Trend-Spotting - Week 16
Posted 12/17 by Chris Smith, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
All data used in this article begins week one of the 2003 season unless otherwise specified. All team information found within has been pulled from my own boxscore database. If you are interested in using this database for your own sports gaming / fantasy football / football pool research, or if you notice any inaccuracies or have any feedback (which is always encouraged) please contact me at smith@footballguys.com.
Thursday Night - Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars won 23 to 21 earlier this season thanks to a 236-yard rushing performance
- The Colts have 7 wins in the last 11 games against the Jaguars
COLTS
- 12-5 record in divisional road games
- Average 252 passing yards and 122 rushing yards
- Average 183 passing yards against and 113 rushing yards against
- 5-2 on the road this season
- 20.1 PF and 21.9 PA
- Averaged 73 rushing yards and 227 passing yards
- Averaged 117 rushing yards against and 196 passing yards against
- Scored more than 24 points in just one road game
- Gave up 20+ points in five road games
- Passed for at least 223 yards in six road games (just 125 passing yards last game against the Browns)
- Have not rushed for 100 yards in seven road games
- Gave up at least 100+ rushing yards in five of seven road games
JAGUARS
- 8-9 record in divisional home games
- Average 185 passing yards and 192 rushing yards
- Average 232 passing yards against and 73 rushing yards against
- 2-5 at home this season
- 18.6 PF and 23.7 PA
- Averaged 94 rushing yards and 208 passing yards
- Averaged 99 rushing yards against and 232 passing yards against
- Have not scored more than 21 points in five straight games
- Gave up just 16 points last week to Packers but at least 20 points in every home game prior
- Passed for at least 229 yards in three of last four games
- Failed to rush for 100 yards in three of last five games
- Have not given up more than 344 total yards in each of the last four
games
Saturday Night - Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys
RAVENS
- 4-3 on the road this season
- 24.6 PF and 20 PA
- Averaged 131 rushing yards and 204 passing yards
- Averaged 86 rushing yards against and 207 passing yards against
- Scored 27+ points in four of last five road games
- Gave up 13 or fewer points in three of seven road games
- Gave up 23+ points in the other four road games
- Passed for at least 200 yards in four road games
- Rushed for 121+ yards in five straight road games
- Gave up 207 rushing yards to the Giants and less than 77 yards in other six road games
- Have not turned the ball over in three of last four road games
COWBOYS
- 6-1 at home this season
- 28.3 PF and 19 PA
- Averaged 96 rushing yards and 256 passing yards
- Averaged 75 rushing yards against and 226 passing yards against
- Scored 20+ points in all but one home game this season (13 points against Buccaneers)
- Gave up 9 or fewer points in three of last four home games
- Passed for at least 221 yards in three consecutive home games
- Have rushed for at least 100 yards in two straight home games after failing to do so in four of the first five
- Have not given up more than 80 rushing yards in five straight home games
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns
- Browns won 20 to 12 earlier this season thanks to 5 Bengals turnovers. Neither team had 270 total yards of offense
BENGALS
- 9-8 divisional road record
- 22.3 PF and 22.2 PA
- Averaged 225 passing yards and 98 rushing yards
- Averaged 219 passing yards against and 129 rushing yards against
- 0-7 on the road this season
- 12.5 PF and 28.1 PA
- Averaged 83 rushing yards and 176 passing yards
- Averaged 120 rushing yards against and 211 passing yards against
- Scored 14 or fewer points in four straight road games (avg. 8.3 PPG on road during that stretch)
- Gave up 26+ points in six straight road games
- Have not passed for 200 yards in three of past four road games
- Have rushed for 100 yards in three of seven road games
- Have given up 100+ rushing yards just once in past four road games
BROWNS
- 6-11 divisional home record
- 15.8 PF and 23.8 PA
- Averaged 206 passing yards and 83 rushing yards
- Averaged 206 passing yards against and 135 rushing yards against
- 1-6 at home this season
- 17.1 PF and 21.2 PA
- Averaged 101 rushing yards and 181 passing yards
- Averaged 140 rushing yards against and 249 passing yards against
- Scored 10 or fewer points in four of seven home games while scoring 27+ points in other three
- Gave up 16 or fewer points in four of seven home games
- Passed for only 237 total yards in past two home games
- Have rushed for 91+ yards in five of seven home games
- Have given up at least 90 yards in all seven home games and 112+ yards in six of the seven
San Francisco 49ers vs. St. Louis Rams
- The 49ers won 35 to 16 in San Francisco earlier this year
- 49ers ran for 135 yards and passed for 199 yards
- Rams ran for 126 yards and passed for 280 yards
49ERS
- 6-11 in divisional road games
- 18.4 PF and 25.4 PA
- Averaged 161 passing yards and 117 rushing yards
- Averaged 263 passing yards and 112 rushing yards
- 2-5 on the road this season
- 18.9 PF and 24.4 PA
- Averaged 77 rushing yards and 221 passing yards
- Averaged 108 rushing yards against and 245 passing yards against
- Have scored 17 or fewer points in four of past six road games
- Have given up just 17 combined points in past two road games after giving up 154 points in first five road games
- Have not had more than 336 total yards of offense since the first road game of season
- Have not given up 200+ yards passing in four of seven road games this year
- Have given up 100+ rushing yards just once in past four road games
RAMS
- Have a 7-10 divisional home record
- 23.1 PF and 23.5 PA
- Averaged 257 passing yards and 102 rushing yards
- Averaged 200 passing yards against and 126 rushing yards against
- 1-6 on home this season
- 15.7 PF and 26.6 PA
- Averaged 107 rushing yards and 176 passing yards
- Averaged 155 rushing yards against and 211 passing yards against
- Averaged just 12 points scored per game over last four home games
- Gave up 23 or fewer points in three of past five home games
- Have not passed for more than 230 yards in a home game this season
- Gave up at least 129 yards in four of seven home games (68 or fewer in other three)
- Have given up at least 111 yards rushing in all seven home games
New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions
SAINTS
- 1-6 on the road this season
- 22.4 PF and 28.1 PA
- Averaged 90 rushing yards and 291 passing yards
- Averaged 120 rushing yards against and 213 passing yards against
- Scored 20+ points in four straight road games and in all but one road game on the season
- Gave up 20+ points in every road game this season
- Passed for at least 228 yards in six straight road games
- Have rushed for 100+ yards in four of past five road games
- Have multiple turnovers in five of seven road games
- Gave up at least 105 rushing yards in all but one road game (last week
against the Bears - 55 yards)
LIONS
- 0-7 at home this season
- 15.6 PF and 35.6 PA
- Averaged 67 rushing yards and 169 passing yards
- Averaged 150 rushing yards against and 236 passing yards against
- Have not scored more than 20 points in six straight home games
- Have given up at least 20 points in every home game this season and 34+ points in five home games
- Have not passed for 200+ yards in four straight home games
- Have 76 or fewer rushing yards in five of seven home games
- Gave up at least 119+ rushing yards in five straight home games
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Tennessee Titans
STEELERS
- 6-1 on the road this season
- 21.3 PF and 11 PA
- Averaged 103 rushing yards and 200 passing yards
- Averaged 76 rushing yards against and 150 passing yards against
- Scored 23+ points in four of seven road games (13 or fewer in other three)
- Have given up 10 or fewer points in four straight road games and not allowed more than 21 points in a road game this year
- Have had three straight games with fewer than 334 total yards of offense
- Have not given up more than 195 passing yards in a road game this year
- Have given up 100+ yards in two straight road games after not doing so in first five road games of year
- Last four road games have outscored opposition 107 to 35 (Bears, Redskins,
Patriots and Ravens)
TITANS
- 6-1 at home this season
- 24.1 PF and 17 PA
- Averaged 130 rushing yards and 188 passing yards
- Averaged 97 rushing yards against and 207 passing yards against
- Scored 28+ points in four home games
- Have failed to score 20 points in two of past three home games
- Gave up 17 or fewer points in five of seven home games but 21+ points in two of last four
- Have rushed for 137+ yards in four of seven home games but 88 or fewer in three of last five
- Have passed for 200+ yards at home just once this season
- Gave up fewer than 100 yards in four of seven home games this season
- Have given up 200+ passing yards in four of past five home games
Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs
DOLPHINS
- 4-2 on the road this season
- 22.3 PF and 17.5 PA
- Averaged 121 rushing yards and 218 passing yards
- Averaged 84 rushing yards against and 234 passing yards against
- Scored 26+ points in three of six road games but 16 or fewer in other three road games
- Have a three game road winning streak and have given up just 32 total yards during that span
- Passed for at least 164 yards in every road game and have three games with 245+ passing yards
- Rushed for 115+ yards in three road games and at least 72 yards in all six road games
- Gave up 300+ passing yards in three road games and less than 150 passing yards in other three road games
- Have given up just two 100 yard rushing games on the road this season
- Have turned the ball over just three times in road games this season
while forcing 12 in the past four road games
CHIEFS
- 1-6 at home this season
- Scored 20+ points in four straight home games
- Gave up 22+ points in five straight home games
- Passed for at least 175 yards in five straight home games
- Rushed for at least 102 yards in four straight home games
- Have given up at least 266 passing yards in four straight home games
Arizona Cardinals vs. New England Patriots
CARDINALS
- 3-4 on the road this season
- 25.4 PF and 28.7 PA
- Averaged 85 rushing yards and 303 passing yards
- Averaged 105 rushing yards against and 210 passing yards against
- Scored 20+ points in five straight road games
- Gave up 20+ points in five of seven road games including two 48+ stinkers
- Had two road games where they gave up just 13 points (49ers and Rams)
- Passed for at least 235 yards in five straight road games
- Have multiple turnovers in five of seven road games
- Have surrendered 100+ rushing yards in four of seven road games
- Have not given up more than 284 passing yards in a road game this season
PATRIOTS
- Just 3-3 at home this season
- 19 PF and 23.5 PA
- Averaged 116 rushing yards and 226 passing yards
- Averaged 128 rushing yards against and 202 passing yards against
- Scored 20+ points in only three of six home games
- Gave up 33+ points in two straight home games and in three home games on the year
- Gave up 16 or fewer points in other three home games
- Have rushed for 122+ yards in three straight home games
- Have 212+ passing yards in four of six home games
- Gave up at least 100 rushing yards in four of six home games
San Diego Chargers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
CHARGERS
- 2-5 on the road this season
- 22 PF and 23.7 PA
- Averaged 85 rushing yards and 240 passing yards
- Averaged 113 rushing yards against and 268 passing yards against
- Scored 14 or fewer points in three of past five road games
- Gave up 21+ points in three of past four road games
- Passed for at least 326 yards in two of past four road games (other two games had 191 and 147)
- Have failed to rush for more than 72 yards in four of past five road games
- Have given up at least 102 rushing yards in four of past five road games
- Have given up at least 175 passing yards in all seven road games
BUCCANEERS
- 6-0 at home this season
- 23.8 PF and 12.7 PA
- Averaged 140 rushing yards and 189 passing yards
- Averaged 70 rushing yards against and 166 passing yards against
- Scored 19+ points in all six home games
- Have not given up more than 21 points in a home game this year
- Have rushed for at least 97 yards in every home game this year
- Have failed to pass for 175 yards in four of six home games this year
- Gave up 153 or fewer passing yards in four of six home games on the season
- Have surrendered 44 or fewer rushing yards in three of six home games and have not allowed more than 106 rushing yards in any one home game
Houston Texans vs. Oakland Raiders
TEXANS
- 2-5 on the road this season (have won past two vs. Browns and Packers)
- 20.6 PF and 26.7 PA
- Averaged 113 rushing yards and 260 passing yards
- Averaged 144 rushing yards against and 208 passing yards against
- Scored 21+ points in four of seven road games
- Gave up 21+ points in all but one road games
- Passed for at least 271 yards in four of past five road games
- Rushed for at least 112 yards in three straight road games
- Have given up at least 95 rushing yards in every road game and at least 139 rushing yards in five of the seven games
- Have given up 200+ yards passing in just three of the seven road games
RAIDERS
- 1-6 at home this season
- 13.3 PF and 27.4 PA
- Averaged 121 rushing yards and 154 passing yards
- Averaged 194 rushing yards against and 179 passing yards against
- Scored 20+ points in just one home game (last week against Patriots)
- Gave up 20+ points in five of seven home games and 41+ in two home games
- Passed for 191 or fewer yards in five of seven home games
- Have rushed for 100 yards in three straight home games and in four of past five
- Have given up at least 242 rushing yards in three home games and at least 141 rushing yards in every home game
Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos
BILLS
- 3-4 on the road this season
- 25 PF and 25.4 PA
- Averaged 115 rushing yards and 186 passing yards
- Averaged 130 rushing yards against and 238 passing yards against
- Scored 81 points in past two road games after scoring just 43 points in previous three
- Gave up 20+ points in five straight road games and 31+ points in three of the past five road games
- Passed for at least 119 yards in three of past four road games
- Have passed for 119 or fewer yards in two of past three road games
- Have given up at least 207 passing yards in each of the past six road games
- Have given up at least 144 rushing yards in three straight road games
- Have surrendered at least 358 total yards of offense in six consecutive
road games
BRONCOS
- 4-3 at home this season
- 22 PF and 25.4 PA
- Averaged 108 rushing yards and 260 passing yards
- Averaged 111 rushing yards against and 260 passing yards against
- Have scored more than 17 points just once in the past five home games (scored 73 total points in first two home games of season)
- Gave up 24+ points in five of seven home games
- Passed for 200+ yards in all but one home game (192 yards in the other)
- Have rushed for at least 105 yards in six of seven home games (just 14 yards against the Dolphins)
- Have given up 88 or fewer rushing yards in four of seven home games
- Have given up 261+ passing yards in four of seven home games (177 or fewer in other three)
New York Jets vs. Seattle Seahawks
JETS
- 4-3 on the road this season
- 24.3 PF and 23.2 PA
- Averaged 126 rushing yards and 200 passing yards
- Averaged 87 rushing yards against and 261 passing yards against
- Scored 20+ points in five of seven road games (14 or fewer in other two)
- Gave up 18+ points in just three of seven road games
- Passed for at least 200 yards in four of seven road games
- Rushed for at least 112 yards in for of seven road games (and 59 or fewer in two others)
- Have given up at least 236 passing yards in five straight road games
- Have given up four 100+ yard rushing games on the road
SEAHAWKS
- 1-5 at home this season
- 22 PF and 23.7 PA
- Averaged 136 rushing yards and 156 passing yards
- Averaged 96 rushing yards against and 273 passing yards against
- Scored 20+ points in four of six home games
- Gave up 20+ points in five of six home games
- Have not passed for more than 205 yards in a home game
- Have rushed for 134+ yards in four of six home games
- Have given up at least 260 passing yards in four of six home games and at least 175 yards in all six
- Have given up just one 100-yard rushing game (187 yards to the Redskins)
Atlanta Falcons vs. Minnesota Vikings
FALCONS
- 3-4 on the road this season
- 18.6 PF and 20.6 PA
- Averaged 138 rushing yards and 208 passing yards
- Averaged 127 rushing yards against and 194 passing yards against
- Scored 20+ points in three straight road games
- Gave up 16 or fewer points in two of past three road games after 24+ in four first games
- Passed for at least 201 yards in four straight road games
- Rushed for at least 100 yards in five of seven road games and at least 77 yards in every road game
- Gave up 230+ passing yards in four of seven road games and less than 147 passing yards in other three road games
- Given up 100+ rushing yards in five of seven road games
VIKINGS
- 5-1 at home this season
- 22.8 PF and 16.7 PA
- Averaged 168 rushing yards and 179 passing yards
- Averaged 69 rushing yards against and 188 passing yards against
- Scored 28+ points in three straight home games
- Have given up more than 18 points in just two home games and not more than 27 points in any one home game
- Have two 200-yard passing games at home this season
- Have rushed for at least 119 yards in every home game
- Have given up 157 or fewer passing yards in four of six home games
- Have not given up more than 103 rushing yards in a home game
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Redskins
- The Redskins won 23 to 17 earlier this season thanks to 203 rushing yards and 185 passing yards. They held the Eagles to 254 total yards of offense.
- The Eagles are 7-4 in the last eleven games between these teams
EAGLES
- 11-6 divisional road record
- -3-1 on the road this season
- 23.3 PF and 23 PA
- Averaged 93 rushing yards and 250 passing yards
- Averaged 88 rushing yards against and 186 passing yards against
- Scored just 40 total point in past three road games
- Have given up 14 or fewer points in three of past four road games
- Passed for fewer than 188 yards in past two road games but had at least 237 passing yards in previous five road games
- Have rushed for 100 yards in just once in past four road games (144 yards against Giants)
- Have given up less than 180 passing yards in five of past six road games
REDSKINS
- 6-11 divisional home record
- 3-4 at home this season
- Have only scored 23 points in losing the past three home games
- 15.3 PF and 18.7 PA
- Averaged 129 rushing yards and 195 passing yards
- Averaged 91 rushing yards against and 186 passing yards against
- Have not scored more than 17 points in five consecutive home games
- Have not given up more than 24 points in a home game this year
- Have passed for 200 yards just once in past six home games
- Have rushed for less than 93 yards in three consecutive home games
- Have given up 100+ rushing yards three times in past four home games
- Have given up more than 200 yards passing just once in seven home games (296 yards against Giants)
Carolina Panthers vs. New York Giants
PANTHERS
- 3-3 on the road this season
- 19.8 PF and 25.5 PA
- Averaged 109 rushing yards and 191 passing yards
- Averaged 132 rushing yards against and 206 passing yards against
- Scored 28+ points in two straight road games
- Gave up 31+ points in two straight road games and at least 20 points in five of the six road games
- Passed for fewer than 170 yards in three of six road games (at least 242 yards in other three road games)
- Have rushed for at least 130 yards in three straight road games and in four of last five
- Gave up at least 105 rushing yards in all six road games
- Gave up at least 259 passing yards in each of the last two road games
after only allowing one 200 yard passing performance in first four road
games
GIANTS
- 6-1 at home this season
- Scored 20+ points in five of seven games
- Gave up 17 or fewer points in five of seven games
- Have not passed fore more than 161 yards in four consecutive home games (at least 200 yards in each of first three home games)
- Rushed for 200+ yards in three of last five home games
- Have not given up 200+ yards passing in three consecutive home games and in four of last five
- Have given up at least 121 rushing yards in two straight home games after 109 total rushing yards in previous three home games
MNF - Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears
- Packers crushed the Bears 38 to 3 earlier this season
- Packers have won 5 of the last 11 games in series
PACKERS
- 11-6 on road against division
- 2-4 on the road this season
- 25.8 PF and 23.2 PA
- Averaged 87 rushing yards and 222 passing yards
- Averaged 139 rushing yards against and 169 passing yards against
- Have not scored fewer than 16 points in a road game this year but have scored just 16 points in two of past three road games
- Gave up at least 17 points in all six road games
- Passed for at least 200 yards in three of past four road games
- Have not rushed for 100 yards in two straight road games
- Have given up 170+ passing yards just twice on the road this season
- Have given up 178+ rushing yards in three of six road games
BEARS
- 11-6 at home within division
- 5-2 at home this season
- 26.7 PF and 23.7 PA
- Averaged 95 rushing yards and 202 passing yards
- Averaged 88 rushing yards against and 269 passing yards against
- Scored 20+ points in six games
- Gave up 20+ points in six games
- Passed for at least 165 yards in every home game
- Have rushed for 150+ yards in two home games and under 100 yards in the other five home games
- Have surrendered 230+ passing yards in all but one home game
