Week 1 Passing Matchups
by Mark Wimer and Joe Bryant, Exclusive to Footballguys.com Great Matchups: [BAL] [CIN] [GB] [IND] [NO] [SEA]Good Matchups: [ATL] [MIA] [NE] [OAK] [PHI] [SF] [STL]
Neutral Matchups: [ARI] [CHI] [DET] [HOU] [MIN] [NYG]
Tough Matchups: [BUF] [CAR] [CLE] [DAL] [DEN] [JAX] [NYJ] [PIT] [SD] [TB] [WAS]
Bad Matchups: [KC] [TEN]
PLEASE NOTE: This does NOT replace the Cheatsheet ranking. The Cheatsheet rankings are the final say on where we see a player for that week. The Matchup Breakdowns are simply one more tool in the box when it comes to helping choose your lineup.
Also note, just because a player has a "bad" matchup, it does NOT mean he's not a starter in your league. If Peyton Manning is playing the toughest pass defense in the league, that just means he's got a tough matchup that week. He's also your starter unless you're loaded at QB. In the same way, if the worst QB on your roster has a "great" matchup that week, it doesn't necessarily mean he's your starter. It means we think he'll fare better than normal that week.
Bottom line is that the cheatsheets are the final say.
Baltimore Ravens Passing Offense vs Kansas City Chiefs Passing Defense (Great Matchup)
Joe Flacco (257/428 for 2971 yards, 14 TDs and 12 interceptions in his rookie campaign) has a reputation for being unflappable. He certainly weathered some stormy waters this preseason, as his top WR, Derrick Mason, abruptly semi-retired after Steve McNair's unfortunate death, then rejoined the team. Injuries took out Mark Clayton for a big chunk of the preseason due to a seriously injured hamstring; and new TE L.J. Smith is also ailing from a hamstring injury. Through it all, Flacco has remained steady, posting 23/28 for 247 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions (a 115.3 QB rating) vs. Carolina in week three of preseason. Derrick Macon is back to 100% healthy entering the year, though the WR corps is thin (the team only kept 4 on the active roster -Mason, Clayton, Demetrius Williams and Kelley Washington). There is some good personnel news though - Todd Heap appears to have recovered his top form and looks like he's ready to play some football during 2009. The Ravens were 15th in the NFL last year, handing over 33 sacks to their opponents during regular season - Flacco shouldn't get too beat up playing behind that line. The Chiefs D was awful last year, averaging 234.3 passing yards allowed per game (28th in the NFL), with 21 passing TDs given away (the team averaged 27.5 points allowed per game, 29th in the NFL). They generated 13 interceptions (t-17th in the NFL) and a league-low 10 sacks - like we said, they were awful last year. The new DC Clancy Pendergast joins Haley from Arizona, where Pendergast served as defensive coordinator during 2008 until being fired after the Super Bowl. His defenses in Arizona had been bottom-tier for several years, so it is unclear if his 3-4 front and new scheme will help improve a shaky unit. Against Seattle in the third preseason game, the Seahawks hung 28/39 for 294 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception on the Chiefs - not an encouraging outcome for the K.C. faithful. Flacco has been solid in preseason and, though he has a spare cupboard at WR, he should enjoy a good outing vs. the bottom-of-the-barrel Chiefs on Sunday. Weather: M and T Bank Stadium expects a high of 80 F on Sunday, with a low of 68 F and a 20% chance of rain. That sounds like great weather for playing and watching football to us. BAL Injuries: QB Marc Bulger (Probable), WR Anquan Boldin (Questionable)KC Injuries: CB Brandon Flowers (Questionable)
Cincinnati Bengals Passing Offense vs Denver Broncos Passing Defense (Great Matchup)
The Bengals were the third-worst pass blocking team last year, handing over 51 sacks to their opposition with Ryan Fitzpatrick calling the shots while Carson Palmer mostly stood on the sidelines and nursed his elbow injury. Now that Palmer is back, this number should moderate. Palmer suffered a high ankle sprain during the preseason, so we haven't seen him in game-time situations much entering regular season (he missed the third and fourth preseason games) - the elbow that bothered him last year is said to be 100% and he has been practicing leading into the season opener, which is good news for the Bengals. Chad Ochocinco seems to have rededicated himself to playing football this year, and Chris Henry appears to have cleaned up his act - Laveranues Coles will add to the tandem and try to help replace the departed T.J. Houshmandzadeh. The team lost TEs Reggie Kelly and Ben Utecht to IR before the season began, so third-year player Dan Coats and rookie Chase Coffman are going to be pressed into service at the TE position during 2009. Denver's pass D was very poor last season, ranking 26th in the NFL while allowing 228.5 yards a game. The team generated only 6 interceptions all year long (31st in the NFL) and only 26 sacks (26th in the NFL). DC Mike Nolan was brought in to right the ship, and the team switched to a 3-4 defensive front, but it remains to be seen how the new scheme may improve the secondary. The Broncos were 30th in the NFL last season in terms of points allowed per game, averaging four TDs given up each contest (28 points per game). Denver handed over 21/32 for 243 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions to Jay Cutler and company in the third preseason game - we're still waiting on signs of improvement. Palmer has a reloaded stable of WRs to work with, and a cupcake D to exploit this week - this is a great matchup for the home team. Weather: Paul Brown Stadium should see a high around 82 F at 1 PM when the game starts - there is a 30% chance for rain, so if the precipitation falls heavily at game time, footing and ball handling could become issues for both teams. Keep your eye on a shorter-term forecast before setting your lineup if you have players in this one. CIN Injuries: QB Carson Palmer (Probable), RB Cedric Peerman (Doubtful), WR Chris Henry (Probable)DEN Injuries: DT LeKevin Smith (Out), S Brian Dawkins (Probable)
Green Bay Packers Passing Offense vs Chicago Bears Passing Defense (Great Matchup)
Aaron Rodgers had an outstanding year after replacing Brett Favre in the lineup, throwing for 341/536 for 4038 yards, 28 TDs and 13 interceptions (with 56/207/4 rushing as a sweetener for his fantasy owners). The team returns a stacked receiving corps to the field this year, led by Greg Jennings (80/1292/9 receiving last year) and Donald Driver (74/1012/5), backed up by James Jones and Jordy Nelson (both now healthy, unlike last season). At TE Jermichael Finley is emerging as a legitimate weapon and plays across from steady veteran TE Donald Lee. Rodgers and company have been very impressive during preseason (Rodgers hit 14/19 for 258 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions vs. the Cardinals in week 3 of the preseason) - this offense looks ready to pick up the pace even considering how well Rodgers performed last year. The Packers were in the middle of the NFL last year, with 34 sacks allowed during 16 contests - Rodgers' increasing familiarity with the offense and more latitude to audible this year should help out in this area. Chicago's pass D was soft last year, ranking 30th in the NFL while allowing 241.2 yards per game on average, with 21 passing TDs handed over to their opponents (and averaging 21.9 points allowed per game as a defensive unit (16th in the NFL)). The team did perform fairly well against the in-flux Broncos during week 3 of preseason, holding Kyle Orton and company to 20/28 for 204 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception - we'll see if the Bears can keep on improving now that the games count. Rodgers and his team mates are hot entering September, and they have home field advantage at their back - against the suspect Bears, this looks like a great matchup. Weather: Lambeau Field expects some rain on Sunday, with a 40% chance of precipitation for the night game (low of around 52 F). If the rain falls in buckets at game time, footing and ball handling will be larger issues than usual for both teams - this venue can be very windy when the weather is stormy, as well. Owners of Bears and Packers will want to check a shorter-term forecast before setting their lineups this week. GB Injuries: QB Matt Flynn (Probable), RB Brandon Jackson (Doubtful)CHI Injuries: DE Israel Idonije (Probable), CB Charles Tillman (Questionable), S Chris Harris (Questionable)
Indianapolis Colts Passing Offense vs Jacksonville Jaguars Passing Defense (Great Matchup)
As usual, the Colts didn't allow many sacks last year (14, third-best in the NFL) - Peyton Manning rarely gets hit with the ball in his hands. Manning posted another 4,000+ passing yards season (barely), throwing 371/555 for 4002 yards, 27 TDs and 12 interceptions. Manning has a string of three 4,000+ passing yards seasons in a row going and has done so nine of the last 10 years. This year, he'll do without Marvin Harrison who is out of football at the start of the season, with Reggie Wayne captaining the receiving corps (82/1145/6 receiving last year), joined by Anthony Gonzalez (57/664/4) and Dallas Clark at the TE position (77/848/6 receiving last year). Pierre Garcon and rookie Austin Collie will likely share the team's #3 receiver role this season, making neither particularly attractive as a fantasy option. The Jacksonville secondary wasn't very good last year, ranking 24th in the NFL averaging 224.1 passing yards allowed per game, with 25 pass TDs handed over. Overall, the defense was 21st in the NFL allowing an average of 22.9 points per game. The team generated 13 interceptions and 29 sacks last year, in the middle of the NFL in both statistical categories. The unit wasn't awful, but they were sub-par in most ways. The team imported a new DC this offseason, Mel Tucker, who joins the Jaguars staff from Cleveland, where he served as defensive coordinator last season and coached defensive backs from 2005-2007. We'll see if his backround coaching DBs can help reform the Jags' pass D. It didn't help much against the Eagles in week three of the preseason as philly threw for 35/58 for 365 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception during the contest. The Jags may be in for a rocky start to the season if they don't clamp down and improve quickly. One of the best passers/attacks in all of football faces a weak secondary this Sunday - advantage Indy. Weather: At Lucas Oil Stadium, the retractable roof may be closed this week as there is a 40% chance for rain in the Indianapolis area. If it doesn't rain, the high is forecast to be 78 F during the afternoon. IND Injuries: noneJAX Injuries: none
New Orleans Saints Passing Offense vs Detroit Lions Passing Defense (Great Matchup)
Drew Brees torched the Raiders in his extended game time during the third preseason contest (14/17 for 179 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions - a 149.8 QB rating) and appears ready to pick up where he left off last year, which was within spitting distance of setting a new NFL record for the best season passing the football, with 413/635 for 5069 yards, 34 TDs and 17 interceptions. The Saints were the second-best pass blocking team in the nation last year, with only 13 sacks of Drew Brees allowed all year, which helped with his monster showing (although he hasn't thrown for less than 4,400 yards in any of his seasons in New Orleans). His receiving stable is now healthy and back near full strength, with standouts Marques Colston (47/760/5 over 11 games last year) and Lance Moore (79/928/10) anchoring the WR corps (Robert Meachem and Devery Henderson provide quality depth/options in 3- and 4-wide sets). Jeremy Shockey has a full training camp in the team's system now and is determined to redeem himself after a down year during 2008 (50/483/0 receiving), and Reggie Bush provides another lethal pass catcher to Brees (when he is healthy). This offense looks as explosive as ever entering regular season. The Lions' defense was awful last year - they were 32nd in the NFL with an average of 32.3 points given up per contest. Vs. opposing passers, the defense ranked 27th in the NFL, averaging 232.2 yards allowed per game, with 25 passing TDs handed over - the Lions were league-worst in producing interceptions, with a mere 4, while tying for 16th in the league in sacks, with 30. New DC Gunther Cunningham intends to install an aggressive, blitzing defense - we'll see if he can generate more turnovers with increased pressure on the passer. The unit snagged three interceptions in the final two preseason games, but those interceptions came from the likes of Curtis Painter (IND) and Brooks Bollinger (DET) - Peyton Manning hit 12/15 for 123 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions vs. the Lions while on thei field in the third preseason game. Best attack against worst defense - sounds like a great matchup is on tap for the Saints and fantasy owners of the Saints' receivers. Weather: Inside the Superdome, weather won't be an issue for either team. NO Injuries: RB Pierre Thomas (Out), TE Jeremy Shockey (Probable)DET Injuries: none
Seattle Seahawks Passing Offense vs St. Louis Rams Passing Defense (Great Matchup)
Seattle is transitioning from Mike Holmgren to Jim Mora Jr. this year, but it was a planned transition with Mora Jr. serving as a sort of co-head coach last season. Greg Knapp was Mora's OC in Atlanta and will serve in that capacity here, too. The return of Matt Hasselbeck to health and his solid play during the preseason makes fans in Seattle hopeful that an offensive rennaissance is around the corner - the addition of T.J. Houshmandzadeh (5/60/1 receiving in the third preseason game vs. K.C.) and the return to health of Nate Burleson (torn knee ligament early in September last year) gives the Seahawks a lot more fire-power to work with. John Carlson is an excellent young TE who did well in tough circumstances last year (55/627/5 receiving last year - he led the team in week three of the preseason with 5/68/1). Hopefully, with Hasselbeck back under center the OL will be able to cut down on the number of sacks allowed (36 given up last year, 13th-worst in the NFL), but the injury to LT Walter Jones has made a shaky situation very tenuous indeed - he's missed a lot of time with a knee injury and there are rumblings that Jones may not play this year at all. The Rams were 31st in the NFL last year averaging 29.1 total points allowed per game (only Detroit was worse during 2008). HC Steve Spagnuolo and DC Ken Flajole are expected to turn up the heat with the Rams' blitzing schemes during 2009, but there is a long way to go before the Rams are above average in this phase of the game. The team ended 2008 ranked 19th in the NFL in terms of passing yards allowed (217.2), while giving up only 12 passing TDs (but they handed over 26 rushing TDs last year - teams simply preferred to run the ball into the end zone when playing St. Louis since it was so easy). The Rams tied for 21st in the NFL with 12 interceptions to their credit, while managing 30 sacks (t - 16th in the NFL). Cincinnati's reserves passed for 12/19 for 171 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception vs. the Rams in the third preseason game (Carson Palmer was out with an ankle injury). Hasselbeck has a restocked arsenal and a suspect, divisional rival in front of him at home this week - advantage, Seattle. Weather: Qwest Field has only a 10% chance for rain on Sunday (a rarity for Seattle), with a high near 74 F and a low approaching 57 F in the evening. It should be a temperate autumn afternoon which is perfect football weather. SEA Injuries: WR Deion Branch (Questionable)STL Injuries: S Craig Dahl (Out)
Atlanta Falcons Passing Offense vs Miami Dolphins Passing Defense (Good Matchup)
Matt Ryan has looked very comfortable throwing the ball throughout preseason, with 14/20 for 140 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions in the third exhibition tilt vs. San Diego. Tony Gonzalez and he have developed a good understanding so far, and with Roddy White (88/1382/7 last year) happy with a fat new contract, it appears that the team is on the verge of becoming an offensive juggernaut. Michael Jenkins has been a steadily reliable possession receiver during preseason and is a great compliment to White and Gonzalez. Brian Finneran and Marty Booker are quality, veteran depth in this stable. Ryan did miss practice on Monday due to illness, but he should be healthy and ready to go by Sunday. Miami's pass D was 25th in the NFL in terms of yardage allowed, with an average of 227.8 per game, but they did limit their opponents to 18 passing scores. Overall, they were ninth in the NFL averaging 19.8 points allowed per game - the team was of the bend-but-don't-break mold during 2008. The Dolphins generated 18 interceptions (8th in the NFL) and had 40 sacks (8th) - that's a pretty respectable unit, overall, as you can see. Tampa Bay was held to 20/44 for 160 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions during the third preseason game, and the Dolphins' reserves held the Saints' reserves without a TD pass in the fourth exhibition. It looks like the Dolphins will sport a solid pass D entering week 1 of the regular season. The Falcons have a high-octane passing attack these days, but the Dolphins won't just roll over for them. At home in the Georgia Dome, we give the Falcons a slight edge in this first contest. Weather: Inside the Georgia Dome, weather conditions won't affect this contest. ATL Injuries: RB Jerious Norwood (Probable)MIA Injuries: CB Vontae Davis (Probable)
Miami Dolphins Passing Offense at Atlanta Falcons Passing Defense (Good Matchup)
Chad Pennington was resurgent last year after relocating to Miami (321/476 for 3653 yards, 19 TDs and only 7 interceptions, with 30/62/1 rushing), and enjoys decent pass protection to boot - the Dolphins held their opponents to 29 sacks last year (10th-best in the league). Pennington also has a respectable receiving corps headlined by WR Ted Ginn Jr. (56/790/2 last year) and TE Anthony Fasano (34/454/7 during 2008). At WR #2 there is something of a mystery going on as Davone Bess is listed as the guy there but Greg Camarillo has been taking a lot of snaps in that position with the first team in the week leading up to regular season. It looks like the team intends to use Bess and Camarillo situationally and rotate them freely throughout each game. All four players caught one pass in the third preseason game - Camarillo's led the group with 1/52/0 on his grab. Pennington has an adequate stable of receivers to work with entering regular season, although the loss of TE David Martin this week hurts depth at the TE position. Atlanta averaged 220.4 passing yards allowed per game last year (21st in the NFL), with 20 passing TDs given up. They generated only 10 interceptions (27th in the league) and 34 sacks (11th ranking). Overall, the defense surrendered an average of 20.3 points per game (11th-best in the NFL). The team is in flux in the secondary entering regular season - their draft picks CB Chris Owens and S William More have both struggled with injuries during preseason, leaving Chris Houston and Brent Grimes as the starting CBs with Erik Coleman and Thomas DeCoud as the starting S's. During the third preseason game (the tune-up to regular season), Philip Rivers and company torched the Falcons for 21/32 yielding 320 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions - there is a lot of work to be done by the Atlanta squad. Pennington isn't flashy, but he's got a good matchup to work with this week, despite the hostile stadium. Weather: Inside the Georgia Dome, weather conditions won't affect this contest. MIA Injuries: noneATL Injuries: DE John Abraham (Probable), DE Chauncey Davis (Probable), S William Moore (Out)
New England Patriots Passing Offense vs Buffalo Bills Passing Defense (Good Matchup)
The Patriots' QBs got pancaked quite a bit last year, as the team gave up 48 sacks to opposing teams (fifth-most in the NFL) - of course, Tom Brady wasn't under center. Brady looked fantastic in the first preseason game as he returned to action after his knee reconstruction, throwing 2 TDs and generally wowing most viewers. He connected on 4/8 for 57 yards in the second preseason game and took some shots without getting injured. However, Brady injured his right shoulder during the preseason week 3 contest, and didn't return to play after his shoulder was driven into the turf. He's said to be on course to play during week 1, but Brady owners will want to keep an eye on the practice reports as the week goes by. Another key piece of the offense is hurting - Wes Welker has been missing practices and preseason games due to an undisclosed injury. The word out of New England is that he should be ready for the season opener, but this is definitely a situation to keep your eye on if you invested in this passing attack. The Brady/Randy Moss connection looks alive and well - the two blasted Washington for 2 TD passes in the third preseason game (6/90/2 for Moss), and the team seems to have settled on ex-Jet Chris Baker as their preferred TE. The Bill's pass D was 13th in the NFL last season, averaging 204.4 yards given up per game, with 14 passing scores handed over (the team allowed an average of 21.4 points per game last year). However, they were 27th in the NFL with just 10 interceptions and 28th in the league with 24 sacks generated. The defense needs to make more big plays, obviously. During the third preseason game, the pass D kept Ben Roethlisberger and company out of the end zone (25/31 for 278 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions), but they still lost the game 17-0. The Patriots have an incredible passing attack and face a mediocre defense at home - advantage, New England. Weather: Gillette Stadium expects a low temperature near 57F on Monday night, with a 10% chance for rain - it should be a nice, cool evening to play (and watch) pro football. NE Injuries: noneBUF Injuries: none
Oakland Raiders Passing Offense vs San Diego Chargers Passing Defense (Good Matchup)
The Raiders allowed 39 sacks last year as JaMarcus Russell got on-the-job training (he played in 15 games after only four starts in his rookie season, throwing 198/368 for 2423 yards, 13 TDs and 8 interceptions). The team brought in burner Darius Heyward-Bey to give Russell a deep threat and Louis Murphy out of Florida has developed nicely in his rookie training camp, too - these two figure to start until Chaz Schilens, who is very simpatico with Russell, gets back into the lineup in week two or three after his broken fifth metatarsal bone in his left foot heals. Javon Walker has been a non-factor to date, with a surprise knee surgery that kept him out of most of the preseason, although he is reportedly catching up to the field rapidly entering regular season. The Chargers were 31st in the NFL with an average of 247.4 passing yards allowed per game, and they gave up 25 pass TDs last year. Overall, the Chargers were 15th in the NFL allowing 21.7 points per game last year. The defense generated 15 interceptions (t-11th) and 28 sacks last year (in the absence of Shawne Merriman). They promoted Ron Rivera to take Ted Cottrell's place when Cottrell was fired last October - Rivera is expected to vary the defense's looks between 3-4 and 4-3 fronts as he has extensive experience calling either defense and with the return of Shawne Merriman the flexibility to do so. Unfortunately, Merriman was involved in a domestic altercation over the Labor Day weekend and we have yet to see what the fall-out from that situation will be - no charges have been filed so far. JaMarcus Russell is part of a very young offense, but they have a bottom-tier pass D in front of them this week - it's a good matchup for Russell to face in the first game of the season, at home in the Coliseum. Weather: McAfeee Coliseum expects a low of 57F on Monday night, with a 0% chance for rain - it should be a great evening to be at the late nightcap game out in Oakland. OAK Injuries: WR Yamon Figurs (Questionable), WR Chaz Schilens (Out)SD Injuries: none
Philadelphia Eagles Passing Offense at Carolina Panthers Passing Defense (Good Matchup)
Donovan McNabb will start out the season without needing to break his rhythm, as Mike Vick can't play until week three. With L.J. Smith now in Baltimore, he'll rely on Brent Celek at TE, and throw to DeSean Jackson (62/912/2 receiving last year, with 17/96/1 rushing) and Kevin Curtis (33/390/2 in just 9 games last year due to a sports hernia) as the starting WR tandem. Of course, Brian Westbrook is always in the mix as a receiver out of the back-field. McNabb looked great last year with 34/571 for 3916 yards, 23 TDs and 11 interceptions during the season. He's thrown the ball well during preseason, with 21/36 for 244 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception against the Jaguars in week three of the preseason. As usual, he spreads the passes out to multiple different players on a week-to-week basis. The Eagles were in the top 10 in pass blocking last year, allowing just 23 sacks of McNabb over 16 games. The Panthers were 16th in the NFL last year averaging 211.7 passing yards given away per game, with 12 interceptions (21st) and 37 sacks (9th) generated. Carolina was 12th in the NFL last year averaging 20.6 points allowed per game. During the preseason week 3 contest vs. Baltimore, the team handed over 421 yards of offense to the Ravens and CB Chris Gamble in particular struggled to cover opposing receivers (Joe Flacco and company punished the Panthers for 31/39 yielding 303 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in the third preseason game). The situation is not yet desperate for Carolina, but they need to make improvements quickly. New DC Ron Meeks is facing a lot of issues as he installs his own system in Carolina. McNabb and company bring a solid group of receivers to bear on Carolina - Carolina's DBs look suspect as far as we can tell at this early stage of the season. Advantage, Philly. Weather: Bank of America Stadium expects a high of 84 F with a low of 67 F and a 30% chance of rain on Sunday afternoon. If the rain comes down thickly, footing and ball handling will be more of a concern than usual for both teams. PHI Injuries: RB Leonard Weaver (Probable)CAR Injuries: DT Derek Landri (Probable), S Sherrod Martin (Questionable)
San Francisco 49ers Passing Offense at Arizona Cardinals Passing Defense (Good Matchup)
With Mike Martz at the helm as OC during 2008, the 49ers led the league in sacks allowed (55) - now that Jimmy Raye is in town, the team will play a more ball-control oriented offense that should help minimize the number of times Shaun Hill (181/288 for 2046 yards, 13 TDs and 8 interceptions last year in 9 games)ends up looking at the sky this year. Josh Morgan, Isaac Bruce and Arnaz Battle figure to handle most of the receiving load from the WR position this year, with Battle challenging Morgan for a starting slot as of week 1. Draft pick Michael Crabtree remains unsigned as of this writing. Bruce has reportedly looked the best of all the WRs in camp - he notched 60/833/7 receiving on 107 targets last year and may lead the team in receiving again this year if he stays healthy. Vernon Davis (31/358/2 last year, a regression from 2007) remains the lead TE in San Francisco - we'll see if he starts 2009 out with a bang vs. divisional rival Arizona. Arizona's pass D allowed 221.3 yards per game to their opponents during 2008 (22nd in the NFL), while racking up 13 interceptions (17th in the NFL) and 31 sacks (14th in the NFL). They were 28th in the NFL in points allowed per game (26.6) - this unit was average to sub-par, depending on the week. Aaron Rodgers and Brian Brohm spanked the Cards in week 3 of the preseason, with 18/24 for 285 yards, 3 TDs and 0 interceptions (Rodgers threw for 258 yards and all 3 TDs in an extended appearance). There is still a long way for the Cardinals to go even though they have a new coordinator in Bill Davis (promoted from within, he was the LB's coach last year). Hill has an adequate group of receivers to work with and a relatively soft defense on the docket - this looks like a good matchup for the visitors. Weather: University of Phoenix Stadium expects a high of 105 F on Sunday, so with a kickoff set for 4:15 PM it would be no surprise to see the retractable roof closed. There is a 0% chance of rain at this venue. SF Injuries: RB Brian Westbrook (Probable), TE Tony Curtis (Probable)ARI Injuries: CB Matt Ware (Probable)
St. Louis Rams Passing Offense at Seattle Seahawks Passing Defense (Good Matchup)
The Rams allowed 45 sacks last season (6th-most in the NFL), and they replaced LT Orlando Pace with a rookie, Jason Smith, who has looked like a rookie during preseason. Bulger, who hasn't played a full slate of 16 games in two years, hopes that Smith learns quickly and well. Bulger has been throwing more and more as the days pass leading up to the regular season opener - it looks like his broken pinkie finger on his throwing hand will be rehabbed enough to allow him to play in the season opener. Donnie Avery, who missed much of preseason with a stress fracture in his foot, did play in the preseason finale although he didn't catch any balls - he looks set to team up with free agent acquisition Laurent Robinson as the starting duo at WR, with Randy McMichael back from last year's broken leg to man the TE position. There isn't much depth behind Avery and Burton (just two other receivers, Keenan Burton and Derek Stanley - Stanley is rehabbing a torn ACL from last December and hasn't looked impressive during training camp). Bulger needs to bounce back in a big way from his last two seasons (27th- and 22nd- ranked fantasy QB during 2008 and 2007), but will Avery and Robinson give him a credible enough tandem, especially given the lack of repetitions since Bulger was injured? We'll find out starting Sunday. The Seahawks have a new DC in Gus Bradley (a Tampa-Two discliple of Monte Kiffin), who should keep the scheme fairly close to what the Seahawks were doing last year. Hopefully, he'll get better results with his scheme as Seattle was 32nd in the NFL last year in passing yards allowed per game (259.3) and they coughed up 25 passing scores over 16 games. The team averaged a hefty 24.5 total points allowed per game (25th in the NFL), while generating just 9 interceptions (29th) and 35 sacks (10th in the NFL). One of their top cornerbacks, Marcus Trufant, was placed on the PUP list due to a bad back just prior to regular season - he'll be out for six weeks at the minimum as a result. Ken Lucas and Josh Wilson will hold down the starting spots at CB while Trufant tries to rehab his back injury. The secondary is largely an unknown quantity entering the regular season. Matt Cassel was out of the lineup in week three of the preseason so we haven't seen this unit tested much yet this year. We can't get too excited about the Rams here but this does look like a pretty good matchup for them. Weather: Qwest Field has only a 10% chance for rain on Sunday (a rarity for Seattle), with a high near 74 F and a low approaching 57 F in the evening. It should be a temperate autumn afternoon which is perfect football weather. STL Injuries: noneSEA Injuries: DE Derek Walker (Doubtful), CB Travis Fisher (Doubtful)
Arizona Cardinals Passing Offense vs San Francisco 49ers Passing Defense (Neutral Matchup)
The Cardinals protected Kurt Warner fairly well last season, with just 28 sacks allowed during the year. With ex-OC Todd Haley moving on to coach in K.C., the team will rely on Russ Grimm and Mike Miller to game plan, with head coach Ken Whisenhunt calling plays on game day this year. One injury situation to keep a close eye on - Anquan Boldin has been nursing a sore hamstring during the latter stages of training camp/preseason, and his status for the game is uncertain - 'We'll see,' Whisenhunt said on Monday. 'I know it's going to be tough to keep Anquan out of this game.'. If Boldin can't go, Jerheme Urban may handle the #2 duties (Steve Breaston is nursing a sore PCL in his right knee - he has practiced recently, though, unlike Early Doucet who has injured ribs and will be out for a few weeks). TE Ben Patrick will start serving a four-game suspension for a banned substance this week. As you can see, aside from Larry Fitzgerald there is a lot of question marks regarding the Cardinal's receiving corps - and Warner has a sore hip that was operated on in the off-season as well. Also, Warner hasn't been sharp during the preseason, with 0 TDs thrown and interceptions a-plenty (2/7 for 48 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception last week; 10/16 for 139 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception two weeks ago). Backup Matt Leinart has a sore throwing arm shoulder and could only muster 1/4 for 4 yards and an interception in the preseason finale - as of Tuesday, things look a little grim for the Cardinal's passing attack entering week 1 of regular season, regardless of how fabulous Warner and company were during 2007. If you are invested in this passing attack, check out the practice and injury reports out of Arizona carefully this week. Greg Manusky and Mike Singletary plan to stick with the 3-4 front they installed after Mike Nolan left town last year. The D as a whole averaged 23.8 total points allowed (23rd in the NFL) last year, but it tightened up significantly once the team simplified the playbook last year in Singletary's first months at the helm. Last season, the 49ers were 20th vs. opposing passers, allowing an average of 219.2 yards per game, with 22 passing TDs handed over vs. 12 interceptions (t-21st) and 30 sacks generated (t-16th). There is plenty of room for improvement on this unit, as you can see. CB Shawntae Spencer will start at cornerback for the team opposite CB Nate Clements in Week 1. Spencer beat out CBs Dre' Bly and Tarell Brown for the job - we'll see if he plays well enough to hang onto the job. The Cardinals field a top-flight offense most of the time, but they have looming personnel issues this week and a QB that appears out-of-synch. The 49ers weren't very good a year ago, but improved under coach Singletary as the year wore on - if Boldin is out for this game, consider it a neutral matchup (we're afraid he'll be out). If he is in, then upgrade it to a good matchup for the home-team Cardinals. Weather: University of Phoenix Stadium expects a high of 105 F on Sunday, so with a kickoff set for 4:15 PM it would be no surprise to see the retractable roof closed. There is a 0% chance of rain at this venue. ARI Injuries: QB Brian St. Pierre (Questionable), WR Steve Breaston (Probable), WR Early Doucet (Questionable)SF Injuries: none
Chicago Bears Passing Offense at Green Bay Packers Passing Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Jay Cutler has taken the reins in Chicago and is working to make his new team 'his own'. He outplayed Kyle Orton during the week 3 clash between the Bears and the Broncos (15/21 for 144 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions for Cutler). Cutler is also reportedly very tight with TE Greg Olsen, who led the team in receiving vs. Denver (3/47/0). It appears as of week 1 that Cutler's starters at WR will be Devin Hester and Earl Bennett (an old college teammate of Cutler's). The Bears' OL allowed 29 sacks last season, a fairly decent showing when it comes to pass-blocking (in the middle of the NFL range). Green Bay landed at 12th in the NFL at the end of the season averaging 202.8 pass yards allowed per game, with 22 passing TDs surrendered. The Packers were 23rd in the NFL last year allowing an average of 23.8 points per game, while generating 22 interceptions (3rd-best in the NFL) with 27 sacks (25th in the NFL). Overall, the team was mediocre in this phase of the game. During the preseason, the unit has been chastened by the Cardinals during week three (34/54 for 455 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions) and the Titan's backups (12/23 for 164 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions) during week 4. It is apparent that the Packers D isn't out of the woods yet, despite new DC Dom Caper's best efforts. The Packers will have home-field advantage in this contest, which boosts their chances from a whisper of a hope to a fairly even matchup. Weather: Lambeau Field expects some rain on Sunday, with a 40% chance of precipitation for the night game (low of around 52 F). If the rain falls in buckets at game time, footing and ball handling will be larger issues than usual for both teams - this venue can be very windy when the weather is stormy, as well. Owners of Bears and Packers will want to check a shorter-term forecast before setting their lineups this week. CHI Injuries: WR Devin Aromashodu (Questionable)GB Injuries: DT B.J. Raji (Questionable), CB William Blackmon (Questionable)
Detroit Lions Passing Offense at New Orleans Saints Passing Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Matthew Stafford closed preseason fairly strongly with 13/19 for 160 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception vs. the tough Colts' pass D in week three, and followed up with 5/9 for 81 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception. He was good enough to win the starting job (Daunte Culpepper cut his toe and had to have stiches, missing the preseason finale as a result). One of the reasons cited for Stafford's ascension is that he has a good rapport with the Lions lone returning WR held over from last season - Calvin Johnson (151 targets for 78/1331/12 receiving last year). Behind Johnson are a group of NFL retreads, with Bryant Johnson penciled in as the other starter, followed by Dennis Northcutt in the #3 slot. Fellow rookie TE Brandon Pettigrew figures to be a favorite target for Stafford this year - he caught 2/24/0 vs. Indy while Johnson hauled in 4/67/0. Derrick Williams is also in the mix at WR, with 4/63/0 to his credit in the third preseason contest. The Saints' pass D ranked 23rd in the NFL last season, averaging 224.1 yards allowed per game, with 21 passing scores given up. Overall, New Orleans was 26th in the NFL averaging 24.6 total points given up per game. They did generate 15 interceptions (t-11th) and had 28 sacks (t-22nd). Their pass D was less-than-impressive last year, for sure. New DC Gregg Williams aims to bring a most aggressive, zone-blitzing scheme to life down in the bayou, but it remains to be seen if the Saints' personnel can execute his schemes. The injury-riddled Oakland Raiders managed to pass for 21/33 for 237 yards and one TD in their blowout loss to the Saints in the third exhibition (45-7) - despite the big win the secondary didn't shine in the tune-up to regular season. Stafford is a rookie working with a lean crew of receivers, but against the giving Saints he has an even shot at getting out of the gates without a disaster. Weather: Inside the Superdome, weather won't be an issue for either team. DET Injuries: QB Drew Stanton (Doubtful)NO Injuries: CB Usama Young (Probable)
Houston Texans Passing Offense vs New York Jets Passing Defense (Neutral Matchup)
The Texans gave up 23 sacks last year, tied for 16th in the NFL - they have moved beyond the bad-old-days with David Carr getting creamed every other drop-back. The team needs to protect Matt Schaub, who's had numerous injury issues since joining the team (most recently he sprained a right ankle running out of bounds). Schaub took half the snaps in practice on Tuesday, September 8, and he is listed as day-to-day. Head Gary Kubiak sounded optimistic about Schaub's chances of starting the season opener vs. the Jets, but would not commit to Schaub as the starter. "He took a big step forward [Tuesday]," Kubiak said. "He's progressing toward getting ready to go, so it's a positive move forward for him." If Schaub can't play, Rex Grossman would likely get the nod to start week 1. Surrounding Schaub (251/380 for 3043 yards, 15 TDs and 10 interceptions over 11 games last season - he pitched 10/14 for 108 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception vs. the Vikings in the third exhibition game) is a very capable set of receivers, led by all-world talent Andre Johnson (3/61/0 receiving vs. Minnesota - he caught 115/1575/8 last year) and a great TE in Owen Daniels (70/862/2 receiving last year). Kevin Walter is the other starting WR (60/899/8), while Andre Davis and David Anderson are the depth players at WR. However, Walter has a hamstring injury and hasn't practiced yet this week as of September 9th, so Davis and Anderson may be more involved in the game this week. The Texans have the ability to move the ball through the air (they had 4267 passing yards as a team last year, the other 1000+ coming from Sage Rosenfels who has moved on to the Vikings). This year, under new HC Rex Ryan and new DC Mike Pettine, the Jets will meld free agent importees LB Bart Scott, S Jim Leonhard and CB Lito Sheppard with the quality talent already on the roster (like OLB Calvin Pace, though he is currently on suspension) to attack, attack, attack the opposition in a style similar to the Baltimore Ravens (from whence Ryan and Pettine came to New York). The Jets allowed an average of 234.5 passing yards per game last year, with 23 passing TDs handed over to their opponents. The defense landed in the middle of the NFL field in terms of total points allowed per game, with 22.3 given up per contest on average (18th in the league). New York generated 14 interceptions (t-15th) and 41 sacks last year (7th in the NFL). However, with OLB Calvin Pace suspended for four games to open the season (Pace had a career-best 7 sacks last year, and 5.5 in Arizona the year before), the Jets may have less luck notching sacks to begin the season. The Jets' starters frustrated Eli Manning during week three in the preseason, holding him to 9/21 for 91 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception, but the reserves allowed David Carr to pretty up the stat line with 12/17 for 181 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions. Schaub appears set to play in the season opener - although we could see Grossman instead - and it should be quite a brawl when two quality units clash in Reliant Stadium. This matchup looks fairly even to us. Weather: The forecast for Houston calls for a high of 91 F and a low of 73F with a 40% chance of rain - if it looks stormy at game time, the retractable roof at Reliant Stadium will probably be closed. HOU Injuries: QB Matt Schaub (Probable), WR Kevin Walter (Questionable)NYJ Injuries: DE Mike DeVito (Questionable)
Minnesota Vikings Passing Offense at Cleveland Browns Passing Defense (Neutral Matchup)
In case you live in a cave or have been on the far side of the world, we'll mention once again that Brett Favre has become a Minnesota Viking. We saw his diminished skills at the end of the season last year in New York, but there was a biceps injury involved in his decline that appears to be fully healed now. Unfortunately, Favre dodged almost all of training camp before signing with the team - he hasn't had much opportunity to develop a rapport with Bernard Berrian (48/964/7 receiving last year), Sidney Rice (15/141/4), or Vishanthe Shiancoe (42/596/7) yet. In the second preseason game Favre played but briefly, while he saw more extensive action during week three of the preseason (13/18 for 142 yards, 1 TD). 'He did some really good things as far as putting the ball where it needed to be,' head coach Brad Childress said. 'He will be the first to tell you that he missed a few reads. He made a couple of nice plays with his feet and he had enough of the pocket presence to move around when he had to and still get the football where it needed to be.' The Vikings' OL gave up 43 sacks last year with Tarvaris Jackson and Gus Frerotte under center, but this year the king of quick release, Brett Favre, is slinging the pigskin so look for that number to head south somewhat just based on Favre's ability. Cleveland's pass D was in the middle of the NFL pack last year, averaging 204.6 yards allowed per game (14th in the league), while handing over 19 passing TDs in 16 contests. The team generated 23 interceptions, the second-most in the NFL last year, while only managing 17 sacks (30th). On balance, the pass D is mediocre but with the ability to make big plays. They were tied for 16th in the NFL with an average of 21.9 points allowed per game as a unit. Under new HC Eric Mangini and new DC Rob Ryan, look for a very smart usage of what players the roster has to offer - Ryan is great at motivating his defenders. They didn't look too great vs. Tennessee in the week three preseason 'tune-up' for regular season, though, handing over 28/38 for 272 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception to the combo of Vince Young and Kerry Collins. There is still a lot of work to do up in Cleveland, folks. Favre is still getting acclimated, but against the mediocre Browns he'll have a even chance at posting some respectable statistics this week. Weather: Cleveland Browns Stadium should see beautiful weather on Sunday, with a high near 78F and a low around 63 F - there is a 20% chance for rain. Weather shouldn't play a big role in deciding this game. MIN Injuries: WR Bernard Berrian (Questionable), TE Jim Kleinsasser (Probable)CLE Injuries: DT Shaun Rogers (Questionable), CB Kenny Wright (Questionable)
New York Giants Passing Offense vs Washington Redskins Passing Defense (Neutral Matchup)
Eli Manning (289/479 for 3238 yards, 21 TDs and 10 interceptions last year) is facing a completely revamped starting lineup during 2009 - Plaxico Burress is headed to jail and Amani Toomer departed the team, leaving Domenik Hixon (43/596/2 last year) and Steve Smith (57/574/1) as the starting wide-outs as we enter the regular season. Youngsters Mario Manningham, Hakeem Nicks, Sinorice Moss, and Ramses Barden are all in the mix for touches this year as well - Moss was having a solid training camp until being sidelined for a long stretch by a pulled hamstring. Kevin Boss (33/384/6) returns as a trusted red-zone target from the TE position. We'll see how Manning and company mesh now that the games count. The Giants were in the middle of the NFL last year allowing 28 sacks of Eli Manning - not bad, but not great, either. The Redskins were the seventh-best pass D last year, averaging 193.4 yards allowed per game, with 16 passing TDs given up during the year. They generated 13 interceptions (17th in the NFL), but only 24 sacks (tied for 28th). The team ended up sixth in points allowed per game, with 18.5 allowed each week on average. Hopefully, the arrival of DT Albert Haynesworth (8.5 sacks last year with Tennessee, 6 during 2007) has augmented the Redskins' pass rushing capabilities - he should be able to help pump up the deflated sack total from 2008. DE Andre Carter hopes to bounce back from his very sub-par '08 campaign (24 tackles, 13 assists, 4 sacks and 2 passes defensed) to come closer to his '07 levels (43 tackles, 12 assists, 10.5 sacks, 4 forced fumbles, 1 fumble recovery, and 2 passes defensed). In the week three preseason tilt vs. New England, the 'Skins held the Patriots to 15/29 for 167 yards and 2 TDs with 2 interceptions, but Tom Brady posted 12/19 for 150 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions in his time on the field - the starters need to elevate their game for regular season. Manning has to accommodate his new-look offense, while the Redskins strive to find a more effective pass rush - in Giants Stadium, this matchup looks about even from where we sit. Weather: Giants Stadium expects a high of 79 F with a low of 63 F on Sunday, with a 20% chance for rain - it should be a great day for the Giants and the Redskins to renew their divisional rivalry. NYG Injuries: noneWAS Injuries: CB Carlos Rogers (Probable), CB Phillip Buchanon (Questionable)
Buffalo Bills Passing Offense at New England Patriots Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)
The Bills abruptly fired OC Turk Schonert last week (largely due to a moribund offense that has struggled to produce any results during the preseason). QB Trent Edwards (14 games played last season, 245/374 for 2699 yards, 11TDs and 10 interceptions, with 36/117/3 rushing - 23rd best fantasy QB in the land) addressed the change on Monday, September 7th saying 'We had voiced some things with what direction it was going and where it needed to go, and Coach Jauron made the decision on how he felt and what he felt the offense needed best,' Edwards said. 'And that's the decision he made and that's something he decided to go with and that's something I need to respect.' QB coach Alex Van Pelt takes over as OC, but has precious little time to make changes with the no-huddle offense that has so far failed to make waves during preseason. For his part, Schonert fired some darts at HC Dick Jauron - 'He wants a 'Pop Warner' offense,' Schonert said in a phone interview with WIVB [a local TV station]. 'He limited me in formations, and limited me in plays. He's been on my back all offseason. 'He (Jauron) told me the offense wasn't simple enough for him. We had too many formations, too many plays. I didn't simplify it to his liking.' Schonert's cause was not helped by the prolonged absence of Terrell Owens, who is said to be 'focused' on playing in the season opener (despite his sore toe). Essentially, Buffalo's offense is a mess entering week 1, and they'll likely have to lean on the passing attack as Marshawn Lynch is on suspension this week, and #2 RB Fred Jackson has a sore thumb and wrist to fight through. The Patriot's pass D was not top-tier last year, allowing an average of 201.4 yards per game (11th in the league), while handing over a high 27 passing TDs to opponents. Overall, the Patriots were 8th in the NFL allowing only 19.3 points per game during the season, on average, but that was mostly due to a stubborn rush D that only allowed 8 rushing scores. The Patriots had 14 interceptions (t-15th) and 31 sacks (t-15th). They fielded a solid-but-unspectacular secondary, as you can see. The starting unit held Washington's Jason Campbell scoreless during week three of the preseason (13/22 for 209 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions), so there may have been some progress with the number of passing TDs surrendered (so far this year, at any rate). However, the Giants hung 17/35 for 356 yards, 3 TDs (all three thrown by either Eli Manning or David Carr, neither of whom were intercepted) and 2 interceptions in the preseason finale. The Bills offense is not functioning well, and they haven't had time to integrate Terrell Owens due to his injury - advantage, New England. Weather: Gillette Stadium expects a low temperature near 57F on Monday night, with a 10% chance for rain - it should be a nice, cool evening to play (and watch) pro football. BUF Injuries: noneNE Injuries: none
Carolina Panthers Passing Offense vs Philadelphia Eagles Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)
The Carolina offense suffered from injuries during preseason - Steve Smith and Muhsin Muhammad both missed practice and playing time - but both players are expected to be 100% for the start of regular season. Kenneth Moore looks to have sewn up the #3 WR position over Dwayne Jarrett - if either of Smith or Muhammad suffer from a flare-up of their injuries, Moore would be the guy to step into the game. Jake Delhomme (246/414 for 3288 yards, 15 TDs and 12 interceptions over 16 games last year - 19th-best fantasy QB) has been adequate but not overwhelming during preseason, throwing for 11/16 for 180 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions vs. the mighty Ravens in the third preseason game. He had a cameo 2/4 for 19 yards passing against the Steelers in the preseason finale. The Panthers' line is one of the best in football, and allowed just 20 sacks last year - Delhomme should have time to survey the field. Jeff King appears to have beaten off the preseason challenge of Gary Barnidge for the #1 TE job, so he'll join Smith and Muhammad as the primary pass-catchers for Delhomme this side of the running back stable. The Eagles were third in the NFL vs. the pass last season, with an average of 182.1 yards allowed per game, while giving up 19 passing TDs during the year. They were also fourth in the NFL averaging just 18.1 points allowed per game. The team generated 15 interceptions (t-11th in the NFL), and had 48 sacks to their credit (3rd) - the Eagles were tough to face last year. Unfortunately, the NFL lost one of it's premier defensive coordinators over the summer when Jim Johnson lost his fight with cancer. However, according to Footballguy and Eagles fanatic Jason Wood: 'Sean McDermott will take over the job, and if things go according to plan, nothing will change. McDermott has been groomed as Johnson's replacement and was going to have a heavy hand in running the defense this year anyway. Despite being only 35, McDermott was one of the longest-tenured assistant coaches in Philadelphia, and he has experience coaching both the secondary and the linebackers.' Results during the preseason have been high-scoring affairs, with Philly defeating Jacksonville 33-32 in the third 'tune-up for regular season' game (17/31 for 166 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions for the Jags, though starter David Garrard was held to 8/14 for 93 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception in the game) and then a 38-27 loss to the Jets (Philly's backup D crumbled vs. the Jets, allowing 15/24 for 207 passing yards, 3 TDs and 1 interception to the Jets' QB's). The starting lineup is playing well for the Eagles, so far. The Panthers are gearing up for regular season, but it is never pleasant to see the Eagles across the line of scrimmage - this looks like a tough matchup for Carolina from where we're sitting. Weather: Bank of America Stadium expects a high of 84 F with a low of 67 F and a 30% chance of rain on Sunday afternoon. If the rain comes down thickly, footing and ball handling will be more of a concern than usual for both teams. CAR Injuries: WR Wallace Wright (Probable)PHI Injuries: DT Mike Patterson (Probable), CB Dimitri Patterson (Probable)
Cleveland Browns Passing Offense vs Minnesota Vikings Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)
The Browns played coy about who will start for the franchise in week 1 - but Eric Mangini has decided to name Brady Quinn the starter over Derek Anderson. During the course of the preseason, neither player distinguished himself with outstanding play - Quinn throws a lot of dink-and-dunk short passes, but is accurate, while Anderson has a better arm but isn't as accurate. Quinn will start behind an OL that gave up just 24 sacks last season (among the top-10 pass blocking teams), but will have to work with a reduced stable of weapons with TE Kellen Winslow now in Tampa Bay and WR Donte Stallworth suspended for the entire season. WR Braylon Edwards has continued to drop passes during preseason (after dropping a TD in the preseason opener he said 'It's just part of football. I felt good in the game for the most part. Just making sure I felt good and felt healthy, that was the biggest thing I was concerned about. That felt good. That said, I feel good about this game and the rest of the season.'), although he did haul in 3/51/1 during the third preseason game (the TD pass was from Brady Quinn). The #2 WR position is unsettled entering week 1, with Mike Furrey, Josh Cribbs, Brian Robiskie, and Mohamed Massoquoi all in the mix for touches. The Vikings' incredible rush defense forces teams to attack them through the air - as a result, the Vikings gave up an average of 215.6 passing yards per game last year (18th in the NFL), with 15 passing TDs given up during the year. The Vikings were 13th in the NFL in terms of total points allowed per game last year, with 20.8 handed over per contest. They generated 12 interceptions last year (in the middle of the league), but were very aggressive pass rushers - the Vikes had 45 sacks last year (4th in the NFL). Teams can move the ball on this unit through the air, but it isn't an easy task for opposing QBs. The Texans could only generate 61 yards rushing vs. the Vikings in the third exhibition game, but threw for 19/30 yielding 207 yards, 0 TDs and 2 interceptions. The Vikings' blueprint on defense looks intact entering regular season. Cleveland has a tough road ahead in week 1. Weather: Cleveland Browns Stadium should see beautiful weather on Sunday, with a high near 78F and a low around 63 F - there is a 20% chance for rain. Weather shouldn't play a big role in deciding this game. CLE Injuries: RB Jerome Harrison (Questionable)MIN Injuries: none
Dallas Cowboys Passing Offense at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)
Dallas' Tony Romo was the ninth best fantasy QB in the land last year (he played in only 13 games, sliding him down the board after finishing second in the league two years ago) - however, times are a-changing in Dallas with Terrell Owens now playing for the Bills and Romo faced with a WR depth chart that reads Roy Williams, Patrick Crayton, Sam Hurd, and Miles Austin at the top four receiver positions. Romo still has Jason Witten (121 targets for 81/952/4 receiving last year) to rely on, but Williams hasn't been impressive during preseason when he's been on the field (he's nursing a bruised shoulder entering regular season, though he's supposedly over that and ready to play). Romo threw for 11/17 for 125 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception vs. San Francisco in the third preseason contest without Williams on the field. We'll get a better feel for how well Williams has learned the offense in his first full training camp with the team, but many are skeptical about his ability to anchor this WR corps. The Cowboys were in the middle of the NFL last year in terms of sacks allowed, with 31 given up over 16 games - Romo hopes they can do better this season so he can stay healthy. Tampa ended 2008 4th-ranked vs. opposing passers, with an average of 187.3 yards allowed per game. They allowed 23 passing TDs, though - the unit wasn't the shut-down type defense that we're used to seeing from the Bucs. They did generate 22 interceptions last season (t - 3rd in the NFL), and generated 29 sacks (t -20th in the NFL) The team was 10th in the NFL averaging 20.2 points allowed per game last year. We'll see how well HC Raheem Morris and DC Jim Bates work together as the season goes along - the defense is in a retooling mode entering 2009 after Monte Kiffen departed for the University of Tennessee to work with his son (the new head coach of the Vols). Miami was held to 11/24 for 173 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception in the Bucs' third exhibition game - so far, so good. Romo and the Cowboys are trying to work out the kinks in their new lineup, while the Bucs are settling in under a new coaching regime - with the 11th man at Tampa's back in Raymond James Stadium we give a slight edge to the home team in this matchup. Weather: The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 89 F and a low of 77 F with a 40% chance of rain. In the tropical clime of Florida, rain showers can be quite intense at this time of year - if the rain comes down in sheets at game time or during the game, footing and ball-handling will be more problematic than usual. Owners of Cowboys and Buccaneers will want to check a shorter-term forecast before setting their lineups this week. DAL Injuries: QB Stephen McGee (Questionable)TB Injuries: DT Ryan Sims (Probable), DE Kyle Moore (Questionable), CB E.J. Biggers (Out)
Denver Broncos Passing Offense at Cincinnati Bengals Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)
In case you missed the preseason drama in Denver, Jay Cutler is now a Bear and Kyle Orton is the Broncos' starting QB. Or, Orton might be the starter on opening day, depending on how the open dislocation on his index finger on his throwing hand has healed up over the last two weeks - the last time we saw Orton, he had thrown for 12/16 for 96 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions vs. his old team the Bears. Orton's backup Chris Simms has a high ankle sprain and likely isn't available to play, meaning that if Orton can't go, Tom Brandstater would be the guy under center. In other news, Brandon Marshall was taken off the suspension that ended his preseason of turmoil, and is reportedly practicing with the team (and trying, unlike the infamous episode that got him suspended). However, Marshall has had very few reps in the new Josh McDaniels/Mike McCoy offense and is well behind the learning curve. Eddie Royal has been handling a lot of the receiving duties while Marshall was out and looks like the lynchpin here, at least until Marshall gets up to speed in the attack. Jabar Gaffney suffered a fractured thumb during practice Friday, Aug. 28. Gaffney will be out for several weeks while his hand heals, leaving Brandon Stokley as the veteran depth at #3 WR. Daniel Graham and Tony Scheffler provide veteran options at TE. Denver's OL did a great job last year, keeping Jay Cutler upright and only allowing 12 sacks during the course of the season - Orton hopes they keep up the good work. The Bengals ranked 15th in the NFL last year averaging 205.4 passing yards allowed per game, with 12 interceptions (21st in the league) and 17 sacks generated (tied for 30th in the NFL). The defense as a whole was 19th in the league, averaging 22.8 points allowed per game - it just isn't too hard to throw the ball against this crowd. The Rams (without starter Marc Bulger) only managed 17/29 for 141 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions vs. the Bengals in week three of the preseason, but that was more about the Rams injury-riddled attack than the Bengals suddenly becoming excellent pass defenders. There are a lot of question marks about the Denver attack at mid-week - with so much up in the air (Orton may be rusty after his forced layoff if he gets in the game) and the team on the road, we think this looks like a potentially rough week for the Broncos. Weather: Paul Brown Stadium should see a high around 82 F at 1 PM when the game starts - there is a 30% chance for rain, so if the precipitation falls heavily at game time, footing and ball handling could become issues for both teams. Keep your eye on a shorter-term forecast before setting your lineup if you have players in this one. DEN Injuries: QB Kyle Orton (Questionable), RB Knowshon Moreno (Questionable), WR Jabar Gaffney (Questionable)CIN Injuries: S Roy Williams (Probable)
Jacksonville Jaguars Passing Offense at Indianapolis Colts Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)
The Jags gave up the eighth-most sacks last year (their OL was decimated by injuries in the preseason last year), handing over 42 sacks to the opposition. This year, they enter regular season with better health along the line, though, which should help improve David Garrard's pass protection. Speaking of Garrard (335/535 for 3620 yards, 15 TDs and 13 interceptions last year), he has an upgraded WR corps to work with this year with free agent signee Torry Holt coming over from St. Louis and Troy Williamson suddenly catching on to the scheme during preseason in his second year with the Jags. Marcedes Lewis (41/489/2 receiving last year) is a capable TE and Maurice Jones-Drew has excellent hands out o fthe backfield (62/565/2 receiving last year). Mike Sims-Walker may be able to stay healthy this year - if he can, he'll be a solid #3 WR for Garrard. Given better play on the OL and better receivers, Garrard is in a good position to succeed during 2009. The Colts' pass D was a shut-down unit last year, allowing just six pass TDs through 16 games, while ranking sixth in the league averaging 188.1 yards allowed per contest.They generated 15 interceptions, tied for 11th in the league, and 30 sacks (t-16th). The team was 7th overall in the NFL in points allowed, with an average of 18.6 given up per game, due mostly to their outstanding pass defense. It isn't easy to move the ball through the air when you face Indy. However, the team got some bad news this week as it appears that SS Bob Sanders won't be ready to play for several weeks yet. 'The biggest thing was that we felt he [Sanders] was going to be back inside that five- or six-week window,' head coach Jim Caldwell said Monday, September 7th. 'He's making progress, he's coming along.' Melvin Bullitt will be the starter at SS with Sanders sidelined. This year during week 3 of the preseason (when the starters play the longest), the Colts gave up 13/19 for 160 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception to youngster Matthew Stafford, and ended up allowing 24/37 for 261 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception to the Lions as a team. Of course, preseason schemes are vanilla but the team didn't look sharp at all. New DC Larry Coyer needs to light a fire under the defense entering week 1 of regular season. Garrard will have to be on fire to keep up with Peyton Manning, and that won't be an easy task against the Colts' defense and fans on opening weekend - advantage Indianapolis. Weather: At Lucas Oil Stadium, the retractable roof may be closed this week as there is a 40% chance for rain in the Indianapolis area. If it doesn't rain, the high is forecast to be 78 F during the afternoon. JAX Injuries: TE Zach Miller (Out)IND Injuries: DT Fili Moala (Questionable), S Bob Sanders (Out), S Jamie Silva (Out)
New York Jets Passing Offense at Houston Texans Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)
The Jets' OL gave up 30 sacks last year, which is not excessive, but wasn't top-tier, either. This year, they'll have a rookie QB sheltering behind the big guys up front - that usually means that a team will give up more sacks than usual as the youngster Mark Sanchez learns on the job. Sanchez has done well in his time on the field during preseason, with 13/20 for 149 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions vs. the Giants in week three, and 5/5 for 67 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions in a cameo appearance vs. the Eagles in week four. Jerricho Cotchery is the #1 WR, with Chansi Stuckey winning the contest in training camp to be #2 - TE Dustin Keller is a promising young talent that rounds out the starting receivers nicely. Behind Stuckey is David Clowney and Brad Smith at the depth positions. Houston's pass D was 17th in the league last year, averaging 213.9 yards allowed per game, with 24 passing TDs given up. The Texans handed over 24.6 points per game on average, landing at 27th in the league in that category, while generating 12 interceptions (21st in the NFL) and 25 sacks (27th-ranked). As you can see, they were not very impressive last year, which got DC Richard Smith fired. Frank Bush coached the defensive line the last two seasons and, as the new defensive coordinator, plans on using more deception, and running a lot of different blitzes out of the base 4-3 formation. The team drafted Brian Cushing to be a starting OLB, but unfortunately he injured a knee during preseason and missed the final two preseason games, but reported on Sunday September 6th that 'I feel good. I'm ready to go. I'm 100 percent now.' Cushing projects to start across from Zac Diles, with MLB DeMeco Ryans manning the middle of the LB corps. If Cushing pans out this LB corps could make some serious noise during 2009. The Jets have a talented but inexperienced youngster under center in his first regular-season start, while the Texans field a rebuilding pass D - home field advantage tilts the scales to Houston in this one. Weather: The forecast for Houston calls for a high of 91 F and a low of 73F with a 40% chance of rain - if it looks stormy at game time, the retractable roof at Reliant Stadium will probably be closed. NYJ Injuries: QB Kellen Clemens (Probable), RB Shonn Greene (Probable), TE Dustin Keller (Probable)HOU Injuries: S Eugene Wilson (Out)
Pittsburgh Steelers Passing Offense vs Tennessee Titans Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)
It's unusual to see a Super Bowl winner rank among the top-5 teams in sacks allowed, but the Steelers did it last year with 49 sacks of Ben Roethlisberger in 16 games (over 3 per contest!). They're going to have to do better if they want to keep Roethlisberger's head screwed on straight, but the team did little in the way of free agent acquisitions on the line, preferring to build through the draft/promoting backups. Roethlisberger threw for 281/469 for 3301 yards, 17 TDs and 15 interceptions behind his leaky line. Santonio Holmes (55/821/5), Hines Ward (81/1043/7), and Heath Miller (48/514/3) return to the lineup to form the core of Pittsburgh's receivers' stable. Offensive coordinator Bruce Arians said on September 8th that both Limas Sweed and rookie Mike Wallace will serve as the No. 3 wideout at times. "There are different packages for both those guys so there's not really a third guy; it depends on the package that they're in right now," Arians said. "It gives us some flexibility that way." The Titans averaged 199.8 passing yards allowed per game last year, with only 12 passing TDs given up over the season. They were second in the league in points allowed per game, with only 14.6 handed over - this unit is stout in both phases of the game. Tennessee had 20 interceptions generated (t - 6th in the NFL) and 44 sacks to their credit (5th in the league). However, the departure of DT Albert Haynesworth (8.5 sacks last year with Tennessee, 6 during 2007) has changed the complexion of the interior line. Tony Brown had 4 sacks last year, a career high, and he'll team with Jovan Haye (over from Tampa Bay) - Haye had 0 sacks last year but 6 during 2007. Perhaps these two will be able to fill the hole left by Haynesworth, but that remains to be seen. New DC Chuck Cecil was promoted from within the organization and should keep the defensive scheme very similar to what's been working in the past. Brady Quinn did O.K. vs. the Titans in week three of the preseason, tossing 11/15 for 128 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions in his time on the field - Derek Anderson also moved the ball, with 7/11 for 77 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions. The Steelers have an effective attack, but they have to deal with the Titans' very tough D on Thursday night - advantage, Tennessee. Weather: The forecast for Thursday night calls for a 50% chance of rain at Heinz Field, with a low approaching 57F. If the precipitation comes down thickly at game time, footing and ball handling will be more difficult than usual - keep an eye on shorter-term forecasts as the game nears if you'll be starting players in this one. PIT Injuries: QB Dennis Dixon (Probable)TEN Injuries: CB Ryan Mouton (Questionable)
San Diego Chargers Passing Offense at Oakland Raiders Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)
The Chargers only allowed 25 sacks of Phillip Rivers last year (among the top-10 in the NFL), while he rolled to a career season (312/478 for 4009 yards, 34 TDs and 11 interceptions). Antonio Gates (60/704/8 receiving last year) is said to be recovered from his painful foot/toe injury that plagued him last year (although he's been held out of the last two preseason games for 'general soreness'), and Vincent Jackson emerged last year to become a clear #1 WR for this offense (59/1098/7 receiving last year). With LaDainian Tomlinson reportedly 100% healthy, all the pieces are back in place for Rivers to have another banner season. Against Atlanta in the third preseason game Rivers looked sharp, with 10/15 for 185 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions during his time on the field. The Raiders' pass D is quite good, allowing on average 201.3 yards last season (10th in the NFL), while giving up 20 passing TDs. Overall, the team was 24th in the NFL with 24.3 total points handed over per game, but that was largely due to an ineffective defensive front. New DC Jim Marshall, a longtime NFL coordinator, will try to reinvigorate a group that has lost it's gritty 'Oakland' luster in recent years. The team generated a respectable 16 interceptions (10th in the NFL) and 32 sacks (13th in the NFL) last year - as we said, the pass D wasn't the problem on this unit last year. However, Drew Brees didn't have much trouble moving the ball during the third preseason game (14/17 for 179 yards, 2 TDs and 0 interceptions) as the Saints cruised to a 45-7 victory over Oakland. The team needs to get on top of their game entering regular season. Rivers and the Chargers have a stalwart opponent to face in the D's house this week - this looks like a tough matchup to us. Weather: McAfeee Coliseum expects a low of 57F on Monday night, with a 0% chance for rain - it should be a great evening to be at the late nightcap game out in Oakland. SD Injuries: noneOAK Injuries: none
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Passing Offense vs Dallas Cowboys Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)
Byron Leftwich won the top job in Tampa, and Luke McCown was shipped off to Jacksonville, leaving rookie Josh Freeman and second-year man Josh Johnson as the wet-behind-the-ears depth on the squad. Lead WR Antonio Bryant has spent the preseason rehabbing a knee after a surgical procedure to repair it - Bryant isn't concerned about not having rapport with Leftwich, though, saying 'Most of the spectacular catches I made last year were bad timing,' earlier this week. On September 9th, Bryant reported, 'I feel good. I don't have any pain [in the knee]. I think along with a couple of other things and adrenaline, I won't think about the knee too much.' Michael Clayton, the #2 WR has missed time at the end of training camp with a sore hamstring but is expected to play in the season opener. As you can see, Leftwich has had little time/repetitions with his wideouts. New TE Kellen Winslow Jr. leads the TE stable that also includes Jerramy Stevens. There are weapons available to Leftwich, but it remains to be seen how comfortable he is delivering the ball to them with such scant acquaintance. Dallas was 5th in the NFL last year in passing yards allowed per game (187.7), but they gave up 19 passing TDs - this isn't a shut-down unit like the Colts boast. The secondary only generated 8 interceptions all year - one of only four teams with single-digit interceptions last year - yet the big guys up front piled up a league-leading 59 sacks during 2008. On balance, the pass D is credible but not elite. The Dallas D was 20th in the NFL overall averaging 22.8 points given up each game last year. In the third preseason game the defense shut out the 49ers QBs/receivers from the end zone (21/36 for 218 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions), which is a hopeful sign for the unit entering regular season. The Buccaneers are rebuilding their passing attack, but it is far from a well-oiled machine entering week 1. In situations like this, the opposing defense usually has the upper hand - advantage, Dallas. Weather: The forecast for Raymond James Stadium calls for a high of 89 F and a low of 77 F with a 40% chance of rain. In the tropical clime of Florida, rain showers can be quite intense at this time of year - if the rain comes down in sheets at game time or during the game, footing and ball-handling will be more problematic than usual. Owners of Cowboys and Buccaneers will want to check a shorter-term forecast before setting their lineups this week. TB Injuries: TE John Gilmore (Doubtful)DAL Injuries: DE Curtis Johnson (Out), S Michael Hamlin (Out)
Washington Redskins Passing Offense at New York Giants Passing Defense (Tough Matchup)
Jason Campbell survived numerous rumors of various deals that the Redskins were trying to make with other teams around the league - it's fair to say that he is on the hot seat this season before it even begins. He threw for 315/506 yielding 3245 yards, 13 TDs and 6 interceptions last year, but aside from Santana Moss and Chris Cooley didn't have many knives in his drawer. This year, youngsters Malcolm Kelly and Devin Thomas are starting to catch on to the speed of the NFL game, and may provide Campbell with some more weapons to utilize. We'll see how they look when the games start counting. The Redskins tied for 10th-most sacks allowed per game last year (38), which is not a category in which you like to see your team finish top-10. The Giants' defense was very good last year despite some key injuries (DE Osi Umenyiora, for example, missed the entirety of the season) - the team averaged just 196.2 passing yards allowed per game, with 17 passing TDs handed over in 16 contests. Overall, the Giants were 5th in the NFL averaging 18.4 points allowed per game - this is one tough unit to score on, friends. The Giants were ninth in the league with 17 interceptions and sixth in the league with 42 sacks - and they enter 2009 with better, healthier personnel than they ended up with last year. This is one scary unit, folks. Mark Sanchez handled the pressure well in the third preseason game (13/20 for 149 yards, 1 TD and 0 interceptions in his time on the field), but now that the games count expect new DC Bill Sheridan to turn up the heat with his outstanding defensive front. Campbell needs to come up big this season, but he has a really tough matchup in front of him, on the road in Giants' stadium during week one. Weather: Giants Stadium expects a high of 79 F with a low of 63 F on Sunday, with a 20% chance for rain - it should be a great day for the Giants and the Redskins to renew their divisional rivalry. WAS Injuries: noneNYG Injuries: none
Kansas City Chiefs Passing Offense at Baltimore Ravens Passing Defense (Bad Matchup)
The Chiefs allowed the 12th-most sacks in the league last year (37), and they haven't been doing a good job of protecting Matt Cassel during preseason this year. Cassel appeared on Kansas City's practice field Monday September 7th for the first time since injuring his left knee on Aug. 29, but his status for Sunday's opener at Baltimore isn't currently known. Coach Todd Haley stated 'I think that as the week goes on, we'll know a little bit more. We'll know a little bit more with Matt for sure. But it was good that he was out there. He was able to get through some things. As the week goes on a little further, we'll know a little more as far as where he's at.' If Cassel can't go, the Chiefs are likely to start Brodie Croyle in his stead (welcome back to the starting lineup, Croyle, now go face the Ravens' defense - nice, huh?). WR Dwayne Bowe and TE Sean Ryan are the top receivers in the patterns so far this year - Mark Bradley, Bobby Engram, and Terrance Copper are battling for playing time entering week 1 of the regular season. As of Wednesday, reports out of K.C. were optimistic that Cassel would be able to play in the season opener. The Ravens were second in the NFL during 2008 in pass yards allowed per game, with 179.7, and they were first in the NFL with 26 interceptions during the year. The team was 15th in the NFL with 34 sacks generated. The defensive unit as a whole was third in the NFL averaging only 15.3 points allowed per game - it is very hard to rack up multiple TDs vs. the Ravens. The Ravens blanked Jake Delhomme and Josh McCown on August 29th (13/20 for 203 yards, 0 TDs and 0 interceptions) - it looks like they are ready to be a stubborn unit again during 2009. K.C. is in transition this year, while Baltimore is rock-solid and brings a lot of crazed fans into this situation, too - advantage, Baltimore. Weather: M and T Bank Stadium expects a high of 80 F on Sunday, with a low of 68 F and a 20% chance of rain. That sounds like great weather for playing and watching football to us. KC Injuries: QB Matt Cassel (Questionable), WR Terrance Copper (Questionable)BAL Injuries: DT Haloti Ngata (Probable)
Tennessee Titans Passing Offense at Pittsburgh Steelers Passing Defense (Bad Matchup)
Kerry Collins returns as the Titans' starter (242/415 for 2676 yards, 12 TDs and 7 interceptions last year), but his receiving corps is injury-challenged to begin the season. Nate Washington, brought in by the team to be the teams lead receiver, has been fighting a serious hamstring pull for weeks and is a game time decision for the contest on Thursday as of September 8th (he partially participated in practice). Due to Washington's injury, the team is likely to start Justin Gage and rookie Kenny Britt at WR on Thursday night (Britt has played with the first team in Washington's absence from practices). Bo Scaife, Jared Cook and Alge Crumpler provide a deep TE corps to draw on, but the passing attack of the Titans doesn't scare many teams. Last year, the Titans' OL protected Kerry Collins exceptionally well, tying for first in the NFL with only 12 sacks allowed all year. The Steelers were tops in the NFL last year vs. opposing passers, with an average of only 156.9 yards allowed per game, and a mere 12 passing TDs given up over the course of the season. They were #1 in the NFL last year averaging just 13.9 points allowed per game - this is one hard-nosed unit, folks. The team also collected 20 interceptions (6th in the NFL) and 51 sacks (2nd in the NFL). Buffalo crawled to 14/24 for 86 yards, 0 TDs and 1 interception vs. the Steelers in their week three preseason game (the Steelers won 17-0). Kerry Collins is in for a long night on Thursday, friends. This is a bad matchup for the visiting Titans and their thin receiving corps. Weather: The forecast for Thursday night calls for a 50% chance of rain at Heinz Field, with a low approaching 57F. If the precipitation comes down thickly at game time, footing and ball handling will be more difficult than usual - keep an eye on shorter-term forecasts as the game nears if you'll be starting players in this one. TEN Injuries: WR Nate Washington (Questionable), TE Jared Cook (Questionable)PIT Injuries: none