Dynasty Watch - Week P4
Posted 1/30 by Jeff Tefertiller, Sigmund Bloom, William Grant and Jeff Pasquino, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
For the 2007 season, the Dynasty Staff highlighted 133 different NFL players for they dynasty potential. Some of these guys really came through. Some did not. Others are still a question mark for the future. Here's a recap of the 2007 Dynasty Watch players from the playoff teams:
Sam Hurd, WR, Dallas Cowboys (Week 12)
Accomplishments - Hurd contributed more in his second season with the Cowboys, building on his five-catch, 75 yard rookie year. He collected 19 balls on 37 targets for 314 yards, including his first NFL touchdown in Week 1.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - With both Terrell Owens and Terry Glenn on the wrong side of 30, the Cowboys have two starting wide receivers that will need capable backups (and eventual replacements) on the depth chart. Hurd, along with Patrick Crayton and Miles Austin, represent the next guys who are available on the roster. Hurd's speed and deep threat abilities give him a leg up for certain pass routes and special teams duties as well.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Terry Glenn was lost for the entire regular season in 2007, and Patrick Crayton was inconsistent at best as a spot starter on the year. Hurd, an undrafted receiver out of Northern Illinois, is just 23 years old this April and is under contract for 2008 for veteran league minimum ($445K) so he will certainly be on the Dallas roster next season. He needs to step up and contribute more for 2008 or else he will be looking for another team in 2009.
Nick Folk, PK, Dallas Cowboys (Week 6)
Accomplishments - Folk was drafted by Dallas in the sixth round this past April out of the University of Arizona, and he went on to win the starting kicker job for the Cowboys. Folk finished with 131 points, fourth overall for kickers, connecting on 26 of 31 field goals including 2 of 5 from 50+ yards. He only missed two attempts inside of 40 yards, one of which was blocked.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Folk became the starting kicker for a high-powered offense early in the season, highlighted by a 4 for 4 night against Buffalo on Monday Night Football including back-to-back 53 yarders to win the game (as he was "iced" via a time-out on the first attempt). He went on to produce consistently week after week, scoring 10 or more points in 5 of 16 games while scoring less than six only three times.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - The Cowboys locked up their kicker for the next four years with a rookie contract at minimum salary ($285K for 2007, $370K in 2008, $450K in 2009 and $550K for 2010). Dallas has found a good kicker at a bargain price, so Nick Folk will be the place kicker for the Cowboys for the foreseeable future
Jacques Reeves, CB, Dallas Cowboys (Week 5)
Accomplishments - Reeves entered his fourth season with the Cowboys as the nickel cornerback for Dallas, but both starters (Terrance Newman and Anthony Henry) suffered injuries early on in the year that thrust Reeves into a starting role. He had decent IDP numbers in 2007, but part of the reason for that was that the opposing team's passing attack was coming after him as the weak link. Reeves finished the year with 60 tackles (52 solo) in 16 games (13 starts), including 12 passes defended, a forced fumble and an interception.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Reeves started the season with good numbers (including his interception in Week 1). He racked up 16 solo tackles, 4 assists, a forced fumble and two pass defenses in the first four weeks which caught our attention. He continued to put up similar tackle numbers the rest of the year, but he became more known for giving up big plays and penalties to the opposition. He was also the corner that mauled Drew Carter in Week 16 against the Carolina Panthers that went uncalled for a pass interference play, one of the bigger blown calls by the officials in 2007.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - There's no question that Reeves needs to improve his coverage skills this off-season. The Cowboys are thin at corner so he could be back on the squad, but anything above the third man on the depth chart would be asking too much of his current abilities. The odds of him latching on to another team as a starter seem very remote for 2008.
DeShaun Wynn, RB, Green Bay Packers (Week 3)
Accomplishments - The seventh round pick carried the ball fifty times for 403 yards and four scoring runs. He added nine receptions for 73 yards. He did all of this in just seven games and never had more than 13 carries in any one game. The 5'11", 235-pound back from Florida did have two games with over fifteen fantasy points.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - DeShaun Wynn played well while spelling Brandon Jackson. He had fifty rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns in week two. But, it did not take long for Wynn to get injured for the year. In late December, Packers GM Ted Thompson was quoted as saying, "I thought he did OK," he said of Wynn's run as the team's starter. "He's got a lot of talent. We can't get inside people's heads. Part of being a real player in this league is being durable and being able to step to the plate. We'll have to see how that goes."
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - The former Florida Gator was injured midseason after taking over for Brandon Jackson. Wynn battled injuries and inconsistencies throughout his college career. At this point, it looks as though Wynn will be on the Packer roster bubble in 2008 unless there is an injury to another back. The future does not look bright for Wynn. He could very well be out of the league in a year or two.
Ryan Grant, RB, Green Bay Packers (Week 5 and 9)
Accomplishments - On the season, the former New York Giant carried the ball 188 times for 956 yards, and average of 5.1 per carry, and eight scoring runs. Grant also caught 30 of his 37 targets for 147 yards. He had most of this production in ten games. This was great fantasy production for the young back.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - With Brandon Jackson out with an injury, Ryan Grant was spotlighted in week five because a strong preseason when he was with the New York Giants. In every game since taking over the starting job in week eight, Ryan Grant scored at least nine points in every game. That is great production for a back that was picked up off of the waiver wire in many leagues.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Ryan Grant looks the part of a bona fide star. The Packers made a great trade to acquire the former Notre Dame runner. The former Giant should be considered a top ten fantasy running back for the 2008 season. Grant has good vision and the ability to cut back to take advantage of his blocking on the back side of the play. This ability allows Grant to have a bright future. The only concern is what will happen when Brett Favre retires. Will Aaron Rodgers be able to provide enough of a threat to keep defenses honest?
Brandon Jackson, RB, Green Bay Packers (Week 10)
Accomplishments - In week 17, Jackson had a huge game against the Lions, replacing Ryan Grant. He carried the ball 20 times for 113 yards and caught two of his four targets for 22 yards. On the year, he carried the ball 75 times for 267 yards and one score. He also hauled in 16 of his 22 targets for 130 yards. The rookie only carried the ball over ten times in a game three times.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - After the injury to DeShaun Wynn in week eight, there was opportunity for the former Nebraska star. Brandon Jackson looks to be the primary backup to Ryan Grant going forward. He did have the big game in week 17, but that was the only good fantasy game. Also, averaging just 3.6 yards per carry in a situation where Ryan Grant 5.1 yards per carry.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Brandon Jackson came into his rookie season as the favorite to be the starting running back. He was injured and after the injury to DeShaun Wynn, Ryan Grant was inserted and he never looked back. This leaves the former Cornhusker as the backup ball carrier, yielding little fantasy relevance unless a Ryan Grant injury. Jackson did play well in the playoffs. He hit the hole harder than at the start of the season.
Anthony Gonzalez, WR, Indianapolis Colts (Week 9 & 15)
Accomplishments - Gonzalez had a rollercoaster season, but eventually became a permanent part of the Indy offense when Marvin Harrison went down for an extended period of time. He finished the season with 37 receptions for 576 yards and 3 TDs.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Gonzalez finished as the #2 WR on the Colts this season, due to the extended absence of Marvin Harrison. He was probably drafted in most Dynasty leagues, but his up and down performances probably made him a guy that you started at your own risk. His upside is pretty huge and if you have him on your roster, you'd be better off keeping him for the next season.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - It's questionable how effective Marvin Harrison is going to be in 2008 and beyond. Gonzalez definitely benefited from Harrison's absence and Gonzo II performed well in the playoffs when the Colts needed him to step up. In 2008, keep an eye on Gonzalez to see how well he adapts to the second season with the Colts. It should be a great opportunity for the former rookie to sign.
Devin Aromashodu, WR, Indianapolis Colts (Week 17)
Accomplishments - In the playoffs, Aromashodu had just one reception for 13 yards. Throughout the regular season, Devin spent most of his time on the bench. He came on a little stronger during the later half of the season, but even his best game (3 receptions for 42 yards) made him a disappointment as a fantasy starter.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Aromashodu is one of several young WRs who had more time to show his talents due to the multitude of injuries that the Colts sustained on offense. Although he received a strong vote of confidence from Peyton Manning, Aromashodu didn't really distance himself from the rest of the folks who were trying to prove themselves.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Aromashodu failed to really distinguish himself from the rest of the short term signings that the Colts added to supplement their depleted WR corps. He will need to seriously improve himself in the off season if he is ever to be a legitimate dynasty fantasy prospect.
Kelvin Hayden, CB, Indianapolis Colts (Week 9)
Accomplishments - Hayden finished third in combined tackles for the Colts with 71 solo tackles and 12 assists. His third season was a breakout one for Hayden as he started all 16 games, defended 10 passes and intercepted three balls as well. He also had an interception in the game against the Chargers to go with his two solo tackles and one assist.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Hayden's third season was by far his best as an NFL player. He secured the starting job during the off season and proved that the Colts made the right decision by promoting him to starting CB. He had eight games with five or more solo tackles, making him one of the better CBS in the league from a fantasy prospective.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Hayden has really proven that he's a solid fantasy DB. He finished 22nd among IDP DBs, making him a starter-quality player in most leagues. As he heads into 2008, expect his ball hawking-skills to improve and with them, his fantasy stats as well. Assuming that he can stay healthy for 2008, Hayden should be a top 20 DB and easily belongs on the roster of any league that requires DBs to start.
Quinn Gray, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars (Week 9)
Accomplishments - Gray saw time this season when David Garrard was down for the count. His performances were mixed, with two games around 100 yards passing and two games with over 300. He finished the year with 986 yards receiving, 10 TD passes and 5 Interceptions. He also had 19 carries for 57 yards rushing.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - The Jaguars were a surprise team this season, and put up solid numbers in the playoffs. Back in week 9, it was unknown how long Garrard would be out for, and the Jaguars were ready to face a soft New Orleans team that was primed to give up some big numbers. Gray turned in a 354 yard, 2 TD, 3 INT performance against the Saints, but didn't do much until the final week of the season.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - The Jaguars would love to have Gray back as their backup for next season, but it is probably not going to happen. He's an unrestricted free agent in a QB starved league. He'll certainly test the market and could end up as a starter in another city like Chicago, Baltimore or Atlanta. Although he had some big games for the Jags this year, it remains to be seen if he can carry a team as a 16 week starter. He's worth a roster slot at least just to see how he works out.
Josh Scobee, PK, Jacksonville Jaguars (Week 15)
Accomplishments - Scobee finished 5th among fantasy kickers for the 2006 season and many hoped that he would have another top 5 performance for 2007. Instead he started the season with a quadriceps injury and missed the first half of the year. He finished the season 12-13 on field goal attempts and 26 of 27 on PATs.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Scobee was cut in most dynasty leagues as fantasy owners don't like to carry an injured kicker. By the time he returned, many fantasy owners had moved on, content to deal with whatever kicker they had on their roster. Scobee posted 58 fantasy points in his last seven games.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Scobee has probably been picked up in most fantasy leagues by now. He averaged more than 8 points a game for the Jaguars and that would certainly land him back in the top five again next season. If you still have a chance to grab him, or can trade for him cheap, he's a solid player as far as dynasty place kickers go.
Kyle Eckel, RB, New England Patriots (Week 6)
Accomplishments - In his rookie season, Kyle Eckel carried the ball 32 times for 87 yards. He also added one catch for six yards. Ten of those carries were in week eleven against the Buffalo Bills when the former Navy star rushed the ball ten times for forty yards and one touchdown. This was the only game for Eckel with at least seven fantasy points. In fact, he only had two games over two fantasy points.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - With Heath Evans ineffective, Eckel saw touches as the short-yardage back. Then, Sammy Morris was injured, leaving more chance to score. But, the big ball carrier only toted the rock in one game after week eight, even with Morris injured. Averaging less than three yards per carry, and only two touchdowns, Kyle Eckel does not exhibit much upside for fantasy owners.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Eckel has little fantasy prospects for the future. With Sammy Morris healthy in 2008, there will be few opportunities for the former Navy back to score. He did have one week, week eleven against Buffalo, with ten carries for forty yards and a scoring run. But, the chances for producing fantasy points going forward are slim.
Chad Jackson, WR, New England Patriots (Week 10)
Accomplishments - Chad Jackson has been held without a catch this season. The 6'1", 206-pound receiver was drafted in the second round of the 2006 NFL Draft. He has yet to do much as a pro, but showed promise at the collegiate level. Most of the accomplishments for the 22 year old were as a member of the Gators.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Jackson injured his knee in his rookie season and started the 2007 season on the PUP list. The former second round pick showed promise as a rookie. He grabbed 13 of his 19 pass targets for 152 yards and three scores. Chad Jackson is a receiver with potential. He looks to finally be healthy and should have a chance to contribute in 2008.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - The former Florida Gator could be the starting pass catcher for the Patriots in 2008. New England beat writer, John Tomase, thinks that Donte Stallworth will be gone and Jackson starting. With Tom Brady under center, a starting receiver for the Patriots is a viable fantasy player. It is too early to know how the situation will sort out, but Jackson is a player with potential that is on many waiver wires.
Jarvis Green, DL, New England Patriots (Week 2)
Accomplishments - The 29 year old has been in the NFL for six seasons. During that time, he has totaled 113 tackles, 51 assists, 25.5 sacks, 7 forced fumbles, 5 fumble recoveries, and 3 passes defended. For the 2007 season, versatile defender accumulated 24 tackles, 15 assists, 7 sacks, 2 forced fumbles, and 1 fumble recovery. This was good enough to rank as the 54th ranked defensive lineman. But, much of this production was early in the season.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Green had opportunity with Richard Seymour on the PUP list to start the season. After week one, it looked like the former LSU star might be a good fantasy producer. That was a mirage. Even though Jarvis Green had five tackles in the first game, it represented over 20% of his season total. The two sacks against the Jets in the opener were more than 25% of his total for the year.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Jarvis Green is not a fantasy starter at DL. He is the backup for Seymour and offers little upside for fantasy owners. He only had four games with at least ten fantasy points. There are other defensive linemen that produce better fantasy numbers. Green is under contract through 2009. Green is a player that might be worth more to the Patriots than fantasy owners because of his ability to be used in different situations and formations.
Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, New York Giants (Week 14)
Accomplishments - Bradshaw demonstrated flashes of his explosiveness early in the year, dating back to preseason with the Giants. Who knew that New York had such a long list of running backs after Tiki was gone? The depth chart read Brandon Jacobs, Derrick Ward, Reuben Droughns, Bradshaw and Ryan Grant as RB#5 on September 1st, 2007. That amazing depth is what limited Bradshaw's contributions early on, but after both Ward and Jacobs were hurt (and Droughns was minimized), he got his chances. He exploded in Week 16 against Buffalo (17-151-TD) and hasn't slowed down since. He has returned some kicks as well, but in the postseason he has had two solid games against Tampa Bay (16-63-TD, 1-9 receiving) and also against Green Bay (16-63-TD, 1-9 receiving) sandwiched around a modest game against Dallas (6-34, 1-6).
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - The quick runner from Marshall was a great pickup for the Giants in Round 7 of the 2007 NFL Draft, a near-"Mr. Irrelevant" who could soon be considered the Marques Colston of his draft class. Bradshaw should easily stay at the #2 spot on the depth chart for the Giants in 2008 as Derrick Ward is a free agent and Droughns has not shown much with his limited touches.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - It certainly looks like the Giants were in favor of a running back by committee approach to their backfield, and 2008 should not be any different. While Ward has value, Bradshaw has shown too much explosiveness at tailback not to get him several touches a game. If Jacobs also gets hurt (which he has a history of doing), Bradshaw could be another backup RB who seemingly comes out of nowhere and becomes the next solid starting NFL rusher.
Sinorice Moss, WR, New York Giants (Week 12)
Accomplishments - Moss had an up and down year, catching just 21 balls for 225 yards and zero touchdowns on 37 targets in his second year with the Giants. He did pick things up in the second half of the regular season with 14 of his catches coming in Weeks 11-15, where he racked up most of his yardage (176 yards). Down the stretch and in the postseason, however, he has not been utilized and was deactivated as recently as the NFC Championship Game against Green Bay, where New York went with Steve Smith as their third WR option.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - The Giants were really ailing in November with recent injuries to Amani Toomer compounding the nagging ankle problem with Plaxico Burress. Rookie Steve Smith was also out with a broken shoulder blade, so the door was wide open for more contributors. As noted above, most of Moss's production came at this time.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Sinorice Moss has now been with the Giants for two years, and the 25-year old wideout is not going anywhere soon. Moss is signed for minimal salary ($360K in 2007, $445K in 2008, and $530K in 2009) so his downside is as a younger WR for depth in New York for the next two years. His upside improves if the Giants are happy with Moss and if Toomer retires, but seeing how Steve Smith appears to be already above Moss on the food chain does not bode well for him becoming a starter.
Kevin Boss, TE, New York Giants (Week 16)
Accomplishments - Boss came in as a first year tight end for the Giants and established himself as the clear backup for Jeremy Shockey. He stepped into the starting role when he was lost for the remainder of the year with a broken leg in December, catching 9 of 14 targets for 118 yards and two touchdowns since Week 15.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Shockey is not made out of steel, that's for certain. The Giants (and the entire NFC East, for that matter) incorporate the tight end as a key part of the offense, so a big target with good hands has a good future. At 6'7" and 250 lbs, the fifth round pick from Western Oregon certainly fits that description.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Boss's biggest upside only happens with Shockey out of the picture. Shockey's a Pro Bowl caliber tight end, and he's proven to be able to get up from a lot of tough hits. Part of the concern, though, is that Shockey has a lot of miles on him for just being 27 years old, so Boss may see action sooner rather than later. The other issues are contracts and dollars - the Giants have a lot of both tied up in Shockey ($2.25M in 2008, over $3M in 2009) so Boss may be a backup for 2-3 more years at that rate. Boss will certainly get more involved in the offense next season (and possibly Super Bowl XLII) but with Shockey entrenched as the starter his ability to become a big fantasy contributor is minimized.
Verron Haynes, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers (Week 17)
Accomplishments - Haynes was the right guy in the right place at the right time when he was added to Pittsburgh's roster after Willie Parker broke his leg in Week 16. So how did he do? Not so well - one catch for 12 yards with two targets in the final game of the year against Baltimore.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Aside from a potential spot starter, Haynes' value would have been much higher for playoff leagues as Najeh Davenport's backup and possibly if Parker was not expected to be ready for the 2008 season. Neither is the case, so Haynes has almost no value.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Haynes may stick on the Steelers' roster if they need running backs for training camp (or if Parker suffers a major setback in his rehab), but most likely Haynes will be cut soon. He turns 29 in February and has little future upside, especially with the expected draft class this April to contain numerous running back prospects.
Ike Taylor, CB, Pittsburgh Steelers (Week 2)
Accomplishments - Taylor finished just out of the Top 12 DBs overall in 2007 in FBG scoring (and the #6 cornerback), collecting 80 tackles (69 solo), along with a sack, a forced fumble, a fumble recovery and three interceptions. Taylor also added 16 pass defenses as he reasserted himself in the Steelers' defense this past year.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Ike Taylor had a great season in 2005 with 80 tackles but his production slipped in 2006 by about 10-15%, which was significant enough to push him down to the 66th DB overall last season. With new head coach Mike Tomlin allowing him to make more impact plays, Taylor returned to his league leading production levels.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Taylor's 2007 campaign proved that his 2005 numbers were not a fluke. He stepped right back up in his production and was a key contributor for the Pittsburgh defense. He remains under contract through 2010 at an attractive cap number (2007: $4.975M, 2008: $5.74M, 2009: $5.1M, 2010: $5.1M) so he doesn't seem to be going anywhere soon. Taylor will be 28 in May and he should be written in ink as the starter for the Steelers for the next three seasons.
Darren Sproles, RB, San Diego Chargers (Week 16)
Accomplishments - Sproles has been a standout special teams player for the Chargers throughout his three year career. This year he had a chance to show his skills in the offensive backfield, especially during the playoffs. With LT down for the count, Michael Turner was the guy who carried the load, but when Sproles was in, he really shook things up. In the playoffs he had just 6 touches but he also rang up 96 yards and a TD.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Many dynasty owners are planning on Michael Turner being with another team in 2008. That sets up Sproles as the backup to the #1 fantasy back out there. Can Sproles carry the load? He certainly did in week 15 when he posted 122 yards rushing on 25 carries. His special teams play makes him even more valuable in leagues that award points for return yards.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Sproles is a too undersized to step in and carry the ball 300 times during an NFL season. However, he is an excellent change of pace back to LT and when Michael Turner moves on next season, Sproles will see the field a lot more. Is it enough to start him in your fantasy backfield? Maybe not. However, in leagues that award points for return yards, Sproles becomes an excellent option in 2008.
Antonio Cromartie, CB, SD Chargers (Week 11 & 14)
Accomplishments - Cromartie started the season on the bench as a young CB who was going to play a little special teams. He finished the season as the 30th ranked DB despite only starting the final eight games of the season. In the post season, he continued to shine, and posted 14 solo tackles, 2 assists and 2 INTs over the three playoff games for the Bolts this year.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - By week 11 Cromartie had really started to show his stuff, but was being regulated back to the bench. He is actually credited with starting the week 11 game even though he didn't post a single stat. But after week 12, he began to show his skills again. Cromartie finished the season with ten interceptions including three games with multiple picks and one 70 yard return for a TD. He was also a standout special teams player with several impressive returns for TDs. including a record setting 109 missed field goal for a TD against Minnesota.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Cromartie has yet to prove that he's a shutdown corner for the Chargers, but he certainly has the potential to be a fantasy STUD. His speed and ball-hawking abilities are flat out fun to watch, and this kid has a long career in front of him. He belongs on your fantasy roster and if you can grab him during the off season, you'll be rewarded for many seasons to come.
Clinton Hart, SS, San Diego Chargers (Week 17)
Accomplishments - Hart put up career numbers this season: 68 solo tackles, 17 assists, 1 sack, nine pass defenses and five INTs That was good enough for 16th among fantasy DBs for this season and sets him up nicely going into a contract year for 2008. He had 12 solo tackles, and 5 assists in three playoff games this year.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Hart finally proved that he's a legitimate fantasy option at DB this year. He had six games with five or more solo tackles and 8 games with five or more combined tackles. He's a legitimate fantasy starter at defensive back.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Coming off of a career year and going into a contract year sets the stage for a fantastic performance from Hart in 2008. He'll make an excellent addition to your fantasy team and you should do your best to land him if he's available in your league.
Leonard Weaver, RB, Seattle Seahawks (Week 7)
Accomplishments - Weaver had a 17 yard TD run against the Redskins during the first round of the playoffs, but only touched the ball six times the rest of the post season. He finished the regular season with more receptions (39) than rushes (33) and had 459 yards from scrimmage and 1 TD for the season.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Shaun Alexander and Maurice Morris were both banged up for the Seahawks this season, and it looked as if Weaver might be seeing additional carries. As a team though, Seattle focused more on the passing game, and in the end, QB Matt Hasselbeck had more carries (39) than Weaver did for the season.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Alexander was visibly slower this season, and given that fact that he's due for a huge salary increase for 2008, he's probably not going to be on the team next season. Morris is under contract, but did not perform well this year either and is probably not a guy you can count on for 16 games as a starter. Weaver is a free agent for 2008, but could resign with the team to add depth to fill the shoes that Alexander will probably vacate. Look for Weaver to put up the 2-3 receptions per game that he was averaging and the 3 - 5 carries at best next season.
Maurice Morris, RB, Seattle Seahawks (Week 8)
Accomplishments - Morris had a solid season for the Seahawks given the fact that Shaun Alexander is finally starting to show his age. Morris averaged 4.5 yards per carry for a total of 628 yards rushing and 4 TDs. He also had another 23 receptions for 213 additional yards and a TD.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - With Alexander limited due to injuries, Morris was looking more and more like the back that was going to get them through the rest of the season. MoMo turned in a few solid games after week 8, but never rushed for more than 87 yards in any one game, and never had a game with more than 110 total yards from scrimmage.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Alexander will probably be gone from Seattle for the 2008 season, leaving Morris in the driver seat from a fantasy prospective. However, Morris has to be a proceed with caution type of player because he has never touched the ball more than 175 times in any of his first six NFL seasons. While he is certainly worth a roster slot in any dynasty league, you can't count on him as an every week starter until proven otherwise, and should supplement your depth with other NFL runners.
Ben Obomanu, WR, Seattle Seahawks (Week 6)
Accomplishments - With injuries to Deion Branch and D.J. Hackett, Obomanu saw extended playing time against the Packers in the playoffs. He had four receptions for 63 yards and posted another 12 receptions for 180 yards and a TD during the regular season. He also averaged 22 yards on four kick returns during his second season.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Obomanu performed well enough during the regular season and the playoffs to earn additional playing time. In week six he had 4 receptions for 72 yards and a TD but didn't do much after that until last week against Green Bay.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - The Seahawks are in for a bit of an offensive revamp in 2008. The often injured Deion Branch has not done much for the Seahawks and he may not be back next season. Bobby Engram will be entering his 13th season and despite having a career in 2007, he won't be seeing 94 receptions again. D.J. Hackett is a free agent as well. This gives Obomanu a golden opportunity break into the starting lineup for next year. Keep an eye on the Seattle off season moves and training camps to determine if Obomanu can move up on the depth chart.
Bruce Gradkowski, QB, Tampa Bay Bucs (Week 13)
Accomplishments - After a rough rookie season in 2006, Gradkowski lost his starting job to journeyman Jeff Garcia this season. Garcia lead the Bucs to the playoffs despite several key injuries on offense and proved that he still had something left to show the NFL. Gradkowski saw the field a couple times as a pinch-hitter, and finished the season with just 24 attempts for 130 yards, 0 TDs. and 1 INT.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - We brought up Gradkowski as more of a reminder that the Buccaneers had more than one backup option to Garcia in the event of an injury or poor performance. As a team, the Bucs threw just 18 TDs. all season, most of them after they lost franchise RB Cadillac Williams to injury. Garcia was injured and Luke McCown had taken over as the starter for a few weeks. But McCown was a shaky starter at best and Gradkowski was waiting in the wings to take over if given the chance. It never materialized.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Garcia is the big money free agent, and he's under contract until the end of the 2008 season. That means if he's healthy enough, he will be the starter. With McCown and Chris Sims fighting Gradkowski for table scraps, the best that one can hope for from the situation is a 'wait and see' approach, hoping one of them will emerge as the definite backup who can push Garcia for the starting job.
Luke McCown, QB, Tampa Bay Bucs (Week 14)
Accomplishments - Despite only starting three games this season, McCown still managed to throw for more than 1000 yards and rush for more than 100. He was also sacked 15 times despite only attempting 139 passes. McCown was sacked twice in each of the five games that he played in.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - In week 13, McCown stepped in for Garcia and threw for 313 yards and 2 scores to help lift the Bucs to a 27-23 win over New Orleans. It looked as if McCown was ready to lead Tampa into the playoffs. Instead they lost all three that McCown took the majority of the snaps in and they almost missed the playoffs entirely.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - McCown will begin the 2008 season in a battle to backup Jeff Garcia. Although he has shown some improvement from his days at Cleveland, he still had a lot to learn about being a good NFL QB. The multiple sacks and fumbles are not going to win him any points with the Tampa Coaching staff. At this point he's probably not worth a roster slot unless something happens to Jeff Garcia or McCown really looks impressive during training camp.
Ernest Graham, RB, Tampa Bay Bucs (Week 4)
Accomplishments - When Cadillac Williams tore his patellar tendon back in week three this year, Graham became a viable fantasy option. Since then he's been a solid fantasy RB, and finished the season with over 1200 yards from scrimmage and 10 TDs. He finished 11th among all fantasy backs this season with only 14 real games.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Graham had 75 yards and 2 TDs. on just 8 carries against St. Louis in week 3. While Michael Pittman was #2 on the depth chart, it was Graham that caught our eye. The latest news on Williams is that he's going to miss the entire summer and most of training camp as well. Graham should begin 2007 as the starter and will probably land the majority of the carries next year.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Right now, Williams is a giant question mark. Graham has proven that he can carry the load and he should go into the 2008 season as the starter. Will he lose some touches to Williams later in the season? Probably. But Graham is a free agent at the end of 2008, so expect him to run hard every chance he gets. If Tampa goes back to Williams as their main starter, Graham should land a job somewhere else.
Ken Darby, RB, Tampa Bay Bucs (Week 6)
Accomplishments - Darby had a good preseason, averaging 4.1 YPC and finishing with 171 yards from scrimmage and 1 TD. However, he didn't get much of a shot during the regular season, and finished with just 4 touches in the final game of the season.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - During the season, Darby had a shot. However, his chance never materialized. He didn't really have a chance to show anything in 2007.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Pittman is a free agent and may not be with the Buccaneers for 2008. That will leave Darby as the primary backup to Graham and a recovering Cadillac Williams. He could see a few carries earlier in the season until Williams gets back to full strength, and it will be these carries that determine if he's a legitimate fantasy option or not. For now, he's a 'wait and see' until the regular season rolls around in 2008.
Michael Bennett, RB, Tampa Bay Bucs (Week 8)
Accomplishments - Bennett came over from Kansas City after six games and there was a point when he looked like he might get a shot to take over the starting job in Tampa. However, he never really received the opportunity as Graham held onto the starting job. He had 17 touches in the final game of the season against Carolina and finished with 67 yards and a TD. He did not post any statistics in the post-season.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - With Williams on the shelf, the Bucs needed some depth and traded for Bennett. It looked as if he would be given a chance to really take over the starting job. Now, he's a free agent and will probably sign with another team for 2008.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Bennett was the odd man out in KC, and it appears that he's the odd man out in Tampa as well. Williams won't be back for the preseason, but between Graham, Pittman and Darby, Bennett will probably not be resigned over the off season. At this point, wait to see where Bennett lands to determine if he's worth a fantasy roster slot. Keep in mind that he's never really been able to secure a starting role in his first seven years.
Tanard Jackson, FS, Tampa Bay Bucs (Week 9)
Accomplishments - Jackson was a 4th round pick out of Syracuse for Tampa this season. He secured the starting free safety position during the preseason and started every game in 2007. He finished the year with 53 tackles, 3 assists, 2 fumble recoveries, 2 INTs and 13 pass defenses. He was 66th among all fantasy DBs in 2007.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Jackson had posted some solid numbers through the middle of the season and he looked like he was on track to finish in the top ranges for fantasy DBs He cooled off over the last six games of the season, posting just 10 solo tackles and 2 assists over that stretch. He had one tackle and 1 pass defense in the playoffs.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - It's not uncommon for rookies to hit a 'wall' near the end of the season, where the stresses of the season tend to catch up with the young players and their stats take a hit. Perhaps this is what happened to Jackson. His performance over the first ten games of the season warrant fantasy consideration for 2008, but keep an eye on him during the preseason Another full summer with the Tampa staff should sharpen his skills as a DB and he has big upside going into 2008. He's a good sleeper pick now and definitely deserves a roster slot.
Philip Buchanon, CB, Tampa Bay Bucs (Week 7)
Accomplishments - 2007 was Buchanon's first 16 game season since 2003. He didn't start all 16 games, but when he was a starter, he was posting some solid numbers. For the season, he posted career numbers: 59 solo tackles, 2 assists, 10 pass defenses and 3 INTs He also had 16 punt and 2 kick returns for 70 yards total.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Buchanon was on track to set career numbers in all of his major fantasy categories. He seemed to be finally on track to prove that he wasn't a first round bust. However, over the final three games of the season and even in the playoff loss to the Giants, Buchanon disappeared from the games. He posted just three solo tackles and 1 INT over his last four games and was a total non factor in the playoffs.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Buchanon is a classic underachiever from an NFL standpoint. He was the 17th overall pick in 2002, yet he is on his third NFL team and could return to the Bucs for 2008 or be cut during the off season. The Tampa secondary is a little long in the tooth, so Buchanon will most likely return in 2008. He's worth a roster spot if only because his PPG was pretty impressive for the first half of the season.
Chris Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans (Week 8)
Accomplishments - Henry was suspended for four games during the season for violating the league's substance abuse policy on anabolic steroids. He remained buried on the depth chart behind LenDale White and Chris Brown for a better part of the season as well, but did manage to take the field from time to time. He finished the season with 31 carries for 119 yards and 2 TDs. along with six receptions for 53 yards receiving.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - In week seven and eight, Henry saw his first action and put up some nice performances, including a rushing TD in both weeks. However, he never really was able to push his way into the starting lineup and finished the season having never touched the ball more than 10 times in a game after week 7.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Henry has was a wild card coming out of college and could have come to the Titans and made some serious noise or flamed out completely. For 2008 and beyond, things become a little more interesting as Chris Brown is no longer under contract. The Titans cut Brown last season, only to resign him to a one year deal. He performed well early in the season by tapered off and died statistically after week one. Henry could slip into the #2 slot behind White this off season and that should get him onto the field a lot more next year. He's still worth a roster slot given that he's a former second round pick. Keep an eye on this situation during the off season as Henry could even challenge White for the starting job.
Roydell Williams, WR, Tennessee Titans (Week 8)
Accomplishments - Roydell easily posted the best stats of his career this season, with 94 targets, 55 receptions for 719 yards and 4 TDs. He led the team in TDs. and tied the team for most receptions. Williams was performing well down the stretch, but broke his ankle in the final game of the season against Indy.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Roydell secured a starting spot on the Titans' WR rotation by week three this season and never looked back. He had nine games with four or more receptions this season, and even had a multiple TD game back in week 15. He and Gage should begin the 2008 season as the starters, and if Roydell can stay healthy, he should be able to surpass the numbers that he posted this season.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Despite not starting the first couple weeks of the season and missing time due to injury, Roydell still finished as the #45 WR from a fantasy prospective. Still not 'starter' quality numbers, but certainly worth a roster slot in most leagues as a bye-week fill in. As Vince Young continues to improve as a passer, Roydell should also see a corresponding bump in his stats. For 2008, expect him to be in the top 36, making him a solid investment for your fantasy team.
Paul Williams, WR, Tennessee Titans (Week 10)
Accomplishments - Williams was a third round pick for the Titans this season, and had an outside shot at making his mark for the Titans this year. However, he spent most of the season on the inactive list.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Not much to say at this point. Paul Williams is not much more than potential at this point.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - The Titans were hurting at WR, and Williams is a physically gifted athlete. However, he never was able to see the field for the Titans this season. Given the fact that the Titans spent a 3rd round pick on Williams, you can expect to see him during the preseason for 2008 at least. Until he proves himself though, he's not worth a roster spot in your league.
Justin Gage, WR, Tennessee Titans (Week 13)
Accomplishments - After four uneventful seasons with the Chicago Bears, Gage had a breakout of sorts with the Titans in 2007. During the regular season, he led the Titans with 55 receptions, 750 yards and 2 TDs. In the playoffs he did not fair as well, grabbing just one catch for 19 yards in the losing effort to the Chargers.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Vince Young is still finding himself as an NFL passer, and that makes the Tennessee passing game a big question mark. At times, all of the WRs were potential breakouts but Gage seemed to stand out as one of the better options. He was a classic underachiever in Chicago, but perhaps the change of address has been good for him. During the final five games of the season, Gage posted 19 receptions for 273 yards and a TD.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Gage is just 26 years old, and has great size and physical skills for a receiver. He never seemed to catch on in Chicago, but in Tennessee he has found a new home. He started the final seven games of the season for the Titans and should go into 2008 penciled into one of the starting roles. If he can continue to build on this season's success, Gage will be an excellent prospect to have for your dynasty roster.
H.B. Blades, LB, Washington Redskins (Week 16)
Accomplishments - The rookie linebacker from Pittsburgh showed much of what he could do in the preseason, as the Redskins had a crowded veteran linebacker corps for 2007. Rocky McIntosh, London Fletcher and Marcus Washington led the way this season for the Redskins, as both Fletcher (128 tackles, 100 solo) and McIntosh (87 tackles, 68 solo) sat atop the IDP standings for the Redskins last year. Only after McIntosh hurt his knee in December did Blades see any significant playing time in his first season.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - McIntosh's injury is said to be very significant, and it could cost him 9-12 months of time. Considering when it occurred (mid-December), that could mean an opening for Blades come training camp in 2008. Blades played some weak side linebacker in the final two weeks of the season, splitting time with veteran Randall Godfrey.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Godfrey actually produced more in Weeks 16 and 17 than Blades, but Blades' fans should not be discouraged. The rookie is better suited for middle linebacker in the eyes of many scouts, so he will need time to adjust to the weak side if that is indeed where he will fit in next season. Godfrey is also 35 this April and a free agent, and the pricey veteran may not be back with Washington next season. Blades looks to have a nice window of opportunity to get game experience and a bigger role in his second season at a position that puts up good IDP stats.
Pierson Prioleau, FS, Washington Redskins (Week 13)
Accomplishments - Pierson Prioleau was one of the defensive backs that were thrust into a bigger role for the Washington Redskins after the untimely death of starter Sean Taylor. Prioleau, a 30-year old veteran on his third team (San Francisco, Buffalo) split duties with Reed Doughty as the Redskins looked for a suitable fill-in for Taylor.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - The Redskins play an aggressive defensive style, and the safety position is a productive one for IDP purposes. Prioleau had four official starts this season, and in Weeks 7-10 (three as a starter) he racked up 22 tackles, 15 solo. Prioleau finished the year with 45 total tackles (31 solo) on four starts, and he does have a history of good production. Prioleau was among the league leading defensive backs in 2002 with the Buffalo Bills, a season where he had 89 tackles (67 solo) and a sack as a starter.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Prioleau is a free agent entering this offseason, but considering that he fit well with Washington and that they had him for a nice bargain price last year ($710K), he will likely come back as a Redskin in 2008. Prioleau could be in line to be a starter at strong safety or at least compete with Doughty for that position as LaRon Landry moves to free safety next year.
Note: The following write-ups were accidentally left off of last week's write-up.
Aaron Stecker, RB, New Orleans Saints (Week 5)
Accomplishments - Aaron Stecker became a viable fantasy option this year when Deuce McAllister was lost for the season in week 3. When Reggie Bush went down in week 13, Stecker became the #1 back for the Saints. As the lone starter, he turned in 100 yards against the Falcons and 95 yards against the Cardinals in week 14 and 15. He suffered a turf toe injury in week 16 and missed the final game of the season. He ended the year with 151 touches for 659 yards and 5 TDs.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Stecker has been the main backup for the saints for the last four seasons. He is normally used on special teams, but saw a lot more action this season due to the injures at RB. He a free agent now and could end up as a fantasy backup if he moves to another team.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Stecker is entering his 9th NFL season, and he's not much of a threat to take over a starting job for anyone, no matter where he goes. He set career numbers this season from a fantasy prospective, but still only averaged 3.9 yards per carry. If he remains with the Saints, you definitely need to consider him as a backup since McAllister always seems to miss some time due to injury. Aside from that, he's a backup at best.
Pierre Thomas, RB, New Orleans Saints (Week 8)
Accomplishments - Thomas didn't see much playing time until the final game of the season when Reggie Bush, Aaron Stecker and Deuce McAllister were all out with injuries. Thomas racked up 105 yards on 20 carries and posted another 121 yards on 12 receptions. He finished the year with over 400 yards from scrimmage on just 69 touches and had 2 TDs.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Thomas was always a possibility to play when McAllister was lost, and when Bush went down, Thomas' playing time increased significantly. He posted a very solid game against the Bears the final week of the season, and his 4.8 YPC were the highest on the team for players with more than 5 carries. With Stecker as a free agent, and McAllister a potential cap casualty, Thomas could be the #2 guy for the Saints next season.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - While he's not exactly a guy to trade Tom Brady for just yet, Thomas is an interesting prospect for 2008. The Saints are looking to give their offense a boost after a lackluster performance in 2007. Bush is a given, but if McAllister is traded or cut, Thomas could move into the #2 slot on the team. Keep an eye on him now, or grab him if you have the roster space and watch the off season for the Saints. You could find yourself with a nice prospect if the situation falls correctly.
Lance Moore, WR, New Orleans Saints (Week 4)
Accomplishments - Moore had a breakout season for the Saints this year, posting career best receiving numbers: 32 receptions for 302 yards and 2 TDs. He also had a rushing TD, and averaged 18.7 yards per kick return and 9.3 yards per punt return for the season.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Moore turned a nice performance against the Titans in week 3: six receptions for 54 yards. At the time, the Saints were struggling and it looked as if they were going to make some serious changes to their offense. Instead, Moore continued to be used in a few minor roles and never had more than three receptions in a game after that.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Moore is under contract with the Saints through the end of next season. Terrance Copper, Devery Henderson, and David Patten are all free agents at this point. Depending on whom the Saints resign, Moore could move up on the depth chart or stay buried like he was for most of this season. Keep an eye on the Saints this off season and see how the situation plays out.
David Patten, WR, New Orleans Saints (Week 9)
Accomplishments - For a guy in his 11th season, Patten turned in a pretty respectable performance this year. Despite only starting five games for the Saints, he turned in 792 receiving yards and 3 TDs. He finished #3 on the Saints and receptions, and seconds in receiving yards and TDs. for the team. He was the 42nd WR from a fantasy prospective.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Patten had been turning in some pretty solid performances when week 9 rolled around, and he looked like a pretty good free agent option given who was available at the time. During the last four weeks of the season, Patten had 23 receptions for 287 yards and 2 TDs.
Future prospects (2008 and beyond) - Patten is probably not worth having on your fantasy roster at this time. He's played 11 seasons and is currently a free agent. There's a chance he may never play football again. However, keep an eye on him to see if he stays in the NFL for next year. He was an excellent mentor to Marques Colston last year and the Saints could bring him back as a solid veteran presence for their young WR corps. Patten's fantasy numbers have been quite impressive given his age and recent performances, but he might be worth looking at if he stays with the Saints for 2008.















