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Value Plays (IDP)
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Posted 8/2 by Aaron Rudnicki, Jene Bramel, Bob Magaw, Sigmund Bloom, Shawn Culcasi, and Dave Baker
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In an attempt to give you more information to dominate your IDP leagues, we
went through every single team in the league and picked out some players that
we think are currently being overvalued or undervalued by the fantasy community
in general. We primarily focused on their prospects for this upcoming season,
but most IDP leagues use a dynasty or keeper format so these selections could
also be applied there as well. In addition to highlighting the players who are
most likely to underperform or overperform this year, we also picked out a deep
sleeper for each team. Those are players that you don't necessarily need to
pick up right now, but are probably worth keeping an eye on as they could develop
into fantasy starters at some point down the road. Good luck this year, and
feel free to post any IDP-related questions you have on our IDP Forum at http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index.php?showforum=31
and we'll do our best to answer them or at least point you in the right direction.
AFC EAST
Buffalo Bills
Overvalued: SS Donte Whitner
The Bills surprised a lot of people when they took Whitner with the 8th overall
draft pick. He's expected to take over for Lawyer Milloy at SS, but the team
also has an experienced veteran in place with Matt Bowen so the team could choose
to bring him along slowly. Not only will Whitner have to compete for playing
time, but he'll also have a lot of competition for tackles once he gets on the
field. The Bills have one of the league's best LB tandems playing in front of
him with London Fletcher and Takeo Spikes, and they also have two very capable
tacklers at the CB spot in Nate Clements and Terrence McGee. The Bills new defense
should also give more coverage responsibility to the SS than the Bills old system
did, which means fewer chances to come up and support the run.
Undervalued: LB Takeo Spikes
Like most players coming back from a serious injury, Spikes is likely to be
undervalued by a lot of people this year. Part of the reason is that people
will be concerned about the Achilles injury and whether he will still have the
same explosiveness he had before the injury. All reports indicate that he should
be back to 100% when training camp opens though so there is reason for optimism.
The other reason to be optimistic regarding Spikes this year is the new Bills
defense, which will put him in a position to make a ton of plays. The WLB in
the Tampa 2 often winds up leading the team in tackles while also getting plenty
of chances to make plays. Spikes is an excellent tackler and is perhaps the
Bills best playmaker so if he's healthy, he could certainly be in for a top-10
type of season.
Deep sleeper: LB Angelo Crowell
With the return of Takeo Spikes this year, his understudy Crowell has now become
an afterthought for most IDP owners. There is a decent chance, however, that
he could take over the starting job on the strong side from Jeff Posey in the
Bills new defense. Additionally, if Spikes has any type of setback in his recovery,
Crowell is the person most likely to benefit. In that scenario, he could be
moved back to the WLB job that helped him finish as a top-20 LB last year, and
could also open up a spot in the team's nickel package for him as well. The
Bills signed Crowell to a 3-year contract extension this offseason so he is
clearly in their long-term plans.
Miami Dolphins
Overvalued: LB Zach Thomas
Thomas has been one of the best and most productive MLBs since entering the
league in 1996. Over a 10-year career, he's averaged 89 solo tackles and 53
assists per season. He's also coming off the most productive season he's had
since his rookie year. But, Thomas will be 33 years old when the season begins
and has been showing signs of wearing down in recent years. He's missed 5 games
over the past two years and his split stats also show a decline in production
as the year goes on. He's undoubtedly a warrior who will play through most types
of injuries, but a drop-off in production is going to happen at some point.
Better to get away from him one year too soon than to hold onto him one year
too long.
Undervalued: S Renaldo Hill
Hill finished with a very impressive 75 solo tackles last year while playing
a type of CB/S hybrid position for the Raiders. He doesn't have great size at
5'11", 190 pounds but he's a physical player and a solid tackler with the
range to make a lot of plays. The Dolphins signed him this offseason to take
over one of their safety spots and there appears to be a decent chance that
he could be the starting SS when the season starts. Nick Saban prefers safeties
who are athletic, smart, and can cover over big, strong hitters who play up
in the box so Hill could be a great fit. He should put up similar tackle numbers
but an increase in interceptions (had 5 in 2003) could easily push him up into
the top-30 fantasy DBs.
Deep sleeper: CB Will Poole
Poole drew comparisons to Antoine Winfield when he entered the league due to
his physical style of play and tackling ability. After spending his rookie year
on the bench, he had a good chance to claim a starting job in 2005 but suffered
a torn ACL during minicamp and missed the entire season. This year, he'll likely
be a backup to either Will Allen or Travis Daniels, but he could see regular
playing time if he wins the nickel back job and would see a big bump in value
if one of the starters went down with an injury.
New England Patriots
Overvalued: LB Tedy Bruschi
Bruschi is an easy player to like because he plays with a lot of passion and
always seems to come up with a big play when his team needs it the most. But,
as is the case with most players who rely on big plays, his production from
week to week can be inconsistent. Bruschi is also 33 years old and coming off
a year that saw him miss half the season while recovering from a stroke, so
he could decide to retire if any more health problems arise. Lastly, it is somewhat
unclear who will start next to him at the other ILB spot, and he could wind
up having to play more conservatively if that player struggles.
Undervalued: DL Richard Seymour
Even though he has gone to four Pro Bowls, is in the prime of his career, and
is widely regarded as one of the best defensive players in the league, Seymour's
value is at an all-time low. He missed a few games in each of the past two years
with injuries and his fantasy production has been somewhat underwhelming. Prior
to those two seasons, however, he was a top-30 fantasy DL and if he can stay
healthy he has a decent chance to return to that level.
Deep sleeper: CB Ellis Hobbs
The Patriots have gone through a ton of cornerbacks in recent years but Hobbs
looks like he's going to be around for awhile. He took over a starting job midway
through his rookie season and still managed to tie for the team lead in interceptions
with 3. Hobbs doesn't have great size or speed but he's a good zone defender
and a willing run defender. He may not ever become a top-30 type fantasy DB,
but he has a chance to develop into a solid depth player who can contribute
to your team as situational starter.
New York Jets
Overvalued: LB Jonathan Vilma
Few linebackers have entered the league with as much hype as Vilma, who drew
comparisons to Ray Lewis at the same stage of their careers. He managed to live
up to the hype too, leading the league in tackles during just his second year
in the league and finishing as the #1 highest scoring IDP in most scoring systems.
This year, however, things are changing considerably in New York and Vilma is
likely to see a production drop-off as a result. New head coach Eric Mangini
plans to implement a hybrid 3-4/4-3 defense like the one the Patriots have used
for the past few years. The Jets are lacking a true NT and Vilma is somewhat
undersized to play ILB in a 3-4, so he could have a hard time fighting through
traffic and chasing down plays.
Undervalued: LB Eric Barton
Barton finished as a top-20 fantasy linebacker every year from 2002 to 2004,
but wound up missing nearly the entire 2005 season with an ankle injury and
torn triceps muscle. Unlike other players recovering from a torn ACL or other
serious injury, he's expected to be 100% when training camp opens. He's being
undervalued this year because of the injury and also because of some uncertainty
over where he will play in the new Jets defense. Most likely, he will continue
to man the WLB spot when they use a 4-3 front but will move inside next to Vilma
in the 3-4. Regardless, he should be a 3-down linebacker once again and has
a realistic chance to finish top-30 once again.
Deep sleeper: CB Justin Miller
Miller is a very talented player who the Jets were fortunate to get in the
2nd round of last year's draft. He has decent size, great speed, and is a very
aggressive CB who should compete for a starting job this year. Although David
Barrett has been a solid fantasy CB in recent years, he's nothing special as
a player and none of the other CBs on the Jets roster have the potential that
Miller has. Showed flashes during the playing time he got last year and should
show further improvement this year. Can also contribute as a return specialist.
AFC NORTH
Baltimore Ravens
Overvalued: OLB Adalius Thomas
Thomas had a career season in 2005 with 71 solo tackles and nine sacks. While
some of his increased production was due to a more favorable defensive scheme,
his increased tackle output was very likely the result of an early season injury
to Ray Lewis. He'll remain a solid option in most leagues this season, but don't
expect another top 20 season.
Undervalued: MLB Ray Lewis
At first glance, marking Ray Lewis as undervalued is silly. But value is a
relative term, and a healthy Lewis could well be a lock to put up 100 plus solo
tackles and a handful of big plays. Concerns about his age, recent injury history,
and surrounding cast have dropped him out of the top ten backers on many draft
sheets this summer. Lewis should provide excellent value if he's still available
to you after ten linebackers come off the board.
Deep sleeper: S Dawan Landry
A fifth round draft pick this offseason, Landry is a 6'2", 215 lb aggressive,
in-the-box run support safety who could be a perfect fit in the Ravens scheme.
Landry has only replacement level veterans Gerome Sapp and B.J. Ward to beat
out in the competition for the starter's role in 2006. Expect him to win the
job by midseason if not much sooner.
Cincinnati Bengals
Overvalued: CB Deltha O'Neal
Don't make the mistake of reaching for O'Neal early this year. Most of his
top ten production in 2005 came from his ten interceptions and twenty passes
defended. He's never been particularly impressive in run support and is unlikely
to be tested frequently this season opposite an aging Tory James or greenhorns
Keiwan Ratliff or Jonathan Joseph. Let someone else assume the risk. Honorable
mention: MLB Odell Thurman - Careful about paying top dollar for Thurman in
redraft leagues. He'll miss the first five weeks of the regular season to a
four week substance abuse suspension and the Bengals' bye week. He should return
to solid production by midseason, but isn't worth a premium investment in redraft
formats.
Undervalued: FS Madieu Williams
Williams may be an afterthought in some leagues after a shoulder injury robbed
him of much of his sophomore season. Before his injury, Williams was a dual
threat as a fantasy defensive back - plenty of tackles in run support and the
coverage skills to dent the boxscores with picks and passes defended. His role
may change some with the addition of Dexter Jackson this offseason, but he still
be around the ball frequently and will likely outperform his current ADP. Honorable
mention: LB Brian Simmons - Simmons is in line to benefit the most from Thurman's
suspension. Simmons is a solid veteran who has some experience playing the middle
and a knack for making the big play. He'll be a solid play for the first month
of the season.
Deep sleeper: LB Ahmad Brooks
Brooks fell out of favor in 2005 after a number of off-field issues and ballooning
to near 300 pounds before slimming down for his pre-supplemental draft workouts.
However, Brooks was an absolute stud at UVA in 2004, a 260 pound phenom with
a freakish combination of size and speed at ILB. It isn't clear how the Bengals
plan to use him in their future plans, but if he regains his earlier form he
could become a fantasy stud. If he proves himself in training camp, it's not
inconceivable that he could win the MLB role and never give it back.
Cleveland Browns
Overvalued: DE Orpheus Roye
Roye had a career season in 2005 with 65 solo tackles and 5 sacks. Roye is
a perfect fit as a 3-4 defensive end, but isn't a good bet to repeat that tackle
production, especially as the Browns' team defense improves. He will still be
worth rostering in 2005, but is a longshot to finish in the top twelve again.
Honorable mention: OLB Willie McGinest/Kamerion Wimbley - Unless you play in
a league that rewards sacks more highly than tackles, neither OLB in Cleveland
will be worth starting.
Undervalued: S Brodney Pool
Pool moves into a starting role this season alongside solid, but unspectacular
veteran Brian Russell. He is every bit as talented as Nick Collins and Josh
Bullocks, two other safeties from last season's draft class who put up very
good numbers as rookies. Now that he has the opportunity, Pool should put up
similar numbers and will probably be available much later in your drafts.
Deep sleeper: LB D'Qwell Jackson
Jackson will start out in the less productive RILB role in Romeo Crennel's
hybrid 3-4 defense, but could provide some big plays while he learns the system.
Should anything happen to Andra Davis or the team decides Jackson is the better
fit at LILB, Jackson has unlimited potential. Honorable mention: S Sean Jones
- Although he's not been able to crack the lineup (recovering from a knee injury,
learning the playbook) in two seasons, Jones could still unseat Brian Russell
and bump Brodney Pool to free safety. Jones could have sneaky good value in
the strong safety position.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Overvalued: SS Troy Polamalu
Polamalu is being ranked by many as one of the top 2 or 3 fantasy DBs this
year, but he only finished last season ranked 16th. He's an excellent player
and a huge part of the Steelers defense, but his production can be pretty inconsistent.
There were 6 weeks last year in which he finished with 4.5 or fewer fantasy
points and his 3 sacks all came in week 2 vs Houston. In order to come close
to living up to where he is being valued, he'll need to dramatically improve
his tackle numbers and get back to the 5 interception level that he reached
in 2004. Polamalu is one of the few defensive players around the league that
offenses actually try to scheme around, which limits his upside.
Undervalued: CB Ike Taylor
Taylor put up numbers very similar to Polamalu last year, but his value these
days is much lower simply because of the fact that he plays CB instead of SS.
His numbers faded a bit in the second half of the season but he clearly emerged
as the #1 CB for the Steelers and had 3 games with 9 or more solo tackles. Steelers
CBs have a history of being good fantasy producers because they play a lot of
zone defense in the 3-4 and get plenty of chances to support against the run.
Taylor finished as a top-20 CB last year despite only collecting 1 interception.
If he improves in that area, he actually has a chance to outproduce Polamalu
at a fraction of the price.
Deep Sleeper: FS Anthony Smith
Smith was a 3rd round pick of the Steelers, but they have high expectations
for him. He's a smart player who will get a chance to compete for the FS spot
that was vacated by Chris Hope. Ryan Clark is the projected starter and is a
good all-around safety, but Smith is probably the future of the position. While
playing FS last year, Hope finished as the #25 ranked fantasy DB. Smith won't
reach that level this year, but he could be a nice pickup late in the season
or a guy to stash on your dynasty roster for later. Polamalu is so good in coverage
that he doesn't always play up in the box like a typical SS, which creates more
run stopping opportunities for the FS in Pittsburgh.
AFC SOUTH
Houston Texans
Overvalued: LB Sam Cowart
Sam Cowart is a fine player and if he can remain healthy, he could put up some
solid numbers for the Texans this year. The problem is, injuries have always
followed Cowart and in recent mini-camps, minor injuries prevented Cowart from
getting the time on the field one might think is necessary to hold onto the
starting job in a new environment. Waiting in the wings is not only veterans
Wali Rainier and Kailee Wong (himself also rehabbing from injury) but rookie
high draft pick DeMeco Ryans. With Cowart's increasing age and inability to
stay healthy, he might be overvalued in some drafts.
Undervalued: LB Morlon Greenwood
The general feeling out there seems to be that Morlon Greenwood will not be
the starter opening day, let alone the entire season. He is not the fastest
or most skilled player and younger players such as rookie DeMeco Ryans best
Greenwood in those areas, including abilities as a playmaker. But Greenwood
should not be overlooked. He's a student of the game and has a tremendous work
ethic. He's going back to his more natural position this year as a weakside
linebacker in a 4-3 defense. And he's coming off a career year as a top 30 LB.
Ryans is his only challenge as a starter, and while Ryans is very capable, he's
still just a rookie and he also might play in the middle. Keep close tabs on
this one as camps bear out, but Greenwood could be a steal.
Deep sleeper: SS Glenn Earl
Glenn Earl's biggest problem has been staying on the field. He's missed ten
games in his first two NFL seasons with varying knee, shoulder and hip injuries.
But when he's healthy, Earl has shown the skills to be a top producer. This
has been his first offseason where he's been able to take part in all of the
camps healthy. He's got the size and mentality to excel in run support and his
speed and quickness make him more than capable in coverage. He's a physical
player who reads the plays well. If Earl can stay on the field, he could surprise
many with his numbers.
Indianapolis Colts
Overvalued: S Bob Sanders
There's a lot to like about Bob Sanders, as the third year player excels in
run support and hits like a truck. He made the pro bowl last year. But far too
many people have Sanders rated near the top and to this point he has not proven
enough to be up there. In just over a year's worth of NFL games, Sanders still
does not have a sack and he only has one interception and one forced fumble.
And while he's capable of big tackle numbers, he sometimes disappears from games
and had four or less tackles in six games in 2005. In order to reach that next
step, he needs to make more plays on the field. Until then, he might be close
to top 30 than top 15.
Undervalued: DE Robert Mathis
Although Mathis is getting increased attention by many in the IDP community,
he still remains underrated. He has 22 sacks in his last 24 games and was a
top ten defensive linemen in most IDP leagues last year. He had 56 total tackles
in just 13 games last year and expanding his numbers to 16 games would have
made him the top-scoring lineman. With a league-high eight forced fumbles, Mathis
established himself as a top playmaker. Because of this, the Colts are now making
him a starter and have declared that he'll be on the field much more frequently
in 2006. With Dwight Freeney opposite him, teams can't concentrate on Mathis.
With Mathis on the field more, expect more tackles and more fantasy points.
If he can stay healthy (a high order for the undersized and oft-injured Mathis),
there's no reason he won't increase his numbers from last year and at the very
least duplicate them.
Deep sleeper: CB Marlin Jackson
Marlin Jackson is a very talented player who was drafted in the first round
in 2005. At this very moment, Jackson remains a backup. But he is far too talented
to not see a bigger piece of the pie this season. He had a solid rookie season
with 43/15 tackles and an interception. At one time, it was thought he would
move to safety and possibly supplant Mike Doss, but recent news from Indy suggests
that this won't happen anytime soon. Regardless, Jackson will see an increase
in playing time and could beat out either the veteran Nick Harper or overachieving,
diminutive Jason David. Jackson is a physical player who brings the kind of
size and strength at corner missing in recent years. The Indy cover two defense
has allowed their corners to contribute and one who plays as well as Jackson
in run support could put up some very nice numbers.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Overvalued: DE Reggie Hayward
Reggie Hayward was a free agent signee by the Jaguars last season, coming off
two solid seasons at Denver as a pass-rushing specialist. But Hayward was a
bit of a disappointment last year, especially to his IDP owners, as, despite
increased playing time, his tackle and sack numbers dropped off considerably.
Hayward is a liability against the run and could see less time on non-passing
downs because of it. Bigger offensive linemen manhandle him. Too many IDP owners
are entranced by his pass-rushing skills and value him too greatly.
Undervalued: CB Rashean Mathis
Rashean Mathis, at 25 years old, is coming into his own as a Jaguar cornerback.
He's started every game of his NFL career and makes plays all over the field.
With ten interceptions in the last two years, Mathis excels while the ball is
in the air and has great hands. He's also an excellent tackler in run support.
In leagues that must start a CB, he should be considered as # 1 quality. He
has excellent size for the position and has virtually no danger of losing his
starting job.
Deep sleeper: LB Clint Ingram
Most of the talk about the linebacking opening after Akin Ayodele's departure
has been on veteran Nick Griesen and Pat Thomas, but don't be too shocked if
rookie Clint Ingram comes in and steals the job. Ingram, drafted in the third
round, is a great athlete with the kind of speed and playmaking abilities to
make an immediate impact. Jack Del Rio is not afraid to start a rookie, so the
situation merits close scrutiny when training camps kick into gear.
Tennessee Titans
Overvalued: DE Kyle Vanden Bosch
There's a lot to like about Kyle Vanden Bosch, especially after his breakout
season of 2005. He was highly touted coming out of college but injuries kept
him out of almost half of his first two seasons. Even when healthy, Vanden Bosch
rarely got to the QB. Were his 12.5 sacks last year a fluke, or should we expect
more of the same this year? A little of both, but I think opponents will be
better prepared to combat Vanden Bosch this year and he will see earlier double
teams. We witnessed this to some extent as he did not record a sack in his last
three games. He's also recovering from offseason shoulder surgery. Look for
decreased sack numbers for Vanden Bosch in 2006.
Undervalued: DE Travis LaBoy
With opponents worrying more about Kyle Vanden Bosch this season, it could
mean a breakout of sorts for Travis LaBoy. A second round pick in 2004, LaBoy
has progressed nicely. He had 6.5 sacks last year and more importantly showed
the ability to play against the run in the second half of the season. He's already
been anointed the starter, something that did not happen in previous offseasons,
and the team believes he can be a three down player. It's within reason for
LaBoy to get double-digit sacks and become a top 25 DL.
Deep sleeper: LB Stephen Tulloch
Tulloch was a fourth round pick in this year's draft and his speed and tackling
skills make him an ideal fit for the MLB spot. He has great instincts and understands
the game. Peter Sirmon is currently on top the depth chart, but he has rarely
played in the middle and at first requested a trade when the team acquired David
Thornton. Also, Sirmon is scheduled to make $2.4 million as his base salary
this year. If Tulloch plays well in camp, they might promote him. And if they
are any injuries elsewhere at LB, they'll likely move Sirmon to the outside
and start Tulloch in the middle. Although the team does not want to rush Tulloch,
they are very high on him. Keep your eyes on this one.
AFC WEST
Denver Broncos
Overvalued: CB Champ Bailey
Bailey had a career season last year, totaling eight interceptions, 23 passes
defended, and two touchdowns. He's highly unlikely to repeat those numbers and
was never more than a marginal roster candidate in the three seasons before
2005. Let someone else take the risk that Bailey won't slide back into fantasy
obscurity in 2006.
Undervalued: WLB Ian Gold
In his last two healthy seasons as a Bronco (2002 and 2005), Gold has produced
LB3 or better quality numbers. He's routinely available at the back end of drafts.
He's the best nickel backer the Broncos have, so he'll retain excellent value
as depth in all leagues.
Deep sleeper: DE Elvis Dumervil
A lot of things will have to break right for Dumervil to have any real fantasy
value. But it's always worth having a guy who totaled 20 sacks, 10 forced fumbles,
and multiple college defensive awards on your radar. There are no reliable pass
rushers on the Denver roster and it is possible that Dumervil could have an
impact if he and the coaching staff find a creative way to use his pass rushing
skills.
Kansas City Chiefs
Overvalued: SS Sammy Knight
Depending on your league, Knight could be way overvalued or somewhat undervalued.
The current speculation is that Knight may lose his starting SS job to rookie
Bernard Pollard early this season. But there's been no official confirmation
of that yet. If Knight is available late into your draft, he still represents
good value. But with the depth at defensive back this season, he's not a good
gamble. If he loses the job, he's unlikely to get it back and he's unlikely
to end up in anywhere close to as nice a situation as his current one.
Undervalued: SS Bernard Pollard
As noted above, Pollard seems to be close to overtaking Sammy Knight sooner
than expected. The Kansas City strong safety position has been one of the most
productive fantasy spots at defensive back over recent years, and should be
no different under Herm Edwards. Pollard is almost certainly available deep
into most drafts and has a skill set very similar to Knight's. He has stud potential
if and when he earns a starting role. Honorable mention: DE Tamba Hali - Incumbent
veteran DE Eric Hicks was struggling with injuries during spring camps and hasn't
been particularly effective in recent years. Meanwhile, Hali was already earning
high marks for how quickly he was translating his all-around potential to the
pro game. If Hali can claw his way into a full-time role opposite Jared Allen,
he could become a fantasy option very quickly.
Deep sleeper: LB Keyaron Fox
Not many deep sleeper options in Kansas City. Fox is a big reach, but the third
year linebacker has shown significant improvement this offseason and could step
into the WLB role at some point if Kendrell Bell can't recover his old form.
Oakland Raiders
Overvalued: LB Danny Clark
Despite two solid statistical seasons in the middle of the Raider defense,
Clark is little more than a replacement level talent. The Raiders apparently
feel the same and released a pre-camp depth chart suggesting that Clark would
be benched in favor of WLB-hopeful Thomas Howard (with Kirk Morrison moving
to the middle). Should that projection hold, Clark has very little value in
both the short and long term.
Undervalued: LB Kirk Morrison
Morrison performed above expectations last season as a rookie WLB. Knocked
for a lack of big play ability, Morrison could stick at the more productive
MLB role if Thomas Howard can establish himself on the weakside during training
camp. He'd be a near lock for 100 plus solo tackles in that role and bring LB1
value from a LB2 draft slot. Honorable mention: LB Thomas Howard - The raw,
but talented Howard is being handed the starting WLB job entering camp. If he
can hold on, he should have good value as a three down backer.
Deep sleeper: S Michael Huff
Huff could be a Rodney Harrison type impact performer at safety. He hasn't
the cover skills of an cornerback and the size and hitting ability of a stud
safety. He'll have to beat out Derrick Gibson to win the SS job, but Gibson
hasn't exactly proven himself durable or above replacement level talent in the
past. Expect Huff to enter the season as the starter and produce very nice numbers.
San Diego Chargers
Overvalued: SS Terrence Kiel
Kiel appears to be on the verge of losing his starting job in the Charger secondary.
Kiel looked to have regressed last year, as he struggled to wrap up ballcarriers
in run support and was often ineffective in deep coverage. Whether that was
due to an ankle injury suffered early in the season remains to be seen. For
now, Clinton Hart looks to have the inside track on the SS role. Don't sleep
on Kiel altogether, but he's certainly not worth a big investment unless he's
the clear starter.
Undervalued: DE Luis Castillo
Overshadowed by the breakout of Shawne Merriman, Castillo was just as impressive
over the second half of 2005. While it is rare for a 3-4 end to have much fantasy
value, Castillo may be an exception to the rule. He is certainly worth drafting
as a flyer in the late rounds of most leagues. Honorable mention: SS Clinton
Hart - Hart is the early favorite to grab the SS job in San Diego. He wasn't
particularly effective last season, but any starting strong safety is worthy
of consideration.
Deep sleeper: LB Stephen Cooper
Cooper, an undrafted college free agent, was tendered at the highest level
as a RFA this offseason after ably filling in for an injured Randall Godfrey
briefly last season. He looks to be the primary backup at both ILB spots, and
with both Godfrey and Donnie Edwards on their way out in San Diego, Cooper could
become the man in San Diego. Honorable mention: LB Tim Dobbins - The Chargers
also like fifth round draftee Dobbins. He needs some seasoning, but could also
play a major role in the Chargers' future plans at inside linebacker.
NFC EAST
Dallas Cowboys
Overvalued: SS Roy Williams
Roy Williams has failed to live up to expectations ever since his magical rookie
season in 2002, when he finished as the #2 defensive back. He rebounded quite
a bit in 2005, finishing 13th after two very disappointing years, but there
are still too many questions regarding his role in the Cowboys defense to anoint
him once again as a fantasy superstar. I've optimistically projected with numbers
that place him near the top 12 but he will undoubtedly be drafted higher when
he could just as easily produce in the 30-50 range.
Undervalued: CBs Terence Newman/Anthony Henry
Cornerbacks are often overlooked in fantasy because of the perception that
they are inconsistent in terms of production (compared to safeties) and tend
to post sub-par solo tackle numbers, especially those who are considered good
cover corners. In the case of Terence Newman and Anthony Henry we have one of
the leagues top cornerback tandems who have also proven to be fantasy forces.
Each of these guys should post around 60 solo tackles with four interceptions
and 15+ passes defended, providing great late round value in your draft. While
others are sitting there trying to decide between lower tier safeties Ryan Clark
and Deon Grant, "turn the corner" and don't look back.
Deep sleeper: FS Pat Watkins
A rookie fifth round pick, Watkins value this year will likely be as a special
teamer, but he has the speed and coverage ability that the Cowboys are looking
for in their free-safety. With Keith Davis' recent shooting incident and Marcus
Coleman's age, Watkins just may find his way into the starting lineup at some
point this season.
New York Giants
Overvalued: WLB Carlos Emmons
A strongside linebacker for most of his career, Carlos Emmons slid over to
the weakside last year because of injuries/lack of depth. This was his chance
to shine, an opportunity to show that his lack of production over the years
was more a product of the restrictive SLB position than an indication of his
ability. Unfortunately, not much changed as his numbers remained close to his
career averages at under four solo tackles per game with limited playmaking.
Bottom line is that he's just not a fantasy force. Don't let the "Starting
WLB" designation fool you because he doesn't perform as well as you'd expect
from a weakside linebacker (especially in Tim Lewis' defense) and at some point
this year he may not even be starting.
Undervalued: CB Corey Webster
Webster will go undrafted in most leagues this year because he's a second year
cornerback who started just three games as a rookie, but if you look closer
you'll see that this kid has some serious potential. His play a year ago, combined
with financial/health decisions made on Will Allen/Will Peterson, earned Webster
a starting job entering 2006. He's considered to have superb overall ball skills
and if last years audition is an indication of what's to come, he has the ability
to put up tackle numbers in the Champ Bailey/Terence Newman mold (Webster averaged
7 solo tackles per start). With Sam Madison brought in to man the other side
Webster could be a marked man, which would increase his fantasy potential.
Deep sleeper: WLB Gerris Wilkinson
The New York Giants learned a year ago how valuable depth is at the linebacker
position
when they had none. Wilkinson was brought in as a third round
pick to provide depth and to hopefully develop into the WLB of the future. If
Wilkinson is able to put together an impressive training camp, the future just
may be now. Carlos Emmons should enter camp fighting for both his job and possibly
a roster spot with both Wilkinson and Reggie Torbor eyeing his gig. Smart money
should be on Emmons retaining the starting WLB spot for one more year, but this
situation will wash out during training camp which makes Gerris Wilkinson a
player deserving of watchful eye.
Philadelphia Eagles
Overvalued: DE Jevon Kearse
I don't like putting Jevon Kearse on this list because he appears to be in
a good situation this year with Darren Howard coming to Philadelphia, but appearance
is all that Kearse has been living on over the last four years with a combined
total of 95 solo tackles and 26.5 sacks. Though he's never been able to live
up to his rookie performance, the name brand alone continues to keep him drafted
higher than he should be.
Undervalued: FS Brian Dawkins
Brian Dawkins will undoubtedly be discounted this year because of his age (he
turns 33 in October), but the fact is that he's giving us the best football
of his career and appears to be getting better. He finished last year as the
#4 overall defensive back but has and ADP/ranking near #10, behind such big
name youngsters as Ed Reed, Troy Polamalu and Roy Williams, all of whom I expect
Dawkins to outproduce. Age will definitely catch up to him at some point and
he deserves to be discredited in dynasty leagues, but for redraft we run the
risk of knocking him down for what may happen while overlooking what's actually
occurring on the field.
Deep sleeper: DT Mike Patterson
As a rookie defensive tackle in 2005, Mike Patterson took over the starting
job from Hollis Thomas during the seasons final month and produced 24 solo tackles,
2 sacks and a forced fumble in seven total starts. Over a full 16 game set those
numbers equate to 55 solo tackles and 4.5 sacks, nothing earth-shattering but
far from a player who appears to have been forgotten about with the drafting
of Broderick Bunkley. Whether or not Bunkley wiggles his way into the starting
lineup shouldn't affect Patterson too much as Bunkley would be replacing Darwin
Walker, but it may actually help having the man beast lining up beside him to
help relieve the pressure that will come from being a rising star.
Washington Redskins
Overvalued: FS Sean Taylor
In two NFL seasons Sean Taylor has given us flashes of brilliance while building
a reputation as one of the games most gifted athletes. Unfortunately he hasn't
built a statline to match. Legal woes aside, Taylor's production during his
first two years leaves him in the DB 30-40 range, approximately 10% from being
a top 10 defensive back and 10% the other way from not being worth a roster
spot. Drafted accordingly, Taylor has tremendous upside given his talent, but
the name brand here will have him drafted much higher than he should, removing
any value that he possesses.
Undervalued: MLB Lemar Marshall
Lemar Marshall has performed admirably as a "fill-in" type player
over the last two years and if he doesn't watch out, he just may become the
star who he's been filling in for. Two years ago he stepped in for an injured
Lavar Arrington at WLB and last year, with Antonio Pierce leaving for New York
as a free-agent, Marshall slid inside and had his own breakout year with 77
solo tackles, 2 sacks and four interceptions. Now a fixture at MLB for the Redskins,
Marshall's ability to fill up a boxscore in Gregg Williams' defense should land
him near the top 20 for LBs.
Deep sleeper: DT Cornelius Griffin
Cornelius Griffin had a breakout season in 2004 with 55 solo tackles and six
sacks, providing great value as both a DT and a DL. He was on pace a year ago
to better those numbers with 23 solo tackles through five games when he suffered
a hip injury that knocked him out of three games and lasted with him throughout
the year. A healthy return to the field in 2006 will also bring a new linemate,
free-agent addition DE Andre Carter. With the presence of Carter, he and Griffin
should be able to play off of each other, helping to free one-another from those
pesky double teams that impede their paths to the quarterback. All in all, Griffin
should return to form this year and provide great value as a defensive lineman,
especially in leagues that separate tackles from ends.
NFC NORTH
Chicago Bears
Overvalued: LB Lance Briggs
Briggs was a top 25 LB last year, but did not match his top 12 standing from
2004. Now, Briggs is mired in a contract dispute with the Bears and he could
be in his last year with the team. He's missed some workouts, and the team made
a commitment to the other OLB, Hunter Hillenmeyer, who is taking reps in place
of Briggs in the nickel package while he is sitting out OTAs. Briggs carries
too much risk to merit a selection in the top 25 LBs
Undervalued: DE Adewale Ogunleye
Everything is primed for 'Wale to return to the echelon of premier NFL sack
artists in 2006. The fearsome Bears defense is completely intact from 2005,
their schedule is actually easier, and their offense can only improve. Ogunleye
has a chance to return to the form he displayed in 2004 when he finished #3
among DEs. He's a good DE2 to target in the DE10-15 range in your draft.
Deep sleeper: LB Hunter Hillenmeyer
The Bears have given a new contract to an OLB, but it was Hillenmeyer, not
Lance Briggs. He's been working in place of Briggs in the nickel package and
could get work at WLB if Briggs holds out or gets demoted. He's also likely
first in line to play MLB if Brian Urlacher got hurt. Hillenmeyer is not worth
drafting, but remember his name if Briggs or Urlacher go down.
Detroit Lions
Overvalued: LB Teddy Lehman
The promise Lehman showed in his rookie year is becoming a distant memory.
Injuries plagued his 2005, and he will not be ready to play when camp opens
because of a foot injury. When he does return, the strong side may be the only
option open to him because Ernie Sims and Boss Bailey are penciled in to play
the weak side and middle. Lehman is probably going to be a fantasy afterthought
in 2006.
Undervalued: DE James Hall
Hall was a top 10 DE in 2004 and began returning to that form in late 2005.
He racked up 25 total tackles, 3 sacks, and 2 forced fumbles in the last four
games of 05. The switch to the cover 2 should give only help with its attacking
mentality up front. Hall is a big value once the top 20 DEs are off the board.
Deep sleeper: DE Kalimba Edwards
Kalimba has never lived up to the pass rush beast potential he had coming into
the league, but this year could put him in position to top double digit sacks
for the first time in his career. The Lions fought off a serious bid from the
Browns for his services and the new regime seems excited about Edwards abilities
in the cover 2. He's a good DE to watch in leagues that reward sacks heavily.
Green Bay Packers
Overvalued: LB Nick Barnett
Barnett has a lot of factors working against his chances of repeating his top
10 finish among LBs in 2005. A.J. Hawk has been added and should decrease Barnett's
tackle opportunities, and rookie Abdul Hodge could win a job in the middle,
forcing Barnett to the strong side. He's not worth the risk of a top 15 LB pick.
Don't count on him to be any more than your LB2.
Undervalued: S Marquand Manuel
Manuel has the inside track to winning the starting strong safety job in Green
Bay. He was signed by Green Bay to a multiyear deal almost as soon as free agency
began, and his main competition, Mark Roman, has made noise about wanting a
release since Manuel was signed. Manuel should be a decent bench DB despite
being on almost no one's radar right now.
Deep sleeper: LB Abdul Hodge
Hodge was a terror in the middle in Iowa and the Packers grabbed him on the
first day, showing he's in their plans. He's been getting almost all of his
reps inside, which suggests he could move Nick Barnett to the outside if he
plays his way into the starting lineup. He could be a borderline startable LB
even as a two-down MLB.
Minnesota Vikings
Overvalued: LB Chad Greenway
Greenway will eventually be the starting weakside LB for Vikings, but don't
pencil him into your top 36 LBs just yet. He still has to beat out E.J. Henderson
to play with the first team, and his coverage skills could cost him some tackle
opportunities. Greenway is only worth a pick as a bench LB until he is assured
of starting - which may be tied at first to whether Napoleon Harris or E.J.
Henderson wins the MLB job.
Undervalued: DT Kevin Williams
Williams entered 2005 as the clear cut #1 DT. He struggled with injuries and
a switch to the 3-4 at times. This year, the Vikes have installed the cover
2, which has the defensive line attacking instead of concentrating on holding
up blockers. Williams could easily return to double digit sack totals, and he
should be a stud in leagues that require a DT in the starting lineup.
Deep sleeper: LB E.J. Henderson
The linebacker corps for Minnesota is a mess right now, but Henderson has arguably
had the most NFL success of anyone in the group. Henderson has the added value
of being able to play both MLB and WLB. He could beat Napoleon Harris or Chad
Greenway out for a valuable starting gig, or at worst be waiting in the wings
if they fail or get hurt. He's worth a late round flier in deep leagues.
NFC SOUTH
Atlanta Falcons
Overvalued: LB Demorrio Williams
Sometimes the gamebook line doesn't tell the entire story. Williams, despite
his attractive stats, was not very effective in run support and the Falcons
will use him in situational hybrid LB/spy role this year. Unless one of the
starting linebackers is injured again, Williams will have little value in redraft
leagues this year. Honorable mention: LB Ed Hartwell - Hartwell was struggling
a bit before an Achilles tendon injury last season. Be careful about reaching
for him in the top 25 linebackers.
Undervalued: DB Lawyer Milloy
The free safety in the Falcon scheme designed by Jim Mora, Jr. and Ed Donatell
is more of an in-the-box defender than roving centerfielder. Brian Scott (and
Darren Sharper a few years ago) put up very good numbers in this role in 2004.
Milloy has enough gas in the tank to have some serious late round value.
Deep sleeper: LB Michael Boley
Boley is the reason Demorrio Williams' value has plummeted. Although also undersized,
Boley proved to be much better at the point of attack and will man the "buck"
or SLB position this year. However, should the LB corps get shuffled around
again he could end up in the WLB role. It's a longshot, but if it happens, Boley
will have just as much value as Williams did in 2005.
Carolina Panthers
Overvalued: LB Dan Morgan
Every year, it seems that Morgan is drafted among the top 20 linebackers. And
every year, Morgan loses entire series and games to injury, leaving his fantasy
owners in a lurch, often at playoff time. With the turnover at both OLB spots
in the offseason, Morgan may look even more attractive for 2006. Be careful.
If you're counting on Morgan to anchor your fantasy roster, make sure you have
the depth to weather the weeks he's likely to miss to injury.
Undervalued: SS Shaun Williams
The coaching staff wanted to move Mike Minter to free safety last season, but
were forced to play him at strong safety after a preseason knee injury to Colin
Branch and the shaky play of then rookie Thomas Davis. This season, Minter will
again start out at FS after the departure of Marlon McCree. While Branch is
also in the mix for the starting job at SS, the Panthers signed Shaun Williams
in the offseason to compete for the role as well. A known commodity to head
coach John Fox, Williams could surprise with solid numbers behind a shaky linebacker
group.
Deep sleeper: LB James Anderson
The Panthers' third round draft pick in 2006 will compete with a slew of journeymen,
replacement level linebackers at WLB. The coaching staff had good things to
say about him during mini-camps. Anderson could grow into the role vacated by
Will Witherspoon, especially if he can prove a capable option on passing downs.
Honorable mention: DE Stanley McClover - McClover left Auburn a year early but
dropped to the seventh round in a draft deep in edge rushers. He needs time
to develop, but has the potential to become a pass rushing threat in 2007 and
beyond.
New Orleans Saints
Overvalued: S Jay Bellamy
Bellamy has been successful in the SS role for the Saints in previous years,
but suffered a season-ending shoulder injury last year and will be in a dogfight
to make the roster this season. The new Saint coaching staff brought in Bryan
Scott and Omar Stoutmire early this offseason, invested a high draft pick on
hard hitting Roman Harper, and has already purged a far from washed-up Dwight
Smith. Bellamy is next in the crosshairs. Currently, it's Stoutmire who's getting
the reps with the first team at strong safety. Even if he eventually works his
way into the lineup again, you'll be walking on eggshells wondering if and when
he'll be replaced.
Undervalued: MLB Alfred Fincher
Fincher was apparently getting first team snaps in the middle during the most
recent minicamp, which is significant since the coaches were trying Colby Bockwoldt,
Anthony Simmons, and Scott Fujita at all three positions in early May. Fincher
struggled to find a role in last year's league worst defense, but if he earns
the starting job he'll produce well over his current ADP. Honorable mention:
LB Anthony Simmons - Simmons was a top 15 LB earlier in the decade in Seattle.
He was the total package. Aggressive and instinctive, quick to the ball, and
a solid pass rusher, Simmons has struggled to recover from a wrist injury he
suffered early in 2004. If healthy and motivated, he is easily the best linebacker
on the Saint roster and could produce as such.
Deep sleeper: DB Roman Harper
Many felt the Saints reached for Harper in the second round of this year's
draft and the team is stocked with options at safety. But the coaching staff
was actively turning over the safety position in the offseason and the high
draft slot suggests that the team has a plan for Harper. With Josh Bullocks
probably a better fit long-term at FS, Harper could step in at SS late in the
season. Those in dynasty leagues should definitely have him on their radar.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Overvalued: MLB Shelton Quarles
Quarles had a career season in 2005, racking up 30 more tackles than his next
best season. It will be tough for him to repeat that performance against a still
talented Derrick Brooks and the possibility that Barrett Ruud begins to cut
into his playing time still looms in the background. There are other linebackers
in the same ADP tier that may be safer options, particularly in dynasty leagues.
Undervalued: DE Simeon Rice
Rice is dropping in drafts, likely over concerns that he may not be able to
match his prior production. Rice is about as durable and consistent as they
come, however, and should remain productive this season. He'll provide excellent
value as a DL2 in all leagues.
Deep sleeper: SS Donte Nicholson
Current Buc safeties Will Allen and Jermaine Phillips are serviceable but nothing
special. Nicholson is a big, physical player who could become an interesting
fantasy option if he can improve his coverage skills enough to earn a starting
role in the Tampa-2 defense.
NFC WEST
Arizona Cardinals
Overvalued: DT Darnell Dockett
The talent is unquestioned, but he has been more flash and tease in his first
two seasons, where his play hasn't measured up to the rep that preceded him
(he was Florida State season TFL record holder before broken by 2006 first round
DT Broderick Bunkley). The former Seminole great needs to play with a more consistent
motor to begin fulfilling his lofty potential and living up to the press clippings.
A rebuilt interior OL alongside him (Kendrick Clancy via free agency and talented
but similarly uneven Gabe Watson from the draft) along with a healthy Bert Berry
could help kick-start his motor.
Undervalued: DE Bertrand Berry
He is still playing at an extremely high level, despite being 31 (as are fellow
"geezer" DEs Michael Strahan, Jason Taylor, Simeon Rice and Leonard
Little). The former Colt and Bronco situational pass rusher is a late bloomer
who has flourished in the desert and doesn't look anything like a player in
the twilight of his career. In his last two complete seasons (missed second
half of 2005 with a torn pectoral muscle), few DEs can match the 33 big plays
(26 sacks & 7 FFs) he amassed in 32 games from '03-'04. He was second in
the NFL in sacks in 2004 (behind only Dwight Freeney), and before his midseason
injury was pacing last year for a top 3 finish among DEs in FBG scoring. An
explosive edge rusher who brings it for 60 minutes.
Deep sleeper: CB Antrel Rolle
Rolle has the imposing size, physical ability, talent and skills to quickly
become one of the most dominant CBs in the NFL, and one of the highest scoring
DBs in IDP leagues (with the caveat - if his knee is right, which it reportedly
is). In fact, based on the admittedly scant but compelling evidence from stellar
splits in the midst of an injury-marred rookie season, if his quarter season
productivity were sustained over a full season, his production would have translated
to top 10 numbers... top 10 LB! Don't reach for him and take Rolle earlier than
you have to, but some scouts thought he was the best overall prospect in the
entire 2005 draft class, and you could be the beneficiary of the one season
delay before his coming out party.
San Francisco 49ers
Overvalued: SS Tony Parrish
At one time he was one of the top playmaking safeties in the NFL (30 career
INTs second among active DBs after Darren Sharper's 45), though for much of
his career he hasn't exactly been a tackle maven. Even if he returns at close
to full strength after a nasty looking spiral leg fracture, the way he is currently
used in HC Mike Nolan's scheme will make it difficult for him to produce the
upper echelon DB stats his athleticism suggests he might be capable of in more
favorable scheme-driven circumstances.
Undervalued: CB Shawntae Spencer
Playing for a last place team is less than optimal from a national recognition
standpoint, but make no mistake... Spencer is on the cusp of becoming one of
the league's elite young CBs, and with that the accolades should follow. In
just his second year, he was in the top 10 for his position in tackles (74)
and PD (19) and added 4 INTs and a return TD. A throwback to the SF tradition
of greatness blazed by Walsh, Montana, Craig, Rice and Lott based on hard work
and indomitable will, Spencer's example points the way to a possible return
to greatness in the future for this storied franchise with a tarnished legacy.
Deep sleeper - LB Manny Lawson
To the extent it is possible for a first rounder to be a sleeper, Lawson is
a candidate as 3-4 OLBs are almost invariably dissed for their IDP scoring potential.
In replacing multi-Pro Bowl OLB Julian Peterson (only NFL player in recent memory
to line up at DE, LB, S & CB in same game), who is generally acknowledged
to be one of the top athletes in the league along with Julius Peppers (sixth
man on a GOOD North Carolina Basketball team), the 49ers have reloaded with
another phenomenal athlete. Despite his freakish DE/LB-conversion size, he competed
for N.C. State in the hurdles and sprint relay and has long jumped 25' and triple
jumped 50'. With his serious hops he is reminiscent of another, old school Julius...
Dr. J. Think Charles Haley if he could dunk from the free throw line!
Seattle Seahawks
Overvalued: DE Grant Wistrom
At this point, Wistrom is more valuable to the Seahawks organization for his
veteran leadership, motor, hustle, multi-Super Bowl experience and off-field
example than for sheer productivity and tangible stats. Intangibles are vastly
underrated in real football, but in the fantasy domain, aren't much attraction
in and of themselves, and are best accompanied by numbers.
Undervalued: SS Michael Boulware
Had more of an impact in a brilliant rookie campaign and is still adjusting
to playing safety in the NFL after being an All-American WLB at Florida State.
He is a physical specimen and was the fastest LB prospect at his Combine. Great
bloodlines and pedigree, his brother Peter was a Pro Bowl LB for the Ravens.
A multitalented playmaker capable of being a big play machine. His tackles were
blunted last year, but the return of Ken Hamlin may enable him to be turned
loose more. If so, he has top 10 upside among safeties (though maybe not this
year).
Deep sleeper: DE Daryl Tapp
There are some intriguing pieces to the puzzle of how the skills he flashed
at the collegiate level will translate and project to the NFL. Though he had
poor timed speed in the 40, he had an extremely quick 10 yard split and film
confirms that he plays much faster than he times. The feisty and pesky former
Va. Tech great already has a well developed and fully formed array of pass rush
moves (gave consensus #1 OL D'Brickashaw Ferguson fits), is active in run support
and also a monster-hitting FF maker. High motor dude with a potent combo of
an explosive first step, deceptive power, leverage, long arms, intensity, hustle
and football smarts could make a surprisingly big contribution early, and groomed
to be Wistrom's eventual successor. Remember another second round gem unearthed
by SEA scouts and front office supposedly too small and slow that turned out
pretty well... Lofa Tatupu.
St. Louis Rams
Overvalued: CB Jerametrius Butler
Looked like an ascendant player in 2004 when he finished as a top 10 DB, before
blowing out his ACL last offseason. A lot has changed since then. New DC Jim
Haslett brought in Fakhir Brown from New Orleans and the Rams war room made
speed merchant Tye Hill the team's first round selection. Hill should be at
least the nickel CB this season, but the presence of the above two could mean
that Butler may not be as much of a lock to start as is commonly thought (including
beyond 2006 for dynasty purposes). Due to a hamstring pull he couldn't participate
in OTA drills, so even team insiders are still in the dark about how his knee
will respond once the bullets start to fly for real.
Undervalued: LB Pisa Tinoisamoa
During an extremely promising rookie season, he led STL in tackles and was
one of the few defensive players in the NFL with multiple sacks (2), INTs (3)
& FFs (4), despite playing SLB. He also led the team in tackles the following
two years, though he struggled with a chronic separated shoulder as a soph,
and was saddled with an incompetent scheme in '04-'05. He is entrenched at WLB,
the shoulder problem was corrected and he and prized free agent acquisition
Will Witherspoon will be key players in the retooled, more aggressive new scheme.
The 2006 season is even further incentivized for the former San Diego prep legend
and Hawaii star by being a contract year. Honorable Mention: DE Leonard Little
- Represents a nice confluence of talent (top 5 among DEs from '01-'03), focus
(in past two years he was first distracted by legal entanglements, then his
brother was murdered), a more aggressive scheme (tough guy and hard case Haslett
replaces meek and incompetent Marmie at DC) as well as greater opportunity (he
will be moved around and play RDE more, where his sacks could increase). Like
similarly intense 5-0 above, Little has the added motivation of a contract year,
in what will likely be his last chance for a big pay day (turns 32 in season).
Deep sleeper: DT Claude Wroten
A top 20 overall talent in the 2006 draft if he hadn't fallen due to off field
issues. New Rams HC Scott Linehan received some insider insight imparted by
ex-MIA boss Nick Saban (Wroten's former HC at LSU), who was of the opinion that
it was out of character. He has been called the top 3-technique DT in the draft
by independent scout Mike Mayock and has the total package to be a two way threat
as a run stuffer and rare pass rush threat from the inside. If Wroten is as
good as advertised he has a chance to emerge quickly as one of the better young
DTs in the game, help transform the Rams toughness up the middle, make them
stouter against the run and more dangerous pressuring the QB, and will be a
vindication for the legacy of first round DTs that crashed and burned in recent
seasons (along with their former Super Bowl expectations).
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