Using SOS - Backing Up Your Stud Quarterback
Updated 8/26 by Clayton Gray, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
If you spend a high pick on a quarterback, you most likely will want to start him every week. Of course, there is still the bye week that you'll need to cover, but you probably don't want to spend more than a single extra pick to back him up. In your search for a backup QB, three things are important: his cheapness on draft day, his ability to score, and his opponent on your stud QB's bye week. In this article, we'll use that criteria and search for the top backups for each of the high-priced QBs.
First, let's identify the so-called Stud QBs. For the purposes of this article, we'll consider any QB taken in the first six rounds to be a stud. While this isn't completely accurate, it's safe to assume that someone picking a QB that high will expect to start him every week. Here is the list of expensive QBs.
|
Stud Quarterback
|
ADP
|
Bye
|
|
Tom Brady
|
6
|
4
|
|
Peyton Manning
|
12
|
4
|
|
Matt Hasselbeck
|
65
|
4
|
|
Derek Anderson
|
49
|
5
|
|
Ben Roethlisberger
|
43
|
6
|
|
Donovan McNabb
|
60
|
7
|
|
Carson Palmer
|
34
|
8
|
|
Drew Brees
|
26
|
9
|
|
Tony Romo
|
17
|
10
|
Now, let's exclude some of the quarterbacks that would be too expensive for a backup. The theory here is that if you spend a fourth round pick on Roethlisberger, you can't afford to blow an eighth round pick on someone that will only start one game. For that reason, we'll exclude any quarterback that has an ADP among the first twelve rounds. That leaves us this list for our backup:
|
Backup Quarterback
|
ADP
|
Bye
|
|
Chad Pennington
|
>200
|
4
|
|
JaMarcus Russell
|
181
|
5
|
|
Trent Edwards
|
188
|
6
|
|
Brodie Croyle
|
>200
|
6
|
|
Matt Ryan
|
>200
|
7
|
|
Tarvaris Jackson
|
183
|
8
|
|
Kyle Orton (Grossman)
|
>200
|
8
|
|
J.T. O'Sullivan (Smith)
|
>200
|
9
|
|
Jeff Garcia
|
165
|
10
|
|
Some Baltimore QB
|
>200
|
10
|
Now, let's look at each bye week and determine which of our possible backup QBs have the best combination of scoring ability and ease of opponent. For each bye week, you'll see a list of possible backups with their expected fantasy points scored for the week.
Week 4 - Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, Matt Hasselbeck
|
Backup QB
|
FPs
|
|
Tarvaris Jackson
|
17.4
|
|
Jeff Garcia
|
17.0
|
|
Brodie Croyle (Huard)
|
16.5
|
|
J.T. O'Sullivan (Smith)
|
16.2
|
|
Some Baltimore QB
|
14.5
|
|
Trent Edwards
|
14.2
|
|
Matt Ryan
|
12.8
|
|
JaMarcus Russell
|
11.6
|
|
Kyle Orton (Grossman)
|
9.3
|
Week 5 - Derek Anderson
|
Backup QB
|
FPs
|
|
Jeff Garcia
|
19.1
|
|
Tarvaris Jackson
|
17.4
|
|
Some Baltimore QB
|
16.0
|
|
J.T. O'Sullivan (Smith)
|
15.0
|
|
Trent Edwards
|
14.4
|
|
Kyle Orton (Grossman)
|
14.2
|
|
Brodie Croyle (Huard)
|
13.8
|
|
Matt Ryan
|
13.2
|
|
Chad Pennington
|
12.8
|
Week 6 - Ben Roethlisberger
|
Backup QB
|
FPs
|
|
Tarvaris Jackson
|
17.5
|
|
Jeff Garcia
|
16.4
|
|
Chad Pennington
|
16.1
|
|
Kyle Orton (Grossman)
|
15.5
|
|
JaMarcus Russell
|
14.1
|
|
Some Baltimore QB
|
12.8
|
|
Matt Ryan
|
12.7
|
|
J.T. O'Sullivan (Smith)
|
11.3
|
Week 7 - Donovan McNabb
|
Backup QB
|
FPs
|
|
J.T. O'Sullivan (Smith)
|
16.8
|
|
Some Baltimore QB
|
16.7
|
|
Tarvaris Jackson
|
16.0
|
|
Brodie Croyle (Huard)
|
15.2
|
|
Jeff Garcia
|
15.0
|
|
Chad Pennington
|
13.3
|
|
Kyle Orton (Grossman)
|
13.3
|
|
Trent Edwards
|
12.2
|
|
JaMarcus Russell
|
10.0
|
Week 8 - Carson Palmer
|
Backup QB
|
FPs
|
|
Trent Edwards
|
15.7
|
|
Jeff Garcia
|
15.4
|
|
J.T. O'Sullivan (Smith)
|
13.5
|
|
Some Baltimore QB
|
13.3
|
|
JaMarcus Russell
|
12.3
|
|
Chad Pennington
|
12.2
|
|
Brodie Croyle (Huard)
|
11.3
|
|
Matt Ryan
|
9.8
|
Week 9 - Drew Brees
|
Backup QB
|
FPs
|
|
Some Baltimore QB
|
19.0
|
|
Tarvaris Jackson
|
18.1
|
|
Chad Pennington
|
16.7
|
|
JaMarcus Russell
|
15.9
|
|
Jeff Garcia
|
15.4
|
|
Kyle Orton (Grossman)
|
14.2
|
|
Matt Ryan
|
11.0
|
|
Trent Edwards
|
10.7
|
|
Brodie Croyle (Huard)
|
10.0
|
Week 10 - Tony Romo
|
Backup QB
|
FPs
|
|
Tarvaris Jackson
|
16.2
|
|
J.T. O'Sullivan (Smith)
|
15.3
|
|
Matt Ryan
|
14.0
|
|
Kyle Orton (Grossman)
|
13.6
|
|
Trent Edwards
|
13.6
|
|
JaMarcus Russell
|
12.5
|
|
Chad Pennington
|
12.4
|
|
Brodie Croyle (Huard)
|
12.3
|















