Trend-Spotting - Week 6

  Posted 10/9 by Chris Smith, Exclusive to Footballguys.com

All data used in this article begins week one of the 2003 season unless otherwise specified. All team information found within has been pulled from my own boxscore database. If you are interested in using this database for your own sports gaming / fantasy football / football pool research, or if you notice any inaccuracies or have any feedback (which is always encouraged) please contact me at smith@footballguys.com.

Chicago Bears vs. Atlanta Falcons

• Only game between these teams was in 2005 with Bears prevailing 16 to 3

Bears

• Have scored at least 17 points in all five games this season
• Have a 15-17 road record against NFC opponents. In those games the Bears have:
  • Averaged 19.5 PF and 20.7 PA
  • Scored 30+ points three times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points six times
  • Gave up 30+ points five times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points five times
  • Averaged 178 passing yards and 99 rushing yards
  • Two 300-yard passing games
  • Sixteen games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Four 150+ yard rushing games
  • Five games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 211 passing yards and 112 rushing yards
• Are 1-1 on the road against the NFC this season
  • Beat Lions 34 to 7
  • Lost Panthers 20 to 17
• 19-23 road record
• 10-1 record as road favorite

Falcons

• Have scored 99 points in their three wins. Just 18 in their two losses
• Have a 14-17 home record against NFC opponents. In those games the Falcons have:
  • Averaged 20.9 PF and 24.3 PA
  • Scored 30+ points eight times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points six times
  • Gave up 30+ points fourteen times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points six times
  • Averaged 173 passing yards and 159 rushing yards
  • Two 300-yard passing games
  • Fourteen games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Fifteen 150+ yard rushing games
  • Four games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 217 passing yards and 119 rushing yards
• Won their only game at home against conference opponent this year (Caveat: it was the Lions)
• 21-21 home record
• 6-13 record as home underdog

Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts

• Since 2003, the Ravens have played the Colts three times, and lost all three. In those games the Ravens:
  • Averaged 12.3 PF and 29.3 PA
  • Averaged 221 passing yards and 112 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 259 passing yards and 71 rushing yards

Ravens

• Are only giving up 14 PPG on the season
• Have an 8-23 road record against NFC opponents. In those games the Ravens have:
  • Averaged 15.4 PF and 20.5 PA
  • Scored 30+ points two times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points eleven times
  • Gave up 30+ points six times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points six times
  • Averaged 182 passing yards and 108 rushing yards
  • Two 300-yard passing games
  • Ten games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Five 150+ yard rushing games
  • Two games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 201 passing yards and 100 rushing yards
• Lost last seven conference road games dating back to last season
• 13-28 road record
• 5-20 as road underdog
• Covered spread in 10 of those 25 road underdog games

Colts

• Both Colts victories have been huge fourth quarter comebacks
• Have scored 52 points in last two games
• Have a 24-7 home record against NFC opponents. In those games the Colts have:
  • Averaged 27.2 PF and 18.1 PA
  • Scored 30+ points fourteen times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points two times
  • Gave up 30+ points four times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points seven times
  • Averaged 252 passing yards and 109 rushing yards
  • Eight 300-yard passing games
  • Four games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Four 150+ yard rushing games
  • Three games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 184 passing yards and 127 rushing yards
• Lost their only conference home game this season (to divisional rival Jaguars)
• 4-3 in conference home games since last season
• 33-9 home record
• Just 4-5 at home when favored by fewer than 6 points

Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings

• These two teams last played in week 12 last season with the Lions getting crushed by the Vikings 42 to 10. In that game:
  • The Lions had 230 passing yards and 23 rushing yards
  • The Vikings had 227 passing yards and 216 rushing yards
• Since 2003, the Lions have played the Vikings 10 times, winning only once. In those games Team One:
  • Averaged 17 PF and 26 PA
  • Averaged 223 passing yards and 67 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 219 passing yards and 136 rushing yards

Lions

• Have given up at least 31 points in all four games this season
• Have a 2-13 road record against divisional opponents. In those games the Lions have:
  • Averaged 12.9 PF and 24.9 PA
  • Have not scored 30+ points
  • Scored 10 or fewer points five times
  • Gave up 30+ points five times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points once
  • Averaged 175 passing yards and 77 rushing yards
  • No 300-yard passing games
  • Four games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • One 150+ yard rushing games
  • Five games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 186 passing yards and 142 rushing yards
• Went 1-2 on the road within the division last season
• 1-6 record as 10+ point road underdog

Vikings

• Have a 10-5 home record against divisional opponents. In those games the Vikings have:
  • Averaged 25.1 PF and 18.7 PA
  • Scored 30+ points three times
  • Have not scored 10 or fewer points
  • Gave up 30+ points two times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points two times
  • Averaged 224 passing yards and 135 rushing yards
  • One 300-yard passing game
  • One games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Four 150+ yard rushing games
  • No games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 225 passing yards and 85 rushing yards
• 2-1 record at home within division last season
• Won all four games at home when favored by 10+ points

Oakland Raiders vs. New Orleans Saints

• The Saints won 31 to 26 in the only meeting since 2003

Raiders

• Have not scored more than 23 points in a game this season
• Have a 2-8 road record against NFC opponents. In those games the Raiders have:
  • Averaged 15.6 PF and 25.9 PA
  • Have not scored 30+ points
  • Scored 10 or fewer points three times
  • Gave up 30+ points three times
  • Have not given up 10 or fewer points
  • Averaged 217 passing yards and 85 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 201 passing yards and 154 rushing yards
• Have lost four straight road games against the NFC
• 7-35 road record
• 1-19 road record when underdog by 7+ points

Saints

• Have a 4-6 home record against AFC opponents. In those games the Saints have:
  • Averaged 21.0 PF and 26.8 PA
  • Scored 30+ points twice times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points once
  • Gave up 30+ points five times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points twice
  • Averaged 280 passing yards and 97 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 220 passing yards and 131 rushing yards
• 1-1 at home vs. AFC last season
• 18-24 home record
• 5-2 record when favored by more than 7 points at home

Cincinnati Bengals vs. New York Jets

• These two teams last played in 2007 with the Bengals defeating the Jets 38 to 31. In that game:
  • Bengals had 218 passing yards and 177 rushing yards
  • Jets had 258 passing yards and 84 rushing yards

Cincinnati Bengals

• Have yet to score more than 23 points in a game this season (avg. less than 15 PPG)
• Have a 13-18 road record against conference opponents. In those games the Bengals have:
  • Averaged 22.8 PF and 24.3 PA
  • Scored 30+ points six times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points three times
  • Gave up 30+ points nine times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points four times
  • Averaged 228 passing yards and 101 rushing yards
  • Five 300-yard passing games
  • Five games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Two 150+ yard rushing games
  • Two games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 222 passing yards and 135 rushing yards
• 0-1 on the road against AFC this season
• 2-4 on the road against AFC last season
• 1-8 record on road as a 6+ point underdog

New York Jets

• Have a 17-14 home record against conference opponents. In those games the Jets have:
  • Averaged 19.8 PF and 18.4 PA
  • Scored 30+ points five times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points five times
  • Gave up 30+ points five times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points eight times
  • Averaged 183 passing yards and 116 rushing yards
  • One 300-yard passing games
  • Thirteen games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Eight 150+ yard rushing games
  • Four games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 193 passing yards and 113 rushing yards
• Lost only home game to conference opponent this season (to NE)
• Were 3-3 at home last year against AFC opponents
• Won all six games when favored by 6+ points at home

Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Neither team has given up more than 24 points in a game this season
• These two teams last played week 17 last season with the Panthers defeating the Buccaneers 31 to 23. In that game:
  • The Panthers had 169 passing yards and 180 rushing yards
  • The Buccaneers had 196 passing yards and 107 rushing yards
• Since 2003, the Panthers have played the Buccaneers 10 times, winning 8. In those games the Panthers:
  • Averaged 22.9 PF and 17.8 PA
  • Averaged 194 passing yards and 112 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 226 passing yards and 84 rushing yards
• Panthers have won straight games in Tampa Bay

Carolina Panthers

• Have a sizzling 13-2 road record against divisional opponents. In those games the Panthers have:
  • Averaged 26.3 PF and 17.5 PA
  • Scored 30+ points seven times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points once
  • Gave up 30+ points once
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points two times
  • Averaged 176 passing yards and 141 rushing yards
  • One 300-yard passing game
  • Five games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Seven 150+ yard rushing games
  • No games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 215 passing yards and 88 rushing yards
• Have won five straight divisional road games
• 5-5 road record when an underdog by 3 or fewer points

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Have a 6-10 home record against divisional opponents. In those games the Buccaneers have:
  • Averaged 21.4 PF and 19.9 PA
  • Scored 30+ points twice
  • Scored 10 or fewer points twice times
  • Gave up 30+ points five times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points three times
  • Averaged 207 passing yards and 105 rushing yards
  • Two 300-yard passing games
  • Six games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Four 150+ yard rushing games
  • Two games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 163 passing yards and 121 rushing yards
• 3-1 record at home in last four divisional home games
• 7-5 home record when favored but by less than 3 points

St. Louis Rams vs. Washington Redskins

• Last played in 2006 with the Rams defeating the Redskins 37 to 31

Rams

• Have yet to score more than 14 points in a game this season
• Have an 11-21 road record against conference opponents. In those games the Rams have:
  • Averaged 17.3 PF and 26.4 PA
  • Scored 30+ points four times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points eight times
  • Gave up 30+ points twelve times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points twice
  • Averaged 222 passing yards and 83 rushing yards
  • Seven 300-yard passing games
  • Seven games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Two 150+ yard rushing games
  • Nine games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 222 passing yards and 132 rushing yards
• Have lost both conference road games this season by a combined score of 75 to 16
• Rams have a 15-27 road record since 2003
• 3-8 road record when a 7+ point underdog

Redskins

• Have scored at least 23 points in four straight games
• Have an 18-14 home record against NFC opponents. In those games the Redskins have:
  • Averaged 21.5 PF and 19.1 PA
  • Scored 30+ points five times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points three times
  • Gave up 30+ points four times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points seven times
  • Averaged 205 passing yards and 128 rushing yards
  • Three 300-yard passing games
  • Four games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Ten 150+ yard rushing games
  • One game with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 194 passing yards and 102 rushing yards
• 2-0 at home this season against conference opponents
• Won four straight conference home games
• Skins have a 22-20 home record since 2003
• 3-1 record at home as a 7+ point favorite

Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans

• These two teams last played in 2007 with the Dolphins falling to the Texans 22 to 19. In that game:
  • Dolphins had 148 passing yards and 137 rushing yards
  • Texans had 278 passing yards and 74 rushing yards
• The Texans have won all three games played since 2003

Dolphins

• Have played both teams that played in the AFC Conference Championship last year in back to back weeks (Patriots and Chargers). They won both, outscoring the two teams by a combined 55 to 23
• Have an 8-23 road record against conference opponents. In those games the Dolphins have:
  • Averaged 16.6 PF and 21.4 PA
  • Scored 30+ points three times (including Patriots game in week three)
  • Scored 10 or fewer points nine times
  • Gave up 30+ points six times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points five times
  • Averaged 184 passing yards and 100 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 186 passing yards and 119 rushing yards
• Won only conference road game this season
• 14-28 road record

Texans

• Have given up 30+ points in all four games this season
• Have a 14-18 home record against conference opponents. In those games the Texans have:
  • Averaged 21.9 PF and 23.2 PA
  • Scored 30+ points five times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points once
  • Gave up 30+ points eight times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points four times
  • Gave up 21 points in a three minute span to lose a game this season one time (Texans’ fans are still in disbelief)
  • Averaged 177 passing yards and 118 rushing yards
  • No 300-yard passing games
  • Eleven games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Eight 150+ yard rushing games
  • Two games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 230 passing yards and 126 rushing yards
• Now 3-1 at home in last four conference games (including choke vs. Colts)
• 18-23 home record
• 9-7 home record when favored

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Denver Broncos

• These two teams last played in 2007 with the Jaguars crushing the Broncos 23 to 14. In that game:
  • Jaguars had 140 passing yards and 186 rushing yards
  • Broncos had 218 passing yards and 47 rushing yards

Jaguars

• Have given up 17+ points in all five games this season
• Have a 15-17 road record against conference opponents. In those games the Jaguars have:
  • Averaged 19.1 PF and 20.1 PA
  • Scored 30+ points three times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points six times
  • Gave up 30+ points three times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points six times
  • Averaged 191 passing yards and 131 rushing yards
  • One 300-yard passing games
  • Eleven games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Thirteen 150+ yard rushing games
  • Three games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 192 passing yards and 96 rushing yards
• Are 1-1 in conference road games this season
• 5-3 in last eight conference road games

Broncos

• Have scored just 32 total points in last two games
• Have a 25-6 home record against conference opponents. In those games the Broncos have:
  • Averaged 25.3 PF and 17.9 PA
  • Scored 30+ points twelve times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points twice times
  • Gave up 30+ points twelve times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points twice times
  • Averaged 213 passing yards and 151 rushing yards
  • One 300-yard passing games
  • Three games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Sixteen 150+ yard rushing games
  • Twice games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 204 passing yards and 96 rushing yards
• Won last four conference home games
• 12-6 home record when favored by less than 6 points

Dallas Cowboys vs. Arizona Cardinals

• The Cowboys have won each of the last three meetings between the teams, outscoring the Cardinals 85 to 30

Cowboys

• Have scored at least 24 points in all five games this season
• Have an 18-13 road record against conference opponents. In those games the Cowboys have:
  • Averaged 22.7 PF and 21.8 PA
  • Scored 30+ points nine times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points eight times
  • Gave up 30+ points eight times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points four times
  • Averaged 222 passing yards and 116 rushing yards
  • Five 300-yard passing games
  • Seven games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Seven 150+ yard rushing games
  • Two games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 213 passing yards and 109 rushing yards
• Have won last nine games that mattered against NFL opponents on the road (loss to Redskins in week 17 last year was a meaningless game for the Cowboys)
• 15-5 as a road favorite

Cardinals

• Have scored at least 17 points in all five games this season
• Have a 17-13 home record against conference opponents. In those games the Cardinals have:
  • Averaged 22.2 PF and 20.6 PA
  • Scored 30+ points eight times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points three times
  • Gave up 30+ points five times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points four times
  • Averaged 243 passing yards and 105 rushing yards
  • Six 300-yard passing games
  • Four games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Four 150+ yard rushing games
  • No games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 210 passing yards and 95 rushing yards
• 3-1 in last four conference home games
• 11-14 record as home underdog

Philadelphia Eagles vs. San Francisco 49ers

• The Eagles have won last two in series, outscoring the 49ers 80 to 27

Eagles

• Have scored 20 or fewer points in three straight games
• Have a 19-13 road record against conference opponents. In those games Team One have:
  • Averaged 22.0 PF and 18.5 PA
  • Scored 30+ points eight times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points six times
  • Gave up 30+ points twice
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points six times
  • Averaged 213 passing yards and 110 rushing yards
  • Four 300-yard passing games
  • Seven games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Seven 150+ yard rushing games
  • Three games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 192 passing yards and 116 rushing yards
• Have lost both conference road games this season
• 4-7 record when favored on road by fewer than 6 points

49ers

• Have a 14-18 home record against conference opponents. In those games the 49ers have:
  • Averaged 20.9 PF and 21.4 PA
  • Scored 30+ points six times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points seven times
  • Gave up 30+ points six times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points five times
  • Averaged 199 passing yards and 109 rushing yards
  • One 300-yard passing games
  • Six games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Seven 150+ yard rushing games
  • Four games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 228 passing yards and 101 rushing yards
• 1-1 at home against conference foes this season
• 5-9 record when home underdog by closer than 6 points

Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks

• Since 2003, the Packers have played the Seahawks three times, winning twice. In those games the Packers:
  • Averaged 27.3 PF and 21.3 PA
  • Averaged 229 passing yards and 93 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 170 passing yards and 154 rushing yards

Packers

• Have given up 25+ points in four consecutive games
• Have given up 176+ rushing yards in four of the five games this season
• Have an 18-14 road record against NFC opponents. In those games Team One have:
  • Averaged 24.7 PF and 22.9 PA
  • Scored 30+ points twelve times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points four times
  • Gave up 30+ points nine times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points two times
  • Averaged 253 passing yards and 98 rushing yards
  • Eight 300-yard passing games
  • Three games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Five 150+ yard rushing games
  • Five games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 204 passing yards and 121 rushing yards
• 2-3 on the road in the last five conference games
• 24-18 road record
  

Seahawks

• Have given up 33+ points in three of the four games this season
• Have a 26-6 home record against NFC opponents. In those games the Seahawks have:
  • Averaged 27.5 PF and 18.3 PA
  • Scored 30+ points thirteen times
  • Have not scored 10 or fewer points
  • Gave up 30+ points five times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points nine times
  • Averaged 220 passing yards and 139 rushing yards
  • Three 300-yard passing games
  • Four games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Fourteen 150+ yard rushing games
  • Have not rushed for fewer than 50 yards
  • Surrendered 203 passing yards and 104 rushing yards
• 1-1 at home against conference this season (49ers beat them in a huge upset)
• Won the last five games at home last season against conference teams
• 34-8 home record

New England Patriots vs. San Diego Chargers

• These two teams have met twice in the regular season with both teams recording a lopsided victory over the other.

Patriots

• Have yet to throw for more than 233 yards in a game this season
• Have a 25-6 road record against conference opponents. In those games the Patriots have:
  • Averaged 27.5 PF and 19.3 PA
  • Scored 30+ points twelve times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points twice
  • Gave up 30+ points three times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points five times
  • Averaged 245 passing yards and 116 rushing yards
  • Seven 300-yard passing games
  • Three games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Seven 150+ yard rushing games
    
  • One game with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 212 passing yards and 98 rushing yards
• Have nine consecutive conference road games dating back to 2006
• 34-8 on the road
• 4-1 record on road as 4+ point underdog

Chargers

• Are averaging fewer than 100 rushing yards in a game (96.5 RY/game)
• Have a 20-10 home record against conference opponents. In those games the Chargers have:
  • Averaged 26.4 PF and 19.1 PA
  • Scored 30+ points ten times
  • Scored 10 or fewer points three times
  • Gave up 30+ points four times
  • Gave up 10 or fewer points six times
  • Averaged 196 passing yards and 142 rushing yards
  • Two 300-yard passing games
  • Nine games with fewer than 150 passing yards
  • Nine 150+ yard rushing games
  • No games with fewer than 50 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 205 passing yards and 101 rushing yards
• 11-1 at home against conference since start of 2006
• 28-13 at home

MNF - New York Giants vs. Cleveland Browns

• Giants won 27 to 10 in the only meeting between the teams

Giants

• Are giving up just 12.3 PPG
• Have a 3-6 road record against AFC opponents. In those games the Giants have:
  • Averaged 21.7 PF and 26.9 PA
  • Averaged 213 passing yards and 127 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 204 passing yards and 131 rushing yards
• Are 3-2 on the road for Monday Night Football since 2003
• 23-18 road record
• Have won all five games on road when favored by 7+ points

Browns

• Are scoring just 11.5 PPG
• Have a 5-6 home record against NFC opponents. In those games the Browns have:
  • Averaged 20.5 PF and 18.9 PA
  • Averaged 189 passing yards and 109 rushing yards
  • Surrendered 209 passing yards and 122 rushing yards
• 0-1 at home for Monday Night Football since 2003
• 19-23 home record