Projection Tweaks
Posted 8/27 by David Dodds, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
These are the tweaks that are +/- 5 fantasy points (since last update) for players that I am projecting at least 25 fantasy points for the season.
| Pos | Player | Team | New FP | Old FP | Change | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR50 | Roydell Williams | TEN | 83.8 | 25.6 | 58.2 | Starting WR after passing Brandon Jones |
| QB31 | Daunte Culpepper | OAK | 140.1 | 96.1 | 44.0 | Making the case to be the QB in 2007 |
| RB67 | Darren Sproles | SD | 41.2 | 0.0 | 41.2 | Explosive back should have role with Turner injury |
| WR109 | David Patton | NO | 29.3 | 9.6 | 19.7 | Holding off Meachem and others on depth chart |
| WR54 | Ernest Wilford | JAX | 80.3 | 60.9 | 19.4 | Starting WR for now at least |
| RB39 | Warrick Dunn | ATL | 103.5 | 84.3 | 19.2 | Recovered from injury and still starter |
| RB62 | Tony Hunt | PHI | 48.9 | 30.6 | 18.3 | Looking like he will beat out Buckhalter for #2 |
| WR73 | Dennis Northcutt | JAX | 64.0 | 47.6 | 16.4 | Starting WR for now |
| QB3 | Drew Brees | NO | 306.3 | 291.0 | 15.3 | Looking crisp even with 2nd string WRs |
| RB61 | T.J. Duckett | DET | 49.0 | 33.9 | 15.1 | Thinking Kevin Jones goes to PUP carving out a small role. |
| WR49 | Wes Welker | NE | 83.8 | 68.7 | 15.1 | Possession receiver is going to see a lot of action |
| WR19 | Santonio Holmes | PIT | 144.4 | 129.6 | 14.8 | Has surpassed Hines Ward in my eyes |
| WR75 | Jacoby Jones | HOU | 63.5 | 49.1 | 14.4 | Having a great camp. Challenging Walter for time |
| RB56 | Najeh Davenport | PIT | 50.7 | 39.8 | 10.8 | More receptions for Parker means more goal work for Davenport |
| RB4 | Joseph Addai | IND | 231.2 | 221.4 | 9.8 | No one has emerged to spell him. Increased workload. |
| TE14 | Bo Scaife | TEN | 67.7 | 58.6 | 9.1 | Distancing himself from Ben Troupe. |
| WR57 | James Jones | GB | 78.4 | 69.7 | 8.7 | Having a great camp. #3 WR now - maybe more later? |
| WR105 | Shaun McDonald | DET | 31.8 | 23.4 | 8.5 | I am seeing an even bigger pass/run ratio with Jones out. |
| RB36 | Ladell Betts | WAS | 121.2 | 113.1 | 8.1 | Portis injury giving him opportunity |
| QB23 | Matt Schaub | HOU | 231.2 | 223.2 | 8.0 | Looks way better than Carr ever did. |
| RB44 | Dominic Rhodes | OAK | 82.2 | 74.6 | 7.6 | Slight tweak of carries between Jordan and Rhodes |
| TE11 | L.J. Smith | PHI | 78.0 | 70.8 | 7.2 | Almost healthy |
| RB30 | Tatum Bell | DET | 144.2 | 137.3 | 6.9 | Fearing the worst about Kevin Jones. Injury a non-issue |
| QB18 | J.P. Losman | BUF | 245.0 | 238.7 | 6.3 | Defense is horrible - Should lead to extra passing |
| WR64 | Amani Toomer | NYG | 70.0 | 64.0 | 6.0 | Increased receiving TD by 1 |
| WR12 | Anquan Boldin | ARI | 171.1 | 165.1 | 6.0 | Increased receiving TD by 1 |
| WR7 | Larry Fitzgerald | ARI | 179.6 | 173.6 | 6.0 | Increased receiving TD by 1 |
| WR6 | Roy Williams | DET | 185.0 | 179.0 | 6.0 | Increased receiving TD by 1 |
| RB9 | Reggie Bush | NO | 221.3 | 215.3 | 6.0 | Increased receiving TD by 1 |
| RB1 | Ladainian Tomlinson | SD | 340.2 | 334.2 | 6.0 | Increased rushing TD by 1 |
| QB1 | Peyton Manning | IND | 339.3 | 333.4 | 5.9 | Looks in mid-season form. OL woes overstated. |
| RB76 | Dwayne Wright | BUF | 26.0 | 20.4 | 5.6 | Slightly more carries. |
| WR38 | Devery Henderson | NO | 101.9 | 96.3 | 5.6 | Brees looks very sharp |
| WR39 | Kevin Curtis | PHI | 100.6 | 95.0 | 5.5 | Stealing some of Brown's receptions |
| WR25 | Reggie Brown | PHI | 133.5 | 139.3 | -5.8 | Yielding receptions to Reggie Brown |
| TE2 | Jeremy Shockey | NYG | 116.5 | 122.5 | -6.0 | Decreased receiving TD by 1 - Added to Toomer. |
| WR98 | Anthony Gonzalez | IND | 45.5 | 51.6 | -6.1 | Moorehead still has a small role. |
| QB10 | Donovan McNabb | PHI | 271.5 | 278.1 | -6.6 | Decreased rushing yardage and rushing TD by 1 |
| WR66 | Cedrick Wilson | PIT | 68.6 | 76.0 | -7.4 | Increases to Holmes and Miller |
| TE35 | Donald Lee | GB | 27.1 | 35.0 | -7.9 | Bubba Franks not dead yet. |
| RB72 | Mike Bell | DEN | 36.3 | 45.0 | -8.8 | Yielding carries to Cecil Sapp. |
| TE36 | Dave Thomas | NE | 26.9 | 35.8 | -8.9 | Dinged up and missing time. |
| WR112 | Courtney Roby | TEN | 26.0 | 35.7 | -9.7 | Roydell Williams pushes Roby further down. |
| TE37 | Ben Troupe | TEN | 26.4 | 36.5 | -10.1 | Scaife making a case to always be on the field. |
| WR28 | Hines Ward | PIT | 128.8 | 139.6 | -10.8 | Offense is built to feature Holmes more. |
| WR104 | Charles Sharon | JAX | 32.0 | 43.2 | -11.2 | Running with the 2nd team |
| WR30 | Randy Moss | NE | 127.4 | 139.5 | -12.1 | Lowered expectations as he continues to miss time |
| RB18 | Clinton Portis | WAS | 190.0 | 202.4 | -12.4 | Lowered expectations as he continues to miss time |
| WR93 | Matt Jones | JAX | 49.7 | 63.7 | -14.0 | Running with the 2nd team right now. |
| RB68 | DeDe Dorsey | IND | 40.4 | 54.8 | -14.4 | Has struggled with the opportunity. |
| WR108 | Reggie Williams | JAX | 30.7 | 45.6 | -14.9 | In doghouse and running with the 3rd team. |
| QB34 | Josh McCown | OAK | 67.5 | 84.4 | -16.8 | Culpepper looks to win the job soon. |
| RB34 | Jerious Norwood | ATL | 123.7 | 143.1 | -19.4 | Warrick Dunn is back from injury |
| WR113 | Robert Meachem | NO | 25.5 | 51.4 | -25.9 | Non-existent so far. Buried on the depth chart |
| RB60 | Correll Buckhalter | PHI | 49.1 | 75.4 | -26.3 | Tony Hunt is making a claim to be the goal line back |
| RB58 | Michael Turner | SD | 50.0 | 85.0 | -35.0 | High ankle sprain? |
| WR80 | Brandon Jones | TEN | 57.0 | 100.0 | -43.0 | Lost starting spot to Roydell Williams |
| RB65 | Kevin Jones | DET | 43.8 | 95.8 | -52.0 | Expecting him to start the year on the PUP |
