Wide Receivers That Change Teams

  Posted 7/18 by Chris Smith, Exclusive to Footballguys.com

Every year, well-known receivers change teams and the debate rages.

"Can a receiver change teams and star with his new team in year one?"

"Will a receiver who changes teams flounder with his new organization?"

There isn't a simple answer to these questions. For every receiver that goes on to do great things in his first season with his new organization, there is another that struggles to put up numbers. The one thing that appears to stand out looking at each player over the past couple of years is that situation and surrounding talent have as much to do with his success as does his own personal skills. This article will look at each prominent receiver that has changed teams over the past couple of seasons and what they did in year one (and in some cases year two with his new team).

Classification
Change in FPs Scored
Much Better
+50 increase
Better
15.1 to 50 increase
Same
15 decrease to 15 increase
Worse
15.1 to 50 decrease
Much Worse
+50 decrease

Receivers on new teams - 2006 season

  • Twelve prominent receivers changed teams last year
  • Of those players…
    • 2 posted significantly better fantasy numbers
    • 3 put up similar numbers to the year prior
    • 3 posted slightly worse numbers
    • 4 posted much worse numbers

Terrell Owens - Dallas (from Philadelphia)

Year
Team
Gms
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
Dal
16
85
1180
13
196.0
2005
Phi
7
47
763
6
112.3

What happened '06: Owens put up great numbers in first season with Cowboys

Reche Caldwell - New England (from San Diego)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
NE
16
61
760
4
100.0
2005
SD
16
28
352
1
41.2

What happened '06: Became WR1 with Patriots and did well although proved he isn't a WR1 talent

Nate Burleson - Seattle (from Minnesota)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
Sea
16
18
192
2
31.2
2005
Min
12
30
328
1
38.8

What happened '06: Didn't improve from disappointing 2005 campaign

Keyshawn Johnson - Carolina (from Dallas)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
Car
16
70
815
4
105.5
2005
Dal
16
71
839
6
119.9

What happened '06: Keyshawn put up 'Keyshawn' numbers. Nothing flashy but dependable

Antwaan Randle El - Washington (from Pittsburgh)

Year
Team
GMs
PsTDs
RuYds
Recs
ReYds
TDs
FPs
2006
Was
16
1
118
32
351
3
73.3
2005
Pit
16
1
73
35
558
1
76.5

What happened '06: Randle El wasn't much of a threat in the passing game but did throw a few passes and carried the ball 19 times

Eric Moulds - Houston (from Buffalo)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
Hou
16
57
557
1
61.7
2005
Buf
15
81
816
4
105.6

What happened '06: Moulds was clear 2nd receiver on team but averaged less than 10 yards per reception with just a single touchdown scored. Moulds is currently unemployed.

Antonio Bryant - San Francisco (from Cleveland)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
SF
14
40
733
3
91.3
2005
Cle
16
69
1009
4
124.9

What happened '06: Bryant started quickly last season and then fell off the map. He wasn't retained by the 49ers and is currently unemployed.

Javon Walker - Denver (from Green Bay)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
Den
16
69
1084
8
174.7
2004
GB
16
89
1382
12
210.2

What happened '06: After only being injured in week one of the 2005 season, Walker had a great bounce back year with the Broncos.

David Givens - Tennessee (from New England)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
Ten
5
8
104
0
10.4
2005
NE
13
59
738
2
85.8

What happened '06: Did nothing in Tennessee worth mentioning in an injury-riddled season. Huge disappointment.

Corey Bradford - Detroit (from Houston)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
Det
9
14
164
0
16.4
2005
Hou
16
34
436
5
73.6

What happened '06: Bradford became an afterthought in 2006 with the Lions. No touchdowns and only 164 receiving yards.

Brandon Lloyd - Washington (from San Francisco)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
Was
15
23
365
0
36.5
2005
SF
16
48
733
5
103.3

What happened '06: Lots of promise last season but failed to deliver. Only 23 receptions on the season.

Joe Jurevicius - Cleveland (from Seattle)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
Cle
13
40
495
3
67.5
2005
Sea
16
55
694
10
129.4

What happened '06: Jurevicius actually played pretty well a year ago. His 10 touchdowns in 2005 were a bit of an anomaly and he returned to earth last season.


Notable receivers on new teams - 2005 season and prior

When comparing more than two seasons, each season is compared to the previous year.

  • Eight prominent receivers changed teams in 2005
  • Of those eight players…
    • 3 posted significantly better fantasy numbers
    • 2 put up similar numbers to the year prior
    • 1 posted slightly worse numbers
    • 2 posted much worse numbers

Randy Moss - Oakland (from Minnesota)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
Oak
13
42
553
3
73.3
2005
Oak
16
60
1005
8
148.5
2004
Min
13
49
767
13
154.7

Derek Mason - Baltimore (from Tennessee)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
Bal
16
68
750
2
87.0
2005
Bal
16
86
1073
3
125.3
2004
Ten
16
96
1168
7
158.5

Muhsin Muhammad - Chicago (from Carolina)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
Chi
16
60
863
5
116.3
2005
Chi
15
64
750
4
99.0
2004
Car
16
93
1405
16
236.5

Santana Moss - Washington (from NY Jets)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
Was
14
55
790
6
123.2
2005
Was
16
84
1483
9
202.3
2004
NYJ
15
45
838
5
113.8

Laveranues Coles - NY Jets (from Washington)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
NYJ
16
91
1098
6
147.2
2005
NYJ
16
73
845
5
114.5
2004
Was
16
90
950
1
101.0

Plaxico Burress - NY Giants (from Pittsburgh)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
NYG
15
63
988
10
159.5
2005
NYG
16
76
1214
7
163.4
2004
Pit
11
35
698
5
99.8

Joe Jurevicius - Cleveland (from Seattle, Tampa Bay)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
Cle
13
40
495
3
67.5
2005
Sea
16
55
694
10
129.4
2004
TB
10
27
333
2
45.3

Prior seasons

Marty Booker - Miami (from Chicago)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
Mia
14
55
747
6
112.7
2005
Mia
15
39
686
3
86.6
2004
Mia
15
50
638
1
69.8
2003
Chi
13
52
715
4
95.5

Joey Galloway - Tampa Bay (from Dallas)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
TB
16
62
1057
7
148.6
2005
TB
16
83
1287
10
188.7
2004
TB
10
33
416
5
71.6
2003
Dal
15
34
672
2
79.2

Keenan McCardell - San Diego (from Tampa Bay)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
SD
14
36
437
0
44.5
2005
SD
16
70
917
9
145.7
2004
SD
7
31
393
1
45.6
2003
TB
16
84
1174
8
165.4

Peerless Price - Buffalo (from Dallas, Atlanta and Buffalo)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
Buf
16
49
402
3
60.0
2005
Dal
7
6
96
0
9.6
2004
Atl
16
45
575
3
75.5
2003
Atl
16
64
838
3
101.8
2002
Buf
16
94
1252
9
179.2

Terry Glenn - Dallas (from Green Bay)

Year
Team
GMs
Recs
Yds
TDs
FPs
2006
Dal
16
70
1067
6
141.8
2005
Dal
16
62
1136
7
155.6
2004
Dal
6
24
400
2
52.0
2003
Dal
16
52
754
5
105.4
2002
GB
15
56
817
2
91.7


Wide Receivers on New Teams in 2007

Finally, you have made your way to the receivers that have changed teams in 2007. Looking at the above information, there is no rhyme or reason to how these players will do in year one with their new teams. Here are some trends I noticed over the past few seasons however…

  • When healthy, athletically gifted receivers thrive on their new teams (Terrell Owens, Santana Moss, Javon Walker)
  • Opportunity brings success (Joe Jurevicius, Plaxico Burress, Reche Caldwell)
  • Receivers that haven't put up good numbers in one city, rarely go on to do so elsewhere (Nate Burleson, Antwaan Randle El)
  • Veteran receivers who have put up big numbers in the past have a very good chance of doing so again if they can stay healthy (Keenan McCardell, Joey Galloway, Terry Glenn)
  • Beware the one big-season receiver (Peerless Price, Joe Jurevicius)

Randy Moss - New England Patriots (from Oakland Raiders)
Best season: 267 fantasy points (2003 season - Minnesota)

Moss is in a position to thrive with his new team. When motivated, Moss has the ability to dominate a football game and he wants to win a championship as much as anybody in the NFL. His past success is impossible to ignore and he'll be able to return to a great fantasy starter level in 2007. I have him finishing with 1,150 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns in a return to glory.

Donte Stallworth - New England Patriots (from Philadelphia Eagles)
Best season: 137 fantasy points (2005 season - New Orleans)

Stallworth was another offseason acquisition by the Patriots who will provide instant offense for the club. He will not have to worry about being the WR1 on the team with Randy Moss taking that responsibility on. He should be able to improve on his injury-shortened 2006 statistics and I currently have him projected with 895 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns which would be similar to his 2005 campaign with the Saints when he finished 20th at the position.

Drew Bennett - St. Louis Rams (from Tennessee Titans)
Best season: 197 fantasy points (2004 season - Tennessee

Bennett was the 6th best fantasy receiver in 2004, just three short seasons ago. He has all the tools to be a very good player and he will be stepping into a pass-happy organization in the Rams. With Isaac Bruce slowing down and in the twilight of his career, Bennett will have a huge opportunity to put up very nice numbers with the club. I have him finishing with 925 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns this season.

Kevin Curtis - Philadelphia Eagles (from St. Louis Rams)
Best season: 123 fantasy points (2005 season - St. Louis)

There is a hole at WR2 in Philadelphia and Curtis will have every chance to start for the club in 2007. His best season came in 2005 when he finished with 801 yards and 6 touchdowns. Unfortunately I see a player in Curtis that is similar to Justin McCareins of the Jets and David Givens of the Titans and he'll put up only mediocre numbers in Philadelphia. I have him at 560 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns which is slightly better than 2006 but worse than his career-best 2005 campaign.

Joe Horn - Atlanta Falcons (from New Orleans Saints)
Best season: 205.9 fantasy points (2004 season - New Orleans)

Horn was a great receiver for the Saints but at 35 years of age likely doesn't have too much left in the tank. The question is can he rebound from back-to-back sub-700 receiving yard seasons in 2005 and 2006. The problem for Horn is the Falcons aren't a good passing team and he will likely only put up numbers similar to last year when he had 679 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns. His time as an elite receiver is over.

Bobby Wade - Minnesota Vikings (from Tennessee Titans)
Best season: 58 fantasy points (2006 season - Tennessee)

Wade is an interesting prospect this season. Supposedly the Vikings are very high on Wade and his playmaking ability and he will get every opportunity to start for the club. However Wade is entering into his 6th season in the NFL and his best season (last year) saw him manage just 461 yards and a pair of touchdowns. I have him finishing with 640 yards and 4 touchdowns which would both be career highs but not high enough to see him as a viable fantasy starter this season.

Dennis Northcutt - Jacksonville Jaguars (from Cleveland Browns)
Best season: 105 fantasy points (2002 season)

Northcutt almost cannot help but improve on his 2006 totals. He caught just 22 receptions for 228 yards and was an afterthought for the Browns throughout the season. There is a ton of competition for receptions on the Jaguars however and his upside isn't tremendous even if he does see some significant playing time. I see him currently with 27 receptions for 300 yards and a pair of touchdowns on the year.

Brandon Stokley - Denver Broncos (from Indianapolis Colts)
Best season: 167.7 fantasy points (2004 season - Indianapolis)

Stokley had a tremendous 2004 season with the Colts but did little before that season and nothing since. So is he a one-year wonder or a veteran receiver poised to return to form in 2007. In Stokley I see a player that simply doesn't have the talent to take away touches from the other Denver players and I believe he'll be an afterthought in the offseason behind receivers Javon Walker, Rod Smith and Brandon Marshall.

Wes Welker - New England Patriots (from Miami Dolphins)
Best season: 75 fantasy points (2006 season - Miami Dolphins)

Welker is an explosive special teams player and he'll slot in as a dependable slot receiver for the Patriots. He won't see enough passes to improve on his 2006 numbers. In fact his receptions and yardage will likely drop. However he is a great third-down target and that along with special teams will help the Patriots win football games. His fantasy numbers will be minimal but he'll be an important piece of the puzzle in New England.

Ashley Lelie - San Francisco 49ers (from Atlanta Falcons)
Best season: 151 fantasy points (2004 season - Denver)

Who really knows which Ashley Lelie will show up? Will it be the player who finished with 1,084 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns in 2004 or the player who has just 1,200 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns since then? So far the 49ers are not impressed with Lelie who has been injury prone and slow to show much on the practice field. That doesn't bode well for his statistics in 2007 and he will likely put up similar numbers to 2006.

Travis Taylor - Oakland Raiders (from Minnesota Vikings)
Best season: 133 fantasy points (2002 season - Baltimore)

Taylor is a consistent receiver whose upside is very limited. He will likely see some playing time and will catch some passes for the club. However he is unlikely to eclipse the 651 yards and 3 touchdowns he put up in 2006.