Undervalued WRs

Sigmund Bloom - Isaac Bruce finished as WR25 last year, which makes his ADP in the late 40s at WR a real head-scratcher. Not only was he good enough to be a serviceable WR2 last year, he only had three game under five fantasy points -- consistency that is hard to find at wide receiver. There's no reason to worry about the addition of Drew Bennett -- it's arguable that Kevin Curtis (who has moved on to Philadelphia) was a bigger threat to Bruce's numbers from the slot. Yes, Bruce turns 35 during the 2007 season, but there were no signs of an impending drop-off in 2006. I keep looking for reasons that everyone is so down on Bruce's prospects in 2007, but I can't find them. Consider him a steal if you land him any time after the 9th round.

Andy Hicks - Isaac Bruce recovered from a disappointing 2005 to finish as the 25th ranked WR in 2006. Even though he'll be 35 this season his current draft slot still gives him the opportunity to be value once again. Bruce has been with this franchise for 13 years and still has lots to offer. His yards per catch have not diminished and he racked up almost 1100 yards last year. The main threat to his playing time comes from former Titan Drew Bennett, but his stats in all but his lightning in a bottle season in 2004 read like a good No.3, which is where it looks like he'll play with the Rams. With Bruce as the Rams No.2 there is no reason to doubt he can be a good fantasy WR3, which considering he'll be a WR4/5 according to his draft slot makes him a nice mid to late round pick. If he approaches the half dozen TDs he is more than capable of recording he could be much more.

Mark Wimer - Isaac Bruce plays for one of the most prolific passers in the NFL, Marc Bulger, and saw competition for playing time at his position decrease during the off-season as Kevin Curtis was allowed to depart for Philadelphia (replaced by aging veteran Drew Bennett and KR/PR Dante Hall). All-World WR Torry Holt plays across from Bruce, ensuring Bruce won't be the focus of the opposing defense on most snaps. Bruce bounced back from a disappointing 2005 campaign to break through the 1000 yard barrier again last year (126 targets for 74/1098/3, 25th best fantasy WR in the land) -- there is no reason to suspect that he won't deliver fantasy WR3 stats again during 2007, but he's currently going at a fire-sale ADP of 48th as of mid-June. Bruce looks like a steal at that price, folks.

Jason Wood - At 34 years old, it's fair to say Bruce is on the downside of his career. Yet, seeing his ADP at WR48 astounds me for a number of reasons. WR48 implies he'll end the season with somewhere around 600 yards receiving and 3 or 4 touchdowns. Why should we expect that? Last season, he caught 74 receptions for 1,098 yards and 3 scores. He averaged 14.8 yards per reception which is right in line with his career average. He plays for a team that ranks among the league's most pass happy. And he's healthy. The only reason I can imagine people are forgetting about Bruce is the Rams' signing of WR Drew Bennett this offseason. While Bennett is best remembered for his monster 1,247 yards, 11 TD season in Tennessee, let's not forget that since then he's been far less imposing. Bennett fell short of 800 yards receiving in 2005 and 2006, and caught just 46 passes last year on a Titans team starved for weapons. Bennett is inarguably less imposing than last year's WR3 Kevin Curtis. Do yourself a favor, draft Bruce as a backup and be surprised how often he's in your lineup.

David Yudkin - This marks another season in which the third receiver in St. Louis is getting drafted AHEAD of Bruce, who consistently has been a fixture as their WR2. People tend to think Bruce is older than Methuselah, but he's only 34. He's ranked in the Top 25 for seven of the last eight years, with the one exception being a year where he was nicked up. Seeing him barely drafted in the Top 50 is almost sacrilegious. He's played in 95% of the Rams' games over the past eight seasons. Barring injury, Bruce should continue to thrive in the Rams' high-octane offense.

Sigmund Bloom - If you listen to one piece of advice from Footballguys this year, this is it -- get D.J. Hackett on your team. He'll be a steal in the 7th/8th, but his current ADP doesn't require you to pull the trigger until the 10th! Hackett is the best deep threat on the roster. He has the trust of Matt Hasselbeck, who often his Hackett is clutch situations last year. His target conversion rate in 2006 was an eye-popping 67%, which portends great things even if his targets only increase modestly -- but there is reason for much more optimism as Hackett is all but guaranteed to start opposite Deion Branch in 2007. Hackett could be the breakout wide receiver of 2007, which makes his ADP in the 100s criminal.

Jeff Pasquino - Hackett was an offseason sleeper WR, but with the word getting out on him Hackett should be climbing up the draft charts. The absence of Darrell Jackson will afford him the chance to establish himself as a starter opposite of Deion Branch. QB Matt Hasselbeck consistently puts up solid stats, and without Jackson or TE Jerramy Stevens around for 2007, Hackett could be the beneficiary of extra catches and touchdown opportunities. With four touchdowns and four games over 60 yards in the final nine Seattle games last season, Hackett could still be a good value at his current draft position.

Aaron Rudnicki - Hackett is the WR in Seattle most likely to benefit from the trade of Darrell Jackson. Bobby Engram is a better fit as a slot receiver and Nate Burleson looks like a bust who isn't much more than a WR4 and punt returner. Hackett was the Seahawks most productive receiver when Jackson was out last year and could potentially out-produce Deion Branch this year despite being drafted much later. He has good speed, soft hands, the size to become a threat in the red zone.

Chris Smith - The Seahawks let WR Darrell Jackson leave this offseason and it appears that D.J. Hackett is in the best situation to benefit from the change. Hackett has good speed and runs nice routes. He has to play well to earn the starting nod but he appears to be a front-runner along with Deion Branch for the two starting receiver positions.

Mike Brown - Someone has to be "the man" in Baltimore, and Clayton is as good a bet as any to take the reins and literally run with it. He has bulked up this off-season in an attempt to get stronger off the line, something that can only help him assuming he hasn't lost any speed due to the extra weight. He's also just entering the prime of his career, and Baltimore's offense is steadily improving year-by-year. Derrick Mason is no longer the top threat as a receiving option on this team, and while Clayton does have to deal with the occasional stolen target courtesy of Todd Heap, there will still be enough balls to go around in Baltimore to appease everyone. I mean, who else is going to catch the football down there besides these two and the rare Derrick Mason sighting?

Jeff Pasquino - Mark Clayton established himself as the #1 WR for the Baltimore Ravens last year, yet you can still grab him as the #30 WR off the board based on his latest ADP. Baltimore added to its offense with Willis McGahee in the backfield, and now QB Steve McNair has a full season under his belt. Both players will benefit from a full offseason of practice, and with Clayton running as the primary receiver he should benefit from the increases in overall offense for Baltimore this year. The Ravens will also open up the playbook a little more in the passing game, using 3 or 4 WRs and Todd Heap as weapons for McNair. Clayton has an excellent shot at finishing amongst the Top 20 WRs for 2007.

Aaron Rudnicki - Clayton finished as the #28 WR a year ago but he was much more productive in the 2nd half of the season (635 vs 377 yards). He seemed to emerge as the clear #1 WR over Derrick Mason late in the year and should show continued improvement in 2007. Defenses will also have a hard time doubling him because they'll also have to account for Willis McGahee and Todd Heap.

Bob Magaw - There is a lot to like about Cotchery, despite his humble fourth round pedigree and nondescript first two years in the NFL. He earned the trust of new HC Eric Mangini and QB Chad Pennington with a breakout season (82-961-6). Cotchery is talented enough to have broken some of Torry Holt's career receiving records at North Carolina State. He has good size (6'0" 207) and dangerous RAC skills in the open field (looks to score once the ball is in his hands, has deceptive strength and runs like his hair is on fire). Cotchery quickly became a coaches favorite with his superior work ethic and is acknowledged as one of the hardest workers on the team. It will be difficult for defenses to key on him across from scorchingly fast Laveranues Coles. The Jets are without a TE or WR3 that puts fear in opponents (though they might scare NYJ fans). Coles and Cotchery are the team's clear cut top receiving weapons, and will be targeted frequently... in a division with some sketchy secondaries. The Jets look like they have an up and coming defense, and could have an ascendant offense with an improved OL, a healthy Pennington and the addition of talented new feature RB Thomas Jones. For his ADP, BIG UPSIDE.

Chris Smith - Cotchery has really come into his own as an NFL receiver and he should continue to grow. He has good size and runs very good routes. Not only is he gifted athletically, he is also becoming a team leader in the locker room. He caught 82 passes a season ago and he should be able to at least match it in 2007. I believe we can expect more of the same from him in 2007 and beyond.

Maurile Tremblay -

Mark Wimer - Donald Driver has caught 80+ passes for 1200+ yards and high single-digit TDs in each of his last 3 seasons, playing a full 16 game slate all 3 years, and never finishing worse than #13 at his position in fantasy terms during that time span. He put up his best season to date last year with 92/1295/8 - finishing 5th among fantasy WRs, and is unquestionably the favorite pass catcher for Brett Favre, a perennial top-10 fantasy QB. It is mystifying to see Driver with an ADP of 17th WR selected as of mid-June. The guy is as close as a fantasy owner can get to a sure bet for a top-10 fantasy season at his position this year -- grab him and smile.

Jason Wood - All Donald Driver has done is deliver three consecutive 80-catch, 1,200-yard seasons while scoring 22 TDs. He's ranked 10th, 13th and 5th in the last three years, and returns to a nearly identical situation as a season ago. Not only is Driver one of the most consistent receivers of his generation, he's also been excellent in a variety of circumstances. He's excelled as the WR1, as the WR2 and with or without a strong receiver lined up opposite him. He's flourished when Green Bay ran the ball well, and when they didn't. He's done well in the face of a good GB defense, and with a porous one. Year in, year out, he's one of the league's least appreciated players. And given his ADP, it looks like he's an absolute bargain for the fourth straight season.

David Yudkin - In recent years, Donald Driver has been perpetually underrated. Driver has been a Top Ten receiver three times including a career best #5 ranking last year. Gunslinger Brett Favre returns at quarterback and has shown no predilection to stop throwing the ball extensively. Not much has changed in Green Bay, except that the team has lost former Pro Bowler Ahman Green at running back--potentially leading to even more passing attempts this year. There were rumors of a Randy Moss acquisition, but that never materialized. Look for Driver to again be a solid WR1 in 12-team leagues and again exceed his draft position.

Mark Wimer - Terry Glenn plays across from one of the most-feared wideouts in the NFL, ensuring that he is rarely going to be double-covered. He's a crafty veteran who has played a full 16 game season in each of his last 2 seasons, finishing as the 12th best and the 20th best fantasy WR during 2005 and 2006, respectively. Tony Romo will be under center as the starting QB from the get-go this year, which should help Dallas' QB to be a more consistent passer. In short, there is no reason to suspect that Glenn won't land in the top 25 at his position by year's end, but he is currently the 32nd fantasy WR being selected in drafts, on average. Glenn is one of the best values on the WR board this year, folks.

Jason Wood - Terry Glenn is coming off back-to-back top-20 fantasy seasons and yet has fallen to WR32 in early drafts this year. What's the explanation for the predicted fall off? He's certainly not getting any younger (33 years old) but he's showed no signs of wearing down of late. Last season, he caught 70 passes (most since 2000), for 1,047 yards (2nd consecutive 1,000 yard season), averaged 15.0 yards per catch (in line with his career average) and scored 6 TDs. And, as important, he stayed healthy for the 2nd straight season. If it's not his age, is it a worry about QB Tony Romo? That would be silly. Romo made the Pro Bowl last year, averaged a league best 8.6 yards per attempt, and completed 65% of his passes. Might people be worried about new HC Wade Phillips? Again, that's silly. Bill Parcells was hardly an aggressive offensive-minded coach. And like Parcells, Phillips will focus on the team defense. New OC Jason Garrett is going to maintain the same system, and is former QB and passing coordinator. The bottom line is Terry Glenn represents value, now go and capture it.

David Yudkin - Glenn has revitalized his career in Dallas, ranking as the #12 and #20 wide receiver the past two seasons. He also played all 16 games each season, marking the first time in his career that he was able to go back-to-back seasons without missing a game. He still is a mainstay in the Cowboys' offense, and he should once again continue to be productive. No other receiving threats were added to the team, so there is little evidence to suggest that Glenn will be any less effective. Expect Glenn to produce top WR2 numbers at a WR3 price tag in 12-team leagues.

Andy Hicks - Joey Galloway is being drafted as if he was washed up and ready to retire. Look at his yards per catch in 2006, a whopping 17.3. Think he is injury prone? In the last 6 years he has player every game in 4 of them and missed only 1 game in another. Taking into account the QB play last year it would be almost impossible for Galloway to regress all things considered. Jeff Garcia offers a veteran hand and both the younger QBs will grow and learn from their performances last year. The offensive line issues have been strongly addressed and Cadillac Williams should be fitter heading into this year. All this will give Galloway the chance to continue on from the sterling form he has shown for the past 2 seasons. Tampa Bay has not addressed the poor play opposite Galloway and will hope one of Michael Clayton, David Boston or Maurice Stovall can at least keep defenses honest. Galloway proved last year that even in a worst case scenario he is still capable of being a top 20 WR. That shouldn't change this year and improvement is definitely possible.

Mark Wimer - Joey Galloway is the uncontested #1 WR on his team. He's played a full slate of 16 games in each of the last 2 seasons (83/1287/10 in 2005, 5th best fantasy WR; 62/1057/7 last year, 15th best fantasy WR). The Buccaneers upgraded their QB position this past off season by acquiring Jeff Garcia to play in place of Bruce Gradkowski/Chris Simms -- and yet Galloway is lingering into the 30's at his position during 2007 fantasy drafts? That just doesn't make sense, folks -- he should easily land among the top 20 at his position, making Galloway an outstanding value pick.

Mike Brown - How many rookie receivers enter the league and make an immediate impact, let alone dominate? Jennings was doing just that until a sprained ankle affected his production the rest of the way. He's now healthy, Brett Favre is back, the offensive line has improved, and Jennings has undeniable talent. All of which should make for a breakout in year two. If nothing else, he should easily surpass the expectations set for him in general. More than likely, his health will determine his standing. If he's hurt again at any point, then you can probably kiss a top-20 season goodbye. But if he makes it through 16 games unscathed, a top-20 season might very well be the baseline for his projections.

Will Grant - It's hard to imagine Greg Jennings not improving on his performance from last season. Brett Favre is back for one more season, and the Packers still only have Donald Driver and Jennings as their primary pass receivers. Koren Robinson and Robert Ferguson don't scare anyone. Jennings is the #2 guy in Green Bay, and should easily justify a 9th round pick.

Mike Brown - The talent of Moss is undeniable. So is the reputation. But is all of it warranted? Sure, he's made his mistakes and has alienated fans and teammates alike. But Moss isn't a "me-first" player once he's on the field. That's not to say he doesn't quit on plays. If his team is being bludgeoned, he's the first one to dog it. But if his team leads 20-10 and his number isn't being called, he'll run his decoy routes just as well as anyone else in the league. He's a guy that really does care about winning, but doesn't always show that in his actions. This may sound like a colossal contradiction, but it's not. My point of all this is that in New England, you rarely have to worry about getting your brains beaten in by the other team. And a winning Moss is a happy Moss. And a happy Moss is much closer to top-5 than top-20.

Andy Hicks - This is a make-or-break season for Randy Moss and he knows it. A player with a chip on his shoulder can be a dangerous thing. A player with the ability of Randy Moss and a chip on his shoulder could be extremely exciting. Still only 30 Moss still has the game and his move to New England is his best opportunity to get top quality stats since 2003. New England has proven to be more than a bed and breakfast outfit in the last 10 years and even the poor for him performances of 2004 and 2005 would almost be enough to justify his current draft slot, Moss is more than capable of a return to the elite top 5, where he was for the first 6 years of his career. Moss has the superb Tom Brady to get him the ball and has put himself in a position where he has to succeed, both contractually and on a personal level. Oakland was his nadir. New England will see Moss rise once again.

Mike Brown - I admittedly wasn't too high on Walker in 2006. I figured a guy coming off an ACL tear (and subsequent follow-up surgery) and going from a team that threw the ball a TON to a team that is run-first, was not a good combo at all. Walker proved that he still had that burst right away, and he showed it pretty early on. While that's all well and good for 2006, it means I'm that much more excited for his 2007 prospects. He's obviously now fully healed, and with Jay Cutler having another year of experience under him and no one else to challenge Walker for the title of WR1 in Denver, he could see himself easily putting up elite WR stats. I'm not predicting it, but Walker has the type of talent and is in the type of situation in which he could be one of a handful of guys with a shot at breaking into that very top spot atop the receiver lists by season's end.

Chris Smith -

Mike Brown - Boldin is a guy who it's tough to say he's undervalued, especially when he's universally considered to be a top-flight WR. But when a coach goes out of his way to tell everyone to "watch out" for a specific player, I take notice. HC Ken Whisenhunt has advised fans to watch out for Boldin this season. That doesn't sound like simple "coachspeak" to me. It's not like he's complimenting his route-running or hands. He's going out on a pretty big limb and putting a lot of pressure on Boldin to perform, something most coaches wouldn't do if they didn't have the confidence that the player will back it up. If Whisenhunt is that much of a believer in Boldin, then guess what -- so am I.

Jeff Pasquino - Keyshawn Johnson is gone from the Panthers, so there has to be someone who becomes the starter opposing Steve Smith. With QB Jake Delhomme not having much in the way of a tight end to throw to, he cannot expect to focus solely on Smith to move the ball downfield. Carter has big play potential as two of his three scores last year went for 35+ yards. He can also move the chains, with 14 of his 28 catches going for first downs last year. In Week 14 last season, Carter displayed his potential with 144 yards and a touchdown. With the chance to get Carter in the fifteenth round as your sixth WR, that's an amazing value to me.

Mark Wimer - Coles bounced back from 2 disappointing seasons to land back among the top 20 fantasy WRs last season (151 targets for 91/1098/6 receiving, 16th best fantasy WR in the land) -- and he did that while assimilating a new coaching staff and offense. With the emergence of Jerricho Cotchery as a solid #2 WR for the Jets, and the arrival of Thomas Jones to solidify the rushing attack, teams won't be able to concentrate an undue amount of attention to Coles. In his second year with this coaching staff, Coles, Pennington and company should hit a new level of comfort and confidence in the system -- a top 15 finish at his position would be no surprise -- he's a bargain at his mid-June ADP of 20th wide receiver off the board.

Maurile Tremblay - Curry quietly led the Raiders in receptions and receiving yards last year, and he is my favorite to do so again. Curry is a fantastic all-around athlete with exceptional body control, hands, and concentration. He's been plagued by injuries throughout his NFL career, but when he's been healthy he's shown a knack for making tough catches in difficult situations. He shows good footwork along the sideline, and caught an impressive 69.7% of the passes intended for him last season (compared to 45.1% for the rest of the Raiders' WR corps). If Curry can stay healthy -- which is admittedly a big if -- he has tremendous upside potential in comparison to where he is being drafted.

Aaron Rudnicki - After being buried behind Torry Holt and Isaac Bruce for the past 4 years, Curtis will finally get a chance to start this year. He'll be replacing a player (Donte Stallworth) who finished as the #36 WR a year ago despite only playing in 12 games. Curtis has the same type of big-play potential that Stallworth had, but he's also more durable. The Eagles love to pass the ball so Curtis should have little difficulty improving on the 97 targets he had in 2005 when he finished as a #27 WR.

Maurile Tremblay - Evans enjoyed a breakout year last season, his third in the league, finishing as the number seven fantasy wide receiver. He established himself as the clear-cut number one receiver on the Bills, and became the team's premier big-play threat. He has reliable hands to go with his excellent speed, and should continue to be the focal point of the Bills' passing offense. The fantasy community seems to expect Evans to fall back to the back this year, as the fifteenth receiver to come off the board, on average. I don't see it. He is still improving, playing with a quarterback who is improving along with him, in an offense that has plenty of room for advancement. (The Bills were 29th out of 32 teams last year in total yards). Given where Evans is being drafted, he is nearly all upside.

David Yudkin - Over the past 20 or so games, Houshmandzadeh has actually out produced teammate Chad Johnson on a point-per-game basis in weeks where both were in the lineup over the past two seasons. Yet Johnson is currently getting drafted as the first wide receiver off the board this year and Housh is going as the #14 WR. Look for that to continue this year as Housh continues to be a better red zone threat and score more touchdowns. Chris Henry's suspension should only help Housh's production. If he can play in every game this year, he could easily shoot up to the Top Five receivers.

Maurile Tremblay - Jackson has been named the number one WR on the Chargers, and the team is relying on him to establish himself as a solid starting-caliber NFL WR. He started to come on at the end of last year, averaging 11.75 fantasy points per game over the final four games of 2006. What I particularly like about Jackson is that, from the middle of the field, he is often sent deep; and near the goal line he is often featured on fade patterns. Thus his patterns often lead him to the end zone (and he scored on a gaudy 20% of his receptions last year). Jackson was targeted 56 times last year as the Chargers' third receiver -- a figure that could easily double this season as he takes over the top wideout position. While I do not expect a thousand yard season out of Jackson, 850 yards and 7 TDs -- well within his range -- would make him a solid WR2 or excellent WR3, which is solidly ahead of where he is being drafted.

Bob Magaw - Forget the caveat about rookie WRs. They have about as much in common with CJII as a sharp rock does with a Death Star. Greatest WR prodigy ever (Frankenstein-monster combo of Randy Moss-like height and speed, the size and physicality of TO and the hands and demeanor of Marvin Harrison)... one of the greatest offensive minds in league history (Martz)... returning 4,000 yard QB (Kitna)... Pro Bowl WR opposite to discourage double teams (Roy Williams)... serial shootout-inducing defense - ALL CHECK! The stars could be aligned for a historic rookie season. Those arriving late to the show can't be seated until intermission.

Aaron Rudnicki - Jones has shown flashes of his potential over the past two years but hasn't been able to breakthrough as a reliable starter yet. This year, however, he figures to be the #1 WR for Vince Young and the Titans. Drew Bennett signed with St. Louis, Bobby Wade signed with Minnesota, and David Givens may not be healthy to start the year. Heck, even their best RB left to sign with the Broncos. Jones finished the 2006 season strong and has definite breakout potential this year.

Sigmund Bloom - Brandon Marshall is one of the best up and coming talents at WR, he's likely to start this year, and yet his ADP still has him falling to the early 12th round. Marshall is big enough to be an excellent red zone target, he's rugged enough to be a go-to target over the middle, and his run after catch abilities are Boldin-esque (see his 71 yard catch and run vs. Seattle last year for an example). The years have caught up with the great Rod Smith -- he had offseason hip surgery. Broncos insider Renaud Notaro told us that he isn't even a lock to make the final roster -- which means Smith won't be much of a threat to Marshall's hold on the starting spot. After a rocky offseason, Marshall has a renewed commitment to the game, and you should not hesitate to pull the trigger as early as the 8th/9th round.

Andy Hicks - After his phenomenal performance in 2005, Santana Moss came crashing down to earth with a 55-790-6 season. Nowhere near his and everyone else's expectations. He did have his great games last year, but with Washington struggling, especially at QB, he found it difficult to get any rhythm. This season will see Moss once again be the clear No.1 in Washington and with the continued development of Jason Campbell it's almost certain he improves on last years play. Moss has game breaking abilities and given the lack of depth at receiver almost certainly will see the targets necessary to once again push for WR1 status. Santana Moss is a potential risk given his size, but the explosiveness he offers makes him a tempting option and well worth the risk considering his bargain price ADP. Moss could also prove to be the Eric Moulds of his generation by playing well in alternate years, although Moss seems to favor odd numbered years, which is handy considering we're in 2007.

Aaron Rudnicki - Muhammad has ranked among the top-40 WRs for four straight years, including a finish as the #1 WR back in 2004. He's certainly been a bit of a disappointment the past two years, but 2005 was spent mostly with Kyle Orton at QB and he still managed to produce. Last year felt like a down year for him as Bernard Berrian and Desmond Clark were arguably bigger parts of the passing game, but he still finished as one of the best 30 fantasy WRs in the league. He also had an impressive 14.4 yards per catch, indicating that he hasn't lost much speed despite turning 34 years old.

Sigmund Bloom - Try as I might, I just can't think of any reasons to expect TO to finish any lower than the top 5 fantasy WRs. Forget about his age of 33, few players in the game are as dedicated to staying in impeccable shape. Injuries aren't a worry -- he broke his ring finger and did not miss a game last year. The question of QB went out the window when Tony Romo was installed. After a slow start, Owens was able to recover to the #2 fantasy wide receiver in 2006 -- in fact, his numbers while Romo was QB project out to the #1 fantasy WR over a full season -- and that's with his league high 17 drops. Your leaguemates might remember the alleged suicide attempt and clashes with Bill Parcells and Todd Haley, but Parcells and Haley have hit the road. Owens is as worthy of being a second round pick and center of your WR corps as any WR in the league. He's a solid value at WR7 in the early third.

Jason Wood - Jerry Porter was persona non grata last year. At the time, a lot of people cast aspersions toward the young receiver from West Virginia. Although we can't really know how culpable he was in the fracas, it's safe to say that last year's Raiders were dysfunctional from top to bottom. Enter new HC Lane Kiffen and a fresh start, and I think Porter is a decent value pick at current ADP. I wouldn't expect him to set the world afire, but I do think he could end up creeping into the top 30; which makes him worth drafting at current levels. Fantasy performance is as much about OPPORTUNITY as it is ABILITY. That's why Porter is an intriguing sleeper. He's by far the most promising of the Raiders hodgepodge WR corps. And he's got every reason to prove his critics wrong and set his career back on an upward trajectory. If the early platitudes carry forward, Kiffen and his staff like what they see of Porter. You will too if you draft him late for value.

Chris Smith - Ward struggled to score touchdowns a year ago but did catch 74 passes for 975 yards. He is the #1 receiver in Pittsburgh and at 31-years of age has several years of good play left in him. He will greatly exceed the 52nd overall draft pick.

Will Grant - This really is a no brainer in my opinion. The QB situation in Jacksonville was a joke last season, and Williams still finished 46th overall. Reggie Williams should do at LEAST that well this season and will probably lead the Jaguars in receptions and yards. Landing him at 145 overall is fantastic value.