IDP Buy Low / Sell High - Week 3
Updated 9/24 by Anthony Borbely, Exclusive for Footballguys.com
This will be a weekly feature to assist IDP owners in creating deals in their leagues. In theory, players listed as "Buy Low" candidates should have a perceived value that is lower than they merit while the "Sell High" players are overvalued. Use this knowledge to offer viable trades to your leaguemates.
- DL Gaines Adams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Adams is really struggling, so much so that the Buccaneers are considering sending him to the bench. The coaching staff is blaming his performance on a lack of effort and that is never a good way for a player to endear himself to a new coaching staff. It is way to early to consider Adams a bust, but he has yet to validate the high draft pick it took to select him. I usually like to buy low on talented players and this case is no different. The only thing with Adams is he has shown so little that I would not spend much to acquire him.
- LB Channing Crowder, Miami Dolphins: Crowder has gotten off to a slow start and the panicky owners are ready to dump him. While it's true he hasn't played well, he never had a chance to do much in last week's game against the Colts. The Colts only ran a total of 35 plays, including a mere 11 running plays and I had to look again when I saw that they had the ball for less than 15 minutes. It is no wonder Crowder only had one solo. Now I'm not letting him completely off the hook because he could have made a few plays had he not been out of position. Bottom line he should play better and will put up better numbers. Now is the time to buy while his numbers and performance are really bad.
- LB Nick Barnett, Green Bay Packers: Barnett is another player off to a very slow start, but for different reasons than Crowder. Barnett is coming off a major knee injury and is not fully recovered yet. The fact is, he may not completely regain his speed and explosiveness until next year. Right now, the Packers are rotating all of their inside LBs and it is hard to say how long that will continue. My guess is Barnett will eventually be an every down LB once he proves he can play better in coverage. I would be buying low right now and stashing until Barnett earns more playing time. Just realize there is a chance that Barnett remains a 2-down LB for the balance of the season. I just think proven LBs like Barnett are hard to come by and I'll buy low now and hold into next year if need be.
- DB Adrian Wilson, Arizona Cardinals: Wilson had a poor statistical game in week one before improving last week. But Wilson never seems to satisfy his owners because most of them want to see the huge tackle numbers Wilson used to put up. But those days are probably gone because the Cardinals are a much better overall team and the defense is not on the field as much. Some owners are ready to move on and those are the ones you want to deal with. I still think Wilson can be a DB1 this year.
- DB Richard Marshall, Carolina Panthers: Marshall has done little with his first chance at being a full time starter. The Panthers defense as a whole is not very good and mainly because of a rash of injuries to the interior of their defensive line. The LBs, namely Thomas Davis, have been putting up huge tackle numbers and not much has been left for the DBs. Marshall has put up starter tackle numbers as a nickel back and there is no reason to think his numbers will remain this low after only two games. Like I said before, I like to take chances on talented players who are struggling and Marshall qualifies.
- DL Richard Seymour, Oakland Raiders: Seymour had a huge debut with the Raiders before coming back to earth last week. Unfortunately, that is what Seymour owners should expect. Seymour is not a great pass rusher and I don't see him putting up huge tackle numbers. In retrospect, he should have been listed here last week. I am definitely a seller, but you don't necessarily have to be in a hurry because he probably will have a big game here and there.
- LB Thomas Davis, Carolina Panthers: I know I'm in the minority, but I just can't see Davis keeping up this torrid pace once Jon Beason is healthy. I think Davis has talent, but not elite enough talent to be a LB1. There are a lot of his owners who have waited a long time for numbers like these. I just believe the time to sell is when a player is producing numbers that are far higher than the numbers I expect and that is the case with Davis.
- LB Stephen Tulloch, Tennessee Titans: Tulloch is a tough player to analyze because we really don't know how the Tennessee nickel situation will play out. But in watching them play, I think a healthy Thornton is much better in coverage and that is why I would be moving Tulloch. I realize I could be wrong, but I really have not been impressed with Tulloch's play in the nickel packages. That and the situation are screaming sell high to me.
- DB Charles Woodson, Green Bay Packers: While Woodson has put up a very respectable 11 solos, I am leery of a highly ranked older player who has used big play numbers to vault to the top of the DB scoring. DBs as a rule are very volatile and it is hard to find any consistency. There are a lot of owners who take a lot of stock in early stats and those are the owners to target. I would be unlikely to move Woodson in leagues that split CB from safety.
- DB Donte Whitner, Buffalo Bills: Whitner is another player with solid tackle numbers and a defensive TD that artificially inflates his overall ranking. Whitner is a talented player and many have wondered why he never developed. Now he is playing free safety in Buffalo and that is not a prime fantasy position. I do not expect Whitner to be an every week fantasy starter and I would be looking to unload him while you can. DBs like Whitner can often be found on the waiver wire during the season.