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2 QB or Not 2 QB
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Posted 7/27 by Jeff Pasquino, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
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If you have been playing fantasy football for at least a few years you have
seen how each position affects the performance of your team. You know how valuable
starting running backs are in your league. Some leagues and owners that dislike
the minimization of wide receivers implement a point per reception, or "PPR",
rule to increase receiver values. Other leagues give bonuses to tight ends,
such as two points for a catch or more points per yard, while others just drop
the tight end requirement altogether. All those leagues seem to have the same
shortcoming - a depressed value on the quarterback position.
So what is the answer? How do you bring the value of Pro Bowlers like Matt
Hasselbeck and Tom Brady back to the top? Consider changing your starting lineup
requirements by requiring every team to start two quarterbacks.
Are Two Heads Better Than One?
There will most assuredly be opposition to this change (unless you are starting
from scratch). I have heard many of the arguments for and against making the
switch.
The arguments for going to a "Start 2 QB" system begin with the idea
that it accentuates the most important position in the NFL - starting quarterback.
Why should 20-30 running backs be worth more than the overwhelming majority
of NFL signal callers? Starting two quarterbacks brings the position back to
its rightful status as a crucial element to your fantasy roster.
Another case for starting two quarterbacks is a comparison of the scarcity
of starting quarterbacks and starting running backs. There are only 32 starters
at each position, so why not have two starters from each? Proponents of this
idea like to mention that over 50 quarterbacks started at least one game in
2005. That is a fair point; however on a given week in the NFL, the number of
quarterbacks that played is usually equal to the number of teams in action.
The names may change due to injury, but for the most part you know a few days
in advance who will be calling plays in the huddle for every team in a given
week.
The analogy of quarterbacks to running backs continues to fall apart under
closer scrutiny. Running backs are often exchanged for one another during a
given game, yet it is rare for an NFL quarterback to not finish a game aside
from an injury replacement. You can get away with starting the second or third
running back on a team for a week, knowing that he will get a few chances to
give you at least a few points. That does not translate over to the quarterback
as the QB stat line for most NFL games usually consists of one entry per team.
Opponents to switching to a two quarterback lineup mention that there are not
enough starting quarterbacks in the NFL to go around, especially in leagues
with 12 teams or more. With so few options, rostering any depth becomes rather
difficult. Injuries and bye weeks create difficulties in fielding two starters
each and every week. However, I believe that this adds to the challenge - can
you handle all these issues and be competitive to win your league?
There is one more thing to consider when deciding on using two starting quarterbacks.
If you want to have a league that emphasizes in-season trading, then this option
is really for you. Redraft leagues that start one quarterback rarely see trades
that include a quarterback. Even if a trade is brokered, sadly the low value
of quarterback is put on display yet again as a solid NFL passer may be traded
for a marginal talent at running back or wide receiver. The reason for this
is that starting quarterbacks are often available on the waiver wire and in
free agency. All of those conditions change dramatically in a league that doubles
the number of quarterback starters.
Death, Taxes and....
Some quarterbacks just seem to be more durable than others. When you are starting
two quarterbacks, it is a huge boost to your roster if you can find a capable
starter that can be inserted into your lineup week after week without worrying
if he will be available. The value of stalwart signal callers like Brett Favre
and Peyton Manning are more than just their performances week after week - stabilizing
your roster also adds value.
Two others that also fit this category of a permanent fixture under center
are Tom Brady and Trent Green. Neither quarterback has missed a game in over
four seasons. There is one more quarterback that fits this category, and it
may surprise some people. Drew Bledsoe has also not missed a start since his
2001 injury, which led to Tom Brady's success in New England.
There are a number of other quarterbacks that are likely to start 16 games
this season provided they are healthy. Some teams, however, are having a competition
for the starter role or have young talent chomping at the bit to get under center
in 2006. With so much turmoil at quarterback, we need to see just who would
deserve to be selected in a two quarterback league draft.
Draftable QBs
With that in mind, it becomes very important to know the NFL quarterback depth
charts, and who is worth of selecting on Draft Day. Here is my view on who is
available and their viability for this year:
- Arizona Cardinals - Kurt Warner, Matt
Leinart
- Atlanta Falcons - Michael Vick, Matt
Schaub
- Baltimore Ravens - Steve McNair, Kyle
Boller
- Buffalo Bills - Kelly Holcomb, J.P. Losman,
Craig Nall
- Carolina Panthers - Jake Delhomme, Chris
Weinke
- Chicago Bears - Rex Grossman, Brian
Griese
- Cincinnati Bengals - Carson Palmer Anthony
Wright
- Cleveland Browns - Charlie Frye, Ken
Dorsey
- Dallas Cowboys - Drew Bledsoe, Tony
Romo
- Denver Broncos - Jake Plummer, Jay Cutler
- Detroit Lions - Jon Kitna, Josh McCown
- Green Bay Packers - Brett Favre, Aaron
Rodgers
- Houston Texans - David Carr, Sage
Rosenfels
- Indianapolis Colts - Peyton Manning,
Jim Sorgi
- Jacksonville Jaguars - Byron Leftwich,
David Garrard
- Kansas City Chiefs - Trent Green, Brody
Croyle
- Miami Dolphins - Daunte Culpepper, Joey
Harrington
- Minnesota Vikings - Brad Johnson, Tarvaris
Jackson
- New England Patriots - Tom Brady, Matt
Cassel
- New Orleans Saints - Drew Brees, Jamie
Martin
- New York Giants - Eli Manning, Tim
Hasselbeck
- New York Jets - Chad Pennington, Patrick Ramsey,
Kellen Clemens, Brooks Bollinger
- Oakland Raiders - Aaron Brooks, Andrew
Walter
- Philadelphia Eagles - Donovan McNabb,
Jeff Garcia
- Pittsburgh Steelers - Ben Roethlisberger,
Charlie Batch
- San Diego Chargers - Philip Rivers,
A.J. Feeley
- San Francisco 49ers - Alex Smith, Trent
Dilfer
- Seattle Seahawks - Matt Hasselbeck,
Seneca Wallace
- St. Louis Rams - Marc Bulger, Gus
Frerotte
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Chris Simms,
Jay Fiedler
- Tennessee Titans - Billy Volek, Vince
Young
- Washington Redskins - Mark Brunell,
Jason Campbell, Todd Collins
That's 29 quarterbacks that will likely be starters (BLUE),
16 more that are competing for playing time or likely to see action (GREEN),
and another eight that are flyers that may see playing time in certain situations
this year (BLACK). The quarterbacks in RED only
have value if an injury should occur. I could see 50-55 of these names being
drafted in a typical 12 team, 20 round redraft league employing two starting
quarterbacks. That translates to all the quarterbacks in BLUE
and GREEN above and a few of those in BLACK and
RED.
Draft Day
I ran a mock draft for twelve teams using just the autodraft option, but that
did not tell me very much beyond what I expected - that you cannot wait too
long to select your quarterbacks. So I decided that I needed to do a more hands-on
mock, pretending to be the owner of all 12 teams, and see if I could come up
with competitive teams at each draft position.
Here are the results:
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Rnd
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Team 1
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Team 2
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Team 3
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Team 4
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1
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Larry Johnson
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LaDainian Tomlinson
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Shaun Alexander
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Tiki Barber
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2
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Marvin Harrison
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Larry Fitzgerald
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Kevin Jones
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Torry Holt
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3
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Willis McGahee
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Randy Moss
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Anquan Boldin
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Julius Jones
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4
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T.J. Houshmandzadeh
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Donovan McNabb
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Matt Hasselbeck
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Santana Moss
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5
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Jeremy Shockey
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Tony Gonzalez
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Todd Heap
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Alge Crumpler
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6
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Drew Bledsoe
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Chris Brown
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Curtis Martin
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Thomas Jones
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7
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Terry Glenn
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Rod Smith
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Lee Evans
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Michael Vick
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8
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Byron Leftwich
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Drew Brees
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Kurt Warner
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Keyshawn Johnson
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9
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DeAngelo Williams
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Joe Horn
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Keenan McCardell
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Marion Barber III
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10
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Laurence Maroney
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LenDale White
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Kevin Curtis
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Billy Volek
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11
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Chris Simms
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Brad Johnson
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Charlie Frye
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Samie Parker
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12
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Michael Clayton
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Greg Jones
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Matt Leinart
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Michael Jenkins
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13
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Indianapolis Colts
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Ryan Moats
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Jerramy Stevens
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Matt Schaub
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14
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Jermaine Wiggins
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Zach Hilton
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Reggie Williams
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Vince Young
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15
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David Garrard
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Michael Turner
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Maurice Morris
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Cedric Houston
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16
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Travis Taylor
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Cedrick Wilson
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Mike Alstott
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Neil Rackers
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17
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Brandon Stokley
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David Akers
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Josh Brown
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Alex Smith
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18
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Jeff Wilkins
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New York Giants
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Seattle Seahawks
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Jacksonville Jaguars
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19
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Dee Brown
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Atlanta Falcons
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Washington Redskins
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San Diego Chargers
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20
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Jay Fiedler
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Santonio Holmes
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Seneca Wallace
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Kellen Clemens
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Rnd
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Team 5
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Team 6
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Team 7
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Team 8
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1
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Clinton Portis
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Steven Jackson
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LaMont Jordan
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Rudi Johnson
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2
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Domanick Davis
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Reuben Droughns
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Willie Parker
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Antonio Gates
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3
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Hines Ward
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Chris Chambers
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Warrick Dunn
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Chester Taylor
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4
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Reggie Wayne
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Corey Dillon
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Roy Williams
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Plaxico Burress
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5
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Derrick Mason
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Deion Branch
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Javon Walker
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Joseph Addai
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6
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Dominic Rhodes
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Cedric Benson
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Aaron Brooks
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Eli Manning
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7
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Jason Witten
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Laveranues Coles
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Ben Watson
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Muhsin Muhammad
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8
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Ben Roethlisberger
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Daunte Culpepper
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Jake Plummer
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Koren Robinson
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9
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Pittsburgh Steelers
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Carolina Panthers
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Jerry Porter
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Philip Rivers
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10
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Mark Brunell
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Steve McNair
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Drew Bennett
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Chris Perry
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11
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Brandon Lloyd
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Mark Clayton
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Alex Smith
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Chad Pennington
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12
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Mewelde Moore
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Randy McMichael
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Duce Staley
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Roddy White
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13
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J.P. Losman
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Joey Harrington
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Jason Elam
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Patrick Ramsey
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14
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Ladell Betts
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Kyle Boller
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Vernon Davis
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Brandon Jacobs
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15
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Eric Moulds
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Nate Burleson
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Marty Booker
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Amani Toomer
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16
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Verron Haynes
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Jay Feely
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Andrew Walter
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Miami Dolphins
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17
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Jason Campbell
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Matt Stover
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Chad Jackson
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John Kasay
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18
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Mike Vanderjagt
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Tony Fisher
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Brian Calhoun
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Jeb Putzier
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19
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Green Bay Packers
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Wes Welker
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Justin Fargas
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Reche Caldwell
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20
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Craig Nall
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Bubba Franks
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Dallas Cowboys
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Philadelphia Eagles
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Rnd
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Team 9
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Team 10
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Team 11
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Team 12
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1
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Peyton Manning
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Ronnie Brown
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Cadillac Williams
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Chad Johnson
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2
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Terrell Owens
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Edgerrin James
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Steve Smith
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Brian Westbrook
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3
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DeShaun Foster
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Donald Driver
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Reggie Bush
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Tatum Bell
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4
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Ron Dayne
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Tom Brady
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Darrell Jackson
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Jamal Lewis
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5
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Andre Johnson
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Fred Taylor
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Frank Gore
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Eddie Kennison
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6
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Ahman Green
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Joey Galloway
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Deuce McAllister
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Carson Palmer
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7
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Chris Cooley
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Matt Jones
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Donte' Stallworth
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Reggie Brown
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8
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Jake Delhomme
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Marc Bulger
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Brett Favre
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Trent Green
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9
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Ernest Wilford
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Antonio Bryant
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Joe Jurevicius
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L.J. Smith
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10
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David Carr
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Kellen Winslow Jr
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Jon Kitna
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Mike Anderson
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11
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Samkon Gado
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Isaac Bruce
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Rex Grossman
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Kelly Holcomb
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12
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Adam Vinatieri
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Chicago Bears
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Kevan Barlow
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David Givens
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13
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Justin McCareins
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Shayne Graham
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Josh McCown
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Brian Griese
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14
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Dallas Clark
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Heath Miller
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Ben Troupe
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T.J. Duckett
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15
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Bobby Engram
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Gus Frerotte
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Michael Pittman
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Eric Parker
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16
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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Kevin Faulk
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Robert Ferguson
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Baltimore Ravens
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17
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Antowain Smith
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J.J. Arrington
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Arizona Cardinals
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Andre' Davis
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18
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Antwaan Randle El
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Matt Cassel
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Jeff Reed
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Lawrence Tynes
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19
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Tennessee Titans
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Maurice Drew
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Marcus Pollard
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Josh Scobee
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20
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Arnaz Battle
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Corey Bradford
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Nate Kaeding
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Anthony Wright
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Looking over the teams, I noticed:
- 51 QBs were taken, with every team taking 3, 4, or 5
- Teams taking a quarterback in the first four rounds (Teams 2, 3 and 10)
were able to get their QB2 in Round 8
- Rounds 8-11 seemed quite popular from a value standpoint for a QB2 and QB3
run
- Handcuffs were not that difficult to secure
- Bye weeks are a definite factor
- Being one of the first teams with 3 QBs was advantageous - Team 9 had Peyton
Manning, Delhomme and Carr, for example
- From Round 13 onward, 16 of 19 quarterbacks were handcuffs for their respective
owners
Putting Our Two Heads Together
Some lessons learned from the mock draft:
- It is OK to wait on picking your first quarterback, but be one of the first
to get your second and third QB
- With 51 QBs selected, teams taking 5 quarterbacks are at a disadvantage.
Depth on your roster may suffer at other positions if you have to use 25%
of your team for QB. While quarterbacks will likely score a good number of
points for your team, the issues of depth at running back and wide receiver
may present themselves later in the year.
- Rounds 8 through 11 seemed quite popular from a value standpoint for a QB2
and QB3 run. Twenty-three of 48 picks in these rounds, nearly half, were quarterbacks.
This validates the value of picking up your second and third quarterback earlier
than other owners.
- While handcuffs were reasonably easy to secure (Kitna/McCown in Rounds 10
and 11 for example), there is a downside. If you take two QBs that need
to be backed up in the draft, you will suffer for a QB3. Take a look at
Team 6 - while Baltimore and Miami quarterbacks were locked down, not much
else was available. Granted the bye weeks are later in the season, but something
has to be done on the waiver wire to cover this problem.
- Selection of two solid starters early with later bye weeks allows for a
team to build depth at other positions and wait on a midseason injury replacement
to cover bye weeks. Team 2 employed this strategy and also secured a solid
QB3.
Conclusions
Now your draft is over, you have some good quarterback starters, and there
are some teams that have issues in your league at the position. These teams
will be hungry all year for improving their team if they are to have a chance
to compete. Be sure that your commissioner has set up your league for these
owners to get back into the mix by implementing these supporting rules.
- Trades - These have to be permitted and encouraged. Any rules that might
stifle trade activities have to be looked over and possibly scrapped. Quarterbacks
now have much more value, and trading for QBs will promote trades amongst
all the other positions. Consider this an added benefit of starting two quarterbacks,
as your owners should now be far more active during the season
- Roster Depth - This should be done BEFORE the draft, but at the very least
you need to allow for additional player room. As shown by the mock draft above,
having 4-5 QBs on a roster is not that uncommon, so adding 1-2 more roster
slots would be warranted
- Waiver Wire - This is a critical step. Every owner will be after the next
second-string quarterback that will be thrust into a starting job when the
starter goes down with an injury (just like a starting running back). Determining
how to claim players in a reasonable fashion such as blind bidding or a closed
market until Tuesday or Wednesday would be prudent maneuvers.
I hope that many of you consider the positives of running or joining two quarterback
leagues. They are a lot of fun to play in, and I make a point of joining at
least one per year. The strategy and entertainment value alone are worth the
effort to find one, and I encourage everyone to try this alternative league
style.
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