Footballguys' Survivor Draft (WCOFF Scoring)

  Posted 7/30 by Staff, Exclusive to Footballguys.com

On August 26th, twelve Footballguys got together for a Survivor Draft. Before the draft started, we asked each of them a series of questions. Hopefully, their answers will help you prepare for your draft.


League Rules

  1. The draft will be serpentine and last 24 rounds.

  2. Scores will be determined to the hundredth of a point by adding up:
    • the highest scoring QB
    • the two highest scoring RBs
    • the three highest scoring WRs
    • the highest scoring TE
    • the highest flex (RB/WR/TE not used already)
    • the highest scoring kicker
    • the highest scoring defense
    each week per roster. Scores reset after each week.

  3. Low scorers will be booted from the contest based on this criteria:
    • Week 1-4 - Lose 1 team per week, High score gets immunity (and is exempt from leaving) for the next week
    • Week 5/6 - Lose 1 team per two weeks (combined score of week 5 and 6)
    • Week 7/8 - Lose 1 team per two weeks (combined score of week 7 and 8)
    • Week 9/10 - Lose 1 team per two weeks (combined score of week 9 and 10)
    • Week 11/12 - Lose 1 team per two weeks (combined score of week 11 and 12)

    Immunity will be for the first three weeks only (week 3 winner gets immunity for the 4th week).

    Week 4 high score does not get immunity.

  4. After week 12, the remaining 4 teams will compete in the playoffs. Scores will be reset and the winner will be determined by adding the best three weeks (each team may drop their low score) for weeks 13 through 16.

League Scoring (WCOFF Rules)

  • Yards passing divided by 20 (e.g. 215 passing yards = 10.75 fantasy points).
  • 4 points for every passing TD.
  • Minus one point (-1) for every interception thrown.
  • Yards rushing divided by 10 (e.g. 89 rushing yards = 8.9 fantasy points).
  • 6 points for every rushing TD.
  • 1 point for every catch.
  • 1 point for every Extra Point
  • 3 points for every FG of 1 – 30 yards
    • plus .1 point for every yard thereafter (e.g. 43-yard FG = 4.3 fantasy points)
  • Defensive Scoring
    • 1 point for every sack
    • 2 points for every team takeaway (interception or fumble recovery)
    • 6 points for every TD (via interception return, fumble return, punt or kickoff return, blocked FG return, missed FG return, blocked punt return)
    • 2 points for every safety
    • 5 points for a shutout
    • 2 points for 5 or fewer points allowed
    • 1 point for 6-10 points allowed

Cecil Lammey

How many players are you targeting at each of the positions. Why do you feel that this balance is optimal in this format?

I will be going with a balanced attack in this survivor format. I'm looking at 7 WRs, but it really depends on how the draft shakes down. I feel that WR is an important position in survivor leagues, as they have the explosive capabilities to really make or break your week. I will be looking at several solid RBs in the early rounds as well.

Who/What positions are you targeting with your first four picks?

I will go with 2 RBs, one QB, and one WR in the first four rounds, probably in that order.

Name up to three players you expect to have on your roster (you believe their value is significantly better than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you desire these players? What pick will you try and draft them at?

Adrian Peterson is a player that I'm targeting with one of my first four picks. He has the capability of being a top 10 back with the Vikings. Calvin Johnson is a player that I will take a long look at. I also like his QB Jon Kitna. The Lions offense is ripe to score a ton of points.

Name up to three players you do not expect on your roster (you believe their value is significantly worse than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you want to avoid these players?

Maurice Jones Drew is going too high in most drafts I've seen. He is VERY fun to watch, but one must not take him too early because he's a boom or bust pick. Joseph Addai is another RB that I will be avoiding. Darrell Jackson will not be on my team. He can barely stay healthy enough to play.

Do you plan on invoking any handcuffs in this draft? If so, which handcuffs are you targeting and why?

Chester Taylor will be my handcuff to Adrian Peterson. AD is a great back, but injuries have hampered his career. Taylor is a solid veteran, and I want insurance in case Peterson goes down.

Assuming you don't draft Antonio Gates at TE, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first TE? What TE are you hoping to get?

I will wait for a TE. Depending on how the draft falls, I may end up taking a TE like Owen Daniels or Zach Miller.

Assuming you don't draft Peyton Manning, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first QB? What QB are you hoping to get?

My first QB will be picked in the third round. Maybe Kitna or Brady? We shall see.

What is your plan regarding bye week management?

Bye weeks are even more important in survivor leagues. One bad week and you're out. I will be watching this closely and not have more than two players at a position with the same bye week. (I may have to bend this rule if I get eight receivers).

What strategies will you employ because this is a Survivor Draft (best performances count, no trades, no waivers, percent eliminations per week, combined week scores, etc)?

Ceiling. I am looking for players with a high ceiling. I hate baseball, but to use an analogy from that game "I will be swinging for the fences early and often".

What round will you be targeting to draft your first defense?

The final two rounds.

Name two deep sleepers that are on your short-list to target in rounds 19-24. Why do you want these players?

Lorenzo Booker is the man. I feel that he could be a feature back in Miami and Cam Cameron is a great coach. The aforementioned Zach Miller is another rookie that I really like. He will provide McCown or Russell with a great security blanket at the TE position.


Andy Hicks

How many players are you targeting at each of the positions. Why do you feel that this balance is optimal in this format?

  • 3-4 QBs
  • 5-6 RBs
  • 7 WRs
  • 2 TEs
  • 3 Defs
  • 3 PKs

With ten scoring positions each week, it's important to get depth at the QB, TE, PK & Def positions. The other six starting lineup places from the more dominant positions should be catered for in my first six picks. While depth is important for RB & WR, the so called weaker positions will quite often tip the balance between survival and elimination. If I lose more than one or two of my top six, I'm likely to be in trouble anyway. I don't see the point of getting a WR8 or RB7 who will be a total crapshoot against getting a third kicker and/or defense.

Who/What positions are you targeting with your first four picks?

My first pick has to be Steven Jackson, unless Cecil is insane and takes someone other than Tomlinson. With the second and third pick close together, I'm likely to see who Cecil could draft and get them with the second pick and still get someone I think he'll avoid with the third. The likely players to be available in these slots are Willis McGahee, Ronnie Brown, Terrell Owens or Reggie Wayne. For my fourth pick I'm likely to take the best available WR, perhaps Randy Moss, Marques Colston or Andre Johnson if I'm lucky. If a RB of quality presents himself I won't say no. The difficulty with targeting players from slot two is the gap between picks - 21 players get selected between my odd numbered and my even numbered rounds. Any player projected to be taken 3rd-15th, 30th-45th etc is unlikely to be there in my even numbered rounds. Sometimes you may have to reach for a player due to these circumstances, but the ideal plan is not to fall in love with any particular player unless he presents value.

Name up to three players you expect to have on your roster (you believe their value is significantly better than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you desire these players? What pick will you try and draft them at?

I would have been hoping for Marshawn Lynch, but that will be impossible unless he lasts until pick 47. Picks 23 & 26 are too early. Looking at my draft slot, players who could fall to me at great value should be Jamal Lewis at pick 50 overall, Joey Galloway at 71 and Greg Jennings at 95. In the case of Galloway and Lewis they have all but been written off and will get significant opportunities to outperform their ADP's. Jennings is underrated. He displayed great promise before getting injured and his stats for the first five games of 2006 are more along the lines of what I'm hoping for this year. I'm not locking any of these three guys in, as my strategy is to draft for value, with the occasional plan worked in.

Name up to three players you do not expect on your roster (you believe their value is significantly worse than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you want to avoid these players?

  • Cedric Benson would only see my roster if he made it back for my sixth pick. He'll be gone just after my third. Benson has one career 100 yard rushing game, has had problems settling in Chicago, and just doesn't impress me as a runner. With the points per reception in this format his value takes an even bigger kicking
  • DeAngelo Williams is likely to be gone by my fourth pick, but unless he's there at pick six I'm not interested. He'll be in a RBBC, which is the same as last year when he couldn't beat out DeShaun Foster. Carolina look like a team that may struggle and I'd be wary of getting much production from Williams.
  • Sticking with the RB theme, Brandon Jacobs is likely to be a favorite to take over at least part of the Tiki Barber workload, but its apples and oranges. Someone is likely to take Jacobs in the fourth round, but unless he drops to the seventh or eighth I have no interest in him in this format. Reuben Droughns was the first runner to do anything in Cleveland in over a decade. He'll be the better value, but still not a great pick.

Do you plan on invoking any handcuffs in this draft? If so, which handcuffs are you targeting and why?

I'll probably do a few handcuffs, especially for Steven Jackson. St. Louis has a talented backup in Brian Leonard. With a roster 24 deep, handcuffs will be the prudent move if you lose a player through injury and there is a clear backup you can get at value. Depending on the QB options available, I'll probably handcuff at least one of my passers.

Assuming you don't draft Antonio Gates at TE, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first TE? What TE are you hoping to get?

My intention is to take a TE with both my sixth and seventh picks. Two very strong options should be available. There is very little between option two and option seven on my list and even then, little between eight and 11. Two of my top five will be a bounty I'll be very happy with. If I only manage one of my top seventh, then I'll hold off and hope one from eighth to 11th is there in the eighth and ninth rounds. I only intend grabbing two tight ends, but I want top quality in both of them. If someone at another position takes a freefall and presents tremendous value, well then this plan is spoiled.

Assuming you don't draft Peyton Manning, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first QB? What QB are you hoping to get?

Round eight onwards. There is quality depth right down to the early 20s at this position. In this format I can just grab three or four QBs and expect one of them to have a good week. Thankfully I won't have to choose which one. If one of my top six is still there for picks six and seven, I may have to reconsider my options. I'm not focusing on any one QB I must have as I'm likely to draft him too highly if I think like that. Ideally if Kitna was available at pick 95 I'd be ecstatic, but that won't happen. I'll probably end up with Jason Campbell as my third or fourth QB, which will suit me fine. Campbell has nice break out possibilities this year.

What is your plan regarding bye week management?

I'll be taking best player available, but after three rounds I'll reassess to make sure I'm not handicapped in any particular week. Steven Jackson's bye week is late, so that's a positive. You can plan all you like, but with 11 other owners changing their plans as they go, players you weren't expecting to be taken early are gone and players take an unexpected freefall, thinking on the run is a must.

What strategies will you employ because this is a Survivor Draft (best performances count, no trades, no waivers, percent eliminations per week, combined week scores, etc)?

If I see a pattern where other drafters might suffer an inconvenience I may take advantage of that, but from slot two if there's a run at a position I could easily get caught out and take players I normally wouldn't. I may end up with more combined QBs, kickers and defenses than anyone else a) to limit the pool for others and b) because these are high scoring positions and maximizing the score for these three will be beneficial.

What round will you be targeting to draft your first defense?

I'm taking volume over quality, so will likely leave it until late. Some drafts have people taking defenses too early, others leave it until late. If the opportunity presents itself I'll grab the right one early. If not there will be plenty of other options.

Name two deep sleepers that are on your short-list to target in rounds 19-24. Why do you want these players?

More than likely these will be handcuffs, Brian Leonard if I'm lucky but with adjustments to the draft likely to be made on the run, planning for the 19th-24th rounds is difficult. In an ideal world, I'd love to take a risk with any two from Kevin Walter, Maurice Stovall, Craig Davis or Sidney Rice.


Mike Anderson

How many players are you targeting at each of the positions. Why do you feel that this balance is optimal in this format?

  • 3 QBs
  • 6 RBs
  • 8 WRs
  • 2 TEs
  • 2 PKs
  • 3 Defs

I can't see going without three QBs in this format. Surely everyone would love to have 16 RBs, but it just won't be realistic. I am prepared to move to seven RBs if the right RBBC falls to me. Eight WRs should be more than enough to cover three starters. I won't have one of the big TEs unless this group just lets them fall. I don't expect much from my TEs this season, enough to get by. I shouldn't ever use a TE in the flex spot. Where I am going to deviate from other drafters is the third defense. On any given week a defense can score wildly different totals. I would like to maximize the chance at a defense just blowing up on my roster for the week.

Who/What positions are you targeting with your first four picks?

I wish I could say four RBs. Drafting in the third spot, I'm somewhat perplexed on who I will draft. LJ, Westbrook, and Gore are all about the same on paper in a PPR league. Each have a negative associated with them. Gore and Westbrook have week 5/6 byes, and that could really hamstring my team in the draft as many players I would like for value share those bye weeks. That combined elimination could be dangerous enough for me without my 1st round draft pick off as well. I am truly hoping that Steven Jackson slides, but it will never happen. Coming back in the second round, WR will most likely carry the most value. I would suspect that my draft will go RB,WR,WR,WR where I will do everything in my power to grab a second RB if the value is close to realistic. I suspect that this group will drain RBs at every opportunity, and the value will be in WRs.

Name up to three players you expect to have on your roster (you believe their value is significantly better than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you desire these players? What pick will you try and draft them at?

Given the points per receptions and the scarcity of quality RBs due to all the RBBC this season, I'll be targeting RBs like Kevin Faulk, Mewelde Moore, and Michael Pittman late, say rounds 9-11. I think the Upside for Jon Kitna is huge this year and hope to catch him coming back down at the end of the sixth round.

Name up to three players you do not expect on your roster (you believe their value is significantly worse than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you want to avoid these players?

A number of RBs that might be available in the second round that in years past would have great value. I will pass on RBs that seem like huge value but aren't based on points for receptions. These include Cedric Benson and Jamal Lewis. I can't see touching a top QB or TE. No Peyton or Gates.

Do you plan on invoking any handcuffs in this draft? If so, which handcuffs are you targeting and why?

I hope to in a big way. Love to have the Dallas RBs and the Jacksonville RBs. Brandon Jacobs and Droughns might be the best of the lot that can be acquired. It's not that I desire any RBBC setups, only that the Power backs will go fast, and handcuffing may be the only way to get a quality backfield. If I can pull off Kitna in the 6th, I'll most likely try to protect him with Stanton.

Assuming you don't draft Antonio Gates at TE, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first TE? What TE are you hoping to get?

Everyone will most like answer Witten at this question. There isn't a bigger value at TE available in this years draft. I don't plan on touching a TE until deep in the draft. Looking at Dallas Clark in the 16th or so. If Heath Miller is still around late, I would target him.

Assuming you don't draft Peyton Manning, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first QB? What QB are you hoping to get?

This is the toughest question of the draft for me. With the thought that I need three QBs, it either has to be Kitna and Stanton with Favre to maximize the position players, or I'll have to pull the trigger with Brees/Brady/Palmer and two other starters of any kind for any team as late as possible. I hope to walk away with Kitna and Favre and am planning for that unless huge value appears in the top QBs.

What is your plan regarding bye week management?

I am a double and triple check the byes kind of owner. I'll try and balance out each week as opposed to just throwing a week. If you have to have TWO weeks in this format, it can't be 5/6, 7/8, 9/10, or 11/12 combinations because of the elimination. This could be challenging for me, as the band of player I would love to have for value are off in weeks 5 and 6. I am positive that I will pass on some players I desire with week 5 and 6 bye weeks because of it. I suspect that elimination will be the hardest for me.

What strategies will you employ because this is a Survivor Draft (best performances count, no trades, no waivers, percent eliminations per week, combined week scores, etc)?

Basically answered above. Have to watch the double week eliminations the most. Taking every piece of the RBBC will be a must for many owners to be able to field a strong team, and there will be some reaches. We know that the owner who takes Portis will reach a round for Betts, watch for it. Same with the owner that takes Jones-Drew, they will reach for Taylor. It might very well be me. There is an advantage knowing what other owners will most likely have to do.

What round will you be targeting to draft your first defense?

We have to take a defense? Short of the top three units still being there in the 13th, I'll take three defenses late, if not my last three rounds. I'll just chase value at the end of the draft. A defense can have explosive weeks, and I am of the belief that three of them will move the squad forward on a week or two when I might have been eliminated.

Name two deep sleepers that are on your short-list to target in rounds 19-24. Why do you want these players?

Mike Williams and Koren Robinson. Most people won't even remember they are in the league. Complete long shots in every way, with a chance that neither even catches a ball this season. However, both could hit in a big way for zero investment. That's what fliers are.


Jeff Pasquino

How many players are you targeting at each of the positions. Why do you feel that this balance is optimal in this format?

I think I will follow the 3 QBs, 6 RBs, 8 WRs, 3 TEs, 2 Defs, 2 PKs format except I will likely take 2 TEs and 3 defenses. It's rather likely that I will take 2-5-7-2-2-2 and then play it by ear for the last four selections. A QB, a defense, and two "BPA" (Best Player Available) are likely. I want three defenses due to the variability of the production at the position unless I have CHI or BAL.

Who/What positions are you targeting with your first four picks?

RB, WR, WR and then either WR or RB, depending on who falls.

Name up to three players you expect to have on your roster (you believe their value is significantly better than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you desire these players? What pick will you try and draft them at?

Fred Taylor, Deuce McAllister, Eli Manning. Taylor and McAllister are likely "either ors", as I expect them to be off the board about the same time in rounds five or six. Both put up solid numbers last year but were overshadowed by their rookie RB teammates. Eli Manning is a nice "boom or bust" QB, and either he or Rex Grossman will be on my team (both share a bye) as they can put up two to three TDs or be complete wastelands. In Survivor, I want guys that can "boom" and I will have depth (hopefully) for when they have bad weeks. Since that basically covers two players, I also expect to have another RB that isn't on many radars in LaMont Jordan.

Name up to three players you do not expect on your roster (you believe their value is significantly worse than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you want to avoid these players?
The players I'm avoiding are Philip Rivers at QB (terrible schedule, never has had three TDs in a game), Maurice Jones Drew (great RB but his price is too high) and Randy Moss. Moss could have a good year, but Tom Brady is a "distribute the ball to whoever is open" kind of guy. Plus Jason Wood will draft him too early for my taste.

Do you plan on invoking any handcuffs in this draft? If so, which handcuffs are you targeting and why?

I may do a handcuff or two, but only if I get certain RBs. Drafting at #4, I may not get Steven Jackson (unlikely), but if I do I will get Brian Leonard. If I get some lesser RBs like Lamont Jordan or Brandon Jackson I may grab either a Michael Bush or a Vernand Morency later in the draft just to lock up the situation and backfield. The price of course is roster space, and since I plan on 6 or 7 RBs max that could get a bit expensive. All that said, considering RBBC on many teams, and I will likely have at least one committee.

Assuming you don't draft Antonio Gates at TE, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first TE? What TE are you hoping to get?

Round six or seven I should grab a TE, likely either Shockey or Heap. If both are gone, Alge Crumpler still has top five written all over him for me in most formats, but with PPR in effect in WCOFF rules he slides down a few pegs.

Assuming you don't draft Peyton Manning, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first QB? What QB are you hoping to get?

I will be in the bargain bin for QBs unless I get McNabb or Kitna much later than I should. I expect both and Tom Brady to go in the first eight rounds, so that would leave me at targeting Eli Manning or Rex Grossman, Roethlisberger or Brett Favre and then a third QB later in the draft. Both QBs are good enough as the scoring and Survivor format rewards big games and not consistency. Favre is the most desirable late pick for me.

What is your plan regarding bye week management?

With "double week" rules in effect, byes are not much of a concern aside from week four. Therefore I may try and limit the number of week-four players I have on my roster, but not at the expense of talent. With such deep rosters I am most concerned on byes at positions where I will have two to three players for one spot - like QB, PK, TE and defense. RB and WR should be deep enough to manage overall, but I will consider byes once I start to accumulate two players that share a week. I do not want three RBs or three WRs to share a bye if at all possible.

What strategies will you employ because this is a Survivor Draft (best performances count, no trades, no waivers, percent eliminations per week, combined week scores, etc)?

Here is the most important question. First, week four is a concern since that is the lone bye week that has an elimination. Scratch Drew Brees off the list. I don't anticipate many Redskins, Titans or Jaguars on my squad, but I will keep an eye on how many Saints I grab. With Deuce McAllister or Fred Taylor in my sights as a second RB, that could be a concern as I will need to come back at RB3 soon.

As for the performances, I will be getting more "boom or bust" type players than expected. Here I actually want players that are inconsistent, but have great big play potential. Give me a deep threat who can post a 60 yard touchdown five times a year and then not much else, and I will take him as my fourth or fifth WR (Bernard Berrian, come on down). QBs that are also great then terrible will also fit the bill (that means you, Rex Grossman).

What round will you be targeting to draft your first defense?

The value should start to materialize after about nine or ten players go off the board. I may take Baltimore or Chicago then, but otherwise I will wait a few more rounds and go for depth. Rounds 14-16 seem about right.

Name two deep sleepers that are on your short-list to target in rounds 19-24. Why do you want these players?

At about this point of the draft I'm looking for breakout WR and RB candidates. Lorenzo Booker and Brian Leonard leap into my mind, especially if I have the primary back in front of them. Since I doubt I will get Steven Jackson, I will lean towards Booker as my first sleeper. Looking at WR I think a Tab Perry / Chris Henry combination late in the draft could be quite fruitful as Cincinnati loves to target the WRs for TDs.


David Baker

How many players are you targeting at each of the positions. Why do you feel that this balance is optimal in this format?

A central theme to most of my drafts is letting the draft come to me. A survivor draft is a little unique because of its format, but it remains the same to a large degree. I will make sure, though to get at least two at each position. The number at the other positions will be determined by the guys I get there. If I get Peyton Manning, I will be less likely to get three QBs. But a reasonable scenario would mean 3 QBs, 5-6 RBs, 8-9 WRs, 3 TEs, 2 Defs and 2 PKs.

Who/What positions are you targeting with your first four picks?

Since I let the draft come to me, I have no specific targets in mind, although with the fifth pick in the draft, I will almost assuredly go with a RB. Loading up on RB with WCOFF rules is always a good idea, but I won't restrict myself because of it. If the right WR falls to my second round pick, I will likely jump on him. After four rounds, I expect to have 2-3 RB and 1-2 WR. If Peyton falls to the right spot, I might take him too.

Name up to three players you expect to have on your roster (you believe their value is significantly better than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you desire these players? What pick will you try and draft them at?

There are some guys I value higher than most. Not sure if I get them, though. One QB I like more than anyone is Eli Manning. I'm not sure he's a top guy, but he puts up solid numbers and I think a new system could do him right, even if he has had some trouble catching on at first. After the top six QBs, I like Eli as much as anyone, so I'll likely end up with him. I think I can get him as late as round 13.

I also fully expect Michael Clayton to end up on my roster. After two disastrous seasons, I think Clayton has upside to move towards his sensational rookie season. I think I can get him as late as round 16.

Name up to three players you do not expect on your roster (you believe their value is significantly worse than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you want to avoid these players?

Anything can happen, but it looks like I value Vince Young less than most. As a USC fan, I should know better than to underestimate Young, I suppose, but I just don't think he has the weapons necessary to be a top ten fantasy QB.

Another guy I have rated lower than most is Maurice Jones-Drew. As long as Fred Taylor is healthy enough to play, I think it could limit MJD's impact. I think it will be hard for him to match his numbers from last year, especially his touchdowns.

Do you plan on invoking any handcuffs in this draft? If so, which handcuffs are you targeting and why?

I have no plans on targeting handcuffs. Most of the RB situations where a handcuff is discussed has been in RBBC situations, and I think a handcuff is less important in those cases anyway.

Assuming you don't draft Antonio Gates at TE, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first TE? What TE are you hoping to get?

If I can snag Kellen Winslow at round eight or later, I likely will. Otherwise, I will just try to make sure I get a top ten guy and will have to play that by ear.

Assuming you don't draft Peyton Manning, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first QB? What QB are you hoping to get?

I like Peyton's brother Eli more than most, and as I answered earlier he might be had as late as round 13. Others QBs I might get that have value play include Jake Delhomme and J.P. Losman.

What is your plan regarding bye week management?

I won't base my draft around bye weeks too much, although it's importance increases in a Survivor draft. When I have two or more guys ranked similarly, I will pick based on spreading their bye weeks around as much as possible.

What strategies will you employ because this is a Survivor Draft (best performances count, no trades, no waivers, percent eliminations per week, combined week scores, etc)?

The less question marks the better, especially as the draft progresses. I don't want unknowns as my backups unless I have more assured guys starting. I also like guys who put up consistent numbers and try to limit my fliers.

What round will you be targeting to draft your first defense?

As with everything, I will play it by ear. I have a few sleeper defenses that I am confident I can get very late.

Name two deep sleepers that are on your short-list to target in rounds 19-24. Why do you want these players?

First, as I mentioned earlier, is Michael Clayton. Here's a guy who had that huge rookie year and is still starting at this point. Another guy I like as a very deep sleeper is Samie Parker. Dwayne Bowe has been hurt and remains unsigned and Parker can make some nice catches. Parker could surprise.


David Dodds

How many players are you targeting at each of the positions. Why do you feel that this balance is optimal in this format?

I plan on taking 3 or 4 QBs, 6 RBs, 7 or 8 WRs, 2 TEs, 3 Defs and 2 PKs. I think that's the optimal mix. This could change if I secure some great talent at RB and WR. With bye weeks and no way to protect against injuries (due to no waivers, trades, etc), you have to field a very deep team at all positions. I think defensive scoring is so variable that I would like to get three of them as well.

Who/What positions are you targeting with your first four picks?

In a PPR league like this, I am really hoping to snag Brian Westbrook in the first round. I am looking to grab an elite receiver like Steve Smith, Torry Holt or Terrell Owens in the second, but wouldn't mind Clinton Portis here. In the third round I am pretty sure I will be targeting T.J. Houshmandzadeh (which is likely earlier than ADP, but think he could be a stud this year without Chris Henry to vulture TDs in the redzone). I would grab Benson in a heartbeat, but doubt he will slide to pick #30. I likely will be adding my second RB in the fourth, but again could go WR if the picks fall right. At the end of four rounds I expect to have two RBs and two WRs.

Name up to three players you expect to have on your roster (you believe their value is significantly better than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you desire these players? What pick will you try and draft them at?

  • T.J. Houshmandzadeh - third round (I am beginning to think he will be the leading receiver in Cincinnati this year. And at a fraction of the price of Chad Johnson, T.J. represents great value this year)
  • Tatum Bell - Seventh round (I don't expect Kevin Jones to be ready to go to start the year. I expect Tatum Bell gets some productive games and will represent great value in this format even in weeks where he shares carries due to his ability to break long runs)
  • Rex Grossman - Eleventh round (He had a lot of big games last year so I expect he could be very valuable in this format since I will not need to figure out which games he will be awful in)

Name up to three players you do not expect on your roster (you believe their value is significantly worse than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you want to avoid these players?

  • Peyton Manning - I know I will not take a QB in the first four rounds so he will be long gone. Manning is a great player, but I don't believe this format is won with an early QB selection.
  • Jamal Lewis - I think he is on his last legs and could be benched by midseason. I will let someone else overpay for him.
  • Tony Gonzalez - I think the Chiefs are going to struggle this year badly with Croyle under center. He will get picked way before I would ever consider hi (based on past achievements).

Do you plan on invoking any handcuffs in this draft? If so, which handcuffs are you targeting and why?

Yes the handcuff I am targeting is Adrian Peterson, Minnesota and Tatum Bell, Detroit (or Jerious Norwood, Atlanta). This isn't a standard handcuff, but my logic is that Tatum Bell or Jerious Norwood will get starter's production early and Peterson will finish the year strong. This total production could easily equal a solid RB2 for a fraction of the cost. I also am intrigued about locking up both Carolina WRs opposite of Steve Smith (Dwayne Jarrett and Drew Carter). I expect their combined stats to equal a top 30 WR for a fraction of the cost.

Assuming you don't draft Antonio Gates at TE, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first TE? What TE are you hoping to get?

I will be looking to grab my TE after 6 or six or seven have been picked. I like Witten and Cooley this year as solid players that can be drafted cheaply.

Assuming you don't draft Peyton Manning, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first QB? What QB are you hoping to get?

I will take my first QB between rounds seven and nine and will likely add another in round 10 or 11. This late in the draft I don't have any idea what QBs I will end up with. I expect to have among the weakest QBs in the league, but will combat that with quantity (I suspect I will have four QBs on my roster). Guys like Leftwich, Schaub, Favre, McNair, Green have a high probability of ending up on my team.

What is your plan regarding bye week management?

Not going to spend a lot of time worrying about this at all in the first six rounds of the draft. I will focus on weak areas based on who I select. I do want to cover all weeks solidly and will use the Draft Dominator to project my picks against the average pts per week to ensure no weeks put my team in danger of being eliminated. Given the choice I would rather have players with later bye weeks to take advantage of the amnesty rules and eliminations that span only one week.

What strategies will you employ because this is a Survivor Draft (best performances count, no trades, no waivers, percent eliminations per week, combined week scores, etc)?

I am going to target some erratic players that I know can put up great numbers from time to time. Someone like Jerricho Cotchery who will get a lot of targets could be huge the few games he actually scores a TD. Guys like Bernard Berrian who will catch a few long bombs a year, but will suffer from Rex Grossman's play on other weeks, are players that make a lot of sense. I also will be targeting players that I believe will be on the field each week. Upside rookies, back up players help in traditional leagues, but in this format I want the player who is always on the field. TD vultures (RBs brought in to punch in the two-yard TDs) also are more valued in this format as you only count the weeks they actually score.

What round will you be targeting to draft your first defense?

No sooner than round 13. Probably will look to grab my first defense around the 15th round.

Name two deep sleepers that are on your short-list to target in rounds 19-24. Why do you want these players?

  • WR Dwayne Jarrett, Car - I like the fact that Keyshawn Johnson's departure leaves a huge production gap on this team. I watched this person shine at USC and think he will do well in the NFL despite not being a very fast player.
  • RB Jerome Harrison, Cle - This is just a feeling, but I fully expect Jamal Lewis to be very bad by midseason. He couldn't get it done with a better offensive line in Baltimore and expect him to struggle mightily with the Browns. I expect Harrison will be given the chance to shine sometime this season.

Jeff Tefertiller

How many players are you targeting at each of the positions. Why do you feel that this balance is optimal in this format?

  • 2 QBs
  • 7 RBs
  • 8 WRs
  • 2 TEs
  • 2 PKs
  • 2 Defs

I hope to take two QBs in stable situations where the handcuff will not be needed. I see more turnover at RB this year and want to take an additional flyer at that position

Who/What positions are you targeting with your first four picks?

RB/WR/WR/RB Specifically: Parker or Westbrook from the 1.07 and Owens in second. In the third, I expect to take best WR available. In the fourth, I will look for a solid RB2 like Jacobs or Barber to be a part of RB2BC.

Name up to three players you expect to have on your roster (you believe their value is significantly better than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you desire these players? What pick will you try and draft them at?

What pick will you try and draft them at? Grossman (way undervalued and has some HUGE games), Crayton (I expect one of the Cowboy WRs to miss time), and Steve Heiden (I expect Winslow to recover slowly from the injury).

Name up to three players you do not expect on your roster (you believe their value is significantly worse than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you want to avoid these players?

Randy Moss (No faith in the guy and some LOVE him), Antonio Gates (Hard to recover from taking a TE early), and any Minny QB (no value there).

Do you plan on invoking any handcuffs in this draft? If so, which handcuffs are you targeting and why?

I will take some handcuffs depending on the RBs and WR2s I get. I am a believer though, especially in Survivor drafts. I plan on targeting the Jarrett/Drew Carter handcuff and maybe the Toomer/Steve Smith NYG) handcuffs for WRs. I suspect one of the WRs of the pair to emerge and want to have the bases covered.

Assuming you don't draft Antonio Gates at TE, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first TE? What TE are you hoping to get?

I will start looking in the seventh or eighth round - Daniels or Heath Miller are the targets.

Assuming you don't draft Peyton Manning, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first QB? What QB are you hoping to get?

I will start looking at QB in the eighth round or later - Big Ben or Favre are the primary targets for QB1.

What is your plan regarding bye week management?

Spread out the bye weeks for QB and WR mostly. Those positions are key to staying alive.

What strategies will you employ because this is a Survivor Draft (best performances count, no trades, no waivers, percent eliminations per week, combined week scores, etc)?

I will employ handcuffs, identify players who can have huge weeks, and look for stable situations.

What round will you be targeting to draft your first defense?

I will start looking at defense in the eleventh round or later.

Name two deep sleepers that are on your short-list to target in rounds 19-24. Why do you want these players?

I like Oakland, Green Bay, and Dallas as great DT2. Oakland played well last year in spots and could improve a large amount, Green Bay had some huge games last year, and Dallas has a good young defense. Dallas is a defense that goes underrated by most. If I take a DT2 a little earlier than the 19th round, it might be the Broncos. They have two very strong CBs and I expect some huge games from the this year.


Jason Wood

How many players are you targeting at each of the positions. Why do you feel that this balance is optimal in this format?

I think you have to remain flexible but it would certainly take a lot for me to draft more than two defenses or kickers, obviously. I could envision myself taking seven receivers to allocate to a fourth QB or a seventh RB but that would be suboptimal. Ideally, I will land three QBs, all who I forecast to start the entire season, six running backs, eight receivers, three tight ends, and two of each for Ds and Ks.

Who/What positions are you targeting with your first four picks?

I'm picking eighth overall so I'm reasonably confident I will get a RB in the first round. I don't see enough value in taking a QB or WR that early, but on the turn I could definitely envision a non-RB. Over the first four picks, I will either come away with 2RB+1QB+1WR OR 2RB+2WR almost assuredly.

Name up to three players you expect to have on your roster (you believe their value is significantly better than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you desire these players? What pick will you try and draft them at?

Since this is a staff league, a lot of the values won't be as blatant as what we've seen in the ADP results. But that said, based on where my projections most differ from the other staff, I could see myself ending up with: Tom Brady (I see him as a no brainer to outplay Bulger & Brees this year, no worse than QB3), Randy Moss (if he's not a top-6 wideout I will be shocked) and Isaac Bruce (stunning value, particularly in PPR leagues like this one).

Name up to three players you do not expect on your roster (you believe their value is significantly worse than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you want to avoid these players?

Peyton Manning certainly won't be. He's only finished QB1 once in his career (last year) and that was because of four rushing TDs; which won't happen again. With the surprise loss of LT Tarik Glenn, I don't see Manning finishing at QB1 and yet, I'm sure he'll be drafted within the first 8-15 picks. Other guys I'm not as high on include Clinton Portis (injury and splitting time with Betts), and Adrian Peterson (people always overdraft rookie RBs, particularly ones that are playing alongside a 1,200-yard rusher from a year ago).

Do you plan on invoking any handcuffs in this draft? If so, which handcuffs are you targeting and why?

A 24-round draft with Survivor rules certainly necessitates the willingness to handcuff. But I'm also of the belief that you don't pass up someone with substantially more full year value simply to lock up a handcuff. I could envision myself scooping up the Dallas RBBC (Jones and Barber) and/or the Jacksonville RBBC (Taylor and Jones-Drew) based on where I'm drafting and how my mock drafts have played out. In both cases, I feel confident that any of the four could be studly if their running mate got hurt, but even if they all remain healthy, each should have big weeks and contribute in this format.

Assuming you don't draft Antonio Gates at TE, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first TE? What TE are you hoping to get?

Ideally I would love to roster Vernon Davis and/or Chris Cooley. I think both offer solid value in PPR leagues this year. But whether I go out and grab them will be determined by how my first few rounds play out. I have seven tight ends that I put in the top two tiers (Gates is his own tier, and then I have another six guys) and if I got at least one of them, I would probably consider sticking with two TEs. But if I miss all seven (a distinct possibility), I would probably wait until later and pick up three middle-of-the-road contributors.

Assuming you don't draft Peyton Manning, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first QB? What QB are you hoping to get?

As I said earlier, I won't be drafting Peyton Manning. I would consider taking a QB in the second, but I'm actually targeting one of the top five falling to me in the third round. If Carson Palmer is on the board in the third, he's mine, but if he's gone, I will hope either Brady, Brees or Bulger are there in the fourth.

What is your plan regarding bye week management?

In the early rounds, it won't be a consideration because you have to roster elite talent. But I will be using the Draft Dominator and absolutely will be making sure I have no glaring bye week issues as I start rounding out my roster. One of the things I will do after the first four or five rounds is reset the weekly weightings to overvalue the early weeks (when someone gets eliminated each week) in order to allow for early bye weeks to be culled from my draft sheets where appropriate.

What strategies will you employ because this is a Survivor Draft (best performances count, no trades, no waivers, percent eliminations per week, combined week scores, etc)?

Since we're drafting in July, you KNOW there are going to be a handful of injuries that completely ruin someone's chances. There are also unsettled situations that you can't be as aggressive about because of the format. For example, you might think Brodie Croyle is a decent sleeper, but how can you draft him in this format unless you're committed to also taking Damon Huard? It puts a premium on players we know have certainty of playing time.

What round will you be targeting to draft your first defense?

We're using a really plain vanilla scoring system, where defenses don't even get points for yards allowed, nor are penalized for really terrible games. As a result, I won't even be thinking about defense until very late in the draft. With 12 teams drafting, it's going to be hard to imagine not getting a chance to roster two defenses no matter how long you wait. I will make sure to keep an eye on bye weeks though once half the defenses are off the board, you don't want to get stuck with two Ds that are either on the same bye or have byes early in the season.

Name two deep sleepers that are on your short-list to target in rounds 19-24. Why do you want these players?

RB Michael Pittman looks like real value in this format. Even if Cadillac can bounce back, Pittman will catch a bunch of passes and get some short yardage work. At WR, I like Reggie Williams to have a better season than his ADP projects. Deeper sleepers at the WR position include Malcolm Floyd; who I think could start in San Diego, Demetrius Williams in Baltimore; who could end up making Derrick Mason expendable with a good camp, and Patrick Crayton in Dallas; who could be a solid producer if TO or Glenn got hurt. Jermaine Wiggins catches 50+ passes each and every year it seems, and is basically viewed as undraftable right now, he would be a solid late, late round as my TE3.


Jeff Haseley

How many players are you targeting at each of the positions. Why do you feel that this balance is optimal in this format?

I am not going into this draft with a specific plan of a specific amount of positions that I will draft. With this draft being WCOFF scoring, meaning that all TDs are 6 pts and 1 pt per reception, I am going to draft based on the value that is available. With all roster spots earning points, I want to get the maximum amount of points out of all my players. If that means only drafting two TEs then so be it.

Who/What positions are you targeting with your first four picks?
If I can get any combination of two RBs and two WRs I'll be pretty happy. I likely will not take a QB unless I can get an upper tier fall to me late in the second round or early third round. Again, my plan is to get maximum value. If I have to sacrifice a position early, I would rather it be WR. There are always more WRs than RBs to grab in the middle rounds.

Name up to three players you expect to have on your roster (you believe their value is significantly better than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you desire these players? What pick will you try and draft them at?

I'm going to give you four, because I thought of another one while answering these questions.

  1. Jerious Norwood. Especially with the latest Warrick Dunn injury news. If I can get him in the late fourth or early fifth I'll be happy. Before the news of Dunn, he was going in the late fifth early sixth. I would be ecstatic if I can go RB, WR, RB, RB <---- Norwood. I am the ninth pick out of 12, so I may grab him with my fourth round pick. I think there's a lot of production to reveal itself in these fourth round RBs where most may be taking a WR. Ahman Green, Adrian Peterson, Deuce McAllister, Tatum Bell, etc. Lots of fourth round RBs
  2. Vince Young. In this scoring system where 1 pt per 10 yards rushing is alive and well, Vince Young is a great investment. He really impressed me last year and we all know what Donovan McNabb did in year number two. Tennessee, as mediocre as they were, in 2006 were still fighting for a playoff spot late in the season. If I have a good corps of WRs and RBs by the the time my pick at 7.09 comes around and Vince is still on the board, yeah I'll probably take him there.
  3. Kevin Curtis. If we're into round 10 or 11 and Kevin Curtis is still available, I will definitely take him. I think he can be a solid WR contributor on the Eagles and with their offense (2nd in total yds in 2006) he'll get his production. Other WRs that I want, but don't want to take too early include Jerricho Cotchery and Greg Jennings.
  4. Trent Green. He's currently the 24th or 25th QB being taken and that's just waaay to low for this guy. I would love to snag him in the late middle rounds, because he will, barring injury, play all 16 games. Some may say he won't be himself after that horrific concussion, but all you have to do is look at week 13 last season, after the injury, he passed for 297 yds and 4 TDs in a game against Kansas City. I think he'll be fine and he'll be great value in round 13 or 14.

Name up to three players you do not expect on your roster (you believe their value is significantly worse than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you want to avoid these players?

Joe Addai - He's getting too much love and he's never played a full season as the primary RB. Plus DeDe Dorsey is no slouch. I would not be surprised to see Addai be the bust of the top 10 RBs.

2. Shaun Alexander. I love his character, his attitude, his scoring ability, etc. However, something tells me last year was the downhill beginning of his career. We'll see as he could go either way, but I think the days of him rushing for 1500 yards with 18 TDs left with Steve Hutchinson's departure. Interesting how that correlates isn't it?

3. Arizona WRs - I really think Arizona is going to showcase the running game this year. Both Fitzgerald and Boldin won't have 10 TDs apiece, because I think it will be a stretch for Leinart to reach 20 TDs. The big guy to watch there is Edgerrin James, IMO. I should've mentioned him in the question above :bag:

Do you plan on invoking any handcuffs in this draft? If so, which handcuffs are you targeting and why?
I will probably not go for any handcuffs, simply because I want to get the most production out of my team as possible. If my player is on the bench, how is that going to help my production? Everyone is going to get injuries, but handcuffing in this format is like trying to pick which player gets injured or loses his job, etc.

Assuming you don't draft Antonio Gates at TE, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first TE? What TE are you hoping to get?

I would like to get Vernon Davis in the seventh or eighth round, but I doubt he will make it to the eighth round. We'll see. If I don't get him, I'll be happy with Shockey if he's available in the sixth or Heath Miller in the 12th.

Assuming you don't draft Peyton Manning, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first QB? What QB are you hoping to get?

Totally depends on who's available. If Carson Palmer is available in the third round he'll be difficult to pass. I very well may wait and wait and wait and grab Trent Green, who is only one season removed from being in the top ten in QB rankings for four years in a row. I could likely get Green in the 13th round and may do that anyway, regardless if I have a QB yet.

What is your plan regarding bye week management?

I will keep track of bye weeks, but if the value is there, I won't hesitate to grab the player I want.

What strategies will you employ because this is a Survivor Draft (best performances count, no trades, no waivers, percent eliminations per week, combined week scores, etc)?

Everyone on my team will count towards my total points every week, so I will grab players that may not be my favorite, but they will provide points week in and week out, especially later in the draft. Guys like Joe Horn or Muhsin Muhammad or Marty Booker will play every week and score points, which will add up in the long run. I'll take Marty Booker over guys like Robert Meachem or Anthony Gonzalez, simply because I know he'll be playing. I don't know for sure what those other higher risk players will do.

What round will you be targeting to draft your first defense?

I'd LOVE to get Green Bay as my defense. I think they are going to surprise people this year and I'll likely be able to grab them in round 15. I may take 'em in round 14 just to be sure. I don't think anyone else has the same thoughts about their team, but I could be wrong and it could cost me.

Name two deep sleepers that are on your short-list to target in rounds 19-24. Why do you want these players?

  1. Antonio Chatman, CIN. Either him or Tab Perry is going to be the WR3 on the Bengals and we all know what Chris Henry did in that role. The fact that Chris Henry will return after his 8 week suspension still concerns me, but still, everyone is forgetting about the WR3 in Cincy.
  2. Hank Baskett. He had two 100-yd receiving games last year with PHI, including a 177-yd effort in week 17 that gave him a chance to showcase his talent and prove to himself that he can be successful in the NFL.

Sigmund Bloom

How many players are you targeting at each of the positions. Why do you feel that this balance is optimal in this format?

  • 3 QBs
  • 6 RBs
  • 7 WRs
  • 2 TEs
  • 3 Ks
  • 3 DEF/STs

Defense and QB vary widely enough that even a weak third option can yield two or three starting weeks. Wide Receiver is the most likely position to get some flexworthy starts because of the point per reception, so it gets the biggest allotment. The added bonus for yardage also makes kickers worth three picks, because it increases the range of scores at the position - an extra shot at a top week is more valuable than a seventh RB or eighth WR. I plan on employing an RB2BC, so I'll need a sixth dart at the position, although that is a slot that could end up being dedicated to a player who just too good a value to pass up at another position.

Who/What positions are you targeting with your first four picks?

Three WRs and an RB - I expect to go WR/WR and then the best available RB in the third and WR in the fourth unless there's a WR that's too good to be true available in the third. There are seven, maybe eight RBs I would take at 1.10, but I don't expect to have the opportunity to take one. Steve Smith will likely be my first pick. I want a core of strong #1 WRs because I expect to start four weekly, and PPR inflates their worth. I don't want to aim to start an RB as flex because I see too much risk to take three RBs in the first 5-6 rounds and that's what it would take to have three that I could expect to start every week.

Name up to three players you expect to have on your roster (you believe their value is significantly better than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you desire these players? What pick will you try and draft them at?

  • Vince Young - 9/10 turn - He will have some huge games with his rushing ability, and he can be mitigated by the other QBs in his off weeks.
  • Vernon Davis - 9/10 turn - He's got tremendous physical talent and his role creates top 5 upside. Davis is also most likely TE to break a long TD in any given week, a nice quality in a survivor league.
  • Brandon Marshall - 11/12 turn - I'm predicting a breakout as Denver's new WR2, he's got the run after catch ability to break long TDs, as we saw him do on a 71 yard catch and run against Seattle.

Name up to three players you do not expect on your roster (you believe their value is significantly worse than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you want to avoid these players?

  • Randy Moss - Some see him as a WR1, I'm sure he'll be gone before I'd consider him, Tom Brady spreads the ball around too much, and there's too much risk that Moss can not attain his old dominant form.
  • Peyton Manning - 4 pts per passing TD reduces the point span at QB and the survivor format makes it easy to come close to his output with three starters.
  • Kellen Winslow - Outlook too iffy with microfracture surgery.

Do you plan on invoking any handcuffs in this draft? If so, which handcuffs are you targeting and why?

I may target RBBC partners for mid round RBs I select, but I will only take handcuffs where the backup is clear and talented enough to produce the majority of the starter's points if they are pressed into action.

Assuming you don't draft Antonio Gates at TE, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first TE? What TE are you hoping to get?

Vernon Davis at the 9/10 turn. If I don't get Davis, I'll be hoping for Chris Cooley or Jason Witten.

Assuming you don't draft Peyton Manning, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first QB? What QB are you hoping to get?

Vince Young at the 9/10 turn. If I don't get Young, I'll be hoping for Tony Romo, or BQA, but I'll have at least one after the 9/10 turn.

What is your plan regarding bye week management?

I won't have bye week overlap at TE, DEF or K, and will aim to not be choosing from less than four RBs and five WRs in any given week. I may have two of my three QBs share a bye if the value available dictates it.

What strategies will you employ because this is a Survivor Draft (best performances count, no trades, no waivers, percent eliminations per week, combined week scores, etc)?

I will not spend on a top seven or eight QB unless they are a tremendous value because three mediocre QBs can easily equal a #1 in survivor. I will also cobble together a committee for RB2 of role players who will hopefully take turns having 8-10 point weeks, and instead invest heavily in WR early. I will focus on big play WRs late.

What round will you be targeting to draft your first defense?

If the Bears last until the 11/12 turn, I'll think about taking them. Same with the Ravens at 15/16, but I'll likely take three defenses in the 17-22 range of teams. I will use the third defense to mitigate not having a "stud" defense.

Name two deep sleepers that are on your short-list to target in rounds 19-24. Why do you want these players?

  • DeDe Dorsey - backup to a starter who had trouble staying healthy in college, plus the Colts want to run a two back system like last year, so he could post a few startable weeks on RBBC touches alone in that offense.
  • Tab Perry -Perry got off to a good start last year before getting hurt, and he's the early leader for the #3 job vacated by Chris Henry (at least for the first half of the year). He's got decent speed and a huge frame, and the Bengals still don't have a great receiving RB or TE, so the #3 will have a big role.

David Yudkin

How many players are you targeting at each of the positions. Why do you feel that this balance is optimal in this format?

Heading in to things, I'm leaning towards 3 QBs, 6 RBs, 9 WRs, 2 TEs, 2 Defs, and 2 PKs although I doubt I am 100% committed to that breakdown. I suspect that adding another QB or RB won't help all that much because there are a limited number of NFL starters at those positions and almost anyone added late in the draft will be handcuffs or pure flyers. There are probably enough NFL wide receivers to go three deep (or more) per NFL team so there will still be guys that will see the field in the late rounds at WR. This probably is a tried and true strategy and really isn't covering any new ground.

Who/What positions are you targeting with your first four picks?

If this were a "normal"league, I would probably take Peyton Manning if he were there at the 11th overall pick. However, he probably loses some value in this format because of the best ball scoring system so I doubt he's a consideration that early. I most likely will take three RBs and a WR or two RBs and two WRs through four rounds. I suppose it will depend on which RBs fall and if I like the options.

Name up to three players you expect to have on your roster (you believe their value is significantly better than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you desire these players? What pick will you try and draft them at?

Based on who I think will be available at my draft spot and the subsequent way things may play out, I will try to get Reggie Bush if he falls in Round One (doubtful as it may be). His receptions alone make him worth a first round pick. I would guess that the corps of RB I would want the most will be gone and they may leave a series of merely decent options with a fair amount of question marks (Henry, Maroney, Portis, MJD, etc.). Given that I am fairly certain that I will add WRs late, I'm almost committed to going RB-RB. As for later mid to late round picks, I think Lamont Jordan and Ronald Curry are flying a bit under the radar on a Raiders offense that can only get better, Chris Cooley put up Gates-line numbers with Campbell at QB last year, and Trent Green offers little risk 200 picks into the draft.

Name up to three players you do not expect on your roster (you believe their value is significantly worse than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you want to avoid these players?

I doubt that I'll even consider Vince Young, DeAngelo Williams, or Larry Fitzgerald. Given the rankings by other member staff members in the league on these guys, I'm pretty confident that someone will grab them way before I would consider them. That's the intriguing part about this sort of draft. There will be someone out of the 12 of us that will jump on someone way earlier than the others and finding the guys that slip threw the cracks could be the difference between winning and losing.

Do you plan on invoking any handcuffs in this draft? If so, which handcuffs are you targeting and why?

I may have tried to get Jerious Norwood and Warrick Dunn at 6.11/7.02 if they are there but given Dunn's recent surgery that won't be an option. If I end up with Jones-Drew it seems like a safe bet that I'd target Taylor several rounds later. I doubt I will have any of the true RB studs to have to worry about getting their handcuffs, so that question may not fit well for my team.

Assuming you don't draft Antonio Gates at TE, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first TE? What TE are you hoping to get?

I'd be happy with Cooley, Davis, or Witten in the eighth or ninth. I will also look to pick up David Martin or Eric Johnson pretty late.

Assuming you don't draft Peyton Manning, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first QB? What QB are you hoping to get?
Given the best ball format and deep rosters, I am not all that concerned about who I get provided that I get three NFL starters. I probably will take 1-2 QB in the 7th to 10th rounds.

What is your plan regarding bye week management?

Take whomever I want when I want early and fill in the blanks with later round picks. I probably wouldn't take my first two picks from the same position with the same bye weeks, but other than that if a few players double up I won't care all that much.

What strategies will you employ because this is a Survivor Draft (best performances count, no trades, no waivers, percent eliminations per week, combined week scores, etc)?

Players that see a lot of action (even with so-so production) will trump players that will sit on the bench and will need help to get in the starting lineup. IMO, that means taking a RB or QB handcuff uses up a roster spot that likely won't pay any dividends. That's where having more starting RBs will come into play and picking up WRs late will be a big boost. You can still expect something out of the #90 WR but you can't expect much out of the #90 RB.

What round will you be targeting to draft your first defense?

I doubt I'll invest in the Bears or Ravens unless I feel my team has a bunch of consistent scorers but not many big scorers. Defenses generally vary from year to year, so there is no guarantee that either of them will be as solid again this season any. I'll probably wait until other teams collectively have taken 6-8 defenses before I'll start thinking about taking one. Last year, the scoring differential among the middle 15 defenses was only one or two points per game. I'm not sure at that point it will matter all that much which defenses will be drafted and in what order as their scoring should be in the same ballpark.

Name two deep sleepers that are on your short-list to target in rounds 19-24. Why do you want these players?

David Martin and Patrick Crayton come to mind. Martin is in a great spot to do far better than expected and Crayton has already ranked far better than his ADP indicates. Priest Holmes is another player that could be worth exploring with not much riding on a late, late pick.


Marc Levin

How many players are you targeting at each of the positions. Why do you feel that this balance is optimal in this format?

I am not targeting specific numbers. Every year I end up with something I did not expect in the first few rounds, be it bye weeks problems, or only one RB in the first five rounds, etc. To compensate. I target additional players at the position of weakness with a "shotgun" approach to covering my early draft weakness. Thus, I could end up with any number of players at any position.

Who/What positions are you targeting with your first four picks?
Again, I do not target positions or players in a survivor draft. I draft for value up top and then shotgun an approach to covering any weakness. Since I am at an end, however, it is highly likely (almost a certainty) I will have two RBs and two WRs in the first four rounds or three RBs and one WR.

Name up to three players you expect to have on your roster (you believe their value is significantly better than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you desire these players? What pick will you try and draft them at?

  • Brett Favre - Not sure where I will get him as my QB2, but I bet I will. I usually draft two QBs back to back in the 7th/8th/9th area, and I am willing to bet he is there as one of my QBs. He is a rock and has been consistently passed over for poorer fantasy options.
  • Donald Driver - See above, and I think he could fall to the bottom of the third/top of the fourth. I expect him to cost my fourth round pick, however.

Name up to three players you do not expect on your roster (you believe their value is significantly worse than where they will likely be drafted). Why do you want to avoid these players?

I know Peyton Manning will not be on my roster - drafting from an end in survivor format, he simply has little value at the first turn and will never be around at the second turn.

Other than that, I can not eliminate anyone - drafting from an end is tough in survivor. No player is under or over valued because there is too much drop between picks and these drafters in this league are way too good to allow significant value to fall the 20 or so picks it would take for a player to have both great over/under value and be available when I draft.

Do you plan on invoking any handcuffs in this draft? If so, which handcuffs are you targeting and why?

Not targeting, but if I get Kevin Jones, I will look for Tatum Bell. If I get Chester Taylor, I will look to get Adrian Peterson. From experience, though, I know that this group rarely allows such handcuffs to happen.

Assuming you don't draft Antonio Gates at TE, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first TE? What TE are you hoping to get?

At the 7th/8th turn or 9th/10th turn. I am at an end, so I will be looking at QBs and my first TE in those rounds. This year, the field is wide open at TE, so I am not hoping for any specific player. If I had to choose, I guess LJ Smith would be my choice due to his target numbers.

Assuming you don't draft Peyton Manning, what round will you be targeting to pick up your first QB? What QB are you hoping to get?

Drafting from an end, I will be looking for two QBs of relatively equal value in the seventh through tenth rounds. I have no specific QBs in mind, but seeing Hasselbeck fall to the seventh would be really nice, and I plan to take Brett Favre as my QB2.

What is your plan regarding bye week management?
I usually draft for value in the first four or five rounds and then take a shotgun approach at any bye weakness. This year, however, I will be more conscious of my early draftees' bye weeks. I will not avoid a valuable early round selection, but it might be a deciding factor between relatively equal prospects.

What strategies will you employ because this is a Survivor Draft (best performances count, no trades, no waivers, percent eliminations per week, combined week scores, etc)?

In survivor formats, I look for my high drafted players and my top K and D to have either early season byes or late season byes (when weeks are combined). There is a greater chance of survival that way since there are better odds of not being the lowest scoring team in those weeks. I also look to load up at late drafted WRs and b/u RBs since those "surprise" players are often what win you a given week.

What round will you be targeting to draft your first defense?

Very late in the draft. I usually wait until five or six are taken and then I draft the best one available. I then wait for the last couple of rounds to draft my b/u defense.

Name two deep sleepers that are on your short-list to target in rounds 19-24. Why do you want these players?

  • Peerless Price, Buffalo - Lee Evans can't do it all, the team has very little in the way of running experience, and JP Losman blossomed last year.
  • DeDe Dorsey - If he falls that far. Why would the Super Bowel champs change a strategy that worked (which was playing both RBs a significant amount)? Plus, if Addai breaks down at all, Dorsey will be huge.