Eliminating the Suck (PPR)
Posted 8/12 by David Dodds, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
Let me start off by saying this article is likely going to ruffle some feathers. Like all things in life, there are winners and losers. And some of you homers are rooting for teams and players that simply suck.
Value-Based Drafting shows you that every player has value. But we all know that really isn't the case. You can't load up with players from Oakland, Detroit and Cleveland (even if they were value picks) and expect to win your league. Suck In...equals guess what...Suck Out.
In an effort to eliminate the suck from the Top 300 draft list, I have chosen to implement the following rules:- All players on the worst ten offenses have been eliminated. Worst offenses are calculated looking at my team projections using standard PPR scoring. These teams did not make the cut in 2009: Cleveland Browns, Oakland Raiders, Detroit Lions, Baltimore Ravens, St. Louis Rams, Tennessee Titans, New York Jets, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Kansas City Chiefs and the Washington Redskins. Conversely, the top ten offenses(New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, Arizona Cardinals, San Diego Chargers, Indianapolis Colts, Philadelphia Eagles, Dallas Cowboys, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans and Atlanta Falcons) keep their players on the abbreviated cheatsheet.
- Of the remaining 12 teams, the five with the worst playoff matchups (week 14-16) have been removed. Say goodbye to the Carolina Panthers (who plays @NE, vs Min and @ NYG), Chicago Bears (vs GB, @ Bal, vs Min), Cincinnati Bengals (@Min, @SD, vs KC), Denver Broncos (@Ind, vs Oak, @Phi), and Miami Dolphins (@Jac, @Ten, vs Hou) on the abbreviated cheatsheet.
- Players with Average Draft Positions 40+ points higher than my projections get the axe too. Let's face it, you were never getting these guys anyway so why clutter your mind with the overpriced toy.
- Old players suck. They get hurt a lot and offer minimal upside. Go ahead and cross off Kurt Warner (38 years old), Joey Galloway (38), Isaac Bruce (37), Donald Driver (34), Tony Gonzalez (33), and Torry Holt (33) off from the remaining players. Some are still pretending to have game, but many will likely disappoint.
- Unless you are in a league that does not allow transactions, you should not be drafting multiple kickers and defenses. Go ahead and cross off kickers and defense outside of the top 12.
- And finally I am going to add back any player where I value him 50 points higher than his ADP.
Instead of highlighting possible steals, I have grayed out those that suck.
Here's to not sucking on draft day...
| Overall | 12 Team | 10 Team | 14 Team | Pos | Player | Team | FBG Rank | ADP | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.01 | RB1 | Maurice Jones-Drew | Jac/7 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | RB2 | Steven Jackson | StL/9 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 1.03 | RB3 | Adrian Peterson | Min/9 | 3 | 1 | -2 |
| 4 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.04 | WR1 | Andre Johnson | Hou/10 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 5 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | WR2 | Larry Fitzgerald | Ari/4 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 6 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.06 | RB4 | Matt Forte | Chi/5 | 7 | 3 | -4 |
| 7 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.07 | RB5 | Chris Johnson | Ten/7 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
| 8 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 | WR3 | Randy Moss | NE/8 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
| 9 | 1.09 | 1.09 | 1.09 | RB6 | Frank Gore | SF/6 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
| 10 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.10 | RB7 | Steve Slaton | Hou/10 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 | 1.11 | 2.01 | 1.11 | RB8 | Ladainian Tomlinson | SD/5 | 12 | 5 | -7 |
| 12 | 1.12 | 2.02 | 1.12 | WR4 | Calvin Johnson | Det/7 | 11 | 15 | 4 |
| 13 | 2.01 | 2.03 | 1.13 | RB9 | Brian Westbrook | Phi/4 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 | 2.02 | 2.04 | 1.14 | WR5 | Reggie Wayne | Ind/6 | 13 | 16 | 3 |
| 15 | 2.03 | 2.05 | 2.01 | RB10 | Michael Turner | Atl/4 | 16 | 6 | -10 |
| 16 | 2.04 | 2.06 | 2.02 | RB11 | Clinton Portis | Was/8 | 17 | 18 | 1 |
| 17 | 2.05 | 2.07 | 2.03 | RB12 | DeAngelo Williams | Car/4 | 19 | 11 | -8 |
| 18 | 2.06 | 2.08 | 2.04 | RB13 | Ronnie Brown | Mia/6 | 15 | 26 | 11 |
| 19 | 2.07 | 2.09 | 2.05 | WR6 | Roddy White | Atl/4 | 18 | 24 | 6 |
| 20 | 2.08 | 2.10 | 2.06 | QB1 | Tom Brady | NE/8 | 20 | 23 | 3 |
| 21 | 2.09 | 3.01 | 2.07 | RB14 | Marion Barber | Dal/6 | 22 | 17 | -5 |
| 22 | 2.10 | 3.02 | 2.08 | WR7 | Greg Jennings | GB/5 | 23 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 | 2.11 | 3.03 | 2.09 | WR8 | Steve Smith | Car/4 | 25 | 20 | -5 |
| 24 | 2.12 | 3.04 | 2.10 | RB15 | Pierre Thomas | NO/5 | 21 | 30 | 9 |
| 25 | 3.01 | 3.05 | 2.11 | WR9 | Wes Welker | NE/8 | 24 | 28 | 4 |
| 26 | 3.02 | 3.06 | 2.12 | WR10 | Anquan Boldin | Ari/4 | 26 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 | 3.03 | 3.07 | 2.13 | QB2 | Drew Brees | NO/5 | 28 | 19 | -9 |
| 28 | 3.04 | 3.08 | 2.14 | RB16 | Brandon Jacobs | NYG/10 | 29 | 21 | -8 |
| 29 | 3.05 | 3.09 | 3.01 | RB17 | Kevin Smith | Det/7 | 27 | 32 | 5 |
| 30 | 3.06 | 3.10 | 3.02 | WR11 | Dwayne Bowe | KC/8 | 30 | 27 | -3 |
| 31 | 3.07 | 4.01 | 3.03 | TE1 | Jason Witten | Dal/6 | 32 | 35 | 3 |
| 32 | 3.08 | 4.02 | 3.04 | RB18 | Darren McFadden | Oak/9 | 31 | 40 | 9 |
| 33 | 3.09 | 4.03 | 3.05 | WR12 | T.J. Houshmandzadeh | Sea/7 | 33 | 38 | 5 |
| 34 | 3.10 | 4.04 | 3.06 | WR13 | Terrell Owens | Buf/9 | 35 | 37 | 2 |
| 35 | 3.11 | 4.05 | 3.07 | RB19 | Reggie Bush | NO/5 | 36 | 33 | -3 |
| 36 | 3.12 | 4.06 | 3.08 | QB3 | Peyton Manning | Ind/6 | 37 | 31 | -6 |
| 37 | 4.01 | 4.07 | 3.09 | WR14 | Brandon Marshall | Den/7 | 38 | 36 | -2 |
| 38 | 4.02 | 4.08 | 3.10 | WR15 | Chad Ochocinco | Cin/8 | 39 | 41 | 2 |
| 39 | 4.03 | 4.09 | 3.11 | WR16 | Marques Colston | NO/5 | 42 | 29 | -13 |
| 40 | 4.04 | 4.10 | 3.12 | WR17 | Eddie Royal | Den/7 | 34 | 51 | 17 |
| 41 | 4.05 | 5.01 | 3.13 | QB4 | Aaron Rodgers | GB/5 | 43 | 39 | -4 |
| 42 | 4.06 | 5.02 | 3.14 | RB20 | Knowshon Moreno | Den/7 | 41 | 47 | 6 |
| 43 | 4.07 | 5.03 | 4.01 | RB21 | Marshawn Lynch | Buf/9 | 45 | 42 | -3 |
| 44 | 4.08 | 5.04 | 4.02 | RB22 | Thomas Jones | NYJ/9 | 46 | 45 | -1 |
| 45 | 4.09 | 5.05 | 4.03 | TE2 | Tony Gonzalez | Atl/4 | 40 | 53 | 13 |
| 46 | 4.10 | 5.06 | 4.04 | QB5 | Philip Rivers | SD/5 | 49 | 46 | -3 |
| 47 | 4.11 | 5.07 | 4.05 | WR18 | Anthony Gonzalez | Ind/6 | 47 | 55 | 8 |
| 48 | 4.12 | 5.08 | 4.06 | WR19 | Braylon Edwards | Cle/9 | 51 | 44 | -7 |
| 49 | 5.01 | 5.09 | 4.07 | TE3 | Antonio Gates | SD/5 | 52 | 49 | -3 |
| 50 | 5.02 | 5.10 | 4.08 | WR20 | Santana Moss | Was/8 | 44 | 64 | 20 |
| 51 | 5.03 | 6.01 | 4.09 | WR21 | Santonio Holmes | Pit/8 | 48 | 60 | 12 |
| 52 | 5.04 | 6.02 | 4.10 | RB23 | Derrick Ward | TB/8 | 55 | 52 | -3 |
| 53 | 5.05 | 6.03 | 4.11 | QB6 | Donovan McNabb | Phi/4 | 56 | 56 | 0 |
| 54 | 5.06 | 6.04 | 4.12 | RB24 | Ray Rice | Bal/7 | 53 | 65 | 12 |
| 55 | 5.07 | 6.05 | 4.13 | WR22 | Hines Ward | Pit/8 | 54 | 66 | 12 |
| 56 | 5.08 | 6.06 | 4.14 | TE4 | Dallas Clark | Ind/6 | 58 | 63 | 5 |
| 57 | 5.09 | 6.07 | 5.01 | WR23 | DeSean Jackson | Phi/4 | 60 | 62 | 2 |
| 58 | 5.10 | 6.08 | 5.02 | WR24 | Vincent Jackson | SD/5 | 61 | 59 | -2 |
| 59 | 5.11 | 6.09 | 5.03 | WR25 | Jerricho Cotchery | NYJ/9 | 50 | 73 | 23 |
| 60 | 5.12 | 6.10 | 5.04 | RB25 | Ryan Grant | GB/5 | 62 | 34 | -28 |
| 61 | 6.01 | 7.01 | 5.05 | RB26 | Joseph Addai | Ind/6 | 63 | 48 | -15 |
| 62 | 6.02 | 7.02 | 5.06 | RB27 | Cedric Benson | Cin/8 | 57 | 70 | 13 |
| 63 | 6.03 | 7.03 | 5.07 | QB7 | Tony Romo | Dal/6 | 65 | 58 | -7 |
| 64 | 6.04 | 7.04 | 5.08 | RB28 | Larry Johnson | KC/8 | 68 | 50 | -18 |
| 65 | 6.05 | 7.05 | 5.09 | RB29 | Donald Brown | Ind/6 | 67 | 75 | 8 |
| 66 | 6.06 | 7.06 | 5.10 | QB8 | Kurt Warner | Ari/4 | 71 | 43 | -28 |
| 67 | 6.07 | 7.07 | 5.11 | RB30 | Jonathan Stewart | Car/4 | 72 | 61 | -11 |
| 68 | 6.08 | 7.08 | 5.12 | WR26 | Antonio Bryant | TB/8 | 73 | 57 | -16 |
| 69 | 6.09 | 7.09 | 5.13 | TE5 | Chris Cooley | Was/8 | 69 | 78 | 9 |
| 70 | 6.10 | 7.10 | 5.14 | WR27 | Devin Hester | Chi/5 | 59 | 91 | 32 |
| 71 | 6.11 | 8.01 | 6.01 | QB9 | Jay Cutler | Chi/5 | 75 | 71 | -4 |
| 72 | 6.12 | 8.02 | 6.02 | WR28 | Bernard Berrian | Min/9 | 70 | 82 | 12 |
| 73 | 7.01 | 8.03 | 6.03 | RB31 | Leon Washington | NYJ/9 | 64 | 92 | 28 |
| 74 | 7.02 | 8.04 | 6.04 | TE6 | Greg Olsen | Chi/5 | 78 | 72 | -6 |
| 75 | 7.03 | 8.05 | 6.05 | WR29 | Lance Moore | NO/5 | 79 | 74 | -5 |
| 76 | 7.04 | 8.06 | 6.06 | WR30 | Donald Driver | GB/5 | 77 | 84 | 7 |
| 77 | 7.05 | 8.07 | 6.07 | QB10 | Matt Schaub | Hou/10 | 81 | 79 | -2 |
| 78 | 7.06 | 8.08 | 6.08 | WR31 | Torry Holt | Jac/7 | 80 | 85 | 5 |
| 79 | 7.07 | 8.09 | 6.09 | RB32 | Willie Parker | Pit/8 | 83 | 67 | -16 |
| 80 | 7.08 | 8.10 | 6.10 | RB33 | Darren Sproles | SD/5 | 74 | 94 | 20 |
| 81 | 7.09 | 9.01 | 6.11 | WR32 | Lee Evans | Buf/9 | 85 | 68 | -17 |
| 82 | 7.10 | 9.02 | 6.12 | RB34 | Earnest Graham | TB/8 | 66 | 105 | 39 |
| 83 | 7.11 | 9.03 | 6.13 | QB11 | Ben Roethlisberger | Pit/8 | 76 | 95 | 19 |
| 84 | 7.12 | 9.04 | 6.14 | QB12 | Matt Ryan | Atl/4 | 86 | 80 | -6 |
| 85 | 8.01 | 9.05 | 7.01 | TE7 | Owen Daniels | Hou/10 | 84 | 89 | 5 |
| 86 | 8.02 | 9.06 | 7.02 | TE8 | Kellen Winslow | TB/8 | 88 | 87 | -1 |
| 87 | 8.03 | 9.07 | 7.03 | RB35 | Fred Jackson | Buf/9 | 82 | 96 | 14 |
| 88 | 8.04 | 9.08 | 7.04 | WR33 | Laveranues Coles | Cin/8 | 90 | 76 | -14 |
| 89 | 8.05 | 9.09 | 7.05 | RB36 | Jamal Lewis | Cle/9 | 91 | 88 | -3 |
| 90 | 8.06 | 9.10 | 7.06 | RB37 | Julius Jones | Sea/7 | 95 | 93 | -2 |
| 91 | 8.07 | 10.01 | 7.07 | WR34 | Roy Williams | Dal/6 | 96 | 54 | -42 |
| 92 | 8.08 | 10.02 | 7.08 | WR35 | Steve Breaston | Ari/4 | 97 | 98 | 1 |
| 93 | 8.09 | 10.03 | 7.09 | QB13 | Matt Cassel | KC/8 | 99 | 99 | 0 |
| 94 | 8.10 | 10.04 | 7.10 | RB38 | Chester Taylor | Min/9 | 94 | 107 | 13 |
| 95 | 8.11 | 10.05 | 7.11 | QB14 | David Garrard | Jac/7 | 93 | 109 | 16 |
| 96 | 8.12 | 10.06 | 7.12 | WR36 | Ted Ginn | Mia/6 | 101 | 100 | -1 |
| 97 | 9.01 | 10.07 | 7.13 | TE9 | Zach Miller | Oak/9 | 100 | 104 | 4 |
| 98 | 9.02 | 10.08 | 7.14 | WR37 | Donnie Avery | StL/9 | 102 | 81 | -21 |
| 99 | 9.03 | 10.09 | 8.01 | WR38 | Domenik Hixon | NYG/10 | 92 | 116 | 24 |
| 100 | 9.04 | 10.10 | 8.02 | TE10 | John Carlson | Sea/7 | 107 | 103 | -4 |
| 101 | 9.05 | 11.01 | 8.03 | WR39 | Kevin Walter | Hou/10 | 108 | 86 | -22 |
| 102 | 9.06 | 11.02 | 8.04 | WR40 | Josh Morgan | SF/6 | 89 | 128 | 39 |
| 103 | 9.07 | 11.03 | 8.05 | TE11 | Dustin Keller | NYJ/9 | 103 | 115 | 12 |
| 104 | 9.08 | 11.04 | 8.06 | RB39 | Tim Hightower | Ari/4 | 110 | 101 | -9 |
| 105 | 9.09 | 11.05 | 8.07 | RB40 | Fred Taylor | NE/8 | 98 | 123 | 25 |
| 106 | 9.10 | 11.06 | 8.08 | RB41 | Jerious Norwood | Atl/4 | 106 | 119 | 13 |
| 107 | 9.11 | 11.07 | 8.09 | QB15 | Carson Palmer | Cin/8 | 113 | 83 | -30 |
| 108 | 9.12 | 11.08 | 8.10 | QB16 | Kyle Orton | Den/7 | 105 | 125 | 20 |
| 109 | 10.01 | 11.09 | 8.11 | QB17 | Trent Edwards | Buf/9 | 109 | 122 | 13 |
| 110 | 10.02 | 11.10 | 8.12 | QB18 | Matt Hasselbeck | Sea/7 | 115 | 118 | 3 |
| 111 | 10.03 | 12.01 | 8.13 | WR41 | Steve Smith | NYG/10 | 112 | 124 | 12 |
| 112 | 10.04 | 12.02 | 8.14 | RB42 | Kevin Faulk | NE/8 | 87 | 153 | 66 |
| 113 | 10.05 | 12.03 | 9.01 | WR42 | Chris Chambers | SD/5 | 118 | 127 | 9 |
| 114 | 10.06 | 12.04 | 9.02 | QB19 | Eli Manning | NYG/10 | 123 | 112 | -11 |
| 115 | 10.07 | 12.05 | 9.03 | Def1 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Pit/8 | 124 | 97 | -27 |
| 116 | 10.08 | 12.06 | 9.04 | RB43 | Ricky Williams | Mia/6 | 116 | 135 | 19 |
| 117 | 10.09 | 12.07 | 9.05 | RB44 | Chris Wells | Ari/4 | 126 | 69 | -57 |
| 118 | 10.10 | 12.08 | 9.06 | WR43 | Justin Gage | Ten/7 | 111 | 143 | 32 |
| 119 | 10.11 | 12.09 | 9.07 | Def2 | Minnesota Vikings | Min/9 | 129 | 117 | -12 |
| 120 | 10.12 | 12.10 | 9.08 | WR44 | Michael Jenkins | Atl/4 | 114 | 145 | 31 |
| 121 | 11.01 | 13.01 | 9.09 | WR45 | Derrick Mason | Bal/7 | 130 | 102 | -28 |
| 122 | 11.02 | 13.02 | 9.10 | WR46 | Kevin Curtis | Phi/4 | 122 | 141 | 19 |
| 123 | 11.03 | 13.03 | 9.11 | WR47 | Chris Henry | Cin/8 | 104 | 160 | 56 |
| 124 | 11.04 | 13.04 | 9.12 | WR48 | Muhsin Muhammad | Car/4 | 120 | 148 | 28 |
| 125 | 11.05 | 13.05 | 9.13 | PK1 | Stephen Gostkowski | NE/8 | 134 | 130 | -4 |
| 126 | 11.06 | 13.06 | 9.14 | QB20 | Jason Campbell | Was/8 | 117 | 152 | 35 |
| 127 | 11.07 | 13.07 | 10.01 | Def3 | Baltimore Ravens | Bal/7 | 135 | 110 | -25 |
| 128 | 11.08 | 13.08 | 10.02 | RB45 | LenDale White | Ten/7 | 137 | 90 | -47 |
| 129 | 11.09 | 13.09 | 10.03 | TE12 | Visanthe Shiancoe | Min/9 | 131 | 147 | 16 |
| 130 | 11.10 | 13.10 | 10.04 | Def4 | New York Giants | NYG/10 | 139 | 114 | -25 |
| 131 | 11.11 | 14.01 | 10.05 | QB21 | Joe Flacco | Bal/7 | 128 | 151 | 23 |
| 132 | 11.12 | 14.02 | 10.06 | WR49 | Earl Bennett | Chi/5 | 125 | 156 | 31 |
| 133 | 12.01 | 14.03 | 10.07 | RB46 | Felix Jones | Dal/6 | 142 | 77 | -65 |
| 134 | 12.02 | 14.04 | 10.08 | Def5 | Philadelphia Eagles | Phi/4 | 144 | 129 | -15 |
| 135 | 12.03 | 14.05 | 10.09 | TE13 | Heath Miller | Pit/8 | 138 | 154 | 16 |
| 136 | 12.04 | 14.06 | 10.10 | RB47 | Jamaal Charles | KC/8 | 146 | 139 | -7 |
| 137 | 12.05 | 14.07 | 10.11 | WR50 | Nate Washington | Ten/7 | 136 | 157 | 21 |
| 138 | 12.06 | 14.08 | 10.12 | QB22 | Jake Delhomme | Car/4 | 147 | 146 | -1 |
| 139 | 12.07 | 14.09 | 10.13 | TE14 | Vernon Davis | SF/6 | 133 | 162 | 29 |
| 140 | 12.08 | 14.10 | 10.14 | Def6 | San Diego Chargers | SD/5 | 150 | 131 | -19 |
| 141 | 12.09 | 15.01 | 11.01 | WR51 | Nate Burleson | Sea/7 | 121 | 180 | 59 |
| 142 | 12.10 | 15.02 | 11.02 | RB48 | Le'Ron McClain | Bal/7 | 151 | 121 | -30 |
| 143 | 12.11 | 15.03 | 11.03 | WR52 | Jeremy Maclin | Phi/4 | 154 | 133 | -21 |
| 144 | 12.12 | 15.04 | 11.04 | PK2 | Nate Kaeding | SD/5 | 145 | 165 | 20 |
| 145 | 13.01 | 15.05 | 11.05 | RB49 | LeSean McCoy | Phi/4 | 156 | 111 | -45 |
| 146 | 13.02 | 15.06 | 11.06 | Def7 | New England Patriots | NE/8 | 157 | 140 | -17 |
| 147 | 13.03 | 15.07 | 11.07 | PK3 | Mason Crosby | GB/5 | 152 | 164 | 12 |
| 148 | 13.04 | 15.08 | 11.08 | TE15 | Bo Scaife | Ten/7 | 158 | 149 | -9 |
| 149 | 13.05 | 15.09 | 11.09 | RB50 | Ahmad Bradshaw | NYG/10 | 159 | 120 | -39 |
| 150 | 13.06 | 15.10 | 11.10 | TE16 | Tony Scheffler | Den/7 | 148 | 171 | 23 |
| 151 | 13.07 | 16.01 | 11.11 | WR53 | Mark Clayton | Bal/7 | 160 | 137 | -23 |
| 152 | 13.08 | 16.02 | 11.12 | QB23 | Chad Pennington | Mia/6 | 141 | 181 | 40 |
| 153 | 13.09 | 16.03 | 11.13 | Def8 | Chicago Bears | Chi/5 | 161 | 144 | -17 |
| 154 | 13.10 | 16.04 | 11.14 | WR54 | Mike Walker | Jac/7 | 132 | 191 | 59 |
| 155 | 13.11 | 16.05 | 12.01 | RB51 | Rashard Mendenhall | Pit/8 | 162 | 108 | -54 |
| 156 | 13.12 | 16.06 | 12.02 | WR55 | Joey Galloway | NE/8 | 143 | 192 | 49 |
| 157 | 14.01 | 16.07 | 12.03 | WR56 | Sidney Rice | Min/9 | 163 | 172 | 9 |
| 158 | 14.02 | 16.08 | 12.04 | WR57 | Michael Crabtree | SF/6 | 168 | 106 | -62 |
| 159 | 14.03 | 16.09 | 12.05 | WR58 | Mark Bradley | KC/8 | 140 | 197 | 57 |
| 160 | 14.04 | 16.10 | 12.06 | Def9 | New York Jets | NYJ/9 | 169 | 138 | -31 |
| 161 | 14.05 | 17.01 | 12.07 | Def10 | Tennessee Titans | Ten/7 | 171 | 134 | -37 |
| 162 | 14.06 | 17.02 | 12.08 | PK4 | Garrett Hartley | NO/5 | 153 | 190 | 37 |
| 163 | 14.07 | 17.03 | 12.09 | TE17 | Jeremy Shockey | NO/5 | 172 | 126 | -46 |
| 164 | 14.08 | 17.04 | 12.10 | WR59 | Brian Robiskie | Cle/9 | 173 | 176 | 3 |
| 165 | 14.09 | 17.05 | 12.11 | RB52 | Michael Bush | Oak/9 | 176 | 155 | -21 |
| 166 | 14.10 | 17.06 | 12.12 | Def11 | Dallas Cowboys | Dal/6 | 177 | 159 | -18 |
| 167 | 14.11 | 17.07 | 12.13 | TE18 | Randy McMichael | StL/9 | 119 | 237 | 118 |
| 168 | 14.12 | 17.08 | 12.14 | QB24 | Sage Rosenfels | Min/9 | 155 | 203 | 48 |
| 169 | 15.01 | 17.09 | 13.01 | PK5 | David Akers | Phi/4 | 174 | 184 | 10 |
| 170 | 15.02 | 17.10 | 13.02 | WR60 | Percy Harvin | Min/9 | 179 | 132 | -47 |
| 171 | 15.03 | 18.01 | 13.03 | QB25 | Matthew Stafford | Det/7 | 167 | 193 | 26 |
| 172 | 15.04 | 18.02 | 13.04 | Def12 | Green Bay Packers | GB/5 | 180 | 177 | -3 |
| 173 | 15.05 | 18.03 | 13.05 | WR61 | Chaz Schilens | Oak/9 | 127 | 234 | 107 |
| 174 | 15.06 | 18.04 | 13.06 | WR62 | Devin Thomas | Was/8 | 149 | 212 | 63 |
| 175 | 15.07 | 18.05 | 13.07 | Def13 | Carolina Panthers | Car/4 | 175 | 186 | 11 |
| 176 | 15.08 | 18.06 | 13.08 | QB26 | Marc Bulger | StL/9 | 181 | 169 | -12 |
| 177 | 15.09 | 18.07 | 13.09 | PK6 | Rob Bironas | Ten/7 | 183 | 142 | -41 |
| 178 | 15.10 | 18.08 | 13.10 | PK7 | Jason Elam | Atl/4 | 187 | 158 | -29 |
| 179 | 15.11 | 18.09 | 13.11 | PK8 | Neil Rackers | Ari/4 | 189 | 183 | -6 |
| 180 | 15.12 | 18.10 | 13.12 | RB53 | Mewelde Moore | Pit/8 | 166 | 213 | 47 |
| 181 | 16.01 | 19.01 | 13.13 | RB54 | Jerome Harrison | Cle/9 | 182 | 198 | 16 |
| 182 | 16.02 | 19.02 | 13.14 | TE19 | Brent Celek | Phi/4 | 190 | 166 | -24 |
| 183 | 16.03 | 19.03 | 14.01 | WR63 | Hakeem Nicks | NYG/10 | 191 | 136 | -55 |
| 184 | 16.04 | 19.04 | 14.02 | QB27 | Mark Sanchez | NYJ/9 | 188 | 199 | 11 |
| 185 | 16.05 | 19.05 | 14.03 | QB28 | Brady Quinn | Cle/9 | 194 | 194 | 0 |
| 186 | 16.06 | 19.06 | 14.04 | QB29 | Kerry Collins | Ten/7 | 170 | 219 | 49 |
| 187 | 16.07 | 19.07 | 14.05 | QB30 | JaMarcus Russell | Oak/9 | 165 | 225 | 60 |
| 188 | 16.08 | 19.08 | 14.06 | RB55 | Ladell Betts | Was/8 | 185 | 205 | 20 |
| 189 | 16.09 | 19.09 | 14.07 | PK9 | Ryan Longwell | Min/9 | 196 | 188 | -8 |
| 190 | 16.10 | 19.10 | 14.08 | Def14 | Miami Dolphins | Mia/6 | 193 | 201 | 8 |
| 191 | 16.11 | 20.01 | 14.09 | RB56 | Brandon Jackson | GB/5 | 178 | 217 | 39 |
| 192 | 16.12 | 20.02 | 14.10 | WR64 | Isaac Bruce | SF/6 | 192 | 204 | 12 |
| 193 | 17.01 | 20.03 | 14.11 | PK10 | Nick Folk | Dal/6 | 199 | 179 | -20 |
| 194 | 17.02 | 20.04 | 14.12 | Def15 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Jac/7 | 184 | 220 | 36 |
| 195 | 17.03 | 20.05 | 14.13 | WR65 | Davone Bess | Mia/6 | 198 | 210 | 12 |
| 196 | 17.04 | 20.06 | 14.14 | Def16 | Indianapolis Colts | Ind/6 | 200 | 208 | 8 |
| 197 | 17.05 | 20.07 | 15.01 | PK11 | Kris Brown | Hou/10 | 205 | 189 | -16 |
| 198 | 17.06 | 20.08 | 15.02 | TE20 | Kevin Boss | NYG/10 | 207 | 173 | -34 |
| 199 | 17.07 | 20.09 | 15.03 | RB57 | Kevin Jones | Chi/5 | 201 | 216 | 15 |
| 200 | 17.08 | 20.10 | 15.04 | WR66 | Miles Austin | Dal/6 | 211 | 161 | -50 |
| 201 | 17.09 | 21.01 | 15.05 | TE21 | Anthony Fasano | Mia/6 | 212 | 174 | -38 |
| 202 | 17.10 | 21.02 | 15.06 | PK12 | John Kasay | Car/4 | 214 | 211 | -3 |
| 203 | 17.11 | 21.03 | 15.07 | RB58 | Justin Fargas | Oak/9 | 215 | 182 | -33 |
| 204 | 17.12 | 21.04 | 15.08 | Def17 | Houston Texans | Hou/10 | 208 | 224 | 16 |
| 205 | 18.01 | 21.05 | 15.09 | WR67 | Devery Henderson | NO/5 | 164 | >270 | 106 |
| 206 | 18.02 | 21.06 | 15.10 | PK13 | Robbie Gould | Chi/5 | 218 | 175 | -43 |
| 207 | 18.03 | 21.07 | 15.11 | QB31 | Shaun Hill | SF/6 | 220 | 187 | -33 |
| 208 | 18.04 | 21.08 | 15.12 | WR68 | Bryant Johnson | Det/7 | 213 | 232 | 19 |
| 209 | 18.05 | 21.09 | 15.13 | PK14 | Lawrence Tynes | NYG/10 | 197 | 252 | 55 |
| 210 | 18.06 | 21.10 | 15.14 | PK15 | Jeff Reed | Pit/8 | 225 | 226 | 1 |
| 211 | 18.07 | 22.01 | 16.01 | RB59 | Greg Jones | Jac/7 | 223 | 231 | 8 |
| 212 | 18.08 | 22.02 | 16.02 | Def18 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | TB/8 | 227 | 214 | -13 |
| 213 | 18.09 | 22.03 | 16.03 | WR69 | Michael Clayton | TB/8 | 186 | >270 | 84 |
| 214 | 18.10 | 22.04 | 16.04 | WR70 | Antwaan Randle El | Was/8 | 216 | 240 | 24 |
| 215 | 18.11 | 22.05 | 16.05 | TE22 | Martellus Bennett | Dal/6 | 217 | 239 | 22 |
| 216 | 18.12 | 22.06 | 16.06 | WR71 | Patrick Crayton | Dal/6 | 228 | 185 | -43 |
| 217 | 19.01 | 22.07 | 16.07 | Def19 | Buffalo Bills | Buf/9 | 219 | 238 | 19 |
| 218 | 19.02 | 22.08 | 16.08 | QB32 | Byron Leftwich | TB/8 | 229 | 228 | -1 |
| 219 | 19.03 | 22.09 | 16.09 | RB60 | Maurice Morris | Det/7 | 195 | 266 | 71 |
| 220 | 19.04 | 22.10 | 16.10 | WR72 | Chansi Stuckey | NYJ/9 | 206 | 256 | 50 |
| 221 | 19.05 | 23.01 | 16.11 | Def20 | Arizona Cardinals | Ari/4 | 231 | 218 | -13 |
| 222 | 19.06 | 23.02 | 16.12 | TE23 | Marcedes Lewis | Jac/7 | 202 | 263 | 61 |
| 223 | 19.07 | 23.03 | 16.13 | RB61 | T.J. Duckett | Sea/7 | 233 | 223 | -10 |
| 224 | 19.08 | 23.04 | 16.14 | WR73 | Amani Toomer | KC/8 | 230 | 241 | 11 |
| 225 | 19.09 | 23.05 | 17.01 | Def21 | Washington Redskins | Was/8 | 236 | 200 | -36 |
| 226 | 19.10 | 23.06 | 17.02 | QB33 | Alex Smith | SF/6 | 203 | >270 | 67 |
| 227 | 19.11 | 23.07 | 17.03 | WR74 | Malcom Floyd | SD/5 | 204 | >270 | 66 |
| 228 | 19.12 | 23.08 | 17.04 | TE24 | Brandon Pettigrew | Det/7 | 237 | 207 | -30 |
| 229 | 20.01 | 23.09 | 17.05 | WR75 | Laurent Robinson | StL/9 | 222 | 254 | 32 |
| 230 | 20.02 | 23.10 | 17.06 | WR76 | Greg Camarillo | Mia/6 | 239 | 168 | -71 |
| 231 | 20.03 | 24.01 | 17.07 | QB34 | Luke McCown | TB/8 | 209 | >270 | 61 |
| 232 | 20.04 | 24.02 | 17.08 | RB62 | Leonard Weaver | Phi/4 | 210 | >270 | 60 |
| 233 | 20.05 | 24.03 | 17.09 | WR77 | James Jones | GB/5 | 241 | 235 | -6 |
| 234 | 20.06 | 24.04 | 17.10 | PK16 | Adam Vinatieri | Ind/6 | 245 | 195 | -50 |
| 235 | 20.07 | 24.05 | 17.11 | RB63 | Justin Forsett | Sea/7 | 221 | >270 | 49 |
| 236 | 20.08 | 24.06 | 17.12 | Def22 | Oakland Raiders | Oak/9 | 242 | 250 | 8 |
| 237 | 20.09 | 24.07 | 17.13 | RB64 | Sammy Morris | NE/8 | 246 | 202 | -44 |
| 238 | 20.10 | 24.08 | 17.14 | TE25 | Robert Royal | Cle/9 | 224 | >270 | 46 |
| 239 | 20.11 | 24.09 | 18.01 | WR78 | Demetrius Williams | Bal/7 | 247 | 236 | -11 |
| 240 | 20.12 | 24.10 | 18.02 | WR79 | Johnnie Lee Higgins | Oak/9 | 226 | >270 | 44 |
| 241 | 21.01 | 25.01 | 18.03 | RB65 | Peyton Hillis | Den/7 | 243 | 253 | 10 |
| 242 | 21.02 | 25.02 | 18.04 | TE26 | Todd Heap | Bal/7 | 250 | 247 | -3 |
| 243 | 21.03 | 25.03 | 18.05 | PK17 | Rian Lindell | Buf/9 | 232 | >270 | 38 |
| 244 | 21.04 | 25.04 | 18.06 | PK18 | Shayne Graham | Cin/8 | 251 | 229 | -22 |
| 245 | 21.05 | 25.05 | 18.07 | TE27 | Jermichael Finley | GB/5 | 234 | >270 | 36 |
| 246 | 21.06 | 25.06 | 18.08 | QB35 | Daunte Culpepper | Det/7 | 252 | 243 | -9 |
| 247 | 21.07 | 25.07 | 18.09 | WR80 | Keenan Burton | StL/9 | 235 | >270 | 35 |
| 248 | 21.08 | 25.08 | 18.10 | QB36 | Derek Anderson | Cle/9 | 238 | >270 | 32 |
| 249 | 21.09 | 25.09 | 18.11 | WR81 | Bobby Engram | KC/8 | 254 | 196 | -58 |
| 250 | 21.10 | 25.10 | 18.12 | PK19 | Joe Nedney | SF/6 | 240 | >270 | 30 |
| 251 | 21.11 | 26.01 | 18.13 | TE28 | Chase Coffman | Cin/8 | 255 | 249 | -6 |
| 252 | 21.12 | 26.02 | 18.14 | RB66 | Correll Buckhalter | Den/7 | 256 | 167 | -89 |
| 253 | 22.01 | 26.03 | 19.01 | TE29 | Desmond Clark | Chi/5 | 244 | >270 | 26 |
| 254 | 22.02 | 26.04 | 19.02 | PK20 | Josh Scobee | Jac/7 | 249 | 265 | 16 |
| 255 | 22.03 | 26.05 | 19.03 | WR82 | Robert Meachem | NO/5 | 257 | 215 | -42 |
| 256 | 22.04 | 26.06 | 19.04 | Def23 | Atlanta Falcons | Atl/4 | 248 | >270 | 22 |
| 257 | 22.05 | 26.07 | 19.05 | RB67 | Laurence Maroney | NE/8 | 260 | 163 | -97 |
| 258 | 22.06 | 26.08 | 19.06 | WR83 | Deion Branch | Sea/7 | 261 | 150 | -111 |
| 259 | 22.07 | 26.09 | 19.07 | RB68 | Ken Darby | StL/9 | 253 | >270 | 17 |
| 260 | 22.08 | 26.10 | 19.08 | PK21 | Matt Prater | Den/7 | 262 | 227 | -35 |
| 261 | 22.09 | 27.01 | 19.09 | Def24 | San Francisco 49ers | SF/6 | 258 | >270 | 12 |
| 262 | 22.10 | 27.02 | 19.10 | RB69 | Shonn Greene | NYJ/9 | 264 | 178 | -86 |
| 263 | 22.11 | 27.03 | 19.11 | TE30 | David Martin | Mia/6 | 259 | >270 | 11 |
| 264 | 22.12 | 27.04 | 19.12 | WR84 | Jordy Nelson | GB/5 | 266 | 258 | -8 |
| 265 | 23.01 | 27.05 | 19.13 | QB37 | Kellen Clemens | NYJ/9 | 263 | >270 | 7 |
| 266 | 23.02 | 27.06 | 19.14 | TE31 | L.J. Smith | Bal/7 | 265 | >270 | 5 |
| 267 | 23.03 | 27.07 | 20.01 | RB70 | Willis McGahee | Bal/7 | 268 | 113 | -155 |
| 268 | 23.04 | 27.08 | 20.02 | Def25 | New Orleans Saints | NO/5 | 267 | >270 | 3 |
| 269 | 23.05 | 27.09 | 20.03 | WR85 | Dwayne Jarrett | Car/4 | 269 | >270 | 1 |
| 270 | 23.06 | 27.10 | 20.04 | TE32 | Dante Rosario | Car/4 | 270 | >270 | 0 |
| 271 | 23.07 | 28.01 | 20.05 | RB71 | Chauncey Washington | Jac/7 | 271 | >270 | -1 |
| 272 | 23.08 | 28.02 | 20.06 | WR86 | Josh Cribbs | Cle/9 | 272 | >270 | -2 |
| 273 | 23.09 | 28.03 | 20.07 | Def26 | Seattle Seahawks | Sea/7 | 273 | 259 | -14 |
| 274 | 23.10 | 28.04 | 20.08 | RB72 | Chris Brown | Hou/10 | 274 | >270 | -4 |
| 275 | 23.11 | 28.05 | 20.09 | WR87 | Mike Thomas | Jac/7 | 275 | >270 | -5 |
| 276 | 23.12 | 28.06 | 20.10 | PK22 | Mike Nugent | TB/8 | 276 | >270 | -6 |
| 277 | 24.01 | 28.07 | 20.11 | QB38 | Matt Leinart | Ari/4 | 277 | >270 | -7 |
| 278 | 24.02 | 28.08 | 20.12 | TE33 | Brad Cottam | KC/8 | 278 | >270 | -8 |
| 279 | 24.03 | 28.09 | 20.13 | RB73 | Glen Coffee | SF/6 | 279 | 233 | -46 |
| 280 | 24.04 | 28.10 | 20.14 | WR88 | Jerheme Urban | Ari/4 | 280 | >270 | -10 |
| 281 | 24.05 | 29.01 | 21.01 | Def27 | Cincinnati Bengals | Cin/8 | 281 | >270 | -11 |
| 282 | 24.06 | 29.02 | 21.02 | RB74 | Rashad Jennings | Jac/7 | 282 | 245 | -37 |
| 283 | 24.07 | 29.03 | 21.03 | TE34 | Billy Miller | NO/5 | 283 | >270 | -13 |
| 284 | 24.08 | 29.04 | 21.04 | WR89 | Josh Reed | Buf/9 | 284 | >270 | -14 |
| 285 | 24.09 | 29.05 | 21.05 | RB75 | Tashard Choice | Dal/6 | 285 | 170 | -115 |
| 286 | 24.10 | 29.06 | 21.06 | Def28 | Denver Broncos | Den/7 | 286 | >270 | -16 |
| 287 | 24.11 | 29.07 | 21.07 | PK23 | Phil Dawson | Cle/9 | 287 | >270 | -17 |
| 288 | 24.12 | 29.08 | 21.08 | QB39 | Vince Young | Ten/7 | 288 | >270 | -18 |
| 289 | 25.01 | 29.09 | 21.09 | TE35 | Ben Watson | NE/8 | 289 | >270 | -19 |
| 290 | 25.02 | 29.10 | 21.10 | WR90 | Dennis Northcutt | Det/7 | 290 | >270 | -20 |
| 291 | 25.03 | 30.01 | 21.11 | RB76 | Brian Leonard | Cin/8 | 291 | >270 | -21 |
| 292 | 25.04 | 30.02 | 21.12 | RB77 | Patrick Cobbs | Mia/6 | 292 | >270 | -22 |
| 293 | 25.05 | 30.03 | 21.13 | Def29 | Cleveland Browns | Cle/9 | 293 | >270 | -23 |
| 294 | 25.06 | 30.04 | 21.14 | TE36 | Donald Lee | GB/5 | 294 | 260 | -34 |
| 295 | 25.07 | 30.05 | 22.01 | WR91 | Matt Jones | FA | 295 | >270 | -25 |
| 296 | 25.08 | 30.06 | 22.02 | RB78 | Bernard Scott | Cin/8 | 296 | >270 | -26 |
| 297 | 25.09 | 30.07 | 22.03 | PK24 | Josh Brown | StL/9 | 297 | 222 | -75 |
| 298 | 25.10 | 30.08 | 22.04 | QB40 | Pat White | Mia/6 | 298 | >270 | -28 |
| 299 | 25.11 | 30.09 | 22.05 | RB79 | James Davis | Cle/9 | 299 | 209 | -90 |
| 300 | 25.12 | 30.10 | 22.06 | WR92 | Javon Walker | Oak/9 | 300 | >270 | -30 |
Of course the very best rosters never follow an extremely rigid draft plan as outlined above. But many of the grayed out players will indeed underperform. Minimizing these types of players can go a long way in fielding a competitive roster.
Here is my sample draft from the sixth hole with some early deviations (to scoop up the best values on the draft board). Note: All picks taken at or before their ADP
Rd 1 - Pick 6 - WR Andre Johnson, Min/9Rd 2 - Pick 19 - RB Ronnie Brown, Mia/6 (Deviation)
Rd 3 - Pick 30 - RB Pierre Thomas, NO/5
Rd 4 - Pick 43 - RB Thomas Jones, NYJ/9 (Deviation)
Rd 5 - Pick 54 - WR Anthony Gonzalez, Ind/6
Rd 6 - Pick 67 - WR Jerricho Cotchery, NYJ/9 Deviation)
Rd 7 - Pick 78 - TE Chris Cooley, WAS/8 (Deviation)
Rd 8 - Pick 91 - WR Devin Hester, Chi/5 (Deviation)
Rd 9 - Pick 102 - QB David Garrard, Jac/7
Rd 10 - Pick 115 - WR Domenik Hixon, NYG/10
Rd 11 - Pick 126 - WR Josh Morgan, SF/6
Rd 12 - Pick 139 - RB Kevin Faulk, NE/8
Rd 13 - Pick 150 - WR Chris Henry, Cin/8
Rd 14 - Pick 163 - WR Nate Burleson, Sea/7
Rd 15 - Pick 174 - Def Green Bay Packers, GB/5
Rd 16 - Pick 187 - PK Ryan Longwell, Min/9
Rd 17 - Pick 198 - QB Sage Rosenfels, Min/9
Rd 18 - Pick 211 - RB Justin Forsett, Sea/7
Rd 19 - Pick 222 - QB JaMarcus Russell, Oak/9
Rd 20 - Pick 235 - TE Jermichael Finley, GB/5
For a roster that looks like this:
QBs: David Garrard, Sage Rosenfels, JaMarcus RussellRBs: Ronnie Brown, Pierre Thomas, Thomas Jones, Kevin Faulk, Justin Forsett
WRs: Andre Johnson, Anthony Gonzalez, Jerricho Cotchery, Devin Hester, Domenik Hixon, Josh Morgan, Chris Henry, Nate Burleson
TEs: Chris Cooley, Jermichael Finley
PK: Ryan Longwell
Def: Green Bay Packers