. Unsurprisingly, Laveranues Coles (15/224/0 receiving, 51st fantasy WR in points per game over the last four weeks) and Chad Ochocinco (14/200/0 receiving, 58th fantasy WR) have been laggards for their fantasy owners during the third quarter of the season.

However, Cincinnati owenrs need not give up hope - the league's worst pass D, the Detroit Lions, is coming calling on Sunday. The Lions average 281.4 net passing yards allowed per game. They've given up a league-worst 27 passing TDs, and have a league-worst six interceptions to balance those TDs. The Lions are 27th in the NFL with 19 sacks this year. Over the last four weeks, the Lions have allowed a league-worst 1332 passing yards, and a league-worst 130 total points from scrimmage. Aaron Rodgers took home 28/39 for 342 net yards, three TDs and zero interceptions from the 34-12 defeat of the Lions on Thanksgiving Day.

This is a great week for Palmer and company to wake up and work off some energy taking advantage of the Lions' secondary.

Weather: The forecast for Paul Brown Stadium on Sunday calls for a high of 43 F and a low of 26 F with a 10% chance for rain - it'll be cool during the game, but not unpleasant, if the forecast holds up.

The official NFL injury report with Probable, Questionable, Doubtful and Out designations will be available by Saturday. Please refer to the week 13 injury report for the latest injury news regarding your players.

Denver Broncos Passing Offense at Kansas City Chiefs Passing Defense (Great Matchup)

Both of these divisional rivals have been up and down over the past two weeks - they come into this first showdown with a 1-1 record during that time span. Kyle Orton returned his team to the 'W' column last week, with 18/28 for 245 yards, one TD and one interception vs. the Giants - Brandon Marshall (6/86/0 receiving), Tony Scheffler (4/53/0) and Jabar Gaffney (3/48/0 receiving) led the team last week, but Brandon Stokley caught the TD (1/17/1). Now that the Broncos have snapped their losing streak, we'll see if Orton can maintain the momentum - he's had a long interval in which to get his sore ankle healed up thanks to the early Thursday game last week.

The Chiefs' pass D is among the league's worst, averaging 258.4 net yards allowed per game, with 19 passing TDs handed over this year vs. just seven interceptions generated (next-to-last in the NFL in this defensive category). The team is also next-to-last in sacks, with a mere 14 to date. Most recently, the Chargers exploited K.C. for 22/29 yielding 332 net passing yards, two TDs and zero interceptions - there were zero sacks and only one hit on the Chargers' QBs by the Chiefs last week.

Orton and company have to travel to Arrowhead Stadium this week, but they shouldn't have too much trouble with the humble K.C. defense.

Weather: Arrowhead Stadium expects a high of 43 F on Sunday, with a low of 26 F later in the day - there is a 20% chance for precipitation during the game. If the wind stays relatively calm, weather conditions shouldn't play a big role in this contest.

Houston Texans Passing Offense at Jacksonville Jaguars Passing Defense (Great Matchup)

Matt Schaub blasted the Jaguars for 26/35 for 300 yards passing, three TDs and one interception back in week three - since then, he's been a fantasy monster, with many multiple-TD games, including throwing two TDs in each of his last two games (25/39 for 305 yards, two TDs and zero interceptions vs. Tennessee, and 31/42 for 284 yards, two TDs and two interceptions last week vs. Indianapolis). The current three-game losing streak isn't Schaub's fault, folks. As usual, Kevin Walter (7/73/0 receiving vs. Indianapolis), Andre Johnson (5/67/0 last week), Steve Slaton (7/49/0) and Jacoby Jones (3/27/1 last week) are the main cogs in the Houston passing attack - FB Vonta Leach snagged a rare TD from the FB position last week (2/11/1).

The Jaguars' rush D has been stout of late, but their pass D leaves a good bit of room for improvement - Ryan Fitzpatrick lit up the secondary for 18/31 yielding 290 net yards, one TD and two interceptions two weeks ago, and then Alex Smith compiled 27/41 for 232 net yards, two TDs and zero interceptions last week. Smith was not sacked at all - the Jaguars are dead last in the NFL with a mere 10 sacks to their credit through 11 games, while averaging 242.9 net passing yards allowed per game (26th in the NFL), with 19 passing TDs surrendered vs. just nine interceptions generated. These guys are pretty easy to pass on entering December.

Schaub and company have a great matchup ahead of them this week.

Weather: Jacksonville Municipal Stadium expects a high of 68 F with a low of 55 F on Sunday - there is only a 10% chance for rain. Weather conditions shouldn't impact the outcome of this matchup.

Indianapolis Colts Passing Offense vs Tennessee Titans Passing Defense (Great Matchup)

Peyton Manning dissected the Titans' secondary back in week five, with 36/44 for 309 yards, three TDs and one interception to his credit en route to a 31-9 thrashing of their divisional rival. Austin Collie was a Titans' DB's worst nightmare that day, with 8/97/2 receiving to his credit, followed by the usual suspects Dallas Clark (9/77/0), Reggie Wayne (6/60/1) and Joseph Addai (10/53/0).

Manning and the Colts continue to win games (and generate oodles of fantasy points), but all is not 100% perfect in Indianapolis right now as Manning has had trouble protecting the ball of late. He's thrown 111/160 for 1,188 yards, nine TDs and seven interceptions to land at #5 among all fantasy QBs during the last four weeks. Last week, he led a come-from-behind victory over Houston, with 27/35 for 244 yards, three TDs and two interceptions - it was his third straight game with two interceptions thrown, which is uncharacteristic for Manning. Austin Collie led the team in receiving vs. Houston, with 4/70/0, followed by Dallas Clark (9/63/1), Pierre Garcon (5/63/1) and Reggie Wayne (3/19/1). The Colts' offense is going strong, overall, entering December, friends.

The Titans' pass D has been their Achilles' heel all year long, with a 31st-ranked average of 266.7 net yards allowed per game to date, and the enormous total of 25 passing TDs given away vs. 11 interceptions and 26 sacks generated. Over the past four weeks, Tennessee has allowed 957 yards passing over four contests (239.3 per game), with 25/39 for 283 net yards, two TDs and zero interceptions handed over to Houston two weeks ago and 21/31 for 217 net yards, zero TDs and zero interceptions allowed to Arizona's backup QB Matt Leinart last week.

Manning vs. the 31st-ranked pass D in the land equals a huge edge for the Colts.

Weather: Inside Lucas Oil Stadium (under the retractable roof), weather conditions shouldn't impact either squad this week.

Minnesota Vikings Passing Offense at Arizona Cardinals Passing Defense (Great Matchup)

Brett Favre has been the number one fantasy QB in the land over the last four weeks (points per game), with 74/102 for 949 yards passing, eight TDs and zero interceptions in his last three contests. Sidney Rice was the number one fantasy WR during the same time period, with 19/379/2 to his credit; Percy Harvin checks in at #8 on the list with 14/233/2. Vishanthe Shiancoe is at #6 among all fantasy TEs for the same time period, with 16/172/2 to his credit. The Vikings' passing attack is on fire entering December, friends. Start 'em if you've got 'em.

The Cardinals' pass D is among the league's most suspect, currently averaging 258.3 net yards allowed per game (29th in the NFL), with 16 passing TDs handed over vs. 11 interceptions generated. The team is fourth in the NFL with 32 sacks, while the Vikings are 13th in the NFL with 22 sacks allowed this year. Last week, Vince Young, who hadn't thrown for more than 210 yards in a game so far this year, chopped up the Cardinals for 27/43 for 387 passing yards (369 net) and one TD with zero interceptions thrown. The Cardinals have handed over 1215 net passing yards in their last four games, folks - we call that bad around here.

This is a great matchup for Favre and his corps of receivers.

Weather: University of Phoenix Stadium expects a high of 70 F on Sunday, with a low of 47 F later in the evening. There is only a 10% chance for rain - it should be a great night to play pro football if the forecast holds up. The retractable roof may be open on Sunday night.

New England Patriots Passing Offense at Miami Dolphins Passing Defense (Great Matchup)

Tom Brady had no trouble passing the ball the last time he saw the Dolphins in week nine, with 25/37 for 332 yards, one TD and one interception - Randy Moss (6/147/1) and Wes Welker (9/84/0) were the wrecking crew that day, as usual, helped out by Ben Watson (4/49/0) and Kevin Faulk (4/35/0). In two out of the last three games since facing Miami, Brady threw for over 300 yards and posted four TDs vs. just one interception - until he ran into the Saints last Monday night. New Orleans held Brady and company to 21/36 for 237 yards, zero TDs and two interceptions in a 38-17 thrashing that got so out of hand Brady and the other starters were benched with ~ five minutes left in the game. It's fair to say that the Patriots come into this matchup on a down-note. Even the best teams have bad games during a season, so we're far from panic mode over the hiccup last week - but there is no denying the Patriots didn't play their best game last week.

The Dolphins have been pretty generous in this phase of the game during 2009, currently averaging 233 net passing yards allowed per game (23rd in the NFL), with 13 passing TDs given up vs. 10 interceptions and 35 sacks generated (they're tied for second in the NFL in the sacks category entering December). New England is fourth in the NFL with just 16 sacks given away this year, though - they aren't particularly susceptible to pass pressure with Brady under center. Last week, Ryan Fitzpatrick tossed 17/26 yielding 207 net yards, one TD and one interception vs. the Dolphins; and Jake Delhomme even managed 19/42 for 201 net yards, one TD and one interception vs. the Dolphins two weeks ago. This is a mediocre-to-sub-par unit depending on the week in question.

The Patriots have one of the best passing attacks in the NFL, and should enjoy a solid game vs. the suspect Dolphins this Sunday.

Weather: LandShark Stadium expects a high of 77 F with a low of 68 F and a 30% chance of rain on Sunday. The forecast calls for scattered showers, which in South Florida could be intense cells of heavy rain - if the sky opens up at game time, footing, ball handling and the passing/kicking games could all be more troublesome than usual. Owners of Dolphins and Patriots will want to look at a shorter-term forecast before setting their lineups this week.

Philadelphia Eagles Passing Offense at Atlanta Falcons Passing Defense (Great Matchup)

Donovan McNabb has been playing fairly well during the past four weeks, with 95/152 for 1,181 passing yards, six TDs and five interceptions to his credit (which lands him at 12th among all fantasy QBs in points per game during the stated time frame). He hasn't run the ball much of late, with 8/2/0 in the last four games. Last week, against the Redskins, McNabb was the only Eagle QB to complete passes, with 21/35 for 260 yards, one TD and one interception at the end of the game. Mike Vick finished with 0/1 passing and 2/4/0 rushing vs. Washington. Jason Avant continues to be a major contributor, with 5/94/0 receiving last week and 19/319/1 receiving over the past four weeks (23rd-best fantasy WR in points per game (PPR format) during that stretch of time), while DeSean Jackson had 20/268/2 receiving during that time frame and Jeremy Maclin posted 20/247/1. Unfortunately, Jackson suffered a concussion on Sunday (he had 2/41/1 receiving before being forced from the game), while Maclin posted 5/63/0 against the Redskins. Head coach Andy Reid said on Monday, November 30th that Jackson is 'OK.' 'He doesn't feel bad today,' Reid said. 'We are as cautious as they come with concussions. We're going to continue to test him and go through the process.' Stay tuned to Footballguys.com's players in the news as Jackson works through this injury - as we've seen recently with Ben Roethlisberger and Kurt Warner, concussions can cause after-effects several days after they are first incurred. Jackson owners should have a backup plan in place this week in case he's held out (the new emphasis in the league on handling concussions properly is keeping guys out longer than in years past). At mid-week, the news out of Philadelphia indicates that Jackson is very unlikely to play in week 13 - the team confirmed that Jackson lost consciousness after his injury last week and seems resigned to the fact that Jackson isn't going to go on Sunday.

The Falcons field one of the league's worst pass defenses, with an average of 252.8 net yards allowed per game (27th in the NFL) and 18 passing TDs allowed vs. just eight interceptions generated (tied for 23rd in the NFL in interceptions to date). The Falcons are 22nd in the NFL with 21 sacks this year (the Eagles are 23rd in the NFL with 27 sacks allowed through 11 games). The Falcons have allowed 984 net passing yards in their last four games (246 per contest on average), with 20/30 for 245 net yards, two TDs and zero interceptions given up to young Josh Freeman of Tampa Bay last week.

McNabb has several weapons at his disposal in this phase of the game, even if Jackson is sidelined, and the Falcons haven't shown the ability to slow down opposing QBs throughout the season - the Eagles have a big edge in this contest despite being in hostile territory (with Mike Vick on the team, likely very hostile territory) in the Georgia Dome on Sunday.

Weather: Inside the Georgia Dome, weather conditions won't impact either team on Sunday.

San Diego Chargers Passing Offense at Cleveland Browns Passing Defense (Great Matchup)

Philip Rivers lit up the Chiefs like a Christmas tree last week, throwing for 21/28 yielding 317 yards, two TDs and zero interceptions. Antonio Gates was huge for his fantasy owners, with seven targets for 7/118/2 during the game - Malcolm Floyd (4 for 3/85/0) and Darren Sproles (6 for 5/66/0) were the other main pass catchers last week (Vincent Jackson converted just two of his five chances for 27 yards receiving). Rivers has thrown five TDs and zero interceptions over the last three games, and the Chargers are on a six-game winning streak entering this contest. The Chargers' passing game is solid and effective entering December's stretch run to the playoffs.

Solid and effective are not words that spring to mind when we talk about the Cleveland Browns: they are currently 24th in the NFL averaging 233.4 net passing yards allowed per game, with 16 passing scores given up to date vs. just six interceptions generated (tied for last in the NFL with Detroit). The team has 23 sacks to date (tied for 17th in the NFL). The Chargers are tied for seventh in the league with just 20 sacks allowed so far this year. Last week, Carson Palmer didn't need to throw the ball much as the running backs dominated the Browns for 210 yards rushing on 45 attempts - Palmer tossed 13/24 for 96 net yards and a TD on the way to a 16-7 win over Cleveland. Two weeks ago, these guys allowed 26/43 for 416 net yards, five TDs and two interceptions to Matthew Stafford and company - they are not good pass defenders, folks. Last week was a result of the Bengals choosing to exploit the Browns run defense, rather than a sudden surge of competence by the Browns.

Rivers is hot, while the Browns have been pretty awful in this phase of the game most weeks. Advantage, San Diego.

Weather: Cleveland Browns' Stadium expects a high of 37 F on Sunday, with a low of 33 F and a 20% chance3 for rain - it should be a decent afternoon to watch (and play) pro football.

San Francisco 49ers Passing Offense at Seattle Seahawks Passing Defense (Great Matchup)

The last time these teams faced off (week two), Shaun Hill was the starting QB for San Francisco - now that Alex Smith is back under center entering December, looking at ancient history isn't going to tell us much about this matchup. One thing can be said - the last time San Francisco played Seattle, they rushed for 29/256/2, so not a lot of balls needed to go through the air.

Of late, Alex Smith has been throwing the ball quite a bit, with 88/142 for 863 yards, seven TDs and five interceptions thrown over his last four games (20th-best fantasy QB in the land during that time frame). His main targets during November were: Vernon Davis (37 targets for 25/295/2 receiving), Michael Crabtree (29 for 15/209/1), Frank Gore (29 for 21/119/2) and Josh Morgan (23 for 12/81/0) - Jason Hill was a weapon near the goal-line vs Tennessee in week nine (4/50/2), but has faded during the last two weeks and finished the mentioned four week span with 7 targets for 6/63/2. During last week's victory over Jacksonville, Smith avoided throwing interceptions and threw for a respectable 27/41 for 232 yards, two TDs and zero interceptions - it was perhaps his most complete game as a QB this year. It appears that the coaching staff is growing more comfortable with his skills, as the 49ers emphasized the passing game last week (until the end of the game when they needed to kill the clock). Five 49ers caught at least four receptions last week, with Davis in the lead (6/69/1), followed by Crabtree (4/54/0), Delanie Walker (4/52/0), Josh Morgan (6/43/0) and Frank Gore (7/14/1). The 49ers' passing offense is clicking nicely entering December, friends.

Seattle has coughed up 1048 passing yards and 103 total points from scrimmage during the last four weeks, an average of 262 passing yards allowed per game, which is even higher than their 25th-ranked season average would lead us to expect (the team has averaged 238.1 net passing yards allowed per game). The team has handed over 20 passing scores this year vs. 10 interceptions and 26 sacks generated - it's not too hard to score on this group. Just ask Brett Favre and the Vikings, who racked up 28/33 for 271 net yards, five TDs and zero interceptions vs. Seattle two weeks ago - even Kyle Boller managed 28/46 for 251 net yards, one TD and two interceptions against this pass D.

Smith and company are hot, while the Seahawks pass D is taking steps backwards rather than forwards entering December. Advantage, San Francisco.

Weather: Qwest Field expects a high of 42 F on Sunday, with a low of 33 F and a 60% chance of precipitation - if the skies open up during the game, precipitation could mean rain, sleet, snow, or any combination of the above. This venue is also subject to unpredictable, swirling winds in stormy conditions - all phases of the game are likely to be trickier than usual on Sunday. Owners of Seahawks and and 49ers will want to check a shorter-term forecast before setting their lineups on Sunday.

Carolina Panthers Passing Offense vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Passing Defense (Good Matchup)

Jake Delhomme flopped (again) last week, tying his season mark for futility with another game in which he threw four interceptions (14/34 for 130 yards, zero TDs and four interceptions). He was pretty awful the last time he played against Tampa Bay, back in week six - 9/17 for 65 yards, one TD and two interceptions - there simply isn't a lot of reason to be excited about Carolina's passing attack entering December. That's especially true with Delhomme suffering from a fractured right finger as of Monday, November 30th - he may miss time due to the injury, which would put the offense in the hands of backup Matt Moore (he's thrown 69/123 for 793 yards, three TDs and six interceptions for the Panthers over 13 appearances to date). Muhsin Muhammad is banged up (his injured knee is still sore and hampering him, though he's trying to play through the pain). Steve Smith, who had 1/4/0 receiving vs. Tampa Bay back in week six, just posted 1/5/0 receiving vs. the Jets last week - the bad old times came back to Carolina last week. We'll see if Delhomme (or Moore) can pull the team out of this nose-dive, or if they'll crash and burn against the blitzing, high-intensity Buccaneers. Delhomme missed practice on Wednesday - it is looking more and more probable that Moore will get the nod this week.

Since the previous showdown between these squads, the Buccaneers have demoted their defensive coordinator and head coach Raheem Morris took over the defensive play-calling/system. He's taken the team back to their 'Tampa Two' scheme, and utilized a lot of blitzing last week vs. Atlanta - Tampa kept the score close last week, but still lost 20-17. However, it was the first time since week four that Tampa held someone to under 21 points scored, so there was some notable improvement. However, the Buccaneers gave up 25/44 for 222 net yards, two TDs and zero interceptions to a backup QB straight off the bench - they still have a long way to go before they scare opposing teams. This season, they've coughed up 24 passing TDs vs. just 12 interceptions generated, and average 210.5 net passing yards allowed per game (11th in the NFL).

Delhomme and the Panthers are back in the tank entering December, while the Buccaneers are seeking to reclaim their 'Tampa Two' identity as a unit, but have not been impressive pass defenders most of the year. This looks like a fairly good matchup for Delhomme (or Moore) and the Panthers, who'll have the home field faithful at their back as they attempt to (once again) correct things in this phase of the game.

Weather: Bank of America Stadium should see a high of 55 F on Sunday, with a low of 34 F later that evening - there is only a 10% chance for precipitation. Weather conditions shouldn't play a big role in determining the outcome of this matchup.

Chicago Bears Passing Offense vs St. Louis Rams Passing Defense (Good Matchup)

Jay Cutlers' struggles continued last week in the Twin Cities - he posted the second-lowest passing total of the 2009 campaign on Sunday, with 18/23 for 147 yards, one TD and two interceptions. Greg Olsen (7/45/0) and Matt Forte (4/34/0) were his lead receivers, while Johnny Knox (1/24/1) and Devin Hester (1/20/0) both managed to snag one of the two balls thrown their way last week. The Bears' offense is deflated entering December, folks. At 4-7, their season is already over.

The Rams' season is even more over than the Bears', with one whole win to their credit over 11 weeks. Seattle didn't need to pass the ball last week in order to win, so they didn't (14/25 for 95 net yards, zero TDs and zero interceptions), but when teams do bother to throw the ball vs. St. Louis they generally have good results - the Rams are 22nd in the NFL averaging 225.6 net passing yards allowed per game, with 15 TDs given up vs. eight interceptions and just 18 sacks generated to date (near the bottom of the league in both interceptions and sacks generated). Arizona raked this team for 25/33 for 261 net yards, two TDs and zero interceptions two weeks ago, and Kurt Warner could only play one half of the game.

Cutler is in a downwards spiral, but the Rams are bad enough that he may find a saprk this week. Advantage, Chicago.

Weather: Soldier Field expects a high of 37 F with a low of 28 F on Sunday, with a 10% chance of precipitation - as long as the forecast holds up, it should be decent weather up in the Windy City. However, at this time of year wind conditions can be variable and extreme - owners of Bears and Rams will want to check a shorter-term forecast with anticipated wind conditions before setting their lineups this week.

Dallas Cowboys Passing Offense at New York Giants Passing Defense (Good Matchup)

Tony Romo struggled against the Giants back in week two, with 13/29 for 127 yards, one TD and three interceptions thrown (he added a TD rush, 1/3/1, to help salvage his fantasy owners' scores that week). Jason Witten caught his one and only TD of the year vs. New York, with 5/33/1 receiving - he's snagged 59/588/1 during the season, including 5/107/0 last week vs. Oakland on Thanksgiving - Witten is still heavily involved in the passing game, but the TDs haven't appeared at the rate most fantasy owners expected to see this year. Romo comes into this rematch hot, with 18/29 for 309 yards, two TDs and zero interceptions to his credit vs. Oakland last Thursday. Miles Austin led the team in receiving last week, with 7/145/1, while Roy Williams handled the other TD for Romo (2/15/1). Austin's emergence has made a big difference in the weeks between week two and week 13 - the Cowboys' passing attack is much more effective in December than it was in September.

The Giants' pass D is not outstanding despite their fourth-place ranking in terms of yards allowed per game (182.6 net yards on average) - they have given away a hefty 18 passing TDs this year, vs. just nine interceptions generated. Also, the Giants are tied for 17th in the NFL with just 23 sacks to date - they simply haven't generated much pressure up front or in the secondary. Last week, Kyle Orton was only sacked once on Thanksgiving evening and had just one other QB hit to absorb on his way to 18/28 for 235 net yards, one TD and one interception. Matt Ryan posted 26/46 for 262 net yards, two TDs and zero interceptions in the 34-31 shootout with the Giants during week 10.

Romo is on a roll, while the Giants' pass D is in retreat entering December. This looks like a good matchup for the Cowboys despite being in the Giants' house on Sunday afternoon.

Weather: Pleasant weather is forecast for Giants' Stadium on Sunday, with a high of 46 F anticipated (low of 34 later that evening), and a 10% chance for precipitation - if the forecast holds up, conditions shouldn't play a big role in the outcome of this contest.

Oakland Raiders Passing Offense at Pittsburgh Steelers Passing Defense (Good Matchup)

Bruce Gradkowski has made the Raiders' passing attack respectable over the last two weeks, with 17/34 for 183 yards, two TDs and one interception in the upset win over Cincinnati two weeks ago, and 18/35 for 200 yards, one TD and zero interceptions vs. Dallas on Thanksgiving. These guys aren't the Colts, but they've gotten past their Cleveland Browns imitation with Gradkowski calling the shots. Five players have been Gradkowski's main targets over the past two weeks: Zach Miller (13 targets for 10/138/1), Louis Murphy (11 for 3/51/1), Chaz Schilens (11 for 4/73/0), Darrius Heyward-Bey (11 for 3/28/1) and Darren McFadden (9 for 7/53/0). Miller is the most reliable producer of fantasy points during the Gradkowski era, as you can see.

The Steelers field the league's 13th-ranked pass D, averaging 213.5 net passing yards allowed per game, with 12 TDs given away vs. just eight interceptions generated. They do have 35 sacks this year (second in the NFL through 11 games), which is a concern for the Raiders who've allowed 30 sacks this year (25th in the NFL). Joe Flacco put up 23/35 for 261 net yards, one TD and zero interceptions vs. Pittsburgh last week; Matt Cassel had 15/30 for 214 yards, two TDs and zero interceptions two weeks ago. The pass D is a big part of why they Steelers have a three-game skid going right now, folks.

Gradkowski has done a credible job as the Oakland starter, while the Steelers are in a slump right now. Advantage, Oakland.

Weather: Heinz Field expects fairly mild weather on Sunday, with a high of 39 F and a low of 33 F with a 10% chance for precipitation - as long as the forecast holds up, conditions shouldn't play a large role in determining the outcome of this game.

Seattle Seahawks Passing Offense vs San Francisco 49ers Passing Defense (Good Matchup)

Matt Hasselbeck could only play part of the game back in week two due to a rib injury inflicted by the 49ers (he missed the next two games due to the injury), so there was a heavy dose of Seneca Wallace vs. San Francisco (15/23 for 127 yards, one TD and one interception, vs. 10/18 for 97 yards, zero TDs and zero interceptions for Hasselbeck). Since the early-season game, Hasselbeck has run hot and cold as a passer - the last two weeks he's definitely been cold, with 19/26 for 231 yards, zero TDs and one interception vs. Minnesota, followed by a minuscule 14/25 for 102 yards, zero TDs and zero interceptions thrown against the Rams (Seattle rushed for 31/170/2 against the soft Rams and didn't need to throw the ball much).

San Francisco handed over 25/36 for 261 net yards passing to David Garrard and company last week (zero TDs and zero interceptions) - two weeks ago, Aaron Rodgers and company racked up 32/45 for 326 net yards, two TDs and zero interceptions vs. the 49ers. Over the past four weeks, the 49ers have given away 1057 net passing yards and 73 total points from scrimmage - a pace that is lock-step in tune with their 28th-place ranking as pass defenders this season (256.5 net yards allowed per game, with 11 TDs handed over balanced by 11 interceptions and 25 sacks generated - the team is in the middle of the NFL range in both of the latter categories.

Hasselbeck didn't get to play a full game vs. the 49ers back in week two - this time around, if he can stay in the game, he's got a good shot at a solid showing vs. the suspect San Francisco pass D.

St. Louis Rams Passing Offense at Chicago Bears Passing Defense (Good Matchup)

Kyle Boller stood up to a lot of punishment last week (four sacks and 12 other hits on the QB were recorded by the Seahawks on Sunday), and crafted a decent showing with 28/46 for 282 yards, one TD and two interceptions. He hit 10 different receivers during the game, finding Ruvell Martin (2/60/0), Danny Amendola (7/55/0) and Donnie Avery (4/48/1) for the majority of the passing yards he amassed in his most recent start. To date, Boller has 77/132 for 763 yards, three TDs and five interceptions to his credit during 2009. That's not horrible considering who leaky the OL is (the Rams have allowed 25 sacks to date, but as we saw last week the Rams' QBs get hit a lot more often than that).

Chicago's pass D has 22 sacks this year (21st in the NFL), while averaging 214.2 net passing yards allowed per game (tied for 14th in the NFL). However, they've handed over 21 passing TDs vs. just 10 interceptions generated - over the past four games, the Bears are tied for second-most points allowed from scrimmage, with 111 handed over - Brett Favre just bombed the Bears for 32/48 yielding 378 net yards, three TDs and zero interceptions during the game on last Sunday. Donovan McNabb hit them for 23/32 yielding 220 net yards, two TDs and one interception two weeks ago. You get the idea.

Boller and company are still scrapping despite their bad record - the Bears' D doesn't appear to have much fight left in them. Advantage, St. Louis.

Jacksonville Jaguars Passing Offense vs Houston Texans Passing Defense (Neutral Matchup)

David Garrard didn't throw for a TD vs. Houston back in week three (18/30 for 214 yards, zero TDs and zero interceptions), but he did run for one (5/29/1 rushing during the game). The usual suspects led the team in receiving during that game, with 6/81/0 flowing to Mike Sims-Walker, 3/57/0 landing in Torry Holt's arms, and 4/28/0 going to Maurice Jones-Drew. Though his team lost last week, Garrard threw for over 300 yards passing vs. San Francisco, with 25/36 for 307 yards, zero TDs and zero interceptions - the Jags just couldn't get into the end-zone last week. Seven different Jaguars caught at least two passes, led by Mike Thomas (4/62/0), Torry Holt (4/50/0) and Mike Sims-Walker (4/46/0). The Jaguar's offense is operating fairly well entering December, with 80/119 for 1,007 yards, three TDs and one interception to Garrard's credit over the past four weeks.

The Texans average 214.2 net passing yards allowed per game this year (14th in the NFL, currently), with 14 passing TDs given up vs. 10 interceptions and just 15 sacks generated (30th in the NFL in the sacks category entering week 13). Over the past four weeks, Houston has allowed 650 yards of passing in their last three games (216.6 per contest), which is lock-step with their mediocre season average. Peyton Manning threw for 27/35 yielding 228 net yards, three TDs and two interceptions in last week's 35-27 win over Houston.

Garrard and company have hit their stride - this week, at home against a so-so Houston squad, we think that this is a fairly even matchup, with neither team holding a big edge over the other.

Weather: Jacksonville Municipal Stadium expects a high of 68 F with a low of 55 F on Sunday - there is only a 10% chance for rain. Weather conditions shouldn't impact the outcome of this matchup.

Miami Dolphins Passing Offense vs New England Patriots Passing Defense (Neutral Matchup)

The last time these teams faced off (week nine), Chad Henne managed 19/34 for 219 yards, zero TDs and zero interceptions (Ronnie Brown threw a TD during the game, with 1/2 for one yard and one TD). Since that game, Henne has thrown one TD per game, with a total of four interceptions (three came last week in the divisional loss to Buffalo, when Henne went 17/31 for 175 yards, one TD and three interceptions). In fact, Henne has completed 17 passes three weeks in a row, with between 172 and 175 yards passing in each of the last three games. During the past three weeks, Davone Bess (18 targets for 13/169/0), Brian Hartline (13 for 6/95/1) and Ted Ginn (13 for 6/50/0) have been Henne's lead targets. As you can see, the Dolphin's attack is not swimming with the sharks entering December - they have a pretty unexciting aerial attack, friends.

The Patriots' pass D was dismantled by Drew Brees and company last week - they racked up 18/23 for 367 net yards, five TDs and zero interceptions during the 38-17 demolition of New England. Two weeks ago, Mark Sanchez was intercepted four times and held to 8/21 for 122 net yards and a TD - the Patriots' pass D has been outstanding and then abysmal in the course of two weeks. To date, the team ranks 10th in the NFL averaging 203.6 net yards allowed per game, but they've now given up 19 TDs vs. 13 interceptions and just 19 sacks generated (27th in the NFL in the latter category). On balance, this group looks mediocre entering the stretch run in December. They certainly were knocked back on their heels last week, anyway.

On balance, this looks like a neutral matchup between units that need improvement entering December.

New York Giants Passing Offense vs Dallas Cowboys Passing Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Eli Manning is having trouble with his foot, characterized as a stress reaction - in the cuboid bone, which is the bone on the outside middle of the foot, according to various reports out of New York this week. The plantar fasciitis that has bothered Manning earlier this season is apparently no longer an issue - in any case, Manning has an injured foot that could get worse during December. 'It makes me frustrated because it's kind of one thing leads to another,' Manning said on Monday. 'When you have to go to the training room and get treatment, it just kind of throws your schedule out of whack. You have to get there early in the morning and stay after. Things that I normally do, it just kind of pushes everything back. It throws your normal schedule (off).' The last time these divisional rivals clashed, during week two, Manning exploded for 25/38 for 330 yards, two TDs and zero interceptions (Mario Manningham, 10/150/1, and Steve Smith, 13/134/1, handled the bulk of Manning's passes that day). However, since the early-season winning streak, the Giants have struggled to post 'Ws' in the win/loss column - most recently, they lost on Thanksgiving evening to Denver 6-26 and Manning disappointed with 24/40 for 230 yards, zero TDs and one interception after two strong performances in his previous two games. It's fair to say that the Giants are yo-yoing in this phase of the game entering December.

The Cowboys have allowed one passing TD in their last two games, with 18/35 for 181 net yards, one TD and zero interceptions handed over to Bruce Gradkowski on Thanksgiving Day - two weeks ago, Jason Campbell managed 24/37 for 246 net yards, zero TDs and one interception vs. Dallas. Over the past four weeks, Dallas has given up 814 net yards passing (203.5 per contest), compared to their season average of 224.9 net yards allowed per game (21st in the NFL). The team has tightened their coverage during the third quarter of the season, although they aren't shutting teams down like the Redskins just yet. To date, Dallas has allowed 15 passing scores vs. generating seven interceptions (that's tied for second-least in the interception department through 11 games).

The Giants are streaky in this phase of the game, while the Cowboys have gone from sub-par to mediocre during recent weeks - that sounds about even to us.

Pittsburgh Steelers Passing Offense vs Oakland Raiders Passing Defense (Neutral Matchup)

Ben Roethlisberger has reportedly been working out without complications since missing the week 12 game for Pittsburgh, and is expected to resume fully practicing as of Wednesday, December 2nd. However, as we saw last week with Roethlisberger and Kurt Warner, the after-effects of concussions can crop up unexpectedly on the eve of contests - owners of Roethlisberger will want to monitor his practice participation/injury status later this week and be ready with a backup plan on Sunday in case a setback occurs. In the three games he's played over the past four weeks, Roethlisberger is the eighth ranked fantasy QB in the land with 73/111 for 805 passing yards, six TDs and four interceptions thrown. If Roethlisberger can't go again, Dennis Dixon did a decent job in his first NFL start last week, with 12/26 for 145 yards, one TD and one interception (with 3/27/1 rushing) against Pittsburgh's tough divisional rival Baltimore. He looked to Santonio Holmes (6/74/1) and Hines Ward (3/47/0) the most during his first start.

The Raiders' pass D runs in middle of the NFL range this year, averaging 215.8 net yards allowed per game. They are hard to score on, though, with just 10 passing TDs given up over 11 games, vs. seven interceptions and 24 sacks generated so far this year. The Raiders allowed 676 passing yards in their last three games (225.3 per contest on average), with a poor showing on Thanksgiving down in Dallas (18/29 for 299 net yards, two TDs and zero interceptions given away to Tony Romo and company). The team comes into this game cold after pulling off an upset of the Bengals two weeks ago (14/22 for 171 net yards, zero TDs and one interception handed over to Carson Palmer and company).

On balance, this looks like a neutral matchup for Pittsburgh at mid-week, though if Roethlisberger is back to 100% and looking good by the end of the week, upgrade the ranking to a conservative 'good' ranking. Realize, though, that given the weakness of Oakland in the rushing phase of the game, the Steelers may not need to throw a whole lot this week.

Tennessee Titans Passing Offense at Indianapolis Colts Passing Defense (Neutral Matchup)

The last time these teams faced off, the Titans were in the midst of a dismal losing streak and Tennessee didn't manage to score a TD. Since the team switched QBs, though, the offense has been playing at an entirely different level - looking back to week five isn't going to tell us a lot about the Titans entering week 13, as they've performed an amazing comeback over the last five weeks.

Vince Young has three straight games with one TD pass to his credit, and he exploded all over the Cardinals last week for 27/43 yielding 387 yards, one TD and zero interceptions - young Kenny Britt broke out with his best game of the season (7/128/1 receiving) and ran his streak of games with a TD reception to two. Bo Scaife (5/68/0), Nate Washington (3/68/0) and Lavelle Hawkins (4/44/0) did most of the rest of the heavy lifting during the game. All told, eight different Titans caught at least one pass last week. Young is hot entering December.

Indianapolis fields a tough-to-score-on secondary that bends but doesn't often break. The Colts have allowed only nine passing TDs this year vs. 13 interceptions and 26 sacks generated (towards the top of the league in each of the latter two categories). Over the past four weeks, the Colts have given up 1195 net yards passing (just a shade under 300 yards per game at 298.75 on average), but they have six interceptions and six sacks to their credit. Matt Schaub posted 31/42 for 274 net yards, two TDs and two interceptions last week (one returned for a TD by Clint Session); Joe Flacco posted 23/35 for 256 net yards, zero TDs and one interception two weeks ago.

Young uncorked a big game last week, and he may well rack up a bunch of passing yards again this week. On balance, this looks like a neutral matchup for the visiting Titans.

Weather: Inside Lucas Oil Stadium (under the retractable roof), weather conditions shouldn't impact either squad this week.

Arizona Cardinals Passing Offense vs Minnesota Vikings Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)

As of Tuesday, Kurt Warner continues to experience sensitivity to light and is seeing shadows in his field of vision. Despite these post-concussion after-effects, Warner is planning to play on Sunday - but he also cautions that he's taking things one day at a time. Owners of Warner (and the Cardinals' receivers) will want to check on Warner's practice status/injury status later in the week before setting their lineups. With Warner sidelined last week, Matt Leinart led the Cardinals to 21/31 for 220 yards, zero TDs and zero interceptions against Tennessee. Anquan Boldin (5/53/0 receiving) and Larry Fitzgerald (4/34/0) led the team in receiving yardage last week. Stay tuned to Footballguys.com's players in the news later in the week to see how Warner progresses in his recovery.

The Vikings lead the league in sacks, with 40 to their credit to date (the Cardinals are fifth in the NFL with just 18 sacks allowed through 11 games). The Vikings get good pressure up front, but it isn't translating into turnovers (the Vikings have just nine interceptions to their credit, tied for 20th in the NFL). Right now, the team ranks 19th in the NFL allowing an average of 221.9 net passing yards per game, with 15 passing TDs surrendered so far. Over the past four weeks, the Vikings average just 179.3 net passing yards allowed per game - Jay Cutler scraped up 18/23 for 126 net yards, one TD and two interceptions in the Chicago loss to Minnesota. As the season has gone on, the Vikings have clamped down on opposing passers.

Warner (or Leinart) have home field advantage this week, and they'll need every advantage they can find as the fierce Vikings want to stay in the fight for home field advantage throughout the playoffs. This looks like a tough matchup for the home team.

Atlanta Falcons Passing Offense vs Philadelphia Eagles Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)

The Falcons will have to lean on Chris Redman this week as Matt Ryan's painful turf toe is going to keep him on the sidelines for this game (and possibly longer). Redman was the guy who returned the Falcons' passing game to respectability two years ago (in the wake of the Michael Vick dog-fighting debacle) - he threw for 89/149 for 1079 yards, 10 TDs and five interceptions during seven games played that year. Last week, Redman stepped in for Ryan after just 3 passes were attempted by Ryan and proceeded to crank out 23/41 for 243 yards, two TDs and zero interceptions. Redman hit all the usual suspects (Tony Gonzalez, 9/83/0; Michael Jenkins (7/80/0); and Roddy White (5/57/1)), and also got Jerious Norwood into the end zone on a shovel pass (2/28/1 receiving for Norwood). Redman is a solid backup who has worked with this team for several years now.

The Eagles' pass D is a high-intensity unit that brings a lot of pressure to bear on opposing QBs - the team has 31 sacks (sixth in the league to date) and 18 interceptions (third in the NFL), but their DBs can be burned deep (the team has allowed 17 passing TDs, with a long of 86 yards handed over). To date, the Eagles are ninth in the NFL averaging 202.6 net passing yards allowed per game, with 873 net passing yards allowed in the last four weeks (218.3 passing yards allowed per game, on average). Jason Campbell was right on the latter pace last week, with 22/37 for 221 net passing yards, two TDs and two interceptions during the 24-27 Philadelphia victory. The Falcons' OL is banged up coming into this game, which is a reason for concern - Tampa Bay got six sacks and eight other hits on the QB last week, while G Harvey Dahl (ankle and Achilles' tendon) and OT Sam Baker (multiple, unspecified injuries - he was listed as questionable on Friday due to an elbow problem) were both sidelined during the game on Sunday. Look for the Eagles to attack the faltering Falcons' OL with a vengeance on Sunday.

Redman is a capable player, but the situation he'll face on Sunday isn't the most favorable for success - advantage, Philadelphia.

Weather: Inside the Georgia Dome, weather conditions won't impact either team on Sunday.

Baltimore Ravens Passing Offense at Green Bay Packers Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)

Joe Flacco snapped out of his funk last week, throwing for 23/35 yielding 289 yards, one TD and zero interceptions vs. the Steelers. Mark Clayton (7/129/0), Ray Rice (5/67/0) and Derrick Mason (7/62/1) were the three players who caught more than one pass - in all, seven Ravens hauled in at least one pass from Flacco last week. It was Flacco's first TD pass in the past four games - he looks like he's on the upswing entering December. We'll see if he can build on the momentum on Monday Night Football this week. Flacco is reportedly nursing a sore ankle that was re-rolled in the second half last week - however, he's playing through the injury: 'I kind of re-rolled it in the beginning of the second half,' Flacco said on Monday, November 30th. 'I just put some tape on it. It felt good the rest of the time.'

The Packers field one of the league's stingier pass defenses when it comes to yards allowed, averaging 192.5 net passing yards allowed per game (sixth in the NFL). However, they have coughed up 21 passing TDs to balance their 18 interceptions (tied for third in the NFL in the interceptions department), while generating 23 sacks so far this year (tied for 17th in the NFL). Over the past four weeks, the Packers have handed over 829 passing yards in four games, with seven interceptions and 11 sacks to their credit - Matthew Stafford was blown up for four interceptions last week (20/43 for 199 net yards, one TD and four interceptions).

Flacco hasn't been finding the end zone much of late, but against the river-boat-gambling DBs that the Packers field, he may hook up for a couple scores this week. On balance, this looks like a tough matchup for the Ravens, who'll face the Lambeau faithful as well as the Packers' D on Monday night.

Weather: Lambeau Field expects a high of 37 F on Monday afternoon, but it will be closer to 25 F when the game starts on Monday Night Football - there is a 30% chance for sleet/snow/ice on Monday. Wind conditions can be extreme in this venue during December - owners of Ravens and Packers will want to check a shorter-term forecast with anticipated wind conditions before setting their lineups this week.

Buffalo Bills Passing Offense vs New York Jets Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)

Back in week six, Ryan Fitzpatrick took the majority of snaps for the Bills (10/25 for 116 yards, one TD and one interception), and he's since played his way into the starting role for the team - last week, Fitzpatrick threw for 17/26 yielding 246 yards, one TD and one interception (with 7/50/1 rushing, too), and the Bills notched a key 'W' over divisional rival Miami. Over the past two weeks, Fitzpatrick has played well since regaining the starting job. Terrell Owens has been the primary recipient of Fitzpatrick's passes during the past two weeks, with 19 targets for 14/293/2, followed by Josh Reed (8 for 4/50/0) and Lee Evans (10 for 3/55/0). RB Fred Jackson has caught every ball thrown his way of late (9 targets for 9/63/0 receiving over the past two weeks). The Bills are hard-charging spoilers entering December, folks.

The Jets have swung through extremes in the past two weeks, shutting down Carolina's Jake Delhomme last week (14/34 for 104 net yards, zero TDs and four interceptions), but being blown up by Tom Brady two weeks ago (28/41 for 299 net yards, one TD and zero interceptons allowed to the Patriots). Over the past four weeks, the Jets have coughed up 611 net passing yards during three contests - this year, they average 175.7 net passing yards allowed per game (2nd in the NFL), with just seven passing TDs handed over vs. 11 interceptions and 21 sacks generated. Usually, the Jets are pretty tough in this phase of the game.

Fitzpatrick is making good things happen for the Bills, but he's got a tough assignment this week up in Toronto. Advantage, New York Jets.

Weather: This game will be played in the Rogers Centre, up in Toronto, Canada. The venue has a fully retractable roof, but at this time of year it will almost certainly be closed - weather shouldn't be an issue for either team in this early contest on Thursday night.

Green Bay Packers Passing Offense vs Baltimore Ravens Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)

Aaron Rodgers bombed the Lions for 28/39 for 348 yards, three TDs and zero interceptions on Thanksgiving Day, hooking up with Donald Driver (7/142/1), James Jones (4/35/1) and Donald Lee (4/22/1) for the TDs - in all, eight different Packers had receptions in the game, with seven of the players catching multiple passes. Rodgers utilizes all the diverse weapons he has at his disposal - over the past four weeks, he's the #2 fantasy QB in the land with 102/155 for 1147 passing yards, eight TDs and three interceptions to his credit - he's also added in 16/59/2 rushing for his fantasy owners during that time frame. The Packers are nuclear hot entering December, folks.

The Ravens are currently ranked 12th in the NFL with an average of 211.3 net passing yards allowed per game. They have given up 12 passing TDs this year, balanced by 12 interceptions and 21 sacks (a number that is very likely to go up by several facing the league's worst pass-blocking line: Green Bay has surrendered 44 sacks through 11 games). Over the past four weeks, the Ravens have allowed 741 net passing yards (185.3 per game on average) with five interceptions and five sacks. Last week, Pittsburgh's third-string QB Dennis Dixon threw for 12/26 for 145 net yards, one TD and one interception in a close 17-20 loss to Baltimore.

Rodgers and company are blasting into December at the top of their game, but they face a stern test when the Ravens come calling on Monday night.

Kansas City Chiefs Passing Offense vs Denver Broncos Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)

Matt Cassel has been all over the map during the last four games, with two solid outings (23/39 for 262 yards, two TDs and zero interceptions at Jacksonville and 15/30 for 248 yards, two TDs and zero interceptions vs. Pittsburgh), a mediocre game last week at San Diego (19/31 for 178 yards, one TD and one interception), and a poor game (19/34 for 216 yards, zero TDs and one interception at Oakland). Chris Chambers continues to be the lead receiver for the Chiefs, with 7/70/1 last week vs. San Diego and 17/319/3 receiving over the past four games (12th-best fantasy WR in points per game (PPR format)). Jamaal Charles (3/54/0 receiving last week), Bobby Wade (2/20/0) and Lance Long (2/15/0) provide other targets for Cassel, but Chambers is the fantasy WR to own right now - Dwayne Bowe continues with his performance-enhancing drugs suspension this week.

Denver's pass D is currently fifth in the NFL averaging 185 net yards allowed per game, with 10 passing TDs given up over 11 games vs. eight interceptions and 32 sacks generated (tied for fourth in the NFL in this category). Kansas City is 31st in the NFL with 38 sacks allowed to date, so look for the Broncos to rush Cassel heavily this weekend. Eli Manning was limited to 24/40 for 210 net yards, zero TDs and one interception last week (he was sacked three times and hit six other times during the game). Over the past four weeks, the Broncos have allowed 771 net passing yards (192.8 per contest), which is close to their outstanding season average. This is one of the top pass defenses in the NFL, and they got back to their top form on Thanksgiving vs. the Giants.

Cassel has been inconsistent during the third quarter of the season, while the Broncos are consistently solid at pass D - advantage, Denver.

New Orleans Saints Passing Offense at Washington Redskins Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)

New Orleans has dominated their last two opponents by an average margin of 26 points, taking down Tampa 38-7 and then ripping the Patriots 38-17 on Monday Night Football's big stage this past Monday. Drew Brees and his receivers were playing on an extremely high level last week, with 18/23 for 371 yards, five TDs and zero interceptions on the night - he's thrown 10 TDs and just two interceptions over the last three weeks, with multiple TD passes in each game. All the usual suspects got into the act last week, with 4/121/1 receiving for Marques Colston, 3/116/1 for Devery Henderson, 5/69/1 for Robert Meachem and 3/23/1 for Pierre Thomas. Even Darnell Dinkins snagged a TD, with 1/2/1 during the game. Jeremy Shockey was the lone disappointment last week, with just one target for 1/15/0 on the night. The Saints are going mach two with their hair on fire entering December.

The Redskins boast of the league's top-ranked pass D, allowing an average of 170.4 net yards per game, with 11 TDs given up vs. seven interceptions and 27 sacks generated through 11 games. However, the Saints are third in the NFL with just 14 sacks allowed this year - Brees doesn't get hit very often (New England had just one sack and one other hit on Brees last Monday night). Over the past four weeks, the Redskins have allowed 720 yards passing (180 per game on average), although they did stumble somewhat last week against Donovan McNabb and the Eagles (21/36 for 258 net yards, one TD and one interception allowed).

The Saints are on fire this year, but they've got a tough task ahead when they visit the Redskins at FedEx Field on Sunday. Brees and company are too hot to sit down, for sure, but this isn't a cup-cake matchup by any means.

Weather: FedEx Field should see pleasant weather on Sunday, with a high of 49 F and a low of 34 F forecast (10% chance for precipitation) - weather conditions shouldn't play a large role in the outcome of this game.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Passing Offense at Carolina Panthers Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)

Josh Freeman played a solid game in Atlanta last week, throwing 20/29 for 250 yards, two TDs and zero interceptions. It was the first time in his pro career he completed 20 passes, and the first time he hit 250 yards passing - he also avoided throwing an interception for the first time since he became the team's starter. Antonio Bryant returned to action and made an impact, with 3/91/1 receiving, followed by Kellen Winslow (7/81/0), Maurice Stovall (3/26/0) and Sammie Stroughter (3/19/0). In all, eight Buccaneers caught at least one pass from Freeman last week - we'll see if he can keep up the momentum against another divisional rival. Freeman didn't play in the first contest vs. Carolina.

The Panthers' pass D is the defense's strong point, currently averaging 181.3 net yards allowed per game (third in the NFL), with 12 passing TDs given away balanced by 12 interceptions and 21 sacks generated to date. Last week, Mark Sanchez and company managed just 13/18 for 144 net yards, zero TDs and one interception vs. Carolina; Miami was held to 17/29 for 172 net yards, one TD and zero interceptions on Thursday night two weeks ago.

Freeman made good things happen last week, but he's got a tough challenge ahead when he visits this divisional rival in Charlotte, N.C.

Washington Redskins Passing Offense vs New Orleans Saints Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)

Jason Campbell played pretty well against the Eagles last week, with 22/37 for 231 yards, two TDs and two interceptions during the narrow 24-27 loss. However, he reportedly lost consciousness on the final play from scrimmage last week - given the NFL's increased vigilance about concussions this year, this may be an issue for Campbell this week. Head coach Jim Zorn said on Monday he expects Campbell to be OK, but he plans to ask the league office to review the hit. Owners of Campbell or the Redskins' receivers should pay attention to his practice participation later this week in Footballguys.com's players in the news. In the game last week, youngsters Malcolm Kelly (2/50/0), Devin Thomas (4/46/0) and Fred Davis (4/43/1) led the team in receiving, while old guard member Santana Moss snarfed up the other available TD (4/28/1 receiving). The Redskins' passing attack is on a even keel right now, with one or two passing TDs during four of the last five games, and a total of six passing TDs vs. five interceptions.

The Saints' pass D allows a good amount of yardage each week as teams try to catch up to their phenomenal offense (currently the Saints are 18th in the NFL averaging 217.5 net passing yards allowed per game), but they force oodles of turnovers in this phase of the game - the Saints are first in the NFL with 22 interceptions this season, and are second in the NFL (tie) with a mere nine passing TDs handed over this year. They are also tied for 10th in the NFL with 26 sacks through 11 games. Tom Brady and company were held to 23/40 for 244 net yards, zero TDs and two interceptions last week by the Saints during the 38-17 New Orleans victory. Josh Freeman managed jsut 17/33 for 100 net yards, one TD and three interceptions the week before - as you can see, protecting the football is a paramount concern when New Orleans is your opponent.

Campbell and company have a hard fight on their hands this week - advantage, New Orleans.

Cleveland Browns Passing Offense vs San Diego Chargers Passing Defense (Bad Matchup)

Brady Quinn reverted to form vs. Cincinnati last Sunday, eking out 15/34 for 100 yards, zero TDs and zero interceptions during the 7-16 loss to the Bengals. Excepting the week that he faced the league's worst pass D (that'd be Detroit), he's thrown zero TDs and two interceptions since returning as the Browns' starter. Chansi Stuckey was the only Brown to go over 20 yards receiving last week, with eight targets for 4/44/0 - Muhammad Massaquoi could convert just a single one of his eight chances (1/12/0). Look for your fantasy points elsewhere, folks.

This week, the Chargers invade Cleveland Browns' Stadium with their eighth-ranked pass D (averaging 199.6 net passing yards allowed per game, with 14 passing scores balanced by 11 interceptions and 28 sacks to date - the Chargers are seventh in the league in sacks generated through 11 games). The Browns are tied for 18th in the NFL with 25 sacks allowed this year - we expect the Chargers to test Quinn early and often with pass pressure. They've had 11 sacks over the past four weeks, while generating three interceptions during that time span - last week, Kansas City was held to 20/33 for 170 net yards, one TD and one interception by the Chargers. Two weeks ago, Kyle Orton and Denver managed 17/33 for 156 net yards, zero TDs and one interception. Right now, the Chargers are playing top-five level pass defense.

The Browns struggle against mediocre defenses - against a top shelf unit like the Chargers, we'll see how low Quinn can go on his passer rating. Advantage, San Diego.

Weather: Cleveland Browns' Stadium expects a high of 37 F on Sunday, with a low of 33 F and a 20% chance3 for rain - it should be a decent afternoon to watch (and play) pro football.

Detroit Lions Passing Offense at Cincinnati Bengals Passing Defense (Bad Matchup)

Matthew Stafford tried to battle through his sore left (non-throwing) shoulder last week, but it didn't work out very well - he threw four interceptions and only one TD during the game (20/43 for 213 yards), bringing his four-game total to 11 interceptions thrown vs nine TDs tossed in that same time frame. Even worse, his young compatriot on the team, TE Brandon Pettigrew, landed on IR Tuesday, December 1st with a season-ending knee injury/surgery. However, the work at hand goes on and both Stafford (shoulder injury) and Calvin Johnson (hand, knee injuries) practiced on Tuesday as they prepare for the Bengals - we'll see who is able to go on Sunday - keep your eye on the Footballguys.com feature players in the news later on this week to get a read on the likely starters for Detroit.

The Bengals are in the middle of the NFL when it comes to pass D, averaging 215.8 net yards allowed per game (16th in the league), with 12 passing TDs and 12 interceptions generated during 11 contests. They are tied for 10th in the NFL with 26 sacks this year - Detroit is 28th in the NFL with 33 sacks allowed so far this year. Look for the Bengals to come after Stafford and his aching body early and often on Sunday. Brady Quinn was held to 15/34 for 100 yards passing, zero TDs and zero interceptions last week (the team had 16/35 for 111 net yards passing thanks to 1/1 for 18 yards by Josh Cribbs). Oakland surprised the Bengals with 17/34 for 183 net yards, two TDs and one interception two weeks ago - over the last four games, the Bengals have allowed just 600 yards passiing, though, for an average of 150 net passing yards allowed per game. These guys are playing very stubborn defense entering December.

Stafford is wounded and he lost an important target in the passing game last week - meanwhile, the Bengals are gearing up for a playoff run in December. This looks like a bad matchup for Detroit.

New York Jets Passing Offense at Buffalo Bills Passing Defense (Bad Matchup)

Mark Sanchez struggled mightily the last time he faced the Bills, throwing five interceptions and zero TDs (10/29 for 119 yards). Since the week six disaster, Sanchez has run hot and cold, and enters this game in a slump - he's thrown two TDs and seven interceptions over the past three weeks, with 13/17 for 154 yards, zero TDs and one interception most recently, vs. Carolina. Sanchez also tweaked a knee during the game, which may be an issue for him during practices this week: 'I know he's sore, so we'll see how that goes,' head coach Ryan said on Tuesday. 'It's a short week...but he finished the game. I thought he was still moving around pretty good, so hopefully he'll be 100 percent when we play.' During the slump, Jerricho Cotchery has been the best fantasy WR on the team, with 21 targets for 10/164/2 receiving, followed by Dustin Keller (17 for 13/164/0) and Braylon Edwards (14 for 7/129/0). Those three receivers are Sanchez's main targets entering December.

The Bill's pass D is currently ranked seventh in the NFL with an average of 197.8 net yards allowed per game, and they've given away only nine passing TDs this year, while landing at second in the league with 21 interceptions. Though the team has only 20 sacks so far (26th in the NFL), their DBs do a great job shutting down pass lanes and breaking on the ball. Just ask the Dolphins, who compiled 17/32 for 168 net yards, one TD and four interceptions vs. Buffalo last weekend (a 31-14 victory for the Bills).

Sanchez is a typical rookie QB, with some stinker games among his outings this year. The last time he faced Buffalo, he had a rough time, and he's cold as a winter day in New York City entering December. This looks like a bad matchup for the youngster.

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