IDP Buy Low / Sell High - Week 9
Posted 10/30 by Anthony Borbely, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
This will be a weekly feature to assist IDP owners in creating deals in their leagues. In theory, players listed as "Buy Low" candidates should have a perceived value that is lower than they merit while the "Sell High" players are overvalued. Use this knowledge to offer viable trades to your leaguemates.
- DL Dwight Freeney, Indianapolis Colts: Freeney suffered a Lis Franc injury late last season and has returned much sooner than anyone anticipated. Not surprisingly, he has not put up the big numbers that everyone has grown accustomed to. Freeney is still less than a year into his recovery and should begin to round into form soon. He has a very good schedule this year and could be a nice addition to your playoff team. Even if you aren't a contender, next year is still a good reason to make a move on Freeney now while his price is low.
- LB David Harris, New York Jets: Harris has been a major disappointment to his fantasy owners this season, but only because many expected last year's monster numbers. Harris averaged over seven tackles in his first six games, but that is a far cry from what he did last year. The perceived drop in his value is much higher than the real drop because of the comparison to last year. If you can land a 24-year-old LB like Harris for a reasonable price from one of his angry owners, then go ahead and start talking trade.
- LB Shawne Merriman, San Diego Chargers: All year, I have suggested making trades for players who are on IR. Whether you can or not depends on a few things. First, if a contender is really in need and you are rebuilding, often times you can move a player of lesser value in the future for a player like Merriman who has better long-term value. Another reason a team would trade an injured player is if their league does not allocate roster spots for IR and the owner needs to clear a spot for a player that he needs right now. Either way, you should inquire about a player like Merriman.
- DB Madieu Williams, Minnesota Vikings: Williams is a player that I should have been watching prior to now. He is scheduled to play this week, although his snaps may be limited. While the cost may be a bit higher now than it would have been a couple of weeks ago, you still may be able to acquire Williams for less than his real value. It doesn't hurt to ask, but I would not overpay.
- DB Chris Harris, Carolina Panthers: Harris has been a big disappointment from a fantasy perspective and he is now battling an injury. That combination usually screams buy low. Harris has had brutal matchups and that is a big part of why his numbers are down. Whether you are a contender or rebuilding, Harris should be on your radar right now.
- DL Shaun Rogers, Cleveland Browns: Rogers is one of the most talented players in the NFL and he is playing at a very high level right now. He is on pace for 70 solo tackles, which is an incredible number for a nose tackle. Rogers is currently a top ten DL and his value will never be this high again. It is hard to imagine Rogers maintaining this pace for the rest of the year. I would be trying to move him as fast as I could. You should use his high tackle numbers as the key selling point along with the improvement Rogers showed after being traded from Detroit to Cleveland.
- DL Fred Robbins, New York Giants: Robbins is another interior lineman who is having a huge season, but defensive tackles rarely maintain high rankings on a year-to-year basis. For that reason alone, I would be looking to move him, perhaps to an owner who wants to unload an underachieving player that you like.
- LB Pisa Tinoisamoa, St. Louis Rams: Tinoisamoa has come on of late and is creeping close to LB3 range. He has had 27 solos in his last four games and that should be the main negotiating point. Tinoisamoa has been inconsistent and is often injured, which is why I would move him. Realize that you will not get much, but this is the kind of player that I tend to unload for a pick or anything of value.
- LB London Fletcher, Washington Redskins: Fletcher has been a fantasy stud for a long time, but at 33, his best days are behind him. This is a tough call because Fletcher may still have a couple of solid years ahead of him. The caliber of your team also should be a key factor. Obviously, a contender should be holding, but those of you who are rebuilding should give this some thought.
- DB DeAngelo Hall, Oakland Raiders: Hall is the top ranked fantasy DB right now, but he has never been an elite fantasy stud prior to this year. Hall is a solid DB3 type who just happens to be putting up DB1 numbers. His trade value is sky high and if you are rebuilding, Hall is one of the first players I would be looking to trade. He is regularly attacked by offenses because he plays opposite Nnamdi Asomugha, who is arguably the best cover corner in the league. That would be my selling point. Contenders are likely to want a player like Hall right now. He should be solid for the balance of the season, but I don't expect these kind of numbers next year.